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BetQL Daily

BetQL Daily Hour #3 (12/31)

Joe Ostrowski and Sam Panayotovich are joined Brad Powers of Covers.com and The Bet The Board Podcast, to discuss how is he betting today's Fiesta Bowl between Boise State and Penn State, and the rest of this week's College Football Playoff Semi-Final matchups. Then, we discuss how to bet this week's College Football Playoff action, featuring today's Citrus Bowl between Illinois and South Carolina. Plus, tomorrow's Playoff Games headlined by Notre Dame vs Georgia in the Sugar Bowl and more betting thoughts on today's Winter Classic between the Blues and Blackhawks. The hour wraps with all of our Lightning Bets for tonight's action. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Duration:
47m
Broadcast on:
31 Dec 2024
Audio Format:
other

Joe Ostrowski and Sam Panayotovich are joined Brad Powers of Covers.com and The Bet The Board Podcast, to discuss how is he betting today's Fiesta Bowl between Boise State and Penn State, and the rest of this week's College Football Playoff Semi-Final matchups. Then, we discuss how to bet this week's College Football Playoff action, featuring today's Citrus Bowl between Illinois and South Carolina. Plus, tomorrow's Playoff Games headlined by Notre Dame vs Georgia in the Sugar Bowl and more betting thoughts on today's Winter Classic between the Blues and Blackhawks. The hour wraps with all of our Lightning Bets for tonight's action.

To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Membership eligibility required, equal housing opportunity, all loan subject to approval, insured by NCOA. Belco, banking for everyone. Ah, can't you see it? The world powered by solar and renewable energy. Here at Graybar with years of renewables experience, we live in that world. Get in touch to see for yourself. We are now ready to depart. You'll get your visit at graybar.com. Yep, Graybar does that. Joe Ocemi P. College football playoff starts today, three games. Tomorrow we're looking forward to it and kind enough to join us on New Year's Eve. Our guy Brad Powers at Brad Power 7 over on X has stuff on covers, bet the board pod as well. Brad, I really appreciate you jumping on the holiday. It's a very busy time. Got other bowl games going on today as well. But the last time we spoke, you were getting ready for your trek to South Bend and then Columbus the following day. You've gone to a number of games in South Bend in the past as have I. I was also in attendance. I've talked about my experience. Man, it's it's hard to explain to people that haven't been there before, but the change that Notre Dame has made, not only with the roster and the coach and everything, the atmosphere there. I know it was because you get the home field and that was really cool for all of the games. I've never seen Notre Dame that loud. Nobody set the entire game. It's been incredible. What they've done with with the noise and just catering to the younger audience. I mean, when you started going in Notre Dame games with your younger same here, like that place was dead silent. And now it's like a normal home field advantage. Couldn't agree more. I've been in that stadium at least 50 times. I think it's closer to 75 games I've seen there. It was the best atmosphere that I've ever been a part of. I went with Todd Furman and my buddy Payne insider from the Bette board pod. And this was at the end of the first quarter like, Hey, does Notre Dame fans stand the whole game? I'm like, not a chance. They stood the whole game. First time ever game. Yeah, whole game. Nobody sat down the whole game. I mean, first time I've ever experienced that. And it was, you know, obviously made a difference. I thought the moment was probably too big for Indiana. Notre Dame settled in after the interception and the long touchdown run by Jeremiah Love. But it was, you know, and it was cold for me being in Vegas the last decade. But my goodness, just walking around campus with a little bit of snow on the ground. I don't know, it brought back memories to the heyday when I first started going during the little old tears. You make bets and positions based on your numbers. And you've done it for a long time. You've done a very good job of it. What is your number with Carson Beck? And what is your number without Carson Beck in this game? Yeah, it's a good question. And I'm going to tell you that I don't know if I have a great handle on it for a variety of reasons. Number one, we haven't seen Stockton too much. I know they ended up winning the game against Texas. But, you know, we started off okay early. And then I think it's like last 13 pass attempts, 15 net yards if you count sacks. That's not good against the Notre Dame secondary that ranks number one in success rate, EPA per drop back. Carson Beck, I would have said at the start of the season, I thought I had a handle on it. I would have said Carson Beck's worth about five, six points to the point spread. And then Carson Beck went out there and had 20 turnover worthy plays this year and didn't play that well. So right now conservatively, I'll say he's worth three. So, you know, I pure number right now has Notre Dame by half a point. Just I'm just talking power rating. Am I diving into the matchup? Notre Dame by half with Carson Beck, it would be Georgia by two and a half. What are you betting for this game? I'm betting Georgia though, because matchup-wise, I think Gunnar Stockton for what he does best might actually fit Georgia best this year. They don't have elite perimeter players