(upbeat music) - Hello and welcome back to the DP World Tour picks and bets show or mayo media network. As you'll see, I am hosting this week and I'm joined by Ryan Barroff, Ryan, hello. - Tom, good to see you man, happy to be back and hopefully fill some big shoes this week. - It's been going well this year, which is weird because it's been week to week, like the confidence levels haven't been, I mean, there have been when we got the winners in, right? But like the actual research time, feel like it's got harder to actually pick a winner but by the same token, it's worked out for us. So I think we've had a good amount of fortune on the way. - Yeah, I think we've had a lot of on-brand winners. I mean, absolutely, you and Skye have been doing great. Feels like we've had a lot of community wins of late. That Guido one was pretty fun a couple of weeks ago. - Yeah, exactly that. I mean, like it's always good when you get your favourites on there as well. But this is probably the first time, I guess, there's been a lot of people that are really interested in DP World Tour because it's a co-sanctioned event with the PJ Tour. It's the Genesis Scottish Open. I guess the last few weeks, Ryan have been pretty DP World Tour-ish, I guess, in the same. Although two of the two of the folks in the pretty, pretty well closing out yesterday but we had an all-timer with McKibbin getting us that playoff with Marcel Seam. Any sort of notes that you've taken from the DP World Tour over the last couple of weeks that have led you to anything in this week or is it just a focus on the sole individual event? - Yeah, I feel like we're due for a long shot winner. It's been a lot of the guys who we expected, right? Like I guess Ferguson was a little deeper but he's been playing well the last couple of weeks. I think people, I think he's been tipped pretty recently but obviously Guido played well, talk about the Soderberg thing later. He obviously should have won. But yeah, I mean, all these top guys, Tom McKibbin, who you've kind of mentioned, will be on the PJ Tour next year. And then I think the return of guys like Laurie Cantor, Bern-Viesberger, we saw Thomas Peters last week, Patrick Bingo was up there. Like, it's good to see those guys back and I just feel like the guys who we expect to play will have played well. - Yeah, it has been that, right? I think like last week, I kind of went with the notion of just going with Fox and Peters. I never did, I never go to kind of favorites but I just felt like we were in a position where we'd just take those guys and it didn't work out. I mean, as we kind of talked about our fair, like Peters came good every nine holes or so. Like he just went from a little streets, right? And he made 20 birdies on the week. And to be honest, I actually thought he would have made the most birdies as a way of playing. I think probably when you consider how many eagles he would have made as well. I'm assuming he must have made the most eagles, he didn't. He was the second and eagles were made too. Mathis Bessard made three if anyone was interested in them last week. - Oh, he, that guy, that guy, eagle to 18 on Sunday and knocked my guy Hoshino from fifth to sixth place, that hurt, that hurt. - He said like Mathis Bessard on his show. I like it, good. Yeah, it's a fun thing to have cancer at Peters, Bessard, but we've had the breakthrough in with cancer now. Bessard feels like he's due. Maybe we'll come on to that in a little while here. But let's look at the top of the board. Let's look at the fact that Rory comes back as a plus 750 favorite, which is no surprise. No, Scotty Scheffler, you automatically put him in. Coming off that break though, since the US opens. Anna Schofle plus 850, columnarico plus 14. Judith Ayler, 18, Tommy Fleetwood, Victor Hovland, 22s, and then it's Tom and Kim at 25 to one. First of all, I guess, Ryan, is Rory McRory just gonna come back and win straight away? - You cut out for a minute there, maybe I cut out, were you asking about Rory? - Yeah, so I said, the thing to think about is, do we think that Rory is just gonna come back and win straight away? Is this kind of vengeance to organistal this week? - Look, I mean, wouldn't surprise me. One of the best players in the field, obviously one of the best links players in the field, always seems to elevate his game a little bit when he goes back to Europe. Doesn't matter if he's here, if it's out in Dubai, just very comfortable playing here. I think he had a lot more to prove last year than he does this year. I don't know what he has to prove this year is going to be next week, obviously. He needs to prove it in a major. I'm not gonna bet him this week, but if I had to pick from kind of those names that you mentioned at the top, I would go there before I went to Sander or Colin or Abraham or anyone like that. - Yeah, and look, I could very much see the Rory back it's about a thing happening this week. We thought it was gonna happen last year. They've put a plaque down for Rory McRory's shop from 202 yards or whatever it was last year with in Dubai. So can you put a shot, and I think that the point you make there, Ryan, is key. He had so much to prove, even in a regular event last year and he does this year, he's purely now majors only. We know he can get the wins. He's got the fantastic winner quail already on the season and we're not worried about that. He's won the Middle East. We're not worried about him winning. We're worried about him winning majors, and I guess you'd feel more confident if he does win, just based on the fact he's had that kind of few weeks break, but I don't know, it doesn't seem to ever transpire. Don't wait, is it? We always feel like the hype train starts as soon as he wins the week before, and it doesn't seem to lead into anything for him. So it's gonna be a really interesting case that we'll see what Rory does this week. - Yeah, and it's kind of hard for him because I feel like people are just waiting on the major and overlooking just how well and how consistent that he's played. Like he won at Wells Fargo not too long ago. That's a big win. Obviously, he should have won the US Open Critter second. And yeah, he's playing great. It would not surprise me, but have to imagine he is looking forward to next week. - Yeah, I think it's prep work. Obviously, Zander did win here. That was when he was on the hot run. He's been incredible this year, and there's no denying that he's made the turn, I guess. He's been sent first and 42nd in three starts here. The 52nd obviously coming when he was defending champion, but he was better placed inside the top 20 going into Sunday last year as well. Do we worry about him? Are we trying to say these guys all know? Do we just hope that wins can't keep stacking up for sure? - Yeah, I mean, I think he's been playing great. Like what you said, he's raised his floor even further. Like if he's not in the top eight or 10 on Sunday, I'd be shocked. But again, just