In the latest episode of Locked On Gators, host Brandon Olsen dives deep into the upcoming showdown between the Florida Gators and the Miami Hurricanes. With the game set to kick off this Saturday, Brandon breaks down the crucial keys to victory for the Gators. He explores the strategic adjustments and game plans that will be essential for Florida to secure a win against their rivals. From analyzing the impact of key players and potential game-changing moments to examining the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, this episode provides a comprehensive look at what the Gators need to do to come out on top. Brandon also considers the broader implications of this game for the Gators' season and how a victory could shape their trajectory moving forward. Don't miss this insightful preview that sets the stage for a thrilling matchup in college football.
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Florida Gators Need to Break Tendencies Against the Miami Hurricanes - Billy Napier vs Mario Cristobal
(upbeat music) - It's the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. - The Florida Gators are going to have to break some tendencies if they are going to beat the Miami Hurricanes tomorrow afternoon. - You are locked on Gators. Your daily podcast on the Florida Gators. Part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. - Hello and welcome back to another episode of Lockdown Gators. Part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. Thanks for being locked on Gators, your first listen of the day. Every day, we are available daily and free reviews in the podcast and on YouTube. Happy Friday. I mean, the season starts tomorrow, this is nuts. I'm Brandon Olson. I'm on Twitter at WNS_brand and a five-hour energy, six is tired, fast. I flew in, two jacks inville, bought a five-hour energy, drank it, drove the Gainesville, and that is how I made that trip with a whole bunch of nonsense with my rental car. But with zero sugar and a convenient portable size, it's the perfect thing we have for getting stuff done. Get a five-hour energy.com, and he's probably called locked on CFB to receive 20% off your order. Offers only valid until September 30th, so the five-hour energy.com today. And like I said, the Florida Gators need to break some tendencies tomorrow against the Miami Hurricanes in order to beat them. Because I don't think you can go out there and do some of the same predictable things that you've done. I will say this, it wouldn't shock me if Russ Callaway was calling place. It wouldn't at all. It would not shock me if Russ Callaway was gonna be up there calling place. He is the one who's expected to be in the booth offensively. Yeah, wouldn't shock me at all if Russ Callaway was calling place tomorrow. I mean, whether or not that the season-long thing wouldn't shock me at all. And even if he's not calling place, trust me. I'm pretty confident that he had a heavy significant input in the game plan. And that matters when we talk about breaking tendencies. Because there are some coaches who they'll have whatever play they have. They'll have their tendencies wherever it may be. And it's not just a Billy Napier thing. It's not just any college coach thing. Coaches have tendencies. But when you're playing a big game, that tends to be when you break out, tends to get it. That tends to be when you break out the tendency breaker. It's like, oh, well, all season. We, every time we lined up in this specific formation, we ran tossed to the right. Well, take that toss and throw a bomb. Things like that. There's the story about, I think it was Greg Maddox, who he threw a fastball. It was like a blowout win. He threw a fastball to, I forgot who, but it was like a low-end fastball, raked it for a home run. The quip came out like two weeks ago on some interview. And then the catcher was like, why the hell did you throw that? We knew he'd send that. And he's like, well, because he's going to be looking for that pitch in the playoffs. And he's not going to get it. And it's going to throw him off. Things like that. I was just like, oh, we know what he's looking for. We know what they're looking for. When they come out in this look, when they get this, we know what they're planning on doing. And Florida had that tendency that you can kind of tell what they were going to do last year. If they came out in pistol, it was significantly more likely that they were running the ball than throwing the ball. It was also significantly more likely if they came out in pistol, that they were going to be in 12 personnel. So a lot of times you can go, okay, there's two Tetons on the field. We can expect pistol. We can expect a run. That's going to be pretty common for us. And if they came out and gun with 11 personnel, then you and all right, they're in gun. They're probably going to throw the ball. They got 11 personnel. We're looking for the pass here. Every time that Graham Mertz rolls out almost every time, it's going to be to the right side. That's not a Graham Mertz thing. Billy Napier throughout his entire career has rolled out his quarterback to their throwing side. Levi Lewis was lefty through it lefty. I believe it was Levi Lewis that was lefty. So when he had a left TV, he rolled him out to the left. When it's Graham, he rolled him out to the right. That was a thing that Billy Napier's always done. And that's fine. That's not a bad, not all tendencies are bad. I want to make that one clear. But you break out the tendencies breakers in big games like this. There's personnel-based tendency like last year when Trevor E.T.N. was on the field. 