on the outside like they've had the last couple years with Bowers and Makonki. We probably undervalued. And we knew they were good players, especially Bowers, but go look and see what they're doing in the rookie seasons in the NFL. And you're like, my goodness, we probably Georgia had some elite skilled players. They don't have that this year. In fact, their wide receivers lead the nation in drop percentage. But this has been a banged up Georgia offensive line. They're now healthy. ETN, their best running back has been banged up. He's missed four games now healthy off his best game of the season against Texas. So I think they're going to line it up. They have 40 pounds per man on average with their old line against an undersized Notre Dame defensive front, a run in between the tackles and mono-imano. I like Georgia here. You guys like Notre Dame? Yeah. I mean, I'm going to be honest. You know, I'm going to be perfectly, I'm sticking to my guns because that's what I bet when Georgia was a dog on the look ads. But I'll be perfectly frank. I did a deep dive podcast yesterday. The more I dive into it, the more maybe it's me being the fan, the chicken little, I haven't won a big postseason game in 30 years. I was warming the Notre Dame. I think Notre Dame is probably the right side. But Kirby, I'll tell you this. Kirby is one seven straight postseason games by 25 points per game with extra time. Nobody's been better than Kirby last five years. Oh, we're terrified. Well, I am terrified and I've got Notre Dame, you know, futures and for me, it's this simple win this game. And then with what I'm holding, I can get creative, right? Get them into the semis and then I can start betting off that and you know, taking pokes on other teams. But this was, this was what Joe and I wanted all along. When the bracket came out, we went to the bottom, said, let's find a team that has a chance to make a run because we wanted to avoid is and you were on the show when we, when we got the bracket, you know, all these, these high power rated teams, the Ohio States, the Oregon's, the Texas, the Tennessee, they're all on the north side of the bracket. So we, we bet Notre Dame, you know, 10 to one, give or take. And this is the last stop. So we're, we're biased. I mean, like, but I'm also I'm nervous. Um, I do, I do think though, it's funny how the brain works because I, like this show has done a great job of posting clips and every clip on Notre Dame, Georgia, is just littered with Georgia big, Georgia rolls, Georgia by 40, Georgia by 50. And that, that makes me feel better to an extent. But I'm still, I'm still nervous of an SCC juggernaut. Taking us out to lunch, you know, just like just destroying us tomorrow. But that's why they play the games, buddy. Yeah. Can I ask, why not Penn State as far as a team to make a run? They get Boise? I know, I don't like Penn State that much as a team. But then they're going to, I mean, Notre Dame, Georgia, whatever, whatever way you see it, it's going to be a war. I mean, it is going to be in between the trenches. And Penn State gets, you know, a team probably less than a hundred percent physical physically after that game. Why, why didn't you guys, you know, jump on the Penn State in any lines? I think you're going to say two words. James Franklin. Yeah. Yeah. Because we view the winner of this game taking out Penn State. All right. Fair enough. Even though Penn State this year has been like all the guys I talk to have been extremely high on their power rating Penn State. Like really? Yeah, I mean, what are they in your system? Like five or six? Yeah, they are. They are. But when you take it, I mean, you don't play a lot, you know, tough schedule. You do what you're supposed to do against every, every inferior opponent. That's what James Franklin does best. I think he's 33 and one last 34 games is a fair, not against the spread. Just winning. And then it's not like they got blown out against the Buckeyes or Oregon. So, I mean, you can only upgrade their power rating a little bit from the start of the season, even if you're not that impressed with them. I know we're going back a little bit, but it plays into the handicap of tonight. That SMU game score got out of hand early. Couple pick six is also a second in goal interception for a third one for SMU. How did you view that that went for Penn State and kind of go into this number of 11 total 53 and a hook against Boise? Yeah, misleading final. I mean, we say that all the time, but it clearly was. And you want to talk about a game-changing play. I thought it was obviously you had two pick sixes. You had an interception at the goal line in the second half, but I thought the all-important play was Jennings either not failing to run for a clear first out on fourth out on that first drive when they're inside the 20 and then missing a wide open. He had two options and somehow they didn't convert either one or he could have thrown to the tight end for a touchdown if he hits him. So if it's seven nothing, did they settle in the game? Because they had no problems moving the football. They missed a field goal on top of it. Wasn't impressive Penn State's offense for at least a majority of that game. So what do I do with this one? I want to play against Penn State, but the problem is I think Boise State's overrated. I was not impressed with Boise State down the stretch. You look at the Wyoming game they could have lost, the Utah State game they could have lost, the San Jose State game was one of the most misleading finals of the season. I mean, they