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Betting on the Olympics | Golf Picks, Props, & Strategies from Paris | PGA DraftCast

We hit 80/1 winner Johnny Vegas last week at the 3M Open! Join Spence (@TeeOffSports), Joel (@draftmastersflex), and David (@deepdivegolf) as they deep-dive into their preview of the Olympics Golf!
Duration:
1h 11m
Broadcast on:
31 Jul 2024
Audio Format:
mp3

It only comes along once every 4 years, so of course we are back to cover the 2024 Olympics Men's Golf with our LIVE PGA Draft Cast!

Our resident golf analyst and man from the future, David Bieleski (@deepdivegolf), is on a HUGE hot streak. With the Olympics Golf played at Le Golf National, David's expertise from the DP World Tour will prove extremely valuable this week. In the last 5 weeks alone, his picks have returned an ROI of +117%.

Find out DeepDiveGolf's P/L for 2022, 2023, and 2024 here: https://windailysports.com/golf/deepdivegolf-2024-pl-tracker/ref/47/

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The PGA Draft Cast is the only show on YouTube where YOU the audience draft a six-golfer PGA DFS line-up alongside the experts! The format is a standard snake-style draft. Audience members nominate their favorite plays in the chat. The first golfer to be named a second time is the audience's pick!

Follow David (@deepdivegolf), Joel (@DraftMasterFlex), Spencer (@TeeOffSports), and Sia (@SiaNejad) on Twitter.

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Want a website with unmatched power, speed and control? Try Bluehost Cloud, the new web hosting plan from Bluehost, built for WordPress creators by WordPress experts with 100% uptime, incredible load times, and 24/7 WordPress priority support, your sites will be lightning-fast with global reach. And with Bluehost Cloud, your sites can handle surges in traffic no matter how big, plus you automatically get daily backups and world-class security. Get started now at Bluehost.com. [Music] [Music] PGA Nation, we are back and we are looking for some medals this week. I am stoked for the Olympics. If you didn't know, they are playing the tournament at legov. So they made it make sure you knew where they're playing, you know it's for golf, right, very clear, but it is going to be an exciting tournament. And it's a course that's going to be fun to watch. And like I'll be honest with you guys, I find a lot of these Olympic events boring, but I think the golf is going to be a fun weekend. It's going to be a fun course to look at. I'm excited for this week and we certainly have our work cut out for us as the smaller field to a four-man draft. It's going to be a little bit of a challenge, but to nobody's surprise, I won the draft last week, so I picked the draft order. And of course, audience, because I love you guys so much, right, and since I win a lot and you guys not so much, I give you guys the first pick. You guys get to go first tonight. Hopefully you guys got a chance to come home with a medal at the Olympics. I'm thinking something silver or bronze for you guys. What's nice next to my gold medal that I will be shining next week. That's how you do it tonight. I'm doing well, Joel. Like I've given this answer in podcasts and articles this week. There's, we talk about this quite frequently when we get these condensed fields, no cut tournaments. All the ownership tends to gravitate to similar areas. And what I love so much about this show is there are going to be steals. There's only 60 players. You're going to have to be forced to deviate away from what your optimal path would probably be in a lot of these spots. And just naturally by doing that, it's going to put all of us in a position from whether it's game theory or roster construction or whatever it is. Like you're going to get unique builds based off of all of that. So I'm excited to do the show. I tend to think that this Olympics set up without the course that we have, we can talk about the course in a second. There is a very intriguing route to be taken this week. So I'm excited to talk about some of that information. I'm excited to hear your course brief down shortly because this is definitely going to be an interesting one for us. David, how are you doing today? I'm good, man. I'm good. Obviously, we're coming off an absolutely massive week over at Windemic Sports because within my selections, we had Johnny Vegas, 80 to 1, another winner, which caps like an insane five-week stretch in terms of our selections. Like over the last five weeks, the return on investment has been plus 117%. We had won two at the Rocket Mortgage. We obviously nearly won at three different tournaments one week with the Scottish Open disco championship. We did hit the winner at the live end of the sea over Sergio Garcia at 15 to 1. We had two in the playoff out of five golfers at the year's go and then Ludwig blew the lead in the final round of the Scottish, but that was still an absolute mental week. And then the open championship our most profitable week of the year. And then last week, obviously, Johnny Vegas, capping off the run at 80 to 1. So the hot streak absolutely continues. Unfortunately, in terms of the PGA Draftcast Joel, obviously, I got the win at the Open Championship. I'd finished runner-up the last five weeks on the draft show before that. And then last week, again, I resumed my usual position at the Silver medal coming in runner-up again. I had four players within the top 19. And one of those was Cam Davis, who was actually ninth until we double bogeyed the last. And that included Kooky the Armor and six who played very well, Taylor Pendreth and there too. But yeah, unfortunately, you took Johnny Vegas and stole them from me, who I really wanted. And it was as simple as if I'd taken Johnny Vegas instead of EVR, which really inclined sight. I knew Vegas, but beyond your radar. And he was a golfer really wanted on my squad, and especially because of his approach play from 175 to 200 yards, which was very, very important there. But yeah, that was the difference between you and I last week. So congrats on your win, congrats on setting the draft order. Very pleased to see I'm not in the dreaded third draft position, but hopefully we can go for gold this week and keep the hot streak. I said to everybody last week on the show, we got 50% of promo at win daily. It's $7.50 a week. Now, we hit an 80 to 1 winner last week. Like, if you're not paying $7.50 a week for the amount of return that you've had on your investment, I don't know what's wrong with it. Sign up is right now. Spence is going to get into the course breakdown in a minute. But the one thing I wanted to highlight before we get into it is this week is going to be a lot more about strategy in building your lineup than normal, right? It's a smaller field than we typically would see. And the pricing is unique, right? You have that heavy pricing up top with Xander and Sky that you would have, but there's no five-carriage. So how you build, getting unique with ownership, that is only going to be the play in winning a big tournament this week. More so than normal, it's not just about picking out for just being creative and getting a competitive lineup in a big tournament. But the most important thing is understanding what type of golfer profile for this course makes in letting us. What are you looking for at a leg off? We see this venue featured yearly on the DP World Tour when it hosts the Open De France. You're also going to remember the name when you saw it front and center in 2018 when the USA rider cut team took their best shot up Europe. They failed. They ended up losing 17 and a half to 10 and a half. Relatively smooth sailing final day. I broke down that rider cup extensively that season. This is a very easy answer depending on who the home country is every single go around. When it's held on American soil, the USA pushes all the chips in for distance with the driver. Europe's always going to be the opposite of you remove driver completely from play. We see that from this course 7183 yards, tactical venue that's going to accentuate precision in all avenues of the answer because of the water and the rough that's going to come into play. This isn't going to be as thick of rough. There's multiple tiers to the rough. The rider cup is always going to be the overblown accentuation of Europe pushing the chips in their favor in that regard. But I want people to think of some combination of Florida golf, mix it with your links, and then add in the French connections. That's kind of what we should expect that week. I think the most challenging part is, and David and I even talked about this two weeks ago when we were off air, there is a very conflicting and challenging way to build a model for this tournament. When you look at what's being asked, whether it's a tournament with a cut or a tournament that doesn't have a cup, whether it's a tournament with 156 players or a tournament with 60 players, most of these golf tournaments are going to present this very straightforward blueprint of what's being asked. You're going to play the opening two rounds to make the weekend. You're going to get more or less aggressive from there. Players that are the