FiredUp Network
Saturday, September 20: Ian Cameron's Football Frenzy - CFL Week 16
(upbeat music) - Welcome to another edition of Ian Cameron's Football Frenzy. It is CFL Week 16 for this edition of the show. Ian Cameron with you. Back to four games and a full schedule this week in the CFL with just one team on Buy Week and that is the BC Lions. And they need the Buy Week after the way they played last week against the Toronto Argonauts, but a four game schedule this week once again in Week 16 as we continue along. It's been a very good profitable overall CFL season. Bit of an up and down week last week. We had a few winners, few losers. Pretty much even for the week, but still overall for the season. And for the last month it's been a phenomenal stretch for me in the CFL. We're three units of profit on the season overall, which is good, that's 3,000. If you equate it to the dollar amount that I bet. So very, very solid season profitable overall and we'll look to keep it going this week. Before we get into the four games this week, I do wanna bring up some promotional stuff. We're gonna start with Dub Club. That is the only place where you can subscribe and get every bet that I make in every sport, every single day. And that is the place, so bet. I also wanna point out in regards to so bet that right now we have a couple of discount offers. For the celebration of the new NFL season, one month all sports is discounted to $50 from the regular price of $75. Again, this particular subscription discount, one month all sports, $75 discounted to $50. That's $25 off. It's only in effect until the end of September. All right, so if you wanna try out one month in all sports for just $50, now is the time to do it. And again, that offer exists until the end of the month. Currently three months all sports, $200 the same regular price, six months all sports, $400 the regular price. But starting today, one year all sports at Dub Club, which right now would be a September to September subscription, September 2024 to September 2025. So basically you're getting a full calendar year, an entire NHL season, an entire NBA and college basketball season, the rest of NFL, college football and CFL plus MLB, NBA and college basketball full season, you are getting all of it. Coming up one year all sports, $600, that is a $150 off price. The regular price is $750. And again, with NHL training camps opening, I decided we're gonna do a one year all sports subscription, especially because I get a lot of people every year that sign up and subscribe with me just for hockey. Even though I think you should be subscribed to all the sports, but I know hockey is one of my strengths, it's one of my strongest sports, it's what a lot of people know me for and I'm famous for because of the ice guys show of course. And that's why they choose, especially when hockey season starts to pick that time to sign up and subscribe. So with the NHL season around the corner, I decided let's reduce the one year all sports subscription from $750 down to $600, $150 off the regular price. And this discount offer is in effect from now until the opening night, the North American opening night of the NHL season on October the 8th. So again, make sure you sign up, you subscribe. Again, until opening night, October the 8th, this discount is in effect. It's one of the best deals you'll get because it's one full year all sports, every bet, sides, totals, player props. And as far as hockey goes, that's the sport I bet the most player props, 100%. Football's a close second, but hockey is probably number one when it comes to player props, as well as the success rate I have with player props. So you get much more than just, you get your bang for your buck and then some is what I'm trying to say. If you subscribe to this option, one year all sports, $600, the link with the coupon code for that is at the bottom there, or you could click on the link that I posted on Twitter, X at Bobano-Bets for the one year all sports discount, $750 down to $600 for one year all sports now through October 8th, the opening night of the NHL season. Again, over nine units of profit, NFL and college football, last year and this year combined, 18 units of profit, $18,000 profit in the NHL, the last two seasons combined. I will say the majority of that profit was two years ago where I was up over 16 units. Last year I was only 1.8 units, but it was profitable, a winning season, which is always the goal. And in the last two seasons combined, 18 units of profit in the NHL, the last two seasons combined. So again, one year all sports, $600, down from the 750 regular price and that offer is in effect now through to October 8th, the North American opening night of the NHL season. Make sure you get on board with that. If you're looking for a low volume, best bets only approach, then so bet is the option for you. You can sign up now, it's so bet, there's the link on the screen, it's also on my Twitter, X account, $9.95 per month for best bets only. So at Dub Club, you get every single wager. At so bet, you only get the best bets. I isolate the card down to just a handful of my best bets each day in all sports. And the current run at so bet is solid. 