could have lost that game and somehow they covered a two touchdown spread. I know they're going to have tricks up their sleeve, they're rested, but I just from a physicality standpoint, I don't see them holding up and I know everybody goes back to the Oregon game. They could have beaten Oregon. Oregon was struggling with the offense a line back in week two. That's, I mean, if Oregon would play Boise now that they hammer him. Which dog would you rather get a piece of Arizona State or Boise State spread? Boise for me because I actually think Arizona State's in worst shape. Number one, it starts with Jordan Tyson, their wide receiver, you know, being out didn't impact them in the big 12 championship game, but I think it will impact them here. Texas will play man coverage. Unlike Iowa State will load an extra guy or two in the box to stop Scataboo. I like a couple of the weapons for Boise State more than I do ASU. I'm not a big fan of Madison, but I like camper at wide receiver. I like their tight ends. So I think if you're talking upsets or even just covering against the spread, Boise's got a better shot as far as I'm concerned. With Brad Powers here on pet QL daily Joe Oh, Sammy P. And it might be a repeat of the first round. That's what you're saying. Favorites, favorite, favorite. What about Ohio State, Oregon? Been two and a half most of the week. Rematch factor. What do you think? I'm not on the favorite here, but I'm not on the doggy there. I'm boy, I sound like the squares can be. I like the over. I'm not going to overthink it. Track me in the first game. I thought there was points left on the board in that game. Obviously, you know, Howard ran out of time on the last play that could have had a field go there. Oregon, despite having, you know, 496 yards, got stopped on down to the two yard line, missed a field goal, missed an extra point. So they probably could have put 40 if they wanted to. I think Ohio State stays super aggressive like they were against Tennessee. I do not want to see the Michigan game plan ever again, running into the interior of the Oregon defensive front. And I, well, I'm anxious to see how Ohio State plays defensively. They played a lot of cover one, but their corners on an island in the first game got destroyed. Do they play a little bit more covered too? I think it could open up the run game a little bit for Oregon. I like James, I like Gabrielle, at least moving around. There was plays to be had. I mean, I was right there in person. Nico was so tentative, no separation for the Tennessee wide receivers. And there was still, there was still some gaps there in that Ohio State defense that just, you know, Tennessee come black anybody. So I can tell you this, if Oregon blocks Sawyer and JTT, like they did in the first game, they're going to put 30 plus points on the board here. Yeah, I get USC Texas vibes from this game, like the liner Vince Young game just back and forth. And if Chip realizes that he has NFL receivers again, like he did against Tennessee, forget it. 55 is a big number until it's not, until it's 28, 27 going into the fourth quarter. And you're like, wow, like that's really not a big number. Yeah, a lot of these Miami totals this year, you're like, Oh, that's a big number. And then you watch Miami play both both sides of the ball and you go, Oh, that total should have been 80. Yeah. And next statement that I think like five years ago, great offense beats great defense in today's day and age in college football. Yeah, you have two really good quarterbacks. I mean, despite what we will say about Will Howard, he's, he's been pretty good this season. All right. So we've, we basically hit all the four playoff games. We've got a couple minutes left. You got a slate today, Alabama, Michigan, Louisville, Washington, South Carolina, Illinois, Baylor, LSU, anything excites you there? My biggest bet is on Alabama. Again, big surprise, heavy chalk for old BP, Mr. chalk. But I mean, if you're stack ranking the best, I mean, Michigan was an average football team until the last couple of weeks of the season. They were five and five, beat Cameron Northwestern, obviously the big upset over Ohio State. But if you're stack ranking their top players, top seven or eight guys aren't playing. So I mean, if you remove them from their power rating, I mean, this is a below average team. Probably plug their power rating in their schedule, and then they'd be like a five win team. That's what I put their season wind total at. So I think Alabama, as long as there's someone motivated hammers Michigan today, anything under 17 is worth a, a pizza bet. What about props? You mentioned that you've got some props, maybe even if it's going back to the college football playoff. Yeah, the one again, I like Georgia's rush attack. So what I took advantage of was Trevor Etn over rush yards. And then that's gotten a little bit away. And I think the one that's going to move here in the next hour, hint, hint there, gunner stock and rush yards. I've seen as low as 13 and a half, but that's starting to leak out there 15 and a half up to 17 and a half. Anything under 20 is good for an over there. Would you play Leonard over 34 and a half? Boy. I didn't ignore him. Yeah, I would. They're going to run him a ton. So I would lean that. I mean, the only problem is obviously there's sacks. And I think I think Georgia's going to come after Notre Dame. Man, did you have a thought on Illinois, South Carolina? We've got a couple of line I fans on the show, including Sam. I think Illinois is the right side, but I