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Rapid Fire: Riley Leonard Running, Confidence In An Unbeaten Notre Dame Season, Irish Defense

Today's Rapid Fire topics include: * Riley Leonard had 12 carries against Texas A&M. Over/Under 15 carries for him in the next two games combined.

  • Notre Dame’s chances to go unbeaten went from 15.8% to 22.4% after beating Texas A&M. They have the best chances of any team to go unbeaten. On a scale of 1 to 10...how confident are you that they will?
  • Notre Dame has +430 odds to get a shutout vs Northern Illinois (down from 490 yesterday). What’s your max wager on that?
  • Over/Under...13.5 points a game allowed by the Notre Dame defense this season.  * On the Pat McAfee Show the other day…they got into a mini debate over whether Notre Dame or Iowa should be considered “tight end U”. Should that distinction be decided by how good the tight ends are in college or how good they are once they get to the NFL? * Peter Schrager from the NFL Network has picked the last three Super Bowl matchups and winners. This morning he picked the Packers to face the Chiefs, with Green Bay going in as a wild card to win the NFC and the Chiefs pulling off the historic three-peat by winning it all in New Orleans. Do you Buy or Sell it? * Tom Brady makes his NFL broadcasting debut this weekend when the NFL season starts. There’s a lot of talk about whether or not Brady will be critical enough since he’s played with and against the majority of current players. Is that the number one thing you need from an announcer or is there anything else you think is more important?

Shop for Irish Breakdown gear at our online store: https://ibstore.irishbreakdown.com/  Join the Irish Breakdown premium message board: https://boards.irishbreakdown.com  Stay locked into Irish Breakdown for all the latest news and analysis about Notre Dame: https://www.irishbreakdown.com​ Subscribe to the Irish Breakdown podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/irish-breakdown/id1485286986 Like and follow Irish Breakdown on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/irishbreakdown Sign up for the FREE Irish Breakdown daily newsletter: https://www.subscribepage.com/irish-breakdown-newsletter Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Duration:
26m
Broadcast on:
05 Sep 2024
Audio Format:
mp3

Today's Rapid Fire topics include:

* Riley Leonard had 12 carries against Texas A&M. Over/Under 15 carries for him in the next two games combined.

* Notre Dame’s chances to go unbeaten went from 15.8% to 22.4% after beating Texas A&M. They have the best chances of any team to go unbeaten. On a scale of 1 to 10...how confident are you that they will?

* Notre Dame has +430 odds to get a shutout vs Northern Illinois (down from 490 yesterday). What’s your max wager on that?

* Over/Under...13.5 points a game allowed by the Notre Dame defense this season. 

* On the Pat McAfee Show the other day…they got into a mini debate over whether Notre Dame or Iowa should be considered “tight end U”. Should that distinction be decided by how good the tight ends are in college or how good they are once they get to the NFL?

Peter Schrager from the NFL Network has picked the last three Super Bowl matchups and winners. This morning he picked the Packers to face the Chiefs, with Green Bay going in as a wild card to win the NFC and the Chiefs pulling off the historic three-peat by winning it all in New Orleans. Do you Buy or Sell it?

Tom Brady makes his NFL broadcasting debut this weekend when the NFL season starts. There’s a lot of talk about whether or not Brady will be critical enough since he’s played with and against the majority of current players. Is that the number one thing you need from an announcer or is there anything else you think is more important?


Shop for Irish Breakdown gear at our online store: https://ibstore.irishbreakdown.com/ 

Join the Irish Breakdown premium message board: https://boards.irishbreakdown.com 

Stay locked into Irish Breakdown for all the latest news and analysis about Notre Dame: https://www.irishbreakdown.com​

Subscribe to the Irish Breakdown podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/irish-breakdown/id1485286986

Like and follow Irish Breakdown on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/irishbreakdown

Sign up for the FREE Irish Breakdown daily newsletter: https://www.subscribepage.com/irish-breakdown-newsletter

