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BetQL Daily

BetQL Daily Hour #2 (12/31)

Joe Ostrowski and Sam Panayotovich are joined by College Football Expert and the creator of the ItsFelder Substack Michael Felder, to discuss his College Football insight, analysis, and thoughts on each of the four upcoming College Football Playoff Semi-Final matchups. Then, we discuss how to play College Football Playoff Survivor heading into the Semi-Final rounds. Plus, how we're betting Penn State vs Boise State, and the rest of the first round playoff action. The hour wraps with bets on today's Winter Classic between the Blues and Blackhawks, plus more NFL Award conversation, featuring the Coach of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year markets. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Duration:
47m
Broadcast on:
31 Dec 2024
Audio Format:
other

Joe Ostrowski and Sam Panayotovich are joined by College Football Expert and the creator of the ItsFelder Substack Michael Felder, to discuss his College Football insight, analysis, and thoughts on each of the four upcoming College Football Playoff Semi-Final matchups. Then, we discuss how to play College Football Playoff Survivor heading into the Semi-Final rounds. Plus, how we're betting Penn State vs Boise State, and the rest of the first round playoff action. The hour wraps with bets on today's Winter Classic between the Blues and Blackhawks, plus more NFL Award conversation, featuring the Coach of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year markets.

To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Standard text messaging rates apply. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, Utah and other states where prohibited. Joe Osami, P with you. We've got the college football playoff later tonight. We'll be checking in with Michael Felder. God, thank God, it's finally here. It feels weird because it's New Year's Eve. It doesn't feel like New Year's Eve, maybe because we're working. But to have the one game tonight, we've got the three tomorrow. But exciting times, man. We've got the lead up with all these games up to tonight. Are you going to be betting the majority of these games before we get to the playoff? I don't know. I thought about betting Boise. And we had Tom Casale on yesterday, who's very good at betting college sports, football and basketball, and he was making a case for Boise. And I liked a lot of what he said. I haven't made a bet yet. I do think Boise is very underrated. And I see Michael Felder, who we'll talk to in about 30 seconds from now. I know he's a big gente fan. Yeah. I think gente's hype sort of overshadows how good that team is. And that's not a bad thing. I just feel like they are disrespected and undervalued. Does it mean that they're going to win outright? Does it mean that they're going to hang around? Not necessarily. But that team is much more than Ash and Gente. And I think a lot of people don't know that because every time they flip the TV on or turn the radio on, it's Ash and Gente this and Ash and Gente that. But he allows that offense to do whatever it wants to account for him. Yeah. To account for him opens up everything that they can do. Here is Michael Felder in the bleachers on X. Michael, I hope you had a great holiday. It continues. Happy New Year's. Thanks for joining us on this New Year's Eve. What do you think about this game tonight? Penn State, Boise State. You heard what Sam had to say, a key is a believer, especially when we're getting 11 points. Their defense scares the hell out of me. That is the only thing that's holding me back. Why I'm not what I haven't bet Boise Boise yet. What do you think about it? I take Boise in the points. I don't think they're going to win, but I do think that this game is going to be, it's going to be tight. Like, do we trust Drew Allen? Like, in a game where he's going to have to actually make plays. Like, I think you trust James Franklin. Right. Another good question. And then you throw in. Like, I do think that I think Tyler Ward's the best tied in the country without a doubt. I think he's the best weapon. That's not fair to Travis Hunter, who just won up. We just saw when the Heisman. But I think he's, I guess, the second best weapon in the country in terms of a guy who. Lines up anywhere does anything. And so I do like that part for Penn State. I think the issue is going to be. What we're going to see is a football games, what is 60 minutes, right? I think what we're going to see is a 35 minute fight. And then at that 35 minute mark, Penn State gets heavy. And they start to lean on you. And then that's where Boise State doesn't have the depth of bodies to continue the fight. Gente props. Curious what you think in this matchup. Tell him. Let me hear him. The rushing yards is one 27 and a half. You can't really bet him for a touch. I mean, you can, but you probably, you're laying a lot. It's