94 and 79, 54%, 4.8% return on investment and plus 1.6 units of profit with best bets, all sports last 30 days at so bet. And again, it's just a long-term approach, long-term profits and trying to give you the best of the best wagers on the betting board in all sports every single day. So that's $9.95 per month for that at so bet. Make sure you check that out. And last but not least, we do want to mention, of course, the crypto sports book that I have been using and I want to implore how much I think you want to be able to use that. It is a bit wallet. I've been impressed with bit wallet. It is a great sports book. For those of you that have access to cryptocurrency, bit wallet dot bet, the affiliate link is there on the screen, bit wallet dot bet slash affiliate slash Ian. Make sure you punch in that link, sign up for a brand new bit wallet account. And if you do that, you will be eligible for a 50% deposit bonus on each of your first three deposits at bit wallet dot bet. Live casino dealers for casino games, same game parlay live betting, tons of live wagering options to great live betting book, all the major pregame options in all sports. If you have crypto at your disposal, put some of it into bit wallet dot bet. You won't be disappointed. It's a great crypto sports book and casino, bit wallet dot bet. Again, click the link, sign up for an account at bit wallet dot bet slash affiliate slash Ian and you'll be eligible for a 50% deposit bonus on each of your first three crypto deposits at bit wallet. All right, let's get into the CFL week 16. We begin of course with the team that's on a buy week, the BC Lions and look, that was definitely a good performance by Toronto. We don't want to take everything away from them. They're taking anything away from them. Chad Kelly, much better, no interceptions. I think was the best part of his game against BC where he has been a turnover machine lately. He was, ball security was there for him. He didn't make any mistakes, didn't throw any interceptions. He ran with the football when he was able to. And the defense, excuse me, and the defense stepped up for the Toronto Argonauts. No question, Nathan Rourke had a bad first half. The offensive line was awful. That's probably the worst the BC offensive line has played in weeks. They couldn't open up holes for the run game. Couldn't protect Nathan Rourke. I was very puzzled by the decision by Rick Campbell to change the quarterbacks at halftime and go to Vernon Adams Jr. Even though I could, you know, you want to get Vernon Adams in at some point, but it was just a weird time, I think, for him to do that. And it wasn't any better with Vernon Adams. And it's not all Vernon's fault, just like it wasn't all Nathan Rourke's fault. That offensive line just wasn't very good at all against Toronto. There was no ability to find open receivers down the field because the past protection was not holding up whatsoever for the Lions. They didn't establish William Stan back at all on the ground. And then, of course, when they got behind in the second half, they had to be one-dimensional and throw the football and the Toronto Argonauts were ready for that. Bottom line is Toronto outplayed them and kick their ass. And they played well, but that was to me as well. A big part of it to me was BC starting to roll along again. They had a couple of really good performances in a row, a massive win on the road against the defending Grey Cup champion, Montreal Alawats, before last week. And they were flat as a pancake. I think that was a big part of it too. You just did not see any energy, any zest in the performance from the BC Lions. They were just listless, flat, lethargic, right from the opening kickoff last week against the Toronto Argos. And they paid the price for it. Not a good way to go into their by-week 33-17, dampening what had been a pretty solid run for BC, the last few games. And it's a costly loss. That's why it's not-- sometimes you pay the price when you're not prepared to play. And they were not prepared to play last week against Toronto because now they relinquish that tie for first place in the West Division with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Winnipeg goes a half a game ahead of BC. BC falls to second in the division. And keep in mind too, with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and the BC Lions, as far as the tiebreaker goes, I'm pretty sure BC has lost the season series as well against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Let me just a double check on that. Yeah, I mean, they're 1 and 2 against the Bombers this year. So that's the problem here for BC. If you end up tied with Winnipeg at the end of the regular season, you're going to end up in a situation where you're not going to get the spot ahead of Winnipeg because they win the tiebreaker. So that's the disappointing part based on Winnipeg going 2 and 1 against BC in the season series. So when you look at it, it's a costly loss for BC. Very interesting to see how they come out of that loss next week when they take the field once again, follow in the bye week. I believe they play Calgary after the bye week. Let me just make sure I've got that right BC as far as who they play next. Yes, Calgary at home after the bye week next week for the BC Lions. So we'll see if