Locked On Dolphins - Daily Podcast On The Miami Dolphins

How Attractive Would A Miami Dolphins General Manager Vacancy Be To Potential Candidates In 2025?

Are the Miami Dolphins ready for a front-office shakeup? With whispers of a new general manager on the horizon, the Dolphins' future could be on the brink of transformation. Dive into the potential changes as Kyle Crabbs explores the pros and cons of the Dolphins' GM position, highlighting Stephen Ross's investment in the franchise and the challenges of not having a choice in head coach or quarterback at first. Discover insights on potential candidates like Ray Agnew from the Detroit Lions, Andy Weidl of the Pittsburgh Steelers, and Will McClay from the Dallas Cowboys. Crabbs also reflects on the team's recent struggles and the need for fresh direction. Don't miss this chance to understand the strategic shifts that could redefine the Miami Dolphins' path to success. Listen now for exclusive insights and expert analysis!

Duration:: 33m
Broadcast on:: 17 Dec 2024
Audio Format:: other

0:00 Intro

6:09 Stephen Ross's Investment

12:17 Dolphins vs. 49ers Preview

17:27 GM Position Cons

23:05 Potential GM Candidates

30:15 Reflecting on Past Game

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It's the lockdown podcast network, your team every day. The College Football playoff is here and you don't want to miss a moment of the action. With the new 12 team format, it's guaranteed to be bigger and better than ever. TNT's coverage of the College Football playoff begins December 21st with SMU battling Penn State at noon Eastern. Then, the Clemson Tigers looked to upset the Texas Longhorns in a showdown at 4PM Eastern. Watch the College Football playoff presented by Allstate on TNT and Max. The time to start prepping for the 2025 off season is right now. And if the Dolphins have a GM opening at the end of the season and I think they should, how good of an opening would it be relative to the opportunities across the league? We're looking at the pros and cons of the Dolphins' current state of affairs for a potential GM search here today on lockdown Dolphins. [MUSIC] You are locked on Dolphins, your daily Miami Dolphins podcast, part of the Locked On Podcast Network, your team every day. >> All right, Miami, welcome to another episode of locked on Dolphins. It is your team every day here on the Lockdown Network. I'm your host, Kyle Krabs, a lifelong Miami Dolphins fan, host of locked on Dolphins co-host of locked on NFL scouting, author of Touchdown Miami on sub-stacking the NFL draft lead for the 30-13. Want to give a special shout out and thank you to our every dayers because it is your team every day here on the Lockdown Network. Today's episode of locked on Dolphins is brought to you by Game Time, download the Game Time App Create account and use code locked on the fail for $20 off your first purchase. What time is it? It's game time. It's time to shift our attention a little bit. We do have the rest of the regular season left to play, three games, and those three games I think there's a lot of goodwill at stake for members of the Miami Dolphins. But I think one thing that as I look at the regression that we've seen from this team this year, and as the process has been allowed to play itself out year over year and the team's strategy has unfolded and we've gathered more information and got more results and seen the shortcomings that have handcuffed to this team. This season in particular after X amount of time, I find myself firmly in the camp that I believe the Dolphins need new input on the direction of a team at a minimum. But that new input for me and my personal opinion would be if I were in the shoes of Stephen Ross, I would be undertaking a general manager hiring search at the end of the season because I would want new feedback from somebody who's been a part of different organizations with different learned experiences and maybe has a different process of collaborating than what the Dolphins have gotten from Chris Grew and I know some of the shortcomings that exist with this team that the team has to try to play around and through and problem solve, they're not necessarily Chris Greer's ideas. The offensive line devaluation, particularly at guard is a Shanahan scheme staple principle. But at some point, he was the general manager is the person who rubber stamps all of the talent acquisition and if you're collaborating with the head coach, there's an opportunity to push back and say, well, you know what, I think we also need this or this probably needs to happen and it felt like that was not done coming into this year at too many spots. And I understand it's a finite resource league and you could go back as recently as last off season. I was a fan of a lot of the things that Chris Greer did. But I think the punches that have rolled up for you this season, you're playing a must-win game against the Houston Texans in week 15 and Tyrone Armstead is unable to go with knee soreness and you know, that was a part of the thing when you signed up for Tyrone Armsteading. Kendall Lamb, the backup offensive tackle, the swing tackle can't go with the back injury and Austin Jackson's out for the year and Patrick Paul, you used a second round pick on Patrick Paul, he can only play one tackle spot at a time. And Gion Smith went down in the preseason and you can't really control that and he's not a player with an older player with injury history, but your essential pieces at that tackle spot, all of them failed you by December 15th to be ready to play football game. And that's how you end up playing with Jackson Carmen at right tackle. The backup quarterback position and a lot of trust and belief and faith and time in the system and what did that get you when there were opportunities to play this year, catastrophically bad plays. So I do believe this is the juncture that I am putting my flag in the