Vegas Sports Talk Uncensored Podcasts
9/19 Cofield & Co. with Brad Powers giving his Week 4 CFB leans and likes
I said I like all three dogs tomorrow, starting with Stanford now. Price has come down considerably through a relatively key number of 10, but still would lean that way. I just both teams off a buy. I trust Troy Taylor, an experienced coach a little bit more than Fran Brown, at least at this point. You got a lot of what you've seen from Syracuse as far as the upgraded talent. I think Stanford hangs around here, similar to what they did against TCU and the opener. I agree with you on Illinois. I think Nebraska is improved, but Illinois taken out Kansas. That was a solid effort. To me, they're essentially the same sort of team. I don't know why it opened so high on Nebraska side. Yeah, I agree with that. It just screams typical Big Ten West slug fat low scoring. I mean, I can't see someone getting margin unless there's a bunch of turnover. So take the eight, seven and a half, whatever you can find there, anything above a touchdown I'm leaning towards Illinois. I'm not sure either one's that overly that great. We're going to find a lot about both teams. I think both teams are in a bowl game obviously this year, but the winner, in my opinion, in store for maybe even a better season, like an eight or nine time win type of season. Last game of the night in this Friday set of games, seven o'clock start. Washington State now laying 12 against San Jose State. Wow. Yeah, I took San Jose, obviously a flat spot for Washington State off their big win over their arch rival. I mean, a crying in the post came, I mean, so you're celebrating that one probably an extra day than typical win and then you got one day less prep. So bad spot. Now, I got to be honest with you. They haven't played anybody, but they've been dominant in the box scores and the amount the low was got. They're playing much better than expected. So I think this is one where not only do I like the dog, I think they're live in this one would not be stunned if they won the game outright. Talking to Brad Powers, before we get into the rest of the lines, I kind of have like a general casual gambling question. How far because we were just talking about this about teams, you know, you get your schedule before the season. You're like, oh, win loss, win loss, win loss, you know, whatever, you mark them down. How far into the season does it start to get easier to predict these games because you have, you know, some kind of, you know, proof of what's going to happen evidence and doesn't get easier at any point? Oh, good question. Not around some instances it does get easier, but I mean, if it's getting easier for me, what do you think it's getting easier for obviously the guys with, you know, the algorithm and a lot more, you know, bankroll and all that. So, yeah, so that's the one hanging up there. I mean, I tend to do okay in early weeks, so, you know, obviously, you know, on a case by case basis, it really depends, but as of right now, it's been okay. It's been good. It's been profitable. That's all I can ask. I'm going to make a general statement and expect laughter back, but maybe not. South Point had their game of the year openers. This is back from July 19th. If I see games now in what are we in week four of college football that have flipped at least six points one way or the other, should I auto play against the flip? Yeah, that's a good one. That's actually a good question because we're getting, I mean, typically, yeah, you'll see the big timeline moves, but they're usually in November when you get the rivalry weekend and teams have drastically changed. You normally don't see two touchdown 10 point swings, 14 point swings in September. So is there been an overreaction? You know, I don't know. I mean, obviously, you know, Florida State's fundamentally changed. I mean, Michigan looks much worse. S.C. looks much better. Tennessee looks much better. Oklahoma looks worse, so in some instances, I mean, neither justified, but you know, they old me what I said, yeah, playback overreaction overreaction, but there's just so much roster and coaching turnover on a year by year basis in college football. Sometimes I think the market might even under react in some instances. Clemson has moved 11 points since July now, 20, 20 and a half against NC State, it was Clemson nine in July. Yeah, well, five points in the move, in my opinion, are great. So McCall not playing. So C.J. Baylor get the start, first start on the road, Death Valley Clemson off a buy with revenge from last year. I played Clemson earlier this week, still would lean that way. You mentioned Michigan and I saw the line there, USC given five and a half. I'm kind of surprised by that line. How do you think about that? I feel like it's a little bit low. Team is low, but I mean, how about you want to talk about the biggest, so a mover? I think DraftKings open this one up in May at 13. I know it because I got ticket on USC plus 13. So I never, you know, in 10 plus years of doing this, I never had that much field beyond a game, at least at this point in the season. With that being said, I'm not looking to play back Michigan. I hear you. I mean, my power rating's safe at Michigan. My high test coaching matchup, SP