NFL Week 18 is here folks, the final full slate of the NFL. Stay tuned for expert injury analysis, breakdown for Monday Night Football and some early line locks. Welcome Dejan Toren, why? What we love to do here, let's talk injuries. We're in IU, ACL, MCL, multi-lifting, injury, D.D.O.P. for season. Gosh, Oliver, anytime touchdown, plus we need 15 to attend to one earlier. From a Denver standpoint, little defense to get hands on, welcome to the official Dejan D.D.O. Red Zone, bitching now. The only thing I want to bitch about is basically, they were so bad that C.D. was just, I mean, he had a decent day. Let's get this off the screen here, this is right here. I'm going to hijack this, we're going to go to the professor's office hours. Whoa! Come back in here. This NFL Week 18 injury rundown and betting preview edition of the Dejan D.D.O.K.S. on the sports game podcast network is brought to you by underdog fantasy. Sign up with promo code S G P N D.O.K. to get a 50% deposit bonus up to $1,000. We're also brought to buy rhythm, the leader in data-driven picks and props. Get your seven day free child today and we're going to sports gambling podcast.com/RITHM. Welcome Dejan's far and wide to another edition of Dejan D.D.O.K.S. What is up folks? I am one of your hosts here at the OG Dejan D.D.O.K himself and more importantly, I am joined by my brother in Dejan D.D.O.K.S. Mr. Derek Bennett AKA Professor Locks. Not too bad, not too bad, got another I'll say interesting game tonight. I don't know what to really think about this in Dan Campbell says the boys are playing. So the boys are playing, but we will be getting into that and much more. Look, hey, congratulations to anybody who actually, not congratulations. Cheers to all of you, cheers to you my friend, cheers to everyone who won their fantasy football championship, cheers to anyone who makes it lost, whatever, if you're hanging out with us, cheers to you. NFL week 18 is really a week for the sickos because shit is going to get weird. All right, so and it might start tonight with some money on football, I know it's still wrapping up NFL week 17, but man, let me tell you one thing, one, the whole motivation angle as we saw may not, it's not simple, right NFL guys for money. These are real grown men playing for pride, playing for potentially their last game of their career. They don't give a shit about tanking as my New York Giants definitely this weekend, which we'll get into. What's a couple of spots in the draft? Yeah, what's a franchise quarterback? Who needs them? Right? Geez. But we're going to talk a lot a lot here. We're going to do, you know, we'll talk a little college, we're going to do some playoff, look ahead, injury run down, of course, going through all the big injuries for this week. We're going to give out a couple of seating situations there, we're talking about what we've already bet, what we like for week 18. And then of course, we will wrap up at the end with Monday night football breakdown and best bets. So we've got a jam-packed show, folks. So you're locked in, look, we started off last episode talking about giving you the little tip of a, you know, fave pit in the bowl game, they're playing their QB3, looked to be an easy win. It was a win, but it got a little sweaty. It went with a little sweaty towards the end there, it turned out to be a stud. Guy had never taken a collegiate snap, but we did get the win to lead a one in six overtime. So, you know, even if we just got you to watch that game, we feel like we did our job because that game was probably one of the most entertaining games we've seen. But hey, you know, if your team's going to suck, might as well make money. Army came through one more time for me, man, they were playing Louisiana Tech, they had a great season, 33 touchdowns or 33 or 32 for Bryce and Daley, the leader in touchdowns on the season. We'll see what Ashley Gente does at 31 right now, but a great season for those army black knights. And speaking of the minor leagues, let's talk about a little bit college football just really quickly, folks. We've got starting tomorrow with the Penn State Boise State game at night, then we've got three games on Wednesday, man. So hopefully you have off work, hopefully you'll already hear what you got to do. You got to take the wife, the spouse, whatever out to a nice dinner on Tuesday, Tuesday night early, make that reservation for like 430, say, you know, get that early bird special, make her out, treat her nice because you tell her from about 8 p.m. Tuesday to, you know, midnight of Wednesday, fuck the ball drop and we got college football. All right. But really quick. Just give me your picks. We don't even have to talk spread. Tell me the four teams you think advanced to the college football playoff semi finals. Yeah. I think the big two that I think will really be highlighting this weekend is obviously Ohio State and Oregon that might as well be a semi final game might might as well be a national championship game for all in sense of purposes. Yeah. I think the Buckeyes get some revenge in that one and put it on Oregon, their defensive line has just been falling out and I think they do to get to Daniel or Gabriel this time around a little bit more frequently, put some more pressure on him and get the dub Texas. I like what Skata Bose doing, but that's a whole different animal in Texas. So I think the Longhorns move on as well. Penn State Boise State, I think is the interesting one for me. I think Boise State, yes, they have a pretty, or have had a pretty weak schedule up until this point. You know, they did give Oregon probably the best run for the money outside of the Buckeyes up there in Eugene early on. But I do think Penn State just has a little bit too much for Boise State, especially with that week off, you know, just sometimes it doesn't necessarily go as we planned in terms of rest. These guys haven't played in three weeks. So give me Penn State in that one. And then the Notre Dame Georgia game is probably that second game that I was talking about. That one could get interesting. I think Georgia's defense is probably the best unit going to be on the field. But what are we going to get out of the red shirt freshman quarterback for Georgia, right? You know, of course, some back was in there. That's an easy one for me, Georgia all the way. But can they get the running game going against that Notre Dame front? And I think I think they