ground with this portion of what I think needs to change for the team. I think there's opportunities and I'm going to give some names at the end. They're not all of the names that I have down. I don't want to do all of that deep dive stuff until we know for sure we're going to have an opening, but I think proactively looking at where the dolphins at this point in time. What are the good dynamics and the bad dynamics about a potential vacancy at general manager and then some introducing some early names, including popular, there's at least one popular name that you will probably recognize if you keep tabs of general manager searches across the league. So let's get into it. What are some of the pros of Miami's situation as it pertains to a front office executive that you would potentially be looking to hire to step in with where the dolphins are at at their current point in time. The number one thing that I will always give Stephen Ross for credit for is he's never afraid to invest in his franchise. There are always opportunities. There's always cash liquidity and they just sold agreed to a sale for private equity to buy minority ownership stakes in the team that's going to infuse more cash liquidity into the operations theoretically of the Miami Dolphins franchise. And that means whether that's facilities, the team finished number one as far in the NFL Players Association poll as far as organizationally like what resources are available to them. Whether that's contract restructuring and fielding and competitive team by not being afraid to sign checks. That can be a good thing and a bad thing. But every year based on how you structure your contracts, if you're willing to write the checks to restructure, it allows you to operate at a certain debt or cash to cap ratio that will keep you or should theoretically keep you in the window in which any given team is going to try to be competing in any given point in time. That is the number one thing that I think you know there's there's owners across the league since an adi notorious or not operating at a cash to cap deficit that they whatever they pay within a year are generally speaking for the salaries of the players and that's it. There's not a lot of restructuring there. There's there's not a lot of pro rating out strategically to spend above an average level or even at an average level. There's hard ball with players like Jamar Chase, who is probably going to cost them across the life of that new contract, $25 million per season is upwards like people are thinking that Jamar Chase might get $40 million this year. If they have aggressively set the market, that could have been 34. So there's owners across the league that aren't willing to do that and I don't take that for granted with what the dolphins have with Stephen Ross. I think the other thing with Stephen Ross and that this has been a change from when he first inherited or purchased the team, I should say. There was a lot of impulsiveness early with Stephen Ross and I think as time has passed for Stephen Ross as an NFL owner, I think he's learned a lot of hard lessons. But I think generally speaking, he is patient at times I think to a fault as an owner. So as you are coming in as an executive, you're going to have the most fresh timeline in which to impress your vision of a football team, you're going to have the time to impress your vision of a football team onto the roster because this is not an owner that acts haphazardly or will fire a general manager after a short window. I know a lot of dolphins fans have been ready to move on for Chris Career for an extended period of time. And I think this is probably the first juncture where I would agree that this has run its course and you came up empty in your peak competitive window within this lifecycle as a team. And as you get ready for the next lifecycle to be competitive as you try to compete through transition with, that unfortunately means that I would prefer somebody else to be making the decision so that the peak is higher than what we saw it be with the dolphins that had some missed opportunities over the course the past two, three years. I think the other thing that stands out is a lot of the work, heavy lifting, not all of it and we'll get into some of it when we get to the cons of this position. But a lot of the heavy lifting work that I think needs to be done with this roster is non-premium positions, guards, safeties, the tight end position, off ball linebacker aside of Jordan Brooks, a tight end to side of John Newsmith. Those are not positions that are always in the utmost of demand. So I think many, not all, but many of the most pressing issues for the dolphins as a team is a roster that you're looking to kickstart and get this thing in gear are positions that aren't going to be popped out early in free agency, early in a draft window. I have a few more thoughts on some things that I think are attractive about this position and then a number of things that I think are questions about this position that may potentially be barriers to you hiring the best possible candidate that you can set your eyes to. We'll get into all that next. You're on this episode of Lockdown Dolphins, make sure that you stick with us. If you're trying to get down to the stadium on Sunday, the dolphins are hosting the San Francisco 49ers, say big Shanahan versus McDaniel rematch, if you're trying to get down to the rock, get your tickets through Game Time. Game Time takes the guesswork out of buying tickets. 