(upbeat music) ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ - P.G.A. Megan, we are back. I am laughing because we already did the first, I would say, seven, eight minutes of the show, not recording, just to ourselves in a side room, we thought we were alive and we weren't, and we were talking and finally Spencer's like, "I don't think we're alive, and I think we need to chill with Jack." And we weren't, so apologies. We already did the opening of the show just to ourselves, and you guys didn't see it, which is kind of funny, and we are sorry for that. But we are here. We apologize. We've missed you. You missed us last week. We had tech issues getting us started today, so we're sorry. But I'm so pumped for the API for getting to Orlando, a fun tournament, a closer to full field than we've had in the last few weeks. And what's a historical P.G.A. tournament that has some history and some cache A behind it. So it's a good week to be drafting and playing DFS. We are finally back. Spence, how you doing today? Well, I'm very happy that I was able to catch that, and we didn't get through the entire show. I did see a comment from Hank very shortly after we figured it out with the tech problems question. So we probably would have gotten through this for maybe a minute or two more without actually realizing there was a problem. But glad to be on the show. Excited that we're doing this again. You know, I gave the argument beforehand that I'll let you Joel tell everybody that as the number one pick this week, I don't necessarily agree with this. And I feel like with me catching the air even more so now I should be the number one pick. But Joel, I'll let you take the floor there. So I will tell you, as our way of apologizing for last week, audience, you will be picking first and we put you in one spot. You guys need to lead us off in the draft and we'll have our typical snake tell just that we always do. I will also touch on Byron's comment in the chat. In my defense, I will say I am typically guilty of being the one that messes up the tea time and I'm late. But tonight, I was the first one there. So I'm taking no excuses tonight. I led the charge. I was on time, cannot be blamed for tonight's issues. Moving on. David, how you doing today? I'm good, mate. I'm good. Like very sad that we missed those first team minutes of quarantine because it was probably the best team minutes that we've ever recorded ever on the show and everybody missed it. We were just talking to ourselves for 10 minutes there and loving the audience chat, giving us a hard time in response. In our defense stream yard, we did everything as we normally were and pushed all the buttons we needed to, ran the video intro and sat through that ourselves and everything really to go and just didn't go live on YouTube. But look, I'm very excited to be back. Obviously, apologies to the audience that three or four of us can make it last week. Look, this is a great tournament for us historically. We had a really good record here. We had Kurt Kitiyama within my betting tips last year. We obviously went on and won it, huge odds. And then the year prior to that, Ed Gary Woodland, who looks at the likely winner, we put him up at 80 to 1 in 2022. He finished with a double bogey bogey to finish two shots off the lead, unfortunately, in fifth place. But a tournament that's been pretty historically inclined to us and we've tended to get right in the past. So it's a really good chance to sign up to Windali, get on board with all the Masters. As part of our Masters Promo, at the moment, we're giving away our first week for just $1. So the Interpromo code $1 when you check out on weekly membership, get it for $1. Come see what we're all about. Come see all of our tools, everything that you're missing and done. Get in tune for the Augusto Masters because it's going to be a good one this year, I feel, and we've already dropped three futures in there for people as well. So there's some big numbers out there that we were out posting for Augusto National. Yeah, and one thing I'll add to that, if there is a time of year where you're like, "Hey, where can I maximize this?" It's now. This is the heat season for golf leading up to Augusta, but even beyond that, right? You start getting the majors and everything coming up. So this is the season where you want to be a part of it. I recommend setting up now and maximize that while you can. Not to bury the lead, all the age you're going first, but since we got delayed, let's dive into the course breakdown, spend some pants over to you. What are you looking for in Orlando this week? I do think that when you look at Bay Hill, and this doesn't mean that there's not an advantage to be found, but there has been this very, I'll call it unique dispersion of scoring when you look at different iterations of this contest. So there have been years over the past five where approach holds most of the precedence for success. There have been years where off the tee takes more of a front and center stage. You've had the same answer with around the green. Now, I think when you get that answer, sometimes it does convolute the handicapping process. I've talked about that many times, but I think that the fact here that since one can excel in any of the main tee-to-green elements, and two, you kind of get this repetitive story over and over again, there were a couple of traits that were from a key ingredient standpoint of how I was trying to build my model, very indicative to success. So I think when you look at the scoring and where the scoring comes from, because this is a challenging track, and it's -- Bay Hill is one of those venues where we finally get difficulty. You have to be long and straight off the tee. You have to have long iron proximity. There's water that's going to come into play. So I always think that that separates the top-tiered players from a lot of these other names just because that's that major championship sort of ask of players that are long off the tee, that are good with their long irons there. So you're going to have to score on the par fives. 39 to 56% of the birdier-better percentage comes on those four holes when you get them. I also think that two of the shorter par fours are going to yield over a 17.5% birdier-better rate. So those are kind of where you need to go with your upside totals. Everything else is about salvaging par. You're going to have to be able to control your ball out of the rough. That can be nearly impossible at times. You have this dense nature of the grass when you do miss the fairway. Most approaches are going to lack either the apex or the spin needed to hold these fiery greens. You have a 6% increase at the field experiences from that 200-plus yard range that I talked about versus a standard track. But I think to just circle this all together with what I'm looking for, it's golfers that can combine total driving, long iron proximity. There's many of those secondary returns that we can extrapolate a little bit further from there. Whether that stroke's getting total with thick rough, stroke's getting total on long difficult courses. There's a lot of those minor details that we can add to the mix. But I think the one thing forbidding, and this is just always my mentality with it. I would be cautious with weeks like this where there's a lot of water that comes into play. I think it hurts markets like a head-to-head. I also think when you have a virtual, I'll call this a no-cut tournament just because it's difficult to miss the cut when you have 69 players. It's top 50 and ties all players within 10 shots of the lead. Doesn't mean that we aren't going to have a handful of options that miss, but it does make this a word worse head-to-head market for that. There's volatility though with this course. To me, this is the first time I was hoping we were going to get it at the Genesis. Maybe the lack of water there didn't actually get us to this point. To me, this is a single-digit winner and it's a completely different style of goal for that we're looking for for that reason. There you have it. That's a big thing. You need to understand the course and how to profile a successful golfer on this course to really get an edge. If you need to listen to that back, that is the best course breakdown you're going to get. I do have a question for you before we move on. Do you think that this is the norm now, this top 15 kind of making the cut, and we're not going to see as big a field moving forward because of the state of the tour? It seems to be where they want to be pushing things unfortunately. I was kind of making this argument last year when all of this got put into existence of how it was going to move forward with this. I do think it hurts some of the betting markets. That's the unfortunate thing. It hurts placement markets. I'm a better that likes to be in that top 40 range to find a lot of value, so that's going to remove the mix there. I talked about how head-to-heads get worse during a no-cut tournament. It's unfortunate, but that's the state of golf that we're in right now. You either have to adapt and figure out the new edges, or you kind of go by the wayside and you don't have the advantages that you want. There is an ability to, if you can find the edges and whether that's on BFS, I always say one of these condensed fields of 70 or less players, 69 players here in particular, a lot of the ownership is going to land in all the same areas. I think, unfortunately, for this week and I had this conversation with stickspicks when we