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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So come and get the protection you need while protecting those around you. King Super's, a world of care is in store. Visit kinksoopers.com/vaccines for more restrictions and exclusions apply seaside for details. Jesse, are you ready for rapid fire? Let's bring this thing home. Alright, so here we go. Riley Leonard had 12 carries against Texas A&M last week. Over under 15 carries for him in the next two games combined. I'd have to go under. And I think we kind of talked about this in and out a little bit ago. I think when you're playing teams like this, there's no real reason to run Riley Leonard. I think the reason why he ran against Texas A&M is because he needed to run against Texas A&M. There were times where schematically it just made sense. I mean, I just think love and price can handle the rushing these next few games. And I think that the more you can save up those runs for when you need them for Riley Leonard, the better. So I think you're going to see maybe even more of a conservative effort to get him to run the ball less. I'm going to go under as well. It is curious that like if you look back at his 2022 stats at Duke, if you took any two games back to back, there's only one part of the schedule. That is at the end of the season where he had back-to-back games that it didn't add up to at least 15. He had back-to-back games the last two of the regular season that added up to 14. But I think this is a completely different situation for him now. A much better offensive line, a much better running game, a much better overall skill talent around him. And this game is really the next couple of games, but this one starting with is much more about the passing game and getting that going than it is about him running. Andrew says over because he's going to take off against Purdue. That head coach has a good defensive line. Even if so, I mean, that's probably 10 to 12 runs. I really don't see you. Is he going to run less than three then this week? I do think so. I don't think there's going to be hardly any design runs for him this week. I think it's in his nature, though, that he's going to take off a few times. That's true. I don't know. I've seen nothing from Purdue, though, that convinces me that that head coach is a defensive mastermind. You know, like any of that kind of stuff. He might be, but their best player plays for Texas A&M now. So, you know, on the defensive side of the ball. So, I just, I'm not going to buy into that right now. Now, we'll do obviously deeper dive on Purdue next week and we can talk about that. But for now, I'm saying Purdue. Their name's chances to go unbeaten this season went from 15.8% to 22.4% after the win over Texas A&M. They have the best chance of any team in the nation to go unbeaten. So, scale of one to 10. How confident are you that they will? I'm going to go nine out of 10. I don't think, I mean, I think it's always hard, no matter what, you know, the, you know, schedule or not. But I think what has me leaning more so towards the end of the field is just hearing the way Marcus Freeman is talking and approaching, you know, the team with these games coming up. And I think if he continues that throughout the season and they keep everyone healthy, then I'm at around, you know, eight and a half, nine out of 10. I'm in a nine as well. I think that just the way the schedule shapes up and you hit it with the way Marcus Freeman is approaching these weeks. I don't think that he is going to let this team let up. So, I think that they are going to stay on point and sharp. I think he realizes the opportunity this season, you know. Yeah. Like, it's a massive opportunity to host a playoff. They're not just being the playoff, but host a playoff game to have a chance to win a home playoff game and, you know, to move on in the college football playoff and all that kind of stuff. This is, this is a, it's a, it's a really big chance for him in year three. And again, it goes back to why do you go out and get a guy like Riley Leonard from the transfer portal because I do think that they could, they, they would have at least been in the running for a college football playoff spot. I think that a guy like Stephen Jelly is the quarterback this season, but I don't think that you're, you know, you're, you're winning playoff games and beating these really good teams without a guy. Andrew, if I believed in jinxes, I would agree with what you're saying. You said, cut the undefeated talk. I swear we're jinxing Notre Dame after only one week. I don't believe in announcer jinxes of any kind. So, sorry. Robin Al says we should pick one or two of these and follow up and see if we got them right. We talk about this from time to time, like, but we never do. We always talk about. Oh, we should write these down and see who gets them right. But we never do. So, I am going to bring the sticky notes. I'm convinced. I'm going to order a pad of sticky notes off of Amazon. Okay, you do that prize picks is America's number one daily fantasy sports app with over five million active members prize picks is the easiest and most exciting way to play daily fantasy sports. Unlike other apps on prize picks, it's just you against the numbers. All you do is pick more or less on two to six player stat projections and watch the winnings roll in. Get in on the daily action with your friends and become part of the prize picks community today. You can now win up to a hundred times your money on prize picks with as little as four correct picks. You can turn $10 into $1,000. I'm a Bears fan. 