they are able to bounce back there in that game following a disappointing effort coming out of the bot or going into their bye week, I should say, against the Toronto Argonauts and a great segue. It's our first game for CFL week 16 on Friday night is the Toronto Argonauts facing my Hamilton Tiger Cats, the Battle of the QEW, re-ignited and on for the final time this season, final regular season meeting between these two teams. The tiecats 2 and 0 against the Argos straight up and against the spread, although both of those games were at Tim Hortons Field in the Donut Box. This time for the first time this year, these teams play each other at BMO Field in Toronto. We got the Argos 6 and 1/2 point home favorites, 53 and 1/2 the total in this game. Toronto needed a win in the worst way against BC and they got it. It's been a rough stretch for the Toronto Argos. Bad losses to Ottawa and Hamilton prior to bouncing back against the BC Lions. And look, Chad Kelly mitigated the mistakes, mitigated the turnovers. That was huge for them going into that BC game. And he did that. He played an efficient game, moved the football, punched it in for touchdowns. And this time around, he avoided the mistakes. So I think when you look at the situation here for the Toronto Argonauts, they needed that win. They got it. Although I will say this again about Toronto, I thought part of that last week was BC being flat, not playing a very good football game, not being at their best, but you do have to give the Argos credit for that. Now they return home where they have a much better home record than they do on the road. That was only the second road win too of the season for the BC Lions. Now they're back home. They're five and one straight up at home. Although there is something you want to point out too about this home record, there's, you know, two of the last three wins were nail biters. They won by a single point against Saskatchewan. They only won by two points against Winnipeg. The one game they won by margin at home was Calgary, 39-25. But even though they have that five and one straight up record, you know, you're laying six and a half here. You got to win by margin. You got to win by a touchdown or more if you're going to cover this number here against the Hamilton Tycats. Tough to step in front of the Tycats right now. Three and oh against the spread since. And I think this is the key link to why Hamilton's been a little bit better the last three weeks. The defense has been better. They're not a great defense yet. They probably never will be at least not this season. But they're stepping up. They're getting off the field in key moments of the game on second down, getting two stops on that side of the ball. And more importantly, for more than half the season, Hamilton was a team that was coughing up the football, turning it over left and right, and not forcing any turnovers. Now it's kind of gone the other way. They're not committing as many turnovers themselves. And they're forcing a ton. This has become a ball-hocking. Take the ball away, defense the last few weeks. And you have to give Chris Jones, the new defensive coordinator, a decent amount of credit for that because this is the kind of shit we were not seeing from the Tycat defense early in the season. Now the question's gonna be, can they keep that going? Bolivai Mitchell has had two very good games in the passing game in a row for the Hamilton Tycats against Ottawa last week, 20 of 27, very efficient, almost 300 yards, two touchdowns. Did have one interception. I don't think it was totally his fault though. And then the game before that against the Argos, he was spotless, 20 of 30, 3 47 through the air, two touchdowns, no interceptions. So it's been a good two weeks for Bo. It's been a good two weeks for the offense. I've been impressed with Greg Bell at the running back spot. Stephen Dunbar Jr., Shomar Bridges, Ke'Andre Smith, Tim White. They've all been good in the passing game. There are some injuries of note for Hamilton going into this game. Jonathan Moxie is a hamstring injury for him. Travon Mason on the D line is not practiced this week. It looks like Casey Sales abdominal injury on the defensive line. He may not play, he hasn't practiced yet this week. Either. And I just talked about how good Greg Bell has been. Well, he's got an Achilles issue. He practiced Monday. He did not practice yesterday. And so they say his status is now more up in the air, but you do have James Butler waiting in the wings. And he would be the running back here for the Tycats. Obviously, if Greg Bell doesn't play, this is an interesting game because I, first of all, at this number, it's Alinda Hamilton for me, but I'm not bullish on it. I'm not bullish on it. The Argos got right last week against BC. They are back home. They've won five of six home games. They've know they've lost two straight already to Hamilton this year. They know they want to stop the bleeding here. And another thing too is if they lose this game and fall to seven and seven, suddenly Hamilton's five and nine and knocking on the door of maybe still catching the Argos, especially when you factor in, they will have swept. Well, they've already won the season series. They already hold the tiebreaker over