high end golfers are going to play to win. Some of these other names are going to try to get a paycheck. What is going to make this so challenging is you get a plotter set up here where it's highly volatile with the water, but anything that does not come for second or third ends up being a loss. There's no money prize here. You're not getting paid unless you win a medal from your country, and that's going to be a very insubstantial total. U.S. pays $37,500 for a gold medal. That's the worst result that Scotty Scheffler would have had the entire year. He's here for the gold medal. It's going to be challenging based off of that a little bit just because of the volatility of the course, with the high end nature of having to produce, but water is going to play a factor. I added a great importance in my model for finding fairways. I did want to find opportunities created, so I do want birdie makers at the end of the day too. That's a very differing outlook from what you would normally expect here just because of that high end nature of needing to come for second or third that I keep mentioning. Great course breakdown has always been. Obviously, Joel's WD was a shame because you and I have made a pact that we need us withdraw in the middle of a draft of fees due to make a pick that you and I get to make a selection. That's a shame because it gets Gagange to bola remains on the board because they probably give him to Joel. That's really WD, but just to back off what you broke down, I think that's a really interesting point to bring up is the aggressive nature that golfers need to bring this week. Fourth place means absolutely nothing. There's usually these Fedex points on the line. There's a lot of money on the line and the difference between fourth and tenth makes a huge difference. Whereas in an event like this, fourth means absolutely nothing and third means absolutely everything. So I do think that's a really intriguing point and just to touch very briefly on obviously, I cover the DP Will Tour very extensively. It's one of the benefits of being over it when daily is that we have both coverage of PGA Tour and the DP Will Tour. But I do want to point out one really interesting course comp that you can give for the Golf National and that's the Celtic Manor, which was the host of Ryder Cup previously and it's another stadium course. And if you go through the correlation between this golf course and the Golf National, it's uncanny the amount of crossover there is between these two leaderboards. So if you look at golfers like Graham McDowell, Alex Noren, Tongchai JD, they all won on both of those golf courses. But then golfers like Tommy Flea would finish second there before winning the Open to France. And then Thomas Peters had a third of both of your news. But then it also extends to golfers like way down in terms of the pecking order of their renown within the game. So golfers like Peter Ewelline, Richard Stunney, they finished runner-up at both of those golf courses. Nicholas Colesart had a fourth and 12th and it's only two starts at Celtic Manor before winning the Open to France. So there's tons of crossover with this one of the internets, another Ryder Cup stadium course with a tongue with order in place. So if you are diving down the board, you can only sound that's okay, Ranger, which you might have to do if you go for some of those top guys. Look at some of their DP Will Tour form on the Calcic Manor. It's a really sneaky one and one that I promise you know many people going to be talking about this week. It was a really good point. Just to touch on quickly, you saying it's kind of being everyone shooting for the top. Like if you don't win, like what's the point? In the wise words of Reese Bobby, if you're not first, you're lost. So that is what we're shooting for here. We're aiming for the top and we do have a draft. Same rules apply for the draft. We're looking for winners, draft order audience. I gifted you the first pick. You guys deserve a new car in the show. Start getting those nominations in. You get to go first followed by David Spencer. I will be going last as a quick reminder. If you want to follow the show and draft with us, get on YouTube. You can get in the chat. You can nominate players, double them, make the picks with the rest of the audience. This works at your typical fantasy football draft snake style. We will go one through four, then four through one until we have a team. The one big caveat is you do need to make sure you stay within a directing salary. So you cannot just take all the best players. You have to make sure you can afford each pick as you go. It looks like four of the best players of the world were already nominated. The audience, you're heading in the right direction, but you do need to get one double to lock that first pick in. While we wait for that final double, make sure the audience gets their first pick. I'll start with you, David. Is there any one of these nominations that you are hoping will fall to you in this every pet? Yep. One of the four is exactly who I would like to take on the first pick. Just wait for the audience to double down on one, but otherwise we can start nominating players for the team audience at this point, I think. So maybe Ventura might be their first selection if they don't double down on so much. We'll click. Well, there it is. I believe it's Morikawa. Yeah, with silent assassin. Yep. We're going to go with Morikawa here with the first pick. I think it's a really good thing. If you have a strategy in mind, especially one that wants to be more balanced with silent assassin called out, I think Morikawa makes a lot of sense. He has plenty of upside in this tournament. I think this course makes a lot of sense for him. And you can save a lot of money to Scott Schaffler and Xander by starting with Colin. I love to get your take spends. Are you interested in Morikawa this week? I don't necessarily think you can go very wrong with any of the $10,000 plus options. Morikawa is the number one player in my model for weighted total driving. That includes two specific marks that I ran for one overall driving accuracy. And the other one was number one in fairways game when you had penalizing misses. So whether that's thicker rough or water that comes into play, I think any of the names that were up there were certainly in play. I told you guys before we started when you gave the audience the number one pick, I thought it was either going to be Morikawa or the other name, which I guess to not. I mean, I guess we all probably know it's Schaffler. So we'll just I'll just say it at this point. But I'm not surprised that the audience went in that route. I think Morikawa is very safe, what you're going to get there. There you have it. I love it. David, you're up with the second pick. We love your take on Morikawa and then who are you going to take with your first pick? Yeah. So of the four names and the name that I wanted out of all of them was Colin Morikawa. So well, and to the audience of what it will be the first of, I am sure, many steals on this PGA draft cast. And look, just to, I guess, talk about the fact that it's a 60-man field. I mean, we still run a four-man draft when it's a signature event and you have 68, 69 players. So we're not too much different to that. It just means there are going to be a lot of steals in this case. And Morikawa is a direct steal. Look, the guy since April has not finished worse than 16th in any tournament he's played in. That's concluded a third at the Masters for the PGA Championship, 14th at the US Open, 16th at the Open in Scotland as well. And some pretty windy conditions. And I know Colin Morikawa takes a lot of criticism for his ability to play in the win. But if we're looking at a golf course, we're driving accuracy is really important. Elite ball striking is key. The first name that is going to jump to a lot of people's minds is Colin Morikawa. Obviously, as Spencer mentioned, he leads the field in driving accuracy. He's within the top five as well for approach. He's in the top five for stroke gain total of the last three months as well. So he is playing exceptional golf. And I think this is a course that fits really, really nicely with this game. 13th as well at the players. And I think TPC saw grass even just visually look at the wooden ball kids on a lot of the water on these holes. It looks very, very similar. And it does demand the same kind of questions. So straight steal from the audience. Very pleased that they've got him. I hope that they have a great week with Colin Morikawa. I can't take him. So I'm instead going to go to my next favourite player on the board. Someone who I think is really good value, which is Tom Kim. We're talking about golfers who could be absolutely aggressive on approach, who can really go out and finish towards the top of the leaderboard. Few names start greater entry than Tom Kim in that regard. But there's a couple of reasons why I particularly like this course for him. One again is the elite approach playing driving accuracy, which comes into play at Ligolf National. But the other factor is that South Koreans, when they reach the age of 19, before their 30, they