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Mountain West & Pac 2 College Football 2024 Betting Preview Part One | Sports Gambling Podcast (Ep. 2019)

The guys (@GamblingPodcast) continue their NCAA Football Conference Previews with the Mountain West Conference. They're joined by Colby Dant (@TheColbyD) from The College Football Experience as they give their college football betting preview for the Mountain West Conference including Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawai'i and more. We preview college football team win totals for the Mountain West and our favorite Mountain West futures.
Duration:
1h 8m
Broadcast on:
18 Jul 2024
Audio Format:
mp3

The guys (@GamblingPodcast) continue their NCAA Football Conference Previews with the Mountain West Conference. They're joined by Colby Dant (@TheColbyD) from The College Football Experience as they give their college football betting preview for the Mountain West Conference including Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawai'i and more. We preview college football team win totals for the Mountain West and our favorite Mountain West futures.

Podcast Timecodes:

0:00 - Intro
1:30 - Host of The College Football Experience, Colby Dant
5:20 - Best of Mountain West Media Day
12:30 - Spuds McKenzie
17:10 - Air Force Falcons Season Preview
25:00- Boise State Broncos Season Preview
32:20 - Colorado State Rams Season Preview
39:30 - Fresno State Bulldogs Season Preview
48:15 - Hawai’i Warriors Season Preview
54:15 - Nevada Wolf Pack Season Preview
57:50 - New Mexico Lobos Season Preview
1:03:45 - Best Bets

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this mountain West impact to preview part one edition of the sports game. My podcast is brought to you by underdog fantasy. You can win up to 325 times your entry with their pick eight side up with SGP and to claim your special pick and first time deposit offer up to $250 in bonus cash under dog fantasy.com promo code SGP and we're also brought to you by rhythm. Get the best data driven props and picks from rhythm. Claimer seven a day free trial today by going to sports game of the podcast.com slash rhythm that sports give them a podcast.com slash R I T H M M. This is coach June Jones and you're listening to S G P N. Let it rise. I'm going to get your fucking shine. Welcome everyone to the sports gambling podcast. I'm Sean stack in the morning green with my partner and picks Ryan real money Kramer. What's happening Kramer. Good day, mate. Good night. Wrong Island. I'm sorry. He's got his SGP tie-dye shirt on joining us in studio to talk all things mountain West and pack to mountain West media insider Colby Dan a gay pig Dundee. What's happening Colby? What's that? Yeah. Yeah. What's happening is every day just you wake up your day closer. We got the video game out. Everything's going good in life. They closer to what to, you know, 32 Valley options. I mean, kick off. I don't know if we were talking about death or having a deeper. But that's too death is always right around the corner. But we can live forever by a picket's mountain West place. Colby, you were out there mountain West media day. Obviously everyone watching listening to this is subscribe to the couch football experience. Got your inside looks inside coaches interviews, some bonus episodes, but big picture. What were some of your takeaways and Kramer? We have to be careful with this episode and part two, which is we're doing Sunday. We got to keep an eye on picked on D because I know as an interview, when you actually meet someone, it's hard to shit on them after the fact you become enamored with them. Oh, hey, who was a good interview like Mike Leach. We love Mike Leach. The reason was Mike Leach was really nice to us. And he was a cool guy. I mean, I liked him before as a coach, but it would be hard to kill Mike Leach because we know Mike Leach. Who is the guy? Who is the guy that you've interviewed that has changed your opinion of them the most in terms of the team or just no, not you. This is a Sean question. Like in terms of a guy you didn't think much of that you were like, yeah, this fucking guy is awesome. Put you on the spot. I got, I got one. Okay. Why don't you go pack man Jones, pack man Jones. He's a great guy because there were some incidents where you could maybe kill him. Isn't the right word considering some of the, you know, night club incident he was tied to, but he, and he's had a bunch of incidents where you're like, this guy's fucking crazy, but we hung out with him for 10 minutes. He did the interview. He was nice to us. So now it's like old pack man's about guy. It was, it was like a surprisingly authentic like he, he was actually trying to do a good job. That was what stood out to me. That he recognized that I was also at Virginia Tech when we were in the, he said we were in the big East together. So basically was on the football team. No, I would say, yeah, then on the other side of the coin, I'd say the, the unreleased interview of Mr. Brandon Lang, maybe one day that would be the other way in terms of like meeting Santa Claus and being very disappointed. Anyway, so, but yeah, to bring you it back to the mountain west, unless Sean has, has him. No, no, I'm trying to think. I mean, yeah, I'm, who was, who is like immediately you are all in defending them. Well, it's more just like you go from, all right, because I would say most of these things you go into it, not hat with the exception of maybe like the times I've spoken to like a giant or someone that I was like a fan of, you mostly go into it hoping that they're going to be willing to have a good conversation. I'll say this, Ryan, Brandon Jacobs was harder to hate after doing our show because, well, one, he gave us a great intro to the show. This is Brandon Jacobs. Fuck the Cowboys immediately. It's a little harder to hear that guy. And he told us the story about trying to break some, like break the stadium in Dallas. Yeah. I broke some lights. I, I just, I loved, he told Shawnee would have played for the league. Like the other team he wanted to play for was the Eagles. I love how much he just loved football. I love what a huge fan. He was of his son. Well, I was going to say Colby, you better be ready to see his son's like a five star left tack, like tackle recruits. So anyway, but yeah, what was that? Which, what was the, the one program team coach player where you were like, man, I got it. I'm, I'm all in on this guy, this girl, I, this guy or girl. I mean, well, I know you're a big fan of the commissioner. Look, Colorado States, Jane Orville recently had Jerry Glanville on, on campus talking to the team. So that, that wins me over. That wins me over from the start. But, uh, look, I would say the one that, because I had talked to Norville the year before, I would say the one though that, that to me just came off super cool that I had not met was Kenny, I'm on to Lolo, but the one that you're going to run through a wall for is Timmy Chang in Hawaii. Oh, really? After talking to Timmy Chang, I was like, I'm not talking to a quarterback. This has got to be a guy that played middle linebacker because like he's very passionate about his team and what's going on. And of course, we had June Jones on earlier in the off season. And he got again, pro close to the program, super biased. I'm sure. But he got, I mean, he got me hype for Hawaii football. He got me in him saying, um, you know, Brayden Schrager was a is an NFL prospect. And this is a guy who has coached a bunch of NFL quarterbacks. He's made that call, uh, definitely made me way more excited about Hawaii this year in Hawaii. You look at him, even Phil Steele has a lot of like, trending up trending in the right direction. This could be that third year where everything clicks for the head coach, the program. Like if I had to describe it, it'd be like Tedford and Calhoun is at the time. Tedford had not retired. They, it's like they've been to this rodeo so many times, right? Timmy Chang and Sean Lewis, which is San Diego State's head coach. Those guys had me like convinced like I'm going to, I didn't want to board a flight right now. Timmy Chang, Timmy Chang interviewing with me. He's like, we're building this there and he keeps doing this. He's like, and we're doing this and you're just like, okay, okay. And he's passionate about it too. He's like, he's like, and I knew when we