not a lot of interest in betting it like eight to one. He also is now at that point in his career where obviously majors are the only thing probably that he cares about. Got the Olympics was coming up as well. So probably a bit of a look ahead spot for Zander too. - Agree. With the fear of not just going one by one on the odds board, any comments on Colleen or do you think before you move on? - No, I mean, Luke can play well anywhere. Would not shock me. He's probably the type of guy who I would start my draft team's lineups with this week, more than anything. Still a little concerned about the health. Just doesn't seem to be 100% back to himself yet. So very interested to see how he plays here and of course next week. He's actually been really surprising at how well he's played with that injury, right? Like if it's not something to be taken lightly, he was 12 going to the final round of travelers. He was 36 whole year with the US Open, fifth going to the final round, fifth of Memorial. He does still have that blow up shot anyway, even with the, I don't think there's anyone that bounces back better from a triple bow either and losing a blow. But that's going to probably last, I don't know, a season or two before the start speed was from a scar tissue. But yeah, I think from an injury standpoint, I would just stay away from that right? That's in perspective. But yeah. So, to us about why Tommy Fleetwood is going to kick off your car. Why is Tommy not going to kick off the car, right? Would be real question. Would be very fitting for him to get his first PGA tour win in Scotland, right? Makes a lot of sense. But look, he hasn't necessarily been close to a win, right? But just been very consistent the last month in really good fields, right? For 21st in Canada, top 20 at Memorial, top 20 at the US Open, top 15 of the Travelers, just all striking well. Also seems to be putting much better this year than he has in years past, which is a really good sign. And then obviously one of the best Williams players in the world and absolutely loves this course. He's gone second, 26th, 4th, 6th in his four appearances here. If it's going to happen for Tommy, it's going to happen in an event like this, absolutely loving this week. Found a 28 to one this morning on Fandoor. That is a win only, but you know, that's a very good number for him here. - It is, that is a good number. If it was a 22th one, we'd only be a little bit more concerned, obviously, but the 28th one is huge. Yeah, the potting, as you say, is really encouraging to see him consistent interest rates on the Greens, right? And I think I was really quite bullish on him for the US Open. I'm not in terms of Tommy Fleetwood generally. And he was disappointing, he finished 16th, but it was more to do with the final round, right? But those irons that he hit at the travels is encouraging, the off the tee game was great. Around the green, he's going to pick up at any point, like that's not something he's usually struggling with, right? And as you said, absolutely loves Scotland. He's one of two players that's finished inside the top 10 both times since it's been the co-sanctioned event. Fourth and sixth, he obviously lost in the playoff on his debut here as well to Aaron Rice. So he's had a phenomenal record here. I do get it. I think I'm just kind of, I don't know, guest beat. - I don't know, Tommy Fleetwood. - Yeah, picking him up in the major. I mean, I shouldn't be, right? I don't do it so often though. - So the other thing that I've noticed, I guess it's really over the last year and a half, but especially recently, he is hitting so many fairways. He's hitting every fairway. That's huge for somebody like him 'cause he's not the longest, but he's long enough. He's one of the best iron players in the world. So if he's playing from the fairway, I mean, yeah, I love him this week. - Yeah, and look, if that post-it-stroke comes, I guess in the world of Asterix, Ryan, winning your first P.J. Torben in Scotland and a coach's event would be what people will level against Tommy Fleetwood. And that's unfair, right? - Yeah. - He's well deserving of a P.J. Torben. He's probably well deserving of a major win at this point. So it'd be good to see him going into the open championship with that kind of good feeling for next week. - I'm going to skip over Victor Hoveland. I don't have too much to say about him unless you do. And I'm going to go into the first pick for me, which is another Tom in Tom Kim. And that might be a good little theme for us going here. - It will be, yes. - But Tom Kim is just obvious. Like we just spoke about the fact that Fleetwood is one of only two players, which is on top 10. This course of the last two years, Tom Kim is the other. And he's been third and sixth in his two starts here. He was actually better placed after the second and third round as well as she is in the second place as well. And look, he should have won. I don't think he's been getting away from the fact that he should have won the travelers, right? I was disappointed in how he folded in the playoff after working so hard to get there. I think that's just the effect that Scottish Chef has happened on people, right? Like it's, you know, I do think there's a case of, Chef Fleur has taken advantage of people melting around him. But that's obviously the asset that he has now is that he's hard to hold off, right? Before that, he was ninth going into the fine around the US Open. He'd finished fourth. The Canadian Open as well. I thought he played decently enough at a memorial ball strike and wise. So it's not really worried about the fact that it's not a great course. And yeah, I just, we know that he walked around on one foot for most of the Open Championship and finished second there. There's obviously something about these links courses that he enjoys. And I see no reasons to get away from Tom Kim, despite the fact that there'll be a lot of people on him and obviously the price is coming in at a pretty alarming rate. - Yeah, I'm with you. Like you said, should a one travelers, I think very underrated was his finish at the RBC Canadian Open where he went 65, 64 of the weekend 'cause he had kind of shown that like, all right, the form was coming back a little bit. He was making cuts. He was finishing like around 25th, 30th, but he just wasn't getting those high end finishes. Finally, he was fourth in Canada. And then obviously he should have won travelers. Not worried about the miscut last week. That was what, his ninth week or 10th week in a row. It seemed weird that he went there anyways. I think the week off will be great for him and absolutely loves his golf course. - Yeah, what I love to see as well is that the memorial where he finished 40, 30 was terrible on the green. So you don't want anyone to ever be terrible on the greens but if it's going to happen, having a no cut event, right, where the ball is striking is still good. So very encouraged by what Tom Kim has