(upbeat music) Hello, welcome back to another week of the DP World Tour picks and batons. Skyler Hoke here joined with Tom Jacobs. Tom, one thing to do in this situation, and it is some fist pumps up in the club. Guido Migliazzi back in the winter circle. So good to see our guy get it over the line. Looked a little bleak on the back nine for a couple of moments, but I never lost the faith 'cause Guido Sundays are one to always remember, we've had some painful ones even two starts ago. It's good to see him get that victory. Short number 33s, you know, we bagged, Guido had some big ones in his day, but he's ripen form, likely the gold medalist here just a month away from that too. So summer Guido, Tom. Yeah, my son's quite quite used, guys. It's a double celebration, right? Because you've won a bet and it's also on your man. So all good there. And that takes us up to five out rights now on the DP World Tour this season. 33 to one, the shortest. Skyler, which is wild. Like to have five winners and all of them to be 33 to one up. Haschino was 45 mean guitar. And then it's been, you know, just hit as 90, that's why I'm van Driel, 71 cents and 120 or Vira. So yeah, I think we're sort of a one in three clip rate now, which is, I think that's what we were before and we sort of keep it up. So that's good. Yeah, let's try not to go too much longer. Winner again, trying to go down to one and two. That's this tournament, Sky. I feel like when you get excited about the Italian Open for obvious reasons, it must rip your heart out when we go away from anywhere that we know. It's tough. Marco Simone leading up into the Ryder Cup had that extra, you know, added hype to it overall. And to now go way off into Italy, go off into a spot where research is incredibly difficult to find the fields now have taken quite a bit of hit compared to what we saw of guys wanting to kind of either bolster their resume or get comfortable in advance. So it's definitely a different Italian Open, I would say this year, but I still, I think there's just something with a home open that gets me a little bit excited. It makes me look for the Italian guys in the field. There are some phenomenal names as always in this event. But yeah, I mean, overall, like what you said, this year has been remarkable for us. It's a run that it's gonna be hard to keep up and ever replicate again, but it has been an absolute riot being able to get guys over the line overall. Scheduling, I'm gonna hit this off of the top here 'cause there is going to be some schedule changes. I guess not changes. It's a little bit of summer here. We're going to have some vacation time or as you guys might call it in Europe, I've learned the holidays. So I've got a holiday coming up here in the States, a pretty substantial one for me. So I am going to be off for the month of July program-wise. And there's some big time events that do happen and Tom's going to work to get a couple of guests on while also taking a little bit of a breather himself, a much deserved break. So there's not an expectation to have any show. I wouldn't expect any show next week for the BMW International. And then we have the Scottish Open in Olympic is coming up. Just pay attention to us on Twitter. @SkyhookedDFS at Tom Jacobs 93. There is some content that will be right here with the videos Tom also is writing above and beyond kind of all over some places, but mainly with Odds Checker previewing some things. You can find them lost for words, podcast on my end. I'll sell some DFS content for the PGA Tour events, but these are going to be combined events, you know? So TP World Tour guys will be getting written up on established the run, but just a little bit of a breather for us where we'll be back in full continuation likely for the British Masters and then beyond that and do some of the Irish Wentworth type of events. Is that right Tom? - That's right, yeah. And look, it might just be a way a game in the system, right? To keep our run rate up, we could just knock out some events. But no, it's, look, anyone that's been following the show for a decent period of time knows how often we did his shows, right? And as long as there's an event, we generally try to do them every single week. And, you know, people want to take a break and guys got a great break lined up with the family there and looking forward to that for him. And yeah, it's great. I'm looking forward to potentially having some of the guests on that we've had in the past. People that watch the show know who they are and who to expect. So looking forward to that as well. Yeah, I think that's it. I think we'll go into the golf course sky, what we know of it, which is not much. I'll be completely honest. I know that we normally throw it to me to try and make some course comps and try and talk about the golf course a little bit. But yes, I'll be completely honest. If I said that I knew anything about the golf course, I'd be lying. I think anyone that sort of says they do, rather than speaking to the golf course intended themselves, probably doesn't know an awful lot about it. There's not a lot of information out there. The guy that designed it is a former Italian golfer from a million years