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Notre Dame has plus 430 odds to get a shut out against Northern Illinois. That is actually down from 490 yesterday. What is your max wager on plus 430 to get a shut out against Northern Illinois. My wagers are maybe a little bit higher than most, but I'd be comfortable with like a $25 bet on that. I think I'm 10, you know, like 10 wins you what 43 bucks or something like that. I don't, you know, cause it's so hard to get a shut out. Like you don't believe that Northern Illinois is going to get a touchdown. I think they might get a field goal or two. I don't know. I might have a shut out on the horizon. All you got to do is hit a couple of plays, get into field goal range. Sloppy Joe says a thousand. John says a buck. Quite the difference. I mean, he says the farm, you know, so we've got quite a range right there in the confident in the confidence level. I mean, it's great odds if you're really confident and you've got the cash to throw at it plus 430 would win you something if you throw some big money at it. But 10 I think is my limit on that. Over under 13 and a half points a game that the Notre Dame defense will allow this season. Do you know what they did last season? It was 14 something. Oh, I'm taking the under. I am as well just because of the sky. I think the schedule is more favorable this season. I think they had some tougher opponents last season. I think they have a better offense, which I think tends to a better well rested defense as well. So I'm going to go. I'm going to go under. I think they're going to be challenging to be the top scoring defense in the nation this year. I mean, just look at what they did last week. I'm going to be really curious to see what Texas A&M becomes offensively because after one game, a lot of people want to write off completely write off Connor Wigman and A&M and the whole thing. It's like, well, how good, you know, it's the typical stuff. Well, how good was that A&M defense or, you know, had that A&M offense though. I mean, look statistically at Connor Wigman. He's had some solid numbers, but I just didn't think that he was going to fair that well against Al Golden's defense. And he didn't. And if he's not going to, that's a five star guy at a high school. I don't see. I see maybe one other quarterback on the entire schedule, fairing that well against Al Golden in Notre Dame this season. So I'm going to go under as well. I think they're going to be, like I said, I think they're going to challenge to be the top scoring defense in the nation this season. This is interesting. D. Rock Irish says from on three NIL Notre Dame quarterback Riley Leonard was set to sign with Dick's Sporting Goods. Instead, he's bringing his entire offensive line to the appearance on Friday and giving the NIL dollars to his teammates. That's pretty cool. Didn't know that. Nice. Very nice. I mean, he's already got at least a couple pretty nice NIL deals set up. So, but that's, I mean, hey, it's, it's the equivalent, I guess, of, of buying the offensive line Rolexes or cars or whatever. After you win an MVP or the Super Bowl or, or whatever, the quarterback's got to take care of his offensive line. That's the way to go, man. That's the way to go. That's what a leader does, right? So on the Pat McAfee show the other day, they got into a mini debate over whether Notre Dame or Iowa should be considered tight end you. And Gillis said he would like us to refer to them as tight end university a little bit more. They're not though. Who is? Iowa is period. Go ahead. He said, not short list of them off. He goes list them off. They have a three for Sano, you know, Kyle Rudolph. I mean, I was got I've heard, and then I guess there's a guy now that they got some Mitch Evans. Mitch Evans got hurt last year. He goes best time in the country, dude. Last year, getting hurt. Everybody forgets you. Are we talking about guys being good in college? Or are we talking about guys who want to be like all pros in the NFL? Cause I think that's, you know, they're developed at the college level. So saying we're taking a direct shot at Iowa. Sounds like it. Okay. All right. Anyways, Notre Dame. Hide any in a verse. So that was McAfee and one of his co-host producer type guys. They're kind of going back and forth about that. So my question, Jess, should that distinction, if you're going to call it tight end you or offensive line you or quarterback you, whatever it happens to be. Should that be decided by how good they are when they're in college or how good they are when that, you know, once they get to the NFL? Um, this is a tough question because I think both like it's really comparable to me. Um, cause I think Notre Dame had a better run there for a little bit between, you know, like