Ready to level up? Shumba Casino is your playbook to fun. It's free to play with no purchase necessary. Enjoy hundreds of casino-style games like bingo, slots, and solitaire anytime anywhere with fresh releases every week. Whether you're at home or on the go, let Shumba Casino bring the excitement to you. Plus get free daily login bonuses and a free welcome bonus. Join now for your chance to redeem some serious prizes. Play Shumba Casino today! No purchase necessary, VGW Group, void work prohibited by law, 18 plus, TNC supply. Even if you're not a tech genius, you know one thing for sure. If you want your business to crush it, you need a website that works like a pro. Luckily, Bluehost makes it ridiculously easy. With their AI design tools, building a website as a walk in the park. With Bluehost, you can customize, optimize, optimize, and monetize everything exactly how you want it. Optimizing the success of your business. It just takes a few minutes to get the site up and running using their super straightforward interface. And security? Bluehost has you covered 24/7. No more sleepless nights worrying about hackers. You can sit back, relax, and focus on your customers, not outside threats. Because it doesn't matter if you're a content creator, an entrepreneur, or a blogger, whatever your hustle may be. Bluehost has everything you need to build and secure your online presence quickly, easily, and reliably. So make 2025 your year. Launch your dream website. Head over to Bluehost.com and start building something special today. Joe Shrowski, Sam Penny on a bitch with you. Thanks for sticking with us through some of the technical issues. Those are now in the past, hopefully, another hour hanging out with you. And we will go over those Monday morning market moves, all these NFL lines, how they've just gone haywire this morning. Sometimes it may not look like it makes sense, but we'll try to explain those away with some of those moves. But we've got a lot of college football action coming up over the next couple of days. For some, the best week in college football on the entire calendar. We bring in our buddy Tom Casale at the Tom Casale over on X breaks down college football and college basketball. He does some great work over at Sportsline. Tom, before we jump into the eight games that we're going to see over the next couple of days, nine, if you want to include this one this afternoon, how would you sum up both seasons so far? How's it gone for you? Are you as invested as in past years with NIL and the portal more than ever? Is there more movement? Is it more unpredictable or more betting opportunities? Yeah, you know, I don't bet as many sides and totals as I used to. I've going more towards player props now when like today, like for Missouri, I like Theo East Jr over 63 and a half yards, no Luther Bird and Brady Cook's going to play. You can't really run the ball much on Iowa. He's gone over that total four straight game. So I think that's where I'm finding value is some of these player props just because these teams like, you know, I got an uneasy feeling about Colorado when my cousins and every casual better I know on the planet texted me and said, well, Colorado's a lock. All those guys are playing, right? And so as Dion said at half time, we didn't come to play football tonight. So you don't really know about the motivation of some of these teams. I mean, BYU was playing with their hair on fire. So back in the before the NIL and the transfer portal, I thought when the lines open, you could find some really good value in spots, but now you can't really hit them as hard early. You just don't know who's going to be there. Well, we've also seen these armed force teams just come out and play extremely hard year after year after year. You know, Navy comes out, beats Oklahoma. That line moved nine points, did not matter. You know, Army has a game wins 27 to six. I continue to think about it going into ball season. And then the line moves too much. And then I think I can't get involved. And here we go again, Navy opens plus nine, closes pick them, wins the game 21 to 20. Army gets as high as like 17 18 still covers in their game 27 to six. I don't know why I don't just get armed forces tattooed on my temple. So I can remember every year to just bet that in ball season. Yeah, I do the same thing. Now, Army was a little different this year because I had them originally against Marshall. And that bet was voided obviously. And then I didn't end up laying like the 16 17 points. The only reason was because a lot tech was so good against the run this year. Now that doesn't always translate to the option defending the option, but 17 against a good run defense. I just couldn't get there with that. And in all honesty, what you're saying, these armed forces teams usually aren't laying 17 points in bowl games. So you get a lot of good value. You know, and then it's a little different now. But like the other two teams, I always used to bet in bowl season that I always thought came and tried hard were Iowa and Wisconsin. Those were like quasi academy teams, like Wisconsin has a new coaching staff and everything now. They're not the same, you know, bully ball kind of team. But they would always come in as an underdog. And they would punch you in the mouth. And I remember they played Miami a couple years ago. And that was easy money because they was in the cold and then way far in Miami didn't want to be there. So I could see Iowa winning today with using that same strategy that