need to go and do military service. And there are a few ways that you can get exceptions. And that's a significant cultural expectations, basically. And Tom Kim has a chance this week, basically, to avoid having to go and see if two years in the military. We've seen that have really negative effect on student golfers gains. Golfers like some you'll know, for example, who are running on the PGA tour. He had to go and spend two years in the military and he never really regangers game after that. Whereas some time in the CW, they went to want to gold at the Asian Games. They managed to get an exemption from military service. Now, this means so much to Tom Kim that last year, he took a break from the PGA tour to fly over in 2023 to play the open to France to get a look at this golf course. He was the first round leader there. He finished six. He's spoken openly about how important it is for him to achieve an exemption from his military service. So I've no doubt that this is an extremely important week for Tom Kim. He is going to be shooting for a middle of some color. And I'm very, very happy to take him in 9200. Boom. Tom Kim off the board early playing. Great. Spence would love your take on Tom Kim this week. And then you're up with your first bet. Well, I take some offense with what David said with some you'll know. That's a former 101 pick of this draft when I took himself. Let's not disrespect the legend that is some you'll know there. I think it's a very similar answer, though, that I gave for Mora Kawa. It's two players that are very safe that are going to find a lot of fairways. Tom Kim has experience at this course where there's a lot of people that do not, that is going to play a factor here. This is not just your like weekend week out course. And having that experience with Tom Kim's skill set certainly makes sense. There's a reason why he's one of the most heavily picked players both in DFS embedding. I think a lot of people are seeing the same thing with him. I am going to go with the name that has caught a lot of traction, which I don't think you envision this route Joel when we started. Maybe I'm wrong here where Scotty was going to fall to you in the fourth spot. I'll let you make the decision. But there was a name for me in particular that when I built my model this week, Xander Scotty one, two, I was trying to figure out if there was a third name that I could figure out to put them into that range there. And it took a little maneuvering and fiddling with my model to get into this area. But when John Rom moved to live, the results have gone south. There's really no other way around it up until recent. Wrong end of the wave at the open championship comes inside the top 10. Winds at live finally gets the monkey off his back there. The one thing in my model that was holding it back from pushing him further up the board was some of the weighted total driving that I had for the course. John Rom at his very best is one of the best drivers in the world. When I used his high end marks that I had for him, he was every bit in that range with Xander in expectation and win equity there. So I thought from an outright number, Rom is closer to Xander than the market perceived him to be. And while in DFS, it is pushing us in a direction now where Rom has caught a lot more traction because of that victory that he had on live last week. Like if you look at TPC Sawgrass as one of the comp courses that we want to use here, 2019, John Rom was front running that tournament before he imploded down the back end there to give Rory McElroy the victory. I think Rom is finally putting the pieces back together again. And from an outright bet at 11 to 1, I thought that was the best value on the board ownership wise here. There's a little bit less entry, but I thought for single entry sort of contest, I'm going to be all in on John Rom this week. I am shocked how this draft has started. There was no scenario that I envisioned that it would get to me. And both Scotty Scheffler and Xander Schoffle would still be on the board for me to take. Listen, all the reasons you said I like John Rom too. I think John Rom is going to play really well this weekend 10-7 and I think he makes a lot of sense. But to give me in an Olympic draft with only 60 golfers, both of the two best players in the world, even though I was going to do really hard to build the rest of my lineup, I don't care. Give me Xander, give me Schoffler. That's how we'll start if you're going to let me. And I'll figure out the rest of the draft as we go. But in a small field, they give me by far the two best players to start my team. That's too good to be true. I'm going to have to start there. I was trying to be balanced to start this draft, but this is the way the beast has fell. So I'm pivoting and I'm going with this strategy. I don't need to spend too long about why I'm picking Scotty Scheffler and Xander Schoffle. I think we all know those are two of the best golfers in the world. I will ask, I'll start with you, David, any reason why you wouldn't play Scotty Scheffler? No, not really. I was actually going, when I saw that both of them on the board, if you didn't do this, I was going to bait you into taking both of them, because I'm really interested now to see how you build out the rest of this lineup. And I think it's really, actually, it's a good exercise for those watching to see how can you feasibly build a lineup with Schoffle and Schoffle within it. Obviously, it's going to come to a situation where you're going to want to have both of them finish like top six, top five in order to justify the selections you've just made. Of course, they have the upside to go and do that. So I'm really interested to see now where you go with the rest of this build and some of the names that you're going to have to pull out further down the draft. It's going to be a lot of fun. I agree. And yes, because I did this, I am not going to be able to get my boy. I won't tell you what it is, but we all know that I draft him every week. So who will be able to steal him? Spence. You got wrong. You got your second pick here. Who are you looking to take next? I'm going to ignore ownership here. I'm sure I could have gotten him later in the draft. And I'm certainly aware of that. But I'm going to get the two players that for me were where the value pocket ended up landing in the outright market. And I think just naturally here for DFS, this particular player that I'm about to take is probably going to be the lowest on player in the $9,000 and up section. I'm going to take Victor Hovland at $9,700. We can all talk about his struggles this season around the green. I think the one difference that comes into play is you get thick, rough and water. And a lot of that gets mitigated from his inability to scramble from around the surface. He was sixth in my model when faced with similar total driving courses, second for weighted strokes gained total, which is just going to be a glorified highlight of his fit for Legolf National. And then he was fourth on similar putting surfaces. I do this in a very similar outlook to what we got at the PGA Championship a few months ago. I was higher on him than market consensus there when he drifted out to 50 to one. I'm not going to necessarily get as good of a price here in the outright market this go around. But I saw 35 to one. I know I keep giving a lot of betting answers for a DFS show. But I thought he was one of the better values on the board when he went there. And I'm going to bet on the upside of Hovland drifting too far until range where nobody wants to play him. And that for me just allows me to get different with whatever I decide to do with the rest of my build. So I'll let it play out however it does. But I think just naturally by taking Hovland in this spot, it just is going to differentiate my build. Victor Hovland, I think it's a good sneaky pick here. Hovland and Rahm, interesting start. David, we love your take. Are you interested in Victor Hovland this week? I do think he's in a tricky name because as Spencer mentioned, if you're missing Greens here, more often than not, you're going to be wet and you're going to be taking a penalty stroke. And so that kind of mitigates some of the reliance on around the green grain for a lot of these golfers because frankly, in many situations, you're either going to find yourself in a dribble position in the bank or you're going to be taking a penalty if you're finding water. My concern comes, I mean, he's obviously lost on approach his last two starts. Those were both links courses, so you can maybe make that kind of argument of that demands a different style of approach to many of these PGA tour golf courses because it should be a little bit softer. There has been a substantial amount of random Paris recently. And if you're going to draw links to the players, well, in the last three years, Victor Hovland has had a life and a third in their golf course as well. So I think he's in a tricky name definitely in terms of the leverage that you're going to get because his ownership is very, very likely. There you have it. David, you're up with your second pick. Who are you looking to add to your roster