do. I think that one's going to be a close one. I don't think there's going to be a whole lot of scoring in that one. I think it's going to be a pretty low scoring. All right. Yeah. So I missed it though. You went with your Buckeyes over Oregon? Oh, yeah. Yeah. I figured I figured it was going to be in a homer really quick for me. You know, I am on all the dogs this week as far as spreads as far as straight up money lines. I like Notre Dame to advance. You talked about it, you know, red shirt, freshman or sophomore quarterback, whatever the fuck he was. He's got one thing he can do. He can use his legs. We saw him try to pass did not look good. This is not the same Georgia team as last year. I don't think there is dominant on defense. I don't think there is dominant at the line of scrimmage. I think Notre Dame can hang with them. I think Notre Dame has a fifth year or quarterback and Riley Medard. I think that's going to be the difference. Give me Notre Dame there. Give me Oregon to stay perfect. Ohio State played an amazing game. I don't think they can do it consistently this year with Will Howard. I think Ryan Day is going to try to do something stupid like he does. That is going to be a close game though. That is the only one that I really don't have a strong conviction. Hey, don't be hating on my guy Ryan Day. I mean, don't lean anywhere. If you want to keep leaning as a woman, I have many big games either. I'm saying. That's true. That's true. But I do like Dylan Gabriel and that entire team. I just think the line of scrimmage plays a little bit better on Oregon side of the ball. But I do think Texas and Penn State, unfortunately, get it done. I think those games are closer than the spread indicates. If anything Boise State would be the one I would pick to win outright, but you're right. I think Kenny Dillingham, great coach. I just think the talent gap is a bit too much there. Yeah, that's what we got for it. Cause while playoffs, feel free folks. Get the chat popping. Give us your opinions. Who do you think is moving on college football playoffs as we get onto the National Football League really quickly as we get onto this national football league. We are going to talk, bitching our, but before that, I want, you know, playoffs are right around the corner. Give me your top three AFC and top three NFC quick power rankings. Who's got the best shots when the Super Bowl start with the NFC? NFC is in my opinion, the, the tougher conference to choose a top three. I think AFC is pretty, pretty straightforward, but as far as the NFC, definitely give me the Philadelphia Eagles. I really think it might just all depend on who ends up winning that week 18 game between Minnesota and Detroit, whoever ends up with the one seed, I will probably end up taking now and so it, if it's right now, give me the Vikings. I think they're just playing better right now that they're definitely the more healthy team. Number one, I would probably go Minnesota. Yeah. Um, but I honestly, I think, uh, Philly, Minnesota, and then I just don't think Detroit can go three straight games against top level talent without dropping a game with their, their defense right now. So I would probably go, ooh, um, give me the Rams, give me the Rams over in Detroit at three. Yep. You're insane. All right. Mine are pretty, pretty easy. Um, it's Detroit number one for me, Minnesota to Philadelphia number three. Whoa, whoa, whoa, you're, you're supposed to be the Sam Darnold Hader. He's turning into a pumpkin. I know. He's friends. He said he's turning into a pumpkin for two weeks straight. I know. I know. And he's showing me he's not man. So I just think they're complete teams. I think all three of those teams are complete teams. I think everybody else has one good unit, but they're not complete, right? So my, my dark horse are kind of dark horse love the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would be my dark horse, dirt throw in the NFC and then going over the AFC, I'll lead us off here. Um, Kansas city has to be one. Kansas city has to be one. Um, I go Buffalo too and I go Baltimore three. It's going to be the one, two and three seeds. It's super lame, but I just, you know, I don't really give a shit if it's, you know, the Chargers, Denver, Pittsburgh, whoever's in there, you know, Cincinnati or Miami sneak in. I just don't see it. I think that Kansas city again, most complete team and they've been there before is the key difference. Uh, Buffalo best home environment with their weather at their edge. And then Baltimore is probably the most talented team. They just haven't put it together in the playoffs. Derek Henry helps in the playoffs, a good run game. Uh, you know, their defense secondary has figured it out a bit, but still they're kind of my little bit leaky there. Uh, I would love to say the Steelers as a dark throw, but it's, that's not realistic based on what we've seen the last three weeks. So, uh, one, two and three for me. What about you? Yeah. I, I would agree with the teams definitely a different order for me. I think, uh, Baltimore, like you said, their, their secondary has figured it out. Their run defense has been pretty solid all year. So I'm going to give Baltimore the top spot for me, followed by Kansas city. Like you said, they've been there before. They've done that. They're just kind of dealing with a bunch of nagging things right now, a bunch of nagging injuries. And then they really, until that game against the Steelers, they, they really haven't shown a ton against top rated teams, you know, these teams, they're both those teams played week one. And if it wasn't for, um, Isaiah likely's black shoes against the white background, he's in, right? And Baltimore knocks them off the first week. So I would probably go Baltimore as a Buffalo though. Yes, that's true, but, uh, Baltimore then Kansas city and then Buffalo would be my three seat. I think Josh Allen, although he keeps doing it over and over and over again, that Buffalo defense, uh, gives up way too many fucking points. Yeah. And that's, that's something I did not see, you know, with Milano coming back, I thought that'd be a great opportunity for them to, you know, really shore that up. All right, uh, let's move into a section that I'm going to take over really quickly. Look, I'm not going to, I'm not going to belabor this point, but yes, folks, welcome to the D gen docs, bitching hour. Uh, wait, before you go into your 10 