40% of his offensive snaps ended with him running the ball. 40%. I feel like that's a very high number. I mean, Montreal was like 33, 34%. It's like 40's a lot. I mean, if he's on the field for five plays, he's running it for two of those. Not running routes. He's running the ball there. And I feel like that kind of personnel tendency is another thing that Florida, you have to break against Miami. I think it's really important to not do what you've typically done. And I think that's why one of the reasons that Russ Calaway could be calling plays tomorrow. Again, I'm not saying it's a season long thing. It wouldn't shock me if you went, hey, we're gonna give you a go against Miami. And if it works and if our offense plays well and performs, maybe we'll make it go for the whole season. But it wouldn't shock me at all for us Calaway's calling plays 'cause I think that's the ultimate tendency breaker. Is, hey, Billy Napier had a part in the game plan. But the adjustments, that's gonna be Russ. That's gonna be different. Things like that, I think get overlooked frequently. And I think that breaking those tendencies also. But also defensively, you have to break those tendencies. Defensively, when Florida blitzed last year, it was almost exclusively from the off ball linebacker spot. Yeah, and I've said before, I think part of that might be that their linebackers weren't good enough in coverage. So you couldn't blitz a slot, the nickel DB. You couldn't blitz in because that meant that you were leaving a linebacker in coverage and that was a horrible decision, right? So it could be that Ron Roberts also historically throughout his career has liked the nickel blitz, specifically Austin Armstrong linebacker blitzer. And you could break that tendency of being a linebacker blitzer by bringing in the Ron Roberts nickel. Like you can do a lot of, and I feel like far too often people talk about Austin Armstrong loving to blitz the corner. He really didn't do it that frequently. But when he did blitz, it was almost always an off ball linebacker coming in. Break that tendency, it got really predictable because all fences could just go, hey, to the running back. They used to go, hey, running back. Just look at this linebacker. If we snap the ball and he runs in, take him up, if not, leak out, 'cause he's the guy. It's not as simple as, oh, like what we think it might be, this guy, it's as simple as Florida blitzer linebackers almost exclusively last year. That was it. There was nobody else that is rushing the passer a ton from any off ball spot other than linebacker. Break the tendencies, become less predictable with things. Even if it's something that you're really good at, break a tendency. Just you gotta give a new look, especially in a game where you are technically the underdog, even though I think a lot of for the Gators fans don't feel that way. You are technically the underdog. Break a tendency against them. That's when you break tendencies. When you're expected to lose the game, that's when you do it. And for Florida, I think that you have to against Miami. I think that Miami's obviously expected to be a really good football team. You got game one, they've probably been prepping for what you showed them last year, especially with the NBA going, hey, I'm calling plays this season. Again, I don't know if I fully buy that. I said that when he said it, I said I don't know if I fully buy it. And I still don't fully buy it. We'll see, I guess tomorrow, who's calling plays. But when Billy Napier said I'm calling plays over now, I don't fully buy that. We'll see if it's Russ Callaway and if it is Russ, then there's going to be probably some pretty significant differences between his play calling and Billy Napier's play calling. The system will still be the same. Scheme will still be the same, but play calling tendencies will be different, I think. And we could see that from Russ as the play caller. We could see Ron Roberts call him plays. They could be anybody up there, right? You've made significant changes to the coordinator positions, significant additions to the coordinator positions. Offensively, I need the floor to get her to keep Graham Mertz clean. We'll talk about that next. I'll knock on gators. Fuel up with factors, no prep, no mess meals, meet your wellness goals. Thanks to the menu of chef crafted meals with options like calorie smart, protein plus and keto. Factors fresh, never frozen meals are dietitian approved and ready to eat in just two minutes. So no matter how busy you are, you'll always have time to enjoy nutritious, great tasting meals. I've told you before, I eat factor meals all the time. I carb cycle, so on days when I don't work out, I have to eat clean keto factor meals. Exactly what I do. Head to factamils.com/lockedoncollege50. Use code locked on college 50 to get 50% off your first box, plus 20% off your next month. 