ago. And they're not very famous architect, architectly time with either. So I looked for any courses they've played, they haven't. It is meant to be a little bit linksy in places sky. There is, you know, it's basically tree lined on one half and linksy on the other half. That much I can tell is relatively close to the sea. It's, you're not going to see sea on the holes, but that is there. Whole course laid with Bermuda, right grass on the greens, which is a bit of a strange one. But we don't see a lot of Bermuda grass in the, on the DP well tour, when I looked like you've got the, the buy event says there's Bermuda grass over there. And then when you look at kind of shorter Bermuda courses, it's the divine invitation earlier this year. And then you've got like the Tenerife and Grand Canary Open on the back to back of that golf course back in 2021. That's about it. Whether there's any sort of correlation to those I don't know because they're not Bermuda greens, I don't think. I didn't get to in the weeds about that in the end. But yeah, composite golf course. So we're going to get kind of, there's three sets of nine holes there. Going to get a bit of a mix. I think it's going to be sky relatively easy. Looking at looking at the distance. There wouldn't be a tall surprise. I mean, we had in 2020, we went to Chirvo when Ross McGowan beat Laurie Kanter, Nicholas Cole starts and it feels a little bit like we'll get something like that sky where it's 20 under par. Maybe not quite as deep as that, but also just that caliber of player, like a Ross McGowan can beat and up and come in. Laurie Kanter and a veteran Nicholas Cole starts. So wouldn't surprise me that's kind of how it plays out. If you look at that leaderboard. - Yeah, I pretty much took it on the surface level. You know, it is a shorter course, less than 7,000 yards, par 70, two par fives. Could get a little windy over there with the sea. Nearbyle you said it's not like a factor right into the course, but yeah, the composite connection. I guess three, three nines, red, blue, yellow, one of them being more Scottishy overall. Again, we gave a plug last week to Mike Miller's new site, smart golf info. Can look into there as he does his course research for just about every course that gets played on a professional tour. So he had some inputs there. But again, no OWGR events ever played out to this course. So flying blind, which I think in times can be an advantage of just we're not going to get into the weeds. We're playing guys in good form or recent pops or a combination of that with some good odds. And we aligned on a few of those guys. If you looked at the top of the market, you know, we now have Patrick Reed coming over from Liv as the favorite burned who again played well, 18 to one. Kevin under their 20s played pretty, pretty good last week. And then Guido now at 22. I'd be lying if I say I didn't consider Guido just out of respect, just a pure respect. I think 33s last week was probably as moral as it gets when you're betting Guido, but he's in great form. Have it now. Tom, I'll be anxious. Open pricing DFS for Guido. He has found some of this form that led him to, I mean, he's had a couple of really good major championships, right? So top 20s, a fourth place finished at a US Open. So I will be all eyes and ears for Guido at the Open, but I'm okay passing here and starting our card in the 30s. - Yeah, interestingly with Guido, you'd expect him to have played in an open championship and he hasn't, yeah, has him, right? Like 64 of last year was his best. But yeah, definitely keep an eye on him. I think he's playing incredibly well. A word on kind of those couple of players from the top right from, so last week, Bern Visberg was on my card alongside Matt Wallace. I don't know what's going on with Matt Wallace in that situation. Like I felt so calm about him being within three shots of the lead, you know, thought we were in a great position and just didn't do it. And it was Visberg and actually played better on the Sunday. I mean, fortunately, obviously Guido come through for you, but from a personal perspective, like I just sat there wondering what was going on. And then you had the double disappointed Tom Kim later on in the evening over at the Travelers and it was kind of a bit of a tough Sunday in betting terms. But I wanted to go back to Visberg. You talked about going back to maybe Ozzy. I wanted to go back to Visberg, but I just don't think he's returning any, I mean, there's slight each way cases for me yesterday, but like it's just not enough. And like 18 to one now, I think the value is going a little bit. Tom McKibbin is pretty much immovable from that part of the odds board now. Right? Like that is his spot for the foreseeable future. And Patrick Reed probably rightly deserves to be at the top based on sort of talent level and experience alone. So nothing too surprising at the top. I was interested a little bit in cancer as well. Like just talking about that 2020, where he should have won that over Ross McGowan and knows he has been pretty solid since he won, but yeah, we started in the next way. About 100% and where we align is on Matthew Jordan, a shorter price, 33s, but