didn't get to the window. But I thought that by on 10, what was it yesterday, it was probably the right play there. Yeah. Yeah. I brought so many games today and I just don't. I like the bad. It's underwhelming. Let's get to tomorrow afternoon. Those two games tomorrow night, evening and night are great. As good as it gets. Buddy, I will drink a bottle of Jameson if Notre Dame wins. Don't you worry. I'll be right. I'll be fired up and ready to go. And would be their biggest win in 30 years. You'll take that loss, right? You sound like such a Notre Dame fan, though. Like that's my problem with your handicap. Like you've been jaded by that team. That's an emotional hatch. Go Bulldogs. Brad Powers, that Brad Powers seven. Thanks, Brad. Enjoy the game's next couple of days. Talk soon. Oh, yeah, guy. Good stuff there from Brad Powers. I thought he was going to have Notre Dame. I was surprised that he had Georgia. Dang. All right. I like it. I think you're right, though. He's been hurt. He's been hurt emotionally by Notre Dame. This is different. At least that's the mindset that I'm I'm going in with. Oh, it's going to be a lot of fun next couple days. Not watching the winter classic watching all of this college football. Joe Ostrowski, San Pantheonovich, Bette QL, Daily, we've got lightning bets at about 25 minutes, a little more on the other college football games next on the Bette QL network. The NFL playoffs are almost here, but it's not too late to get in on regular season action with FanDuel America's number one sportsbook because right now new customers can finish the season strong with two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets if your first five dollar bet wins. FanDuel has so many ways for you to pick up a W. Not only can you bet on who will win the game, but FanDuel also has bets for which players will score a touchdown, how many points each team will score and so much more. Just visit FanDuel.com/sportsfan to join today. 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Bank virtually anytime, anywhere, through our online banking and our mobile app. Becoming a member has never been easier. Visit belco.org or stop by any Belco branch. Membership eligibility required, equal housing opportunity, all loans subject to approval, insured by NCUA. Belco, banking for everyone. So we've learned the last couple of days that everybody's on Georgia. Everybody seems to be on Georgia. Joe O. Sammy P here, Bette QL Daily received this text a few minutes ago, and there's a screenshot from someone I know with their four leg parlay on the college football playoff. It is Penn State minus 17. Texas minus 18 and a half. Ohio State minus six and a half in Georgia minus eight and a half. I was like, look, honestly, I think Notre Dame wins that game. He said, if it was available, I would have taken Georgia minus 20 and a half. Wow. Are we that off? Are we just jaded by our positions on Notre Dame pre flight? Are they really going to get killed tomorrow? Because like the way that everybody talks about this matchup, Notre Dame doesn't have a chance. And I'm, I'm just wondering what we're missing. I don't think it's us missing anything. I think it's other people missing stuff. That's where I'm at. And maybe it's more schedule based SEC team against independent going against the weaker schedule this year. Like there are a couple of games and maybe that NIU game is lingering with some people. Maybe they're not going to say it because it was so long go literally like basically a full season ago. Maybe it's them missing it and not us. But yeah, it could be. I mean, that's in play. Which teams is Georgia boat race? Sad tomorrow. I mean, very sad. Oh, that would, that would be a long game. That would be incredibly long, even longer than the four hours are already going to get. So if you look at blowout victories, Texas pushed to overtime, Georgia Tech, remember eight over times, Massachusetts, but you may still score 21 of them. Like, you know, they won by two touchdowns against Tennessee. The Texas game that was, that was a blowout. They kicked their ass. There's, there's no way around it. But Clemson to start the year, that was a blowout. I don't know, man. I just don't see it. How are they going to blow out this Notre Dame defense? And I think that's where we keep coming back to, not only the backup quarterback stepping in, but this Notre Dame defense. I kind of view them as being blowout proof, but you know, maybe we're wrong. I feel like if Riley Leonard turns into mashed potatoes, we are cooked. If you can't move the ball, Georgia gets up seven nothing. Georgia gets a pick six. All of a sudden it's 14 nothing. And then Riley Leonard is forced to play from behind. That's my big fear. But I, the more I see Georgia by 30, 40, 50, the more I want to bet more on Notre Dame, but that's because I'm sicko and you know that. Um, yeah, I don't know. Isn't it? Is it going to be like, um, yeah, I don't know. It's going to be rough. So sad tomorrow. So is it going to be like tonight? You'd imagine the Penn State defense, like Felder was talking about, I mean, it makes perfect sense. They're going to load up to stop gente. Are they going to load up to stop this Notre Dame run game? And then you force Leonard to throw from the pocket. See, that's why that's what makes me feel better. I look at the mobile quarterbacks that they've gone against and they have struggled mightily and they were not able to adjust in games. So that makes me feel that that element is going to be there for that Notre Dame offense. And that