done so far for the last few weeks. - Absolutely. And has shown links prowess both here and in very, very bad conditions too, last year I might add, so. - Which we might get. I mean, just looking out of like my window over the last couple of days, I mean, I'm in England as opposed to Scotland but it's been pretty dreary. So we could get some weather. Interesting thought process that I had just before we came on here is that it is the England versus Neverland semi-final Wednesday nights. And it potentially be the European championship final on Sunday night for England. It's definitely going to be the final but whether England or anything or not. I wonder if that has any effects on the likes of Fleetwood Fitzpatrick, one person we need to talk about in a minute. I feel like they're all professional enough to not let that happen but like fit, for example, is definitely a huge football fan. - Yeah, I mean, what time does the game start on, on I guess on Sunday would be more important but. - 8 p.m. and it's 8 p.m. both days. So like I'm guessing that they would be fine. It's just whether they're going to go out in the beers on Wednesday night and not be ready for Thursday morning. So there's any slow starters from like Fitz or Fleetwood, maybe just bet in play because they can probably pick it up. No, they'll get it done by in time for Sunday but a little wrinkle there for people that are not maybe across that. But the next Englishman I want to talk about, I think we're both on here. Ryan is Aaron Rye and that won't surprise anybody. The guy's been, he's been so consistent for so long now. It feels like it feels like every week we have to kind of look at Aaron Rye and that surprisingly when he plies his trade so much on the PGA Tour now. But even he goes back to, he was second at Wentworth last year, 19th in Qatar, 10th in the Ned Bank, 17th in Houston, 4th at the CGA Cup, second at the Rocket Mortgage obviously we had a good chance to win and then 7th last week. It's so good, I mean, he's had a couple of missed cuts at the Kralers, the Valspar, not too worried, Phoenix. But like generally speaking now, he seems to have a bit more of a flaw than he's ever had before when he comes back to a course and conditions that we know that he likes, obviously he's a former winner here. I guess the only one negative that I could think of is that he has missed the Cup of the Two Times, it's been a co-sanctioned event and he's been in decent form coming in as well. So he probably would have been talking about him in the same vein the last couple of years and he's not quite done it. But I just think there's a different level with Aaron Rye right now. Rhymer, I feel really comfortable. - Yeah, there's a new consistency for sure. I think so last year he missed the cut on the number with just egregious iron play and his iron play has been out of the world this year. I mean, he's one of the best in the world right now. Much like Tommy Fleetwood, he hits every single fairway. He's putting a lot better right now than he has. So that's always like the issue with Aaron Rye is, he can miss every six footer for four days and then you're kind of screwed. Obviously one here back in 2020 wasn't the strongest field but he did beat Tommy Fleetwood in playoff. So there's something there, but I'm just, I'm not gonna miss his win. Part of me hopes that he shoots 80 and misses the cut so I can not bet him for the rest of the year. But yeah, he is just playing awesome right now. - Yeah, and I think to your point, like the Two Times that he's missed the cut here in the last two years, he has been awful with his irons and that's just not him. Like if it was something that he always does wrong, then I would be a little bit more concerned. But yeah, I think the way he just doesn't get himself in trouble, he's gonna hit every fairway, he's gonna hit every green. So like he's not gonna make any anywhere. So yeah, no, absolutely. Was there anyone else in this kind of range you can see in this kind of '50s when we got the Brian Harmer's Max Homer's set trackers, I guess, I dare say. - Yeah, being the big number on Max Homer, I don't know if I'm quite ready there on links and he just hasn't quite been the same this year. I think the only other name that I would mention here because he has good course history is Wyndham Clark. He's out there between 45 and 55. I don't, he's obviously not playing that well, but has played well at this golf course and he has the skill set where if he drives it well and puts well, he can kind of play anywhere. - Yeah. - But yeah, not much there. The only other, I mean, I'll just mention it 'cause he showed up last week, Jordan Spieth. I'm not a Spieth backer at all, but if there was a kind of course, if the conditions get a little wonky and maybe there's a wave edge somewhere like, there's enough there that like, if he was in the lead on Sunday, you wouldn't be surprised, so. - I always think that links is a great leveler as well and that you can just have a good week, right? Like it's not to say that it's any easier playing but you get some kind of big fairways on some of the holes and it might just be enough to kind of get him back in and it leans into everything he's great at, right? His creativity and things like that. So yeah, do get to Jordan Spieth. When I'm playing obviously massive final round at the Travelers, which is something to keep an eye on, I think, sneakily, Max Heimer, maybe the most disappointing player, or 2024, right? - Yeah, and it's interesting because we have President Scott coming up and you know he'll be on that team based on how he played at the Ryder Cup and how, like, he's going to be picked sort of regardless. So he's got to get his button here though. - It's just weird, right? Because he was like third in the Masters and we think, okay, like, I'm also, my service has resumed, he's now at a base in his game since his next level and he's just been really poor when he was eight for the Wells Fargo other than that. He's just been really disappointing and I don't know if it's just struggling with the newfound success. I don't know what it means, I mean, it's, I don't know. - Yeah, I just think- - Having a new baby, this stuff happens. These guys go through these ups and downs. So I'm sure he'll be back. But yeah, definitely a very disappointing year for Homa. - All these, all these adult lives. So we've already talked about Tommy Fleetwood. We've already talked about Tom Kim. We're now going to talk about Thomas D. Tree. Both of them as well. It's quite fun to equally sort of measure each other this morning, sort of saying, you know, here are our picks and getting ready for later on and you mentioned that you were back in multiple times. Obviously in the honor of coming on the show with me. Funnily enough, my middle name as well is Aaron. So so far we've got, we've got three times on an Aaron. So maybe we're doing something right. - Beautiful. - Thomas D. Tree is 80 to one. He