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The other things I have in my notes for attractive elements of this position or the dolphins. There are exit opportunities that exist with some of your more questionable long term contracts that exist. Ron Armstead, will he play this year this year upcoming in 2025? Will he not? He's close to playing the most snaps. He's played in the season since 2020, but of course that he didn't last more than a couple of reps into the first game against the Jets this season two weeks ago. So when we see Ron Armstead with that being necessitated as a rest will be fascinating. If this is the end of the road for Toronto, I'm sure that's not the way that he would want to go out. So we may see him again. If he chooses to retire, you can re-write that contract. So you'd save, I think it's $13 million in cap space between now and when you process the retirement. So you could process this as a post June 1st and split it between 2025 and 2026 if you wanted to, or you could take the whole thing up front and save like $3.5 million. Bradley Chubb, there's a post June 1st separation opportunity on that contract and he obviously has not played this season. He's in his activation window right now. Will they use it for Bradley Chubb? I don't know, but you could move on post June 1st and save $20 million in cap space in 2025. You can't access that cap space until you get into post June 1st, but there's very easy pathways for restructure potential for the dolphins where you can restructure Zaxillar, Austin Jackson, Jordan Brooks, Aaron Brewer, and then if Tyrone Armstead retires, you could restructure those four names and Tyrone Armstead processed that retirement. So that doesn't include Bradley Chubb. That doesn't include anything with the two, a tongue of a lower contract for restructure. That doesn't include anything with Tyrone Kill if you choose to try to move on from Tyrone Kill and you're still sitting at $40 million in cap space. And that would all be accessible in March as compared to this past year when you opened the league calendar year in March, you were kind of handcuffed sitting at 18, 20, but you didn't even have enough to franchise tag Christian Wilkins? No. You're going to have significantly more flexibility and there's a lot more moves that you can make to create a lot more cap space if you wanted to, but I want to just take some low hanging fruit and say, "Look, I think we all agree these are players that have proven their worth and are younger players that are going to be here for the foreseeable future." You restructure these basic four or five guys. You're going to have twice as much operating cap to open the years what you did last year. And I do think you have a good core of talent, certainly not to the degree of when the last time you made a change at the general manager or the top of the football operations period that was in 2019 when you reassigned Mike Tanenbaum and Chris Greer became the unquestioned head of football operations, you had to strip a lot of things down and a lot's been made about the rebuild and how dramatic that was. I do think you needed to take those steps back in order to step forward no matter what. And that included getting rid of your leading passer, your leading rusher, I think you're two leading receivers, your best offensive lineman, your leading sack player from the previous year, your leading tackler from the past year. It was everything. You had so many older contracts and they have contracts now that are not ideal that you'd move on from and that's part of the list, what we'll get into the cons of the opening. But at the very least, you have a nucleus of some young talent that's been collected. You didn't hit it the rate that you needed to to be the team that you envisioned that you were going to be when you started that process in 2019. But you have answers at a number of spots. It's not ground up type approach. So I think those are the things that plus potential for two competitor three is what you could give you four picks in the top 100 on your first year cycle if you did indeed make a change. But the cons, I think the cons for this position, the one you start with as a general manager and executive, I think it's unlikely you would have your choice in year one of either head coach or quarterback that could also be a pro given what we just talked about with the patience of the owner to let the process play itself out. So if you're objective when you come in and are hired, it might not be super appealing to say, hey, I got a quarterback that's on a close to top of market contract, I've got a head coach. That's not the guy that I picked that I have to try to choose to work with. I think you can also throw in some of the other power players with the power structure in Miami. I know Brandon Short does a lot of contract work, and that's another party to collaborate with if you're an executive coming in. How hands on is Tom Garfinkel with the football operations? I don't know that, but I know he's such a prominent figure in the organization. So for a team that's put the emphasis on collaboration, I think many executives kind of have traditionally viewed this role as a you sit at the top of the pyramid and you call all the shots and you have people that report to you to coordinate how the team is run. I don't think the current power structure Miami is set up that way. And that includes with the head coach, I'd be surprised if Mike McDaniel were dismissed this year. I can see paths forward with Mike McDaniel that require philosophical changes that require different approaches that require honest conversations about the lessons you learned this year. And if you're willing to let him grow through that and give him an opportunity next year with I think new input from somebody with a different background to be the person that he is using as a sounding board instead of Chris has felt very passive. And I think that's admirable, but it's also a detriment when the issues, the things that you kind of didn't think would be problems for you. They end up being really big problems and enough of those things happen. If you're passive about it as the guy who is ultimately responsible for putting your name on all the things that have been done, that's really hard to overcome when it's