off a buy, Michigan with Orgy a quarterback can't throw it. I see stood up well at the line of scrimmage against LSU and they had to worry about a passing attack. And that one, they don't hear. I like SC to get the margin here. I would, I would lay it if you got to play it. Brad Powers up on Cofield and company, this spot every day. I own sports gambling. I bought for our friends at Oasis Bar and Grill on Decatur, just south of Tropicana. All right. Tennessee in a big spot here, Oklahoma's first SEC game. Sooners are the host, but Tennessee's laying a pretty good number. Yeah, they are the biggest home underdog role for Oklahoma in a quarter century, the year before Bob Stupes got their 1998 last time they were catching a touchdown at home. So I will say this, you got to pay attention to market. I think it's a little pricey on the Tennessee side. But with that being said, Tennessee's been arguably maybe even the most impressive team so far in college. I haven't played anybody, but still, you can't control who you play once a schedule set. You can control how you play and they far exceed expectations. Can't say the same for Oklahoma. I do think a big move just happened though, limits get increased later in the week. And somebody just bet Oklahoma because it's off the key number of seven, a lot of spots down the six and a half. So I'd pay attention to that one. I think that's the sharp move there. I bet Oklahoma, not my favorite bet of the week, but a bet that I made. Do you ever consider motivational spots in terms of coaches wanting to smash a school with Hyples background? Now it's Tennessee maybe doesn't feel great about Oklahoma now. Could he try to put the extra ass whooping on Oklahoma? Yeah, I'm sure if he gets the opportunity, he'll want, he's generally speaking, that's how he's built. Yeah, I mean, it's tough to quantify. Oh, that's worth a half point, that's not what it does do is maybe give you hesitation to make it back. If you're leaning one way or the other, maybe it prevents you from making a bet, but it's tough quantifying it. I mean, you win some, you lose some and those trying to guess motivation. Time to get to the coach prime game of the week. The shooter game of the week says, as we can tell from a coach prime, really the other players don't matter. So don't mention them. Colorado and Baylor. What are we doing? I like Baylor. All right. I like what I'm seeing on defense side of the ball for Baylor team, minor random defense coordinator this year and Baylor's been playing very well on defense side of the ball. I just, I trust their, obviously, Colorado's got the athletes in space, but up front on both sides, I trust Baylor and again, I think Baylor's defense will shut down Colorado a little bit. So maybe not quite similar to the Nebraska game, but I do think Baylor gets you out right way in here. Okey State is two against Utah. Yeah. Willy play. Willy not play. Obviously the line is telling you that cameraizing is not going to play for Utah. I like Oklahoma State and this one to win and cover just, you know, it rises out. You got a, you got a quarterback making his first career, you know, you made the road start last week that'll count up, you know, 30 miles from home against a team in Utah State. I just, it's going to be an entirely different atmosphere here. Oklahoma State, Gundy and these type of roles usually does well. So I'll take the pokes. Now it's time to get real serious. You know, I love these plus 40 plus point spots, Texas. We've got arch in there. Ubers is out. I'll be honest. I don't even know who the number technically the three is. Now he's a two at Texas. They beat the brakes off of UL Monroe early. Then arch is out. I'm getting the cover on ULM, aren't I? Plus 44 and a half. I'm getting it. I don't know, is arch that big of a downgrade from URS? No, no. I mean, I mean, when they take arch out, now I don't have arch is the backup, you know, I like that. I like that. The third string kid. He's pretty good. I can't recall his name, but I just remember watching the spring game last couple years. He's actually, he can move the team. So I laid it with 42 with Texas on the open. I'm going to be a real pain in the keister here. I want to look ahead two weeks away, and this is just kind of putting your thinking cap on. I don't know if you have your power ratings. In front of you, you and all these off to this good start. Their number 25 first time they've been ranked in the coaches poll in any poll, they're going to take on Fresno next week. Is Fresno going to be favored here in Vegas or will UNLV be a small favor? No, UNLV is a small favor. Do you think that's correct? Yeah, I mean, you and all these, I don't think UNLV's ever been in a power rating like a Jeff staggering or any, anybody knows this, never been a power rated higher than what they are right now. I'd make UNLV four and a half five. Whoo. All right, back to one more game of personal interest in the college side on Saturday. VTEC is three, three and a half against Rutgers. Sharp money came in on Rutgers early in the week, but man, it's, you know, we're just betting numbers here. That's all it says. I don't know where you're seeing three. That would be, I'm laying it with Virginia Tech and I see that's right. [BLANK_AUDIO]