you had for the armed forces. Tom, let's just jump right into these playoff games. We have one Tuesday night. And then the other three on Wednesday, they set it up where you've got the large points spread games as the first couple of games. And they go into what is expected to be the really competitive one. But we were talking about it earlier. After the initial moves that happened right away about a week and a half ago, not much movement on these numbers tells you how how tight these lines are. Tuesday night, you've got Penn State favored by 11 and a half. There's some 11s out there total 53 against Boise. How are you handling this one? I'm in the minority. I like Boise. I just think the line's a little too high on a neutral field. I think it's a little recency bias. You know how many people I've heard in the last week. Tell me how great Penn State is playing. I mean, it's not that they're playing poorly, but didn't they just beat Minnesota by a point a month ago? You know, and I think that we just we get so locked on what we've seen. You know, I saw Oregon go up and down the field on him like it was nobody's business. This is what I think and I'm just going to be honest. I'm just coming from an SMU fan. I thought they quit in the first quarter. I thought the quarter back quit. I don't think he wanted to play in the cold. I thought the coach coached like he was playing in a meaningless bowl game and not being in a playoff game. And I don't think you're going to get that from Boise on a neutral field. Now maybe Penn State just has too much and their running game is too much in the second half. But I think Boise can make this kind of an ugly game like a 23-16 kind of game. I make the line around seven and a half eight points. So 11 to me, just a little bit too high. Hey football fans, Bet MGM is giving you the chance to win up to $250,000 in bonus bets. It's all part of Bet MGM's longest touchdown jackpot, where you'll be able to split the grand prize with anyone else who bet on the longest touchdown of the week. Log into your Bet MGM account today and opt into the promo. Then place an anytime touchdown wager of $10 or more on the player of your choice up to one player per game. If your player scores the longest touchdown of the week, you'll win a share of the $250k. Bet MGM and GameSense remind you to play responsibly. See Bet MGM.com for terms. 21 plus only. This US promotional offer is not available in Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario or Puerto Rico. Gambling problem call 1-800-Gambler. Available in the US for New York call 8-7-7-8 Hope NY or Text Hope NY 467369 for Arizona 1-800-Next Step. For Massachusetts 1-800-3-2-7-50-50 for Iowa 1-800-Bets-Off for Puerto Rico 1-800-9-8-1-0-0-23 subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are unrestricted bonus dollars that expire in seven days in partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Where'd you get those shoots? Easy. They're from DSW because DSW has the exact right shoes for whatever you're into right now. You know, like the sneakers that make office hours feel like happy hour. The booths, the turn grocery isles into runways, and all the styles that show off the many sides of you. From daydreamer to multitasker and everything in between because you do it all in really great shoes. Find a shoe for every you at your DSW store or DSW.com. I've been working with a nurse dietitian for the last six months and it's been life-changing. I've lost weight, healed my relationship with food and have way more energy. Working with a dietitian online to create a personalized nutrition plan was so easy thanks to Nourish. The best part? I pay zero dollars out of pocket because Nourish accepts hundreds of insurance plans. 94% of patients pay zero dollars out of pocket. Find your dietitian at usenourish.com. That's usenourish.com. The search for truth never ends. Introducing June's Journey, a hidden object mobile game with a captivating story. Connect with friends, explore the roaring 20s and enjoy thrilling activities and challenges while supporting environmental causes. After seven years, the adventure continues with our immersive travels feature, explore distant cultures and engage in exciting experiences. There's always something new to discover. Are you ready? Download June's Journey now on Android or iOS. Yeah, I agree with you. I think the one misnomer with Boise, every time we talk about Boise or hear about Boise or see highlights from the Broncos, we only see Gente. That's in some weird way. Shadows, how good the quarterback has been this year, how good the defense has been this year. I like their coach a lot. Spencer Danielson. I'm with you. I'm inclined to look at Boise in the game. We also saw a move against Texas. Now, I bet against Texas last game. Third and goal at the one, fourth and goal at the one. Clemson decides we're going to go shotgun, shotgun. We're going to keep moving the quarterback away from the goal line. And we're not going to get in on third and goal and fourth and goal. I want to bet against Texas again, but I'm also jaded from what happened last game. So maybe I set that one out. Yeah, the problem for me with Arizona State is so much revolves around the running game in Scaddaboo. And you know, Texas is so strong up front against the run. So if they're not able to run the football, do they have ways to score against the Texas defense? That's where I'm having an issue here. I do think Kenny Dillingham, unlike a couple of the coaches we saw in round