the Argos. But if they go 3-0 against Toronto this year, they're all of a sudden, it's not without the realm, it's within the realm of possibility, all of a sudden that the Tycats could track down the Argos with still several games left in the regular season. So this is a huge game to really put some distance, again, between themselves and the Tycats for this Toronto team, a team they haven't beaten yet this year, and they'll be motivated the Argos certainly to do that. So we'll see how it goes here. Another concerning thing for me is the last few times Hamilton's gone to Toronto, it's not been pretty. You go back to August, 2022. Hamilton's played here at BMO four times. Toronto four and O straight up, four and O against the spread, 34, 20, 37, 20, 32, 14, 29, 14. They're all double digit wins. To me, Hamilton, I don't go against teams that are on a points spread streak, and we'll get to that with Edmonton in just a bit who are on one themselves. But I'm not running the back Hamill in this spot. So right now for me, this is a game I have very little opinion, very little strong opinion on. There is a seven at DraftKings. I mean, I might sprinkle on Hamill in small plus seven, but I don't feel as good about it as I've felt the last few games with the Tycats. I mean, I could only play over in this game. Chad Kelly in the Argo's offense is really good. Hamilton's offense is clicking. The defense is better, but it's not better to the point where all of a sudden they're shutting teams down. No, they're still giving up points, Hamilton. But they've been taking the ball away, and that's been different. And that's a key to the over, too. The over is going to be benefit. The over is going to benefit in this game from Hamilton getting those takeaways, because it's going to set up the offense in good field position more often than not. So that's good news for the over. So I lean Tycats, I lean over. Do I like either one? Do I love either one? I should say no. That would be the answer here in this game. All right, next up, Saskatchewan and Calgary. We have the Saskatchewan Rough Riders, two and a half point road favorites. 51, the total in this game on Friday night, Friday night, football night. So if you remember what I said last week about Saskatchewan on their bye week, I said there is going to be no better opportunity for the Saskatchewan Rough Riders to end this dreadful 0, 6, and 1 streak in their last seven games, six losses, and one Ty winless in their last seven games. There's going to be no better time to snap it than this spot here, out of a bye week against a bottom feeder. And they are still a bottom feeder, bottom tier team in the league right now, in my opinion, Calgary. I know they put up a fight against Montreal. The mighty Great Cup champs last week, it was 1919. That was more Montreal stunk. And Montreal was like BC, flat, listless. Just not playing inspired football, going through the motions. And Calgary kind of took advantage of that a little bit, and yet they still couldn't win the game. And at the time when they needed to put up points and win that football game, Jake Mayer couldn't do it. Now, he played a lot better. He did. Let's give him credit for that. 29 to 37, 236 through the air. But all of a sudden, this Montreal defense hasn't been as good the last couple of weeks. Like I said, I don't think Montreal was focused on that game like they should have been taking the road to play Calgary. Calgary, you know, and I said this last week too, and that's why I stayed off that game entirely from a side perspective. I said there's going to be money to be made betting against Montreal, because they're kind of coasting down the stretch. They know they're probably going to win the East Division, although that's contingent upon them, probably putting the dagger through the hearts of Ottawa when they play the Red Blacks this weekend, because I think if Montreal beats Ottawa this weekend, that's pretty much it for the division. That will wrap it up for them pretty much. But they still should win the division. You see elements of this team coasting, the bottom line. They barely beat Edmonton. They had a bad start. They get blown out at home by BC. They go through the motions last week against a struggling Calgary Stampeders team. Bottom line is that's exactly why I didn't want to lay the 5 and 1/2-6 with Montreal last week. But I didn't want any part of Calgary either. But if you did take Calgary, you did trust them. They got to you the money last week. But now they're in a spot where they got to almost win the game, because they're only getting two and 1/2, two points here in this game against Saskatchewan. I still think Saskatchewan is the better football team. Maybe it was smoke and mirrors the beginning of the season with the way this team played, because they played a struggling Winnipeg team at the time. They had some wins against Edmonton. Some wins against Hamilton when Hamilton wasn't-- I get all that. So maybe they feasted on playing the right team at the right time. But I think they're so much better than what they've-- their record is not indicative of them as a football team. And when you look at their recent losses-- I mean, they've been right there. I said this last week about