was 100 to one earlier. I still like the 80. This feels like a player. I mean, I find myself getting into a trap with saying it's about too many people and I've almost stopped saying it. But this guy must win soon. Like here's such a talent and it's so consistent. In the bigger events now is what's really eye-catching, right? Is the 54-hole leader in Houston finished his second there. You know, played okay at the gym class. It's played well at the PGA Championship. We finished fourth and again, you can look at it and go, okay, when he kind of backdoored it a little bit on the, you know, his temp going into the final round, but he was inside the top five for the first two rounds as well at the PGA Championship. He's been so solid, full team for the US Open. He was second at the halfway stage. The argument is always going to be, right? He's not finished at all. But sometimes it's going to happen. - Well, there's some, yeah, I mean, there's some karma here because this is the place where he should have finished it off if not for, I guess it was a car horn that went off, something went off on one of his short putts and he missed that obviously lost in that playoff who fits to Midwoolie, but yeah, like, and he played well at the PGA, but is Tom Dietrich the guy that you want to back in an event where, you know, minus 22 is going to win? No, probably not. And I, yeah, you certainly aren't going to see that this week, sort of depending on what the conditions have in store for us. It could be a 800 winner this week, right? And that feels much more up his alley. He's really played really consistently this year. Much like Tommy Fleetwood, you know, he has dramatically improved his putting. I mean, it was always like an okay putter, but consistently, you know, one of the best putters on tour this year. And again, has some high end results, fourth of the PGA, almost won in Houston, fourth at the AT&T, top 20 at Torrey Pines, just playing really well. And of course loves this golf course. He's made the cut every year he's played here. He has the second, he was 10th in 2022. All good vibes for Tom Dietrich, so. Yeah, and again, like people might look at it and go like, you know, he was 10th in the first year of being co-sanctioned, never really contended. And then last year, 42nd. But he opened up at 64 and he was in third place. He then shot 68 on Saturday. I just like you. I think he's found a different level of his game. The putting's improved. Where he just prefers putting on American style golf courses, as opposed to what he's done in Europe. That's potentially a thing, you know, he works college over there. So that's always a factor, but it doesn't really matter the consistency and the positivity that he must be feeding on the greens right now is gonna be a huge factor. So excited to see what he does. Yeah, for sure. And then like you said, you know, I got 100 to one on him. So, you know, much worth that at triple digits, so. I feel like it's been outside the majors. I feel like it's been a while since we've seen hundreds once on the stage three. Yeah, for sure. Unless we saw it like a memorial and I just didn't pay attention, but I'd probably had some giving up on them by then. But yeah, let's look at this range as well just before we move on on to some of our other peaks. We got last week's winner, Davis Thompson is 66 to one, playing really solidly. It's hard to go again. Well, what's your approach with new winners and like the follow me? Could you just dead set against Ben and the next week? Not necessarily. It's just usually they slash the numbers. So like I actually don't think that's a bad number on Thompson. I just, you know, I don't, I doubt he has much links pedigree if at all. Obviously, you know, there's a lot going on for him. He wasn't even in these fields. Now he's coming over for this and for the open. It doesn't bother me too much other than they usually slashed in half the following week, which is too big of an adjustment most of the time. So the most recent ones I can think of were like, Davis Rodney very quickly went out into Hugh Johnson. That's a good reason. It was like he's been, he's completely off his game again. But like Taylor Pendruff looked at decent price the following week after he won. I can feel like we're getting a little bit more of this, this belief that these players can go on and do it so much. Should I get that? It's been a lot of, I guess, first time winners as opposed to Luke's glove of winning and winning again next week, right? - Yeah, I mean, if Thompson didn't win, right? He would be 125 in this field. Like, so like, I don't think 66 is that better, but it's just, it's not for me. That's for sure. - I get it. Pretty horseshore. I'm trying to see what he's done at this goal. Cause I like to get this guy right. Like I was on a couple of his early wins and I felt like he was just my guy. And then I've just never got it right since. He's been terrible here, which surprises me because I feel like it's something that would be up his alley, but I guess he's never done that well at the open championship before or not. And the other one, the 45 on top picks. - Yeah, I mean, I think, yeah. So I think the other, I'll call it four because they're all sort of European tour guys in this range. And I got to the top 20 on Ryan Fox, but I wouldn't blame anybody for looking there. We talked about both of the Hoigar twins. They're both between 80 and 100. Like that seems okay, especially like for placements. And then also the EVR like those types of players who have some links pedigree, have played well in Europe for years, they hit the ball a mile. Like if you want to take some long shots, especially on like placements, I would aim towards those guys. - Yeah, we both decided that we couldn't decide which Hoigar to go with. We've just gone with none, which is probably the great route. Alex Norem was playing the way he played at the first half of 2024. I feel like he'd be one of the most popular players, right? He's lost three of his, missed last three of his four cuts, but I just, again, I just feel like when he comes back on some of the familiar surroundings, DP World Tour, he's going to feel good about that. And one of the things I noticed, if you looked at last season's leaderboard, like there was three players, finished and tied for Scotty Scheffler, David Lingmer from Beni-Ann. The guys that have had career, I mean, Jeff are obviously won there, but they're not Lingmer from Beni-Ann, had career good finishes there in second place, obviously outside of their wins. So I wonder whether the more had anything, and the one time that Norem has played well over the last few weeks was at the more that we finished 20 seconds. So I just wondered there's still a little glimmer of hope that Norem can still do something. He's been so good for so long. - I've got a big ticket for next week. So if he wants to wait one more week, I had that same thought, I think I have a 175 for