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Eligible items, only exclusions apply in eBay guaranteed fit is only available to U.S. customers. Thanks for being locked on Gatorz, your first listen of the day, every day. We are available daily and free reviews from the podcast and on YouTube. Like I said, I'd need the four to Gatorz, by the way. Tomorrow, 9.30, 10 a.m. ish, rights union, live show, locked on Gatorz, locked on Canes, branded also in Arizona. We're doing it. But like I said, I need Gatorz to stay upright in this game. Keep him relatively clean, keep him upright, and I need upright in the sense of, I need him to not get sacked much. I expect him to get hit, I expect him to be under pressure. And honestly, I'm not overly concerned with that. Gatorz showed last year his ability to handle pressure and not force errors, okay? And then I need, when he threw the ball, he was not throwing it into contested catch area. He was not forcing things where they shouldn't be forced. That's good of him, right? To not throw the ball into traffic just because you're under pressure. Good for Graham. However, this is probably the area where I think Graham Mertz can really take the next step and improve as a quarterback. I've accepted, I don't think Graham is going to take many more physical stride developmentally. I think he's relatively capped out. He's not gonna all of a sudden get much faster. He's not going to all of a sudden start throwing the ball faster or further down field. He could do that just by tendency of having a clean pocket and being able to step into it and throw there. But I mean, he's not going to be able to flick out the wrist 40 yards down the field. That's just not him, and that's fine. But one thing where he needs to improve for me personally, too often last year, he would take a sack that was just back-breaking. It would be second and four, and he takes a sack, and it's third and nine, and now you're in an obvious passing situation. If it's second and four and you throw it away, third and four is still hey, they might run it, and if they don't get it, they might go for it. You still have that threat. But far too often last year, Graham Murch took just a back-breaking sack. Even on first down, it'd be, all right, well now it's second and 18, good luck. And then Billy Napier would run the ball and not get it. But that's where Graham can really take that next stride developmentally for me. Just throw the ball away, which he does need to throw the ball away more. She, in general, he needs to do that more. That's something that I know a lot of people will look at and say, oh, incompletion, bad, no. If you lose the down, you don't lose any yardage. He needs to throw the ball away more. I need him to tuck and run quicker. Again, I'm not saying to all of a sudden be like, oh, hey, make a first read and run. But I am saying that when things start kind of crumbling, I need you to get downhill. I need you to go forward and try to run for a first down, try to pick up a couple of yards. We saw him do it at some point last year. He just didn't do it enough. We saw him do it. I mean, he got injured last year doing that. He ran the ball through a Missouri defender, handed the ball off the next play, and then went down, wincing, grabbing his collar run. We saw him do it against the Utah. He scrambled. I believe he picked up the first down, thumb of the ball out of bounds, but picked up the first down with his legs. We need to see Graham do that when it's called for. But again, I'm not saying all the time, I'm not saying become Jaden Daniels, but I'm saying throw the ball away when nothing's there. Even if it means throw it at your running back speed, so you don't get an intentional grounding. Just get rid of it. So throw the ball away when it's not there. Run the ball when it is there. You know, if they're playing man coverage and you've got a little bit of space, I don't care if you're picking up three or four yards. You're not losing yardage. Pick up a little bit. Like again, that's something that, and I know it's going to be overlooked, but for me, that's something that makes Graham, that would make Graham merge so much better than he is. Because he doesn't give you many negative plays. Not taking those sacks would basically eliminate most of the negative plays we see from him so far in a Gator's uniform. He hasn't turned the ball over. He hasn't forced the ball into terrible coverage. He's done it a couple of times, but even then most of the time he's gotten away with it. Just stop taking those sacks and you keep your offense way more on schedule than you already do. And I was easier said than done, but keep Hayden Anson into pass block. One of the best pass blocking type ends in the country last year. Keep him into pass block. I think he went something like 60 pass block reps before giving up a single pressure. I think it was the LSU game was when he gave up his first pressure. Like that's pretty damn good for a guy that spent I think it was 30% of his passing down. That 33% of his passing down snaps in pass bro. A third of his passing down snaps he's in pass production. And he took him into what game nine to give up a pressure. Keep Hayden Anson into pass block. I've said before, I think that you put him on the side of the Ruben Baines on. And you should go, hey man, like if you want to come outside and rush, you're going to be rushing into a six foot eight, 267 pound tie then. And if you want to rush inside, then try that rushing inside. But we're going to have Hayden Anson outside and make you a little bit one dimensional, which of course Ruben Bain will probably try the approach of run through an offensive tackle. He's been pretty good at that. I wouldn't hate it if you put others boarding him in the back field and have him block. I'm not saying to put him as the lone back, but put him in the back field and have him block. We saw him play some snaps. There's a full back kind of in pistol. He was in next to grandma's. I scored a touchdown. That's not a mistake. And it was boot slides, which ran to the flat part, it was wide open. But I wouldn't hate putting our list back there and having him pass block or work on a block and release something. But I do think that you're probably going to keep six blockers in a good amount. That's fine by me. If that's what Montrell Johnson is doing, if that's his main priority, if any