hired Dennis Thurman, getting him Rex Ryan guy, we're going to be a hard hit and defense. And I'm like, oh man, this is a quarterback talking to me. You know that moment where the guy at the dog park who has the fanny pack full of treats and all the dogs are just standing around wagging the shit out of their tail. That's Colby. All the coaches that have also had a tail wag. He's just like, Oh, yeah, Colby's on one side. I was like, yeah, keep talking, keep fucking talking. Let's go. Let's go. You can see what you had, what it takes. Right? Like that's, that's why, you know, I think both guys, that's why people speak highly because you, if you have energy, it does feel like you're given some credit and benefit of the doubt because when you get in a room with someone if one on one interview with whatever media guy, they're going to probably feel similar to you, right? Because they, you know, unless they completed, you hate college football. It's like, yeah, this is, this is what it's about bringing energy to a college program and actually trying. The other side of that coin is like the establishment that you already have the machine running, but that's like dying off big time. You got to have the energy. I'm a big, as someone who watches, I now watch my kids get coached by like quote unquote professionals. It blows my mind when coaches don't have energy for young people. Like, even up to the college level, it works. Every coach I've ever seen that is great is great because they have energy very rarely do you get to be great having fucking Andy Reid's to me and strike me as a, as an energy guy. Go watch and went younger on the Giants. Like go, he was definitely a little bit more obviously, like Parcells to be had more energy than, than, than, but when they coach, also too, I mean, when they coached together though, they did have some energy on them. That was a fire. I think is a tough read. Like he went out of his way to like promote this like iron face stone jaw. Not going to give you Jack shit in the, in the media. I guarantee we could do a cut up of him as the Giants DC just fucking grabbing people by the face mask and getting, getting into people. So I think he matured into that in fairness. Yeah, which I think also too, I think behind the scenes, it was a different bell check. Of course, everyone that played for him says that, you know, that's, that's how most coaches mature. I mean, the Pete Carroll's are the ones that are more rare where you maintain this energy into your, into your 70s. And I think for the most part, you get your little lady mother fuck the stoic, the guys who were stoic get to be stoic because they win for a long time and they, they eventually realized they don't need the energy anymore because they got kids around them to bring their assistance to bring the energy. I know what bringing it home though, what I thought was great was I asked Troy Calhoun on, you know, last season, he gave me a dud. Yeah. You know, I interviewed Troy Calhoun last year and he's like, you know, the NCAA rule changes. I just don't know how we're going to be any good this year. I know we have a lot of returning starters, but they keep trying to destroy the sport. And I don't know if I can, I don't think we can win any games. And I'm like sitting there like, damn, I had Air Force as a contender, right? And he's at the way after talking to him, I was like, they're going to be horrible this year. No, he was actually great. And that was a great sand bag. Yeah. And there's always normally last year he had a reference to the, what was it? What was like the Geneva Convention? It was like he had some type of reference historical. This year was the, gosh, man, what is it like the guy who invented the light bulb Edison? Yeah. I'm brain dead right now. It's just a funny. Yeah. I mean, you want to kite Benjamin Franklin, maybe? Yeah, if you're guessing, just go Franklin. No, no, I actually know. I think it was, I think it was Rockefeller, okay, a reference to Rockefeller and the race to, to, for electricity or some shit like that. Yeah, Franklin did a lot more inventing. Edison did a lot more selling. A little bit of a, but, but, but this year I actually asked him, I go, dude, you last year you gave me a dud. And he goes, well, man, I don't know what to tell you. The other guys have recruits that are top. There's NIL. There's no NIL here. We don't use the transfer portal. Yeah, but he goes, we were able to win games more than I thought. And I'm like, doesn't that help though? Like that, that would have been, it's like coach, maybe continuity is the greatest advantage in the game now. And he also still, you know, really defends that the NCA is in the wrong with this rule change because you're leading to more head on collisions because you're not blocking low. And it's bad for the state of football. He's adamant about that and that, you know, they need to reverse that rule. I like that. You had a serious, how many coaches did you talk, talk shop about about the triple option? Did you bring up targeting over under targeting? Oh, yeah. They're probably having a conversation at the water cooler be like, that fucking guy won't, well, he won't let it go. He won't let it go with this targeting thing. No, Bronco Mendenhall is a former defensive back. He was, he was on board. I was going to say some Dexter vibes, Bronco Mendenhall. He was a little, he got the feeling he's not the biggest fan of the press. The me. Yeah. Mountain West just seems like a perfect place for Colby to fall around. It's perfect. We got our feet in the mountain West. Oh, we've gone 12 minutes. We haven't addressed the new friend of the program. Mr. Spuds, Mackenzie, the ultimate party dog. Love me some Spuds and Kenzie. You got the sweet light here. And we even got a little light. It does turn on, but I think it messes up the lighting a little bit. A little bit. Look at this. Oh, look at. Look at this. It is great how it bleeds into the shot of Colby and Kramer Kramer. Go back to your shot. Look at that. Look at that. Oh, no. Spuds is getting into the whiskey. Spuds, you're supposed to stick to domestic fears. What are you doing? Jesus. Do you not remember what happened to Michael Vick? We're going to be careful. Best part is my actual dog Garth. Totally thinks this is a real dog Kramer. I sent you the video. If you can pull it up real quick, I think people will get a kick out of this. Of course, YouTube.com slash sports gambling podcast. Check that out. But yeah, I unwrapped it. And I set it down on the ground. I thought you, I thought because he was on ground level originally. Okay. That's why my dog thinks it's a dog. But when we put on the desk, he was immediately trying to like get up on the desk and talk to the dog. What? What? Yeah, I'm working on the video right now. What? Why were you unwrapping? Okay. Is that an appropriate question? Oh, well, I, my wife got it for me as a gift and it came in a box and I pulled it out and it was wrapped in bubble, bubble wrap, packing paper. I was more just bringing it up to see if Colby had wished you happy birthday. Oh no, Colby did not wish me happy birthday. When was this? It was, it was July 11th. It's all right. You know, wait, what day was July 11th though? Seven 11? Like what? No, but what day of the week? What do you mean? All right? What is that? I've Google this. I was on a Thursday. It's all right. Last Thursday. That's because I was talking to fucking Troy. I'm sorry. I was sitting there. I was busting my ass over there talking to coaches. And then I had a race back to the hotel to the NFL gambling podcast. So I mean, my apologies. Happy belated. How was your birthday? Oh, great. Thanks for. Yeah. I, I forgot that it was on a national Slurpee day. Yeah, come on. Yeah. Slurpee. I didn't even get a Slurpee though to be fair. Didn't even get a Slurpee. You didn't even think about that. I, I sent it to you in slack. No, no, I got it. I'm, I'm having personal issue while you're working on that video where I'm perfect time to bring up underdog fantasy, speaking of dogs besides, uh, spuds, McKenzie, other favorite dog underdog fantasy. They just launched their college football, best fall product, a super fun, not a lot of, I don't know of any other platforms off top of my head that even offer college football, best ball college football experience is going to be covering it, doing some live