Brett Appley provides his quick preview and makes his UFC Vegas 94 DraftKings Picks including his favorite Cash Game, Tournament and Salary picks of the week. Brett also provides his signature “Matchup for the Week” for all your DraftKings plays this weekend.
Show Index:
00:00 - Intro
01:12 - DraftKings Cash Play Of The Week
03:28 - DraftKings Tournament Play Of The Week
05:57 - DraftKings Salary Play Of The Week
08:10 - Draftkings Matchup of the Week
010:29 - Outro
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(upbeat music) - What's up everyone? Welcome to another UFC quick picks here on the Mayo Media Network. We have UFC Vegas 94 this weekend. Amanda Lemo's first burnout, Jandroba in the main event, 12 fights on the slate. And it is one of our most competitively lined fights slates in recent memory. The biggest favorites on the card are around minus 200. Salary is not really an issue on the slate. We have a ton of obvious value. So there's a lot of intriguing dynamics on this slate that should help make it a fun one to build lineups. And I think we'll see a few fun fights as well before I get into the card. Please make sure to subscribe to the channel, like the video and once again, give me your favorite underdog to target this week. Maybe you have an obvious one, but there are many, many live dogs, which I think really presents a lot of options for us this week. So I'm looking forward to talking about that with you. Of course, I'm here to give you my favorite cash gameplay of the week, my tournament play, salary play, and a matchup I like on the slate as well. And without further ado, let's get into my cash gameplay. Other week, which is gonna be Miranda Maverick at 9.2K. All right, in cash games, I like paying out for Miranda Maverick. And this is a really, really tough cash slate. I, there are very few obvious targets and even Miranda Maverick, I don't think is a must. Like you could easily create cash lineups that do not include her. So it's just sort of an early opinion I have. It's still only Thursday, but the reasons why I do like Miranda Maverick, she's the biggest favorite on this card currently. I believe she's minus 220 or so on Pinnacle against Dionne Barbosa, who Dionne Barbosa is a pretty good grappler. I liked her coming into the UFC. I still think she has potential in this matchup, but she had pretty severe cardio issues in her UFC debut. I was taking this fight on a little bit of short notice too. And Miranda Maverick is just very experienced, well-rounded and should have cardio advantages late. So that's why Maverick is aligned as a solid favorite. Maverick also scores very well in wins historically. 110, 99, 110, 119, 104, and 85. I worry that this is not a great matchup for her to score. The fight is minus 300 to go the distance. Maverick is only plus 375 to win inside the distance, which is partially why I don't consider her a must. I mean, you could target finishing upside in this range, but potentially sneaky finishing equity considering the cardio dynamically in the fight. Ultimately, Maverick just fights at a moderate pace. She can land takedown. She can land a lot of significant strikes, and she's one of the more likely fighters on the slate to win. So I'm a little less focused on sealing here. The sealing options within this range are very risky, and there's some risk to Miranda Maverick as well, but Maverick is the biggest favorite on the slate. A pretty safe floor in that she can fight a hard 15 minutes. She can grapple, she can throw strikes in volume, and she has a pretty strong historic draft Kings. Finishes in wins. So I think she's a pretty strong cast game option on this particular slate. I will be interested to pay up for her at 9.2K. All right, my tournament play of the week, I'm gonna go with Bill Algio at 8.9K. It is really, really difficult to pay up this week, and you can make pretty heavy cases against a lot of these fighters, including Algio, who was 8.9, and only what minus 165 to win. I mean, he's definitely overpriced, considering what we would typically expect from an 8.9K fighter, and he doesn't wrestle a lot. He doesn't win inside the distance a lot. He's only plus 300 to win inside the distance in this matchup against Duho Choi. So I don't know. I mean, people might play Bill Algio 'cause there's like literally no other options, but he certainly doesn't rate out phenomenally well, and I'm hoping that impacts ownership enough for me to get some leverage against the field, because I still do like him, despite him not rating out well. I like the pace that he sets. He's an aggressive striker, and he's typically durable. He's coming off a KO loss in the first round, but semi-controversial stoppage. He was never actually knocked down. Hasn't been knocked down at any time in his UFC career, and he's fighting Duho Choi, who is a good technical striker and has a lot of power and will fight pretty aggressively early. And I think Choi does have early damaging potential, but Choi also slows down, and Choi gets hurt quite a bit, and Choi's been knocked down several times. Choi's been knocked out in the UFC multiple times. He hasn't been very active in that he's only fought once since 2019 due to mandatory military service. So I do question what Choi looks like after the first round here. Algio is gonna strike at a high pace. He's landed upwards of 110 significant strikes multiple times. He can mix in a takedown or two. He's a good submission grappler, and I think he just has multiple ways to produce offense, especially down the stretch. And if Duho Choi's tired, he could easily get hurt. He gets hurt often. Despite the plus 300 inside distance line for Algio, I think he is finishing equity. Algio does score relatively well in wins. 107, 116, 91, his last three wins. This is a really tough slate, and I'm far from certain that Algio wins or smashes. But I like the pace he sets. I like his potential to do damage. 