minus 250. That's the best price out there for a touchdown for two plus touchdowns. You're not even getting two to what it's plus 170. But let's talk about that rushing yards number one 27 and a half. It's just Penn State defense. That's the part that to me and Sam Sammy P, you kind of, you, you, you, you nudge that it before I came on. They're more than him. This team is more than him. But for Penn State in this, I'm going to flip it over for Penn State. I think they see him. The way that Boise State's defense is going to ID 44 every single play is the way that they're going to make sure that they shut this guy down. I think he, I think he might go, I think he might go for a hundred. I don't think he's going to get to that close up 130, the 127. I think that their goal is to make sure that he does not beat them. If they win it a different way, sure. Okay, no problem. But their goal is to make sure he does not beat them. And I think they do understand that assignment. So no, I would, I would bet he does not go for 127. So they have one loss this year. They went to Oregon and dominated for three quarters in that game. Yeah. They're using 37 34. I don't think, I don't think this is your average sleeper that doesn't have a chance. I don't think that. I don't think the state is Arizona State. And again, could we be wrong about this a hundred percent? It's a football game. It's a one off anything can happen. I just think the way that they're coached and the way they carry themselves and the way that they've played against good teams. It's a lot to give that team. It's a lot. Let me ask you about this, Michael, because Joe and I have our bread buttered a lot of ways on Notre Dame. And I know, I know. I'm nervous. I am nervous about it because Georgia is perennially dangerous. And they have a lot of pros on that roster and their talent is unquestionable. I still think that Notre Dame this year is undervalued, underrated. They're better at quarterback. I think they have better weapons on offense. I think their D line is very good. Yes. I think they're going to win tomorrow. I could be very wrong about this and I have angered all the Georgia fans leaning on the general league and their Instagram photos. I think Notre Dame is going to win tomorrow. And I'm talking myself rather than talk myself out of it and be nervous and be a nerd or a four-eyed virgin or whatever they want to call me on the Internet. I'm going to convince myself, but to convince myself that Notre Dame is winning tomorrow. You're not wrong. I mean, Riley Leonard is absolutely better than a guy who's only thrown 40 passes this year, right? So you're not wrong about that. Those are accurate facts that you can throw back in their quarterback. So here's what, let's look at the progression of Georgia this year. Are they big? Yeah, are they strong? Absolutely. Are they fast? For sure. Can they run the football? No. Do they have people that can catch the football? No. Even when the football's there. When Carson Beck, who was supposed to be a first round draft pick top 10 pick when he was even doing things right. It still wasn't good. And all those, you're right about all this stuff. Go ahead and clip it out. And that's the thing. Like, you're right about all this stuff. Georgia's going to win this football game. Why? Why do you say that? What gives you confidence in that? I think that they, I think Gunnar Stockton is more. Okay. I'll be honest. Let's do it. My family's from Perry, Georgia. That's in Houston County. He's from Tiger, Georgia. That's up north near the North Carolina border. I think he gets these dudes. I think he, like, same as Jake Fromm, who's from Houston County as well. I think he gets these dudes. I think he gets these guys. I think these guys get him better than they got Carson Beck better than Carson Beck got them. I think they're, and, which, let me ask you guys this, which pre-game speech do you want to hear? Kirby Smarter Dan Lanning. Lanning probably. Yeah, I did. Lanning. Yep. Lanning. When he smashed that helmet this year, I love that. When he smashed the helmet at halftime. Yeah. Cause Kirby Smarter's giving some fire speeches out too. Mm hmm. And so I just, I think that these boys are going to be fired up and having a guy that's one of them. And I think, I, I do think that's, we underestimate that. But having a guy that's one of them. Same thing, even going to Clemson, whichever Lawrence, Trevor Lawrence is still one of them. Having a guy that's one of you, even though he's inexperienced, even though, and we saw Nico, EMI lava, really struggle against Ohio State. Having a guy that's one of you. I think that this team's going to figure it out. And they've had some time. And I think, so that's what I'm, that's why, that's why I think Georgia's going to win. But if Notre Dame wins. Hey, man, shout out to Marcus Freeman, because he is, he's brought a little bit of seasoning, if you will, to that