one, is actually going to let everything hang out. He's going to try to win the game. I think too many of these coaches come in and pretend they're not underdogs. Think Dillingham knows, hey, listen, we're two touchdown dogs to Texas. Everybody knows it. Let's not pretend that, you know, we're playing on an even keel here. We're not Texas. Let's go do whatever we can to win the game. So I think you will see that from Arizona State and it keeps them in the game for a while. But I think the trenches at some point, you're going to see the difference in Texas is going to pull away and probably cover this big number. Okay, what about the rematch one? Ohio State, Oregon. This has been staying strong at just about two and a half for the entire time. 55 and a half is your total. The highest of the four playoff games. Yeah, I do think we're going to see points in this game. And I think, well, I hope that Ryan Day is going to have the offensive game plan he had against Tennessee and not the one he had against Michigan. I mean, I had Ohio State to win the big 10 and I was sitting here swearing up a storm in that Michigan game. I mean, I don't even know what he was doing. They're just running the ball up the middle. I mean, Michigan stinks, beat him by 30. And then he came in against Tennessee and he said, Oh, wait, you know what? I got like five NFL receivers and two NFL lead running backs. Let's use those guys. So it got him out in space, attacked him vertically. That's what I like to see go down the field. And I think that's where you can really get Oregon is beating their corners down the field. I think you're going to see Ohio State come out aggressive. And I think Oregon's going to score. I just I think that they showed in the first game, they know who to pick on for Ohio State. A couple of those corners, they don't think can match up with their receivers. I expect Gabriel to have a big game, but I like Ohio State here. I'm surprised they're two and a half. I thought it would be closer to pick. I mean, the line's a little funny. I do think this is going to be part of the playoff. So moving forward, I think these teams that when big in the first round, you're not going to get any value on them in round two because everybody's going to bet them kind of like the NCAA tournament. But I do like Ohio State to win and move on. And I think the overs going to be the play here too. Yeah, I know that this totals moved up about five points. It still feels kind of light to be honest with you because I think Ohio State found a lot in the last game. You know what really bothered me with Ohio State. A lot of times this year, they were so stubborn and Chip was so bullish that I have to run the ball and it didn't work a lot of times. And he came out and said, you know what, I'm just going to throw it. Sometimes time, I think we can coach these teams better from our couches. And that's saying a lot because we are not college football coaches, but they seem to have found that ability to realize that, hey, we can throw the ball. And why change a good thing? Why change a good thing after what you just did at Tennessee? Yeah. And you know, listen, the one thing about Chip Kelly, I know everybody likes to talk about his high flying offense. Nobody loves to run the ball up the middle more than Chip Kelly. I mean, go back to the national championship game against, I think they threw the ball five. I mean, all of it was was Ron, Ron, Ron, he, you're 100% right. Sometimes Chip falls in love with that. Just run up the middle and does not get away from it for whatever reason, if whether he had that game plan and he doesn't want to switch. But you know, where Ohio State strength is, it's on the outside, it's the receivers, it's getting those running backs in space, getting them beyond the line of scrimmage. And they did an excellent job against Tennessee who has a good defense. I mean, let's be honest, whatever you think about Tennessee, they have a good front, they have a good defense, and they did whatever they wanted. So listen, if they don't go out and play that same way, then I don't think they even let Ryan day back in the locker room. I think they take his whatever, whatever pass he has right on the sideline and say, he'll find your own way home. Yeah, there's no doubt about that. With Tom Casale of Sportsline talking some college football playoff and we'll try to get to some of the other bowl games going on tomorrow. That leaves us with Notre Dame, Georgia, the shortest spread of the playoff, the favorite flipped immediately to the Georgia side. It's one, one and a half everywhere. What do you say? And this is the toughest one to predict, I think, because I think it's going to be a low scoring game. I think Notre Dame's defense can play with Georgia upfront. It's whether or not Georgia's quarterback's going to make plays. Now, I know they love them and we've heard all the talk. I just I don't know because I haven't seen him play enough. And I know he came in against Texas, they moved the football. But to me, that's going to be obviously the story of the game. I think it's going to be a low scoring game. I think it's going to that first quarter. I think it's going to settle into a low scoring game. You've got two defensive minded head coaches. They're not going to want to make mistakes. They're going to pump from the 50 and everyone's going to be mad because they're not going forward on fourth and two. But that's how I feel like this game is going to be played. I think it's going to be the exact opposite of Ohio State where I can see teams going each team going for like five, six times on fourth down. I think this is going to be let's play field position, let's pump. I like the under, but it's so low and it's college football. I mean, you're talking about a pick six changes the that total can be blown right out of there. But I do think you're going to see a low scoring game. I lean Georgia. And again, I just there's too many and I know this doesn't impact the game. But when all my casual better friends are telling me they have the lock of the decade, it just makes me think like maybe the other side is the play and I know they're all on Notre Dame. So I'll lean Georgia and under here. Well, I know some guys that are on Georgia. Oh, Notre Dame hasn't won a big game since 1989. I've heard a lot of that too, buddy. Yeah. Yeah, I know. And it's true. I just I think Notre Dame's defense is good enough to play with these teams. I have to see if their offense can do it. You know, it's different when your offense is running the ball against Army and Navy. Now they got to try to do it against Georgia. That's why I think you're going to see a lower scoring game teams not wanting to make mistakes. But I do think it. Listen, we saw I think Georgia knows how to be in these situations. Kirby knows how to get the guys ready as long as they're not playing Alabama. He got a lot of Alabama is not in the field. We don't have to worry about them. So I think he finds a way to get it done. So all right. Ohio State, Texas, you lean Georgia. You like Boise to cover, but Penn State win. I'm trying to figure out. Okay. What's your title? Post game. You got Penn State against Georgia. And you've got Ohio State against Texas in the you got Penn State Ohio State. Say it. I know you want to say it. No, I avoid that Ohio State Texas game. I talk about I do think this. I do think if Ohio State gets by Oregon, they're going to be very dangerous. The only thing that concerns me about the Texas game would be how they lost the center who won the, you know, the Remington Award, best center in college football, McLaughlin, they had a change or offensive line. Does that show up against Texas? I don't think it will against Oregon. I'll go Ohio State, Georgia. I'm sorry. I don't like Juillar enough yet to. I can't put him in the title game. It goes against everything I believe in. If he proves me wrong, fine. But I just if Georgia gets, gets them, I think they're going to put too much pressure on them cause turnovers. So Ohio State, Georgia, give me the Buckeyes as your national champion of the day. They're going to build a statue of him in Columbus saves his job. We I think we can agree. The winner of Notre Dame, Georgia goes to the title game. How about that? Yes, I agree. Yes. All right. All right. Good. Good. Last couple seconds. Any other game that you love tomorrow? There's 10 seconds. Listen, I forgot what day it is, but I think Texas State scores 50. So I like Texas State. All right. Very good. Top Cassale from Sportsline at the Top Cassale on X. Great stuff there. And we're going to go over all these drastic line moves we're seeing in the NFL getting you set for week 18 on the Bekkul Network. You're listening to Bekkul Daily with Joe Wastrowski and Sam Paniatovic presented by BetMGM. The Sportsbook born in Vegas. [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [MUSIC] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] [BLANK_AUDIO] Welcome back to Bette QL Daily with Joe Ostrowski and Sam Penny Autovitch, presented by Bette MGM. The sports book Born in Vegas. >> Joe Sammy P here. We've got lightning bets coming up in 20 minutes for this Monday. There's a bowl game, the final Monday Night Football game of the year here on Bette QL Daily, get to that coming up. We should address what happened about what a half hour ago, where we were all dead or gone. I don't know what was on the air. I don't know what happened, I was talking and then I'm like, I don't think anybody's here. Look, we're both frozen, nothing is happening. So yeah, we eventually got things worked out. But Sam, you saw this tweet from one of our loyal listeners and viewers. >> Very good tweet from Mike Bette. Did Jake turn around too fast and knock out equipment in the storage closet they gave him? Question mark, very valid tweet, very good. Jake, Jake, I will see you tomorrow. I will be back in the broom closet tomorrow. >> Why? >> And then I got on Thursday and Friday, ideally. Well, I woke up a little late today and I thought to myself, I'll go in Tuesday. I'll go in Tuesday. >> So is everybody getting you the floor? >> Are you in a house right now, everybody's leaving you alone for three hours? It's probably a pain as far as that goes. >> It's just a couple of rooms though, we're downtown, so it's nothing crazy. >> Okay. >> No dogs, no kids, none of that, so. Yeah, very quiet, but tomorrow I would like to come back and sit on Jake's lap and do the show the way it's supposed to be. >> True Santa. [LAUGH] >> Exactly, that by the way, Jake, that sign behind you. It looks like it's straight up and down, it is not. That is the most angled band, oh, it's bent, that sign is at like a 45 degree angle. >> It's like a 45 degree angle. [LAUGH] >> Really? >> It all works for a lot of time with me. >> When Sam has it behind him, it's basically hitting him in the head. >> Yes, I don't even understand the point of it. We're not even the bet. Don't I say bet QL network? I don't know, there's a lot of questions I had. >> I'm pretty sure the bet was like four iterations of this network ago, so. >> Yeah, yeah, but we still have the side everywhere. >> So, do we know what happened though, did the mouse get in and chew the wires? Is that what happened? Is that what we're gonna go with? >> Paul's not here, that's what happened. >> Paul's not here. >> Yeah, so can we blame Paul? >> The Beatles tried to tell us Paul is a dead man, miss him, miss him. I mean that they did try and tell us that a long time ago. >> True. >> Nobody knows, apparently nobody knows what happened. I don't know, I don't know, but we gotta fix in short order. You can blame Gertch if you want. >> Gertch is really quick, Gertch immediately said blame Paul. So, that makes me think that Gertch is maybe deflecting a little bit. >> Okay, boss, I also, I'd like to address one more thing if we can about the show, and then we can move on. >> Yeah, Gertch, Gertch got us hard with the JLC Ramaly bump bag. That was a shiv in my side, I was not expecting that. But I guess that's what happens, Joe, when we make fun of Indiana for a week. We get Gertch to turn on us. >> Yeah, apparently. I've had enough of the Ramaly, I just. And then we're gonna have to do it for the playoffs too. I'll be fine, I'll have a strong opinion on that, but it's just the bit that won't end, it won't die. People are doing tweet threads, and it's just get this in the bloodstream more. >> I couldn't, I was on Twitter last night, because it was the end of an NFL game. And it's all about, to me, I wanted to talk about the game at hand, the game that we just watched, where another dog dies in overtime. And the fallout from that and all the commentary about the commanders and Michael Pennics. And then Femi's tweeting eight times about the Ramaly. >> Why last night? >> Is that the first, is that the first future he ever hit? I don't understand, come on, man, my timeline was just Femi, Femi, Femi, Femi, Ramaly, Ramaly, Ramaly, and they didn't even play last night. >> Was it 50 to one? >> No. >> What was the price? That was a good hit, it was a good call. >> I'm happy they won. >> But, Sunday night, Ramaly victory lap. So when, yeah, it didn't really matter after Saturday, right? And nothing changed. >> I'm happy that they won their bet. I'm happy that people that listen to their show won money. >> Yes. >> I also didn't need eight tweets about it. >> Well, be happy that you didn't tweet something about the Giants. Because I just can't, you're like, I saw this tweet, I'm like, I can't find it. Because these Giants fans are off their freaking rocker. >> What did you do to the Giants fans? >> No, it was just, because yesterday's SAC1 gets to 2000, it was a big game. >> Oh, the tweet about the GM, right? >> Yeah, and with the video. >> That's still going? >> Yeah, it has 11,000 likes, 1.4,000 retweets. And 2.5 million views, just like, I guess they did all the Giants fans didn't watch hard knocks, the offseason version with Joe Shane justifying we got to move on from SAC1 Barkley, and it happens in the division. And then for week 18, it's going to be the Eagles and the Giants. I think he plays, I think he wants to set that record against the Giants. He could break Eric Dickerson's record. He's 101 yards away, I believe. But damn, it's that risky. You are really rolling dice. >> Yeah, I see. >> They're locked in at the two. >> I don't know, I would imagine a guy in Alex Smith who comes on our show and listens to our show all the time. He asked me yesterday, he's like, what do you think about Barkley? And I said, I started with, I don't know, because I don't know Barkley. I never covered him, I don't really know anybody around him. So I can't speak to something that I don't know. But my guess would be that he wants someone to super bowl more than he wants to break the record. I could be completely wrong on that. I don't know that he's out there touching the ball 30 times in a game against the Giants. So I don't know, you could do both. >> I think they have bigger fish to fry. You're right, 100%, he could do both. If he goes out there and actually, I'm not even going to say it, I don't want to speak it into existence. I would hate to see something bad happen to him in a meaningless game. That's all I'm going to say. I also, let me, since we brought up Barkley. So if I win the $30,000 on Barkley for offensive player of the year, how many tweets do I do now? >> [LAUGH] >> I knew that this was going. >> Whoo! >> They got it, you know, maybe one. >> How many times did you bet it? >> Actually, geez, three. >> Yeah, that's awesome. >> Yeah, I just, I need to know the rules now. What are the rules? >> You can do whatever you want when it's $30K. $30K, fine. Yeah, I don't have a problem with that. What were you thinking? >> No, I won't, I mean, I won't. >> You got to do at least one. >> Well, is I thinking, I don't know, I mean, I just, I'm being facetious, obviously. >> I see minus 10,000 out there, so I think you're good. >> Well, the only other guy that scared me was Chase. And we bet him, in week two, you and I at like 50 to 1. >> Yep. >> So that would have been, that was 200 at 50 to 1. So if he would have won, it would have been 10. Yeah, we just bet it a lot, 20, 25, and then there was a 35, actually. After betting 20 and 25, somebody moved to 35, and bet a little bit of that. But these are little bets. But I mean, as you know, somebody who's hit Solaire and Robbie Ray and, you know, bets like that, it doesn't take a lot. It, you know, 50 or 70 or 100 to 1. Now, I, Barkley was never that high. But I just thought him going to that team with that offensive line was a no brainer. So we'll see. >> But that made your NFL season, that, that, that made your NFL season. >> That NFL sucked this year for me. I'm like 500 sides and totals. >> Yeah, same, and like I, as transparent as can be about it. But between Travis Hunter and Saquan Barkley, it's one of the best seasons I've ever had. [LAUGH] >> Why, why aren't we just doing futures? [LAUGH] >> Futures daily. >> Yeah, I mean, my God, incredible hits. Yeah, what a great year for you, awesome. Now, we started off the combo before the mice got us about how we're dialing it back for week 18 and, you know, I don't think that's bad advice for anybody. But let's take a look at some of these big movers that we've already seen for these week 18 lines. They're only handful of games that are actually worth, worth something. We're something big is on the line here, but as far as the biggest movers. Yeah, so we've got, let's see, New England Buffalo. Dang, this is really coming down. So now it is Buffalo minus three. I see pinnacle Buffalo minus one after opening at five and a half at New England next week. Why, because the bills are locked into the two. So the expectation is Josh Allen sits along with a number of other bill starters. And I would agree with that if McDermott and company ends up doing that. Well, what about the New England side, Sam? What do you think here? Like my Patriots buddy texted me yesterday. He's like, you think Drake May is going to play? I was like, what would you do? He's like, I wouldn't play him. I said, I wouldn't play him either. You learned everything you hope to get out of the season. He has no O line, no weapons. He left the game on Saturday against the Chargers. And there are people speculating maybe he got a concussion. I don't think Drake may plays and they're betting Drake may. They're betting New England right now. I have no idea what to do in the game. And the total, they opened it pretty low and it's come lower. So the look ahead total was 43 and a half. They re-popped it up yesterday in Vegas of 41 and a half. And now we're sitting 40 at a lot of places. I don't expect a lot from Buffalo. I don't, I mean, what is there for Buffalo to do? Go out there and get this offense that has been clicking all season. That probably has the MVP at quarterback. Go out and get them banged up going into the playoffs. I probably bet under 40. I mean, it is Monday. We have six days to go. Yep. And there's actually some 40 and a half in the market. So if you're going to bet under, get under 40 and a half. I don't know where the number closes, but I imagine it's lower than 40. That's my guess at least. And you also think about this. You have January, Foxboro, you know, if that weather percolates and things get worse than maybe expected. I mean, there was a game last year between the Patriots and Jets. The total was 29 and a half. No, that won't happen with Buffalo. I mean, the Jets and Patriots were horrendous last year. It was, who was even starting? Like Zach Wilson and Bailey Zapier, whoever. I can't even remember. I didn't watch the game. It was the last game of the season. I imagine this goes lower. So if I were to bet it and had to bet it, I would bet under right now at 40 and a half. So we were just talking about the Ramley. The Ramley is a three point dog hosting Seattle. And it opened with the Rams as the favorite. I don't know. Yeah, I'll be. Yeah, I'll just. I'll wait. I'll wait to just bomb against them in the playoffs. Yeah, exactly. With you there, Denver Casey. Chiefs have the one. They locked it up on Christmas day. It goes from Denver needing a win to get into the playoffs again. We're here again. Denver opened minus six and a half. Betem Jim has Denver minus nine and a half. I see some books already at double digits and going past that. Take 10, would you? You can right now. You could take 10 at multiple places. Who the hell is playing? Okay. When it gets confirmed, my home's out. Let's say Kelsey out. Maybe worthy. Chris Jones. All these guys are not playing. Does the number continue to go up? I mean, not to 13, 14, right? I wouldn't think. I mean, it's possible if we see that Kansas City starting the practice squad. I guess it's possible. I don't know, 10 is where I'm willing to go. Because remember, this opened six and a half last night. So we're already 10. Is it going to move a full touchdown? I don't know. I know some guys that would bet 13 and bet it very nice. So it's hard. It's hard to think it gets that high. But I guess we'll see. Yeah, I'm surprised by this one. The Chargers numbers going up. They locked their playoff spot on Saturday when they steamrolled New England. And it goes from Chargers minus three and a half to five and a half. They're finishing the season at Vegas, a team that just won back-to-back games taking out New Orleans yesterday. They actually had a rushing attack in that one. But I don't really see much to play for. They're not winning a division. They're in the playoffs. Why are they betting the Chargers now up to five and a half? I don't know why they're betting the Chargers. I also don't know. I don't know why this Packers line is so high against Chicago. Oh, yeah. I don't know why it's almost 10. I mean, the Packers don't really have anything to play for. They have nothing, literally nothing to play for. They're going to be the six or the seven. And it has nothing to do with the result of this game. I would never lay almost 10 with the Packers in this spot. And we don't like the Bears. Probably just stay away. Play Caleb? Yes. This is week 18, guys. Welcome. Let's just get to the playoffs. It's going to be a rough one. All right. Lightning bets are next Monday night football. And we've got a bowl game this afternoon. We'll talk about both on the other side. This is the Beck Ewell Network. You're listening to Beck QL Daily with Joe Ostrowski and Sam Paniatovitch, presented by BetMGM, the Sportsbook born in Vegas. [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] There were 16 entries knocked out in the Circus Survivor. So now, say I'm going into week 18, there are 18 left. They're playing for the $14.3 million, but going into week 18, there are 18 left. They only have to make one more pick. The implied value on those 18 entries is almost $800,000. I asked my buddy last night, I was over with him earlier in the day. He's one of the guys I go in with on Survivor, and I said, are we doing this again next year? Because if you really add up the ones in the Vegas contest, we've lost thousands of dollars on it. And we split, and so the bottom line isn't as bad as it appears, but we did two entries this year, we did two entries the year before. I've done entries by myself. I have never won a Circus Survivor, nor do I think I will. I don't know that we're going to be doing the big one next year. I don't know. You didn't do it this year, right? No, I did it. I just look at it as the big one. I thought you sat out and did a bunch of other ones. Oh, okay. No, no, I did the big one. Who signed me up? Radia signed me up when the show went, when Bernstein and got it homes at the time, we're out there. Yes. So, dude, you know, many times I've been eliminated this year. No many times everybody's been eliminated with all these revivals and all that stuff. It feels impossible. It does. But I just know with the hype and when it hits 10 million and 12 million that I'm going to probably cave and and join into. It is what it is. Maybe I'll get a partner this time. Maybe that's what what ends up being different. I mean, I would chop these people chopping. I'm curious if that story is going to come out. Now you're down to 18 before it was too many people alive to chop. But they're all guaranteed almost a million right now. And speaking of luck, eight people should also be out that took the Rams because the Rams got another goal line stand victory. So I'm looking at the list. Cold 16 Rams eight. That would have been 24 people knocked out. And what a left 10. I mean, you can't, I obviously were an anti ram show this year, but you can't sit here and tell me that you weren't lucky to win Rams money line and survivor. You were like, don't lie to yourself. You need so much luck to get all the way through and to survive. No matter what team you bet, you need these bounces to go your way. You do. I went out in one of the entries in week two, when the lions went, I believe, Oh, of seven in the red zone against Tampa. I remember the lions. If the lions played a hundred times, they would go over seven in the red zone twice. Yep. Look what they did all year. In my original survivor pool that had over 1600 entries. It got knocked down to four yesterday. And all four of them reached out. And they wanted, they want to chop. That is almost $75,000. So they're just going to chop it instantly. I mean, evenly. They don't want to play out nothing on the line week 18. So they're ending it right now. They'll each get over $18,000. That's pretty good. They got here. And they're like, OK, this is enough. There were a couple that were like, Nope, don't want to chop. They were eliminated with that Colts game. So now they're down to four out of 1634, and they're going to get over 18 grand each. It's a nice win. That's the temptation with survivor, you know, a $50 entry could get you 18 to 20 grand somewhere in that picture, even higher. So yes, survivors certainly winding down. It's going to be curious some of the stories that happened with the circa one going for the $14 million. So we can go right into lightning bets, I guess. I figured we'd talk a little bit about the music city ball, but I'm thinking that you're going to mention a play here, because you got some information on the music city ball. Well, we alluded to this earlier, there have been some rumblings about Missouri being out and about Nashville for the last few days. I believe those rumblings. I also have somebody that's a very nice vade that has played Missouri, nine ways from Sunday, put it that way. I sent you the bets, right? You saw the bets. Yes. I just, it's crazy playing one side, a million different ways. Is that just because you can only bet so much on one bet? Now let's do another one. Let's do another two team parlay. Let's do another first half. Let's do money line. Let's do this, that. I looked at all the ways that this guy is betting this game, and I just, I thought I have to bet the other way. Missouri, straight Missouri money line, first half money line, first half the point, and then Missouri in three round robin parlays. What did I football? So, I'm betting Iowa. Iowa Lightning bet Iowa. I have bet Iowa plus two and a half. I was going to bet Iowa to begin with from the things that I've heard about going on in Tennessee. This was, this was just the exclamation point at, you know, 10 30 a.m. Central time. This game kicks off. Be careful. It kicks off in a few hours. It's an early one. I am on Iowa plus two and a half. Fully expecting