Saskatchewan. They've been right there in every single game. A play here and a play there in many of these games. And instead of 5 and 7, 5, 7, and 1, we're talking 7, 5, and 1. And a totally different outlook on the season for Saskatchewan. Hell, they'd be leading the fucking West Division right now. They were 7, 5, and 1. All that was required for Saskatchewan was some of these games to break right for them. A play here and a play there. I think there's a better football team than their record indicates. Let's look at these losses. Four-point loss at Montreal could have won that game. Probably should have won it, because they had a lead. And Davis Alexander rescued them. 42-31, that was against Trey Ford. And we know what an incredible quarterback he might be in this league. And they had to face him making his first start. And Alex rallied around that big time. The Ottawa game, 22-22, it was there for the taking. 27-24 home loss against Montreal. I thought they were better than Montreal in that game. They outgained them. Harris, Trevor Harris at a very good game. Brett Lawther missed a bunch of field goals. One of them was returned for a touchdown. That was the difference. Brett Lawther's horrible night kicking the football, cost Saskatchewan dearly in that game. They probably should have beat Montreal at home in that game. One-point loss at Toronto, winnable game. They lose on a last second rouge. The Winnipeg game at home, 35-33. Play here and a play there. They win that game instead of lose it. Same thing with the rematch and the banjo bowl before their bi-week. It went 26-21, a play here and a play there. They win that game. If there's a game where they're finally going to make that one play instead of not make it to win a football game, it's against this lowly Calgary team. So I like Saskatchewan. Anything less than a field goal, it's riders are nothing for me. I still don't want anything to do with Calgary. I don't think they're that good. I think that Corey May-- I actually like what's happened in Saskatchewan leading up to this game with Corey May stopping practice yesterday, getting mad, sending them into the locker room for a little tirade, then bringing them back out there to finish practice. They have the look of a focused, angry, intense football team coming out of their bi-week, looking to stop the bleeding, get off the schnide, get back in the win column, and they got the ideal opponent, in my opinion, to accomplish that. So I like Saskatchewan, nevertheless. This is the weekend, I think. It better be the week. It has to be the week, and it better be the week. That's all I'm going to say, because after this, you got Ottawa at home, no gimme, Ad Edmonton, a totally resurgent Elks team, and you already lost to them once, and then you got BC at home. None of those games are easy. And no one's Saskatchewan in how they play close games. This probably won't be easy for them either, but this is still a Calgary team. They don't do it for me. It's as simple as that. I think their defense is awful. It was better last week against Montreal, but I got to see that again. It was a horrible defense. Couldn't stop a nosebleed for weeks prior to that Montreal game. Don't trust Jake Mayer in a close game in a big spot, and he showed it again last week against Montreal. This is Saskatchewan's chance to show that, hey, we should have won some of these recent games that we lost, and just barely came up short. So I like the riders here, laying less than a field goal on the road. Total, I'm neutral on. 51-- I'll say this, though. Saskatchewan's second halfs have been money to the over-- money in the bank. Saskatchewan's been a huge second half over team. I could see this game actually starting off slowly, and then bet it live at halftime. And that might be the approach I take, as far as the total here in this game with the Rough Riders and the Stampeders heading into it. All right, next up, as we continue along here, we've got Saturday's action, two games on Saturday. This is your CTV, National TV game, exclusive to CTV, Montreal, Ottawa, top two teams in the East Division, squaring off, Montreal, two and a half point road favorites, 49 and a half, 50 the total here in this game. You look at this match up here. Montreal-- they haven't been very good the last couple weeks. I'll flat out. They've been kind of going-- like I said, going through the motions, not looking like they play-- capable of playing four great quarters of football right now. That would be the concern for me. However, if there's one game that gets Montreal all stirred up to play a strong, complete four quarters of football, this could be it, because they know, especially after a frustrating bad loss against BC got blown out at home, frustrating tie last week against Calgary, they know still that they control their own destiny as far as the East Division goes. And if they win this game, they pretty much put the division to bet. You can pretty much, without making it 100% official, you can pretty much say Montreal are your East Division champions if they win this game. Because Ottawa, I think at that point, will not be able to catch them. They will have lost the season series to Montreal, because they already lost in Montreal early in the season. So if Ottawa loses this game, too, they lose the head-to-head series and the tie-breaker to the Alowettes as well. So Montreal can essentially become the East Division champions with a win here. So you've got to think this game has their attention, and this Ottawa Red Blacks team has their attention here after two lethargic performances the last two games. That being said, BC, or Ottawa rather, is coming off just a dreadful game against my tie-cats. Dreadful on defense, couldn't stop Bolivai Mitchell in the passing game, couldn't stop the run either. 