roster. Right? Like this, they're not showing up with raisins in the potato salad. This is, this is, he brought some, like they got some flavor. Now, we're right. They rock it. They rock him with the old bay. They got, they got Tony Shachery's now. And it is like, it's cool to watch like a team that they're still heavy. They're still big. They're still strong. But now they got a little flavor. They got a little sauce. And this ain't just like bold chicken and broccoli. This is, they, this is a meal you want to eat. I was going to say, so the correlation I think that you're getting to is that they went from putting ketchup on their chicken to doing the paprika, garlic powder, onion powder. Yes. All that, right? Like just, just doing it right and figuring it out. Yes. And they are and they're there and it's, it's amazing. It's awesome to watch because they, they were, they were so close for so long. And like we just, just under Brian Kelly, right? They were so close for so long. They made it to the playoff. They, they played in the BCS National Championship game. And they just couldn't get over the hump because they didn't have. Like if Tyler Eiffer is your, like biggest weapon. Like, bro, you're missing out on something like, why is golden tape not the star of your show? Why is this not like, so I think that they're, they're figuring it out. And I'm very, I'm excited to watch this. I'm excited to watch their name Georgia. Like, we've seen this game with Brian Kelly at the helm. Right. And now we get to see it with Freeman. And I'm not saying Freeman's a better coach than Brian Kelly, but I am saying that there are what he's bringing in when he goes to the grocery store or goes to the portal and goes to recruiting. He's buying different things than what Brian Kelly was buying. Yeah, we're already talking about next year's quarterback too, which is fascinating. Now it's a place. Like look at the draft stock, how it's improved with some of those Notre Dame players. It's fascinating. And you said getting guys ready to play. Ever since that NIU loss, watching Freeman close. Yeah, he's getting them ready to play every single time. Yep, that, that entire team has been focused Riley Leonard over 100 rushing arts. We'll talk about that. Welcome. They've been, they've been having some trouble stopping these mobile quarterbacks got to get to Ohio State, Oregon. This points bread. Interesting. You know, we know what happened in the regular season on the road with Ohio State, but Ohio State's been the favorite throughout and it's been almost a field goal. Michael, what do you think about this matchup? If they play here, I'm, I, I'll be honest, I'm terrified of this game. We already talked about Dan Lanning and how this team is going to be ready to play. They're going to be focused and we fired up. Ryan Day. You mentioned it with James Franklin, right? Sam, like you mentioned that with James Franklin, like the way he gets tight in big games, which is, that's a huge variable. Same thing with Ryan Day, perfect play Ryan Day. And if he lets his team play, they are in my estimation. The best team in the country. Second best maybe behind Texas, but they're right there. They're living in that world. And no disrespect to Georgia with that one. It just is Georgia, you're playing with your backup quarterback. You've got some other injuries. But if Ohio State, if Ryan Day just lets them go out and play. And just go out and play. Go play football. You have three NFL wide receivers on your roster. Right through a six yard passes. Throw the ball far. Throw it far. And then make it, and I say this as a former defensive back, make a defensive back, make a mistake. And that mistake can be a person. It can be a pass interference. That mistake can be falling down and letting the guy just be wide open. The mistake could be you're not fast enough to run with these guys. Do that. And the other part is you have two really good running backs. So if they want to put a halo over top of you to protect their corners. Okay. Hmm. You're gonna put a halo over me. So we got two over the top. Or we have three deep or play quarters. Okay. Guess what? Let's run the football. Let's run the football. It just, it makes sense that Ohio State's a favorite. They have too many weapons. Oh, and by the way, defensively that defensive front from theirs is very good. They, they create pressure. They create bad angles. Oregon, they're gonna, they've got to fight for their lives. I think Oregon does win. I think it comes down to the final possession. Honestly, I think this is a game that comes down to the final possession. But if Ryan Day gets in the way of his own team, Oregon can win by a touchdown. All right. We're tied on time here, Michael. Ten seconds. Okay. Will Texas win by 13 or more. Yes or no. Yes. Yes. I will. Yes. I like Billingham, but I truly think that that Sark is going to be in his bag. He's going to be in his bag. All