minute rant here, can I just bitch about the, uh, the Cowboys basically laying down against the third string quarterback? Yeah. And the second string. I mean, whatever you want in the second string, and the second string, but yeah, I mean, come on Cooper rush, man. They just couldn't hold the ball. I mean, I think I saw they were saying that you scored on the second drive. You, you look really good. The first drive Cooper rush those picks. Look really good on the second drive score touchdown, you know, tied up and then can't do shit. The rest of the game. Well, I mean, look, I think there was a stats like eight turnovers against Philadelphia this year. Callis had. So clearly, you know, they were, they were not prepared for Philadelphia. Uh, you know, CJ, GJ had to, we had that pick sick. Like they said, uh, Devonta Smith, the two guys who really kind of cost them that game against the commanders. They did step up in a big way. So as much as I'm affiliated, you have to give credit where credit is due. Now, um, I've had a lot of time to process this folks, you know, I'm a science fan, you know, my life has been rough this season. Uh, thankfully I got all you guys and sports gambling to make the NFL season better because my team fucking sucks, or at least I thought they did. But apparently Drew Locke is the fucking next big thing coming to Joe Montana. I mean, what the hell I literally turned to my wife the first five minutes of seeing how intense this defense who has literally missing their three best players, starting safety Tyler Neubin, linebacker, Bobby, okay, Dexter Lawrence, arguably one of the best players in football, all on the IR, they're scrappy. This is better. This defense is run defenses played almost all year, and I turn to my wife and I'm like, they win this fucking day. Oh my goodness. Look, obviously even even the run defense, you still ended up hitting on your JT take, right? I mean, I did hit just John and the tailor over the yards and two touchdowns, you know, I was talking about that. I really liked that. That came through, but he did have like 35 fucking attempts. So it was a lot harder and a lot sweatier than I thought it was going to be. These guys were fighting tooth and nail. I've had a lot of time to think about this obviously I came to terms with it and then we watched Jaden Daniels, which Jaden Daniels, you know, you take the watch in the commanders and you put just about any other quarterback outside of Josh down on the mark, you know, outside the top elite elite elite. That's a five win team that brush defense was awful. The wide receivers, Terry McCorn with him and locked up all night. Zacchaeus, a limited Zacchaeus had a revenge, dude, he was putting the team on his back. That made me upset at what a franchise quarterback could do that I thought about it. It makes sense from the fan point of view. It makes sense from the front office, the coaching point of view of tanking. But you know, it doesn't make sense to anybody who's played any sport. You realize that you never know when your last snap is going to be, when your last play is going to be. And these are guys who this is their live stream. Maybe they're an undrafted rookie. We had a shit ton of like no name dudes out there guys who are just right there like fighting for their livelihood. So on that standpoint, it's like, all right, these guys aren't going to tank. You could tell them whatever that you want, but it was on the Colts. I mean, the Colts had the chance to go to the playoffs. They win that game. They win another game. If Denver loses, it's the Colts going. It's not Miami. It's not Cincinnati. They had a great chance to go to the playoffs and the Colts defense absolutely fucking laid down. I mean, they literally made Drew Locke look competent and it's not happened all season. So you know, as soon as it is as a fan, as someone who's, you know, played football, you know, nothing crazy level, right? But anyone who's been an athlete in their life, you're not telling a group of grown men who go to war every single Sunday to lay down for what? For the potential of somebody to come save them when they may not even be on the team next year. So it sucks as a fan. I fucking hate it. I wanted, can't ward, I'm probably not going to get them. But when you look at it from the athlete perspective, I get it. So that's all I got to say. That's my half hearted, you know, silver lining, fuck my life, a little bit of a ramp. Yeah. So, so now the, the, the giants are in the four hole. If, if we're looking come April and the NFL draft, which, which quarterback are we taken? Nobody. Oh, wait, they're going to be gone. All right. Moving on. Look, folks, before we get to our game, the Steelers will, you know, probably end up cutting Justin Fields. You can have him. I'll take Justin Fields. I mean, shit for as a, as a one year bread quarter, I love how that actually that just made me excited. I love him. Him, Tyrone, Tracy. He's just got to throw a couple of deep balls and neighbors with fun. All right, folks, look, before we move on to the energy run down here, check out the SGPN app. It's got all of our picks and podcasts in one convenient place for free. Just take SGPN in the app store. All right. Let's get on to some of these injuries here. Thankfully, we don't have a ton of some that we're going to touch on. We'll start with the big ones up top, and then we'll kind of breeze through some of these other ones. First off, Aaron Jones, big one, you know, big, big spot at the end of the game there. Vikings need to ice the clock. He's not out there. However, thankfully it seems precautionary called a quad contusion. Are you worried and do you think he plays next week? No, I mean, this, this is a massive game for the Vikings. And if there was anything structurally wrong, this, this is definitely more of a conversation, but this is a bruise. So Aaron Jones being that workhorse back that he is, he's going to give it all he can come Sunday. Yeah. Yeah. I think, you know, Kevin O'Connell kind of reaffirmed this. It was more precautionary. He should be good to go. So right now I'd call Aaron Jones probable and expect him to get, you know, almost a normal workload. Obviously, let's look at the practice club and update on Thursday, but that's what we're at right now. Someone who I'm two guys, so I'm less optimistic about James Connor, you know, he tricked everybody said he was going to play. I mean, for his