Kap & J. Hood

8/30 8 AM: Shot or No Shot

Hour 2: The guys played "Shot or No Shot" then took a trip "Around The NFL" and Sports Consultant for 27 years, Co-star of Beat the Odds weekly contributor on Sirius, Fox & ESPN radio, Host of The Fat Jack Sports Hour, Fat Jack joined Kap & J. Hood with his picks for week one of NCAA College Football. Adam Abdalla was in for J. Hood.

Duration:: 47m
Broadcast on:: 30 Aug 2024
Audio Format:: mp3

[MUSIC PLAYING] Time for shot or no shot, our favorite game show here at DFPN 1000. We do it every morning at 8 a.m. All questions up on my Twitter @thecapman knowing that George McCasky the Bears have had a very, quote, active role in the editing process of Hard Knocks. Are you enjoying it? Discussing now on EFPN 1000. Right now, 47%. Yes, 36% know, and 18% have not watched. Interesting. Here is Shae W. Norley. Good morning, boys. Adam, Caleb, it's a Friday, and football's back. It's great. I love it. It is. But it's fully back. I got done with the draft last night, and I texted Shae, because he texted me and just said, NDSU, and I'm like, thank you for the money, Shae. Because when you were so-- at so much conviction, I went right to my app and went in. Very exciting stuff. My team plays tonight. I can't wait to-- FAU tonight? Pour myself a cocktail, sit down, and watch those bums at Michigan State take the field. I'm very excited. I'm having a bloody merry at, like, 10-0-1 this morning. Let's go. I'm having-- I'm drinking now. I don't know where you guys are waiting for. My coffee is empty, and my wife usually comes down here and goes, would you like an extra cup of coffee? Here you go. Nothing. Shata Bailey's Irish cream in there. Women B shopping. That would be a good thing. What did you say? Said women B shopping. I still haven't seen women talking. She's going back to an old inside joke. She's had her hands full. All right, let's get the shot or no shot. I want to start with the Bears. National media darlings this offseason. I mean, we had a caller in the first hour. Ring us up and say, why can't they win the Super Bowl? Why can't they do all the things that are put in front of them? We know, like, Rich Eisen had them in the NFC title game. Nick Wright had them in the Super Bowl. Despite the rookie quarterback, no rookie quarterback has ever been to the Super Bowl. So I'm not ready to go there and the way the offensive and defensive lines look, just not good enough to me, but shot or no shot. The Bears are only one year away from that being a legitimate conversation. Ooh, OK. They've got 21 million in cap space. The cap will go up next year. Now there are some contracts that will also eat some of that space up. Yes, I think that's a shot. Yeah, I think so. I think that the national media will find another darlings next year, obviously, to make because they always do. Of course. But I do think that the trajectory is what the Lions are on, right? Like, that's the goals to be the best in the vision. The Lions right now are the best in the division. So let's say you get to 10 wins this year, and you're in the wild card hunt. Maybe you make a wild card, whatever. The natural next step is that we get to next season, and the win totals are right around 10 1/2, 10 1/2, 11 1/2, something like that for the Lions, Packers, and Bears. So I think that the problem is that what are the Lions and the Packers going to look like? I think it's a shot. But I think that you're now in a time where the Packers and the Lions are also going to be good. So it's going to be tougher. The NFC North could be one of the better divisions in the NFL for the next five, six years. You're correct. Absolutely. So if you're the Vikings, you're like, oh, god. Like one of the-- It's a long way to go. Chris and I were talking about this yesterday, ranking the teams that could go from worst to first, right? And the Bengals could be a team that go from worst in division to first. They won nine games last year. That's the worst in their division. So you could be looking at a situation like the AFC North, where this is just one of the best divisions in football. And yeah, you can say they have Super Bowl aspirations. But someone's got to get out of the division first. Well, I think the point I'm making, too, is like every year there's a media darling. Last year it was the Lions. You either live up to the expectations, in their case, exceed them, and then graduate into a serious team. Like the Lions are not a darling anymore. Everybody's just taking them very seriously as a Super Bowl contender. That's what the Bears will have to hope to achieve going into next offseason. I think they can. Instead of being the center of the football world and this media darling, like everybody's telling you how pretty you are, just be a serious team. Just be pretty. Yes, I agree. Wow, the Bears did what? They made this a dish. Here we go. Yeah, shot. And just do your business. Because like, it's the same way you talk about CJ Stroud. Like, that's the goal. The goal is to be the Texans. The goal is to that, OK, well, we didn't expect this, but now people do kind of expect it from the Bears because they have a better infrastructure around. Caleb Williams, then the Texans did around CJ Stroud, and to just say, yeah, Caleb's a top 10 quarterback. This is a top 10 team. That's just what they are now. Yes, shot. Shae. All right, I've waited a while to get to this one because I didn't want to be accused of first take Shae when I put it out there. I would never do that to you. I think we're at a point-- Your breakfast ball, Shae, to me. I think we're at a point where I can fairly ask this question. White Sox, two losses shy of the most in franchise history. They have a chance to tie the franchise record for losses before the calendar flips to September. Two games left in August, if they lose them both, they tie the record for franchise losses. No team in history has ever lost this many games this quickly. The Sox are 4 and 33. I'll say that again. 4 and 33 since the All-Star break. The only other team to even be close to this bad was the 1962 Mets. They were in the first year of an expansion team. The Sox are doing this as one of the original teams in Major League Baseball in the third biggest market in a modern era where being this bad is pretty much impossible. Shot or no shot, it isn't hyperbolic to say the 2024 White Sox are the worst American sports team ever. That's a shot and the amazing thing is, and again, I did not agree with the hiring of Tony LaRusa when they did it, but I did think it got way out of control, way over the, he won 93 games. What was that, three seasons ago, 93 games to 4 and 33? Oh my God. It's tough for me to say shot because we do have winless teams in American sports. Like, what's the equivalent of no wins in the NFL to Major League Baseball? This, this, this, this might be harder. But they've won. Like, that's, that's the only problem. Like, the Lions didn't win, I understand. That's why I'm asking what the equivalent is. Like, for how many, you know, because you can't compare, like, the Lions literally didn't win a single game. They won no games. So did the Browns. And the Browns won no games. Like, you have two teams that went winless. And I understand you've got more, you know, cracks at it or whatever in baseball. So you have the opportunity to win more games. But you have winless, I think it's a shot. But you still have, like, even in the NFL, everyone says, it's like, it's kind of hard to go winless. Like, you elite, like the Panthers even fell in, like the Bears fell into a couple of wins the year they only won three games. But it's happened twice. Like, it might be hard to go winless in the NFL. It's hard to go undefeated in the NFL. Those things have happened. This, this feels impossible. Four and 33 since the all-star break. You've played, what is that, 37 games? You won four of them? - That's fair. - This feels impossible. - I saw this yesterday. - Okay, so that Lions team, they came out of the gate, lost their first game to the Falcons, 34-21, lost 48-25. Like, not even competitive. - Yeah, 31-13. - Yeah. - 34-7 at home to the Bears. - See, that's what I'm talking about. - But then they lost 12-10 at Minnesota. They had a 28-21 at Houston. - Okay. - A 25-17 home against the Redskins. 27-23 at the Bears. They have anything else close. 20-16 to the Vikings in Detroit. And then a couple 31-21s. - I think 2016 against Minnesota was Orlowski running out of the back of the end zone, too. - Oh, God. Well, that's worse. Any time you got to bring Orlowski into it, this is much worse. - Linen Sosa got hit in the nose on a warmup. - I know, dude, they almost-- - No, they almost-- - Because of microcosm. - I don't know if that's it or if it's the robbed home run. Like, it's just like, dude, like, then nothing is going your way. - How about yesterday? Did you see the low light of, I don't even know who was playing second base, ground ball, the shortstop, second base, who comes across the diamond? - Yeah. - Fiosa. - Throws it like five feet off of first base. Was it Sosa? I wasn't sure if he was starting there because they also got rid of Nicki Lopez. - I saw this from Jason Leisure yesterday. Who has more wins in September than Bears of the White Sox? - Wow. - The White Sox will face, I'll give it to you. They face, they have the Mets for one game. Then they have Baltimore, Boston, Cleveland, Oakland, the Angels, the Padres, the Angels, the Tigers. The Bears. So the Bears. - I think the Bears win three games in September. - They just went 4 and 34 as we said. Since the All-Star break, 4 and 34. - Wow, is that tough. - 4 and 34, that's not even a win a week. - And by the way, they did not get rid of Nicki Lopez yet. They put his contract on waivers, but he remains on the roster. As of right now, it's like Drew Smiley. He got way, but he's still pitching for the Cubs. - Shane. - All right, Dion Sanders, Colorado played an absolute dogfight at home with Division 1 AA North Dakota State last night. He also nearly cost himself the game. More on a decision to inside two minutes with only one time out for NDSU. Throw it deep for no reason. Stop the clock, save their time out. They get the ball back and they were about three yards short on a completed Hail Mary. From winning the game outright at Colorado. The broadcast was bizarre. Mark Jones was like openly rooting for the buffaloes. It was kind of wild. They played the montage of Dion taking shots at reporters, the news that he banned a columnist from asking questions at a press conference. And it felt like, at least for me, everyone on social media was kind of doing victory laps around Colorado looking like ass again. Shot or no shot. No one has had a quicker turn from hero to heel than Dion Sanders. - Shot. I mean, he's certainly in the team photo. I was always kind of a Dion fan when he accomplished how great he was. Yeah. - Listen, no one wanted-- - Disappointing how he's supported himself. - No one wanted Dion to fail. No one was rooting against Dion, okay? Last year. I think people were rooting against the attention that they were getting because of Dion. Like, you had game day come to Colorado. And I heard it, I forget who was talking about it yesterday, in for greeny. It was game nights on someone else. But like, they made a concerted effort to get to Colorado early because the networks knew that they were going to suck by the end of the year. And then you add it like, you can be bad, but you have to be humble about it. Like, you can't start banning reporters and be bad. You can't start, you know, not taking questions from certain media outlets and also be bad. Like, if you want to do that and you've got, you know, trophies in the case, like your Davo and you don't want to take phone calls during your radio show, I'm not upset at that. It's, it's, it's weak, but I get it. You've earned the right to. That's fine. Dion Sanders was the sports illustrated sports person of the year last year. Now I'm rooting against him because you're just an ass. - He claims, and I did not know this nugget prior to yesterday, he claims that the reporter, Sean Keeler, I think is his name, questioned his faith and mocked his faith. And he said, that crossed the line, and that's why I will not ever answer a question. - Well, 'cause he called him the Pope of BS or whatever it is? - There was something about the Pope of... - He inflicted the Pope, so... - I'm not saying I agree, I'm just saying that. I did not know that's why Dion was so anti-Sean Keeler. - There was a writer who brought it up too that that got mentioned on the broadcast. And like, I think it was a Denver writer said, this is one not true and two not worth repeating on a national broadcast. - Well, that's fair, but also he's not a reporter. The guy that they banned? - He's a columnist. - He's a columnist. - You can say whatever he wants. - Yeah, that's the point. He's, you only, I think it was a shifter who was saying this, as someone who is a reporter and not a columnist, you only did this columnist a favor because of this. Like, he's got more attention because of this. And I heard you say, Cap, rather than just not answering his questions, you made this story that much bigger. - All you had to do was you asked me a question. I'm the coach. Ask me whatever you want. He asked the question, I give you a very vanilla forward answer. - Yeah. - Your thoughts on playing North Dakota State, they got a great program. Next. - That's it, that's it. - Remember-- - Give the guy nothing. - Remember, go to Fox Sports with Erlacher. - Yeah. - Go to Fox Sports.com. Go to Fox Sports.com. Go to Fox Sports.com. He took all the questions, didn't ban anybody. - Right. - Wasn't asked in the process, but still, like, you're not kicking people out. It's ridiculous. Now, rooting against them. - How about the marshall? - Also because I have an under ticket. - There you go, me too. - I'm just here so I don't get fined. - Yeah, just go with that. Like, what do we always say, Cap? Never get in fights with people who don't run out of ink. - 'Cause no, the line is don't get into a fight with a man who buys barrel by the ink. - Yeah, ink by the barrel. - He's got a coach of football team. That dude writes every day. - Yeah, exactly. - It's just the whole thing. And then, honestly, for me, the reason I'm rooting against him the most is 'cause all the narrative is just so fake. - Oh, I don't care. - Every time I turn ESPN on and they're talking, "Oh, he's made so much money for Colorado." They had an $8 billion endowment before he got there. - Yeah, you wanna know what pisses me off the most? What pisses me off the most, and it's the most minuscule of thing about Colorado, is that ESPN puts them in the playoff promo, that when they're promo-ing the 12 team playoff, it's Alabama, it's Michigan, it's Washington, it's Clemson, Ohio State, Oregon, Colorado. No chance, they're not horrible. - It's ridiculous. - It's ridiculous. - It's so stupid. - And his kid, Shador, who had an amazing game last night. - He's awesome, by the way. - He's so good. - He's awesome. - So-- - Tim and Travis Hunter must watch, must watch what they're the best players on the, every time they step on the field. So, she's got-- - They're going to be the best players. - Our friend David Flom, who's a dear friend of mine, David Flom, who owns Chicago, cut, his son goes to Colorado. A year ago, he gets assigned his lab partner in class, Shador Sanders. And he said, I said, "What's he like?" He goes, "Oh," and said, "He's the best." What a great kid. He's just good to everybody. He said, "Awesome." And I'm glad to hear he's that type of kid. - The other kid, Shylo, start updating your LinkedIn, buddy. - Dude. - Jesus. - Well, that game couldn't have gone worse. - Little nepotiz will probably keep him on the roster. - Always smart. - Yeah, he's not going anywhere. - I don't think the kid's getting drafted. - Shadu, we have time to squeeze in one more. - Let's go to around the NFL. - All right, let's go to around the NFL. We'll do that next. (upbeat music) - Follow Chicago's home for sports on Twitch at ESPN 1000 Chicago. Captain J. Hood are back on Chicago's home for sports. ESPN Chicago. - Knit both sucks. He sucks. - I'm just a fan. I'm not a football evaluator. I love the Green Bay Packers. - The guy is front, but there he goes. - This is not Detroit, man. This is the Super Bowl. - I love winter. - He starts to come at any moment. - This is a really thickly built guy. - I mean, what's the answer you're looking for? - These things here. (upbeat music) - All right, time to go around the National Football League. We do it every day here on the show. Here is Shay Norley. - We'll start with the big news yesterday. Finally, the Niners contract, Sago, with at least one of their players, is over. Brandon Ayuk got a $120 million extension to stay in San Francisco. And once again, month-long trade rumors, make them an email. We don't need to do it every day, please. - We gotta have something to talk about, man, come on. - It always ends with the players staying on the team they're on. Almost always, CD lamb, still in Dallas. Ayuk gets extended in San Francisco. Jamar, uh-oh, uh-oh, uh-oh. Jamar Chase, is he gonna miss week one? - So, I would. - No way. - Good? Why not? Who do the Bengals have week one? - New England. - Oh, yeah, I just set that one out. Yeah, set that one out. I mean, think about it. I, what did, uh, last year? What was his name? Chris Jones missed the first game, right? - Got paid. - Got paid. Courtney has told us, Courtney told us that at those joint practices with the Bengals, and you guys played the report too, from the Bengals reporter, who was at the joint practices, saying it was never more evident that Joe Burrow and the Bengals missed Jamar Chase than it was during that practice. - Oh, from Fox 19. - Yes. - We have, Jaymore still has that. - Yeah, we don't need to play. You don't, I mean, I'm summarizing. That he said, they've never needed Jamar Chase more than when they faced real competition in a good secondary. - Yeah, the fair defense, right. - So, sit out. You'll get your money. They have to pay him. You're not gonna let him walk. Eventually, he will either come back to play so he can then become a free agent, or you'll give him a deal. One of the two things will happen. 'Cause if he just sits out the whole year, you get to do this all again next year, 'cause the year doesn't count. But my question is, why did Cleveland clear up all that money yesterday then? If they weren't gonna get Iuke, why'd they clear up all that money? - Because you could carry a lot of money over next year. But only to reward your own guys. It doesn't like, it doesn't add to your cap space. Yeah, you have to use it for extensions. It doesn't go to your cap. - Correct, but you could take care of guys now. So when the cap goes over, I don't have to worry about taking care of them then. - If the bears restructured Montez Sweat, and they all of a sudden created 30 more million dollars, we'd be like, hmm, something is afoot. - Well, they feel like they gotta extend to having Jenkins, and they gotta take care of other stuff. - Well, yeah, 'cause they did that with DJ. DJ Moore became cheaper this year. So they have freed up more money, and all of us the next day were like, wait a minute, what's that for? - Well, Kyle Long did tweet that cryptic GIF of Ryan Paul's getting on the phone as soon as Brandon Iuke was resigned. We know Tran Williams is still looking for a deal. - I'm not doing that. - I'm not interested either. The cost might be too hot, but again, he's 36 years old. - That's my back on football. - He's 36. - I'm not paying him 37 million dollars next year. - What's it gonna cost to get him? Because you gotta pay him, so that immediately takes his value away. He's 36, that takes his value away. - I just wouldn't do it. - This is a guy who sat out a full year in Washington. Full year. - Yeah, I just wouldn't do it. There's no way. That's too much money. - Yeah, what, okay, if they said to you, you can have him for a fourth round of paper, would you do that? Or is the money totally the problem? - It's 30, he gets 37 million dollars. That's so much money. - Well, he's a great football player. - Okay. - You might be able to keep him for less, too, if you restructure the contract with guarantees. 'Cause all he's looking for is guaranteed money. I don't think he's looking for you to know. - How much guarantee? - Well. - That's the problem. - I'm not doing it. I'm sorry, that's the age thing. He's one bad step away from never playing again at that age. Sorry, not for me. He's great, but I'm not making the move and guaranteeing all that money. - Yeah, 'cause they would probably tell you we want Braxton Jones, and then you're like, we've been developing this guy for three years. - Who's gonna play when he can't play for the first two weeks 'cause he's still ramping up? - Correct. - Is this Deck Prescott's last year with the Cowboys? The news yesterday, Deck Prescott's comments on not having a deal so far, quote, says a lot. - I think so. I do. I don't think they get a deal done before the season starts, and I think that he leaves in the off season. - So then that probably means they didn't win the Super Bowl. That probably means they didn't have a great deep playoff run. That probably means there's a new coach and a young quarterback and they're restarting things, right? - I mean, maybe. Why can't they win and he still leaves? - If they win, they're paying him. There's no way. - Then pay him now and get ahead of it. - Well, what if Jerry said prove to me you win playoff game? I gotta see it. - And then instead of 60 million a year, you're gonna pay him 70 million a year because it's just going up. - You think he'll care if he wins the Super Bowl? I don't think he'll care. - I don't think they end up paying him. I think this goes into next season and this early off season and then he's a, oh, let's see, where would he go? He's a great stealer. - They might need a quarterback. - He's a great stealer. - What about Vegas? - Yeah. He's a great raider. Good for him. - Seattle, they're gonna need one. Gino deals up, I think. - Yeah. - You might have a year. - Yeah. - We're Rams. At some point, Matthew Stabber's not getting any younger. - They just restructured his deal too. I think he's gonna be around for a little bit. You're not gonna pay him both. - True. - Che. - All right, last story for around the NFL, Tom Brady. He's gonna make his debut as a broadcaster next week on the Fox main broadcast with Kevin Burkhardt. But a story yesterday detailed that he's gonna have some restrictions placed on him as he's trying to become a partial owner of the Las Vegas Raiders. Immediately effective restrictions include limited access to other team facilities and practices, as well as limited access to production meetings. And if he's approved as an owner, he'll also be barred completely from publicly criticizing officials and publicly criticizing other teams. Can't really get more public than being on the broadcast of games. If he's not allowed to criticize officials or criticize teams, what is the point of having him in a booth? - Wow, what's the point of him going after being an owner? Is my question. - I would give that up if I were him. - So would I. He's making, over the next 10 years, he's gonna make $375 million from Fox. Only own a team in 10 years. He's Dracula, he's not dying. He's not going anywhere. That face is gonna continue to get thinner and he's gonna be able to buy whatever he wants to 'cause he's using whatever fountain of youth, the blood of young children or something. I don't know what he's using to look younger than he did when he came out of college. - But it's buckle fat removal. - Okay, there you go. Yeah, I know what it is. - The picture they put him on the Colorado game broadcast last night was scary. - Yeah. - And maybe it was the UNC Minnesota, one of them. - I'd see the picture, what was it? - It was just, like, I think it was the UNC Minnesota game on Fox and they have Burkhart, just looks like a normal guy on television, Tom Renaldi looks like a normal guy on television. Tom Brady looks like a wax figurine. It was horrifying. - Yeah, you gotta cap. You should get that buckle fat removal done. - What does that mean? - They suck the fat out of your cheeks so it accentuates your cheek bones. - Why would I wanna do that? - I'm just saying, if you wanna be like Tom Brady, get the Tom Brady. - And I like Tom Brady. - I just think, why can't you just wait 10 years? You've already got a piece of an EPL team. You're not hurting for money. You've got $375 million coming to you over the next 10 years, $37.5 million a year, wait 10 years. Then, say to the Raiders, hold my spot. I'll be back in 10 years and I'm sure they will. - I wonder if he could put, I wonder how much did he put into the team? - I don't know. - I wonder if he could, let's say it was 10 million. I'm just giving you a random number. It's probably way more than that. Couldn't he put that all in escrow and just go, when I'm done broadcasting, I'll be back. - Well yeah, just do what, like listen, Jay-Z wanted to be to own an agency, but he was partial owner of the Nets and you can't do vault, so he just sold his portion of the Nets. - $175 million for Brady with the Raiders. - All right, get that back. You can't tell me he couldn't sell for a profit right now. He could get 200 on the way back. Come on, of course he could. - It does, it feels like the NFL is saying, you're either gonna own a team or you're gonna be in the booth. - You're not doing both. - No, just sell your portion of the team. Get out for, make $25 million on the deal. Get out, you'll be fine. Sell it to some Saudis. - No tag, dude. (laughing) Sell it to some Saudis, you're amazing. - Come on, private equity fund. - It dates allowed now. - Yeah, they just voted for it. - Did you do that baseball? - I think baseball, you could do whatever you want to, as long as the owners approve it. - So, I don't think Jerry will, let's say that Tom said, all right, I want Juan Soto. Sell two points of the team, let's go. Right? - Yeah, probably, yeah. And then you'd be playing at Wrigley Field, you'd be playing on Wrigley Field at Etihad Stadium. - Private equity can have minority stakes in MLB teams, but keep in mind these are not necessarily generous investors because they've bought up the minor league teams and shut them down. - Yeah, oh yeah, come on. - Yeah, so be Wrigley Field at Emirates Stadium, right? - Yeah, absolutely. - Let's go. You get me Juan Soto and a closer, let's go. - Or Soldier Field at Etihad Stadium or Emirates Stadium. - Cap's gonna start taking hides with you. (laughing) - He shows up in the towel, in the ropes. (laughing) He's gonna, he's gonna, he's like, we gotta go to home, right kid. Time to go to Hodge. - Let's go to Danny's. - Let's go to Barak, I need the day off. - I'm hungry. - I've been in Vastig all day. - With Cubs logos. - He's got a blue and red for going to Hodge. He's got the, he's, he's all for Juan Soto. (laughing) - That's a change cap. - Juan Soto and Josh Hader are here. - He's got the Kate, he's doing the dances and everything, I can say. (laughing) - Wow. - All right, we've gotta take a time out. We have a lot more to do on the old program. - The Fat Jack is coming up next. - Correct, we'll talk to our guy, the Fat Jack. It perspectives on college and I wanna talk to him about the bears over and under and I'll give you the headlines. There's a terrible story developing in the National Hockey League overnight. We'll get to all of that next. - Here's to Dave's headline, headline with Kevin J. Hood. - White Sox lost again yesterday, that's 104 losses for the Sox, while the Cubs had the day off there in Washington later tonight. We also have the Indiana fever at the Chicago Sky for the final time this regular season, Caitlin Clark against Angel Reese, Dion Sanders in Colorado, squeaked by North Carolina. There's gonna be North Dakota State, 31, 26, the final. And in a developing horrific story, Columbus Bluejacket star, Johnny Goodrow and his brother Matthew were killed when they were struck by a vehicle while riding a form of a bicycle. They were in New Jersey to be groomsmen in their sister's wedding tonight, horrific. Jay Moore. ♪ Welcome back ♪ ♪ Welcome back to Captain Jay Hood ♪ ♪ On Chicago's home for sports, ESPN, Chicago ♪ (upbeat music) - All right, rolling on our cap of Jay Hood on ESPN 1000, getting your holiday weekend off. We hope to a very good start. Adam Abdullah in for our guy, Hoodie who is off back on Tuesday. The Fat Jack who is a regular fixture on the black and a dollar show. He and I have become good friends. I spoke with him the other day and we're talking about the bears and some of the different teams. He's also all over college, football and other sports. And he joins us here on the Car X Tire and Auto Hotline. Fat Jack, good morning. How are you, my friend? What's up fellas? How are we doing? You're a producer when you're in business to have. I'm ready with Cap and Chris on the phone. And I thought, I don't think Chris is there. This is like splitting up the burn in Shirley and moving in Ron Howard. Moving in Fonzie actually. So how are you guys this morning? - Dude, well, Jack, how are you doing? Getting psyched for the college football season here that kicked off last night or last week technically. But yeah. - It's funny. I talk about this on our long show I do, but it's a little bit like a marathon and you do want to jump out, especially as a gambler, first couple of weeks after a long summer and White Sox fans can relate more than just about anybody. But after a long summer of not much to do, try not to get addicted to everything. Football hits us in the face, but it's college football, which has all of this variance and lots of transfers in the portal and different things going on. And so although you want to jump out and go crazy, it's like running a marathon and just sprinting the first half mile or other things that you can imagine starting slow but they're starting fast and not being able to finish correctly. You'd want to pace yourself early, especially in college football. So although you wanted to about play eight to 10 games, I'm excited for it, but a lot of it is kind of a wait and see as far as what these teams have, what they're able to do. We've seen, you know, underdogs perform pretty well over week zero and in the start of week one. - So Shay, our great executive producer said to me, yesterday, kid, you need to bet North Dakota State, this Colorado team. With all that's going on around Dion, yet a dollar said, "Hey, watch the ESPN promo for the college football playoff. "There's Ohio State and Oregon and Alabama and Georgia "and Clemson and all these great programs." And then they got Colorado in there. - It's ridiculous, Shay. - How bad are they going to be or do you actually think they have enough talent to be a decent team? - No, I mean, if you watched last night and people get my selections and my picks, they saw that one of the extra plays I released was North Dakota State plus the points and it was as much about what a Colorado's offensive line is not and still is it? You know, the guys that believe in Colorado, they remember a year ago right now when all the hype was there and they, you know, they were supposed to do so many great things and but the reality is the team that we saw after the month of September is more the Colorado we're getting. Their quarterback was, Sanders was sacked 53 times last year. That's a four game. This guy's getting hit in the face and last night against an SCF opponent, he's been a few of those huge pass completions. The kid is really good, but it has a great arm, but he may not survive the year. I mean, he's tough, I'll give him that. But no, this team in general is not going to do anything. They can't, you can't run the football and you can't play defense. They're still not a lot better defensively. Just South Dakota State team, they wanted to run the ball, keep Colorado's offense off the field and they were, for the most part, able to move the ball pretty successfully. Now, they didn't do a great job. You need to see the athletic disparity on the other side of the ball with the skill players of Colorado. No, Colorado's not any good. Dionne is a polarizing figure and I'll tell you, he's trying, nobody can visit. He's not trying to cover the number of life. He's throwing it off first downer. He's either a complete idiot or if the last series, they believe instead of to watch the game, it's first down. If they just run the ball on the line of scrimmage, they're going to give the ball back with up five, with about eight to 12 seconds left in the game. He throws up a 30 yard fade right on first down, attributed to getting man coverage. It's a whole thing that's ridiculous. Either he's not very smart, especially as a play caller or game management, or they're trying to cover the number of life. I don't like coaches that I know outwardly are either too dumb to run the clock out, or worse than that, trying to cover for a team that is generally speaking, going to be a public play. So yeah, didn't love the end of that. They're not going to be anything at the end of the year, I'm afraid. - We get kicked off tomorrow with one of the best games of the long weekend, Georgia and Clemson. This line's kind of been all over the place, Jack. It started like 14 and a half. Now Clemson is now plus 12 and a half. So this line is moving a lot. What's up with the line movement early today? - Yeah, you know what's funny? I'm going to sound a little bipolar here, because I actually like Clemson, and people who get my futures, but they'll see they're one of my teams to win the National Championship at about 60 to one. Now, I don't think they're going to win the actual title, but I did think they were going to win the ACC and after watching Florida State last week. I feel even better about that. They get in the tournament, I'll hedge back against them over those first couple rounds and guarantee myself money. I also love to have him swinging the fact that not only is he really good against top 10 opponents, he took zero players in the transfer portal and people say, "Well, that sounds like a bad thing." I like knowing the constants. I don't want to deal with, this team has five or six new players through the portal or how quickly is it going to take for them to jail. So long term, I bullish on Clemson. The problem with betting against Georgia, especially as a three touchdown or less favorite, you can go broke doing that. This team outperforms the market. Not only is Carson Beth back, not only are they the best team in the country in favor to win the National Championship as a 21 point favorite or more or less, excuse me, they're 40 and 16 against the spread since 2017. So translation, you'll find some thoughts just like this where you're like, "You know, that's not a lot of points, but that is probably telling me something. I might should look at the underdog and give him a shot." More times than not, that is a losing formula when it relates to Georgia. So with them having their quarterback back, all the stability at the top and frankly the best players in the country, it would be hard for me at this point to play Clemson in this spot. But even if they lose 50 to nothing, I do think Clemson is going to have a good year. They're going to get better as the year goes along. And I like the stability within that program. The only team not to take transfers through the transfer portal other than the Armed Forces teams, Army, Navy and Air Force, was Clemson. So I like that culture. I like building talent. I think they'll be better offensively, specifically at quarterback. So I'm just not sure how much it shows here. So give me Georgia mine at the point of that one. - I know we're talking college, but I've got to ask you for all our Bears fans out there. You and I had this discussion on the phone. Over under number six at eight and a half, it's juiced to the, I believe to the over, correct? - Yeah, right now it is. I mean, you're getting a lot of people in Caleb Williams is going to take them to the next level. For sure. And they had a lot of the pieces of them. - And where are you? If you, if a client called you and said, Jack, I want to bet the Bears over. I've got a friend of mine who actually bet alternate line went over nine and a half. Where are you on the Bears? - Yeah, see, your friends living in Chicago, they're eating at Portillos, they're going to Joe Stoker. But these guys should not be betting on the Bears. All right, I'm just telling you, this is the same group of people that Justin Fields to win the MVP of the league when he first came into the league. That was the most bet ticket wife in the state of Illinois was him to win the MVP when they came in. So be real, I always caution people if, listen, I'm from Norman, Oklahoma. I'm not going to bet along the soon as I don't let on the thunder a lot even though I don't spend any time there. I don't bet them because it's real easy to read the information you're getting hit you in the face every single week and frankly want to bet on your team to do well. That has caused White Sox fans a lot of misery over the last few years when they've been betting them over their win total. So I would be really careful. I would caution people to put your money on teams that you watch a lot of it that you're fans of. With that being said, the Bears threw three quarters last year of their games. If you just stopped it after three quarters, this team would have won 10 games. They out they out gained their opponents by over 400 yards. And so this team through three quarters last year was gained in a lot of spots and just didn't close the deal. I expect that to be better. And believe me, I love what Caleb Williams does, but the line setters do too. So don't don't expect to get value on the Bears, especially early as far as rookie quarterbacks go. And I talked to three different line setters. Caleb Williams is worth almost four points to the spread before he's even taken a snap in the NFL. That is a ton. I'll compare that to the next highest rookie, Daniels. He's 1.3 points. So the 16th overall most valuable quarterback to the line with their team is Caleb Williams. Then he hasn't started it down yet in the National Football League. So I would be very careful about betting the minus the points early. You're just not getting any value and you're actually probably laying a little more based on the height based on how good this kid should be. If gun to the head, there's your question. You made me bet. Yeah, I would go over the total. I do think that they get there, but it's not going to surprise me. If there are some growing pains with Caleb Williams like there are a lot of rookies and they, you know, 1-8 games. It wouldn't be the end of the world for this team. If that happen, I know Bears fans are not expecting that hoping for that, but it is certainly a possibility. There's better spots to make your money on the win totals. - Jack, I know Shay, who you talked to earlier will be very happy to know that you are also very high on the Buffalo Bills this year. Why are there reasons for optimism around the Bills? - Yeah, I just think a lot of times in the NFL we'll see this where teams lose the line light. They step back as far as the public perception goes. Yet they still have a lot of the pieces and actually some of the pieces they lost, I believe and I've been told, were clubhouse distractors as much as anything. So I think that they are a team that you're getting value with. They're also a team that will build momentum late. I like consistency at quarterback. I like a guy that I know exactly what I'm gonna get. Listen, Josh Island does not protect the ball well enough last year you look at him. He throws of all the other team, but he got a lot better at that as the year went along. I expect that maturation and that growth to continue. And I just think there's some value. Everybody's off of the Bills now. And I think that's generally speaking a time that you want to look at them a little bit more. I also don't hate them within their division. I think this is a good team that can take that step. I'm always looking for teams that make a deeper run and a pretty deep run. Get in the playoffs and either have injuries in the case of Baltimore last year. Change quarterbacks when I gave out the Rams to win the Super Bowl the year they won it. I like a team that got up the mountain a little bit and then for whatever reason fell off. But I'm probably gonna get the same consistent play at quarterback. I think they have a chance to take it to that next step. So yeah, I do like the Bills. I'm bullish on them. - Make sure you follow Fat Jack on Twitter at Fat Jack Sports. Jack, if people go to Fat Jack Sports.com, what can they get? - Well, they're gonna get consistency most importantly. They're not gonna be guessing. I'm not gonna play just your favorite team. So you're gonna get exactly the games that I'm betting on. Text yourself on email to you and then you go through the portal on the website. You get to see exactly the plays I'm betting on. And then more importantly, those are posted under the results tab. So you go to the results tab under the 2024 football. You'll see exactly what you're getting each and every day. I've been doing this 27 years. Guys make money. I've made money for myself. My clients 26 of those 27 years. We're gonna have another, we're off to a great start. 11 and two in the preseason. We had a lot of winners last night. Baseball's up over 20 games on the year so far for free. You don't pay for baseball. You get those absolutely free. One of my futures bets were the White Sox under their win total this year. So that's been an easy catch and much, much more valuable information. If you're betting on sports, don't wait to lose first. Go to Fat Jack Sports.com. You signed up today and win this weekend. Enjoy college football, guys. Have a great day, Jack. We'll talk soon. See you soon, guys. Have a good week. There is the Fat Jack in creation of his hard work and the Black and Abdullah show. Indeed, Jack's awesome. We look forward to talking to him on the Black and Abdullah show every week. Now the football is rolling. It's great. Yeah, Jack is, he's spectacular. Yeah. All right, we gotta grab a quick timeout. We will come back and get into, I wanna talk a little bit of baseball with you. Cubs are still alive, still alive. And we've got a game against Washington. We got a series this weekend. The Pirates come back. There's a vibe around the Cubs. Can they take another step? We'll be right back. It's Friday, time to get it in for the weekend. Now back to Cap and G-hood. Tune the levels all the way up. ESPN, Chicago. Rolling on, Cap and G-hood, Abdullah in for hood. Cap, 3-1-2-3-3-2-3-7-7. Six, Jesse will join us at 9-18. Trace is in with the holiday forecast. Now we got the folder. But my Cubs are still alive. Faint, maybe not gonna get there, but they're playing better baseball. Peacock Armstrong, four more hits the other day. Christian Bethancourt, seven RBI. Miguel Amaya has been ridiculous. They're in Washington tonight, Adam, with Ima Naga against Irvin. Are they still alive? I mean, mathematically, yes, but that's like the dude in the end in the backseat of Reservoir Dogs being trying to drive into the hospital and he's trying to stop his bleeding. Like, it's a little late, you know what I mean? Like, you guys, the Cubs should have piqued my interest during July and August, not in September, right as football season starting. It's a little late now. I don't disagree with you. I don't that they are exactly like that guy in Reservoir Dogs, which is a great movie, by the way. They're getting better pitching. I know they played the Pirates. Still the comeback from 10-3 down. Teams were 1192 and oh, the last seven years with a lead of seven or more runs after the sixth inning. And the Cubs made that great comeback. But what I'm-- That's fine. Give me the stat about the team that is seven games out of the wild card with X amount of games. How many times have they made the playoffs? It's rare. I don't disagree with all that. But even if they don't get there, Pete Kromstrung has been outstanding the last 35, 40 days. Fairly decent sample size for a 22-year-old. Miguel Amaya has been excellent for almost two months since they changed the way he approaches things at the plate with his leg kit going away. There have been some things that you think, could be sustainable, right? Just don't get comfortable. Because the problem is you go on, you win a bunch of games at the end here. That gives ownership, see? These guys are good. We don't need to spend any money. These guys are fine. Look at how they ended the season. Why spend money? This team, if they would have played like this for the entire season, they would be in the playoffs. Why spend any money? No, wouldn't you rather have a team that you know you absolutely need to add to? They're like, this just isn't good enough. But no, they're going to go on this great run here. They're going to make it interesting at the end of September. And ownership is going to say, see? The council effect just took some time for him to get his claws in there and really dig in. - They need to spend money. - They're not telling you that they don't. - There's no way they get so now. - No, they're not going to be in there. 230 million dollars is more than enough to be a very good baseball team. You got to get a closer. - You got to. - Yeah, you have to go get a closer. But you're not going to get the big free agent signing. Like they're not going to be in on Soto. They should be. They're the Cubs. - Agree? - How many people were at Pearl Jam last night and are going to get on Sunday night? - I know one, Danny Zetterman was there with his beautiful wife. - Yeah, you can't tell me they're making money. Come on, get out of here. - They're making cash, big time. We will talk hard knocks. We'll get into football with you. It's all coming up in two minutes.