did better golf, I kind of think the public got a lot of these massive ownership numbers right. That's what makes it difficult. I don't know if there's as many of those 1% plays. I have one or two that I like, but it's harder to get unique when pricing is correct and ownership is correct. Yeah, you're right. There's just not going to be as high a volume of one or two percent golfers because there's less guys they choose from generally, so that ownership has to be condensed to a degree. David, I want to ask you something in a similar vein. Do you think from the betting market side that there's an edge to be found that this is becoming the norm and you're not getting as many golfers, that maybe some of the lines not properly adjusted and can you find an edge in some of these markets because you're seeing different fields in normal? I think a lot of the difficulty comes that actually a lot of the books have been affecting the place markets particularly. Bed 365 really cutting down on like the eight place markets or the top 20 and top 40 markets. Some of their numbers have just been, they've moved past the point of accounting for the fact that the field is being reduced to what you would normally expect. Of course, if there's less players in the field, you expect your golfers to finish in the top 20 more often and you'd expect that number to come down with the books and a lot of those places it has come down too far. So I think where you're real each is still with those elements that I guess that we've always incorporated, which is with your data analysis, with your weather edge, where a course like this week, for example, there's been a lot of rain in Florida. Maybe it plays a little bit different to how it carries hairs. It's going to be a lot more difficult for them to get it really firm and fast, especially the beginning of the week. We saw what happened on a classic last week, right in the main rain that it did up in a Monday finish. So with those sort of things where you can get an edge with the books that are starkly pretty slow to account for those sort of things. There you have it. And that's the information you want. You want to find any edge you can get over a book. That's how we make money weekly. But the main event is upon us. We do have a draft and we are going to get into it. So I will ask if we can pull up the draft for it now. I'll give a quick reminder of how this works. The SNCC style draft works like your typical fantasy football draft. One through four audience, we gave you the first pick. Spencer or David, I'll let you guys build the remainder of the draft. And any order of you guys, please. It does works next. Whoever goes forth will go to in a row and then we will go back. The big caveat here is you do need to stay within your draft game sour. So you can't just take all of the best players. You do have to make sure you can afford each player in your lineup as you draft them. David, of course, giving himself the second pick. It wasn't me. That was it was David. Well, all you do on the clock and you got your pick in nice and quick. I love that you didn't even wait for us to pull the draft board up. You guys went right ahead and went after Rory and locked him in right away, which, you know, I thought going into this week because Rory has been pretty disappointing in the last couple of weeks leading up to this event that people may have thought and maybe time to go away from him. But if you're looking at early ownership numbers, that doesn't really seem to be the case. And as anyone knows and followed along, if there's one place or there's probably two places to play, Rory, this is one of the two. Like Rory is going to succeed on this course. So love the pick would have been probably my first pick as well. We'll go to you Spence. What's your take on the Rory pick? So I want to talk about what David mentioned of this course potentially playing softer. There were two players in my model. If we're talking about let's just say golfers that are 40 to one or less, that saw the biggest increase in projection for me in a softer conditions. Rory was one of them. Cameron Young was the other one. I think it's a really interesting course. Now the ownership with Rory is going to be there. If you look at some of the head-to-head markets at the sharper books, he's now in this position to where he's either even with Scotty or very close to being even with Scotty. There are books where Scotty's a little bit of a bigger favorite. I mean, that's a different discussion that we can have of which one everybody likes more. But I think that the chalk nature of Rory this week makes a lot of sense at this particular venue. And even real quick, what number for ownership do you see on it? I have 20, a little over 27%. I always venture to say in like a limited field like this, that's probably going to end up being maybe a little bit higher than that even. Yeah, that's the right number. It's like a little too high than you'd like. But you have such confidence if you don't want to beat him. It's like just the right number for me. What about you, David? What's your take on Rory this week? And you're on the clock with the second pick. Yeah, look, I mean, I don't think you can follow Rory McRory and what he does around by a hill. I also think he's had a very good start of the year. Obviously, winning the Dubai Desert Classic over in Dubai and the DP World Tour. It's a very strong band. It's another course he's had really good history at. And yeah, look, I think he's obvious class within this field. He's obviously a lot cheaper as well. So I do see some of that ownership potentially going down from what you typically expect from Sheffler. And that's who I'm going to take for my first pick. That's why I wanted to go in the second slot just to make sure, because I think that I can find some value further down the board and want to make sure that I get Sheffler locked in with that second pick. I think a lot of people will go to Rory just because of the cost saving that you've got to get him from DFS purpose. But Sheffler just continues to just ball strike the hell out of the golf ball, right? And we all know what he's doing with the part of it. Like I get there. I understand the frustration that everyone here, so this kind of Sheffler's part of it. At least he's always got a Sheffler. Like you can see how mad he is getting with himself now with how the putter is playing up and costing these victories. The fact is, I mean, he's had a worse finish than 17th since August of last year. Pretty much everything else has been top five in one top 10 other than that. And that was at the Genesis infatation when we were last seen. So he's just performing at such a high level. He's wrinkled here obviously one year in 2022 when he beat Gary Woodland for us that year in a very windy tournament. But he's had a fourth in the 15th as well and has three tries. And I just think with that 15th in particular, again, that was before he kind of became the Scottish Sheffler that he is now. I think that he's obviously his class in this field. I'm quite happy to pay the extra money for him and get different outside. There you have it. Not good to complain about Scottie Sheffler. Obviously he's the best golfer in the world. There's plenty to like. And of course if he finds a hot putter, I would expect him to win the tournament. To me, the weekly conversation about Scottie becomes, you know, what kind of lineup can you build? What kind of value is out there with him versus without him? Because you know he's going to do well. And the only reason him would hurt you would be, you know, not winning the tournament, right? So that's the debate. Before we move on, Spence, will you be playing Scottie in all this week? If I had the number one pick, I would have taken Scottie. So I don't, David has now put himself at the number two pick, which is disrespectful, also, also called, called me Rory. And now we've changed this to Magic Johnson for some reason. So this is just, this has gone downhill for everything that's being teamed against me here. Oh, I love it. I love it. All right. I am going to go. I want to take this apart. I'm going to start with some value. I think there's a few value plays in the middle of the board that I think are, are sharp plays that are playing extremely well. I want to get that value first before you guys get to it. So I'm going to start with the guy that I never draft. And he's just playing so well at this point, he's underpriced. And that's Tom Hope. I mean, the consistency has just been there. I mean, he has been playing fantastic off the fact that he's only 7100 this week. I'm sorry, 8200 this week is just 70. Wait, why, I am seeing two different numbers. 71. Am I looking at the wrong number? This is price tag. 71 one. I saw I'm looking at it. She is a 72. Oh, wait a minute. 7100. That's way underpriced. Way underpriced. You know, they get him in such a low number. It leads you to ton of flexibility. If you look at it, just his last kind of few weeks. You know, he's top 10 in eighth place. 17th, 6th. At this point, I would have expected him to be in the high 8K range. So getting him at 71 is a no brainer. I do expect the ownership to be high. The early number I'm seeing is actually not as high as I thought, but I actually end up being much higher than that. I'll ask you guys, we'll start with you spends. What number are you seeing on hope this week? And we'll be playing in the middle. 