of the other running backs have impressed you there, we've heard that Trey on web has been impressing in past protection. Maybe he's the guy that gets the nod there, but keeping Graham upright is what's important. Again, I don't earlier, I was like, "Oh, keep him clean." Maybe not. He's going to get hit. He's going to get pressured. That's fine, but can't get the sex. And I'm saying keep Graham upright because I don't care if that's Graham throwing it away, Graham running, keeping extra pass blockers in, running screens to negate the pass rush and just let them rush in and throw it right back. I don't care what it is, keep Graham upright so that you're not losing yardage for no reason. That you're just essentially forcing yourself into a, "Hey, we're probably going to have to punt situation." His Billy Napier has not shown that he's the guy where he's like, "Oh, third and long, we're just going to throw a bomb." And if it's picked, we're going to count it as a punt. He's tend to run the ball there. So I need to see this offense. Keep Graham Mertz upright. Keep you in a winnable position offensively. And I don't mean win the game. I mean, win the down, win the down, win the down, down by down basis. Keep yourself in a winning position ahead of the six, which is also what I think Florida needs to keep Miami from doing. We'll talk about that next on lockdown gators. I told you guys earlier that I drank a five-hour energy today after my flight. I flew in to Jacksonville, landed a four-ish, was just gas because I was up late last night working, getting things prepped for the show and for this weekend. And I could not sleep on the flight, which irritated me. The person next to me also irritated me. So that was fun. But I got off the flight, got a five-hour energy, got my rental car, which was a nightmare, by the way. And then I drove to Gainesville, a five-hour energy, helped me through it. I mean, look, I've told you before, I'm a caffeine guy. I need my caffeine and with zero sugar and a convenient portable side, it's a shot. It's a shot. It's the perfect paper for getting stuff done. The five-hour energy website is Flavors Galore, like Watermelon, Tropical Burst. Grape is my favorite. I had Barry today. It was the only flavor available. Not bad. Not bad. I'm not as good as grape, but not bad. If you go to fivehourenergy.com, it's the number five, hourenergy.com, and get some five-hour energy products today. You can use our promo code lost on CFB to receive 20% off your order. It offers only valence until September 30th on one order and cannot be used with other promotions. The code is not good on subscription orders. So do fivehourenergy.com today. Thanks very much, Don Gator. It was your first listen of the day, every day. We are available daily and free. Grab your list on the podcast and on YouTube. And like I said, I think it's important for the Florida Gators to stay ahead of the stakes offensively. I think it's important, especially in this game, to keep Miami behind the sticks offensively. And behind the stakes, I mean, keeping them in an obvious passing-down situation. You need to win the early downs defensively for your Florida Gators. First off, it's important to win the early downs against the guy like Damian Martinez. Damian Martinez, at Oregon State, showed that when he gets a little bit of a rhythm going, he can be a bit of a handful to deal with defensively. He is a physical runner. He's got a lot of skill. He'd be in the NFL right now if he was eligible. He's just not eligible yet, but he'd be in the NFL right now. Damian Martinez is a damn good back. I think that keeping him away from building that momentum, he's just one of those runners where he could just keep going downhill and keep moving downhill. And again, just becomes a menace to deal with. Keep him out of a rhythm. Like if he comes onto the field and he runs the ball first down, we'll say, you stop him, then they throw the ball. His teams tend to do that in a second and eighth. Stop, I mean, game three or less. Teams tend to throw the ball once they get to second and eighth, second and nine. That's just, again, one of those statistically, that's the right decision to make. Analytically, that's the right decision to make. And so they tend to do that. Keep Miami in those situations where they have to throw the ball. I'm not saying that their passing attack is going to be bad. But I'm saying it's a lot easier to defend someone where you go, hey, we know they're throwing the football, or we're pretty confident they're throwing the football. We're going to worry about that more than worrying about the run. Stop in the run. We're going to go, yep, whatever coverage you're calling, you put yourself in position to call whatever coverage you want to call and that third down. You go, hey, third and seven, we're going to go play just cover two men. Press yet the line, have help over top. Rush four, and just hope that we get to can ward there, or that he forces a throw into coverage where you've got two safeties over top. You give yourself that freedom. Also, I will say this, would be nice to keep that offensive line from finding a rhythm going downhill. This is also their first game as a full offensive line with the new center. I think that that's very important, that center continuity. We saw some of it with Florida last year when they didn't have that center continuity, that there'd be constant little screw-ups that you were like, well, that probably shouldn't have happened. But it did because of these center changes. I think you win those early downs. Keep Damian Martinez out of a rhythm. Keep him from