37-21, and you talk about impact injuries, and you always have to look at the injury report. Darius Pickett is an impact injury. Season over Achilles' injury. One of the glue guys and one of the stalwarts on that Red Blacks defense. You want to know why the Red Blacks have improved on the defensive side of the football this season? Darius Pickett's been a big part of it, and now you're not going to have him on the football field, the rest of this. That's a huge loss on defense for the Ottawa Red Blacks moving forward. So it'll be fascinating to see how they perform without him, because that is definitely a hole in their defense that they're going to feel. Cody Fajardo, what's happened to him? I think he's been lackluster the last two weeks. Last week, the numbers aren't terrible. They're just underwhelming. Only 204 passing yards, 19 of 26. That was concerning. Look, for Montreal too, another thing you want to throw in there, there's a couple of fumbles. That didn't help their cause either in that game, but their defense, uncharacteristically, against a very weak quarterback, weak offense, didn't look great, and that's two weeks in a row. Noel Thorpe's defense has been kind of chewed up and spit out by the opponent, the BC game last week, and even Calgary was moving the football pretty well against them for most of that game. So we'll see if Montreal can step things up on defense. You know, you look at the Ottawa offense, and it wasn't the best game for Drew Brown. We'll see if he, and look, Drew Brown actually got replaced by Jeremiah Masoli at the end of the Hamilton game. I don't think there's a controversy. I think Drew Brown's still the guy. I think they just figured, you know what, we were down big. We weren't gonna come back. Let's give Drew Brown a rest, put Jeremiah in there to finish the game. At this number, I'll be honest, I'm neutral on the side. I feel like this is Montreal's spot to step up and win and put the division to bed. They're only laying less than a field goal. I think I can see them winning it, but I'm not going against Ottawa at home, period. I'm not. I'm not. 6-0-1 straight up here at TD Place at home this year, Ottawa, they've been a phenomenal home team. You know this game for them. If they have any inkling of catching Montreal for first in the division, they have to have this game. They have to win it. They've been great at home. They've played their best football all year at home. The Ottawa Red Blacks. And Montreal is not playing. Montreal is not playing now like they did in June or early July or even early August. They're not playing that way right now. And so, if Ottawa bounces back, corrects the mistakes of last week, and there were plenty of mistakes for Ottawa in that game. They lost a couple of fumbles. Drew Brown threw an interception. Massoli threw two. It was a turnovers galore. Three interceptions from the two quarterbacks and two lost fumbles. Five times they put the ball on the ground. Or five times they turned it over against Hamilton. You're going to have a difficult time winning any football games that way. But I think they'll play a lot better here and they've been great at home. So, if he made me choose, I'd take Ottawa, but it would be just a lukewarm opinion there. I think I would play over in this game. I look at Ottawa's defense as not just a little bit weaker, but maybe a lot weaker without a Darius Pickett. He is a terrific player. And that defense, especially against the past, they're going to feel his absence. That's no doubt about that. And when you look at Montreal too, I think another thing you have to factor in to why that offense looked a little bit sluggish, even against a struggling Calgary defense last week. They were bringing into returning receivers from injury. And Kayon, Julian Grant and Tyler Snead. Sometimes it takes just a game to get the new look receiving core together. And I think this is what they've got moving forward with receivers. Kayon, Julian Grant, Tyler Snead, who both came back last week. Charleston Rambo, Reggie White, Junior, Cole Speaker. That's going to be your receivers moving forward because Austin Mac's out for the year. Tyson Philpots out for the year. So you're not going to see any of those guys back from Montreal. So I think now there's going to be a lot more chemistry and continuity now with that group together. Once again, for a second straight game, that should help them against this Ottawa defense. But I think Ottawa can move the football here too, because look, Montreal's defense, the last two weeks, it has not been the stifling, allowet defense. We've seen the last, the large part of the season. First meeting is up 68 points, 47-21. So I like over 49 and 1/2. That's what I like the most in this game, rather than a side, but at 2 and 1/2 as home dogs for a team that's 6-0 and 1 straight up at home. And now they're 2 and 1/2 point home underdog. For that reason, I lean Ottawa. All right, the final game of week 16. Winnipeg and Edmonton. So we got the Blue Bombers, 2-point road favorites. 