him next week. But like, yeah, I mean, he is, again, has always been one of the best players in Europe, one of the best Leen's players out there. And it seemed like this year he was trending towards the win and he's kind of hit a wall recently. But yeah, one surprised me to see him contend this week at all. - Yeah, I guess as a big ticket holder for next week, you just want a 18th place finish where he's finished. There's going to be something striking and we just see how he goes in some next week. - Yeah, I'll show him something. - I want to pick up on one name that you mentioned there, one of the DP World Tour Reggae groups in is Eric Van Roy and he's a hundred someone in NASA with Pet Rivers as well. We can do it each way. I think he has found a bit of a flaw as well, which is not something Van Roy has ever had in his career. Like he's always been pretty volatile. I guess he had it on the DP World Tour before he went over, but he's just making cuts pretty consistently and then he's sprinting in these good finishes, fourth at the Myrtle Beach Classic, where he was second after 54 holes, sixth last time out of the Rocket Mortgage where he was third and fifth after round two and three. He's been there all there about, so he was sixth after round, one at the Canadian Open, 13th after round two. So even when he's final finishes are not great, he's had two or three good rounds going into the week. And when you look at his record here, he was 14th on debut, but he opened with two 64s and he was the third sixth whole leader, second going into the final round and finished 14th, came back a year later, finished sixth with a final round 65. He did miss the cut in the first year, there's been a co-sanctioned event, but then last year, he made the cut all thanks to a set from round 63. So he opened 72, basically put himself in jeopardy, missing the cut again, bounced back and it did nothing over the weekend, but it just feels right, like he's coming into this. So you look at kind of like his OWR and data golf and the runs that he was on, the last couple of years coming into this, he was, he had no confidence at all, whereas now I feel like he's coming back, he can lean on that 63 shot here last year, he can lean on the first cognitive appearances he had when it was a week of field. I think at hundreds one of them, Roy, and in more familiar surroundings, he's actually really positive. - Yeah, no, it makes sense. And I think earlier this year especially, he kind of showed where that floor was and he wasn't being priced appropriately. I've kind of written him off this year because I hit his win in Bermuda on the fall swing. But like, I'd forget with that, he might have been a hundred one, it was big. But anyways, I just said, I don't have to bet him the rest of the year, but he's certainly been playing him on drafting since year. - I think that was Mexico, right, anyone? And then like-- - Yeah, sorry. So Mexico, yep. - 'Cause then I bet him at the next Mexico event. So that was the, what was that? The worldwide technology, whatever they call it now. - Well, why'd something or other, yep, he wants that. And then I just, he was massive for the Mexico Open again. And I was just like, he's playing well. And obviously that's a pass-palom thing. He obviously likes playing those types of golf courses, but again, he's shown a Linga's pedigree so far in his career, big number, familiar surrounding. So I'm happy with that, a hundred to one. You've got, yes again, another Tom for us. It's the magic name this week, I guess. - It is, yeah, Tom Kibben. Kind of surprised, we saw a triple digit song hit, you know, I don't know, I don't follow the race to buy rankings that closely, but he's gotta be a top five player on the European tour this year. Hey, you know, him, Soderbergh, Guido, et cetera. Like assume all those guys are gonna be over and get their PGA tour card. But he also just has shown a very high floor with a lot of upside recently kind of back door that playoff against Marcel Seam last week, but he was sixth, the KLM, eighth European Open, another top 10 at I.S.P.S. Panda, ninth in South Africa, fourth guitar, just trending towards win number two for him. And I would expect that to come soon, obviously from Northern Ireland. So plenty of links experience. He was 35th here last year, which is pretty encouraging 'cause he is a much better player now than he was back then. So would not be surprised as he came up there. And if you're gonna take chances on these sort of European tour guys, might as well aim at the top with him and Guido and Soderbergh and guys who have played really well this season. - Yeah, I mean, you talk about it being a much better player this time around. And I know he'd obviously won before he come here last year, but to your point, like, there's just a consistency again. He was a mercurial talent. A young player that was showing his sort of potential really early on. Now he's a real hard and deeply well-taught player. He is currently eighth in the standings in the race of Dubai, but ahead of him are Rory Fleetwood and neighbor that won't take up one of those, one of those P.J. tour cars, right? And then you've got Soderbergh, Ashino, Spencer and Guido above him. Sebastian Soderbergh, what a player. It's just, I mean, I know you love him. It's been a brutal story for him last few weeks, but yeah, back to McKibbin. I mean, as you said, he's got that experience from last year here, the first fifth place finish. 15th for the half, 14th for the half, we've done her links was positive as well. So he's shown forming in this type of event. I always think that these links players actually do play quite well in the desert as well. And he's done some, he's done some good things over there. The Irish challenge when he was on there, he's been really solid. And I know it's a really lazy narrative to bigger and all of the Irishmen in a, in a links event, but actually what you've got to think about, right? I guess is, this has been the best in favor, probably for the last four or five D.P. World Tour events released in the top two. And now you have a hundred and tens of one. Yeah, like I said, this is the type of event and type of golf course where I think he could excel. He kind of, you know, he kind of does everything well, but he drives it exceptionally well. Iron Clay has been out of this world. And I just, I just really like the point that he's in. So I'm guessing he even, and you and the folks, I mean, the two players that people are going to look at the most obviously, he came back on one last week after a really tough spell. I can't remember exactly what it was, but the folks in the happy and like an illness, right? And then he's obviously showed back in the form 27 for the KLM 29th at the Italian Open and then one this week, so. Yeah, I mean, I think again, like if you just look at the last month and a half of sort of results in the guys who are playing the best, like you could even throw Bern