it is available with six place each ways. And again, this is a simple concept overall for me. I mean, Jordan has now played his last three events, 12th, 13th, 5th that 12th is probably actually, you know, when you look at just the men's side more like a T six and that was in the Scandinavian mix. Great iron. So I've been playing exceptional off the tee and lead up as well to other top three other top 20s and his recent five starts before that. It's just a lot of alignment there for somebody in really good form. Somebody expected should. I mean, maybe it's just due to his lack of, you know, getting over the line hasn't had a win since 2019, right on the challenge tour. It was in Italy, his victory there. So just good to have that kind of connection vibe, but he just seems mispriced to me. Yeah, look, I think the one thing you've mentioned in a look 5th 13th and 12th coming into the event, the 12th, like you say, really sick. If you just think about him competing against his own field, the 2019 Italian challenge win is encouraging as are the 30th and 15th place finishes in the Italian open as well. In his first two starts, they did miss the cut last year, but not too worried. But I think also what I really like about it, Sky is where he's performed so well this season and generally for his career. Sure, so cold, of course, his fifth at the set out of 12th at the Scandi mix, fourth at Kenya earlier in the year. When that links factor does come in on those nine holes, he's been in fifth at the Dunhill links. He was 10th, obviously at the open championship last year, his home course as well, right? Not to forget there was a bit of a breakthrough there as well. This is a player that there is so much more expected from and I think potentially overhyped in the first place. But also definitely worthy of a win or two on the EP World Tour in the coming years, I think, and I do think this is a really good challenge for him to do so. I think he's not coming to a British masters or, you know, Wentworth, where potentially he's in good form. People want to see the English player win, right? Like it's, you know, it's an Italian open and the pressure will be on the home contingents, the baguidos, the maniseros, the people at the top of the odds board, right? And he's in that little bracket below where, yes, he's in good form, but no one's sort of running to the cater and knowing him the next winner. Yep, I absolutely agree. In the next in the mid range, so you mentioned Minisaro played an awesome last week, does have kind of that shorter course excellence overall. I was just in similar fashion of just looking at form and looking at, you know, price more than anything, Callum Hill just kind of fit that bill, right? Now, Callum Hill had been out for a pretty substantial amount of time, I believe it was, like, license fees, was out it was, right? Did you say this again? Lime disease or it was some type of, that's what Jimmy Walker had, I know. He had some type of weird. That would make sense, yeah, it's sort of an illness, yeah. Like, and he wasn't completely hurt. And like we said in the past, right? Like when it's something like that, where you are just waiting for him to recover, it's great to then see him get straight back on the form. Not 100% sure what it was now. Let me look it up while we're talking here. Yeah, it was out for a substantial, was it, it was almost the whole year, right? Yeah, I mean, he played. Let's see. 2022 he played three events. Yeah. And then 2023 popped a little bit, he played a lot, but didn't get back into form. He has now made seven cuts in a row, three of them being top 20s, what it was tied for first. In the Scandinavian mix on the men's side, been putting it awesome, you know, irons are clicking a little bit more. I just don't understand if we're getting Callum Hill of old, why he's 50 to one in this field. That's my biggest gripe. Yeah, it was an insect by Skye, and then he had nerve hypersensitivity after that. So he'd been through the ringer, right? And you talk about sort of, we always work trending form here. And this is where I think overall, I used to have, it can be an advantage when you're not getting two in the weeds about course designers and golf courses, right? Because there is not a more pleasing on the eye form line than Callum Hill right now. He's gone 56, 35th, 18th, 13th and second. That's encouraging, you know, by any means. And yeah, like 50 to one, and this is a player that has one, right? Like we're talking about how good Matthew Jordan is in form and I'm fine with the 33s one on his behalf, but 50s one for a player that is playing, you know, really well as well. And has got that win under his belt in 2021. Feel really good. And actually like that the iron play has improved Skye, but not to a point where it's not, he can't better it, you know what I mean? Like there's room for improvement still in the iron play and off the tee definitely. So scope for improvement there to actually go on and do more. And I think this is a chance where Hill could, you know, really find himself an attention throughout the whole week. - Yeah, that was a standout to me as we look through it intrigued at Ewan Ferguson, who