could be the difference maker. Yeah. And that's what Texas really doesn't have with yours, because yours for the last eight weeks has been playing with a freaking cast on his foot. So he's not able to move about the cabin. And that's why Texas really struggled in two meetings against Georgia. Um, you know, arch is a much more mobile quarterback, but yours has been the guy because Sark likes those older quarterbacks. But Millrall ate them alive on the ground. Haines, King ate them alive on the ground. So we'll see. I'm willing to find out. Um, we have a couple notes on the winner classic, including one from our boss asking if you would go to the game if it was in your backyard. I would look out the kitchen window. I wouldn't draw the blinds. I wouldn't close the curtains or whatever. We got rid of the blinds. Now it's just curtains. I would keep them open. I would watch, but I'm not going outside. Maybe if Tucker needs to go to the bathroom. I'll let him out, but gotta go get him. Maybe clean up whatever. Uh, but yeah, no, I'm not, I'm not going outside. No, Alex Smith, who comes on our show and listens to our shows, uh, send a couple of bets over. I'll give you a couple of them. He likes the first period over one and a half at minus one 10. And well, he gave four goal bets, but a couple of these are long shots. Let's give the badard. He likes badard to score for the Hawks at plus 220 and Brandon sod for the blues at almost four to one to score a goal. So man, first period over one and a half, badard to score, sod to score a couple other bets in there as well. And then we got this tweet from Mike Betts who listens all the time. And he said, you guys mentioned NHL future bets. Why not St. Louis at 10 to one to make the playoffs at Betem GM? Mike says, they started the season eight, 13 and one despite having a roster that can go on a run. And he's right about that. They fired their coach. They are nine, four and three since the coaching change. Four points out of the playoffs. They are 10 to one to make the playoffs. He makes a valid case. And that coach seen this before Austin, Jim Montgomery, definitely a jolt in that room right now. And this was a team that was supposed to be a playoff team coming into the year. So I tend to one you're, I mean, you're not getting the price. Maybe you got 14 games ago. But yeah, I mean, that makes that makes sense. What if the blues just come out and blast the Blackhawks today? I kind of want that. Is that bad that I say that a lot? No, no, it's not bad at all. No, no, I it's a good bet, I think, based on everything that you say, I'm not going to act like I'm the hockey expert here. But we've seen that from this specific team too, right? Or you make the coaching change and then it just changes everything. This, that does happen a lot. And we spent a lot of time in the NFL talking about fired coach bumps didn't happen with any of these teams this year. Jets, Saints, Bears, you see it in hockey though. You really do. So yeah, I wouldn't be surprised at all. Well, there's also this. And I think Mike brings up a good point about betting it at MGM because the range on the blues to make the playoffs. The lowest price that I can see right now is five to one. There's a five, a six, a seven, an eight, and a 10. So yeah, the 10 is probably a good bet considering where the market is in terms of range. Yep. Yeah, no, that's not a bad look at all. I've not done anything with any hockey futures. Have you done anything? Is that something where you come in on any anything before the season or do you let a play out a little bit? No, I was thinking about betting some Colorado though when I saw that price on them to win the cup. But no, I haven't done anything yet. I have not. And I like betting playoff hockey a lot. But it's just what you know how it goes with the football. It's just football is 80% of my life right now. I haven't been betting college basketball the way I want to. That's that's been another. Well, that's a different story on a different day, maybe, because I can't bet. Well, that's going to change in a week. Oh, really? Yeah, and it won't let me bet it. I can't bet it anywhere because Corby Corby ruined me. Like, man, well, it's my fault though. Like I was betting on Chicago State at 11 in the morning and like the guys are like, no, just shut his water off. You know, he knows what he's doing. But those were no heads. How heavy were you going? I went back a thousand on Chicago State Radford at 11 AM. And it won by 40 points. And the guy was like, yeah, like, let's not take his bets anymore. You're the only one. You're the only one bet that game. I said, I did it to myself. It's my fault. I'm not blaming anybody but myself. But that's the problem. Like if you log into a book and start firing nickels or dimes on obscure college basketball and the total wins by 30 points, like it's your own fault. It's your own fault. Do you have enough options? It's a pain in your ass. But do you have enough options where, okay, you can get a D if you combine all the books, what you could bet on a game where, okay, that's at least a decent wager when you add them all up. It's like hundreds. If that at a couple places. So, I mean, not really. I'm frustrated. I am. But people don't want to hear that. But that's the reality. Like if you're good at college basketball, and I'm not saying that I am, although I've had a pretty good run over the last few years, if you got guys that know what they're doing like Corby that beat the closing line by three, four, five points, like you can't in