9.94% I'll let David give his answer. What do you see? Yeah, 9% for me as well. But I, um, I head to him. He lined up as my next pick. So you've already stolen that for me. So that's great stuff for you. I think he's very solid choice here. The approach numbers just don't lie. He's striping the ball at the moment. He's got the upside. Previous 15th place finish here as well. I'm currently under prices. I would say for DFS as well. Harrison Bush and Kukadiyama right around that price, also attracting a lot of ownership. So you might still be able to get a little bit different, having Tom Hoege in there. And then, of course, you've got someone extremely, extremely under priced in the 6K range that is going to attract 17% on show. Exactly. And I do expect the ownership number to go up. Um, if it stays at 10% or around 10%, that is a steal for me at this price. So love him there. All right, thanks. You got two. Who are you targeting here? I'm going to take a very specific sort of a style of golfer with both of my picks here. So I made this argument at the Genesis when it came to Victor Havelin that I didn't think the form was quite as bad as the perception was around him in the market. We're still looking at a golfer 22 and this is a tournament leading number 22 consecutive rounds of shooting part or better. 29 consecutive made cuts. Look at him at this tournament the last two years. Back to back top 10 finishes. Anytime you can throw Victor Havelin on a course where you have thick rough and their total driving ability comes into play. Those are the events where Havelin starts to skyrocket in my model. Inside the top five on strokes gain total with long rough, difficult scoring courses, total driving there. Obviously when you throw in the weighted proximity numbers that from 150 plus also puts them inside the top five. I think it's a really nice fit for him now. I would have rather started with Scotty Scheffler. I do think there is an edge if you can get up to Scheffler and there's ways to get different. But where we're at right now, I will start with Scheffler and with Havelin, sorry. And then with the second pick, I'm going to go to Ludwig Oberg. My numbers absolutely love him for this tournament. Any of the weighted scoring totals that I ran, I never have a tournament for weighted scoring where Scotty Scheffler is not the number one player. Scheffler is usually number one for everything with it. While Scheffler is still the number one overall ranked player inside my model, when I put the 20% that I did for weighted scoring, Oberg actually ended up being the number one player there that kind of stemmed from this massive increase that I saw from a weighted T to green perspective from him. I think his distance is going to play well. A lot of the total driving metrics like them here. So I'll go with Havelin and Oberg. I think that gives me a bunch of win equity when I lost it at the top, not getting Rory and Scotty. I'll tell you, I would have taken Ludwig too. I was, I knew him on my neck back. I love Ludwig. I think I grew here that seemed like a really coarse fit. Young and up and come. I think you're a really solid start to your draft here. David, let's say you are you on Havelin or Ludwig? Yeah, look, the course is like made for Victor Havelin. Doesn't emphasize around the green so much of this golf course. So we obviously know that has previously been a bit of an area of issue for Victor there. And Ludwig obviously as well is probably a bit too cheap. And I kind of like this build from Spencer. It's a nice start going in Havelin and Oberg. Because if either of them goes out on Windsor, it's a really nice solid way to get a bit different and take away like a Schiefler and Mac Rory out of Carolina. Exactly. I am aligned with you there. All right. I think that's the next pick here. It's funny how quickly things can change on the tour, right? I think it couldn't have been more. It was definitely less than a month ago. We were on the show and we were all betting against Cameron Young and head dad magic because he was playing so poorly. And now that has completely flipped. And I am kicking him with my second pick in this draft because he is playing way better. He is striking the ball. He looks great. His recent form has been really good. He is a great team. I think he has as much upside as a lot of these guys in that 9K range. I am happy to invest in that 8,700 price tag with a Cameron Young who just is coming off a T four the week before T 16 and another top 10 the week before that. So great form under 9K love Cam Young this week. We're going to use fence. Any interest in Cam Young? I think I said this when we were live on air, although I don't know now at this point what was actually set on air and what wasn't. Rory and Cameron Young were the two big movers for me on these weather conditions. And even when I ran this for weighted T to green, Cameron Young was the biggest mover that I had in my model from his output compared to what my baseline totals were. I love Cameron Young's ball striking returns of what I'm looking at inside of my sheet. I'm with you. Cameron is another one where he's shown some upside flashes with the putter. You guys, another good week putter in the ball. I think he's going to compete to win the tournament. So David, what is your stance on Cam Young this week and who are you looking at with your second bet? Well, I mean, the audience says it all really. I mean, that's two for two for you Joel. Stealing picks from me, Tom Hokey and then then Cam Young. So the less said, the better. I think on both of those, because I would have taken both of them. I love Cameron's long game, especially for this golf course. Obviously, the question always comes down to the putter with Cameron Young and the fact he hasn't got across the line. Again, I kind of get that. I said similar things after the Dubai Desert Classic where he kind of threw away that victory and every time he found himself and potentially just found a way to lose over and divide it. It's the kind of golf course where because you have got that ball of solidity that Spencer talks about with the water and play that you can kind of fall into victory. And it is going to be a pretty high scoring advantage. It is probably going to be a single digit winner. And I just love the metrics that come out of Cameron Young. I think it's a really solid pick, especially the 8700 twice tag. I think he's a very, very good option, especially for top team markets. I think he's a great bet. There you have it. I love it. All right. All right, David, your second picks up. You got Scotty. Where you going next? Yeah. So obviously going to have to get a bit different because Joel's made a habit of seeing my guys, which means they would definitely, definitely withdraw and not see through the entire tournament. But I will take Adam Scott at 7500. Adam Scott's just on a fantastic run of golf at the moment. Hasn't finished worse than 20th since November last year. He's playing very, very well. He's obviously got an incredible approach game at the moment and the putt has really come to life as well. I just really like him in these type of kind of tests. He's finished third here twice. So he's obviously got a good history. And I mean, they're not, they haven't had a US Open here, but it kind of plays like a US Open venue and he's got a number of top 10s in the US Open as well. I just kind of love him in those like really kind of grindy kind of, yeah, grindy kind of fierceries. Just going to have to put together solid score and see our victory. And I like the short game metrics that he kind of brings to the game. So I think he's great. I'll get 7500. I'd also point out that in their price range, he's kind of priced around like Jake Knapp, for example, and he's getting less ownership. Like I'm having Jake Knapp at like 13% Beniana, like top 10. I'm getting named Scott. I will leave him. So quite able to get a little bit different view for me who's the more accomplished player and had a lot more experience on it on a test where that's going to play dividends. No, and I think to your point, that's an Adam Scott's the type of guy that this is the type of tournament where it makes sense to go back to him. Right? He was playing really hot. He was really popular at the Genesis. He wasn't even bad at the Genesis. There's a feeling he disappointed. He got a top 20. So that's not really disappointing. But I think people had a little bit of higher expectations. And now people might come off of it a little bit. And there's no reason. Like he said, he's still a top 20. He's playing really well. He's super hot form. This seems like a spot where I still think he's going to carry some energy, but it's like to your point, not overly owned, where it seems like a really good spot to dive back into him. So I fully endorse that pick. I will be playing Adam Scott as well. Audience, you're on the clock. So we need to. It looks like at least one might be in already. Well, keep an eye out for that second. Before we lock those in, Spence, what's your take on Adam Scott this week? I think the frustration around Adam Scott more than anything. It's not that like, I mean, yes, he landed a top 20. I think it's he backdoored it. Like it was one of those finishes where he was never really quite in contention. I want to workshop a bet with you guys very quickly because I think there's an interesting number out there that I was considering. I haven't placed the ticket yet, but and we don't need a super long answer into this, but you look over at FanDuel. There's an Adam Scott versus Harris English head to head