seemingly is coming back a little bit as well through a recent withdrawal. Had, I think the next course that I feel confident is going to be a little bit of a separator or difficult or need the irons as much. I'm going to be intrigued at Ewan Ferguson, but you're on another golfer kind of in this range too, who has good form lines. - Yeah, so for me, like Judy and Gary is, he's 70 to one, right? And he's just playing a little bit better, I think, than being credit for. He's fourth and 20, I think he's passed two starts. He was sixth and seventh in strokes gain T-screen and no starts, 12th and 17th in strokes gain approach. I talked about that kind of shorter golf course narrative and the Bermuda thing. And he's been 15th in the Dubai Invitational earlier, that was a Bermuda course, you know, much shorter than anything he's been playing in recent years or recent weeks, sorry. He was third in this event last year. One of his best finishes on the DP World Tour in terms of every trail rankings. And he was also sixth and eighth in the Rocco Fortays, this is in open. So he's played really good golf in and around Italy, right? So the way he's playing, the last couple of starts, the way he's played in Italy, the way he's played on shorter golf courses. I sort of think of Gary is kind of good off the T talent, but the approach plays certainly coming together for him. And I think he's shorter golf courses are his bread and butter. So looking forward to him, putting himself in the mix here at 70s to one. - Yeah, I was close just from that same concept. And ultimately I landed with another golfer who we've chatted all year long. I've been hard on a little bit sometimes and a lack of true contention maybe you've stuck with it. And it's Sam Berstow. I believe we chatted with him or chatted about him last week. He withdrew from the event, I'm assuming travel. He was just playing in the US Open. And why we talked about him was the way he performed at Pinehurst, right? He opened with an 84 and then shot a 67 on day two, 17 stroke difference for him. And again, it just shows the year that he has had. I mean, you look at it, right? He has had two top 10s, six top 25s in addition to that. Just for miscuts, he opened qualified into the US Open. I just thought it showed a lot, man. Him coming back and having that round two where he was nowhere near the cut line, then probably physically impossible to be able to make it and to still play that type of round showed me, kind of what he's made up potentially and gave me a lot of respect for his game. And now we're getting him in a little bit, I don't know. I don't want to say this is a weaker field 'cause you take out a rasmus, you take out a wallace and you plug in Reed. I don't know, this feels a little bit lighter than last week in strength. His price has gone out a little bit for probably just because lack of seeing him. So at 60s, or I guess he's 55 at this moment. You have to bet that top five separately, but Bear Sol would be my favorite in the mid range. - Yeah, he's being given that kind of bump, I think because of the withdrawal, not something, right? You've mentioned it, he pulled out. I have probably just got a little bit of Sam Bear stove fatigue. I think that's probably just all I've got. I don't really have any negatives towards him. I was like you really impressed with the bounce back in round two at the US Open for Sam Bear stove. So yeah, completely see where you're going with that one. And I think in that kind of group of Callum Hill, Julian Gary, Sam Bear stove, we've got a group of really good mid range options to couple with Matthew Jordan, who we really like near and it's up. - Yep, 100%. I didn't really even give too many double takes in a Hoshino, I've seen him tipped a little bit, kid Holt played well last week, Pavan, home open, playing well. Anybody else on this deeper range for you? - I will say I thought Hoshino was a little bit overpriced, which I can see why people are picking him, but just on the basis of the part of the pizza motor in a year, that was probably the first glance at him. I'm intrigued to see how Danny Wilick gets on this week. I don't think he's ready to go 20 under or whatever it is. I think you might need to get to this week. I think there's still some work to be done in that respect. I think Yannick Paul's being given up on now at 45 to one. But yeah, other than that, I think I was pretty happy to move on to range as a room. - Yep, 100%. So I will give us a shout out to the audio listeners. Dean Finis, a daily fan of sports picks and bets. The mix, we appreciate all the love. It was great to see Twitter light up with the Guido W yesterday. If you could like, review, subscribe, comment. Means a ton for us at Mayo Media Network to get the support, especially we hit, you know, some big events this fall, September coming up for us. We recharge a little bit over the next month. So appreciate again, any love that you can give us as it's been an awesome, awesome year on our show here. Triple digits, Tom. We've got a bunch, I've got four. You've got two, right? - Two, yeah. - Oh, well, I guess your odds, you're first up then for the first one. - Yeah. This won't surprise anyone. The next two picks won't surprise anyone that's been following this for the last few years, right? Sean Crocker is a hundred to one. Whenever I see Sean Crocker getting to contention, I immediately look at betting in the following week. I don't know if that's a good idea. I don't know because he's just very volatile, but I did go back and just kind of look and see if I should have that feeling. And when you look back in 2019, he was 12 second and 10th in three straight events in 2020 posted three straight top 20 foot two finishes on two separate occasions. 