right. We got you. Georgia, Oregon, you like Boise to cover, but Penn State to win. And then Texas to cover. Enjoy the games. Rest rest of the game today leading up to tonight. I know you're not going to be sleeping much. Michael, we appreciate you coming on this New Year's Eve. We'll talk soon. Okay. Yes, sir. Michael Felder at In The Bleachers on X. Good stuff. Make sure you subscribe to his sub stack as well. Always entertaining. All right. Coming up next, we're going to go over our favorite college football playoff bets. Joe O. Sammy P. Bette QL daily on the Bette QL Network. Looking for a financial institution that has fewer fees, better rates and gives back to the local community. As one of Colorado's largest credit unions, Belco offers great rates on products like our free boost interest checking and lower rates on loans, including our home equity choice line. Bank virtually any time anywhere through our online banking and our mobile app. Becoming a member has never been easier. Visit belco.org or stop by any Belco branch. 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That's, that's been well established and I was talking with Paul about it. You didn't want to enter the survivor, which I do understand why because now I'm here. I'm like, I don't know what the hell to do. All right, what do you do? Yeah, I have opinions on who I think is going to win today, but the problem is, I think a couple of these teams are going to make some runs and then I need to pick them later, whatever. I'm not going to pick Notre Dame or Georgia. I've decided in the one entry that I have them that I have Notre Dame available because I think the winner of this game is going to win next week against probably Penn State. I guess kind of where I'm at. I think we mentioned it with Casaly Casaly was also on Georgia for this game. I expect the winner of Notre Dame Georgia to take out the winner of Penn State Boise next week. Okay. So what are you going to do then? I don't know. It's going to be a mixture. It's going to be a mixture of different things. I guess I probably should go Penn State since there's no way in hell I'm going to take them once we get to the final four, even if they do get there. There's no way. Yeah, I don't know. It was very funny. It reminds me of one of my favorite Simpsons episodes when Homer mails his resignation letter to Mr Burns and then realizes he can't quit. So he goes to the post office. And he says, Hello, my name is Mr Burns. I believe you have a package for me in the post office guy goes, All right, Mr Burns, what is your first name? I don't know. What are you going to do in Survivor? I don't know. Now, that's all bowl games or just the playoff games. I'm not in the way I don't know parameters. Okay. Well, okay, so here's the challenge. We've got to make two picks for this round. You got to pick two of the four. The challenge is like I can tell you and say, okay, yeah, Texas is going to win. But do I want to take them, because do I need them in the next round? Do I need them in the championship game if they get that far. I would pick Ohio State to win. But if you think they're going to win the championship, you can't take Ohio State against Oregon. You can't do it because you got to save them. And a lot of people are going to use them. Notre Dame sucks that in some of my entries already use them because I think they're going to make a run so I don't want to pick that game. So that's the tough part. Like with Survivor in these kinds, like with March Madness and with this specific counts football playoff one, you want to pick someone you want them to win. And then as soon as they win, you want them to lose. That's, that's the hard part because you need to have options down the road. Man, I keep going back to this Riley London prop. 34 and a half rushing yards. And I expect that to be the path to a Georgia victory forcing him to throw from the pocket. But we've seen the Georgia Bulldogs have a lot of issues against mobile quarterbacks. We saw it in that Georgia Tech game, or King had three rushing touchdowns. We saw it against Alabama. Milro went for 117 and two touchdowns. And we know Leonard can do that. The prop of 34 and a half. That's certainly something that I'm going to bet in addition to the Irish winning. I heard a lot of things on social media. I had a really exciting night if you didn't check my ex last night. I went from Georgia to Detroit. Oh, I had this SEC Charlie Brown come at me about, you know, Georgia's going to win 50 to three. You know, I like, okay. All right. You want to see his picture here? Is that? Yeah, SEC Charlie Brown. See the shirt. And the red and white, of course. It's SEC Charlie Brown. I didn't show his face. I don't want to dox anybody, although he did say some things in the DMS that maybe I should post one day. I just, I think it's so funny, you know, like the Georgia defenders that are so pro Georgia are just not