match up. Scott is minus 105. Do either one of you have thoughts on that play? I know this is not a betting show, but we'll move it in that direction. I find that question interesting because one of my thoughts I was having this week was and I was saying this about myself. I think I personally overrate Harrison much. I like Harrison much. I like to play him. I think you're going down. You should probably the path of you would take Scott. So I'm going to withdraw from the conversation. I and from my view, I like the number that the other one that I think I've had. I might actually give this out just before he was was an Adam Scott matchup. We can get him at plus 100 is the underdog. He can ski can barely ever drop Kings, which I think is a really good number. Yeah. A lot of the sharper markets. Sorry, very quickly. A lot of the sharper markets have also pushed that out further than what that draft Kings is like. I saw. I think I can give books like pinnacle sports as that closer to minus 120. So like you're getting 20 points of value just based off of where that numbers moved. Fair to give you an answer of your question. I think if I had to pick between the two and put it on it at this point, I would bet on Adam Scott in that matchup for sure. All right. Audience. You guys, your pick is in and it was in in a timely manner. Love that about you. That's why you're the best audience in the game. Take you every time. You guys are the real MVP. The two picks are in Keegan Bradley and the Yeager. Myster, Steven Yeager. Two solid value picks here. We'll start with you, Spence. What are your take on Keegan and Yeager? I was going to play Yeager and that's probably not a shock for anybody who listens to the show. I always seem to think that there's value, but he was another one of those substantial climbers for me from a weighted T to green perspective. I kind of have this opinion that once you dip down into this range, the projected win equity on almost all of these names sees a massive decrease. There are a handful of guys that my model still like from an upside standpoint, specifically when you look at ownership that's currently out there, like I see Yeager's ownership at sub 6% right now. I think that there's leverage that can be created there when you're just trying to shoot for the upside. And this feels like a nice bounce back spot for him. Everybody wanted to play him at the cognizant, including myself. And now all of a sudden you get this price tag here where he's 7,200 after providing his first missed cut. And what were we up to? 20 plus tournaments where he hadn't missed a cut. And I know we don't have necessarily one of those prototypical tournaments here where it's a standard 36 hole cup. But I really like him in safety markets. And I kind of like him for the price and upside totals here too. There you have it. David, you're on the club with your third pick. Before you go, love your take on Yeager and Bradley. And then who are you looking at with your third pick? Yeah, I like both of the players. I probably would have gone Bradley over Yeager myself. But in saying that, I mean, Spencer makes a really good point about the DFS ownership. I think that if you're looking for a spot to get different, Yeager is going to get less ownership just because of the nature of the nature around them, right? You've got Adam Scott, Kurt Kitayama, Harrison, all right there. We're going to attack a lot of the ownership away from him. Maybe any hands there as well. But then Tom Hokey at 7100 is going to get some ownership too. So I do think Yeager potentially gets missed in that area. So I wouldn't say for me like a cash line, maybe like a large GPP kind of contest where you're taking your flyer on him could be an interesting spot. So yeah, look, I mean, other than the fact Joel's completely ruined my entire draft, I'm going to have to make another pick here. And I'm going to go and take Matt Fitzpatrick at 8600. One of my favourite plays of the week, I think that he's underpriced where he is. He should be at low nine Ks. We saw signs of life in his game last week at the Honda Classic, obviously, or the Cognizant Classic now as it's known in the Palm Beach or whatever the name is of that tournament now. But previous one of the US Open, I've already talked about the parallels and the correlation between those tough events of the US Open and what you get on this penal kind of track. It's the kind of growing tournament that I see Matt Fitzpatrick finding success. And the call history says the same right. He's finished second, ninth, tenth, ninth, 14th. And his last five appearances here. So a lot of that came as well before he's added the distance that he has now to his game where he's consistently gaining driving distance on the field every single week. There you have it. And you know, like, it was like two seasons ago, Fitzpatrick was a top 10 player, probably better on tour with a much stronger tour with guys that featured Ram and Dustin Johnson and things like that. You know, he had that injury. He kind of fell off. And now I think we're starting to see signs again. Well, some of those flashes we saw two years ago where he was consistently competing a weekend week out. I think I draw a lot of similarities with Fitzpatrick to less of an extreme to his outdoors, right? Because you know what the ceiling of his outdoors. But you haven't know, you weren't sure if you were getting that weekend week out. The more consistency you see, the more confidence you can get. You know, you might look back and say that 8,600 was under price for someone of his caliber spent. What say you on Fitzpatrick this week? Yeah, I think David said it best. He's too cheap for the course history that he's bringing to the mix. It's kind of where it becomes difficult. Like, I don't want to just completely gloss over the Keegan Bradley pick either. I think Bradley's a very intriguing name that the audience took. Like in an ideal world, my lineup with Bradley and Yeager probably would have gotten rounded out in some form with a lot of those options there. And just because we don't have a ton of names in this tournament, like once you lose the options like Keegan or Yeager or Tom Hoege, all of a sudden these value ranges and maybe that's where Joel, you had the right idea of jumping into whoever you liked first at that range, made a lot of sense there. It's a difficult, like as I'm trying to form what I think is the correct way for myself to end my lineup, a lot of those value options are gone, which is what makes this difficult for this particular show. For sure. And, you know, doing a four-manager exit, different strategy than building your own a lot of. So take that into account when you're picking your own teams and things like that. Okay. All right. I'm up here with my third pick. A lot of different routes. I can go, but I'm going to go back to, I kind of referenced him earlier. I didn't say his name. Matthew, I mean, David, you've been kind of touting him for a couple of months now. He's been nothing but consistent. And it's kind of, I'm laughing at the fact that we're almost looking at his performance last week as disappointing with his P 28, which is still a pretty good result. He played well, right? I think it wasn't a poorly, he'd be struck the ball well. There's no reason I'm looking at why he shouldn't play well again this week to get him under eight K from what we've seen out of him over the last month and a half to two months. I very much would put him in the high eight K range, maybe low nines for how well he's playing to get him at under eight seems like a big miss price. And because he's not one of those big PGA tour players, I'm seeing the ownership as well as a very reasonable, not like low on, but not too high. So at a reasonable ownership, like that is playing as well as he is. I'm going back to that. Well, am I going to bet on him right now is we're going to be doing shows three or four weeks from now. He's going to be the nine K range. He'll be in the top tier. I just think he's a better golfer. He's getting credit for it right now. David, let's say you want to go on this week. Look, I think that he's elevated his game right. I mean, we were on it for quite some time before having the hundred twenty five to one ticket on him that the farmers insurance opened and managing to spike one of the multiple hundred plus winners that has been on the PGA tour this year. It's been the only way to really tune a profit in 2024 is to at least hit one of those hundred plus winners and get a little bit lucky. So he closed out that victory extremely well. I mean, his performance on the 18th hole was incredible. I think one of the shots of the year, I think features say. So, look, he's really elevated his game on the DP will tour. Part of the reason we liked him for the farmers was his performance on those long golf courses, right? He played extremely well on a lot of those DP will tour courses that were off the longer nature around that seventy four hundred yard kind of city pass to me to Mark. And this is exactly what he finds here this week. And people is somehow still sleeping on him at seventy nine hundred. So I think he's a really savvy pay. Good way to give a different to. I love it. I love it. Spence, you got to before we get here to what your take on going on. Are you playing mostly? I agree with you, Joel. He's an under priced commodity from what we have gotten from him this year. The numbers while they are regressing and you would naturally expect that when there's limited