2021, he went second, fourth, 18th, and ninth in a four week span. So he can do it, right? He can piece these kind of events together. If there is anything in this kind of shorter Bermuda type golf courses over the years, he was sixth at a divine rotation already this year, 18th at the 10th refopen, where he was seventh after round two and three. Hit the ball nicely last week. We are aware there's a slight discrepancy at the moment. There's only three rounds of strokes going data on the DP what's all as it stands, but he was still fine. And yeah, he was in the mix, wasn't he, last week? And this has been the problem for Sean Crocker over the years, despite the fact that he has got the win to lean on, but he was sick fast around one, second off to round two and fifth going into the final round and somehow finished 23rd, which is pretty disappointing. And it was similar at the European Open Sky, where he was fourth off to round one, 10th off to round two and finished 34th. But I want to focus on the positives. I do think there's a player in there. I do think someone that's finished 18th at his high and open his debut three years ago, should be given a second look, especially. And yeah, I just think there's a better player than we, not the we think, 'cause we're very high on him. But I think overall the market rates him as. I think he's better than the hundreds of one when he's showing the form and getting in the mix like he has. - That's the one that killed me was leaving Crocker off this week. - Yeah, I think it, I've been, I've been burned, I think a little too many times of just thinking he's back. And it's just so volatile, so volatile. - Yes, and also I don't know. And I would never question someone's like, will or professionalism of, you know, had a couple of exchanges with his dad. He's very focused on his game. He just seems happy when he, you know, when he plays well and kind of doesn't get to in the, you know, in the depths of doom, maybe he doesn't play well. And I think that's a great asset to have, but maybe isn't, you know, is the reason that he can be a bit up and down. He sort of takes the highs when they come and doesn't get too low about anything. And that's probably what makes him brilliant and probably what, you know, is what lacks the killer edge of him at the moment. That can still come. I think that comes if he itself in his contention a couple weeks in a row. That's what I'm hoping is going to happen this week is he gets himself in the mix and he finds himself really not wanting to waste the opportunity he's going to front to him, right? It's not one of those ball striking weeks where you think you have to just jump on. I think it was solid, but there's still again like Callum Hill room for improvement. I just thought a hundred to one playing nicely a couple of times now in the last three events where he's got himself in the mix. It's unquestionable, Skye Frost, you know, to say that he isn't closing four rounds, you know, really ever apart from the win, right? I think he played pretty well at the Chet Masters in his runner up there, but he does need to find the extra gear. He actually played well in that to buy Invitational, he was sixth earlier this year where he put the four rounds together, but just doesn't quite seem to get a four week together. And we're running into, I mean, he was probably one of our first players that he kind of got, you know, quite hooked on, right? And that's been, what, three or four years now that we've been doing this. So it's almost, we're almost running out of time, you know, running out of rope giving this kind of, oh, he's still a bit new to this kind of arena. He's not anymore. But I still think he makes kind of like limited starts. And I think that once he can get a full, you know, season under his belt, full fitness in form, I do think there's a better player. Yeah, yeah. I mean, I think the ceiling is sky high for him. And I think he could, I think he could be a really good PGA to our player, truthfully. I think he really, really could. I don't think things that hurt him, Skye, I'm sorry to cut you off. I think, I think he knows that. And I think he kind of wants to get there and just stay there. And for good reason, right? Like that's where Americans want to get back to. It's, you know, I think he's humble enough to play over here. It doesn't want to stay over here. And rather than just really getting right down to business and getting it done, these kind of just like, well, I want to make it happen with relatively minimal effort. And, yeah, like I think his game will just suit those kind of, like I would be really happy to