credit, I mean, the guy fucking give a shot. Yeah. He fought through cancer, like this is a tough dude. He aggravated his knee injury. I would, I mean, I'd be shocked if he plays next week, you know, he's already clearly hobbled. Really nothing to play for. So I would not expect Connor to be out there, maybe Trey Benson gets some burn. You know, some of our guys there. Chase Brown is a big one. No, they match up on Saturday. They've got Pittsburgh and they've got, you know, Cincinnati, he ended up to Pittsburgh there. They're trying to keep their playoff home. Elias Saturday night. We all saw him go down. We thought this was going to help cash our Denver plus three and a half. Clearly things did not work out that way, but high ankle spring, they're calling it a mild injury. I don't know how we feel about high ankle sprains around here. Yes, I do. Where are we at with Chase Brown? Do we think he plays, you know, guts through it? If he does, can he be a factor? Yeah. I mean, I would not be surprised if he tries to give it the good Patrick Mahomes try, right? Yeah. Patrick Mahomes, we just saw him play on a high ankle spring the last couple of weeks and looked pretty damn good. There's a huge difference between a running back and a quarterback when it comes to ankle sprains, right? So like with high ankle sprains, yes, we usually see them out for a more extended period of time, usually multiple weeks, whether it's mild or not. That ankle basically just got stretched out. And you know, from a running back standpoint, anytime you put your, put your foot into the ground to cut, to pivot, to do whatever, that thing's going to be on fire after a couple of goes of that. So, will he warm up? Probably. Will he go? Maybe. Will he be as elusive as he usually is? Probably not. Yeah. No, absolutely. I think he does give it a go because it's all or nothing. It's the last time in the season if they don't go. I don't think he's going to be able to do much, folks. I mean, Derek talked about it. Your mobility is going to be limited. He's going to be in an elevated injury risk. We just saw Justin Herbert try to do it. I know Patrick Mahomes did it. He plays an entirely different position. There's different requirements on the body, on the ankle, on the cutting ability of him, and they were riding Chase Brown. Like they really, you know, both through the receiving and the reasoning. There's a huge difference between Patrick Mahomes taking three or four carries for, you know, 20 yards versus Chase Brown who takes, you know, 15 to 20 easy. It's literally in the hole before he even gets past the line of scrimmage. Like, you know, this is different. It's not a knock on Chase Brown. It's the injury. This is a way more significant injury. So I know they're going in the mild ankle sprain. I do not believe it. Did I finish the game for a reason? Yeah, exactly. Exactly. So all right. The other one to a talk about Loa, it looks like, you know, he's got the hip injury. They said, McDaniel basically said, I don't know what's going to happen. You know, he got hurt against Houston and then he got re-injured against San Francisco, couldn't go this week. They said because of a safety to his own ability to get out of the pocket. So clearly something's hobbled there. So why don't know? We'll see. I mean, I would say he's questionable at this point. Yeah. Obviously it's a little bit of coach speak. Where are you at with Toa? Yeah. I think we still need more information here. We'll check on some practice reports, you know, over the next few days. But evidently it is the same hip that he had surgery on back in college to fix that hip. It's slightly in a different spot, but still, I mean, it's one of those things that if they kept him out last week because they were afraid of his mobility, what's going to necessarily fix that in a week, right? Like usually if that's going to be the case, this is a much more major thing than like a bruise or something like that. Yeah. No, exactly. All right. A couple of other ones I just want to bounce around and get to really quick. And then we're going to move on so we can talk about this game tonight. Joey Porter Jr expected to be back for the Steelers. Their best cover corner. That's going to be huge, burrow and Higgins and Chase. Jamel Dean got re-injured with his knee. We'll see where he's out there. Obviously they play the Saints. They don't have much of a quarterback, so it shouldn't be a huge issue. Denzel Ward picked up another injury would not expect him to be out there. Amir Abdullah had his career day, the RB1 for the Raiders. I know he would catch a couple of bets for me, but he picked up a foot injury, couldn't finish the game. So it's one to watch. Turn on arm studs. Been in and out of the lineup with that knee injury all season long to watch to see he had to leave again. Kendrick Miller, concussion, questionable for next week. Sauce gardener re-injured his hamstring. I would imagine he's done for the season. Kenny Pickett played through broken ribs and took a nice shot from Michael Parsons. We'll see where he's at, obviously. They don't have much to play for, which we're going to talk about in a second. So whether he's out there or not, TVD, Sheldon Rankins, the big defensive tackle for the Bengals put on IR, and then last update, Isaiah Pacheco will be back for the playoffs. No major concerns there. All right. You got anything before we move on? Nope. I think that's good. All right. We're going to move on, but before we do, let me tell you about our friends over at Underdog Fantasy. That's right. Underdog. They've got everything you could possibly want. They've got college football, NFL, basketball, MMA, NBA, NASCAR, fantasy projections. Also playoff, best ball. If you're a best ball and you just look, best ball ends this week, you know, last game for tonight, for the season long, you know, good luck to anybody, sweating down any cash is there. But playoff, best ball is very, very fun. Obviously, you need to play off teams. You're trying to pick who's going to be in the champion, who's going to be in the Super Bowl, right? Because it gives you the best chance of having the most players. Got a roster five there. So sign up with promo code SGPNDock to claim your special pick and first time deposit offer up to $1,000. Underdog Fantasy.com from a code SGPNDock. All right. Really quick. Let's talk this warriors and we'll see. Do you want to be the good guy or the bad guy? I'll