sample size and one of those events ended up with a win at the farmers insurance. And then you also got the third at the Pebble Beach event that was played at, you know, a month and a half ago or whatever that was inside the top fifteen of my model overall. The safety ratings really liked them. A little bit of a concern from some of those upside numbers, but I think at seventy nine hundred, you can ignore that a little bit just because he is too cheap. There you have it. I love it. We are aligned there. Spence, you got to. You got your, as you referenced, you got your studs. How do you balance in this line about? I think this is a challenging conclusion to this kind of for the reason that I talked about that this lower seven thousand dollar section has really removed from the way that the draft has taken place so far, a lot of the value down from the mix there. So, I'm trying to figure out what's the optimal way that I would like to play things based off of that. I'm going to go a little bit different than I had planned originally. This wasn't the natural construction when Scotty was the plan first pick that I was going to put into my lineup. I'm going to continue with this aggressive approach at the top. I'll figure it out at some point, but I'm going to take Colin Morikawa at nine thousand one hundred. A lot of the metrics from him from an upside perspective. My model really liked them. Fourth for me for weighted tea to green. He was inside of the top thirteen for strokes gain total on long rough. Stroke's gain total on long difficult courses. That's something that you expect from Morikawa. It's a very standard answer, I guess, to what you would say with Fitzpatrick is when the scoring gets a little bit more difficult. I do think that their upside increases. Fourth for me in weighted scoring. Ball striking gives the same similar returns. And then any time that you talk about a venue where approach play does matter. Morikawa was going to be one of those massive climbers for me. I kind of made this argument with Nick when I did the show. I don't see a massive difference between Morikawa and Cantley. I think they're two very similar players this week. If you tell me that I can get Morikawa for a thousand dollars less. To me that ended up being a little bit of value. So I will start with Morikawa there. And then I'm going to take a flyer on a golfer to where if you would have run this. You know, a cup, I guess like directly right after the farmer's insurance. This would be a completely different price tag. It's a young golfer with massive upside that has shown that strength before. What we've gotten recently over the last three events has left a ton to be desired. But I'll take Nikolai Huygaard at 7200. Very similar answers there where positive trajectory for weighted T degree. He has the distance that I'm looking for. Some of the weighted proximity numbers specifically from like he's inside the top 20 for me. Like some from some of these longer ranges worked out well. That distance also planned or played nicely when he was 8th overall for ball striking there. So I'll take Huygaard a bit on the upside. Like when I look at this lineup of Hovlin, Oberg, Morikawa, Huygaard. These are young talented high upside golfers to where as I keep going back to it. There's a cut, but I'm willing to bet on the upside on these names. And mostly what I can get different here with Morikawa and Huygaard. Yeah, I think that makes sense. I mean, you certainly struck the upside well. I mean, between Morikawa, Ludwig, Hovlin, you definitely got your studs. And we've seen Huygaard, he's been flashing, he's been hot. Certainly like the upside there. I like the way your team is rounding out. David, let's say you are on Morikawa and Huygaard. Yeah, I just was thinking when Spence was talking. And it's like what universe are we entered where Sam Burns is $200 more expensive than Kolomorokawa and Sam Burns is more round. Like that just seems crazy to me that we've entered that universe. Undoubtedly Sam Burns is having a great year. He's had a great start to 2024 and he's an excellent form. But Kolomorokawa just has an amazing knack in some of these tougher tests. We've seen at the US Open, he's had a great record the other last three years. He's played here three times, he's including the ninth. And I think he's a nice way to get a little bit different. I don't think he's going to be in my cash line up just because some of the safety concerns. And some of the concerns for Huygaard for me would come from the driving accuracy. I think I'd deal in an ideal world. You're going to be both long and accurate here if you can. If you are going to compromise one of those, it might be distance a little bit for me. Just because of the penal nature of this course. But there's really a statement more on the type of contest that you're entering. If you're entering a cash game, you're going to want to play it a bit safer. If you're entering one of those large DPPs, some of the late Nicole Huygaard, if he comes out and finishes top five, can be a really crucial element to you build in that sort of tournament. Can I just give a really quick rebuttal to that Huygaard answer there? Because I think it's intriguing to note and it doesn't mean that my math and my model is correct here. But one of the things I looked for is I never love to just take a pure accuracy number. Because I agree with David with the answer of if you are not finding fairways, you're going to need a specific game to kind of get around that. And I do think Huygaard has the strength to do that out of the rough. But one of the things that I found most intriguing is when I took an off the T number, I included thick rough and I included every single course that I could find that had water that kind of came into play in a very similar mentality. And I then just looked at strokes in off the T in that capacity there while including some of the accuracy numbers. Huygaard jumped into being a top 20 driver in that sense for me. So, you know, maybe there's something to be said about the course fit here for Huygaard where it ends up just giving him a little bit more upside. But at the end of the day, it comes down to what David was talking about. There's a volatile play that's a GPP only sort of target. If he ends up missing fairways and he crumbles, like there's ball up potential with a lot of water in play, but I'm going to shoot for that upside in certain contests where there is that upside that can be rewarded. That totally makes sense. And I think for DFS purposes, we're always looking for upside in these tournaments. That's the key. The upside is what unlocks it. And unless you're playing cash, you got to take risks to make it to when these laps work. All right, with my fourth pick here, I actually pivoted what I was originally going to take because I think this guy is another underpriced guy who's getting overlooked. And I think, you know, the ownership is probably going to be higher than it should. And I think some people are going to look at him and say, you know, you've been playing so well, this can't continue because we don't really know who he is that well. But I don't think it's a flute. And it's all about the ball striking and that's Jake Knapp. You know, he won the Mexico Open. He got fourth at the Cognizant, but his ball striking has been absolutely electric. I mean, his ball striking has been so great that I don't think this is a fluke or he just got a hot week punting. I think he's just a really good player. He's a really good ball striker. I think that's going to show this week to get another guy under 8K. You know, he's not competing against the rhymes of the world. A lot of those guys are out. I think he just might be, especially right now, a better caliber golfer than he's getting credit for. And I think the upside's there. I think the top 15 top top 20 result is certainly in play to get him under a K is a great value. And just get quick snapshot of number. I mean, he gained almost nine strokes on approach. And the Mexico Open and then he gained three strokes. Last week at the Cognizant, absolutely crushing his driver. He's also making a lot of pups and that's the combination to win the tournament. So there's a lot to like about him. You know, I think the only concern is like, Hey, can you keep this run up and tell you proves me wrong. I think he can. So I feel pretty good about this pick. Although you first spent, will you be playing NAP at all this week? I like Jake Knapp. I agree with your general assessment of him. I've kind of been having this. I released a bunch of head to head plays on Monday. One of those plays was NAP versus post in and it's been one of those things with data golf where data golf like the other side of the matchup. I think when I released it originally napped the numbers shifted far in the direction of him, all of a sudden data golf released their numbers and it shifted far back in the other direction of posting. And now we've landed in this spot where when you check those totals over on the site that it's at every couple hours, it's moved 10 points one way or another with it. But I think NAP's ball striking is legitimately good. I think this is a pristine golfer that is kind of starting to show that I don't know what took him so long for him to get to this level. And you never know with some of these guys, but now that he's finally here as a 29 year old, I love what I see from every single time he plays. I'm with you on that. David, we'd be playing Jake Knapp at all this week and