into that. Like Bern does not have the upside where he can win something like this, but you're looking for a guy at a hundred and one who could top 20 of this. Like Bern's has been great. We talked about Soderberg and go back to Guido, talk about Hoshino, talk about Sean Crocker, talk about Rasmus and Jordan Smith. Like I wouldn't, like I'm not going to take shots on the very, very deep guys who we love, you know, Matt Southgate, et cetera, yeah. But those guys, especially guys like Rasmus, you know, like there's so much upside there and they're playing really well. Like a couple of those guys are going to be in the top 10 this week, you just got to get lucky and find them. - Well, that's the thing. Like when you look at the leaderboards that we've had here, we have had some strange sort of finishes and you do get that links anyway, but as I sort of referenced, Benie Anne, Lingmouth, Chef for in those three of those chapters, obviously in a strange name, but in those type three positions, JT Post and Tidesc, I'm going to necessarily see him as a looking sky, right? So we've had some really interesting results. Lee Hodge is 12. So you're going to get triple digit players. And it's whether they're going to come from PGA tour players coming over and not necessarily being expected to be Ling's experts, or you're going to get these kind of... - Sure. - Everybody we want to talk about. I mean, last year, for example, D-word source, specifically, McIntyre, second, Nicklin Boygard, sixth, Grand Forest 11, which is probably the kind of place you're looking at. - Smith, Smith 12, Ferguson 12 and Sean Crocker 19. So it's like there are, and again, you don't have Scotty. Chef there here, you don't have Patrick Cantley, like it's a slightly weaker field. So yeah, you're going to see a handful of those guys. And I think, you know, looking at Tom McKibben, Jordan Smith, even Ferguson again, like that's where I would go this week. - Yeah, and like also in the very first iteration of this, when it was a co-sanction event, Jamie Donaldson tied six, like what a throwback. Reservist boy got 10, Dean Burmester and Thomas D. Tree 10th as well, Scrivener 16th. So yeah, you are going to get some of these names. And it is just case of picking one out. I, unlike you, have gone for one of the, the lot of your favorites there. And look, I've tried to temper expectations on this guy and I've not bet him as much as I have. And I did miss his win, which was really annoying. But Matteo Menacere is, he's now 500, he was 400 as well. And I said to you earlier, I think he's going to buy five shots. So he's never played this golf course. He's the one thing I would say, 'cause he's not been playing one and a half over the last few years to be in this field. But when you look at his form in this event back in the day, the third and fourth he's got in the Scottish Open. The third coming 2016, the fourth in 2014. And then he backed that up with open championship performances as well, 13th in 2009 and 19th in 2014. The 13th came at Turmbree, which is another Scottish links golf course as well. And then when you look deeper into that 19th at Hoi Lake when he backed up the fourth here or in this event, he was 67 second round, sorry, first round, Hoi Lake, who's second behind Roy Macquarie on day one. And he shot a six-year-old, which again was the second best round of the day. So he's clearly got some really good pedigree on this type of course. He is a little bit mercurial, I guess, at this stage. Back in the day, like he would have been, he would have been this kind of you and Thurgs and Tom McKibben player, right? That you'd be looking at a huge upside, really consistent. You know what you're getting with them. But he's been kind of a miscut or contending in this season. I mean, he was, you know, the round one leader at the Indian Open finished fifth there, then he missed the cut in Japan, back to straight up with 23rd in China, finished 13th in Stau, misses the cut again. That wasn't the US Open, which is not a massive surprise. And then just recently, seventh at the KLM Open, third going into the final round. 10th in his home open, the Italian Open, and then 47th last week at the BMW. Not great last week, but it's a big driving goal of course. So that's not necessarily too much of a worry. I just think the number wise, the last three events, 12th, 10th, and 12th in Stokes, going to approach six from 15th the weeks before that as well, just the way he's hitting the ball, just that little links pedigree. There's not 500 dramas, absolutely ridiculous. And you think about someone that can just finish in that kind of top six, I mean, he's 250 to one of you getting in each way. But like, someone that can just finish in that top six, especially at Drafting's, but I think he's in that way, he's despite putting terribly in the last four weeks, still finishing the side of top 10 in the cup of occasions. - Yeah, I mean, look, he's, he's 500 won for a reason. But like you said, he might as well choose a guy who's in form and who has won recently. My only concern with him is that he doesn't really have a skill, right? That he can lead the field in something some week, right? I guess, you know, iron play would be it, but he's obviously not good off the tee and he's not a good putter. So like for me, when I'm looking at a long shot, I would probably want a guy who bumps it and can, but again, you know, he's 500 won, so whatever. - Well, that is a thing, like before, he was having decent results. I was like, I don't know how he's getting there. At least the last few weeks he has found the irons. And that is what I'm gonna lean on. I get streaking with that. The passer is a concern, but I'm just hoping that, you know, getting back on some Scottish greens is gonna help him out. It's maybe just a little bit of a hope that someone I like play as well is probably as simple as that. - Yeah, like I bet a 500 won guy last week in Laura Ruska, the Finnish kid, because he hits it 350 and can lead the league and off the tee. So he missed the cut because he can't putt also. - Yeah, it was fine. - My 400's one shot kind of weave was, he had 20 birdies last week. And yeah, it's great. So, I mean, it didn't result in anything, but yeah, we shall see. Any sort of key takeaways when we talk about the golf course itself that you wanted to focus on? - No, I mean, it's a par 70 from what I remember, right? So again, I guess you can knock par five scoring a bit. Obviously, you know, par four scoring is gonna be even more important. Now, I'll probably look at par three stuff a little bit. I don't get two in the weeds on that, but just like quickly looking through the DP world of course, that's on par four scoring. Like burned is up there. Connor seems, Sebastian Soderberic, Thomas Dietry, like Ewan Ferguson, Guido, Tom McKibben, like Rasmus, guys who are playing the best, right? So I think again, that just reinforces like, I'm probably not gonna take any long