be the good guy. Jayden Daniels is a stud. He's my rookie of the year. He's your rookie of the year. I can't remember exactly what I gave his rookie of the year future out of or as a minimum. It's the one or eight to one, something like that. But I think it's basically locked in at this point. But Jayden Daniels having a heck of a day on Sunday night football, 227 yards through the air and three tuds and then 16 carries, 127 yards on the ground putting the team on his back. This guy did everything. Yeah. No. I mean, hey, you cast both of our locks there for the commanders. This was such a huge game. You know, Derek alluded to it. We're actually next Monday. There's going to be no Monday night game. We're going to have an episode. It's going to be a little bit of a season review. We gave out a bunch of futures. We gave out futures for every single division, every team, at least one for every team this in the preseason. We're going to look at how we did. And then we're going to look at kind of playoffs, do a nice little preview of that. So stay tuned for that. The wussy of the week, this motherfucker, CJ Stroud, a guy who had, I thought, a great opportunity. The game script was there. He was down, but they can't even play garbage time, right? He doesn't look right, whether it's mental, whether it's his offensive line being Swiss cheese. And he's just got happy feet, you know, you know, I understand this, the fond eggs and tank, they all aren't there. But they weren't their last season when he was absolutely lighting up differences. Something is wrong in Houston. We do have a problem. The sophomore slump is real. CJ Stroud, congratulations, you are our wussy of the week. All right, my friend, we are going to actually, let's save this playoff scenario for after we talk about it. I do want to get your opinion on some early line locks, but before we do that, I got to tell the folks about my bookie.ag. We're brought to you by my bookie.ag. Look, folks, you can get a $10 casino chip and a 100% deposit match up to $1,000 using pro code SGPN at my bookie.ag. You know what they say, folks, all of these in needs, $10 in a dream. We're also brought to you by rhythm. From the number one AI powered sports betting platform that helps provide better of all levels, the ability to build custom predictive betting models in seconds to get predictions for betting on money line spreads, totals, and props. We're going to give out a ton of bets here for Monday night football. You can check how those look over on rhythm and see if this one you want to tell. So claim your 70 free trial today, but go to sportsgamapodcast.com/rhythm. All right, folks, we got about 15 minutes to talk Monday night football before we do that. Early line locks week 18. Tell me what you have already been on for this week. Yep, so I do like the jets against the Miami Dolphins, neither of these teams are really playing for anything at this point. But especially if to a can't go for the Dolphins, I do actually like the jets, surprisingly. What? I do like the jets. Oh my goodness. Okay. Anyways. All right, it's all good. Give me the Jaguars at plus five. I think the Colts have basically given up on their season and for whatever reason, the jags just keep playing tough for Coach Peterson down there. And then finally, I just think 17 and a half points is way too many points for an AFC North game. I mean, I get it. The brown suck. The Ravens are pretty damn good. But I just think 17 and a half is a shit ton of points for that division. So give me the Browns at 17 and a half. Well, have you seen Dorian Thompson Robinson play football? Yep. Okay. All right. Browns down did beat the Ravens earlier in the season. So a little bit of a wrench pot. I do agree. It is a shit ton of points. But after having to suffer through Dorian Thompson Robinson, I don't know about that one. Not because I am on Miami minus one. I don't give a shit. If it's too a tag of my love, Stu Pontley, Skylar, Thompson are fucking, you know, drew lock Danny DeVito. I don't give a shit. This Jets team is broken. They are terrible. They had an opportunity to put up points on a defense that had been given up points. A shit ton of them to just about anybody, you know how much the starting offense put up zero? I know Tyrod came in and looked a little bit nice and did some things, but no, this Jets team is awful. Give me Miami minus one. Give me Atlanta minus eight against Carolina. We saw Tampa Bay just hit Carolina. I actually, you know, as much as I faded Atlanta last week, that running game is serious. And Bucky Irving just went off against the Carolina Panthers. I don't even think Michael Petics has to throw a pass and they cover this eight. And then I will go with Seattle minus three versus the Rams, their Rams won the NFC West. Thank you. Thank you. And the review, I'll be talking about how I catch that one. Yeah. McVay, the way he approaches preseason, he doesn't play anybody. I'd be shocked if he plays his, you know, old quarterback there in Matthew Stafford. I think there's a really good chance we see Jimmy Garoppolo in this one. And I think that the Seattle Seahawks are going to, you know, they're pissed. They're going to want to play division rival and they're going to play everybody. So give me Seattle laying three on the road there in LA. All right. My friend. I do kind of like your Giants as three point dogs this week. Shut up. St. Ricky. Come on. Now. I really have a strong, true walker, Sarah McKee, which one are you taking? They're going to win this game and it's going to piss me off. I don't know what's worse for me. Saequan breaking the record. Eric Dickerson, single season rushing right now. I do think they'll let you guys win out right now. That's what I'm saying. Oh, I think I'd rather say, you know, give you a final fuck you to the front office as shitty as that would be to watch, they would probably win then. But if they don't, then, because I don't think they play Saequan unprotected. I think they would play some guys with him. Yes. But I agree. I do think. Yeah. Yeah. Dickerson would be out there. Yeah. All right. It scares the shit out of me that I think the Giants are going to win again. It's going to piss me off in the moment, but I'll have to figure it out and just, I have to watch back what I said about these guys playing and stuff like that. But anyway, all right, my friend. We are talking Monday night football, the game kicks off in