you are on the clock with your fourth pick. I'll give the same answer about Jake Knapp as I kind of said with the Adam Scott pick. I think that for me, this is the kind of golf course is one of the highest golf courses in terms of correlated history to future performance. And I think part of that comes down to the fact that you do benefit from having a bit of experience and having played it before. And that would be my concern with Jake Knapp is that I think undoubtedly he's a talent and we can see that and you're completely right to draw that from the numbers. I just wonder if this particular course where a bit of course history can play a benefit, a bit of experience in general when these kind of difficult grind fest can play a benefit. And if I can get Adam Scott $100 cheaper and less ownership and get all that experience and his games in great form as well, that's probably the route that I personally would prefer to go. I think if I was directly comparing the two, I would agree with David there I would very slightly rather play Adam Scott but it was one of those situations where I thought both of them for the ownership that they were receiving it's not a small number necessarily. I thought both of them were good plays regardless of the situation. There you have it. All right, David, your fourth pick, you have an average 7500 to spend who you looking at. Yes, I'm going to go. I'm a bit worried that this player might not make it back to me. If I leave it to the audience. So I'm actually going to go right down way down to $6,300 and take a Lucas Glover and give him a chance. It's extremely, extremely low value. I think that Lucas Glover obviously we know the issue with Glover is like which part is going to turn up. He was game strokes putting all be it very marginal on the field last week at the cognizant classic and the approach numbers are still there obviously as well. He's obviously a past US Open champion. He's had a good record here. He's had his seventh and tenth back in 2017, 2019. He became the Lucas Glover that he did towards the end of last year. I mean, we'd think back to August when he's wearing back to back tournaments. There was no chance he would be anywhere near the $6,300 price. And those are in actually some pretty decently strong fields as well. So I love the long iron metrics that I'm getting from from Lucas Glover. I think this kind of grindy test will suit him and the fact that it's going to be high scoring. Maybe there's less reliance on this putter in saying that a ditch did see some minor signs of life from his putting strike and last week at the cognizant. So he's on a decent run and I think 6,300 is way too cheap for him. Oh, there you have it. You know, there was a time late last year where he was really hot and there was really the putter. I mean, he's usually a pretty good ball striker, but the putter was hot and we were talking about is this a permanent change for Lucas Glover? Is he now in a length here? That hasn't been the case, but listen, he's come all the way back down to 6,300. There was a week last year where we were saying he might be a permanently 8k golfer. So certainly the upside is there. I can endorse that pick audience. You got to. I see nominations coming in. We still need to get the doubles to make sure your picks are locked in while we wait. Spence. Will you be playing Lucas Glover at all this week? I think I'm going to. For me, there were three golfers in the $6,000 section that if you just want to ignore course history and everything that they've put together recently and you just want to shoot for maximum upside of what their potential is. If the pieces come together, I'll name them on this show. I mean, it might end up affecting me a little bit, but I think Lucas Glover is one of them. I think Adam Spencer is another and I think Cameron Davis would be the third there. So, you know, mix and match those that would kind of be my suggestion there. But I think Glover makes a lot of sense for the price. If you're just shooting for pure maximum upside. Agreed. If you're looking for someone also that down in that range, first of all, before I get into this audience, we still need one more. One's in. They'll need one more. Get that last pick in with the comment I'm going to say is, and I say this on this show quite often. Make sure you build your player pool before you make your lineups. And then once you build your player pool, then make your lineups. Don't get into a situation where you've got five guys you like, and then you got to squeeze one more in and you maybe only have 6100. So you just pick some random guy down there that you maybe didn't believe in to make that one more because that one guy is will destroy that line up. So the reason I'm saying that is if you like Lucas Glover, put him in your player pool, then he can be the guy you can fit as that last guy and that you'll feel okay with. But don't just play. I'm just because that was the only number that you can afford. All right. Audience. Good job. And Ducky is locked in. And it looks like Willie Z is the second, which really upsets me because that's why I was planning on picking next. So now I got to really rework the rest of my strategy here, but two solid picks from my perspective. Spends to start with you. Are you on the deck or really Z this week? I'll keep my answers short. I mean, they're both currently in my player pool right now. I think both are savvy plays like there's a handful of these $8,000 options. If you're trying to get different with the build and not get stuck with all the ownership of the Cam Young's and the Fleetwoods and a lot of those names, which think they're all in play. I think Ducky's one of those names that you could consider pivoting towards or just including into your player pool. And I love the numbers that I got from Zallatorus this week. There was a lot of similar returns with him that I had with Cam Young, maybe not quite as much on the high end of the spectrum there with it. But I think there's a reason why he's trending in the right direction right now. There you have it. Makes sense. David, how about you? Do you be playing Zallatorus? Hey, Ducky, and you're on the clock with your fifth pick. I probably of the two preparers, Zallatorus. I think the course is a little bit long for the met to younger and some of the approach numbers that I'm getting for him. Willing Z is obviously going to be extremely popular because he's both best pool strikers in the game. And I think that it's somewhat justified though, given the talent level that he obviously possesses. And if he is fully healthy, I don't think that there'd be any question that 8,900 was kind of good value for him. I'm going to go and stick in that 8K range just like the audience has and take Corey Conner. Sorry, 7,800. What a bargain. Corey Conner's for my next pick. One of the best in this field for approach over 200 and also in the 150 to 200 bucket. Most of these golfers are only going to see between four to five strokes under 150 yards on this course, which is very, very low for the PGA Tour. He's got a very good history here as well. He finished the back in 2021, gaining strokes, cutting. He also finished 21st in 2023, also gaining strokes, cutting in 2022. He lost strokes, cutting but still managed to finish the lead. So the approach game looks in really good form. Has a missed cut since middle of June last year. And the approach looks like it's a red hot form, and all you're really hoping is that you catch a hot part of with him. Yeah, there you have it. I was I and Conners as well. You know, like you said, you value course history. He's got a really good history. This does seem like a really good spot where he could rise. So you have my endorsement there. I don't know if we lost Joel. We've had the first withdrawal for Joel's team and it is unfortunately it's Joel. Joel was withdrawing from his own team again. Until we get Joel back, I guess I'll talk a little bit about Conners. Like I mentioned how Adam Scott was one of those names and even Jake Knapp. Like there's a handful of these players in the $7,000 section where I do think that despite the ownership, they are really good plays. And this is where the public has gotten a lot of these spots, right? I would say Conners is another one of those options at $7,800. Like I prefer him probably compared to everybody else in that upper $7,000 range. I think Ben on would be the other one for me where there is ownership around him, but I like a lot of the returns we're getting. I see Joel's back now, so we'll move forward in the draft. But there's there's a lot of names in that $7,000 range for me that had value this week. For sure. So apologies. So back to what I was saying. My pick Sam Burns, I think he was mentioned earlier a couple of rounds ago. He's playing great. I mean, we're getting peak Sam Burns right now. You're still getting him at 9300. I think he's just as current form. He's playing just as well as some of those guys in the upper 90 K range or 10 K range. He's the guy that and at the way he's playing, I want him in my life every week. I think it's a value. There's plenty of upside and you know with Burns. He's capable of having those super hot putter weeks where he can just kind of blow by the field because he's making every part too. So I think Burns brings a ton of upside and a fair price this week, if not under price. So love Burns here. We'll go to you first David. Will you be playing Sam Burns all this week? I think just given the ownership, I might be in an avoid