drafts. Again, if you know college football, if you know deep roster skill positions, young, you know, some, some freshmen, some sophomores, some underclassmen that might pop. You can really, I think clean up in this. First time they're doing it underdog fantasy dot com promo code S G P N and they have some awesome specials for the USA, a basketball team. They're doing a couple, they, I think they have LeBron higher, lower, a half point for his first game. And then I think a joker is the other one, higher, lower, a half point for his first game. I just got into entry. I called it the James family special, uh, higher LeBron James, half a point, lower, uh, Bronnie James, under five and a half. I've been paid in Bronnie in a summer league. It's been working out pretty well under dog fantasy.com promo code S G P N does, uh, does he get to play on the Olympic team too? How does that work? I assume so. Yeah. Why not? Does he get to tag along roster spot? Is there a tag along the NBA is going to add a new roster? It's going to be a companion. The Bronnie spot. Yeah. The Bronnie spot. All right. I think I've made magic. Let's see if we can do this. I'm not going to make it make it look pretty, but we can this works. Uh, all right. The still image is still pretty fun. I was kind of moving it to make it seem like Spud's was a real dog. He's wagging his tail. He really wants to talk to Spud's. He's looking down. Shout out to Garth and Spud's dynamic. I know you wouldn't have wanted that on the air. All right. Now let's talk some air force football, baby. Uh, yeah, let's let's get back into a little option, triple option. Maybe not. I don't know the rule change, what more header and injuries. So that's bad, right? That's what they say. Well, legs are bad. Legs are important too. Air force five and three last year. So definitely lied to you. Right. Right in your face. Colby. That's got to hurt nine and nine and four, man. Overall as a team, eight and four in the regular season, nine and four. If you include the the bowl effort, wind total drops to six and a half this year, minus one 35 to the over plus one 10 to the under 13 to one to win the conference. So put some right on the outside. Like they're, they're outside of that like contender bubble of three teams, 60 to one to make the playoff and 1000 to one to win the college football championship. You know, I do think with, you know, as I was plugging in some of this data and looking at schedules, it seemed evident that you, you know, you, there were some teams that you just missed all the good teams and air force schedule. They have, they have a, you know, some non con stuff we should talk about, but other than that, I don't hate this situation. And I guess it depends how you how much you like the army navy situation this year. But, you know, we, we gave you the, the teaser of like be careful. Colby's going to be high on a lot of these teams because he's had some face time. They, you know, had some flesh touching other flesh. Well, they're scheduling. I think it's pretty doable. Although they only have six starters returning and, but air force has kind of been pretty consistent 40 and 12 the last four seasons. Like the ceiling isn't super high for this program, but I think they have a decent floor. And then Colby was telling me the guy who does a play by play for air force he has on the team preview every year. He's been taking the over on air force. And you said this year he actually took the under, which was surprising to me makes a little concerning. Yeah. And, and you know, why, why was he doing that? Well, normally they have more return. Well, he's in practice. And he says like, you know, I will say this triple option teams, it's about your rhythm. Yeah. You need to find that rhythm. He said there, you know, in his opinion, they're not there yet. And I kind of got that feeling from Calhoun again, but once again, sand man, you know, this is a guy that won nine games last year and the previous three, 10, 10 win seasons that, you know, so if you throw out the COVID year or they couldn't block, this is a one, what 39 games in the past four seasons. Yeah. It's crazy. Did you ask? I mean, he didn't stop tackling. But he, he, the air force was okay with tackling. No, there's something ironic. They had problems too with that shit, man. But, but I mean, breaking in a new quarterback too. And John Boucher. That's great. Great name. Yeah. Great name. But he, and here's another thing. He's more of a passing option quarterback than previously. So when are you talking four or five passes again? I don't know. He told me, but I will say this. I did say, Hey, you got six starters returning, Troy, correct me and said five. Really? He said five, but that's what he likes to do. He's saying back. Yeah. Keep the expectations low. And then he knows you. He's a great fucking coach though, man. And as much as, as much as I want to say, like, I'm weary of the beat writer, but just look at this 17 years at air force, 130 wins, 82 losses. Like the, yeah, he's just really consistent every once in a while. Yeah, there'll be a done year, but you got to go back to 2018, five and seven, 2017, five and seven. But man, for the most part, pretty consistent air force is 134 out of 134 and returning production. Yeah. That's bad. And that's where it gets scary. But also too, like as air force has it ever been about like the guys on the field, like no, it's about the program. It's about the coaching. Yeah, that newity helps. But I, and sure, looking at what they start out with, Mary Mac warriors, are they going to win that game? Yes. Now at home against San Jose state, I think that's a 50 50 game. That's a tough game. But the fact that they're in Colorado Springs at elevation, of course, not as high as I was Wyoming, a good spot for them. And then at Baylor, you know, he beat Baylor in a bowl game about two years ago. So a lot of guys on that Baylor team probably won't revenge there. I think you got to remember. Yeah, I do. They historically struggle in Laramie. So that's a little tough. But I will say right here, this is their stretch. They've had the upper hand on Navy of late. They could beat Bronco Mendenhall into Mexico is in year one. And they've definitely owned Colorado state. Now Colorado state, I'm kind of bullish on this year, but historically, I think one, he's like 14 and two or something against Colorado state. Look at them at home in the Troy, Calhoun era, 76 and 25 at home straight up like, so all right, they do have a bunch of road games. But if they win their home games, maybe they split Fresno state and Oregon state. If you want to be conservative, so it's five wins. And they win. Can they, where are they getting road wins? Where are they getting Nevada, New Mexico, maybe two, they might be able to beat San Diego state. So you feel good about them getting two road wins. One's going to be army. Wait, the win total is at six and a half, six and a half. Yeah, they're getting seven wins. I'm sorry. Aim. Hi, baby. What are you? What's happening, Colby? Look, I did the preview. I took the over. I'll stick to it. But I definitely, what do you mean? What are you trying to, you're trying to change your pick? No rule. You can't Benedict, a military account taken. I'm taking the over seven and five. Why are you worried? This he sandbagged you last year? Well, not only the beat writers never sandbagged me nine and four, 10 and three, 10 and three 11 and two. I left out the COVID year. Do you see? I mean, you got to go back to 2018 where he didn't win. And the early by, they can lose Baylor. Like they can get better. And I will say this. I do think with the exception of San Jose state, who by the way is running the run and shoot, you have all the, like the mountain west has done this kind of transition with the, you know, Fresno passes the hell out of ball. Yep. Colorado state runs the air raid. Yeah. Bronco Ben in halls, bringing in Jason Becker's run of the air raid is right. Yeah, you're the Zag. So in Sean Lewis, they run in veering, veering shoot. So it's like you have a unique thing. These guys like a lot of new coaches in this league, a lot of them probably not very familiar with triple option schools. So you do have that in your bag. I just, I had a real, it'd be pretty easy for the government to, I see a bills mafia deja 92 in the chat referring to the idea that maybe we could get a little