picking up this chunk play, chunk play, chunk play. Keep him out of the rhythm. I'd imagine they would throw swings in screens soon to try to get him the ball in space and try to just work there. But for Florida, I think winning those early downs keeps Canboard in what's a not impossible spot, but a difficult spot. And again, on paper, this is a Miami offense that can run the ball, can throw the ball, will protect their quarterback, will give rushing lanes to the running back, good receivers, not tight ends. Promising tight ends, I guess. But I need to see it from Arroyo. I'm not just going to say he's good for no reason. So I need to see that. But every other spot isn't a true question mark for me, at least, I know that there are some people more skeptical of Canboard than I am. That's fine, I'm not going to fight you on it. But keeping an offense that can do both and kind of forcing them to just do one, that's a big advantage for you. And by that, I mean, compared to having to defend ball. If you've got them in third and sixth, third and seventh, third and eighth, expect a passing play, right? If your idea is, hey, Canboard has struggled when teams have rushed three and just put eight into coverage. And he tends to kind of make a mistake. That's when he makes mistakes. That's why with Alexander and the lockdown crossover yesterday, I said he has that little like the Caleb Williams in him of when he's given that time and nothing's there. And also the run isn't there. They make mistakes. Caleb Williams did that all the time. Canboard did that as well. I watched his state. He did that in car and I wore it. He does that. He could adapt. He could change short, but make him prove it, right? If your idea is, hey, we're going to sit in coverage with eight in coverage and we're going to let him make a mistake, then let him make a mistake. If your idea is, hey, we're going to play press man, cover zero blitz everybody else and we're going to get pressure on him while he's covered while the receivers are covered by our DBs, then do that. But give yourself the freedom of making that decision. That's what I'm saying. I'm not saying that you have to play one specific. But give yourself the freedom of calling whatever coverage you call on what's considered your money down there. Because you win those early downs, Miami will throw the ball at third and long. Third and medium, third and long. They will throw the ball. Like that's what they should be doing, right? You went out into the portal, got yourself one of the highest ranking quarterbacks in the portal, got yourself a productive receiver from Houston and Sam Brown. You went out there and you got yourself a Zach Carpenter at center, you went out there and you invested in things that will contribute to your passing attack, right? Passing situation, you should pass the ball. Give yourself that freedom of deciding what they're going to do. If you force them to third and long, get thrown in the ball. That's fine. Make your decision of what kind of coverage you're going to play to how you're going to stop it. Win those early downs, force Miami into tough spots, and force them to punt early. Because we know Florida, I think they're going to run the ball a lot or go quick pass and just try to move the six, dominate time of possession. Again, I took the under in this game. No shock at all there. I think that we're going to see more unders early on in the season before Vegas adapt. But until then, I think we see unders. I think that you can force some punts, run the ball. And again, both teams are going to try to run the ball. Miami is going to try to run the ball as well, especially in early downs. Gives you less opportunities to make mistakes throwing the ball. Gives you less opportunities to have any kind of wonky situation happen where we've seen it all the time in college football. Just stupid things happen because it's still college football here. And these aren't professionals yet. So still just wonky things up. Run the ball. They're low risk plays. That's what everybody wants to do, right? Keep the clock moving in a game that should be close and is a rivalry game. You are going to want to keep the ball on the ground out of the way of making errors, right? Windows early downs force them to throw it. Force them to maybe make some mistakes in the air where their quarterback has had mistakes throwing the ball. Not a ton of them, more so when he tries to hero ball it. You could force him into trying to hero ball it. Again, rush three, drop eight, and he tries to hero ball. That's when he screws it up. So Florida, win the early downs there. Keep Graham Mertz clean. Break your tendencies. Win the damn football game. Please, thanks for making "Lockdown Gators" your first listen of the day, every day. We are available daily and free rivers in the podcast. And on YouTube, we will be back tomorrow, live before the game with Alexander of "Lockdown" Keynes. That'll be at Wright's Union, 9.30, 10 a.m. And after the game, haven't decided yet how we're going to set that up. I might do it at the tailgate if we still got the space. Might have come back to the Airbnb and do it there. But we will have a video coming out after this game. Win, lose, draw, I guess. Well, we will have a video coming out of this game for "Lockdown Gators" and Brandon Olson. Don't forget to follow me on Twitter at WNS and it's where we're at Brandon. If you want to find out my written over at John and Henry and I will see you all next time. Hey Prime members, you can listen to this "Lockdown" podcast ad-free on Amazon Music. Download the Amazon Music app today. (upbeat music)