on Sam Burns. Admittedly, he's in really good form, but I'm getting like over 15% ownership on Sam Burns at the moment. And I kind of like the stance that Spence took going. Someone like Colin Maricauer there looked to get a little bit different because he's getting some pretty high ownership. Like almost like Olympic ownership numbers. And I again would rather probably spend the extra 200 to go up to look. I'm sure is actually probably what you would have done in that spot if you had the option of taking a look there as you mentioned earlier in the draft. Exactly. There you have it. Spence, you've got two to round out your draft. Before you get your two, will you be playing Burns at all? Probably not because of the ownership, but it's what David just talked about. It's when players are off the board, it makes decisions have to be in a much more condensed range of options. I do like that Sam Burns has drifted out to being a favorite against speed and Cameron Young. Those are two golfers that I like this week. So, I mean, whether that's public money or sharp money, that's something to dive deeper into. But I just think he's a better cash game play than an upside target for me. I would rather attack the upside nature of like an over or even a Colin Maricauer there. But to round out my build, this is where I wish I could have the option of an Adam Scott. I think that the ownership around him would be perfect for the lineup that I have. I have the leverage that's created with Mora Kawa and Hoi Guard. You throw Scott into this. I think it's very simple to round it out. I am going to go with a golfer that face planted worse than anybody that was not named Thomas D. Tree last week. 12 consecutive tournaments where he had gained strokes with his approach. I worry a little bit and he lost like five and a half strokes last week with approach. So, I'm going to view as an outlier. I worry a little bit here that this may just be too long of a course room and too difficult to track with some of the numbers I have. But with Keegan off the board with Jaeger off the board with Adam Scott and Nap and all of these names. I am going to go with Eric Cole at 7400. If Eric Cole doesn't provide that miscut that we got and let's just say hypothetically last week. He came in 17th place. I think it's probably a thousand dollars more expensive like markets have been waiting for better or for worse with it. To take Cole into this range where every single week no matter what kind of form he's been putting together. They want to fade him in matchups. They want to fade him in out rights like his numbers always drift in the wrong direction. And there was one reason that he gave books or in this case draft Kings here to actually move them down. They immediately moved them down back into this range. So, I'll bet on what we've seen from him in some of these situations. And then to round this out, let me make sure how much I have here. So, 6900. So, for me there's with Glover being off the board and not leaving value or money on the table in that range. I think it's Cameron Davis or Emiliano Greo that for me are the two names that most intrigue me. I have a lot of boomer bus potential with this lineup already and some of the results that Cameron Davis has put up this course. Do worry me ever so slightly. I'm going to bet on what we have seen so far this year from Greo. Like, you know, he started this at like if we just take this back to the Sony seventh at the Sony 20th at the farmers 14th at Pebble 22nd in Phoenix. Last couple results 44th and 33rd, but I don't know if I necessarily need to shoot for all that upside that my model has for Davis. I'd rather take a little bit more of the safety there. I don't love this $6,000 range full transparency there. Kind of trying to avoid this section as much as I can, but I think Greo gives me more safety than a lot of these other names would. I think that makes sense. I like I think Greo offers some upside too. I mean, we've seen if Greo can find a hot putter. I think there is top 20 to 15 upside out of him as well. So as a low salary speaking play there, I like that pick. David, what say you want on a million real? Can I talk about Eric Cole? Of course. What I just want to put out there on Eric Cole is like, I think that we as an industry tend to completely overreact to last week's result and the fact that he was so high owned and missed the cut. Like now you're getting like 5% ownership in Eric Cole. Eric Cole grew up at Bay Hill Golf Club. So when his mother remarried, her husband was a member of Bay Hill Golf Club. And so as a teenager, Eric Cole played Bay Hill dozens, maybe hundreds of times. So I mean, he's headed history grown up here. He lives in Jupiter, Florida. He's going to be completely under owned because of the fact of last week, what happened. And I think that it's a really interesting place to get different. I do think the length of the golf course again, it's been kind of alluded to, can play a mission. It's not overly straight or overly long off the tee. And that can be an issue just in general, like any PGA tool of course. But his approach by his really elite is how he's a history in this golf course. And I think in a GPP lineup, he's a really intriguing player. I think he's pretty sharp. Yeah, his best friends with Sam Saunders, which is what David's talking about, that's Arnold Palmer's grandson. I do worry about the length. That would be the one drawback, but less than 5% ownership after all this. It's like a spot to kind of close my eyes and the models to like some. It's an overreaction at the end of the day. Like he's moved too far in value. And we mentioned that a lot on the show. The overreaction is like the guys you want to target because not that much has changed. Right? One missed cut or one disappointing showing shouldn't change your complete outlook going forward on that golfer. So, and I think that's what you tune into the jackets for. It's those insights. Knowing he grew up on this course, knowing that this isn't going to be a familiar challenge for him that may have an additional edge. That may mean that everybody knows about. So that's a big factor in making that decision as well. I love it. Alright, and you know, my last pick, I'm selling the similar theme, right? Like who was for a long time being this year, the darling of DFS and of the PGA Tour. And now is kind of like he misses one cut and I'm not being mentioned anymore. Justin Thomas, right? Justin Thomas was the guy two weeks ago, right? He was the best guy. He's so hot. He was like 40 something percent old, which was absurd in that tournament. Missed the cut. And now, like his name is barely being mentioned this week. Now it's a little bit of a more loaded field, but the prices certainly right. He's affordable. I'm seeing, you know, about 10% ownership. I'm not sure if my number is right, but don't forget to tune in, get into discord. You get Stephen's article coming out tomorrow, which will be the most accurate order of articles you will see. But only 9k for as good as Justin was playing, heading into last week's missed cut. I still think there's plenty of upside in him heading into this week's tournament. It's been a little to you. Will you be playing Thomas all this week? I don't think I'm going to be Joel. I worry about him a little bit. Now, the one answer I'll give to that. And this may be the better way to get exposure if you want to go down this route. I think draft Kings has a head to head match up. And this is, I'm not, I mean, I've been picking on Harris English over and over again. But there is a Justin Thomas minus one 20 versus Harris English out there. I thought that was an intriguing price. We moved too far of the course history on Harris English and whatever this return is from the missed cut on Justin Thomas. I don't know if it's the best value I've ever seen on the board because my numbers didn't necessarily have Thomas to be this pristine value. But there was an edge there at minus one 20, even if it was only by a handful of points. Oh, there you have it. David. Give us your take on Thomas this week and you're on the clock with your last pick. Yeah, I mean, like, I just, I guess, reiterate the points that you guys have made of these fallen off the radar massively. And he looks to have rebounded really well. I don't know if it's necessary, the best spot for him. I would love to see maybe a bit of wind come into the forecast. Although I'm saying that Stippines would happen Sunday with a bit of thunderstorms in the area with it. There's some delays because if there are delays, then Sunday could end up being very windy. And we saw what Justin Thomas did. For example, PJ Championship in Southern Hills when they got really windy and he went out on a tournament. So again, it was kind of like a tough kind of grindy feast that this is going to be. So don't mind the plane there at all. And I think Gary, he's fallen off the radar. Ownership looks too low. Other guys around there are taking all the ownership. So I think he's a really intriguing way to run it round out. You'll line up as well, leaving 400 on the table as well. So rounding up my line up here. Obviously my preferred route towards the end here would have been to gone. Tom Hokey came young. Joel ruined my draft from the start. By taking those with his first two picks and completely destroyed this for me. So I'm kind of in between a choice here between Jason Day and Wyndham Clark. I think I'm going to go for Wyndham Clark just on the basis of his US Open victory. The