shots on the DP world guys and kind of just hope the best players can play on this level. So let's go, Tom's. - Yeah, it's all with the thumbs. I do think it's just one of those events where you do just lean on the bigger guys and if you get a shot, you get a shot. It's gonna be so hard to pinpoint. Interesting you said about Burnt Viesburger that he probably wouldn't be a player that you would see having the outside of winning this event. He is, I think, gonna win this season. And it is just a matter of kind of, is he good enough to win this kind of field? I mean, he's won the event at this goal course, but it was against Benjamin Hibert in a playoff as opposed to Roy. - And that was Benjamin Abert missing four footers everywhere, so it was, I'm pretty sure I bet him that week. I think in the playoff, maybe the first playoff, well, he had like a four footer to win or something to make sure it's still bad. - It's not bad feelings for you there, but when you look at the scalps, I guess, that Viesburger's had, he has beat in time for you to play off in China, Robert McIntyre and Denmark, Fitzpatrick and the Italiano, Guido last time out by five strokes. So he can't just Shane Larry's beating as well. He can't do it. It's just, we don't really see him do it. Time off his army on his P.J. tool field. - Yeah, I mean, we have, I think like, is that there's stuff coming up, whether it's when they go to Denmark, right? Or whether it's at Krenz, right? That feels like a good place for Bernoulli's burger, where you don't have to hit it that far. Like he could definitely win something for sure. - Is he in the Olympics? - Dautics, it would be-- - Give me a terrible swan ranking, right? - Because he's-- - He probably just struck a from Austria and let's Schwab got in too. - Oh no. - Maybe if I'm pretty sure. (laughing) That'll be tough scenes for them. Hugh Sloughton, one of his court coaches, right? He's in the Olympics and after a bit of arguing for fourth. - Yeah, hey, I mean, that field will be fun, right? There's just, there's a lot going on there for sure. - I think we might cover that actually, I think I'm quite looking forward to it. - Yeah, I think it's just abstract from Austria, but yeah, there we go. Let's talk a little bit of drafting, just to finish this off here in a more recap on picks. - Did you mention that Aberg might be someone that you would just start your light on with, is that the approach you're gonna take? Just skip Rory and Zander and go to Aberg or-- - Yeah, I mean, I think so, just sort of looking at it. I mean, I'm, look, I don't play that much. I'm always a guy who regardless of pricing, I'm gonna play the guys that I bet that if you're confident in, like, so, you know, if I lock in Fleetwood, the Kibben, Ry, Thomas D-Treat, things like that, I can fit Aberg and I can't fit like Rory or anything. So I think that'll just make sense. - Just play all of the Tom's. You're gonna have a great, you're gonna have a great-- - Yeah, I mean, Tom, the Kibben is flat 7K. Thomas D-Treat is a 200 more. Like, those are very, very prices for me. - Yeah, but you can start off. You can, you can literally go the four Tom's and how I'm right and leave yourself at 8,400. So-- - Perfect, yeah. - Perfect, there you go. - Wyndham Glark, if you wanna get a little bit interesting there or-- - Yeah, you can grab one of the cheap Euro guys. I mean, Rasmussen is under 7K, Jordan Smith at 6600. Like, you can grab those guys pretty easily. - I think the best value we can give people is who these cheap Euro guys that we can help people with. I mean, by Ry, Soderbergh should come back and play well, right? - He's-- - But it's just-- - 6400, yeah, he's down there. I mean, I'm not a Justin Rose guy, but if you want some pedigree, he's at 6500. I think Shane has power. - Yeah, like, I don't know about Cam Davis and how his links pedigree is, but the guy just won in at 6200. That seems strange, Laurie Cantor. You can grab any, Guido is 6K. You can grab any of these guys. They're very likely to make the cut. Yeah. - I mean, has Shane actually-- - I think you played him incredibly well, right? Like, he's 6K, but did your order-- - Yeah. - Did you just have to say, I think, 5.9? - Yeah, him, Mattie Schmidt's been consistent. Calum Hill should have no problem playing Wingscoff. Like, there's, yeah, there's a lot down there. So, stars and scrubs, most likely. - You mentioned Matthew Southgate. He wants-- He is the open qualifying legend. He just never misses open qualifying. He is unbelievable, he's 5600. Sean Crocker's down there, 5500. Just feels like trouble for us, but so-- - Yeah, I mean, Rosner has been pretty solid. Spenson has been solid. Yeah, there's lots of-- Very dangerous this week. That is, I think that is almost the problem. You always want to go balanced to avoid just finding yourself down there and getting yourself into trouble. Who would be kind of like, do you think it's the player that's most missed price for you that you just feel like the chances of them actually being really important versus how cheap they are, yes? - I mean, honestly, for me, it's probably Thomas Dietrich. He's at 7200, and like, I don't think he's going to be overly popular, but he's-- I feel like he's playing better than the results he can show, and obviously has done really well at this golf course. So, he'd probably be my first guy. - Yeah, I mean, a year ago, I probably would have said Justin Rose just 'cause I was in factory with Justin Rose again. That's-- - Sure. - The skill level, I mean, he's got to be up there, right? And like, sort of pedigree. - Yeah. - I'm interested. A couple of players I haven't bet. Yeah. Ben Griffin and Eric Cole and two players, I basically just pigeonhole was the same player. I don't think they are in any way shape or form, but they just, I forget who's who sometimes, which is probably a me problem or anything else. But Eric Cole was fifth after 54 holes in last year. He's not going to show up because he finished 60th, but if you just look at how fast he is, he shot a fighter last night, but he has found form again. He talked about people just like Tom Kim where he showed a little bit of life with making cuts. I appreciate there's a massive difference between some given Eric Cole. No one knows that more than me, but the sixth and seventh place finishes over the last couple of weeks with the fact he was fifth after 54 holes last year. So just Eric Cole could be an interesting player at 6400. - Yeah, I was on him last week as well. He definitely seems to have found something. I don't know if it was, if it was injury, I know that he recently got married towards the end of last year as well. Yeah, we good to have him back. Like, I always worry about these guys and as they come over moving to Link's golf, but like we saw Alex Mollie almost went here after he was in a very similar run. So yeah, I mean, look, there's gonna be some random person up here, whether it's him, whether it's Cole, whether