49 and 1/2, the total in this game. I definitely feel odds makers are making of the adjustment a little bit to Edmonton and how well they're playing in this tour and run that they're on, because I'll be honest, I was hoping for a little bit more than just getting two 2 and 1/2 points with Edmonton. I was hoping to get 3 and 1/2, even four with them in this game, but it's not happening. That being said, I'll be damned if I'm stepping in front of Edmonton. No way am I doing that. 6-5 and 1 straight up, 6-0 against the spread. Their last six games. They're playing great football. They've rallied around the new coach. In the interim coach, Jarius Jackson, who's probably if he keeps this up on his way to becoming the permanent head coach after this season. They played great on offense for sure. And you've got to give him a Cloud Bethel Thompson, a lot of credit, because he's the one that started most of these games. And he played very well. He shredded Calgary in the back to back against the Stampeders. Even in the game against Montreal, he had a great first half. Second half, he got shut down by the Alawats, and they lost. But still, solid performance. And then he had the good games before that. Does the chemistry get disrupted with Trey Ford now being the starting quarterback? Because Jarius Jackson didn't hesitate way before the bi-week started. He said, Trey Ford's now that he's healthy. He's going to be our starter here. And I still think long-term Trey Ford's the guy, and he's better than the Cloud. But the Cloud did OK. And do you throw off a little bit of the good vibes and the karma and the continuity and the rhythm and the chemistry you have going, going to Trey Ford at this time? It's a legit question. But I don't worry about his talent and his ability. He does still have to work on standing in the pocket and throwing an accurate football. I think that's still an area where he can improve. We know throwing on the run, he's deadly accurate. We know his ability to run down the field when the pocket collapses is unbelievable. And he's got that incredible skill set to work with. But there are still some elements of his game he's got to work with. And it's not going to be easy against this Winnipeg team that, as we know, they have turned their season around since the beginning of July. This team is 7 and 2 straight up in their last nine games. Now, on the road is still a bit of a bugaboo for them. They are 5 and 2 in Winnipeg, but the blue bombers are just 2 and 4 straight up on the road this season. It's not exactly what you want to see. They did win on the road at Saskatchewan, but they had to hang on for dear life in the game that Zack Calaros got injured and Chris Trevler took over. And they did beat BC in their last and another. So they have won two straight road games. But before that, they were 0 and 4 on the road to start the year. We'll see how they fare here in this. Their defense is going to be a big challenge here for Trey Ford and this Elks offense. An Elks offense that, look, I've been impressed with their receiving core lately. You, Geno Lewis, is really starting to percolate. Herji Myala, Curly Gittens Jr. They've all been good. And they are loaded in the backfield. They go three deep at running back, with Kevin Brown with Jevon Leake and with Justin Rankin. It's a very impressive trio of running backs that the Edmonton Elks have. And it's been a large part of taking pressure off McCloud, Bethel Thompson. Now you throw in the run element. The Trey Ford from the quarterback position can throw at you. And this really could be a fun offense as far as the run game is concerned to watch moving forward. How will that work here against the Winnipeg blue bombers is the big question because the blue bombers this season, when you look at their defense, they've been great against the pass. They've been a little suspect against the run though. And remember, you're going from McCloud, Bethel Thompson, who's going to be exclusively a passing quarterback. Now to Trey Ford, who, yeah, of course, he's going to throw it, but he's going to run it a lot. And a lot more certainly than McCloud, Bethel Thompson would. And as much as the bomber defense overall, the numbers are great. Total yards, they're giving up $337.9 per game first in the league. Passing yards per game allowed $238.6 again, tops in the CFL. But against the run on defense. Winnipeg sixth in the CFL, giving up almost 100 rushing yards per game. That's a matchup concern for me for Mike O'Shea and his blue bombers here because this now becomes more of a run first. Run-oriented offense, I think, with Trey Ford at the quarterback spot as opposed to what it was with McCloud, Bethel Thompson for Edmonton at the quarterback spot. So that's going to be something to keep an eye on here in this game. Like I said, I was hoping for a field goal or three and a half or four with Edmonton. We're not getting that here. But