length of the tee, the 200 yard plus kind of metrics he get from him. In saying that Jason Day is a past champion here. He's looked really good. Of late his approach numbers look back. He's finished six of the people beach in a similar kind of field. And then ninth of the geniuses. Again, a really tough tournament as well. I just think that Wyndham Clark obviously with his length of the tee has got to be at the end. In a GPP kind of aspect. I think that his upside is maybe a tad higher than Jason Day's. So, Mr. Kabuki, are you sure? But I'll take the ownership. Just going to be at Jason Day and go there. Before we hand over, I will also say that at least the audience takes him. I'm really surprised that Moonwoo Lee has not been taken. Because he's just the most egregious in this price of the entire year. Who did you say what you were surprised by? Minwoo Lee. Minwoo, yes, yes. Well, I agree with you. Well, first of all, before I dive in, audience, your last pick, you're on the clock. Get those nominations in. We need it doubled to complete the draft. But I was going to say, Wyndham Clark is the epitome of that upside golfer, right? Like, yeah, you can get to that disappointing result. But you know when he's on and he has that hot week, he looks good. He can compete to win the tournament. We've seen them have those flashes. If you're looking for upside, especially for a GPP, I like the Wyndham target, the Wyndham Clark target for that type of profile. Audience, we still need that last pick and get those nominations and doubles. Spence, what's your take on Wyndham Clark this week? I think it's a tough decision between Dan Clark in the situation that David was in there. Clark is going to give you that upside out of thick, rough, some of those longer iron proximities that are going to be better than Jason days. I think if you, it's tough because, like, if ownership didn't matter here, I probably would take Jason day, but if one guy's 5% and one guy's 13%, I mean, I don't, maybe David ended up going the right way just based off of that answer there. But I think they're very close. Do you have it? I like it. Any conversation that includes Jason Day is tough for Spence. We all know that. Wyndham Clark is my new love now. Wow. That's like infidelity on your golf fandom. No, I made a public statement after I hit Wyndham Matt. You know, hit him at the US Open, then hit him again at Pebble Beach. I made a public statement that it was a good run with Jason Day. We went about 10 years. A lot of hurt and pain that he caused me along the way. It wasn't always sunshine and rainbows with him, but Wyndham Clark has always given back to me in situations in ways that Jason Day never did. I have a discord chat that we talk about all this. And profile picture went from Jason Day on the buzz light. You're right to Wyndham Clark in the club twirl. So it was a big move that was made. It was a tough situation, but, you know, not all lovers are meant to be with you forever. It's fair enough. Sometimes you got to make the tough choices. I get it. I get it. Audience. Great job getting the last pick in Ricky Fowler. Lock it in. Ricky's brought us a little bit of a roller coaster. We've seen it upside. We've seen flashes. We've been disappointed. I'm a little bit torn on Ricky right now. I'm probably not going to plan, but I will say this audience with where you are and having had all the other guys already taken. At this point, I can totally understand Ricky being the pick. Before we wrap up this draft, David, will you be playing Ricky Fowler all this week? I will not. Ricky Fowler's just doesn't look good. He just really does not at the moment. His game works off. Some of the misses are just completely out of control and just not even close to being anywhere near that he's wanting to head to the moment. I appreciate the position the audience is in there. The guys like Tom Hoege and Nick Lachowigart and Jaeger maybe would have gone too. I think he would have gone to the defending champion, probably taking Kukadiyama in their spot there. I think that he's got some pretty decent metrics that suit this course well. We know that when he gets in contention, he tends to stick in contention as well. It's all some of the things that Scott showed him when he was in contention of that golf course there. I maybe would have gone Kukadiyama over Ricky Fowler occasionally. How about you spend, will you be on Fowler at all this week? It's just so boomer bust. I don't know if you actually have to get that aggressive with the play. Some of my numbers have some intrigue around him. When you look at what he's done recently, though, which is David's point there. It's just been bad across the board for almost. What are we up to now six months continuously of this? Yeah, it hasn't been great. It hasn't been great. Fair enough. We appreciate the time we're not done yet. Do us a favor. Hit the like button. Give us a follow. It goes a long way. Get signed up. Get in the win daily discord. We'll have weather updates to make sure you know who's teeing off with. If there is an edge, we will let you know. You'll get Stephen's ownership article before the weekend. The best ownership article in the business. We'll get a better understanding of what these ownership numbers look like before you're under your DFS lineups. Before we let you go tonight, we will have some first round leaders. David, we'll start with you in the first round leader market. Who are you looking at? Yeah, but before we do, I just want to do want to give my most surprised that wasn't drafted and reiterate that. Minwoo Lee is going to be like 16% owned. But his price is just so egregiously wrong that it's not even funny. He's in betting markets. He's 33 to 1. He's alongside the likes of Matt Fitzpatrick, who's 8600. You can get Minwoo Lee for 6600. Makes absolutely no sense. They've just got it completely wrong. It's bizarre that he wasn't taken on the start because the price is just so outrageously out of line. The benefit is that if he does miss the cut, you're going to have some pretty good leverage on everyone else because he's going to be a pretty common part of people's builds. For the first round leaders this week, I've got four. So these are available over when daily sports. As I mentioned, join in the description. We've got the first week for just $1 if you want to come and see what we're all about. We're going to have lots of great deals coming up in the lead up to the Masters as well as we count down to Augusta. We've already had three futures in the bets there. So in our first round lead market, we've got Ken Young, 33 to 1, recommending one unit each way. There's all with uni bet by the way. Tom Hoey at 66 to 1, Matt Epiphon at 66 to 1, and rounding out with my favourite longshot of the week, Lucas Glover at 90 to 1. I have to step in here. The first I have four and the first three you said were all three were on. I was like, we didn't have the exact same card on the first. That was bizarre that we were so similar. But yeah, I stole the lead. I basically had the same card as you did. So that was interesting. There is something to it being a smaller field, right? There are less guys to choose from. So I think it's an interesting first round leader market from that perspective. But yeah, I can remember none of my favourite play. I'm looking at DraftKings. I'm using a different book finish. My numbers might be a little different. I came from a young at 31. I had Hoey at 45 to 1, Pavon at 50 to 1, and the one guy that we were not aware of that you didn't mention that I like, who has been a topic of this show, and I know Spencer will not agree, is Harris English at 45 to 1. Alright, Spencer, how about your first round leader card? I don't have a first round leader card finalized at this moment. I think in potential Thursday, softer conditions, Cameron Young, Rory McElroy, those are the two names that see the biggest increase for that particular day. It's going to probably either be one of those names or both of those names, and that will be my first round leader card when everything is said and done. I like that. I agree. I'm adding Rory to mine because this is the spot for Rory. Rory loves this course, and I don't want to look back at the end of the first round and be like, obviously Rory is the first round leader. This is the spot to bet Rory. So I'm adding him to the card too. I second the Rory pick as well. Fun week ahead of us. I can't wait to tee off this week. A little bit more of a loaded field. I think we have some entertaining golf ahead of us. Thank you all for tuning in. We're going to post these line of fun Twitter. Let us know who you think is going to win. Put your votes in. Which team you think is the best. We're coming back next week. We're counting the champion and we'll do it again. That's a wrap for tonight. Anything that I may have for God. Not on my end. David. You know when you're listening to a true crime story that has an unbelievable plot twist that makes you stop in your tracks. That's what our podcast, People Are The Worst, brings you with each episode. I'm Rachel. And I'm Rebecca. We're identical twins who love true crime cases that make you say didn't see that coming and we hate the people responsible for them. Listen to People Are The Worst now on Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. [MUSIC]
It has been the year of the long shot on the #PGATour, with nearly every winner in 2024 being priced 100/1 or longer! We have already hit two of them this year! Let's go for more!