NIL money from the government. I mean, we're put, there's money leaking all over the world right now from this government. Why not spend a little on the old NIL to the air force? Maybe get a couple key, key late transfers here bolster that returning production. We should be fading this team just for the record, but we're all going to take the over. Yeah. I'm not going to, it wasn't, you're taking an over. It wasn't, it wasn't worth having friction with Colby noted lover of Troy Calhoun and you noted lover of fly boys. Let's go. Boys, the state six and two in conference six and six overall. That's not very good. The blue turf is still annoying. Nine and a half the wind total this year. They are the chalk in the conference a plus one 10 to the over minus one 30 to the under plus one 10 to win the conference. So basically they're saying, you know, just stopping right there. What do you like better Colby over nine and a half wins or win the conference? Cause it's the same price. I'd still take the nine and a half. Yeah. Oh, I think you can go 10 and two and not win the call. So say like Fresno to me, the news with Tedford makes me think a little longer about it, but oh, I think 100% a team can go 10 and two in this conference and not win the conference. So to be able to get the over at plus one 10 versus win the car. Like did you think someone can win the conference at nine and three? Maybe I guess potentially. I mean, we have so many new coaches now with the two recent ones. This whole conference is new coaches plus 490 to make the playoff. That's the, the juiciest number we'll talk about in this conference and 500 to one to win the national championship. Yeah. I don't think that's happening for four ninety for the playoff for Boise state. Seems a little rich. Are they like, what's the, what's the hype all about Colby? Five star Malachi Nelson transfers out of USC. I do like their, they are getting a, they have all their starters back on defense. Yeah. It might be one of those bitches who doesn't have his teammates at his birthday party. Really? I mean, Colby's deeper than I am, but I did see some stuff about him. Well, obviously redemption shit. Like he's a five star. He's, but in terms of he has regressed as a prospect. Like he's not the prospect. He was when he came out of high school was going to be the next time in Canada, next system, based that off of him transferring to Boise, right? No, this is before he, I honestly, I read about this before he even went to Boise as, as basically like it was a comparison between him and someone else, some other prospect from that same class and kind of stock up, stock down kind of situation. And you know, him having to go to Boise kind of accurate than his stock is down. That was the best option. I heard they put together a quite nice and I, okay. So maybe, maybe it was the best option for him, but still, if you're a five star guy and Boise's the best option, I'm guessing he's not from Idaho. Big potato guy. I thought he was crazy. Boise State. That's what I'm saying. It's, it's not his first choice. So he's, he's down. Boise State. I know when the college football video game released there, like top 10 places to play at home. I don't think Boise State was up there, but why not? Last 20 since 2003, a hundred, they've only lost 15 games since in the past 20 years last five years. So since what 20, they were very elite for a while there. Like that, that first 10 years of the range you just gave us, they might have only lost one game. Since 2018, they're still 27 and not 75% at home. So to your point, yeah, not as they're not in the mix for, you know, national championship or when they, what was their peak, the fiesta bowl, the guy proposing after the game, after winning with the statue. I mean, that was probably like their hilarious, but you remember where you were when you watched that. That was like a moment. There, there are not many moments in Johnson's name of the last 20 years or 25 years in college football where everyone remembers watching that game. I'll tell you this. I wanted to kind of fade them and fade the hype, but Oh, 100% but 10 and two kind of feels doable here. The, the, I think the sneaky spot that they're going to lose is the back-to-back road spot at Wyoming Saturday, November 23rd. It's a back-to-back road spot. I think they could lose that. That is a big one there. But, you know, I, we, this guy's never started a game, but he's, he's highly touted. They're running back. Ashton Gente is a fucking stud. You can actually argue that he might be the best running back in the nation. They're at Oregon. They play week two that they have an interesting schedule at Georgia Southern at Oregon week two, then they have a bye. Then they have Portland State at home, Washington State at home, Utah State at home at Hawaii, which should look out that. I mean, they have a bye and then another at UNLV. All right. Fine. San Diego State at home Nevada at home at San Jose State at Wyoming, Oregon State at home. Three losses feels possible here. It's still though, like, but you still need them. They're laying 10 points against Georgia, Georgia Southern that first week. Fresno is not on the schedule, which normally gives them trouble. And the team that really gives them trouble has been Air Force and they're not on the schedule either. I think you got to lean over here because I just don't like there's so many. I know Spencer Damiss is a new coach, but he was actually coach. He coached four games last year and he was with the program. I think there's a little bit of a leg up on that. And where, where are the losses, man? They get it on nice schedule like that. You know, I'll tell you right now. How do you get the three losses? I don't tell you right now. I'm listening. Well, Hey, they get Washington state and Oregon state. Okay. So maybe losing one, but they're a surf turf though. That's fine. I'm just saying they're catching both both of the pack two teams. I do think the opening two games are tricky that that opening game. Are you kid Sean? We're taking Georgia Southern as a 10 point dog week. We just write it down right now. I do think that is a little. And Sean, when you watch this kid play quarterback you're going to be so out on him. He's not a cold weather guy. I'm out on this. I know I'm telling you, I think they're going to lose that way. I'm again. I'm fine. There's a floor here and to where the losses come from. I think they could start Owen too. And if they start Owen too, I am. I'm feeling great feeling great about the situation because I know this quarterbacks a little bitch. That's my stance for this. I certainly don't like them to win the mountain west at plus one 10. I don't like them playoff. I think if I take their over, it's going to be a 10 and two, but yeah, you know what? I'm going to go under. It was either the college football and choir guys or maybe our buddies over at CBS that were talking about his reputation and that I've latched on to it. And I'm just committed to the idea that he's he's a bum Colby. What do you do? I'll take the over like they brought in too much fucking talent, man. Chris Marshall, the former A&M wide out and cam camper from from Indiana. Like if he's just, they couldn't throw the ball that successfully the last year, if he could just throw the ball decently, this team is very complete. Their whole defense is back that the skill position players are really, really good. I know. And you, and you, you, you built a relationship. No, I didn't. Not with not with Spencer Danielson. One of the few I did not interview. Okay. But you wish you did. I wish you did. All right. Colby two and oh, on the overs, you're keeping track at home. Colorado stayed up next four Collins, great college town. Sean love it. Three and five in conference last year. You know, they used to be Colorado A&M five and seven overall. This year, the totals at six and a half. Hmm. Interesting. Plus one, oh five to the over minus one 25 to the under plus 1500 to win the conference 60 to one to win or to make the playoff one thousand and one to win it all. Not happening. Sorry. Sorry Rams fans. Just one of the better, one of the better jerseys and all of college football, I would say there's a classic ram. I've seen some Rams in, in the wild in Colorado. Pretty awesome. Oh, when they go at it, there's nothing more other than bears fighting to, to, in terms