Gorilla Sports
Gorilla Sports podcast Ep-179
[Music] Hey guys, welcome in to the Gorilla Sports Podcast. I'm your host Alex Blopin. It is Wednesday, September the 12th. All right, we had two baseball plays yesterday. We had three batters correct, one wrong, which means we split the books again. That's three splits in a row, not liking this. We need to book some profit here. We took Shohei Otani and we paired it with Gunnar Henderson. That was a winner. And then we took Raphael Deverz, who was actually the biggest minus on the day. He was minus 350. And we paired it with Brett Rooker. Rooker came through. Deverz didn't even got a shot in overtime and he didn't come through that in either brutal. Just ground out after ground out for Deverz. So not a good look. We should have swept the books yesterday. Instead, we split. All right, it's Thursday. So it means it's Thursday night football. Now, if you caught us last night, we had a live Twitter spaces, buddy Jeremy. And we broke down a bunch of the games coming up for this weekend. We broke down this game as well. I'll put that into podcast form a little later today, so you'll be able to hear that one. But let's get into some of the plays we were talking about in some of the plays I like today. Now, I'm going to take Jalen Waddle over 63 and a half receiving yards. Now, he absolutely destroyed this last week. You had five for 109. Now, Buffalo's game plan when it comes to playing Miami and Tyree kill, especially, is to just double triple and blanket him. And it's actually worked in seven regular season games for a Tyree kill versus Buffalo. He's never gone over 82 yards. Now, I don't have the stones to take his under because Tyree kill could take one to the house on any play at any time. So, I don't have it in me to take it under, but while they have all of their attention on Tyree kill, Jalen Waddle should be wide open to get us over 63 and a half receiving yards. So, that's one of the major reasons I like Waddle today. And on the other side, we're going to take Kian Coleman, the rookie in Buffalo. Now, we want him over 42 and a half receiving yards. Now, this is a high scoring total, so they're going to have to pass. They're going to have to throw around. Buffalo doesn't have a receiving room. They have this rookie, and he's now just kind of taking the reins. Now, he got 51 yards last week. So, he sailed over this number, and that was in his very first game. And in his first game, he led the bills in snaps, routes, targets, catches, and yards. So, for a rookie doing this on his first game, I like him getting over 42 and a half. These numbers are just going to keep going up and up for him. I can start seeing him in the 50s and 60s coming soon. So, getting him at 42 and a half. I love this at a discount. Now, I like Buffalo in this game, but at the two and a half price, it's kind of washy for me. So, what I'm going to do is I'm going to take Buffalo in a teaser, where essentially you take two teams and you add six points to their total, and when you pair the two together, it's kind of similar how we do our batter parlays, where you're going to get them in a minus 120 for the two of these teams to cover. So, we're going to take Buffalo from the plus two and a half. We're going to take him in a plus eight and a half. Now, Josh Allen is six and oh on Thursday night football. He just absolutely shines under the bright lights. And two is one in six versus the bills. He's got a 77.4 QB rating, which is not good. He's got six touchdowns versus seven interceptions. They figure out a way to bottle up Tyree Kill. So, that's all a game plan for Buffalo. And if we're in Buffalo plus eight and a half, I like that look. And we're going to pair with the Rams on Sunday. Now, the Rams played a really good game against Detroit. They took a Super Bowl contending team to overtime. They almost could have and should have won that one. But one of the biggest flaws about the Rams team is their offensive line. But Arizona can't exploit that offensive line because they have the one of the worst defensive lines for pressure rate in the entire league. They had a 3.9% pressure rate versus Buffalo last week, which is like unheard of like that is one of the worst numbers I've ever heard. So honestly, I think both of these teams could win outright. But when we take Rams from their plus one and a half and we take them up to plus seven and a half. And then we take Buffalo and we get them at plus eight and a half. I really like these two teams together. So that's one of the teasers I'm going to be playing this week. And then we got the two two player props as well. And I've got one kind of off the rails, a batter parlay that I like today. I only have one, but I love the odds of this. And it's two guys that have absolutely cooked their pitcher today. So we're going to take Rob Refsnider of the Boston Red Sox. Now this guy is just like he crushes left handed pitching now. He honestly almost doesn't play unless there's a lefty pitching that boss does a deep enough team that they don't really need to play all of their best guys all the time. So this guy literally only comes into play versus left handed pitching. He backs 304 versus lefties. He's seven for 13, that 538 versus left handed pitching Nestor Cortez. And he's actually two for three back in July with a double and a single versus him. So that's a beautiful look. And we're going to pair him with Ellie Dilla Cruz of the Cincinnati Reds. And he's going versus Sonny Gray today. But he's four for six versus Sonny Gray this year. Actually, the only time he's faced him is this year. But he's got two doubles, a homer and a triple versus him. So that is just the almost hit the cycle versus this guy this year. And when you pair these two guys together, you get a plus 132. So that is a beautiful number. I love that price. So we got one batter parlay. We got one teaser and we got two player props. And if you're rocking with me, let's roll.