November. You can't bet. You just can't. You can't get down. So that's the problem. But that's, you know, nobody wants to hear that. They want your 16 parlay. You know, like that's why all the commercials pump. Oh, it's bet the same game parlay not bet Chicago State and 11 a.m. on Thanksgiving week. So have you ever done it? Well, let me ask you that. Okay. They want the 16 parlay. Okay. I get that. And they want you to bet that too. So to make sure that you have a book as an option, do you ever do some stupid public bets? I go for a car tenders on this. Yes. Yeah. There was actually a segment of the bet bash that that spanky throws every August and Vegas, he had a panel on a count longevity this year. And the guy was basically saying a couple times a week, it won't be a big bet. But I will throw in a three, four leg parlay. And I hope that it loses because then they see it and go, Oh, okay, he's gambling. It's a thing. It's an art to be able to keep a good account at good limits, get paid. It's a very, very interesting fabric in this business to keep good accounts that pay and they don't cut. It's an art. What do they call it? Priming an account? Priming have it a little while. Yes. Priming. It was a great, it was a very informative segment of a bet bash. I mean, the guy's saying like, I think he said he lost like 500 accounts on his life. And wow. Okay. So that's not a way to try and eliminate getting kneecapped to $12 or whatever. But, you know, people don't want to take guys that win. And that guy, I mean, that guy's lost 50 times the accounts that most people have lost. So, but it was interesting how he does, to your point, throw bets out there that are minus EV that look like you don't know what you're doing. And then a trader sees it and says, Oh, okay. All right. He's fine. And then you just move on. Yeah, I like having conversations like this and the one we had earlier about what to do with the free bet. So if you ever have issues like this or something you're thinking about that you'd like to hear our opinion on, don't hesitate to send them to us. And we'll bring them up on the show, especially now that we have fewer games with the NFL. I mean, in what I was getting at with, we're going to have more time with college basketball with everything else going on. It's just these, the 16 game slates are now over after this week, after we get through Sunday. So things are going to calm down a little bit and we'll be able to spend more time NHL NBA college basketball as we head into the NFL playoffs. You just run out of time when you've got all these different futures and awards to talk about as well that people are interested in. It gets challenging, but we'll be able to do more of that moving forward and really looking forward to that and I hope you can find some accounts that you can bet into in college basketball. If you were to find a couple and so it's kind of like a fresh start, would you go that route where you're putting in some donkey place? Donkster place? The other problem is that basically yeah, Donkster place, honestly, whatever he gives out, play that. The other caveat is that I'm back in Illinois, so I'm like, I'm not starting a bunch of accounts, not that I would start. I mean, I could do a couple books here in Illinois, but then when I leave Illinois, I just take it all out because I'm not in Illinois anymore. You know, so like, I go back to Massachusetts and then I can't, to me, it's not worth the risk. Not what's not, not a risk. It just, I just, it's too much like to drive through and drop money and then go get the money and no, it's not worth it. So it's all right. We'll figure it out. Blue's Blackhawks first period over. Bang, bang, bang. First period over. Okay, one and a half. I think Mike makes a good point though about the Blues to make the playoffs, especially at that price. Considering there's a five to one in the market and he likes Blues 10 to one. I think that's a good look. When did they fire the coach? Well, they're nine, four and three since the change. So 16 games ago. Okay. Man, that's, yeah, I mean, sometimes you miss the move, but we can't predict the future. We don't know what's going to happen. But yeah, you know, at 10 to one, like you said, when you compare the number to, to the rest of the market, that means it's probably going to go pretty soon. If I look back recently with the blues, look, man, I don't think it's been okay. The best number I see, actually, this is the best number I see, Sam. I've seen all year. Like in November, it got to eight. It was nine a couple of weeks ago and now we're sitting 10. So yeah, go bet that now. That's a pretty good one, especially if they win a nationally televised game today, winter class, they went five to one. It's like, Oh, maybe they will make the playoffs. Boom, 10 to one gone by morning. All right. Good luck, Mikey bets. We appreciate it. We're going to get to our lightning bets coming up next. And you know, we're going to be going over all these college football games over the next two days because we are out today returning on Thursday, Joe. Oh, Sammy P. You've got the Beck Ewell network. Oh, man. Sometimes the story, right? Stories, right themselves. I'm all for firing a head coach. If you think that's the road, you're going to go down and you're going to do it as soon as the season ends. Why wait? Let's jump ahead. Let's talk to some people and let's not have the coach that is going to be fired doing everything he possibly can to win a bunch of meaningless games and hurt us for the future. That is happening