Rudolph Carlson Tyler Eiffer, Troy Nicholas, you know, and now, you know, Michael Mayor of recent, but then, you know, recent Iowa has co-combat and Iowa's had a more recent George Kittle, TJ Hockinson, Noah Fant, Sam Laporta, right? Like, they each have had these kind of runs. I don't know. It's hard to say because, you know, being a good tight end in the NFL can also depend on where you land, right? Like, so I think that also plays a part in it. I don't know. I don't know. Like, I don't know which one is more important because I think, I think if you're going to call them tight, you know, like tight it, like I said, whatever position group it happens to be. It's about how well the school produces the talent to get to the NFL. Once they get to the NFL, that's a different thing. You know, like what they go on to be in the NFL. I think it should be about how the, you know, how the college, how the university, you know, recruits, develops and produces these guys and becomes the pipeline to get them to the NFL. I think that that is the most important thing. Like the volume numbers that you're sending guys to the NFL at these positions. I think that's more important because, you know, like, who knew George Kittle when he was in college? Anybody knows. I like this wrong point. He was in college. I like this argument because it, again, it's called tight end you. So university, right? The university is responsible for cranking out, you know, recruiting, developing and getting these guys to the NFL. What they do at the NFL is, you know, kind of on them and the team at that point. So I would have to agree. I think it's more about the college, getting them drafted and getting them to the NFL. And if that's the case, I believe Notre Dame is tight end you over Iowa. Yeah, I do too. I do too. Like, you know, again, like, Laporta and Kittle, two big stars. But okay, that's still just a couple of guys. You mentioned Hockinson. I think that if you look at the last 20 years and look at the consistency that Notre Dame has sent these tight ends to the NFL. Like, Tyler Eiffer didn't have injuries. He'd probably still be one of the best tight ends in pro football right now. But instead, unfortunately, his career is over because of, you know, the injuries. I mean, there's still Alizay Mack, Tommy Trimble, Durham Smythe, like, Ben Coiac, all over the NFL. These, I remember, I literally think I counted one year Notre Dame had, like, at least six guys, six tight ends and the NFL at one point, you know, like, and I don't think you could say the same about Iowa. I don't, I think Notre Dame had a better, a stronger period than what Iowa did. Yep, Sammy says, was it Fosano that spent a decade or so with the dolphins? It was. He was drafted by the Cowboys played for Parcels for a couple of years there and then played for a long time with the Miami Dolphins after that. Andrew says have the Raiders given up on mayor already bizarre they pick Bowers. No, they're actually, when what I saw there, they're basically just going to go to a lot of 12 personnel. Yes, they're both they're going to use both of them. So, it was strategic to draft both of them. Yeah, they have not given up on them by any stretch. So, you know, I think Bowers is probably still going to be the receiving, you know, more of the receiving tight end, but they're going to play mayor out there as well. So, Peter Shracker from the NFL network has picked the last three Super Bowl matchups and winners this morning he picked the Packers to face the Chiefs with Green Bay going in as the wildcard to win the NFC and the Chiefs pulling off the historic Three Pete by winning it all into Orleans. You're buying or selling that. I mean, I got to buy it if he's two for two. What is there to three for three for three. Yeah, I mean, if he's three if he's three for three who's like, I should probably place my bet right now because there's a good chance that you get good odds if you pick the exact Super Bowl matchup, right? So light it. The Irish Breakdown listeners, it's Urban Meyer. This fall, the game changes. Join me. Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram and broadcaster Rob Stone as we bring you a new perspective on football and culture every week. We will be joined by the biggest name in sports and talk about everything inside and outside of the lines. Let us guide you through a new era of college football. A triple option on YouTube or listen on Apple podcast, Spotify or wherever you get podcasts. Your sneezes have me sneezing now. No, but I mean, seriously, like if you, if a guy is back in three for three on something like this, why would I disagree and not, you know, basically say he's going to go four for four, but as soon as I bet on it, then it's probably not going to happen anymore. So it's pretty hard to pick against it, but at the same time, I just, I feel like a lot of people have really bought in on the Green Bay Packers and all they've really shown us is one playoff win, you know, one season with with Jordan Love. I don't have a true wide receiver. I'm not completely bought in on their defense being a Lee. I, I like, I think my serial predictions since we're on the eve here of NFL starting. I like