it's Griffin. So yeah, a lot of ways you can go this week. - 2017, we had Brandon Woo, Cameron Tringale, Alex Mollie, all inside the top 10. - That's when Cameron Tringale is not like 61 on Thursday, right? And then just obviously couldn't win because he can't win, but. - Because it's Cameron Tringale. And then last year, we had Benny Ann, David Lindberth, Shady Poston, Lee Hodges, 12. Like there is nothing, it would surprise me in the way, shape, form for Eric Cole. Or Ben Griffin's finished 12 or better. - Yep. - Given the form they're in. - No, no for sure. Any other sort of closing statements about the Scottish Open or should we summarize our picks? - No, I'm good, very excited for this one. Busy golf week, got this one, the barber saw, we got the ladies major. I think there's another senior major, maybe. Corn fairy is back, live is back. - Is it another senior major? Because if Glandy's just going to go for the hat trick, right? - Yeah, well, he's playing live, he can't play. He didn't get a event this week, he didn't get a waiver, or like they don't give a waiver for them to go. But I think it is because the books priced them up really early this morning, and I assume they only do that for major, so. - Interesting. I can't believe Glandy's not in the Open Championship the way he's playing. - Why didn't he try and qualify? Or maybe there was some sort of restriction there as well. I don't know. - I don't know, 'cause I saw an article come out about why Polter hasn't tried, and I haven't read it, so I guess maybe there's a bit of an explanation in there. Are you in the John Catlin live golf? - Oh yeah. - Yeah. - I actually bet it, so Hard Rock had it priced up about a week ago, I bet all my guys a week ago, and I think there were some better numbers this morning on Catlin, I got a 65, I think, which is fine. - I think that's good, I think it opened with 66 over here this morning, maybe 70, so I think you're right to grab it, because if you had actually won, he obviously doesn't have to play off yesterday. - I got an early 100 on, I think you'll like this one, I got an early 100 last week on Sam Horsefield, so that's dropped a little bit, but again, he seems to, I think it was injury, was it injury? - Yeah. - 'Cause he's back now, almost down the river. - That's why cancer was playing for-- - That's why Cantor was playing, yeah. So he, yeah, like that's a big number for a guy, that if he's healthy and he's obviously playing well qualified for the Open, so I took long shots there as well, and I think my lowest priced guy was Patrick Reed at 28, 'cause I like that he's been in Europe a couple of weeks playing okay, yeah. - Plus he's just that guy that loves this type of test, right, like it's scrappy. - Oh, well, Jerome was perfect for him, yeah. - There's gonna be a lot of interest, I think in Jerome Rahm this week. The one thing I would say is I think Jerome Rahm played Val der Rahm okay, in spite of the fact that he absolutely hates it, as opposed to it being good, of course, for him. Like he was just so talented, he had a good couple of rounds there, not a good goal, of course, for him, and not in the way he's been playing. So anyone for a miracle this week to lead him in, I mean, obviously if he does play well, his price is gonna crash for next week, but I wouldn't expect it so much. So I think that's probably the storyline, I guess, for Val der Rahm up with Sergio, obviously trying to get another win. - Yeah, look, if Rahm and Cam Smith are up there, like so be it, that would not surprise me, but no, I went long shrugs, I have Reed, Catlin, Horstfield, and Chikara, and that's what I took, so. - Yeah, I like it, 'cause bonus picks there. Right, let's get to summarizing our picks for the Scottish Open. So I have gone with Tom Kim at 25 to one, and Rahm Rahm at 55 to one, Thomas Dietrich at 80 to one, Eric Manroy at 100 to one, and then Matteo Manocero at 500 to one. Rahm, just before we come on to summarize a picture, just to shout out to the audio listeners out there, if you are not following on YouTube, but you want to follow on the DP or Tour picks and bets show on the Mayo Media Network, then you can find us on Apple Spotify, rating review where we are, it's DP or Tour picks and bets under the mix show there on the Mayo Media Network. Brian, your picks for what he's got to show them? - Yeah, lots of overlap here. So you got Tommy Fleetwood 28 to one in the win only. Tom Kim, 35 to one win only. Erm Rahm each way at 50 to one, Thomas Dietrich at 100 to one, and Tom McKibben 100 to one each way. So again, team Tom this weekend with a little Erm Rahm Rais prequel in there. - The only thing that could, I mean, I guess the worst case scenario for us is that Tom Hoggi wins. (laughing) It will be literally the only Tom we haven't. - Not too worried about that outcome, but yes. I mean, I really like Tom Hoggi as an individual. So I don't want to wish anything ill on him, but if he wins this week, I'll be disappointed. (laughing) - Ryan, thank you as ever. I think we will potentially come back and do an Olympic show to be confirmed. But yes, Sky, obviously, as we know, is often next month or so. So it's going to be me and Ryan stepping into some shows. We will see how our schedules align and see what events we want to attack. As Ryan said earlier, that field's running out really nicely for the Olympics. And I feel like we can give some good value on that with the European tour records or DB tour records as I should say. - And of course, we know very well. So exactly that. Last point before that you got here, Ryan, any apart from Alex nor any early lanes for the open that you're kind of keeping your eye out for this week. - So the only two long shots that I put out early, probably two months ago, I'm Louie at 150 and then Norin 175, but I've been building the Part of the Cards pretty heavily. I am very heavily invested in Rory, John Rong, Tyrrell Hatton. I think I have a fan-lower in there, but very little. So Rory Rong and Hatton, for me, would be best possible outcomes. - I like the hats and shout, I must admit. And I'm a sucker for Tony Fino again. I wish he was playing this week, but he's been playing a short of me golf and I think he's got a good chance again next week. Ryan, thank you very much. Let's get out of here. That was the David Muds Hall picks the best again. Thank you. - All right, best of luck, thanks, John. (upbeat music) (upbeat music) - 5280 Exteriors James Hardy's sighting is a low maintenance sighting made primarily of cement that resist flame spread and repels wood-borne insects and woodpeckers. Through the month of July, you'll receive free rigid foam installation with the purchase of whole house sighting. That's installing additional insulation behind your sighting for free, but only for the month of July. Call today for more details or visit 5280Exteriors.com. 5280 Exteriors.com, a James Hardy preferred contractor. 5280 Exteriors, the altitude of quality.