painting the whole picture. Like one guy's telling me, well, the only reason they gave up all those yards at Georgia Tech is because it was rivalry game. Like, no. The reason they gave up all those yards is because they're not as good defensively as they've been in the last five years. They're not. This is a team that gave up 40 to Alabama that gave up 30 to a lot of teams this year. And yeah, like, oh, look at their recruiting class. So what? Who cares about their recruiting class? Like, I think it's this simple. If you flip the teams, if you flip the helmets, what is the spread in the game? If you put Notre Dame's players in Georgia gear, what is the number? I think we got it. We got the right number, but the market moved it. You don't think you think it should be a name should be favored. I think the Irish should be favored this year. No, no, no, when I say we got it, we got it initially. Oh, her name was fake. Okay. Yes. Yeah. I agree. I don't think Georgia should be favored. Especially with the back of quarterback. Should they be favored if it's back? No. I don't think so. Okay. But I'm bullish on that. I mean, take a stance, right? Have an opinion and you're having to take your comments. You're going after former college radio mates. I just saw that guy. Yeah, it's just. Jake love that one. Laugh out loud, funny. Very in my kitchen last night. Come on. Give me a break. So good. I haven't talked to this guy in 10 years and he's coming at. Oh, yeah. You don't know anything. Okay. What's he doing? I don't know and I don't care. Did you do a show with him? I got to know the backstory. Okay. It was bad. Oh, just, it was whatever. It's college radio. It's fine. Yeah. Yeah. It was bad. The Lions fans, the Lions, he's a Lions guy. The Lions fans were very mad this night. Very mad. And all I said was the simps are going to defend Dan Campbell, no matter what. And the simps. As we know, the simps are going to them. Yeah. Yeah. And all the simps are like grrr. Very, very funny. Um, back to your survival thing. Oh, sorry. You, you said you need to pick a team, right? I, if it were me, I don't like telling people what to do. I like telling them what I would do. Okay. I would take Texas because I don't feel confident in Texas. Like who met whoever Texas plays, whether it be Ohio State or Oregon. I would like that team against Texas. So I would burn Texas. And it's just a win, right? It's not the cover. You just have to win the game. Just to win. I don't think Texas loses the Arizona State. I don't know that Arizona State can move the ball on that defense. So that's what I would do. But I'm not in survivor. I suck at survivor. So maybe maybe I think the strategy is very interesting because you need them to lose quickly. So that makes sense with Texas. And I guess I'll probably definitely have at least one of the entries, Texas Penn State, because I expect Penn State to win, most likely. But are they going to go past this? The next run. Are they going to get into the championship game? Probably not. Let's go there. We've talked a lot about Boise and why we like them getting double digits. This is the game tonight. We went over the gente number 127 and a half. And I know you like Boise getting the points. My concern, as I mentioned, to Felder is defensively what we're going to get from this team. Is it just going to be Penn State running all over them all game? And that would be their path to winning by a couple of scores. You could see it. I also look at what Penn State has done defensively in a couple of games. I mean, not to compare Boise to Oregon, but Oregon did whatever it wanted in the entire game in the Big Ten Championship. It's tough. I'm not going to bet a lot on Boise State, but I'll have a taste. My favorite bet is we know it was Notre Dame. I probably won't bet Texas, Arizona State. I like the over in Ohio State, Oregon. Those two teams had almost a thousand yards combined in the last meeting. And Chip Kelly finally realized, Oh, hey, I can throw the ball to my NFL receivers in the last game. It's Michigan. They wouldn't throw it. Chip was so stubborn. And then against, you know, Tennessee, he's like, Oh, you know, I'm going to throw the ball to my NFL talent. Beat the snot out of Tennessee and did whatever they wanted. So that's a game last meeting, low 60s, I think like 31 30 or 33 30. Don't remember the final score, but it was a low 32 31. There you go. Yeah. So this total open, like 52 got fed up to 55. I do think it's still a little low. You know, I get, I get Texas. I see Rose Bowl vibes, Matt Leonard, Vince Young, just up and down the field. Those are the vibes I get from that game. You got a lot of NFL talent on offense. I like Boise. I don't, I'm not in love with it. I'm not going to make a big bet on it. I'm just willing to sort of find out if Penn State can can win this big game. Easy to win at home when you're a huge favorite. Winning on a neutral is a little