of two animals, cocaine ram would be a great sequel in terms of two animals. Rams coked up, fired away. They're not there. They don't bite. There's no, like, there's no clause. They're just smashing in their low man wins. They don't bite, but I wouldn't put my hand here. Those horns Colby. Remember that video we were watching that moose? Moose would fuck up a ramp. Yeah. All right. So Colorado state, anything you want to add about the elevation before Collins? Me? No, just in general, we Sean, we'd like to talk about elevation from time to time for Collins. Not quite the elevation in Laramie or even in Boulder, I believe. So yeah, I don't, I don't know, maybe not worth noting Sean. Sean doesn't have his, what, what device do you measure what device do you measure elevation with? Well, at the top of my head, four columns, five thousand and three feet. I thought it was lower. It's actually lower than Denver. A lot of people don't know that. That's kind of what I was just saying, but yeah, I'm still surprised. I'll tell my head. Five thousand. I'll still act surprised. They only have three Colorado state's interesting. The only have three Mountain West road games. They have a offense that could be borderline explosive. Phil Steele likes him on their most improved list. He does. I would have liked this number, maybe a hair lower, but you know, them going from five and seven last year, hopping up a couple wins. I think, especially when you break down this schedule feels somewhat favorable. Colby, what's your take on the Rams? Yeah. First off, Jay Norville in general, I feel like the third year, he really gets programs going, and they started a freshman quarterback last year. And you see, he just said it at media day, that was this thing, him and Tory Horton, their star wide out, were offered like, I think 600 grand, he quoted from Kansas state and a few other schools, and they turned them down to stay at Colorado state. I like how people are just airing all that out. Yeah. But the big thing to me is the schedule here. Like they historically Boise has owned them. Boise's not on the schedule. Yeah. You look at all the other spots. The game that I had circled was the Fresno game. That got a little easier with the Tedford news. No, they still might lose that. But I just think it's a really nice schedule. Like they, they, okay, at Air Force, they traditionally lose that game. But you know, the rest of their hard games, there's not many of them. Yeah. Yeah. No, I, I'm with you. I think they certainly have some loseable road games, but yeah, the home games are all, you know, very nice. Yeah. And I think that's why you got to take the over here. I think, and I actually believe like there's value in them to play for the conference championship. Two overs. I mean, if they went nine and three, would you be shocked? No, I don't think so. No. Well, to me, look, if they get their loseable games for the most part are non-con games, Texas, Colorado, Oregon State. You're right. They're right there. They're mountain. And that's why I think why Phil Steele is highlighting like only three mountain west road games because their conference schedule could be pretty damn good. Well, think about what conference, what you want on the schedule if you're a mountain west team. Yeah, they're, they're road game at Nevada. Nevada's a train wreck. Yeah. Utah State just lost their coach. New Mexico, San Jose State. They're all on the schedule. So you got to like it. Wyoming at home. Yeah. You don't have the only team there. They're tied for first in conference returning production. I like this. I think Colorado state to Colby's point them. We'll see. I like playing that. You, like you're, you're playing the chaos idea that they can, maybe they lose two games out of conference. Only one in conference gets them in the championship game. You're sitting on a 15 to one ticket. We have to, has the mountain west announced what their tiebreaker procedures are? Well, they only have 12 teams. Well, hold on. That was chaotic last season. Actually, last season, they added teams, which increases the odds. There's going to be a tie up top. Why are we the only outlet that is mentioning these conference prices are fucking bonkers because one of these teams, these longer shot teams are going to fuck up a big conference because they have a softer side of the schedule. They're actually a great example, the mountain west, because they had, they did have 12 teams last year. Yes. Correct. All right. So they had, they, 12 teams, they still had a problem. These other conferences have like 18. Yeah. Yeah. But, and so last season, they used the, I think it was the strength. They used the record of, of the opponents, even though San Jose state of just what they ignored, they head to head, which was shocking to me because San Jose state beat the shit out of, of you and all the in Vegas. It is very complex. It can get complicated to break ties with multiple teams if they haven't all played each other. And it always is, it looks so stupid when you pick a team that just got their ass beat. Yeah. The week before literally the week before, come on guys, can we, can we, this is where like maybe the eye test helps a little bit. I think I'm on the over too. Yeah. I think it's a really good over. Yeah. I'll take Colorado A&M. Oh, nice. So we're all in the over the Colorado state Rams, six and a half. And I think certainly playoff seems maybe a bit crazy, but best college town in the conference. Hmm. Well, that piss people off. Well, Vegas. I mean, come on, it's not a college town. It's not. No, college town has to requires the ability to get drunk for very cheap and walk around a bunch. Yeah. I mean, college is probably is the magic being. I mean, Sean, if you were in college in in Vegas, you'd have no money all the time. I just, I would dread it. It would be hard. Like a bad place to be in college actually. I was like before cell phones in the middle of Virginia surrounded by cow pastures. Like they was safe. It's a big, there's a big net. Fresno speaking of nets, Fresno state, four and four in conference, eight and four overall, seven and a half this year's win total. That's fresh Colby minus one 50 to the over plus one 20 to the under plus three 60 to win the conference. 20 to one to make the playoff and 100 to one, or we're sorry, one thousand and one to win the national championship. Colby, you were high on this team and then there were my preseason favorite, some news broke. I still think, you know, you should be bullish on this team because Tedford's coaching tree is normally so damn good that the guys are probably very well qualified to do what he was planning on coaching. Yes. So that's tough. But I'll tell you what's not tough. Last year was the year to catch Fresno because they lost a ton of production. Yeah. Mikey Keene comes in and he did good, but now it's year two in Tedford's offense, which I think normally quarterbacks in year two, going back to Aaron Rogers or a Kelly Smith or Joey Harrington, like they have monster years, the year after. So that is, is something. And I also think Malik Sharad, the running back, they figured him out. He's a stud. Their receiving court is really good. They returned their entire offensive line. The defense, uh, they go out and get a couple of USC transfers. One that was, was a five star. So I do think this team is like just, I'm leaning, I'm leaning under one because of losing Tedford. And then two, they did have some regression signs. They were minus 76 yards per game in conference and they had a plus nine turnover differential. So you're saying they should have been 500. No, but I'm saying like the difference between a eight and four and seven and five could be a couple turnovers in the game. And the juice suggests like at minus one 50, I don't know, man, I think losing Tedford, who is a good coach, I'll take the under of Fresno state. The, but the main thing is the schedule, man, the schedule, like, I think they're favored in every single game, not, not named Michigan. So the, yeah, the minus one 50 makes it like 7.9. I mean, certainly it's, it's still eight to win. It doesn't change a ton. Fresno is actually catching 20 and a half against Michigan. That's a fun upset spot. It lost, it lost a little luster though, dude. I mean, so, but if you liked, are they making any big changes in the coaching staff? No, we don't know