play a Rocket Mortgage Classic this week. Like, is that type of player, right? So, yeah, I think once he gets out of there, he'll do well. He's just got to get there and it's got to be consecutive weeks. Yep, yep. 100%. Another golfer who had a really good week. I was very intrigued at last week about him going right back to the well with Angel Aora, who finished, I believe, tied for 21st. So, one discrepancy to notice last week. As of now, the DP World Tour had not loaded in round four strokes gained data. Bet 365 has that available in their shot track. If you go over to the stats tab, it's different than the DP World Tour. Even on a weekly basis, it might be the most accurate. I don't know, like we don't really know, but it seems like laser data last week, you know, you get, I'm pretty confident it's the laser when you get the approximate, you know, it's a good sign. Like I said, approximate green, this, that, and that's a poll. I think that is encouraging for the DP World Tour to get more and more shot tracker. Little weird, we don't have those numbers yet, but Aora popped multiple times with the approach last week. And he just seems like a player. I mean, he is, what, 19 years old? He hasn't even turned 20 years old yet. Racked up multiple top 10s, top 12s. I think it's now six, yeah, six top 15s on a challenge tour. So far this year, two other top 21 finishes on the DP World Tour. So far this year, a made cut of the Puerto Rico open all at the age of 19, pretty spectacular. So I'm gonna keep betting into somebody with unknown upside here for him as at this age in this town and playing so well, I'm very intrigued. Yeah, and just a very sort of, I guess, I don't know, there's just a gut feeling more than anything else. Sort of Spaniards and Italians and the kind of this part of the Europe tend to just go and play well in each other's events, right? Like I think, you know, Gary A would go and play well in Spain and the Spanish player go and play well in France, Italy, being in this kind of, I guess, continental Europe area suits these types of players. And especially a 19 year old that probably doesn't want to travel too far away from home, right? And as you say, like the upside just seems to be there. I wish we had a bit more data on him a little bit. Again, he's 19 years of age. All you gotta look at is the fact that he's beating to give those top 15 finishes a high pit, right? And yeah, especially, I think we, I think, Chinese tall form is slightly underrated still because people don't really know how to quantify it. And I think people are aware that there's so many cases like the leaders of the roads in New York, whatever they call it, that don't really then go off and make a step up on the VP of sort. The people don't look at it so much. And I think there's such a difference. There's like a bear stone, there's a yore, right? They're young and up and coming, haven't played an awful lot of events that make it a big splash straight on. You have suspense and not young, but, you know, fairly untested. And then you've got these kind of like 37 year old VP world tour veterans that are kind of bouncing back to the tour. It's a little bit in terms of how people rate that form, I think. And yeah, all you can do is keep showing up in these kinds of opportunities that he gets. And 23rd, Australian Open, 1st Fedam Rishes, 21st, the KLM. They're not groundbreaking finishes, but they're certainly strong. And if they were done by a 35 year old, they were all know a lot about, I think people would be quite keen on them. So your name has been thrown about. It's not like he's not, you know, he's not been overlooked. But yeah, I like him. Yeah, I'm excited about him a ton. All right, I believe yours. If you go on opposite spectrums from 19 years old to your next golfer, who we've chatted about a lot too, but you're sticking the faith with your boy. - Yeah, Ross Fisher. I think I've said this before on the podcast, but first I'm a player that I saw win a golf event live over here in England. But yeah, second and seventh in this event in the past, he's had three straight top 25 finishes now. He was second after 54 holes at the star open. He finished 13th, he improved all week long at the European Open. And then he was 23rd last week. It's about being second at halfway as well at the KLM Open. So yes, the problem is he hasn't converted the second at the Sadao after 54 holes a second at halfway last week. But he is that type of player, Scott. I think once he sees that, he knows like, whereas a younger player wouldn't know necessarily how to react to not closing out. Ross Fisher knows how he needs to get through four rounds. He's a very solid player. He knows how to close out events, right? And he's been, what, 16th, 10th and 4th and approach the last three, 14th, 9th and inside the top 15 or so in T-screen, depending on what the data says in round four. Just ball striking it really well. And yeah, I just think slightly overlooked in the market 150 to one, based on the fact he's not a flashy name, he's not a player that people are rushing into the window to get Ross Fisher these days. I don't think they ever were really, but this is a player that we know has got huge upsides as you know, consent in WGCs and things like that as well. And then one multiple times on the DP World Tour and yeah, runner up finish this event in the past we were closing 63, Fisher knows how to play well in this. That was behind Tyrell Hatton in 2017. It would have been, you know, on the rise, right? So yeah, really like, you know, Fisher's day is a five time winner. He hasn't won since 2014. It would be, I guess a little bit similar to a Marcel team or someone like that Sky that we saw, you know, have a big comeback last year. But the types of, just the names of the players that he'd be, Yos Glauz and Sergio Garcia and Sneak him in the match play, Podrick Harrington and his most recent Michael Hoe and Daniel Vantonda is slightly less impressive than those, but still great. And he's, you know, lost out in playoffs to film this and things like that, arcing time. And so yeah, I'm gonna go with Ross Fisher and hope that the veteran can kind of roll back the years. We, as I said, referenced earlier, the 2020 renewal sky where Ross McGowan won, just kind of gives me hope, like he can hold off someone like that in an event in a field where there are question marks. - Yeah, 100%. Always gives me a little scare, but it also always feels like somebody you could make money off of when his odds get long, just from the ball striking prowess he has. And he's just, like, it's like Lorath about last week where I was so questionable about it. Like they do just end up letting you down. And they'll be the same with Crocker. They'll finish 30 second or 47 or something, but at 100 and 150 it's won both of those players. I just can't look past him. And they were 66 to one. It's a lot easier to do, right? But yeah, I just think when you, like what is the difference between, I don't know, Dan Bradbury and Ross Fisher, right? This part from 60 points in the market. I know we're hoping for Dan Bradbury to come good again, or a Andy Sullivan and a Scott Jameson, probably way more like Ross Fisher in terms of stature, right? And experience. I know they're playing a little bit better long term than he is, but in recent weeks he's playing as well as most of them. - Yeah, totally. All right, I'm gonna go a little rapid with mine here as we have three left to rip. First off, Felipo Celly, hard not to back an Italian in the Italian Open. Celly popped for his best finish of 2024 at the KLM Open, T10, really, really good irons, bunches shots inside of 20 feet. Saw him pop on the scene, making the Open Championship cut in 2022 after he won the European Amateur Championship. Hasn't kicked down with what we've maybe thought, but 23 years old still think 200s with him and a top 10 is a really strong way to get into Celly. Another one. This one's frustrating to back, but frustrating to not be on in some situations where I feel like the sky is again the limit for James Nicholas. He pulled once again, man, a Bearstow. In the sense he opened with 81 and then he shot a 66, one of the best rounds of the day on Thursday, still finishes 120th for the week. The challenge toward the event before he went 64, 80, 67, 71, before that 78, 67, 73, 72. We before that 67, 70, 67, 72, a little bit more normal, but Nicholas is, I guess he's got, he's got from 65 to 85 in the bag and I really think he could string together four good rounds. Like there's gonna be a time and there was, not even this reason stretch where 354 holes, he's right in it and then could blow up and one of these times it's gonna flip 220 with him on the odds plus, you know, top 10. I like making that bet. And then lastly, I get a tweet every time this happens, man, every time. There's three guys that I like to bet, Nicholas, Sam Jones, Galletti, right? I can't bet them all every week. I can't and I'm playing this game, musical chairs, that keep getting the chair pulled out on me every single time, Tom, I'm late, every single time. Galletti, he's in the top 10 after 36 holes last week. I feel like I didn't think he would have a chance to kind of fight back like that. I think at a shorter course like this and this is the iron's discrepancy on bet 365. He wasn't as bad of an iron player there as it was in the DP World Tour, really good on Friday. Sunday was middle and he just wasn't good over the weekend, shot a bunch. He had won in California over the breaks, you know, he has that talent, made the waste management Phoenix open. I think a shorter course fits him better, a tighter type of track. So, Nicolo is 500 to one with a sixth place each way there. Top 10, top 20. You might be better doing these guys in like a first round leader market. Sam Jones was the first round leader, not that long ago, but if I'm playing my game, I can't miss out some pops on those two. - They're gonna pay off eventually. Like, and I think I said this last week, when did you bet Nicholas last week? - Yeah, so I just said the same thing. Like, I just think he's a player that is used to mini tour events. He's used to playing all over America in different events, spot starts Monday qualifying. He knows how to go really low in isolation. He doesn't know how to complete four rounds. And that I think is an exciting factor for him