different. The regular season matchup, Oregon, Ohio State, that closed 54 and a half, obviously, 63 points scored in that one. And right now we're sitting 55 and a half over at Betam GM. I do get the sense. Okay, the high total of the, of the four, that one. It's probably going to go over and the low total Georgia Notre Dame 45 and a half. That's probably going to go under with the back of quarterback Stockton going against an elite defense. And then you know, Notre Dame is going to want to run the ball because they're going to get it. They would get into trouble if Riley Leonard's passing game is going to decide this one. So, yeah, I would go that route. It feels like the low totals to go under. Favorite bet of the four. Yeah. Hmm. Between sides and totals. Man, I've talked myself in the Notre Dame so hard. I've, yeah. Since before we got the matchup, we were saying Notre Dame over Georgia. I like Ohio State. I'm worried we get a score like last time and they don't cover the number. So I don't know that I'll get there. Maybe there will be a live opportunity. If it goes back and forth like you suggest. That means we're going to have opportunities on both sides. If you want to jump in and do some live betting. If that's something that you're looking at. I'm going to play Texas, man. I don't know about you. I'm going to play Texas at 12 and a half. Yeah, I'm not, I'm not opposed to that at all. I just, I went against Texas last week and Clemson had third and goal at the one, fourth and goal at the one. Didn't get in, didn't cover. So I'm just, I'm okay. Like I'm, I'm okay not betting that game. I get it. Texas is, is loaded. I think Arizona State's very one dimensional. And the problem with teams, they can only do one thing against elite defenses. You don't have any versatility. We'll see. I like their coach a lot. Kenny Dillingham. I think he's awesome. I think he's done a great job there. I also don't think they belong on the field with Texas. So I would lean to Texas. I told you I would play Texas in survivors. So I'm not banging the drum for Arizona State. I wanted to read a couple of predictions on Instagram, though, if I can, for one second. Georgia 48 Notre Dame 10. Georgia 48 Notre Dame three. This dude with the glasses is on crack. Georgia's going to roll them. Georgia all day. Georgia by 50. Georgia dominates this game. Shut up nerd. Those are just some posts on the Beck QL Instagram video that we have on Notre Dame, Georgia. People have that Texas game in their mind and they think that's what's going to happen. It's just going to be a domination in the trenches. Most of those people have not watched Notre Dame play this year. Notre Dame would fit right in with the SEC and they would probably, I wonder what they would do because here's what those people are going to say that they haven't played anybody that Indiana and they were weak. And all that stuff. Okay, we're going to find out, man. I'm really these two games, the Rose Bowl and the Sugar Bowl, the later games tomorrow, they're going to be phenomenal. Phenomenal matchups. Man, tonight's game. Yeah, I know. You know, a lot of that is just years past. You know, everything that Felder said, I'm just like, yeah, I don't know that that applies right now to this Notre Dame team. I don't know that that applies to this Notre Dame team. So it's going to be great. Can't wait. And then we're going to have the final four. That'll be all set. What about these, these four games, these other four games going on today? Man, everybody has an Alabama ticket, I feel. How are we out to? Are we at 17 yet? Yeah, 17 offshore, 16 and a half. Most places were out to 17. I don't know, Jake. I think I might take your guy Beelima today at two o'clock. I will be vomiting. I mean, they've come in this open to 11 and a half. They're back in the Alina a little bit with some people. Uniform narrative Illinois going with the script on the helmets for the first time. Oh, how much is that worth? Wow. Same as the weather in October, baseball. Say three and a half. All right, we're going to talk about some of the awards. We got into it with the MVP earlier. There's a few others we think up for grabs going into the final week of the NFL season. This is the Beck Hill network. The things you learn on this show, I learned during the break that the winner classic is today. No idea. No, you're going. You're going? Stop today. Today. I'm good. I'm good. You don't want to draw. Hold on. You don't want to drive an hour and a half to watch the worst team in hockey play outside. I wouldn't drive five minutes. If it was at Lincoln Way East High School, I'm not going to that crap. No, I have no interest. Joe is attended more local high school games in the past 365 than pro sporting events in Chicago. I did get a text last night from one of my buddies who I love dearly and he sends me the ticket master screenshot. And it's five prices ranging from three hundred