that. The coaching staff has been together for years. So then maybe it doesn't matter. Maybe it doesn't matter. The schedule is fucking beautiful though, man. Like it's a good sketch. But if you trusted Tedford, you probably trust his assistance. Oh yeah. I'm going to ride the over. I feel very, but my thing, my thing to, to win the conference, my thing to win the conference, it got a little, there's a little more questions on it now. How many teams can win the Mountain West? So 12, I would say this year you're looking at, I'm going to say five. Okay. And are they one of them? Yes, certainly. Okay. So I see Colby's case. I'm going under. To me, Tedford is enough to take this team from maybe a nine and three to a seven and five. It's his system, potentially. Yeah. But I don't know. To your point, I, yeah, I still think end of the day, especially when it gets close with this stuff. I'm going, yeah, I'm going under. I think Tedford makes the difference. They do and crown. He didn't coach the ball game and they won. They have a lot of winnable games. The road games. I mean, to Colby's point, they're probably going to be favored at New Mexico. They're probably probably probably they will definitely be favored at New Mexico. They will be favored at UNLV. They're going to have the crowd at UNLV. They will be, they all travel to Vegas. It's not that far of a trip for them. They will be favored at Nevada and they'll be favored at UCLA. They beat UCLA five straight times. Maybe not at Air Force. That's the one that I think they I think they'll be favored. But that's the one I think they lose. So there may be dogs in two games all year. Yeah, you got to take the over. And what's the number? Eight or seven and a half, right? And you're taking. What are you doing? Sean? I'm going under. Oh, you're getting cute. No, 10 games. They'll 10 or 11 games are favored. And you're going under. Take that minus 150, Ryan. Take it. I dare you. I am going to take it. And I think I guess we have to do we, are we sprinkling the playoff? Yeah, playoffs. Well, I mean, redemption season win one for for Ted for I like it. I like it, buddy. Are we doing to make play like it? Maybe they do beat Michigan game. Imagine they play Michigan close. That's going to be on the committee's mind. So far, we're we're taking so I mean, we're going to fade. Yeah, we're definitely. We should take this money line. It's got to be like 14 to one. I still might take the money line against Michigan. Yeah. Oh, but when they win that, then you're screwed. And then ultimate let down spot though next week at Sacramento State home. Okay. They are a good FCS. Hey, have you guys signed up over on rhythm yet? If not, what are you waiting for? Still time to get in on some of their sweet projections for the British Open sports game on podcast.com/rhythm. Get in over there. Get your seven day free trial over on rhythm. And they're dropping the college football product any day now you want to get in, you want to get your free seven day trial, start tinkering around with the models. It is super fun building your own model. And it's very easy too. It's not like you're hammering away with some numbers. No, the MIT nerds that founded rhythm, they're the ones doing the numbers. You just adjust the sliders, what stats, what factors are important to you in your model. They'll generate it. They'll back test it. They'll tell you how that, how this model is performed. Again, awesome for golf. They've been doing really great over there. Go to sports, give them a podcast.com/rhythm. Sign up over there and get that free seven day trial. We're also brought to buy circus sports. You know, we love circus sports. We love Derek Stevens legend in his own right business and blackjack. That's what it's in his profile. He means it. Give it away. $16 million guaranteed. Only two people sign up for the contest. Kramer and me still giving away $16 million. 10 million. Yeah, it's going to, it would be a massive overlay. And Derek would probably not be there. There is a great moment of Derek up to kickoff of NFL. Derek's sweating out the overlay because it doesn't matter how many people sign up. They're giving away $10 million in their survivor. They were given away $6 million in the circuit millions. That's, you know, dumb. You're going to feel if this is the year, this is the year you win survivor. You get to the end of the NFL gauntlet and you weren't playing circuit survivor. You're giving away that cash and Kramer and I are going to be out in Vegas. A bunch come hang out with us. Sign up in person. You can sign up in Vegas play from anywhere. Contest weekend is going to be a ton of fun. We got them to do a little open bar event. August 22nd through the 24th. And again, if you're signing up football contest proxy.com promo code SGP 50 bucks off your proxy fees. It's not super expensive. You're going to love the contest. Super fun circus sports.com. But if less people sign up more for us, right? Overlay. Overlay. So maybe, maybe come hang with us, but don't sign up for the contest. Let us win the contest. No. All right. I totally forgot there's a dog sitting on the set. It is weird because I, uh, I'll turn to my left a little bit and the dog does kind of block some of the eye contact. It's giving you the eye. All right. I mean, it was a great marketing campaign. It was like, Hey, what did this dog love beer and also fucking a ton of chicks. It's, uh, it's really genius. It was a simpler time. Yeah. It was hot off the heels. He's one of those guys who will get penetration. I think it still works now. But if you're the director of the Spud's McKenzie, McKenzie commercials, like what do you tell in the ladies? Like, Hey, pretend you're having fun, but also she kind of want to fuck this dog. I mean, look at the pretend he's really hot and sexy and you want to take this dog home and have sex with them. It was, there wasn't, in the eighties were a different time. I mean, it was kind of implied B. Ciality, but he, he was down for a party, man. He's Spud's implied B. Ciality. Well, that wasn't on the big go. I mean, watch that. Watch that commercial and tell me Spud's McKenzie is not going home with one of those chicks. Right. You're right. But I just didn't think we were talking about implicit B. Cial. All right. Oye three and five in conference last year, five and eight overall. They do have the ultimate home field advantage. And then the absolute worst road trip advantage, disadvantage, four and a half is the total this year. Boy, June, June Jones is not making this total, but we can see people are betting it minus 170 to the over plus 140 to the under 32 to one to win the conference, 300 to one to make the playoff 1000 to one to win the national championship. Wouldn't that be something Colby? It would that in this one. I did the preview. I don't know, like three weeks ago. This was at five and a half, man. Really? Yeah. Yeah. So it's actually come down with juice going the other way. I mean, with the, if you want to adjust it for the juice, it's 5.1. Who is fading? Hawaii. Obviously we're going to be all in on Hawaii. Great pronunciation. Many people are saying this is Chang's best team. Shout out to the Chang gang. We got June Jones getting us hype about Braden Schrager. Is it Schrager, right? Yeah, Schrager bombs. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, he's got a fun name and they were five and seven last year and only minus 32 yards per game in the mountain west and three net close losses. So they were close to even like they were five and seven, but they had a couple like they easily could have been a six and six, seven and five team. I think this team is, is poised. And I got a chance to interview Shaker, Schrager bombs. And I was interested that to find out that he likes going diving with sharks in Hawaii. I mean, you know, quarter back, he likes to watch on the beach. She likes, uh, he likes whatever you're into. So here's the thing. Oregon, Oregon canceled a game on August 24th with them. Pussy. So now they have two FCSes. So that is why you should take the over Delaware State, Northern Iowa. They both count as wins. They do. Oh, yeah. So, uh, how could they hang a four and a half when they have two FCS teams? Yeah. It doesn't make any sense to me. And you got to like the fact you get a week zero game before playing a UCLA team that really is all over the place as far as their roster is almost their coaching hire. There's no way. They could be four and O to start the season, because if they upset UCLA, they get Sam, they get a buy then Sam Houston, then Northern Iowa, four and O, you look at this Hawaii schedule. Four and O is not crazy, even three and one. Wait a second. Yeah. I mean, they, I think they will be three and one like potentially four and out. Like that UCLA game is, is, yeah, I don't mean to be disrespectful, but you said two FCS, Delaware State and Northern Iowa, three FCS programs. Well, okay. Sam Houston just came up, right? I mean, they're basically an FCS program. I don't mean to be disrespectful. Wow. Right. Come on. Well, how many years have they been? Are they even tough to go into the bear? I'm going to win though. Are they able to? You don't think Fade Chang at the Ching? Yeah, it's true. Chang and Ching is a combination. Is Sam Houston allowed to win their conference? No. Okay. So they're basically an FCS school. If they're still getting penalized, so that's three wins right there. And UCLA 100% is going to be a win. What do you think that spread this? What are we getting on the money? I mean, I have it right in front of me. So wait, this, that's whole UCLA's first game, right? Yes. They're probably favored by seven. And we love playing teams that already played a game. Yeah. UCLA's football team going to Hawaii to play a night game. What's a, what's the spread? It's a, it's a four to one money line, 14 points. Give me the points on every day. Yes. That's the, we have so many Jews. Who has the better quarterback? Yes. Who's at home? Yes. And who gets to play a week before? Yeah. That's crazy. But I mean, even the rest of the schedule. So we've already established our starting for now. Yeah. And so then the Mountain West schedule, who comes to visit them? Boise, Nevada, UNLV in New Mexico. There's three wins. I think they can get UNLV. They upset a team of year it seems like, and let's not forget that also. Oh, the San Diego state game is interesting. I mean, San Diego States forever had their number, but Boise has a buy after the Hawaii game. You don't think they're staying a couple days have a little vacation? Well, that ain't a business trip. I think you got to take the over to though, because look, I just say like they could be four now. If even if I have my three and one, you still have Nevada and Utah State, New Mexico, the schedule, which they're all kind of question marks and then UNLV at home. That's when they could beat you. No, they're, they're winning six games. I agree over at least over over, lock it up. I think they're dude, if, if, if Traeger plays well, this a Colby has five overs them getting them being like, I feel good about four and a half. When it was at five and a half, I was like, yeah, them, but them being, I mean, 32 to one to win the mountain west. I mean, give me some of that. Would they host the championship? They would. The one seed would, you know, I, I think their wind ceiling is probably limited because their road games are tougher, but, you know, crazier shit can happen, I guess. I, I think I'd rather just take the over. Okay, Mr. safe. I'm a gamble over here. Give me, give me Hawaii. I'm balancing all my unders with a whole bunch of overs here in the mountain lesson. Next up, Nevada, the wolf pack, two and six last year in conference, two and 10 overall trash. And now their wind total is two and a half. One of the lowest we've seen in the power four plus mountain west and pack two plus one 10 to the over minus one 35 to the under jeez. This is very little just down to two and a quarter, very low. This is like prime territory. Plus 15,000 to win the conference Colby three, 30,000 for the playoff and one thousand to one from the college football championship. Any chance for the wolf pack? No, I think you like that, whoever the ideas did not do the many favors with the noncon. It's funny when teams do this to themselves. SMU is SMU. Now they're spending a shit ton of money. That game was added. That was not on the schedule. Five years ago, it was added recently. What did we learn? They raised 80. Oh no, 130 million dollars and 70. Well, no, it was 130 million in seven days. Yeah, 163 months. That game was added late. That was like one a couple months ago. They put together. That's a week zero game. This noncon. And then they're at Troy, who's very good in the Sunbelt. They're also home to Georgia Southern who makes a ball over here in the Sunbelt. It's not just they got Troy. They got Troy in fucking August, you know, gross. It's going to be down at Minnesota and then from the dry air of Nevada down to Alabama. They're FCS is a really good FCS opponent in Eastern Washington. So oh my God. What are their guaranteed wins? Does Georgia Southern still run the triple option? No, no, no joking aside. All joking aside. I know this is a humorous joke. No jokes. No jokes. Do they have a guaranteed win on the schedule? No, I don't think so. Like Easter. Washington's very capable of beating. How many games are they favorite in the Eastern Washington game? And that's it. How can they get the three wins? That's what I'm saying. I think this is a smash under. I know like normally catching 16 points against Troy. They're catching 24 points at home against SMU. Like, all right, they'll get maybe this is a shock one of you. No shock. Like one of these games they'll pull out of their ass. But three, I asked this might be this might be the best bet. Yeah, the schedules might be the best bet. Stupid. Yeah, there's nothing. There's nothing for me to even in the conference. Think about this. They get Boise, Fresno, Air Force and UNLVs like the four best teams last season. Yeah. Well, all right. So they don't the only thing you can say pause three power fives on the schedule is they don't they don't get Washington state, but they do get Oregon state. And like Colby said, they get all the other top teams and your FCS almost beat Fresno last year. Fresno went to overtime against Easter Washington. It's good. Yeah. Yeah, no Cooper cup. You heard of him. Who's the three? Yeah, the three wins are just that. That's a joke. Where are they getting three wins? They have to what upset Georgia Southern. Make sure they beat Eastern Washington and then upset. Colorado state. I mean, imagine you're a Nevada fan and you're catching 16 points on the road. I actually like it's Troy. I like the coaching hire. It's just, it's not going to be this year. No, I'm good with an under here. Getting back to my old ways. Yeah. Everyone's on under. Under. Come on. Last one. Colby's favorite program, New Mexico, the Lobos two and six in conference last year. I actually preferred Diego pissing Pavia. Four and eight overall, two and a halfs to win total this year, plus one 15 to the over minus one 40 to the under. That adjusts even lower than Nevada's total two 50 to one to win the conference 300 to one to make the playoff and 1000 to one to win it all. Again, if you're just take the make playoff, don't bother with the championship if you do like that price. It does seem like the, you know, we discussed the top of the conference, but it does seem like there will be something to catching the bottom of the conference as well. Hawaii, maybe the faux bottom, but Nevada, New Mexico, they might be the the the door mats. We went through the schedule and said when it when is when is Nevada going to be favorite? So let's do the same thing with New Mexico and start there because well, their dogs, week zero and your FCS opponent is really good, but they still could win that game. But that that's what does that say about your your team? But Colby, you talked, you talked to Bronco man and all a little bit off script. I mean, I don't know. Like to me, he's a good coach. I don't think he comes back to he's a great coach, in my opinion. I don't think he comes back to New Mexico if he's going to go winless. Spend some time in Charlottesville. You had question a man is willing to do that. He did beat the Hokies did beat the Hokies. Not many UVA coaches can say that. Schedule is fucking brutal, but yeah, it's worse than the one we just talked about in Nevada in some ways, because like you said, a the FCS opponent they're playing is going to beat their ass. Most likely. I don't know. I wouldn't be amended all against Montana State. I don't know. I'm not, I'm not lacking that up for