right now with the Giants happening in a number of spots. We're seeing it happening in Jacksonville as well as they win over the weekend. The Jets did the right thing in firing Sala because they knew they were going to fire Sala. Anyways, they were looking for some sort of a spark, but now it's pure madness. And we'll get into their game on Thursday and Friday on the show because everybody wants out now. All of their best players want to be out. Like Rogers has got to go and there's a lot going on, a lot of chaos. They're starting the interviewing process early, Sam. They've interviewed Ron Rivera and they're going to interview Rex Ryan. Like seriously? That's why you jumped ahead early in the season and got rid of Sala so you can get those interviews done. There's casting a wide net and then there's just wasting everybody's time and the Jets are wasting everybody's time. I think but they are so dumb. Maybe they hire one of those two guys. This has been sort of a trend though. People going back to old coaches. We've seen it in college at a couple of places. Scott Frost going back to central Florida. Okay. I get it. That worked. I was Virginia. Rex Ryan worked with the Jets. They had a couple decent runs, but they I mean, they never want to Super Bowl with Rex Ryan. I don't know. I mean, I understand taking the meetings. They're not seriously considering Rex Ryan though. Are they? They better not be. Richard, right? The big return. It's another guy. Yeah, it's. Listen, yeah, he wants some games. They're a playoff team. That was a lockdown defense and nothing to do with Rex Ryan or very little to do with Rex Ryan being the head coach. I just thought that was that was comical. That let's go guys. Game has passed him up. Ron Rivera and I'm like Ron Rivera, but he should be doing media stuff and Rex Ryan. Rex Ryan, they lost in the conference championship game in back to back years. It looks like all nine and 10. The Sanchez, the quarterback. Yeah. Yep. Actually, once some games that they were not expected to win against some really good teams with Sanchez as a quarterback, protect the football. But yeah, everything that he says, if you catch any of it and it's like, no, dude, that's not today's game at all. But those are the guys that get those desk jobs, the former head coaches, former players that have been played in decades and decades. All right, Sam, on the way out for for a couple of days here, we'll be back on Thursday. But what are your lightning bets that you want to share with the people? Oh, man. The Lions fans are still salty. I'm still going still going today. Are they? Yeah. Oh, yeah. Yeah. I finally got a break like the Giants fans calm down, even though they have amused me for a couple of days, took a couple of days. But now you're dealing with it. Now you've you've got Lions Nation here. I can't wait for that. It was the playoffs when they give up 50 plus. I have angered the Dan Campbell Sims, which I did say was going to happen. I said, basically said that Dan Campbell is keeping his starting quarterback in a meaningless game and the Sims will defend him no matter what happens. True. Everything true. And yeah, still swearing and cursing and name calling and labeling. And of course, my freedom of speech is gone. But yeah, whatever. Move on. Let's see. I like Notre Dame tomorrow, by the way, don't you? Yes. I do. Yeah. Disgusted enough. Yeah. I'm on Notre Dame. I mean, we have him to win the title. I bet a bit plus two. The twos are gone. Those are running back. I think also, too, just aesthetically speaking, doesn't it look so easy? Oh, look at that. Oh, Georgia's only minus one. Oh, okay. That to me, that's bad for Georgia. The fact that they're willing to give you Georgia minus one. South Point in Vegas, our friend Chris Andrews just moved to pick them. Pick them on Georgia Notre Dame. But yes, Georgia wins by 50. Yes, of course. Are we betting Boise? Are we doing it or no? I'm man. I'm wishy washy on the game. I got to be honest. I'm just worried about their defense. And I totally understand the idea. Paul has brought it up to us a bunch that he likes Boise in the game that if he were so live and survivor, he'd considered taking a shot on Boise to win outright. And we talked about it with Brad Powers. And he's like, yeah, that that's final score, not indicative of what was really going on with the pick sixes and the red zone interception. I just defensively, I think Boise State's going to have some problems here. And that's what I'm hesitating. But plus 11, I do think it's the right side. I'll bet a little Boise. Don't love it to be to be clear. Love Notre Dame tomorrow. Like Boise. And I will tell Alex's first period over in the winter classic that you wouldn't watch if it was in your backyard over one and a half first period. I might take a look, but I mean, not the entire game. I'll just, uh, let's see update in the third period yet. They're going to be wrapping things up. Let's get the first part. It's the first period bet. So you only have to watch 20 minutes. All right, maybe, maybe I'll get there. Uh, Notre Dame Moneyline, of course, we've talked enough about that. Riley Leonard over 34 and a half rushing yards. Looking at some of the alt numbers that are available. There's an 80 plus at plus 750. If you want to get crazy and we've seen running back, I'd rather quarterbacks go for well over 100 against Georgia. 