and fifty to five hundred dollars. And he sends that screenshot and says, What do you think question mark? And I responded, lose this number. So, no, sorry. No. So you're missing out on, well, South Carolina, Illinois, whatever, Baylor LSU. Okay, sure. I'm definitely missing the first half of Penn State Boise State to go to the north side. And probably the entire game. I guess you go out afterwards. The bars will be hopping. No, I have no interest. Who are they playing? Joe, you want to go to old crow? Let's go. Me, you and Sammy go. We go to old crow after great. No, they're playing the St. Louis Blues. If you would like a price since this is a show. The Blackhawks are probably the worst team in hockey right now. I meant the blues. Yeah. Yeah. Nothing special. I mean, they're, they're five hundred. Oh, yeah, I did. I did. Chance the rappers performing, right? Oh, great. Yeah, that'll get me there. And the boys minus minus one forty five at Betem GM. And the total is five and a half. Good. Pass. And that was talking hockey. Let's do that hockey. It is smart to bring chance because he had that classic SNL bit. Yeah, so we're good. Hockey season is not begun in our world. And the winter classic is today good for them. That is one, one of the dumb things though, too. Like it is a great time in football. You're a college football fan at all. Like you don't want to miss any of this. And yeah, they're not doing it on New Year's Day when you have three playoff games, but they are doing it basically against one playoff game. They're like, Oh, we're doing it earlier. Yeah. But if I go to the game, I'm going to probably miss most of the playoff game. Not interested. I'm good. We got enough going on. All right. I was going to make a price to on you. Sorry, I was going to make a price on you being out of your house tonight at eight p.m. or later. The no. I'm going to go. Yeah. Minus infinity. The no. The minus infinity? Yeah. No, I'll be out. Really? I would have lost a lot of money on that. But the question is. Well, not not at a bar going to say I'm not going anywhere. I'm going nowhere tonight. I want to be asleep by eight o'clock. The game won't be over then. So if you're going out, do you wait for the game to end or do you kind of catch it in the background? The second half. Penn State Boise. Yeah. Depends how it's going. Depends how it's going. So I'll go out. I don't know what time. But I'll say. Gotta work. And then I'll go out like at halftime depending how it's going or maybe after the game. We'll see. This Penn State Boise. I don't think it's going to be the most exciting game, but we do lean Boise as far as against the spread goes. What after last night, do you think there's any way. Lions win last week next week. They get the one. And they end up saying, let's just give it to Campbell. Coach of the year. O'Connell is my vote. If I had a vote. Talked about this for a month. I'm trying to handicap the voters. I mean, O'Connell is such a massive favorite now. It's hard to bet into this market at this point. You know, he's 15, $16 to win. Mine is obviously. It's hard for me to think that a coach who took a team with a preseason win total of six and a half. And had to reinvent Sam Darnold. It's hard for me to believe that guy doesn't win the award narrative wise. I also like. If Andy Reek can't win the award for always having a good team, how can Dan Campbell win it for being an NFC championship team last year. Look, and I give Campbell a lot of flack and people don't like that. I think he's going to cost them a big game in the playoffs. I respect him. I do. I'm not saying he's a bad coach. I just think he's an awful decision maker. Both things can be true. I would not bet Dan Campbell. What's the best price eight to one now in the market? The problem with these markets going into the final week is that what the books do is that they just. They're willing to give you these guys away. They're willing to give you guys at eight to one 12 to one 14 to one because they just need a couple people to think. They're willing to give you a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars and a number of dollars. How many people do you know that are going to look at this number and go, wow, that's a good price on Campbell. And where you make the favorite expensive and then jack the price up on every dog and just hope that people bet these perceived valuable numbers. That's all this is. You can make Dan Campbell 15 to one. I don't think he's winning. This market feels over to me at least. O'Connell checks every box that we look for and that when we handicap this award year after year. So I do think it's going to be O'Connell. I do believe that he locked it up this past week against the Green Bay Packers. Now, for MVP we talked about the idea of burrow and how the number went from 250 down to 30 to one and what Troy even had to say in the Monday night football broadcast that I'm sure