Montana State on there. I'm not either. I mean, I think there are four points favored or something. Have you been Albuquerque secret elevation? And it's hot as shit in August. So Montana State coming to town. That might actually be a sneaky. I mean, what is the spread in that game? I think I saw it when I was in Vegas, my Montana State minus four. Yeah, I might actually take New Mexico on the money line as a dog there. If I'm being honest, really? We'll see what the model spits out. But yeah, I mean, what's Albuquerque's elevation, right? I bet you don't even know that. It's there's some elevation there. I'm not worth it. 5,312. What if I told you Albuquerque hire an elevation in Denver, Colorado? Who are they playing? If you want. Where were they? Montana. And what's the elevation there? Bozeman? Yeah. I don't know. What do you mean you don't know? Oh, well, Montana State's in Billings. So no, it's in Bozeman, right? No, Bozeman. Oh, Billings is only 3,124 elevation. So that's a little bit of a jump up. Colby told me to talk about it. It's in Bozeman and no, that's regular Montana. No, that that's Missoula, buddy. Elevation and Bozeman is 40 feet. You're right. Bozeman. All right. So that's still a 500 foot jump. Fairly enough. I mean, that's nothing. It's the heat is what I'm getting at. Oh, okay. Hang out now. I'm a quirky in August. I dare you. It's one of those green chilis. Yeah, you're going to be shitting for nice. I love a green chili. No, at Arizona, at Auburn loss loss, Fresno State at home. All right. At New Mexico State. That's winnable. That is going to stay. Had everyone transfer the battle of the Rio Grande. That is a winnable game. They got back to back at Utah State at Colorado State. Super tough, but they get Wyoming at home. Maybe I don't hear me. I don't know why I'm going to trust that it's Bronco Mendenhall. I'll just take care of it because and here's another thing. I think people will look and say, well, his first year at Virginia, he was horrible. Yeah, fair. But he was overhauling their entire Bronco Mendenhall is a defensive guy, played defensive back for Oregon State was part of Rocky long staff when he invented the 335 Danny Gonzalez, the previous coach runs a 335, right? So he's that the roster's a little more familiar, in my opinion, than traditionally coming in. So I like, I don't think it's going to be easy, but I think I lean over here just because I think Mendenhall will Jason back the offensive coordinator will fight away to get that thing. He's the guy that converted Brandon Armstrong from safety to quarterback and put up monster numbers at UVA. I think they'll find someone and they'll be just good enough. Give me the win against Montana State. Give me the win against New Mexico State. And they'll upset somebody. Maybe it's Utah State. You know, he's got it. He's he's familiar with the state of Utah, goes up there. Maybe it's Hawaii. Maybe it's San Diego State. I don't know, but I know it's not Hawaii. We just like, we like Hawaii. I'm just saying, we're all maybe it's Air Force. Maybe it's Air Force. He's had a great track record coming from everyone's three wins. I'm just saying everyone's going over. There's certain where on the wind's going. There's certain conferences where you got to rideovers and certain ones you got to ride under Sean. You're not possibly to. Sean, guess what the money line is against Arizona week, week one. 20 to one. 30 to one. Really? Yeah. I'm with Colby. Bronco Mendenhall is going to win 30 games. I don't know how where. I don't know. I said, I don't know how. Don't put me on the road. Like the, all the conference road games are kind of have a good defense. They'll figure out to have like a respectable defense next year and that running back, transfer from Iowa State Sanders, I think under hater hammer, Colby did come in with six. What he took the water. He took the bottles on there. All right. Time for our locks and a future Kramer. What do you got? Well, I feel like we should do three again since we did. We're going to do three in the next episode. Nevada under definitely Nevada under. That's my favorite under in this episode. Hawaii over. Okay. Oh, I don't know the, the Fresno situation just seems like we're going to have a magical season. The ghost of Ted, although he is still alive. Let's go. It's, it's Fresno State over. Two over. I've been locking up. What's your future ride? So we were workshopping a lot of stuff. We, we were, we were discussing maybe Colorado State, but why, why don't we, I think we sprinkle a little, a little Hawaii conference now, now that we've gotten through it all, that's going to be my. Oh man, that was going to be mine. I copy. Yeah, I can. All right. So for me, Air Force over six and a half, Hawaii over four and a half Colorado State over six and a half. So I'll take Hawaii to win the mountain west at 32 to one and Colorado State to make the college football playoffs. No, just do mountain west. Yeah. Now let me down for Colorado State conference to 15. All right. Colby, what are you doing? Let's lock up that Nevada under two and a half. Then Fresno over seven and a half. And I will then go Colorado State over six and a half. I almost did the Colorado State. Well, he had a future. Let's take Colorado State to win the mountain west. Was that plus 1500? Yeah. Also, give me a little bit of Fresno to make the playoff. Let's go. And that is 20 to one. Yeah. Let's get it. So that's. Is that real? What? I'm just saying. You think that you think there's, there's, there's value and then there's the, are they actually going to let them in? Well, it's true. I'm sure there are going to be odds. If they have, if they give Michigan a scare, they could. What group of five conference you think gets the bid? That'd be a good future for someone to put up. Well, it's weird. I think like Memphis and the AACs have got a great shot at it. I do think it's going to come from one of the shittier conferences. Liberty. You think Liberty? Liberty is a good. That's probably the Appalachian state in the Sunbelt. Sunbelt Toledo in the Mac. Well, I think it's one of those things. Like the metrics will probably say, Hey, these are similar conferences. Like, but the disparity, like the Mountain West does seem to have a little bit more of that big 12. You know, a lot of teams can beat a lot of other teams. The mountains is to me, like with all those teams, even the two bad teams, it's way better conference than any other conference in the, in the group of two. It's all, I mean, not, I would also say it's one of the more interesting, like set of road spot. Everything about the Mountain West is interesting. I like it's my favorite conference. I would say that. So the, if the Hokies, when the ACC falls apart, if they extend, that would be awesome. I mean, of course, Blacksburg, not far from mountains. You know that Colby, but no, I, yeah, 100%. I mean, think about all the Jersey combinations and all like some of the locations they go to. It's a great. And they play late night on the West coast. Sean and I are sitting out at the circus sports book after the show. It's like, all right. Well, I guess we're going to bet on this fucking game. Shout out to the Mountain West. Let's go. Shout out to the mountain West. Check out all our couch football conference previews. Check out Colby Dan on the couch football experience. Get in on one of their live couch football, best ball drafts, underdog fantasy promo code to S G P N. I'm sorry. I just shout out to the man of the box. Colby's watching some videos from the back detective right scumbag of hands himself has some, has some plays for the U S open. Still time if you're watching live, gave out some, give it some stuff for us. It doesn't start in like five minutes. It does. Thank you for participating in the sports game in pockets for sports game in pockets. I'm showing it's second one of green. He's Ryan. Respect the pack to Kramer. Let it ride.
The guys (@GamblingPodcast) continue their NCAA Football Conference Previews with the Mountain West Conference. They're joined by Colby Dant (@TheColbyD) from The College Football Experience as they give their college football betting preview for the Mountain West Conference including Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawai'i and more. We preview college football team win totals for the Mountain West and our favorite Mountain West futures.