110 plus is 920 125 plus is 14 to one. If you really like that one. So I might play an altar too on Riley Leonard. I'm playing Texas. I think they steamroll Arizona state, uh, numbers 12 and a half based on what some of the sharper books are doing. This is going to climb. And by kickoff, it might get to that two touchdown number that we thought it was going to be. But that makes perfect sense. Did you mention Oregon Ohio state over that you? No, I didn't. I do. I like that one too, but I don't want to get a million bucks out. So I'll probably end up on that one tomorrow. Might tell you on that one. And you know, you mentioned Alex, what about Mikey? I like that look 10 to one lose playoffs. Make it make that bet now before the game. I think you guys are right on that one. That's some good value. Yeah, it's Mikey's call. I mean, Mikey's the one calling the shot on that one. 10 to one blues. Best price in the world. One book has a five to one on St. Louis. So yeah, bet. I'm GM 10 to one. Go get it. Probably won't last tonight. All right. Paul Aspen in recovery. Are you doing anything for lightning bets for today? The, the Ramley did just get a text that Paul Aspen may have lost his internet. Oh, oh, I did not seem to be true. So Paul's back in the coffins back into the ether. He was dead. All right, people. What do you got, Jake? I was already thinking about taking Boise. So sure. Let's all go down on this ship together. I'm just like we will know today because I'm firmly on that as well. Let's keep building some master's coverage for April. That'd be really, really great. I think I'm going to make a bet and I'll say young because I'm a sicko and I can't help myself. Even though my resolution was to not reactionary bet to some of these numbers, but Walker Bueller 66 to one and going to a Red Sox coaching staff that is very hell bent on making guys throw their best pitches and his velocity was up in October looked like the guy he was in 2021 and 2022. So it's just a number that I think isn't going to be around once we get to opening day. So 66 to one, I'm going to take a flyer. I'm Walker Bueller for my first day. I'll say young bet, which I know everybody is definitely really interested in right now. Why not? Why would they not be? And we were kind of rushed yesterday at the very end and you made your first and outside young, right? Yeah, Michael King at 2021. I mean, he was just awesome. Like when I look at guys that I want to bet right now, it's guys who were dominant who are young in their prime, like Michael King is 27. He's gonna turn 28. He was fantastic in the entire second half. He's really good in the post season. First start with the Padres dominant at 12 Ks in that game. So just a guy whose arrow I think is pointing up, he's going to be probably the number one for the Padres. I'm willing to bet on that at 21. Another number that I think could like Michael King to me is somebody who's going to end up like Reagan's or scuba from last year where it opens 20 25 to one. And by the time we get to opening day, it's 12 or 10. So just feel like both these numbers with Bure and King are going to move over the next couple months. And I'd like to be on the right side of them because I do think they're two guys who could legitimately win. Yeah, I'm gonna bet that King won for sure. I also realized that we can't show Jake's very, very good looking beard because the camera that's really pointed on Jake is pointed on me. I'm thinking, why aren't we showing? There's Jake. What if I told you, Jake, what if I told you Notre Dame only wins if you come out tomorrow? I don't know why you think I'm not going to show like I like, I don't know what this is. What do you mean? Minus 110 each way that I don't come out. Bad line? I think so. What should the yes be? He's making bad lines on all of us going out. He made it. No, you're not yours. Yours makes way more sense. Joe, Joe, you adamantly and very publicly say that you don't leave your house ever. Yeah, I'm joking. And you always say how much you hate people. I hate people that I don't like. I hate the Lions fans at Sam's dealing with like those those people. Yeah, that's true. I've got just people that I don't mind. Just what about this? Just tell the wife and kids, you and I are going to the winner classic. Come pick me up. We'll go to the game. Never does go long. There's no chance she would go to the north side. Zero. Less of a chance. What? Yeah, we're going to the game. It's a family affair. It's a rambly affair. We're going to go sit outside in 15 degree weather and watch hockey. Lowest low to $200 after fees, by the way. Seriously? It's what I saw. It's actually not 15th 38 outside apparently. I'd rather go to like Bexie Hawks again. Bexie Hawks to be a better player. Let's go Notre Dame! Please, please. We'll be back on Thursday, 9 a.m. Eastern. We'll be reviewing everything that goes down in the college football playoff over the next two days. Enjoy all the football. Talk to you later in the week right here on the Beck QL Network.
Joe Ostrowski and Sam Panayotovich are joined Brad Powers of Covers.com and The Bet The Board Podcast, to discuss how is he betting today's Fiesta Bowl between Boise State and Penn State, and the rest of this week's College Football Playoff Semi-Final matchups. Then, we discuss how to bet this week's College Football Playoff action, featuring today's Citrus Bowl between Illinois and South Carolina. Plus, tomorrow's Playoff Games headlined by Notre Dame vs Georgia in the Sugar Bowl and more betting thoughts on today's Winter Classic between the Blues and Blackhawks. The hour wraps with all of our Lightning Bets for tonight's action. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices