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My head is absolutely spinning with all these games that actually mean something, the ones that don't, as the lines are moving further and further, how are certain coaches going to handle it, what they've done in the past. It's, man, it's a mind something. Yeah, I mean, in a normal week, I am a big proponent of getting ahead in certain spots. So like I will be working by Thursday night. I'm usually working on the week ahead, not the games coming up in two or three days, but the following 10 days. It was really impossible to do much of that this week. The lines were kind of all over the place like people did. Yeah, obviously with the way the NFL has changed the playoffs, seating and the scheduling, it really makes week 18, which is always tough. I think it's taken it to another level, especially if you like to jump ahead of stuff like me. So yes, figuring out like when would Sean Payton be comfortable enough to take his foot off the gas? Like at a certain point, does Andy Reed say, Hey, Carson Wentz, I'm not risking you anymore. You know, here's door number three, door number four. It's just, I don't, we're going to have to gather more information on a lot of these games where something's at stake for one team or something's quasi at stake for one team, like Washington, like, I mean, they just beat the Eagles. You know what I mean? Like I get it. Would you rather play the Rams? Yeah. But then it, it could be short week, right? It could be long travel. Like they know the Eagles really well. Hurches missed a lot of practice time lately. Like I don't know. Like, are you, are you going crazy with this kid who clearly is the complete difference maker for your franchise, making sure you go all out to beat the Cowboys? Like, I don't know. I don't know. Like it's a tricky, tricky week. I do know that overs cash like crazy in the NFC South. And we've got two NFC South division games where the better team is still alive for the division. So I have jumped those overs. And I like the Bengals. I'm getting, you know, I grabbed that two and a half. I just Tomlin like, nobody's going to care if he won nine games or 10 games, right? They're going to care. Did you do something in the playoffs? Like, I, he's pretty conservative at his core. I just don't know how much he's going to be out to go into the playoffs with momentum versus try to win in the playoffs. And and Joe Burrow destroys his defense the last four or five times he's faced them. And I just, you know, Pittsburgh put up 44 points to beat them last time. I don't think Pittsburgh could score 44 points in three games against most NFL teams right now. So those are the three plays I've made. Hey, football fans bet MGM is giving you the chance to win up to $250,000 in bonus bets. 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Like, I want to get a little time to gather. Like, where is he? Like, if he wants costs, who wants to play this whole game, you know, and look, this is not college. You don't have 120 kids on your sideline. Like, they're going to be better defensive players who have to play part of this game. Like, as I get a better sense of it, and I do think you can glean some things, especially if you know some of the personalities by how they conduct themselves when they meet the press. I want to get a feel for where Andy Reid is a little bit this week before I probably go there. But yeah, I mean, are they going to get totally embarrassed at Arrowhead? And on the other side, Sean Payton, like, if Bowdynix gets hurt in this game, what is he going to do? Like, that colors everything, right? I mean, no one's going to give a damn that you made the playoffs if he's not starting that playoff game. So what is the cutoff point? Yeah, it's fascinating. Like, recently, it feels like there are a lot of coaches that have decided, man, the seating doesn't really matter. If it's not the one, how much is the seating really matter? Like, we've seen smart guys like McVay certainly take that approach. I did want to hit on the big game of the day. There were a couple good ones, but, you know, obviously a bad card. We talked about it on yesterday's show, but Minnesota Green Bay. And that means something and it determines what is on the line, which ends up being nothing as far as tonight. But I'm really interested in the Green Bay side. Yes, we know Minnesota can get the one, but against the Vikings, against the Lions, against the Eagles, Packers 0 and 5 straight up this year. Like, love has had some strong second halves, but they haven't been able to take down these top teams. And now they're staring at a six or seven seat. All right. Look at the Packers as a fade in the playoffs, because they would have to go on the road and take down probably all these teams. Yeah, I have to see the match ups first. I mean, I thought they'd win that game. You know, coulda woulda shoulda. I did grab the plus seven and a half at halftime. So I mitigated some of my pregame money line losses and almost came through all the way. Yeah, I mean, it seems like there's a level of class, right, that they haven't been able to rise to. They're 0-4-1 against the spread in the division. I mean, that game this weekend with Chicago, I don't know. I don't think like I'll probably just stay away. I don't think Green Bay is out to prove anything or show anything. And after the playoff run last year, I don't know that LaFloor is sitting there, you know, freaking out about who he's played. He's seen the best teams in the NFC, like he knows what he's up against. The one in Brazil was a weird one. You know, I mean, that one was weird as hell. I mean, both those teams have changed a lot since they played on a soccer pitch in Brazil in the summer. But I don't know, man. Like, I the weird thing about him is the part that keeps getting me is they can play a C minus game against a really good team for a half. And you still come down and say, man, they were one play away from winning. They were a late field goal away from winning. So I'm kind of still probably on their line. They probably still have me. I don't know that I'll be taking them on the money line in the playoffs, but depending on the matchup, but if they're getting enough points, I'm probably going to be on them. This is a little off the beaten path, but I was laughing so hard yesterday. It drew lock five touchdowns. The organization wants no part of a win. And the players and the coach are like, yeah, you take your number one pick and shove it, buddy. Like, how funny was that, man? The giants are so close to picking first. And and now it's probably not going to be number one. Yeah. And you've got the Raiders winning too. Like it just seems like that. That's how it goes. I mean, that's the other. I mean, you're looking at the Giants and the Raiders thinking, all right, you know, somebody's taking Colorado, somebody's taking Miami. There's your quarterbacks. And Robert Kraft, as humiliating as that was on Saturday, like they've now got an inside run at the one seed and they're they like that quarterback. They should like that quarterback. I mean, he may be able to swing a pretty handsome trade and get a lot in return and still drop back a few spots and get whatever defensive player he whatever non quarterback he may want. So yeah, it's crazy this time of year how quickly that stuff flips. Look, I didn't bet it, but I almost bet the under in that Colts Giants game. I'm like, eh, you know, Flacco's toast, true lock stinks. And what did they put up 70 points? I mean, it's why it's gambling. Those games right there, Jason, that would just a quick reminder to me is someone in a city where they fired the coach. It's been a disaster. People are laughing at them. I'm like, fine. At least they're losing because I'd be really pissed if they were winning. Jacksonville. They know they're firing Peterson. They keep Peterson and they're fighting at the end. We we think that they're firing Pierce. I don't if they win three in a row, well, they I don't know. They're crazy out there. Are they going to fire him? I don't know. And they're winning at the end. And then Dave all gets that win yesterday. I felt like those three examples yesterday were an example of if you plan on firing the guy, just do it. Agreed. Agreed. No, we've seen we've seen people fall into that trap before, especially when it started happening so early this year. So you can hide behind keeping up with the Joneses. I don't want people to get a jump on me. I'd rather not be looking for this guy's replacement in the dark. We're going to already start running stuff, you know, not through back channels, but straight up. Yeah, we're talking to agents. Yeah, we're we're we're getting our ducks in a row. Yeah, we're thinking about that interviewing process. We're not waiting till the end of the year to try to do it all in five days before we start talking to people. When you're that bad and the guy has been cast that long, I agree completely. You know, a guy like Pierce hasn't been there that long. I mean, that that's and he did such a good job last year. You know, that's a tough one. Like, Dable, I think we've kind of seen, right? His goal was to find a quarterback like they they're a million miles from having a quarterback right now. Jacksonville. Yeah, I don't know, you know, he had to fire urban Myers so early in the season. Maybe that scarred him, but they're they're a mess. I mean, that they are they're a mess in Jacksonville. Yeah, I'm with you. I remember you can hear her telling those players in Jacksonville that they wouldn't have started at Ohio State. What a jag what a jag he was. No pun intended. So we talked about this during the break tonight, right? Detroit San Francisco and we don't know how long these starters are going to play. The books don't know. There's huge ranges on backup backs and backup receivers. You've been so wrapped up in week 18 and playoff implications and all that. I don't know that anybody knows the truth in Detroit for what's going to happen tonight, but I guess if you had to guess, what would you what would you predict in terms of who plays and how long? I mean, I think Dan Campbell is pretty firm in his beliefs and he wants to win football games. He wants to win them in a aggressive manner and he's not one to take his foot off the gas very often. I mean, we can just go back to the last time he was in San Francisco. And what are they running for 186 yards in that game? And if they had run the ball five, seven, eight more times, like most people think they should have, they probably run for over 200 yards and they probably go to a Super Bowl. So when when, you know, when would the average person say enough enough? When would Dan Campbell say enough enough? I don't even know if Dan Campbell absolutely knows. I mean, game flow does a guy get hurt early in that game? And all of a sudden, he's talking to his assistants and they're like, boss, you know, the time and place ready. Like, does he something happen? And he talks to the GM at halftime in the locker room and they're like, all of a sudden that plan changes. I look, the Lions are a far superior football operation to the 49ers. They're across the board. And I think Kyle Shanahan at this point in time is it just wants the highest draft pick he can get. So the three and a half still doesn't really scare me. Like, I mean, though I can see the Lions up 24 or three at the half, like 21, three at the half. It really wouldn't shock me. I haven't played the first half yet for Detroit, laying whatever I'm going to have to lay. I hope I can still get two and a half out there. But I will certainly look into that. You know, I still think I'm on Ross St. Brown, probably catches the touch down past before he departs this football game. You know, I think Kittle is kind of like the thing in that passing game now. And you look at Purdy at home and what what he's been doing this year and who's getting the targets lately? Like, you know, they're giving you pretty good plus money on six catches for Kittle, like, I'm into that. And yeah, it still wouldn't surprise me if the Lions embarrass these guys. Jason, we got about 30 seconds. You're close to the Ravens covering them on a daily basis. How hard are they going to go for a win against Cleveland, revenge factor, three seed, all that on the line? I'm going to go for a win, but 17 and a half and rising like I don't I can't do that, man. I can't, I can't go there. Even the first half will probably end up being so egregious that I don't know. But like, yeah, they're going to win the game. I'll play some Lamar props. I think he can get two passing touchdowns in the first half of this game. Even if that he's probably going to play into the third quarter. So I will, I will lean into props in that game. But those numbers are bonkers. Man. Yeah, certainly. All right, Jason, Jason Laka for a Odyssey NFL insider. I'm with him every Sunday morning with him in Kate Constable. I'm Ben MGM game day right here on the Beck you all network. Best of luck tonight. We'll talk on next week. All right. Thanks, gentlemen.
Audacy NFL Insider Jason La Canfora joins the show, to discuss his insight, analysis, and top takeaways from this weekend's action and the upcoming week.
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