I'm not stepping in front of Edmonton. So if I'm betting this game from a side perspective, it's take the small points as home underdogs with the alks or the money line for that matter because they are very capable of winning this game outright off a buy. Although the buy week's been hit or miss this year in the CFL for teams, but they are off a buy week as well. Winnipeg's still only just the two and four record on the road. Now, they do have to overcome some serious negative series history because Winnipeg has beaten this team like a drum 10 straight meetings, one by the Winnipeg blue bombers against Edmonton. But this is the best Edmonton team during that span. So you have to factor that in. And like I said, for a team that's covered six straight, I'm not stepping in front of them. Just like I talked about, it's the reason why even though I think Toronto's in a decent spot this week against Hamilton, I'm not stepping in front of Hamilton because they've covered three straight. So these teams that are point-spread-streakers, point-spread-streakers, I should say, they're not teams I'm stepping in front of. Same thing in the NFL. When a team's covered five in a row, I'm not going against them. I'm not because it's clearly showing that they've been undervalued. And until I see that market correct itself, I'm not going to look for reasons to bet against them. So I would be on Edmonton here if I'm looking at a side one and a half, two in this game. Total Winnipeg's 11 and two to the under this year. They've been a dead-nuts under team and under machine. Their offense has been plotting at times. They're a very short to intermediate pass and run the football a lot with Brady Olivera offense. So they take time off the clock, too. It's another reason why they've been a good under team. Now, early in the season, Edmonton was a great over team. Their offense was still pretty solid, but the defense was miserable. Now, the defense is getting a little bit better for Edmonton. You know, they only gave up 16 to BC, 22 to Hamilton, 21 to Montreal, 20 to Calgary, 16 to Calgary. So they haven't given up more than 22 points in five straight games. This elk's team is starting to make strides on defense. No question. You see it. They're getting more pass rush. They're doing a better job in coverage down the field. In the secondary, I'm seeing them contest balls. Contest throws a lot more. Be in better position. So this is an improving Edmonton defense. I don't think this is a lock stock and barrel over game for me, especially with Edmonton looking a little better on defense. Edmonton, you know, I know there are last two games against-- and I was on the over in the two Calgary games, but a lot of that was that miserable, horrendous Swiss cheese, Calgary, Stampederes defense. Winnipeg's got a better defense than Calgary. And don't look now. Edmonton's defense is getting a little bit better. So I'm not as sold on this game going up and over the total, necessarily, as I was with Edmonton in their last two games against the Calgary Stampederes. All right. There you have it. That is my look at CFL Week 16 here on Ian Cameron's football frenzy. Shout out to everyone tuning in. Hit the like button. We appreciate it very much. And a reminder before we get to best bet for CFL Week 16 to wrap up the show, take advantage of this offer. Truly. One year all sports, $600. That's $150 off the regular price of $750 at Dubclub. It's on now until NHL opening night, October 8th. So you've got a few weeks available to take advantage of this discount. $600, one year all sports at Dubclub. Every play, every bet and every sport, each and every day, sides totals, player props, Dubclub. And again, one year all sports, $600. Now through to the start of the NHL season. And that again is $150 off the regular price. Take advantage of that. And also so bet. You know, it's been a great best bet run the last month. It's so bet. 94 and 79, 54%, 4.8% ROI, plus 1.6 units, $1,600 of profit. Best bets all sports. Last 30 days it's so bet. If you're looking for just a low volume approach, best bets only in all sports. Sign up, it's so bet. $9.95 per month. All right, best bet for CFL week 16. This is the week to me. This is the week. Saskatchewan, money line against Calgary. We're not going to screw around with the minus two and a half. Just give me the money line. Minus 145 is the best price out there. I think this team's focused. They're angry. I like that there's a little piss and vinegar with Corey Mase and the players with practice this week. I think that's a good thing. Positive, not positive, but I think that's good that they're angry. This is a beatable Calgary team. Everyone's talking about how Saskatchewan finds ways to lose games. How about Calgary? It's not like they've been a boatload of winning football games lately themselves. This is the spot for Saskatchewan to get right. I think they do on Friday night. Saskatchewan, minus 145 against Calgary. That is going to be my best bet for CFL week 16 here on Ian Cameron's football frenzy. That's a wrap. Appreciate everyone tuning in. I'm Ian Cameron. Enjoy CFL week 16. Enjoy the games and good luck. We'll be back with you next week for another CFL edition of Ian Cameron's football frenzy. [BLANK_AUDIO]