8.9K is a decent price to pay. I like Algio quite a bit in tournaments this week. All right, next up my salary play of the week. I'm gonna go with Hider. I meal at 7.1K. He's coming off a UFC debut win, which scored him 132 points. And I was on him in that UFC debut when, you know, that's just, I gotta be honest. And that's probably why I like him as well in this fight. But more realistically, it's, I like him because of the pace he sets. He's a brawler. He will fight aggressively. He can throw a lot of volume. He just landed 79 significant strikes in seven minutes in that UFC debut. And that's a lot of what I saw from him on the regional scene. And the reason why people didn't like him as much coming into the UFC is 'cause he had a really hard fought decision on the contender series where he didn't score a lot of points. But that was because his opponent was spamming takedowns for the entirety of the fight. And it was really hard for Emile to get off on his offense. Now he's fighting Jung Kong Lee, who is a Korean kick boxer, I would say. He does have a grappling background as well. But I would say more success will come from him on the feet. I think he'll be willing to engage with Emile and this is still a somewhat competitively lined fight. Emile is only plus 163 to win. Lee is minus 191. I think that it's one of the fights I like. So I couldn't use this as the matchup of the week. I think it'll be fought at a high pace. It's minus 165, 10 inside the distance. Emile pushing forward will force Lee to engage. Will mean that Lee probably needs to hurt Emile and put him away to win this fight convincingly. And Lee is plus 130 to win inside the distance. I think it's a totally fine and potentially strong payup target there at 9.1 K. But conversely, if you need a safe salary, I really like Emile at 7.1 K. We know he's going to produce a lot of offense. He can fight at a hard pace. And there's no guarantee that Jung Kong Lee will be able to match him in a brawl. Emile is plus 325 to win inside the distance. I think it's a reasonable ceiling for the price, a reasonable win equity. Again, I love the pacing and he will be my salary play of the week. Finally, my matchup of the week, there's still a couple really, really strong matchups left to talk about, but the one I'm going to choose is Kenan Kuchuski, Kurt Hollabaugh, a very competitively lined fight here with Kuchuski minus 133, Hollabaugh plus 116 on Draftking, Kuchuski's 8.7 K, Hollabaugh 7.5 K. Hollabaugh is another brawler, very aggressive fighter, pressure, throws a lot of volume. I've loved Kurt Hollabaugh throughout the majority of his career. I've backed him many, many times. And he, unfortunately, has lost many of those fights. But he's fighting Kuchuski, who is like a Muay Thai striker, does have some grappling background as well, but was face planted in his UFC debut in the first round. And unfortunately, the only other loss of his pro career, he's 15 and two, he was also face planted in the first round. So it's just hard to trust Kuchuski's durability and against a fighter like Hollabaugh who's going to try and kill him. I mean, it's very, very easy to picture the upside for Kurt Hollabaugh. Hollabaugh is a near pickum at 7.5 K with clear early KO ability plus 215 to win inside the distance. Hollabaugh is one of the best dogs on the slate, I think, and I think he will be popular. Kuchuski, coming off that UFC debut loss, I'm hoping will not be popular because I also think he has a lot of upside. Plus 145 to win inside the distance, Kurt Hollabaugh because he brings a high pace. In order, if you beat him, you have to either match and exceed that pace or hurt him or out grapple him. Kurt Hollabaugh doesn't get knocked out a lot but he has been knocked out. He was also just taken down at will and dominated it on the ground for like the entire fight by Trey Ogden. So I think Kuchuski has grappling equity as well. Granted, he's not a primary grappler but in his contender series fight, he literally took his opponent down, took his back and choked him out. So I think if Kuchuski wins, it's via damage via grappling. He's plus 145 to win inside the distance and is probably gonna be the leverage side. So really high upside for this fight as a whole. I think definitely ownership is gonna be skewed toward the Hollabaugh side, which I understand but don't overlook Kuchuski there. At 8.7K, one of the very best matchups on this slate. All right guys, that's gonna do it for this week's UFC QuickPix. Thank you so much for the support. You can follow me on Twitter, but at @AppleyWtWP. Establish the run.com for all your draft Kings. Needs just did an hour and a half podcast with my boy Gordo Gammel's breakdown. Every single fight on the slate, we have full run breakdowns there as well, projections, rankings, slate summary, all that good stuff, all the content you need to help you win on draft Kings. Once again, best of luck in your contest. Stay safe out there and we'll talk to y'all soon. Peace. (upbeat music) - 5280 exteriors James Hardy's sighting is a low maintenance sighting made primarily of cement that resist flame spread and repels woodborne insects and woodpeckers. Through the month of July, you'll receive free rigid foam installation with the purchase of whole house sighting. That's installing additional insulation behind your sighting for free, but only for the month of July. Call today for more details or visit 5280 exteriors.com, 5280 exteriors.com, a James Hardy preferred contractor, 5280 exteriors, the altitude of quality.