time for a performance assessment of the job that you've done. And that's why I think we're in these shoes that we're in right now. Now I do think the need to rebuild a number of important positions on the team exists in the immediate sense. That's the address room in the cornerback room. You'll need a tackle. Right. If Tehran Arms that goes in, it's Patrick Paul and it's Austin Jackson, you'll probably you'll need another tackle. But I don't think you have to completely turn that room on its head the way that you I think have to with the pass rush room. We have Chop Robinson, you have Jalen Phillips coming off another season ending injury in a contract year, no less. And Bradley Chub who you're potentially looking at exit avenues on that strategy is the top three investments in the pass rush room. You corner back Jalen Ramsey is his future at safety is his future at nickel. If that's the case, what do you have it outside corner outside of Kendall Fuller next year at a return year for the second year of a two year contract. Cam Smith, what can you trust from Cam Smith, Storm Duck, I know they like Storm Duck. Is it responsible to trust him completely with the starting job this offseason? I don't think so. So those spots are premium positions and I think are going to require a lot of attention. And then you have the prospect of potentially parting ways with the number of high performers on the roster due to agent costs that I think will create a bit of a moving target, especially if you're not able to choose your head coach and you come in and you're paired with Mike McDaniel who would presumably be in a hot seat, prove it type of year. There's a lot of pressure to perform. Now again, with Stephen Ross and the patients he illustrated with this bill, I think that is in favor of the general manager himself to try to make it work. And then if it doesn't, you know, you're going to get the good graces to put your impression on the team and you'll have be afforded the time to do it. And I think that's a pro to the job. But do you move on from Tyree kill this offseason and sell for what you can while he has one year of guaranteed salary left, reflecting on what Stefan Diggs got traded for. I think that's probably the compensation package I would kind of look for for Tyree. If you were to move on, that's a whole other podcast for a whole other time. But obviously we mentioned Bradley Chubb and Turan Armstead as the other prominent names that have been impact players here when they've been available. But their age and cost as you get ready for optimizing the next life cycle and operate competitive window while you try to contend through the transition is going to make a moving target for how you or how successful you may or may not be able to be in your one. I have three names that I like. I have more names than that down that I've been doing research on, but I have three names that I like. I'm going to give them all all three of those two you hear next on lockdown dolphins. So make sure that you stick with us. So that time of year, the college football playoff is back and with the newly expanded 12 team format. It's guaranteed to be bigger and better than ever bringing you all of the hard hitting and high flying excitement that you love TNT sports is coverage of the college football playoff begins December 21 starting with the college football playoff kickoff show presented by AT&T at 11 a.m. Eastern leading into the first match up between the SMU Mustangs bowing the Penn State and the Lions at noon and then at four, the Clemson Tigers looked upset to Texas Longhorns and a showdown at four p.m. Eastern. Don't miss a moment of the action watch the college football playoff presented by all state live on TNT, TNT true TV, TBS and Max. What's going on? Locked on podcast listeners. Did you know that discover is accepted at 99% of places that take credit cards nationwide that's right 99% and every time that you make a purchase with your card, you'll automatically earn cash back that could mean earning rewards when you buy those last minute tickets, those overpriced concessions and that takeout you ate at home when you bailed on meeting your buddies at the bar. Well, wherever you spend game day, remember it pays to discover based on February, 2024 Nielsen report, learn more at discover.com/creditcard. So again, this is not an exhaustive list, but I wanted to give you three names and kind of the, I don't say elevator pitch, but like the, the why I like them, the quick and dirty of why I like them as options. The first name is probably going to be the most buzzy GM candidate of the cycle and that's Ray Agnew of the Detroit Lions, and here's why I like Ray Agnew in Detroit. He's obviously been with Brad Holmes since 2021, but this build of Detroit. But before that he was under less need from 2017 to 2020, obviously less need Wheeler and dealer, aggressive, very good talent production and development in that program with Sean McVay and with less need at the top of the totem pole there. He did an awesome job with collecting older talent like you saw in Miami and then transitioning away from it and competing through the transitional window where the last two years they've had a lot of young players and they made the playoffs last year and they're in first place right now the spice starting season one and four with a bunch of injuries. So that kind of lineage paired with the Detroit from the ground up build an organization type of lineage was a two really impressive processes to have been a part of. And the Detroit organization what I really like they've shown a willingness to embrace and draft players based off of talent, not off of value, positional value. There's a short term shelf life for a lot of your players as quote unquote assets in the team building effort, a lot of two year deals, a lot of one year deals in free agency. Most players in their prime if they're