coming over here and learning that. I think he'll be better for it, regardless of what happens by the end of the season, right? But it's the difference between him contending and not. - A little bit like the same with Koletti. I think Koletti's actually probably found it a bit quicker, but by the same token, just a little bit harder to predict. So that's why he got the 500s won. And it will pay off eventually on those. And Chelly makes perfect sense, not too much to say against Chelly, who looked really good in the 10th last week. He was never outside the top 15 in those four rounds. And he was making cuts before that, right? Like 42nd, 50th, 48th. Again, not groundbreaking, but I think you've sort of noticed this guy, like a lot of deeper world tour players. If you go on sort of like three or four week runs of just making cuts eventually, you seem to explode. And I think that's what happened with Soderbergh. And we know what happened when he finally had his time. But he was just, I think he made something ridiculous, like 20 or cuts in a row. And they were fairly innocuous for most of the time. And then all of a sudden, bang, we get some big events. And that's what's happened with Blunt-V, but I got this year. Suddenly second and seventh is asked to start. These players are not quite the each burger quality yet, but no reason they can't go on and be that. - Yeah, 100%. One last shout out for a guy for me. If I have to just name value alone. Flavio Machete, 20 years old off of the ELPS tour, second place there last week. Couple of other top 15 finishes, name of the week. Flavio Machete. - That is good. I like the pronunciation as well. You're really nailing these. You're almost like our resident European. You're probably more European than I am. I don't step far outside of England. Ireland comes from America with it. Again, they speak a different type of English. So yeah, you're probably more cultured than I am. I like it. It's great. Yeah, I don't like, I was thinking trying to look like a really big long shot this week and whether that would be one for me. I don't think there is. Like, I'm pretty happy with what we've got in there. I was really annoyed. I think it was last week where we were on Christian Crow, your Hanson's play. Had a little course, designer links and he didn't play or his week or commentary week. He was, he's now like 700 to one or something. That'd be interesting. Yeah, I can just see this type of event where it's like a Garcia, her radio is leading off around one. It all kind of goes a little bit weird. It's fascinating Garcia, et cetera. But Matthew Baldwin's been hitting the ball well. He's 250 to one. I just can't, I can't pin my flag on any of these. I'm quite happy with the list we've got. Yep, 100% agree with you. All right, let's roll. We'll roll back through it and we'll put a close on it. Yeah, so if I summarize my picks here. So Matthew Jordan is available at 33 one bet rivers with the each way, Calam Hill, 50 to one, same bet rivers there with the each way as well. Julian Gary, a 71 win only where you can get a 60 to one with the each way at bet rivers as well. I'd like both of those routes. You can go with either. I would take the 100s one on Sean Crocker win only rather than anything with the each way. I think is that Voila? It doesn't really matter. He's having a finish first or 47. So we'll take the big prices on that. And then Ross Fisher is 150 to one win only, but 90 to one the each one. I think he is a player that could fill up the places. I would advise sort of splitting stakes on that. Yep, 100% okay. And on with you, Matthew Jordan, 33s with the six place each way, Calam Hill, 50 to one with you. Sam Bearstow, 55. Angel Ayura, 150. Felipe Ocelli, 200. James Nicholas, 220. Nicolo Galletti, 500 to one. Tom always loved chatting with you. Appreciate you a longest gap in a while, but a deserved holiday that we get to have. It's in time off. No, you'll still be grinding. But again, thank you for all you do listeners. We appreciate you guys. And us two will be back on a show. Late August is our game plan. And then Tom will, like I said, fill in a few cracks here and there and get some well deserved time off to Tom. So thank you again for everything and best of luck to everyone over the next few months. Yeah, enjoy your time off Sky. It should be absolutely great. You should hopefully get, I don't know what the weather is gonna be like in the different places you're traveling, but hopefully it's great. Enjoy your vacation time. I'm gonna throw back to you that you're saying. Yeah, and we will. We will have shows here and there. So familiar faces. We know that the people that have come on in the past, looking forward to that. I think we'll probably try and do something for the Open Championship, potentially with Pat, Scott's open as well. So looking forward to that. But yeah, looking forward to it. Sky, let's end on a winner before this little hiatus here. - Yes, 100% in Guido for gold. That's our message. And we'll see you coming back with the gold medal for Guido. So thank you again, Tom. And we'll catch you guys soon. Take care. Thanks, Scott. (upbeat music) (upbeat music) (upbeat music) (upbeat music)