a lot of people were paying attention to. But we haven't talked that much about what's happening at the top. Josh Allen Lamar, that MGM is Josh Allen minus 300 Lamar plus 225. There's nothing to play for on Sunday. The Ravens have the three seed and the division to play for. And when you look at the stats, total yards. Lamar has almost 600 more total yards in Josh Allen Lamar has three more total touchdowns than Josh Allen but Josh Allen is minus 300 as the two seed Lamar probably the three seat. Does this just be wrong and in Lamar ends up winning again. These are very good questions. And I feel like Allen's done everything he's had to do to get to this point. I wouldn't lay three dollars with Josh at this point in time. But I don't, I mean you're better at these markets than I am. I feel very good saying that. I mean you had some monsters this year. Yeah, but like at this point in the season, I just think they're all over for the most part. Week eight, I think they're all over. I think the favorites win most of these awards and that's not exactly a hot take. I don't know. I mean, I don't know that I would bet Lamar at 250 or 275. It just feels like Josh Allen, given all that he lost, given all the weapons that he lost to get this team to this position. It feels like he's done enough. He's been incredible this year. And he's the reason they are where they are. Same for Lamar. Obviously, Lamar is the straw that serves the drink in Baltimore. But man, I mean, Bill Simmons before the season saying like, Oh, Buffalo's missed their chance. The windows closed. These were takes from people. They don't have receivers. Yeah, there's no words. I mean, he's he's and he doesn't have the gaudy numbers that burrow has. But if you look at their schedule and look at all their big wins, he's been the most important factor in basically every win this season. And that's what the MVP is. I'm fascinated to see how the voting plays out in the comeback player of the year again. I'm not saying it's a great award to bet. We've talked throughout the year when he was good at good odds. Why you needed to bet burrow burrows minus 375 at Betam GM. That's the best price I see. I see up to minus 500 for burrow to be the comeback. But I'm fascinated by it because it's burrow or it's darnold and the rule change in the summer basically said, don't vote for Donald. Donald's going to get votes. Is it going to be enough to overtake burrow? That's the question. But you talk about comeback. Sam Darnold, his career was dead. He was labeled a bust. Multiple stops. And now his career has been saved. And now there are Viking fans, having a real conversation. Do we trade JJ McCarthy? Do we lock up this guy long term? Like what do what do we do now because they've had so much success with Sam Darnold. He's going to get votes, man. And for a good chunk of the year, there are a number of sports books that removed him from the comeback player of the year market. And now they all have him back up. I still last year's comeback player of the year with the guy that died on the field, not winning the award for me. It made it an unbedible market for me because I have no idea what the voters are going to do. No idea. There is no definition or there has it been. I guess there technically is now. But is there. Is there a definition? Are they going to follow it? Do they care? Yeah. I'm just really interested in that one. We know Saekwon is going to be the offensive player of the year. That was a great hit by you talked about that during the summer on this show. Why you love that. Up for grabs. DPOY still. I mean TJ Watt. He's been the favorite throughout the year, but we're talking minus 115 at Betam GM. The market's saying it's going to be wide or it's going to be certain. And then the way that Soutan has played, teams are obviously avoiding him. Steelers falling apart down the stretch. Wouldn't surprise me if it ends up going to Soutan. Offensive rookie. We know that's going to Daniels. And then the defensive rookie a little bit up for grabs as well. Joe Oh Sammy P. We're going to get back to college football and the four playoff games with our guy Brad Powers. He drops by next. This is the Betam QL Network.
Joe Ostrowski and Sam Panayotovich are joined by College Football Expert and the creator of the ItsFelder Substack Michael Felder, to discuss his College Football insight, analysis, and thoughts on each of the four upcoming College Football Playoff Semi-Final matchups. Then, we discuss how to play College Football Playoff Survivor heading into the Semi-Final rounds. Plus, how we're betting Penn State vs Boise State, and the rest of the first round playoff action. The hour wraps with bets on today's Winter Classic between the Blues and Blackhawks, plus more NFL Award conversation, featuring the Coach of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year markets. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices