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Changing Geopolitical Winds: Japan, Philippines, and Germany

The geopolitical wind is changing as Japan and the Philippines speak the vernacular. Plus, Germany's AfD achieves its first victory in state parliamentary elections. Stay informed about the shifting dynamics in international relations and the impact on global politics with Simply Politics.Sources:https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/24/9/3/n14322790.htmhttps://www.epochtimes.com/gb/24/9/3/n14322790.htmhttps://chinese.aljazeera.net/news/political/2024/9/3/%e8%b0%a2%e8%b5%ab%c2%b7%e5%93%88%e8%a5%bf%e5%a8%9c%e5%8f%98%e6%88%90%e5%8d%b0%e5%ba%a6%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%96%e4%ba%a4%e5%9b%b0%e5%a2%83https://finance.sina.cn/usstock/mggd/2024-09-03/detail-incmvcxz7473094.d.htmlOutline:(00:00:00) Introduction(00:00:51) 【News crack】The geopolitical wind is changing, Japan and the Philippines are speaking the vernacular| Leader of the Communist Party of China | Sullivan | Trump(00:03:12) 【News crack】The geopolitical wind is changing, Japan and the Philippines are speaking the vernacular| Leader of the Communist Party of China | Sullivan | Trump(00:05:39) Sheikh · Hasina turned into India's diplomatic dilemma(00:07:32) Germany AfD's first victory in the state parliamentary elections Scholz suffered another setback

Duration:
10m
Broadcast on:
03 Sep 2024
Audio Format:
mp3

The geopolitical wind is changing as Japan and the Philippines speak the vernacular. Plus, Germany's AfD achieves its first victory in state parliamentary elections. Stay informed about the shifting dynamics in international relations and the impact on global politics with Simply Politics.

Sources:
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/24/9/3/n14322790.htm
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/24/9/3/n14322790.htm
https://chinese.aljazeera.net/news/political/2024/9/3/%e8%b0%a2%e8%b5%ab%c2%b7%e5%93%88%e8%a5%bf%e5%a8%9c%e5%8f%98%e6%88%90%e5%8d%b0%e5%ba%a6%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%96%e4%ba%a4%e5%9b%b0%e5%a2%83
https://finance.sina.cn/usstock/mggd/2024-09-03/detail-incmvcxz7473094.d.html

Outline:
(00:00:00) Introduction
(00:00:51) 【News crack】The geopolitical wind is changing, Japan and the Philippines are speaking the vernacular| Leader of the Communist Party of China | Sullivan | Trump
(00:03:12) 【News crack】The geopolitical wind is changing, Japan and the Philippines are speaking the vernacular| Leader of the Communist Party of China | Sullivan | Trump
(00:05:39) Sheikh · Hasina turned into India's diplomatic dilemma
(00:07:32) Germany AfD's first victory in the state parliamentary elections Scholz suffered another setback
(upbeat music) - Good morning and welcome to Simply Politics from China. It's Tuesday, September 3rd. On today's show, the geopolitical wind is changing as Japan and the Philippines speak the vernacular. We also discuss the leader of the Communist Party of China and the latest developments with Sullivan and Trump. Plus, Sheikh Hasina becomes India's diplomatic dilemma and Germany's AFD celebrates their first victory in the state parliamentary elections while Scholz suffers another setback. This coverage and more, up next. I'm David and you're listening to Simply Politics from China. In the ever-changing geopolitical landscape, the Chinese Communist Party or CCP is facing a multitude of challenges, regardless of who becomes the new U.S. president. Will it make the CCP nervous? What is the purpose of Sullivan directly seeking dialogue with Zhang Yuxia? Here to shed light on these questions is our correspondent, Abby. So, Abby, what's the significance of Sullivan's visit to Beijing and his meeting with CCP leaders? Before the U.S. election, White House National Security Advisor Sullivan visited Beijing and engaged in intense discussions with CCP leaders as well as high-level foreign affairs and defense officials. The CCP attempted to probe and change U.S. policy towards China. However, the stance of potential U.S. leaders such as Kamala Harris remains unclear and Trump has also given the CCP the cold shoulder. Interesting. Now let's shift our focus to the East. Chinese reconnaissance aircraft have reportedly intruded into Japanese airspace and collided with a Philippine vessel. What could be the implications of these actions? These actions seem to be part of a calculated move by the CCP. The intrusion into Japanese airspace appears to be an attempt to scout key defense locations of the self-defense forces. The collision with a Philippine vessel could be seen as a pressure tactic. These actions could have implications for the first island chain, and Taiwan, and may be indicative of a U.S.-Japan Taiwan triangular alliance taking shape. That's concerning, and with no U.S. aircraft carriers in the Western Pacific for the first time in 23 years, is there a potential defense gap? The absence of U.S. aircraft carriers in the Western Pacific could indeed be seen as a security gap. However, it's important to note that this is a temporary situation lasting only three weeks. The implications of this gap are yet to be seen. Finally, let's touch on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. How might this impact the CCP's strategy? The CCP seems unwilling to let the Russia-Ukraine war end. Their speculation that they could send troops to aid Russia and take advantage of the U.S. being distracted to lay hands on Taiwan. However, this is purely speculative at this point, and we'll have to wait and see how the situation unfolds. Indeed, the geopolitical landscape is complex and ever-changing. Thanks for your insights, Abby. And speaking of the ever-changing geopolitical landscape, the Chinese Communist Party, or CCP, is facing a multitude of challenges. Regardless of who becomes the new U.S. president, will it make the CCP nervous? What is the reason behind Sullivan directly seeking dialogue with Zhang Yuxia? Here to shed light on these questions is our correspondent, James. So, James, what's the significance of Sullivan's visit to Beijing and his meeting with CCP leaders? Before the U.S. election, White House National Security advise Sullivan visited Beijing and engaged in intense discussions with CCP leaders, as well as high-level foreign affairs and defense officials. The CCP attempted to probe and change U.S. policy towards China. However, the stance of potential U.S. leaders, such as Kamala Harris, remains unclear, and Trump has also given the CCP the cold shoulder. Interesting. Now let's shift our focus to the East. CCP electronic reconnaissance aircraft have reportedly intruded into Japanese airspace and collided with a Philippine vessel. What could be the implications of these actions? These actions seem to be part of a calculated move by the CCP. The intrusion into Japanese airspace appears to be an attempt to surveil key self-defense force bases. The collision with a Philippine vessel could be seen as a pressure tactic. These actions could have implications for the first island chain and Taiwan and may be indicative of a U.S.-Japan-Taiwan triangular alliance taking shape. That's concerning, and with no U.S. aircraft carriers in the Western Pacific for the first time in 23 years, is there a potential defense gap? The absence of U.S. aircraft carriers in the Western Pacific could indeed be seen as a security gap. However, it's important to note that this is a temporary situation lasting only three weeks. The implications of this gap are yet to be seen. Finally, let's touch on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. How might this impact the CCP's strategy? The CCP seems unwilling to let the Russia-Ukraine war end. Their speculation that they could send troops to aid Russia and take advantage of the U.S. being distracted to lay hands on Taiwan. However, this is purely speculative at this point, and we'll have to wait and see how the situation unfolds. The geopolitical landscape is certainly complex and ever-changing. Thanks for your insights, James. Shifting our focus to another political development, former Bangladeshi Prime Minister, Sheikh Hasina, has reportedly become a diplomatic dilemma for Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government. This comes four weeks after she fled to New Delhi amid protests by citizens opposing her rule. To discuss this further, we have our correspondent, Michael. So, Michael, what led to Sheikh Hasina's flight to India? On August 5th, Sheikh Hasina, the daughter of independence hero Muji Burraman, who was assassinated in 1975, succumbed to her only choice in the face of demonstrations demanding an end to her rule. She left her official residence and escaped to India by helicopter. Since 2009, India has been the focus of her diplomatic support. Interesting. And how does this situation pose a diplomatic dilemma for the Indian government? Analysts believe that Sheikh Hasina's presence in India and the circumstances of her arrival put the Indian government in a difficult position. They have to balance their diplomatic relations with Bangladesh, their support for democratic principles, and their response to the civil unrest that led to Hasina's departure. That's certainly a complex situation. Shifting gears a bit, there are also reports of unrest in other parts of the world. Can you tell us more about that? Yes, there have been several incidents of unrest recently. In Gaza, for instance, there was an attack by Israel on civilians buying bread, resulting in eight deaths. In Israel itself, there have been protests and general strikes, although the scale of these is not yet clear. Additionally, six more prisoners were killed in Gaza, leading to further protests and calls for strikes by unions. Thanks for the update on the geopolitical tensions, Michael. Shifting our focus to domestic politics in a historic turn of events, the Far Right Party, Alternative for Germany, has won a state parliamentary election for the first time. This development has been seen as another setback for German Chancellor Scholz and his political alliance. To discuss this further, we have our correspondent, Bella. So Bella, what are the implications of this election result? In the state parliament election held in Thuringia, central Germany, the Far Right Party, Alternative for Germany, won the most votes, becoming the largest party in the state parliament. This is the first time the party has won a state parliamentary election since its establishment in 2009. Meanwhile, in Saxony, eastern Germany, the Christian Democratic Union became the largest party in the state parliament, with Alternative for Germany, trailing only slightly behind in support. And how has this affected Scholz's Social Democratic Party of Germany and its allies? The vote share of Scholz's Social Democratic Party of Germany and the Greens and Free Democratic Party, which are currently in a coalition government at the federal level, have all decreased significantly. In fact, in the two state elections, the combined vote share of these three parties was less than 15%. That's quite a shift. But even with this victory, will Alternative for Germany be able to form a state government? That seems unlikely. Even though Alternative for Germany won the most votes, it still does not hold more than half of the seats. Since most other mainstream German parties refuse to form an alliance with it, it will be difficult for the party to form a state government. What are experts saying about these developments? Experts are urging vigilance about the rise of far right forces in Germany and even the whole of Europe. However, on the issue of political reshuffling in Germany, it is most likely that a grand coalition government will appear again. Germany's current fragile three-party coalition government is likely to end next year, and there is domestic expectation for a return to the so-called grand coalition government of the past. Thanks for your insights on the shifting political landscape in Germany, Bella. And with that, we wrap up our stories for today. Thanks for listening to Simply Politics from China. We'll see you back here tomorrow. (dramatic music) You