Joe. This to be a 17 16 final either way. Okay. Very good. I'll probably tell you on that one. Nothing on Monday night. I thought about that four string running back to score a touchdown at 16 to one. What's his name again? I forget, Viaca, yeah, him, yeah, him. I know it's not what people want. It's not what people are betting on everywhere I turn. Jamere Gibbs props, this and that. Why the hell would Gibbs play in this game? Other than Dan Campbell being a moron. I still believe that cooler heads will prevail. Whether it's ownership, whether it's the front office getting to him. This game tonight means nothing. That is why the number is assured at three and a half. If it was week 14 same situation, it means something. This line tire. So that's why we're stuck here at three and a half because it means nothing. It's all about next week for Detroit to get the number one. They went today. Do they get the one? No, doesn't matter. San Francisco, the season's over for, you know, damn near half the roster. They put Trent Williams on IR the other day. So what are we going to get tonight? I'm holding out hope that the line started to play a half and then they sit, whether it becomes a blowout for whatever they're like, look, the game's not worth anything. What are we doing here? We already lost Montgomery. We've lost how many guys to IR this year? All of our players on defense. We're really going to keep doing this for what? For what, Dan? It's all next week. So I think cooler heads prevail and they sit, guys. The Niners defense doesn't give much up in terms of passing game. Last seven games are giving up 167 yards per game. I know this Lions offense is explosive. We all understand that, but I'm going to play golf under 250 and a hook. I mean, they've limited guys like Love and Baker and Josh Allen and Staffie into a two pretty low passing totals. So I'm going to say that they're going to do it again and maybe golf only plays half the game. I'm playing golf under 250 and a half. And we talked about going down the depth chart. And if you shop around, you can find some ridiculous touchdown prices. You just mentioned Vaki at 16 to one. We talked about Alan Robinson. I know Jake took him at 24 to one. Craig Reynolds plus 650 for an anytime touchdown. He's the backup who's already seeing playing time to Mayor Gibbs. So, you know, Brock Wright. I could see him sitting Laporta. These are some of the names that that I'll be putting a little bit something on. You know, Tim Patrick, he's been scoring a bunch of touchdowns. And you can still get him at three to one for an anytime score in this game. So that's going to be my approach. I'm not doing side. I'm not doing total in this game. I'm just going to be taking a look at some of these long shot props with guys further down the depth chart in this game. And then hopefully it is not like Thursday, not like a few weeks ago on Thursday night football where there are no touchdown score. Because we've seen that way too many times this year. We've seen it with San Francisco. So that's how I'm going to be played. I'll just be looking at some of the player props in this one. I'm on Ross St. Brown. She didn't play much. He shouldn't. A ton of guys that shouldn't play. We'll find out what they end up doing. Jake, are you doing anything for Monday night football or college football today? Just the touchdowns that we talked about, Vaki and Robinson at huge numbers. Why not? Let's go. Let's get even more masters coverage. Let's do that. That'd be a lot of fun. Jake, you also have the green light to go on a spree when you hit one of your master's futures because the Jake Paul Packers, Moneyline with Sheffler, Rahmer, Brooks or Bryson, any of them. Yeah, it'd be fun. Thank you all. Thank you all futures. So we are now. What what did final minute? What did you see in the Sayoung market that popped? I will I will be betting Michael King at twenty to one to win the end. Oh, sayoung. He's one of the best pitchers, if not the best pitcher in the second half last year with two one five year a strikes a ton of guys out. That'll be a bet for me for sure. I'm going to have interest in all the price that we are all waiting on. That's that's what I mean. Skins. Yep, three to one. That's your open next closest to Zach Wheeler at eight to one. Like that's three to one. Basically what we expected. Scoobles four to one for Ale, the favorite. So it's both of them. No. Yeah, that ain't have croche. What's croche. Ale at six. Yeah, croche. I figured he's like in favorite. Man, how much are they going to push him this year if they give him a full season? Yep. He'll be right up there. Good stuff there. Thank you, Jake. All right, we'll be back tomorrow. Again, the schedule will be here Tuesday. No show on Wednesday. Then we'll finish out the week. Joe. Oh, Sammy P says the Beck Hill network. 89% of business leaders say AI is a top priority. The right choice is crucial, which is why teams at one third of Fortune 500 companies use Grammarly. Grammarly is the right AI assistant for your team with top tier security credentials and 15 years of experience in responsible AI. Grammarly is how companies like yours increase productivity while keeping data protected and private. See why 70,000 teams trust Grammarly at Grammarly.com/enterprise.
Joe & Sam welcome Tom Casale to talk CFP & Bowl Bets, recap the 2024 NFL season & look ahead to the playoff picture, and share their Lightning Bets during hour 3 of BQLD.
To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