the lines in the Chiefs. I think that's more of my matchup than than the Chiefs and that's what I would pick as well because like on the other side, the Chiefs. As, as much as they have dominated and the way the Chiefs got to the Super Bowl and then won it last year, I think it's very hard to pick against my homes until somebody knocks them off the pedestal. I don't think the Chiefs defense will be as good, but I think their offense will be better this year. I think the Xavier worthy is going to grow into a Tyreek Hill type role offensively. Father David likes the Lions and the Bengals. Not sure about Joe burrow and the health. Like he just hasn't been the same for the last couple years. You're a big Joe Burrow guy. What happened? The injuries? He hasn't been healthy. Yeah, I like Joe burrow too. So Tom Brady makes his NFL broadcasting debut this weekend when the NFL starts. There's a lot of talk about whether or not Brady is going to be critical enough. Since he's played with and against a majority of the current players. So my question is, is that the number one thing that you need from an analyst for him to be critical of the players? Or is there anything else that you think is more important? I think that first of all, there's going to Tom Brady will be critical. I think he's done. I've seen a lot of things. I think he'll be too critical. Yeah, I think that he's been, you know, on a lot of shows. I've seen him on a lot of clips where he's just talking about the current state of football, right? And how he kind of disagrees with certain things and how, you know, a lot of quarterbacks are lazy and they, you know, they lead their receivers into bad situations and, you know, like that quarterback. They dumb down the NFL, right? Because they want these quarterbacks to play year one rather than learn the system and all that stuff. So, yeah, I think he have anything he'd be over over critical. But to me, the number one thing as a, you know, listening to the game, just be authentic, you know, be authentic to the moment be authentic to the to yourself to the situation. Like, I don't like anything that feels forced. I don't like the, you know, the over, the overdoing it or, you know, to me, and I don't think this will happen with Brady. But I've told you before, my number one pet peeve is the Homer type stuff or like the bias type stuff. Like, I don't want to see a guy who's like, you know, basically kind of clearly, you know, rooting for maybe one side or the other, just be as authentic and on that middle line as much as possible. If you give praise to one team, give praise to another team. So, you can't find, you know, a lot of bright spots and maybe a, you know, a new England and Chiefs matchup, right? Because one team's probably going to blow out the other, but just find ways to highlight both teams and be as authentic as possible. And my thing, like being critical of the players is not what I want. Like, the, I think the first job of the analyst is to, as concisely and as accurately as possible, boil down the play that just happened like why the play did or didn't work as concisely and accurately as possible. And now in that there, there's probably going to be some, you know, critique that comes with it. But tell me why the play did or didn't work. I mean, I think play in and play out. That's the number one thing that you're looking for, why it did or didn't work. You know, just do it. Like I said, as concisely as you can. That's the big thing. Andrew says Troy Eichmann strikes a good balance. I agree with that, though he has been more critical in recent years he's become angry Troy, sometimes. I think he just gets disgusted. Kind of what you were talking about. He just gets disgusted with bad quarterback play. And I think that you're probably going to see some of that from Tom Brady as well as, as an elite level as he played at. That you're going to see, you know, Tom Tom Brady at times maybe just want to throw his hands up in the air and go what the heck is going on here. But I think he's going to be really good with his ability to diagnose and tell you, you know, why things are or are not working well. And that's going to do it for tonight. Jess, we're going to wrap it up with that this evening. We've got Countdown to Kickoff. I be Countdown to Kickoff coming your way tomorrow night. The video and the podcast will drop tomorrow evening. It's going to be quicker than it did last week if we can keep Vincent check and, you know, not make us go back and, you know, have to do extra work on the show after the fact. So, tomorrow night. Look for it. Appreciate you being here. Great show. Great questions rather on the we in and we out from the new champions lounge. Remember, that's where you can submit them each and every week and we bring them right here. Thank you very much for the reminder. Joe and rabbit Nile Chihuahua hit that like button before you leave. We appreciate it. As always, we will talk to you. Memorex tomorrow. I be Countdown to Kickoff. Of course, have the post game show this weekend and Ivy Nation Sports Talk Backlight in full Monday. We will talk to you then. Have a great weekend. Ivy Nation Sports Talk. Boom. ♪♪ ♪♪ ♪♪ ♪♪ ♪♪ (bell dings)