with Tom Kim? Yeah, so I'm going to go and take a golfer who's got a Supreme Record at the players' championship, TC Sawgrass, that I just mentioned and hasn't won it, but has had many, many an opportunity, and that's Hideki Matsuyama. Again, if we're talking upside elite approach by driving accuracy, Hideki ticks all those boxes. He's got multiple top 10s at the players, including the last two years. He's finished with N60. Obviously in 2020 as well, he broke the course record in that opening round in '63. That was the tournament that got canned very shortly afterwards with COVID. It's first arriving on the scene. So he has a lot of correlations for me. Obviously, Japan is a nation with a lot of pride, especially when it comes to something like the Olympics. I think that he's very, very capable of going out and performing well this week, and I think that he is good value at the price in that AK range. I love me, Samideki. I definitely had my eye on him as well for this week. I think it's a good pick. Certainly executing the balance strategy here. Audience, you got two in a row. It looks like some nominations are in, but we're going to need two. Keep the nominations coming. Let's double unlock those picks in. While we wait spent, we'd love your take on Hideki for this week. I want everybody to look at the first three lineups that have been built. Those are very unique builds. That's what this show is going to just push everybody towards here. I don't think most people think let's start with Scotty and Xander. But when you do that, it's going to be an interesting exercise, as David talked about here, to where let's see how that lineup ends up rounding out. I think there's a lot of value down beneath that we can talk about. Roman Havelin, give you a contrarian nature there. I think what Hideki ends up doing, and I see his ownership dropping by the second right now, there's going to be some natural leverage that's going to come into play. I haven't met 12% right now. It might end up climbing a little bit more than that, but like literally every single time that I've rebuilt my model with it and re-updated the totals, Hideki keeps falling. There are three lineups so far that are going to be uniquely different, just based off of how this draft has started. Absolutely. I think it's a really good point. That's what we were saying and how you build your team this week is going to be critical in your ability to find success. Audience, good job locking those two picks in. It will be Alex Noren and Corey Connors. Two value picks this week that I think are solid picks. I think it's a really nice start to the audience team. Both guys, I think, have high floors with some decent upside. We're leaving you with plenty of money left to spend. We'd love to get your feedback spent. Are you on Noren and Connors? Their first three picks are three of the top 10 overall players in my model. Ownership is always the name of the game at the end of the day, but I have nothing negative to say about any of the first three picks that the audience has done so far. All right. Well, David, I'd love to hear from you. Are you interested in Alex Noren, Corey Connors, and then you're up with your third pick? David, I'm mute. Let's unmute ourselves and keep it professional around here. I'm very, very interested in both of them. Actually, Maura, Corey and Connors were in the first lineup that I built for this draft cast. They would have liked to have been both on my team. Once Maura got stolen, the next route, I was going to go down and include it in Noren. Technically, it's three straight steals from the audience on my lineup. They're really kicking in the guts this week, but Noren's obviously got great course history. He's obviously a winner here, but then you think about a golf like Alex Noren, who isn't necessarily like, he's had a very, very solid season, but he's not a stand-up on the PTO, but his record at the players at TPC Sawgrass is really eye-catching. Obviously, he's had a 10th, 17th, and a 19th there previously. Then at the Honda Classic, he's finished with the ninth, the last two. I think that's a very good predictor of major championship style golf, very tough golf courses, especially off the tee, ton of water and play, kind of keeps that Florida link going as well. I think he's a really, really interesting option. He's been found by a lot of people as well. Look, I think he is going to be popular given what he's just come off in terms of performance at the Scott Shope and the open and finishing tenth or two tenths, but I think he's a very viable, safe option. I think he does have upside on this golf course, so what an audience, three steals in a row. Ooh, audience, nicely done. All right, David, you got Hideki, you got Tom Kim. Where are you looking to go from here? Yeah, I'm kind of in a pickle now's job, because I'm looking at it and going, you've got 6500 or so left, and I'm wondering now, if I don't take a value player, where do I go from here? I might have to take a value player just in case you steal them, because he's one name down there that I particularly like more than the rest. I just don't know if it's a name that necessarily is going to be on your radar. And so, maybe I've given too much away at this point, and you might start trying to take the same guys. So, look, I've just got to do it. I'm going to take my value off of it down the bottom that I want. And that is Sammy Vellimaki, who you can grab at 6600. Look, I've mentioned in the beginning that Celtic Manor resort in Wales, former hosts of the Ryder Cup, another stadium, of course, has extremely strong links to the Gulf National. Sammy Vellimaki has played there twice. He finished six and second. So, he's got extremely, extremely good form at that Gulf. My dad works in B2B marketing. He came by my school for career day and said he was a big row as man. Then he told everyone how much he loved calculating his return on ad spend. My friends still laughing at me to this day. Not everyone gets B2B, but with LinkedIn, you'll be able to reach people who do. Get a $100 credit on your next ad campaign. Go to linkedin.com/results to claim your credit. That's linkedin.com/results. Terms and conditions apply. Linked in, the place to be, to be. Of course, you look at a golf course like Valder Rimer as well. He's finished 10th and 25th. Again, a different kind of course in terms of the questions it asks, but it's, again, very narrow, a little bit quick, very tough. Ask similar questions just in a different way to what the golf national demands. One attempt at this golf course, he finished 20th as well. He hasn't necessarily been in the best form. He did have a 12th recently at the John D classic, but he's a kind of golfer who's very accurate off the tee. He can strike his eyes. Given the correlated legs to Celtic Manor, I think he's a sneaky pick down in the 6600 range of a DP work to a golfer that not many people are going to be looking at this week. In my dry run of guys, I was going to take to fill out this roster. He was on it. So now I got to find another one. He got the steal. Nicely done. Nicely done. Spent. I'd love to hear from you. Was Sami Valmaki on your radar for this week? Yeah. I think he's a very intriguing pick down in that section. He has positive trajectory for upside in my model. He's a value at 6600. Would have been a great pick for your lineup, Joel, like above anything else. Like that's kind of the perfect name where there's not a ton of ownership around him, but there's a lot of upside to consider there. And that's probably the perfect build to put next to Scotty and Xander. I wasn't planning to do this with my pick. You know, I don't even know if you would want this player. I'm looking at ownership percentages right now, and I'm going to try to make this more complicated on you to actually try to figure out how to make a build here. So there is a golfer that is so popular right now. He's going to be 18 to 25% probably. My model really liked him. I'll see what this ends up looking like when I include him. I do worry about the ownership, but I'll take Shubanker Sharma. There are very similar viewpoints in my model for what I had for Victor Havelin. So Sharma graded third in my model when you look at similar fairways when you compared the data to the field inside of the top 20-foot weighted GIR percentage. And then the profile that I'm talking about is one of the most significant weaknesses from within my math ends up getting marginally concealed here because one, you have larger greens where you're going to hit a higher percentage of GIR percentage to begin with, but two, errant shots end up going into the water. And I do think long-iron play is going to come into effect here. He was inside of the top 10 in my model and expected proximity from above 200 yards. I bet him at 400 to one when that was like three weeks ago before the open championship. And then that open championship result now has everybody on him at this moment because we've seen form. But if for no other reason, Joel, it'll make a better show with him being on my team than your team, I feel like just because it makes a more complicated build for you, which for the audience makes a more enticing show. Yeah, I mean, listen, you guys are having a great strategic draft. Do you really put me in a tough place? I was obviously going to dig him in my next bit too. So yes, you're making this hard on me. I think it's also going to show that there are some guys in this kind of low value range that people are going to be targeting. As Ben's mentioned, Charmin might carry some ownership, but he clearly has some upside. The one thing I'll say, I think David, you started to go down this a little bit earlier. The saving grace a little bit to my approach of taking Sheffield and Charfley is that with 60 guys and no cut, all the guys I end up getting are going to get four rounds. So if I can find guys and get birdies, then if you have a guy who's going to blow up and it goes seven over, it won't be as bad because they'll still be able to play all four rounds. And one good day and getting those points in that one good day will help. So if it was a cut event, doing a strategy would build me catastrophic because I probably have two players make the cut and it wouldn't help. But knowing I'll get all four days, I think I can save some value here. However, I was planning on going with all my key drivers. I'm doing a bunch of pivoting, but I think I have a plan that I can work with. All right, I'm going to butcher these names because these aren't guys I'm directing every week, but I'm going to start with Matteo Menacero at 7K. It's a little much, but I can afford them. He's played pretty well even in just recently playing in the month of July on the Scottish Open and the Open Championship. He gave you a T31, T15, but on the world tour, he's awesome and really good. He's giving you two top 10s in June. He's just playing good golf. I think this is a guy at 7K who has plenty of upside in this field. If you look at his ability to find fairways, that's an issue. This is, of course, where you're going to want to be accurate. That's the risk I'm taking here. But I think if he can keep the ball in play, again, he has four rounds, even one mess up, he can survive. I think that the upside is what I'm betting on. I'm going to pair him with one of my favorite value plays who I was planning to take from the beginning here. That's CT Pan. CT Pan, I think, will be a good course, but he's very affordable. He knows that he'll find fairways. He's got a pretty good all-around game to be justified. When you are diving down to 6,500, to find some guys, I think CT Pan brings a lot of upside. It wasn't just a couple of weeks ago at the John Gere. He got second place. You know CT Pan can bring it. He's volatile, but again, he's guaranteed four days. I'll go to you here, Spencer. Are you interested at all in Pan or Manasero? I thought the most interesting thing about the Manasero pick is when you take him at $7,000, you still had a reasonable budget after going Scotty and Xander just from testing the theories of what happens there. I think there's a reason why everybody's on CT Pan this week. He graded well in my model. We know about his Olympic success that he's had in the last Olympics with it. I think Manasero's fine. I don't have an issue with either one, Joel. All right, and David, I love to hear from you as well. I know you have the most experience with these world tour players, so specifically on Manasero, are you interested? Yeah, I do think Manasero is a really intriguing play. I mean, just to touch on what you said about drawing accuracy, yeah, they can be a floor in this game, but he's greened on the field of the driving accuracy in his last five tournaments. That's including at the open when he finished duty first and at the Scotty's Open in 15th. Bear in mind, PGA Tour players came across with both of those events, right? So it was at high caliber field and he's usually playing, which I think is really positive. At the Golf National, he has had some good history here. He's had multiple finishes, top 30 or better for actually in his first full starts here. So I do think it's a course that fits in. He's playing far better golf than he has been for many, many years. So I think he's a really intriguing name. I think he's playing some very good golf. I agree with the CT Penkel. It's a great value, but most of all, I just love the fact that there's been a load managed to steal your next two selections and watch you scream has been really quite enjoyable. So yeah, hopefully that continues for the research draft. And I just love that the thing you said about Manasero was like, well, he's pretty pricey at 7K. Nobody else is saying, at least you're taking shape punch off like with your face two picks. Well, if you're enjoying watching me squirm, if you guys continue to be strategic and get value away from me, my next round will be a real squirm. I don't even know if I'll be able to make two picks, but we shall sneak. You are up with your fourth pick, 7700 per pick left. Where are you going from here? You know, I was, I mean, there's still ways to go about this. I'm not going to do it. Like, I was trying to figure out, and I'm not trying to make a build Joel that puts you in the most precarious position as possible. I have a guess of who you would take next. And I guess we can discuss it when we get down into this area. But I'll go with somebody that when this week started, I didn't necessarily expect to be so enticed by them because of the recent form that we've gotten. Even if you look last week, they came inside the top 25, but it was a very standard course where that player is inside of the top 10 every single year where they play that event. I hated him. I I was trying to find ways to take him on, but it's some of these water bound floor to style courses that I find myself wanting to play this golf for at. So we have lacked the upside and and I understand that and it's back to back weeks losing with the approach game. But I'm going to take Emiliano Greo and bet on some of the numbers inside of my model that do believe him to be a top 25 sort of play and just hope that we get a little bit more upside specifically at this venue and hope that what we got last week, while he did lose with the iron play, kind of ends up turning around for a higher and finish if he can put the pieces together because there were enough data points from within my model even with the iron play. Well, it's not going to necessarily be over the top with what you want with it. Like he was inside of the top 35 in most ways, which is just a better output than we normally get from him recently. Oh, I, I'll be honest, broke up when you made your picture. I didn't hear who it was. What did you get? Emiliano Greo. Greo, 6800 great value. I like that fake. I, you know, I couldn't afford necessarily him in addition to what I, what I did there. But he was certainly someone I was looking at. Uh, David, we'd love to get your feedback. Were you interested in Greo this week? Uh, I just, I love it so much. I just love all of it. So, so much. Um, yeah, look, I think Greo is a really intriguing name. I agree that the recent form has been all that grade. Although let's, let's put out there that he's finished. Uh, he's made the carton six of his last seven starts. So he is putting a bit of a string together, including a 24th at three and open last week. And I, I do always think that Greo plays better on these tougher courses where he doesn't have to go out and shoot like minus 24 to win. If there's kind of tougher test where I don't think it's going to be as difficult as some positions here, which have one that like minus 10 minus 12. I think it's probably going to be around that minus 15 minus 16 this time, just with how they've set the course up. But I, I think he prefers these kind of tears. And bear in mind with Greo as well. He is a former DP will to the player. So he has had experience on his golf course compared to a lot of these PDA two players who have never seen it before. Um, so he's got a 20 third on his first start here. And then at that course counter manner, what I said has extremely strong formula. He's played it three times. He finished 30th, 18th, 29th. So three starts, David with them duty, but he's got links with the players. He's finished to leave it on a classic. He's finished eighth before. So I think there's a lot going for him. And um, well, with a roll of the dice of the prize that you're getting. Boom, I love it. David, you're up next. You stole Valamaki from me last pick. Are you going to get another steal here? I mean, it would completely ruin my draft, but I'm so certain that I know one of the golfers that you're going to take that I'm extremely tempted to either take him or name him so that the audience can get go and steal him from you. Um, it's really, it's very tempting. I'm like, I'm going to play the nice guy. I'm not going to, I'm going to just stick to my game, build my draft, give Joel a little bit of a break here because we have been pretty harsh on him on this draft so far, which he deserves as the, as the champion plays it. But you know, um, so I'm going to go take, um, Torbjorn Ollison, who recently is not displayed the greatest of form. If anything, we can at least say that he's made three of his most recent cuts. That's included at the open and in the Scottish Open as well. But let's look at what he's been able to do on the DP World Tour because I think that's what's most intriguing. On this golf course, specifically has a second, a third, a 20th and a 10th previously within this history. About the Rama I said is very, very correlated in terms of what this golf course asks. He's finished 1948, 20th, 21st year. Celtic Manor, as I mentioned, very strong form links here. He's finished 18th year previously as well. And I do think it's a golf course that really suits him. It is course history on CCS. So very accurate off the tee, really good with his approach play. And I think that he has got the upside and it's 72 hundred to go and give you a very good way. I also like his ownership. That looks pretty comprised to compete to some of the other names around him. Guys like Kristen Biseid and how, for example, Victor Perez are going to attract a lot of Tinship as a result of having a great year. Victor Perez being three inches, obviously going to get a lot of attention with the Olympic Games being played in Paris this year. I love it. I love it. I believe we drafted him on the show in one of the recent tournaments as well. I know you like him. So the value is certainly there in this field. Audience, you got two more here. It looks like some nominations are coming in. We're going to need two to lock in. But we'd love to get your take spent on Oleson. Well, somebody in the audience did name the name that I thought you were going to take Joel. But look, I mean, I'm not going to necessarily be on Oleson this week. Ownership-wise, though, in the leverage that gets created, he's one of the names down there that is sub 10% for me. And anytime that you can find a way to create leverage with a build on a golfer, that is not so negative value for me at the end of the day with it. That I'm not going to play him, as I said, but we're in a spot now where ownership is condensing in all the same areas. I really like Victor Perez. I like Pevon. I like these French golfers that don't necessarily have the success that we have seen at this venue. But this is a home game for them. There's going to be a lot of push. I think the problem that is coming to play, though, is that narrative has gotten overblown to the portion where their ownership, specifically with Perez, is double of what we're getting from a guy like Oleson. He's not double more likely to beat Oleson. And that's kind of where some of these ownership problems are coming into play. I get it. Makes perfect sense. Audience, great job getting the picks into value plays off the board. We don't make Liosi and Schmidt at 6400. Not a steal was not who I was going to take. I may have tipped my cap, but we will see. However, those are two solid value picks. David, would love your take. Will Guido or Schmidt be on your readout? I mean, obviously, Ed has a very, very strong relationship with Greta and Mecly Olesi. We hear about that all the time in the wind daily sports discord, make a lot of fun of that. So it was not surprised to see that second, very, very quickly. Obviously, his past champion on this golf course, he's got a ton of upside. He's always been a golfer who's promised a lot more than he's perhaps delivered across his career. But he's also a recent winner at the Kaolim Open earlier this year. He's had a six at Valdarama, which I mentioned as well as very correlated. He links those two courses quite nicely. Maybe she would have looked to be playing some better golf as well. I do hold some concerns about his driving accuracy, although he has gained the driving accuracy as the last two starts. He's finished at night previously at the Celtic Manor, which I think is promising. Also surprising, a lot of people won't pick up. He finished 26 at the players for this year at TPC's Hallgrass, which I do think is a good correlation. But the real question now, Joel, is do I take for a breezy Osanote or does he accept it? Well, here's the issue. If you do that, I mean, a really bad place because there's no rust to go. I think we've put Joel in a situation where he's actually going to beg for us not to take Sonati, which I think is quite satisfying and makes a great content. I'm going to be kind. I'll see what Spence does. Spence tends to be quite kind on the draft cast as well. I'm not going to take Sonati because it doesn't suit the rest of my build, although if I did go Sonati, I guess would open up me going up to Abraham at the top where we haven't talked about yet, is still on the board. So there's one option I could go. But I'm going to go and take Tommy Fleetwood in 9500 and the side from Spence justifies that selection, which is fantastic. Look, I think that he's getting a lot lower ownership than he perhaps deserves here at 9500. Obviously, coming off the back of being very, very popular at the open, he missed the cup, but let's face it, the weather at rural term was insanely bad. He got the wrong side of it. We can make some pretty clear arguments about the reason for his depressed output at that event. But he's a past winner on this golf course. He's finished second Celtic manner, as I previously mentioned. Look at courses like PGA National. He's finished student fourth year previously, the players. He's finished seventh fifth and he's finished in the top 35 the last three years as well. So there's a lot of signs here that pointed this being a very good course for Tommy Fleetwood. And one thing that I've kind of come to with my builds this week is, yes, aggression is going to be really important because players are going to want to go and get a meter and finishing fourth means absolutely nothing, but finishing third means a hell of a log. But then someone like Tommy Fleetwood, who's just going to plot his way around this golf course and keep himself the year or the year about, may suddenly actually find himself in a position to win, while everyone else is firing at pins and perhaps making mistakes and finding water. And that's kind of that intriguing line where I think Tommy Fleetwood could be really sneaky. So very happy to be able to get him here in the fifth round at 9500. And I think for me, possesses a lot of when they could eat at a lot of people in this lesson. Tommy Fleetwood, I saw a spend sigh, I will say, I will be surprised and it looks like maybe spends and David, you're the only, yeah, you really can't spend, you're the only option, I'm not even sure it's possible. If Ludwig goes undrafted, I would be surprised in this draft, spends your up, I saw your sigh. So I'd love to hear your take on Fleetwood and then where you go on your best pick. I will say this Joel. David taking Tommy Fleetwood probably took the chances of me taking Zanati from like, I wasn't going to do it. It was probably 1%. Now I'm sitting here and I'm like 30% to actually pull the trigger with it. I don't think I'm going to go that direction because there's a name that I really like that I'm fine going towards and just changing the build from what my projection was going to be. I agree with everything that David has said. There is a specific safety in Fleetwood's game, but also maybe a hidden upside that is not being taken into account. I really wanted to end my build. Tommy Fleetwood and Nick Taylor, that's kind of the route I was going to go shoot for the upside with the boomer bus nature with Taylor and take a little bit of that safety that might have hidden win equity that comes into play with Tommy Fleetwood. The reason why I'm not taking Zanati for everybody asking here is because there's not necessarily like what's going to end up happening is if I take Zanati, I have $10,100 left. I don't necessarily want to take Shane Lowry. I'm okay taking Joaquin Meme and I think that pick is fine. Kim is off the board. Fleetwood is off the board. Norin's off the board. Connors is off the board. Hideki's off the board. I'm going to end up taking the exact player that I'm going to take in that spot and leaving tons of money on the table. So I'll build this differently than I anticipated. I'm going to take a golfer for me that's inside of the top 12 of my build this week, inside of the top 10 for both expected strokes gained total and expected approach for this course. That is Sep Straka. Sep Straka. I think Slip Straka makes a lot of sense this week. Before I started Sheffler Shoffley, I was looking to get Straka into my more balanced approach. So on my radar for sure, David, we'd love your take on Sep Straka for this week. Well, look, it's it's it's any consolation. If I hadn't taken Tommy Fleetwood, it would have been Sep Straka and would have tried to get Tommy Fleetwood the other way around. So either way, we would kind of put it into a spot here where we're going to be nice to Joel and end up trying this. My dad works in B2B marketing. He came by my school for career day and said he was a big row as man. Then he told everyone how much he loved calculating his return on ad spend. My friends still laughing me to this day. Not everyone gets B2B. But with LinkedIn, you'll be able to reach people who do. Get a hundred dollar credit on your next ad campaign. Go to LinkedIn.com/Results to claim your credit. That's LinkedIn.com/Results. Terms and conditions apply. LinkedIn. The place to be. To be. We're dealing with each other's picks instead, which, you know, probably is an error in our judgment term. We really should have just kicked Joel when he was down. The audience was desperately baiting us to do. But look, I think Sep Straka is an excellent selection this week. I really do. Like he is accurate off the tee. It's really important, but you've got that extreme upside, which comes with Sep Straka. We all know that he possesses the ability to go out and shoot very, very low. And so fire happens. He's crushing it on approach. He was second at the Open Championship recently. He's shown up at the Signature Events as well. Fid at the opposite heritage. Eight at the Wells Fargo. Fid at Charles Shaw. Fid at Memorial. And then we look at the courses. We also won. Like his record at PGA National is insanely good. He's won there. He's had a fifth year last couple of years. That was what drew us to him at the Open Championship previously as well in terms of the increased output because that course is a very good predictor of these major championship type tests. And then we look at TPCs to all of us. He finished 9th and 16th year in two of his last three years. So I think he is a really, really viable option for DFS this week. And I would not be surprised if suddenly Sep Straka is finishing in the top five in contention for the middle conversations this week. Boom. I love it. I love it. Sep Straka. It is. Now I got to, everyone knows what the first one is. Yes, it's an Audi. He was the clear best value play in this price range. I've been going back and forth with a few guys on who I will take for the last spot. And what I ended up doing strategically, because I'm being honestly, I've only heard of maybe half of these guys, maybe less. So I'm really kind of throwing darts here. But you know, there's a name here that just in the last like 10 seconds struck a chord that I think I'm going to go take. And he's playing on the Corn Fairy Tour right now. And he's playing pretty well. And that's Chris Vintore. And we've seen him play on some PGA Tour events in the last couple of years. I mean, he's never been a great player, but he's been in these fields. He's on the Corn Fairy Tour now. And if you look at these Corn Fairy Tour results, he's giving you T16 and a T24 and a T13 all in July. So that's recently, meaning he's getting you some decent finishes in what is, you know, then the Corn Fairy Tour is not the best, but it's, you know, it's competitive golf. He's playing well. I don't think this is probably the ideal course fit for him. He's a little bit wild off the tee. But I think he's got enough upside playing well right now, where again, he's guaranteed four days of making this call me some points. And I can upside from my top head. I think that's enough. I'll go to you and then one day, you know, we were talking about tonight, you guys knew I'm going to take him. We play Vintore at all. I think that there's one name, the edge, which I thought that you might take. And that I think was an option for you there in the position that you've kind of left yourself. I'm so not quite obvious. He's had a lot of experience in the golf nationale. He's had multiple finishes in the top 55 will be there, including in ninth and 20th there. He's had a fourth at Valderama as well. And I think it was quite, quite obviously going to be your selection, which is why we're kind of baiting you with that one. But I think the other name that you could have looked at there was Gavin Green. I think Gavin Green is a really viable option. He's gained on approach in three of his last four starts in quite a big way. He's on five consecutive made cuts, including at 25th at the KLM Open. But it's some of the golf course correlations that really intrigues me. As I mentioned, Celtic Manor, really strong correlation to the golf nationale. He's played it twice. He finished at 11th and 8th. And then at Valderama, he's got an 8th and 20th as well. He's played this golf course several times on the DP World Tour as well. So it's the kind of test that I think Gavin Green can potentially take advantage of. He's very long off the tee. Not me soon, the most accurate, but sometimes one of those golfers who we need comes down a little bit can find a bit of success and probably would have been the route I would have gone over Ace Ventura. Well, I was going to add to that, David. I 100% agree with you. I would have liked Gavin Green as well, but I can't afford him because she got too much and I wouldn't have been able to fit it in my life. So I had to get even cheaper. And that's how I landed. That's a sad day. It's a sad day when you can't afford a golf or it's $6,300. You can't afford Gavin Green. You know, you're struggling, but I still feel good about this team and you are absolutely right. So as an I am trying to talk myself into Ventura as best I can, but the rest of the team, I do feel pretty good about Washington, Oregon. I have a great result now after we said all that. Spence. You got one left. 70 hundred to spend. Way ahead. For the most part down in this range, like in the $7,000 section in general, there's a handful of guys that I like and it just so happens to be where the general public is landing also with Pazade and Howden Victor Perez. I'm going to eat the ownership here with Perez with everything that I've talked about. I know the course history leaves a lot to be desired with two miscuts. He does have two top 30 finishes, but it goes back to the sentiment that I talked about at the beginning where players like Perez and Pavan, we've already seen it in other sports where there's this home country built in. Everybody wants to perform in front of their country. I cannot imagine a world where even if Perez plays poorly, where he's just going to completely check out of this event, I thought he was a good match up target for that reason. I think Pavan's also a good match up target if you want to go down that route, but I'll eat the ownership with Perez here at nearly 20%, maybe Pazade and Howden could have made some sense to try to get marginally different, even though he's also going to be very popular. But when I found myself in the $7,000 range after not being able to close it, Fleetwood and Nick Taylor, I would rather go that. I'm out on Carlos Ortiz. I'm okay with Abraham answer, but ownership is pushing up too. I'll just take the player that my model like the most. Boom, lock it in. I think that makes a lot of sense. I think Victor Maris is a good value in this draft. We'll have to get your take, David. Are you interested on Victor Perez this week? I actually, I think of the two French players, Victor Perez is the one that makes the most sense, mainly given as Spencer mentioned, the links to some of his performances on those Florida courses, particularly which do possess some good correlations even just visually. Perez was three under at that 2020 players' championship. They mentioned that that wasn't where Metziyama broke the course record or equal to course record, and then he finished ninth year in 2021. That's his only two stars at TPC sawgrass, and you just go look at some photos of both those courses. That's very similar. The end of the cognizant case, he's played the once he finished 16th. It's obviously a previous experience finishing here, including a 16th and a 3rd year. So I do think he's viable, especially off the back of the 10th at the Scottish Open recently. He looks at the instant beta form. My question with both Perez and Pravon becomes, does do their ownership swing in such a way? Because it's played in France, they're a lot of players suddenly go, oh, I'm going to play the French players. In like, yes, we do expect an increased output from players when they're playing on their own nation. There's a lot of pride on the line. We've seen that a lot of other middle events outside of golf, where French athletes have over performed compared to expectation, just based on being local. But the question comes, does the ownership kind of swing that way as well? So of the two French players available, Perez would have been the preference for me over Pravon. So I think that Spencer's gone the right round to that way. I did like to answer as well, who Spencer mentioned was an interesting option, which isn't really because he's not been great on live, but his game seems to sit well for what look off national would demand. There you have it. David, you've got your last pick here, 8,700 to spend. How are you rounding out your squad? Yeah, I mean, look, I would have liked to have taken step striking here, would have been a really interesting way for me to round out this lineup. Obviously, that's not an option anymore. We did know there'd be a lot of steals on this show. Little did we know that steals would be players like Sammy Valamaki and Shavanka Sharma from Joel, but that's how it's played out. Look, I did really consider Thomas D-tree here. I think he has a lot of safety as a mentioned Celtic manner. He's finished second and 12th and two tries there. Here he's had a record of 25th, Miskart, 16th, 8th, 35th. So a lot of good correlation for D-tree. And he has been playing to be the guy from clean 14th interview, so from recently. So I think he's viable. But instead, I'm going to go with Maddie Fitzpaddy, Matthew Fitzpatrick. Look, he's a winner at Vala Rama, as I mentioned, a lot of correlation to what this golf horse demands of you, 26 and 27th in previous appearances here. And he's had multiple stats of this event, which I do think is his strength. But then you look at what he's done at TPC Sawgrass, and he's finished 9th and 5th during this last four years. So he's got two very high finishes at an elite field. And in terms of his driving accuracy within this field as well, I think that's what's kind of swungly to Fitzpatrick, his final choice. He's 12th over the last six months in this field, the driving accuracy, 32th on approach, 18th for strokes game total and 7th for putting. So he's got to make some parts when you need him to at the end of the day. And I do think he has the upside to go and finish top 10. Again, sort of similar picked to Fleetwood. I just realised I've taken both of team GB here. So go the Brits. But yeah, look, it's similar to Fleetwood. I think he can plot his way around his golf course and maybe just suddenly find himself in contention, while others are absolutely good firing at pins here. Maddy Fitzpaddy, it is the lock it in. Nice big audience. Great job getting your final pick in of Windham Clark rounding out your squad. I'll ask you Spence, are you interested at all in Windham Clark this week? I'll put the Fitzpatrick in Windham Clark answer into like one lump sum answer here. So one of the things I look for in my model are where are the spots that I am higher than public consensus? Essentially, where are my best leverage opportunities that I could find? The number one leverage opportunity that I had on the entire board was Matthew Fitzpatrick. So I like where David went with that pick. I'll talk about Fitzpatrick in a second of different ways that you can consider playing him when we won't be a first round leader play, but I'll deviate into a different sector for that. Fourth for me on that list, Hovlin was third. No shock to anybody. Jason Day was second, whatever that is worth at this point in the eyes of everybody. But look, Clark is a boomer bus commodity anytime. And I've said this a million times just about different players. When you get this stigma attached to you that the form is bad or you shouldn't be on the team and this is Bryson's spot and like nobody's going to want to play people like that. And and I do think Windham ends up being sub 8%. So there is a boomer bus nature that comes into play. You look specifically at TPC Sawgrass. That was his tournament to win for a large portion of it. And I like the Windham Clark pick. I think you have to know what you're signing up for with his game right now. But high end skill set that if he puts it together, I do think he has top five potential this week. Oh, lock it in. That is a wrap for the draft tonight. Do us a favor. Hit the like button. Give us a follow. It goes a long way. I don't know what you're waiting for. If you haven't signed up for Windham yet, sign up. We have been on a heater. You will get that return on value pretty instantly. Before we get you out of here tonight, follow along a week. Let us know which team you think is going to win. As always, we will crown a champion and we have a medal for this week, a gold medal presented and next week's draft. Before we get you out of here tonight, we do have our first round leader Lays. We'll start with you, David. Who are you looking at in the first round leader market? Yeah. So look, interesting mark in the tune of first round leader because despite only being a field of 60 golfers, they're still going off in three balls, which means there's basically no weather wedge whatsoever. Any tea time is kind of viable, and you can kind of just take the names that you want in terms of where they're sitting in the market. So I've got three selections this week. I've got Tom Kim at 28 to 1. The deck he met is young at 33 to 1 and Sep striker at 33 to 1. All three players with massive upside. All three players have shown ability to peek in the first round. And for me, three selections that really match up what the golf national is going to demand. So those three for me this weekend, I think that's actually going to be the full extend my card. So you're welcome. Well, boom, there you have it spent. How about you? Who you're interested in the first round leader market? I'll give two match ups. If I have any first round leader plays, I'll put it into the round table that we all have together. But I talked about there being different ways to try to get exposure to Matthew Fitzpatrick. I bet Matthew Fitzpatrick at minus 120 over Minwoo Lee. The other play that I'll at least throw out there for anybody. And this number has moved since I've released it. But I took Abraham answer minus 105 against Carlos Ortiz. I love it. I love it. I got three first round leader plays and I got one overlapping with you, David. I think the value is too good on a decking matzia. I'm at 30 to 1. I think he's even got 33. He feels too low for how good he is. So I'm going to bet the value with a decking. My home run play, I am sticking with CT Pan at 65. The one I think he's got the upside to be able to get to a first round leader play. And my favorite, I just can't believe he was barely mentioned on this show. No, not drafted. Of course, I got to have some exposure to Ludwig O'Barr. First round leader market, you can get him at what now I'm looking on draft games at 18 to 1. That's a wrap for the draft this week. Again, this course should be challenging, but a lot of fun to watch. I think it's going to be a fun Olympics tune in. I wish you all the best of luck this week. Am I forgetting anything? One question that I would ask you to before we get out of here, we used to do this. I'll just throw it back into the end segment here. Most surprising player to you two that didn't get drafted. Oh, you just said it, Ludwig. David. Probably Rory McIlroy. I mean, look, Rory's taken a lot of criticism for what he's been doing, but we haven't even mentioned it at all on this show. And he's had a good year despite the record at the majors, which is what everyone's going to think about it was what those last two major results have been. But outside of those events, he's played very, very well. And I think he'll come out with a point of proof. He's shown his ability to bounce back at these kind of spots pretty briefly. So it's probably doesn't get mentioned on the show. It's not drafted though. I think that's an interesting answer with Rory. And it kind of is showing the public sentiment there. The answer I give will give, I guess I'll go with Joaquin Neiman. And the reason why I don't give Rory or Oberg, you have Scottie Morikawa, Xander Rom, like those are always going to be probably the foremost popular plays on the board. It's probably natural that one of Rory or Oberg wasn't going to get drafted. Maybe a little bit more shocking that both of them didn't get picked. Neiman to me, though, seems to be creating a lot of buzz this weekend. Even like Rick Gulf said in the chat, like it's, I think most people tune into a show expecting Neiman to get drafted at this point. And I've seen the ownership just trickling up every single time that I update it. Well, I mean, look, in terms of Neiman, if we do want to have that conversation just quickly, is on the line as well with the fact you can win a gold medal is you also get entry to all of the major championships, which is a huge carrot for Neiman. We've seen him be able to perform in those sort of situations before you want to won the Australian Open in the end of last year when he needed to to get into the Gulf and championship, ever all true. And competed events on the deep people tour when he could like the Dubai Teas of Clazigan order try and get in majors. So, I do think there's an intriguing storyline there. He's got every motivation kind of similar to the Tom Kim conversation of wanting to come out here, get a medal and earn his way into those major championships. So, he's not an open qualifying. He's just guaranteed entry into all four of them. I think that's an intriguing storyline. There you have it. All the information's there. Go out there and take down some money this week at the Olympics. You might make more than a lot of guys playing in the actual tournament themselves. Again, I wish you the best of luck and of course sports. You know when you're listening to a true crime story that has an unbelievable plot twist that makes you stop in your tracks? That's what our podcast People Are the Worst brings you with each episode. I'm Rachel and I'm Rebecca. We're identical twins who love true crime cases that make you say didn't see that coming and we hate the people responsible for them. Listen to People Are the Worst Now on Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
We hit 80/1 winner Johnny Vegas last week at the 3M Open! Join Spence (@TeeOffSports), Joel (@draftmastersflex), and David (@deepdivegolf) as they deep-dive into their preview of the Olympics Golf!