not going to get super contracts with optimum guaranteed money. Most of them are looking for three year deals with one or two years guaranteed because they want to get back in and get another contract before their prime runs out. So just take good players just draft good talent don't all we need to do this or get this tackle or corner and this but we need to draft a corner here because it's a premium position as compared to if there's a safety or a guard or a tight end or a linebacker that's staring you right in the face. That's embodied by names like Jameer Gibbs and Sam Laporta and Brian Branch who have been central pieces of what Detroit has become. The next name I have is Andy Weidel, his assistant GM in Pittsburgh under Omar Khan. His lineage is really impressive. He was in Baltimore under Aussie Newsom for like a decade and then he was hired as Philadelphia's VP of player personnel under Howie Roseman and was there for an extended period of time before being hired as the assistant general manager when Omar Khan took the GM job in Pittsburgh from Kevin Colbert. So Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Baltimore is a hell of a one, two, three punch of places you've been, places you've operated in important roles and obviously being mentored by Aussie Newsom and Howie Roseman in the art of running a franchise is as good as you can hope for. He's got a sterling scouting reputation and cover covets, tough, smart, thick skin, mentally strong players and also embraces the BPA mentality in the draft because positions that look strong can very quickly become needs for your football team. So Andy Weidel, who might be my favorite, the challenge with Andy is he's a Western PA native, is the assistant GM in Pittsburgh. So how much of a rush is he to leave home to take a job and run a team? I don't know. And the last name that I have is a name that always turns up in these GM candidates conversations every off season or every end of season. And it's Will McClay, who is the VP of player personnel for the Dallas Cowboys. They've had some outstanding draft and develop successes during his time. He's been the, in a decision making role and an executive role in Dallas for about a decade now, he's considered to be the decider on draft matters, despite not having the general manager title that is Jerry Jones's title. The question is in teams have tried to, teams have interviewed him, trees, teams have tried to, to move on from him. The question is what at what point does Will McClay get an offer that's too good to refuse or at what point does Will McClay decide he wants to spread his wings and get out from underneath Jerry Jones. And maybe the agreement is in place there that when Jerry is no longer the owner of the team and Steven, his son is the owner of the team, maybe Will will get the GM job or GM title at that point. I don't know. I don't know what, what the dynamics are there. But that's a name that's always involved in interviews. And I really admire the way Dallas and I know they didn't have a good off season this past off season. But a lot of that had to do with Jerry Jones and the negotiation tactics for Dak Prescott and his contract because of his cap hit because of the way they've handled his contract in the past with the two franchise tags and then they get the contract agreement done and he's got a no tag clause. He's got no trade clause and he had all this money backed up this would be a contract year for Dak. They couldn't do anything because it took him forever to ultimately give him $60 million a season anyway. APY. So like Dak got everything he was asking for anyway and instead of doing it in March, they gave it to him in August and it grid locked their entire ability to conduct a competitive off season in free agency that lost a ton of players and they couldn't put him back in the pipe. You can't put the toothpaste back in the two. So those are probably my three favorite names that I have right now. I have other ones. We'll do deep dives if and when we get to the point where we know we have a vacancy for sure. We obviously still have three games left to play. But I thought now was a good time to kind of start to dip our toe as we're in between games because I did the Tony Sporano thing. I got the shovel. I got the tape from the Houston game. I went out in the backyard. I buried that damn thing and we're going to leave it behind. I'm obviously doing the grading for touchdown Miami, but we're not going to harp on that football game. That was not a very fun game to watch for a lot of obvious reasons. Nobody played well and I know y'all are angry about it because y'all are yelling at me for not being tough on the right people or being too tough on the wrong person or not calling for everybody we fired or not getting my haircut or whatever you guys are yelling at me for, which seems like has been the past 48 hours of YouTube comments and social media comments. Nobody played well. Nobody played well. So we're going to leave it behind. I hope this was enough to whet your whistle with some other conversations that need to start being had around this football team that's going to do for us here today on the show. Cops crabs. I hope you guys keep it locked in here on the lockdown dolphins podcast. It is your team. I appreciate you guys checking out the show and I'll talk to you all again to me. A prime members, you can listen to this lockdown podcast ad free on Amazon music. Download the Amazon music app today. Thank you for making locked on your first listen every day. For your second listen, find the locked on NFL podcast, a double header of NFL talk every day with the madman Tyler Rowland and the barbershop with Tony Wiggins. Play-off spots are on the line, so be the most informed NFL fans. Find locked on NFL on YouTube or wherever you listen to podcasts. Part of the locked on podcast network, your team every day. (upbeat music)