probably 10, 15 minutes here. You know, they always start those late. So the 13 and two Detroit Lions on the road in the Bay area, taking on the six and nine San Francisco 49ers, a rematch of the NFC Championship game where Detroit went out to a lead. Everyone was buying their tickets to the Super Bowl and holy shit, here come the 49ers and they came back and won stunned all of Detroit, left people dejected and you know what it did. It left Dan Campbell and the boys pissed off. So do you have the live lines for us right now? Yeah. Depending on what book you're looking at, you're probably looking at either three and a half or four for the spread. I'm looking at DK right now. Detroit is at minus one 12 as four point favorites, the Niners at minus one to eight. Total is sitting right at 50 and a half. You get Detroit on the money line at minus two 30, the Niners at plus one 90. There you go. All right. I'm going to give you guys a quick injury rundown and then Derek's going to tell us, break this game down, give us his best bets and I will round us out there. So let's go out and start with the Detroit Lions. Man, obviously, look, they've got a bunch of people out. They've got some out tonight and they've got a bunch on IR. So really quickly, ratting them off. No clef, Raymond, no David Montgomery, no Brojek Martin, those are the new ones. The old ones as a reminder, no Lee McNeil, defensive tackle, defensive end, Aidan Hodgson, linebacker Alex Anseloni, linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez, cornerback Colton, Carlton Davis, all stud guys, all premier players on the defense, all out. They do get linebacker Jalen Reeves, Maven off the IR back. So a little bit of help for that linebacker room over on the San Francisco side, the home team. The surprise ones are various work out for personal reasons. Their best cover corner is going to be out this game. Also defensive tackle, Khalil Davis, linebacker Dre Greenlaw, who we saw come back and have an amazing game in his first game back and then he tweaked his calf and he's out for a little bit, probably the rest of the season. And then you've got offensive guard, left guard Aaron Banks, left tackle Trent Williams, replacement, left tackle Spencer Briford all out for that offensive line for 49ers. So my friend, what do you got? Yeah. So you mentioned both of these teams are really beat up, but it's funny that the Lions definitely have their biggest game of the season next week. This one really doesn't matter at all. We're a 49er standpoint, like, do you just start sitting guys because your team's been beat up all season and you're out of playoff race and you don't have anything to play for this week or next week, but I hope not. Yeah. Dan Campbell came out and said, Hey, I don't care. We're winning this game. We're playing our dudes. So because of that, I am on the lines at minus three and a half minus four, wherever or whatever you get it at, I would go ahead and take that. I don't know as far as, you know, run of the Lions. Will they get the run all game, right? So whether the Lions get out to an early lead and then they start sitting guys or maybe, you know, maybe the Niners get out to early lead to the Lions start sitting guys, I could see it going either way. I expect the Lions to jump off to an early lead if either way, but I would not be surprised if later in the game, we start seeing some of those guys that we don't see all that often. So I guess that I am on the lines at minus three and a half. Give me Tim Patrick to have a little bit of a day. So I took his over two and a half receptions and his anytime touchdown of four to one. Jared Goff, I did take his under 33 and a half pass attempts. This is kind of one of those things where it does Jared Goff end up playing the entire game, maybe, maybe not. Either way, I don't think the Lions will get away from their balanced offense and a lot of times he doesn't get over this number anyways. I did take Jared Goff under a half interception of minus 120 from a Niners standpoint. Give me Brock Purdy's over 250 and a half passing yards. I just think that Lions secondary is still where you can pick them apart a little bit and I think Brock Purdy is just going to need to throw the ball. From an Isaac Grendo standpoint, I went under 65 and a half for the exact same reason. Basically, I think the Niners will end up throwing the ball tonight and Grendo just won't get a lot of traction. Yeah. Yeah. No, I like a lot of what you said. Hold on. Let me pull out my John Hancock and put it on. Yup. You're right, it doesn't make logical sense for the Lions to play, everybody. It doesn't make logical sense for them to risk it. I don't care. If you want to talk about someone who is the farthest thing from an analytical nerd, it is Dan motherfucking Campbell. This is a hatred game. This is a pure hatred. These two franchises do not like each other. That NFC championship left a bad taste in their mouth. Dan Campbell already said it, he does not give a shit about the analytics, the clinching scenario, whatever. I think he plays his guys and I think honestly, I'm looking at it as the Lions versus the 49ers. I mean, I'm looking at this game like I'm not thinking about the playoff situation at all. Give me Detroit minus four. I think they get out to elite and I think they keep the pressure on the medal, man. This is what they've been doing, the foot on the medal, excuse me. The biggest thing, 49ers, three offensive linemen out, three starting offensive linemen out. I mean, I think that neutralizes all those guys out on the Detroit defensive line. I think they're able to get a little bit of pressure there. I also think there's going to be points galore in this one. We saw like, you know, something similar to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Panthers game when there was just a shoot to the points. I think it's a little bit more evenly matched than that. I don't think it's complete blowout, but I do think both these teams, you know, I think the Detroit gets in the 40s and then, you know, fan Francisco gets in the 20s there. So I think there's, I'm taking the over 50 and a half. That's actually probably my favorite. They have tonight, the over 50 and a half there. I just think that, you know, whoever's going to be in, I think that there's going to be opportunities for both offenses. The only reason that I didn't go the 50 was because of the last two primetime games. Like the last, the third day in the Monday night game, holy smokes were those stinkers. Yeah, I heard no points. It's a beautiful day in San Francisco. You know, you've got two really good offensive minds and you've got two defenses that just have a bunch of injuries are not that good. So I agree, the primetime thing, I've really not played a lot of over this year on primetime for that reason, but I think this game really just sparks from the, right from the jump. So thinking of that, obviously I've got a decent amount of props. Brock Purdy, I really like his passing and his rushing. I think he has an opportunity. Look, they just gave up, the defense gave up 300 plus yards to Caleb William. Brock Purdy threw for 300 yards last week. I mean, he's had to put a lot on his shoulders, you know, so I like his over 256 and a half and I like his ladder, 275 plus 145, 300 plus 240, 250, you can go up from there. I played it all the way up for his till 350. Also his rushing. He's had, he led the team in rushing last week with 26, gave me his 25 plus yards at plus one, 2015. Also 40 yards, sprinkle on that plus 310 because of the offensive lineman I just talked about. I think they're great clients. They struggle to get pressure without those guys in there, but they're going to get up against three backup offensive linemen. I think they're able to, whether it's do blitzing, simulated pressure or whatever, I think is going to have some trouble with that offensive line up there for San Francisco. A couple of the guys I like to ladder here, Ricky Piersoil, starting at 26 and a half. I like him as some sprinkles, 50 plus plus 330, 80 plus 12 to 1. Former Gator guy, look, the slot position has been a position of vulnerability for the Detroit Lions. So I like Piersoil to take advantage. I also like on the other side of the slot where I receive, we're Jamison Williams. You know, I start his ladder at 50 and then go all the way up. Those two guys, you know, I'm playing their original overs, but I'm kind of taking their boom potential. So I'm not taking the ladder all the way. It's really, I'm like, all right, 90 plus four to one, 120 plus 11 to one. That's kind of how I'm playing it for Piersoil and Jmo there. I think they're boomer bust potential. So you know, the one guy I really am doing a true ladder, George Kittle, you talked about him last week, 70 plus plus 100 all the way up to 100 plus at three to three to one there, a little over three to one. He's been there guy. He's had to be the guy for them. And I think he continues that against this defense. Of course, I got to talk defense. So I'm going to talk about Tyler up to Lona, who fun guy, Talanoa who fun guy over two and a half assists. He's hit this in every game that he's finished this year. So he's four for four for this number over two and a half at plus 140. We're getting. I also like his over six and a half total tackles and then Detroit sacks. I talked about it, man. This offensive line may look really bad. So I pretty much took everybody who was available for Detroit except for Zideria Smith, because I'm not playing minus 130 for a guy who has three sacks this season. So whether it's Josh Pashgro, Muhammad, who had a sack last year at plus 250, Zach Campbell at four to one Levi or Wednesday, plus 240, I'm telling you, sprinkle on Detroit sacks. It's going to be a sack party. And then my anytime touchdowns, 10 Patrick, like you mentioned, Brock Wright, nine to one backup tight end there and you check plus 750, whether there's starters in the game, not in the game. I think these guys are going to play no matter what. So I like it in a game where there's going to be a lot of points. Give me Patrick, right? And juice check. And if you want to really believe in me, 401 if parlay all those together, just just throwing that out because I know I've got a little coin on it. So that is it. It takes you up almost all the way to kickoff really quickly before we get out of here. Just want to circle back to some of these playoff scenarios, just in case you were not aware here, I'll quickly explain it. And then I want you to take Derek before we get out of here. Look, one in two seats and one, two and four seats for the AFC locked in, KC one, Buffalo two Houston four, they have nothing to play for. Baltimore needs a win against Cleveland to secure the number three seats. If they lose in Pittsburgh wins, Pittsburgh wins the IFC North. If Baltimore wins, they win the IFC North. The five, six and seven seat is where it gets interesting. If Pittsburgh beats the bangles, they are the five seat and the bangles are knocked out of the playoffs. If they lose and the chargers win, chargers are the fifth seat. That's the only situation unless they go ahead and jump to the three seat with a Baltimore loss, but assuming Baltimore wins, it's either going to be the chargers or the Steelers in the five and six, depending on who wins and who loses. For the seven seat, it's pretty simple. Denver wins. They're in. If not, it defaults to Miami. If Miami wins, they're in. If not, then Cincinnati of Cincinnati wins, they're in. So Cincinnati is still the long shot here. I know the narrative is acting like these guys are locking the playoffs, but if Denver takes care of business against Kansas City's backups with nothing to play for, it's over. They get it. If not, it defaults to Miami and then to Denver's what nine, 10 point favorites right now. We don't expect my home, don't expect Pacheco. We don't expect Chris or Chris Jones. Definitely not Chris Jones, Travis Kelsey, I don't blame them if they say to everybody. The only argument is that they've already got the buy, so that whole rust over resting, but definitely no more homes, definitely the big guys. And if they do get to run as far as guys like Chris Jones and some of these other guys, Nick Bolton, some of those, I don't expect it to be long. So yeah, I think Denver obviously has a clear path there. Any other takeaways from that in the AFC? No, I think the AFC is basically pretty straightforward. The interesting thing will be if Pittsburgh ends up losing to the Bengals, and then everybody's eyes are on that Denver game and we'll figure that out Saturday. All of those AFC things will be figured out Saturday. So yeah, so we'll know if Baltimore has won the AFC North Saturday, we'll also know if Pittsburgh has locked up to five seed and eliminated the Bengals, or they're giving the Bengals hope and they are potentially getting knocked down to the six seed, which is a big deal. It's a lot easier to travel on the road to Houston and get a win than to Baltimore. I know they play the Ravens well, but I think you've got to believe this Pittsburgh team would want to face Houston as opposed to Baltimore. All right, going over to the NFC really quickly, I know this graphic looks like shit, but it's what we got. So pretty simple. This game tonight does not really matter for seating for the Detroit Lions. As long as they win next week against Minnesota, they are the number one seed. If they don't, Minnesota is the number one seed. So Lions or Vikings or either the one or the five, it's a do or die game for that number one seed and a buy. So that is next week, Sunday night football, that game's going to be so fucking awesome. Playhouse are definitely going to be starting early Philadelphia locked up the two seed, no matter what happens there in the two spot, the three spot is either going to be Tampa Bay or the Rams. Rams definitely, you know, they, if they win, they get it. And if not, you know, they would have to lose and Tampa would have to win their or Atlanta, you know, whoever is basically NFC South and NFC West, whoever, whoever's, yeah. So, so if Atlanta wins and Tampa Bay loses, even if the Rams lose, they still get their three. Yeah, because yeah, you're right, Falcons are only eight and eight. So they don't have nine wins. The Rams already have 10 wins. So basically either the Rams, you know, Tampa wins and the Rams lose is the only way that they don't get the three seed, which would be interesting because I don't think McVay is going to play everybody because to him, I don't know how much of a different it makes three or four. So we'll see there, you know, obviously if Tampa Bay loses, then it's, it's pretty easy. You don't, you don't have to play at all. So I'm pretty sure though, let me check really quick, what game is first, do you know off the top of your head and week 18 who plays first, I would imagine, yeah, Tampa Bay plays first and the Rams play in the afternoon. So if Tampa Bay wins as expected against the Saints, the Rams really have nothing to put our, excuse me, they would, they would have something to play for. Yeah. And Tampa, Tampa and Atlanta play at the same time. So that one that they won't have a clue, either way, exactly. So, well, I mean, Tampa Bay and Atlanta have to win, that's for them. That's it. They got a win. Right. Right. Yeah. So, but the Rams would know, you know, say, say Tampa wins, then they have something to play for if Tampa loses, they have nothing to play for. So that's a little bit interesting there. And then, you know, Washington, if they win, they're the six seed and green base is seven seed. If they lose and green Bay wins against the Bears, they flip flop. So NFC is a little bit interesting, but really at this point, it's really just the NFC South and the NFC North, as far as who's going to be the division winner there. So those are your big ones. I just wanted to go over that in case you were looking to get in on some of these week, 18 bets, making sure you understood, you know, what clench of scenarios, who's really got something to play for and who probably doesn't. So, all right, folks, look, this game is kicked off. So it's time for us to get out of here. Before we do that, my friend, do you have anything for the good people? Yeah. I mean, tomorrow night, yes, we have some college football, but it is also New Year's Eve. Put the pedal to the metal unlike whatever the fuck you were trying to say five or ten minutes ago, heading into this 20, 25 year with all your hopes and dreams and, you know, make sure you follow us because we will help you succeed in all of those hopes and dreams on X, YouTube, TikTok, Instagram, give us the follow, like, share, all of the things. We greatly appreciate it. I thought we were going to get a nice life coach, a nice little bit of a monologue about you can do it. But yeah, man, look, I hope everyone has a wonderful, happy New Year. I'm not going to make the lame ass joke of, you know, we'll see you in the New Year on Thursday, but we do have a show on Thursday. It's going to be the week 18, obviously, best bets. We're going to be talking injury update. We're going to be talking our injury targets and things like that. So you're definitely not going to want to miss 715 Eastern time. I live on X and YouTube Thursday night as we get into week 18 and wrap up the regular season. The finale is actually here. Like Derek said, look, first year doing the show, appreciate any feedback, like, comment, subscribe, download, rate, all those things where you think like, yeah, I'm not going to like this video. I'm not going to subscribe to this video. Does it really matter? Yes, it really matters because it's our first season. We're trying to get an idea of what people like, what people don't like, and plus our bosses wouldn't hate it if we bumped up the subscribers, the downloads, all those good things. Right. So look, folks, you know what they say, a lock a day keeps the bookie away. And here at the DJ N Docs, we've got your prescription. We hope you have a safe, happy, and awesome, awesome new year, enjoying some college football, and don't forget, folks, to let it ride. What's up, DJ N Doc here. As a proud member of the US Army and a lover of football, sometimes those two things cross over on here. But as you probably already know, as a lowly captain, these are just my opinions. These are not opinions that are representative of the entire DoD or the US Army. The same thing goes for any references to any commercial products or hyperlinks, again, that does not constitute an endorsement from the DoD or the Army. I hope you enjoyed the show, and as always...
Welcome to our weekly NFL Injury Rundown + Betting Preview! It's time for you to start preparing to crush your the sports books this week. There are a ton of injury updates and NFL news that you need to know to help you WIN!
As the season gets closer to the end, the sports books try to lay the hammer down. But that didn't stop the guys from giving out some winners! Last week the docs gave out Washington (-4) and hit on the Chargers (-4) and Jacksonville (-1) too. The OG Degen Doc also hit Jonathon Taylor Over rushing yards! Tune in to find out what the OG Doc and Professor Locks are thinking heading into NFL Week 18 and who they are looking to back this week!
