Episode 1167: Brice Paterik discusses the importance of Chris Young signing a long-term extension, why Roki Sasaki might be Texas' biggest free agent target this winter, and Sebastian Walcott's dominant first week in AA.
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It's the Lockdawn Podcast Network, your team every day. It took a little longer than we initially expected, but Chris Jung is here to stay for the long term. And here's why that's a great thing for the Rangers. You are Lockdawn Rangers, your daily Texas Rangers Podcast, part of the Lockdawn Podcast Network, your team every day. You are Lockdawn to the World Series Champion Texas Rangers. I'm Bryce Patrick, a cripplingly addicted Texas Rangers fan covering this team for 11 seasons, including all six as the founder and host of this podcast. Thank you so much for making Lockdawn Rangers your first listen every single day. If not already, you can follow me on Twitter @pricepattark. You can follow this show @lockdawnrangers. Hit subscribe on your favorite podcasting platform and on YouTube where the best way can help grow this show is to comment nearly any single thing below. Now, before we get into Chris Jung's promotion and long term extension, what he was doing in Japan that makes me incredibly excited about the future of the Rangers and their top position player prospect, who is having a great first week in double A. This show is brought to you by FanDul. Now through September 22nd, all FanDul customers can bet $5 and get a three week free trial of NFL Sunday Ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV. Just visit fandul.com to get started. Now the Rangers announced this weekend that Chris Jung is here to stay the general manager, excuse me, former general manager, Chris Jung, the hometown Highland Park kid, the former Texas Rangers player. Turn GM Turn World Series champ is here for the long haul. The Rangers announced during the series against Seattle that Chris Jung has signed a multi-year extension and earned a title bump, a well-earned promotion to president of baseball operations. Now, what does that title bump mean? Not much. It probably means a pretty hefty pay increase, the general consensus that the going rate for general managers or Pobo's or whoever is leading the front office was believed to be around $5 million. I don't know if he got more or less than that. There is no word yet on how many years the contract was. The general consensus, according to Evan Grant, of the Dallas Morning News is that deals of this nature are expected to be around five years in length. So just the pure guesstimate is five years, $25 million, whatever it was, Chris Jung is here to stay. He is going to be here for the long haul. It's a little annoying that it took this long. I was getting a little worried, but Ray Davis was never worried. Chris Jung apparently was never worried. This was always the plan, and this is a great sign for the Texas Rangers for now and for years to come, mainly because the inverse would have been a truly embarrassing and horrific look if you let your very young homegrown GM, if you will, who is turned this Rangers pitching development apparatus into something that is looking good. Dare I say good? I'll say competent, which is a huge, huge step up from where it had been. And one of the things that really, really great franchises do, really great GM's and Pobo's do, Pobo is short for president of baseball operations. Much more fun to say and much fewer, many fewer syllables. But one of the things that those successful head of baseball operations do is they develop homegrown pitching, homegrown starting pitching to be particular, something this franchise has not done very well that, you know, most franchises don't do very well. There's a very, very difficult thing to do. It is why the Mariners have had a lot of success over the last couple of years. Now unfortunately for them and their fan base, that hasn't led to postseason success. More fortunate for us, but it has been very, very good with the Dodgers. They have done a great job of developing homegrown talent, now keeping all of their pitchers healthy. That is another story. The Astros as unfortunate as it is, as they've been as good as they have been, they've done a great, great job of developing very good homegrown starting pitching, same with the Rays and the Guardians. Those teams have been very good and very consistent and the thing that has separated the teams like the Rays and the Guardians from teams like the Astros and the Dodgers is that, well, teams like the Dodgers and the Astros, they're a little bit more willing to go spend at the top end of the market, somewhere more commensurate with where their team should be with all the TV money and the other money and everything coming in. And the Rangers have shown the ability and the willingness to spend at the top end of this market. I mean, they bought basically an entirely new rotation before the 2023 season. It ended up leading them to a World Series championship, but Chris Young is worried not just about the first one, but about the second one and the third one and the fourth one and all the championships to come and being sustainably pretty darn good. And this year has been an abject failure in that. This is year two at the helm and it has been a hot mess for Chris Young and company, granted there's been a lot more fall off than I think most people could reasonably expect from basically the entire offense. The pitching has done a pretty decent job of holding things together and he's he's shown for the most part, a lot of improvement on the minor league side for this pitching development apparatus. Not just Kamala Rocker, not just Jack Lighter, but guys like Cody Bradford, Alejandro Rosario, guys like Cold Drake, guys like Mitch Bratt, guys like Winston Santos, Emiliano Tejoto. There have been just so many success stories in a way that it's hard to name them all quickly in one year of the guys who have made these big, big strides, which is something we have not seen from this organization for a long time. And there have been, you know, some setbacks from the occasional guys, Isaac Tigers, Tommy John surgery. That is very, very frustrating. He was making some big strides this year. There have been, I can't remember exactly off the top of my head. The other guy who also started this season on the IL and has missed the entirety of the season with Tommy John surgery, the name has gave me Jose Cornio. That's what it is. There is also Ben that, but for the most part, you go through almost all of the Rangers top pitching prospects. And there have been significant, there's been significant progress from basically all of them. And that's a hugely great sign for this team. Because if you let this guy go, if you go to the opposite end of the spectrum, which thankfully we don't have to do, I don't think there was ever really that much of a doubt. It's easy to say that now in hindsight. But the fact that it took until, you know, the middle of September and his deal was set to expire at the end of the season, we have 12 games left of this season, less than two weeks until the season is over. The fact that it took this long just made it a little more nervous. And it would have been a truly terrible look for this team and saying, Oh, well, you know what? This young hometown kid who just won us the first championship in franchise history and we've made it a bunch of really nice strides, even though this year as a whole has, at the major league level has been a failure and a disaster, as they would say. There have been some long-term improvements. And just the winning the World Series alone and letting that guy go would be such a horrible look for a franchise that there would be some questions about, you know, how much Ray Davis is willing to invest, if Ray Davis is willing to invest in this team, winning in the long term, a GM, a Pobo, that is an important part of the process. Ray Davis young wants to be here for the long haul. He is from here, the native Dallas boy. He has got all of the intangibles that you want in a Pobo and a GM. He is the best of both worlds. He is Hannah Montana of Pobo's. He is a Princeton grad, one of those smarties with analytics that knows all about the numbers and the whatnots and the Hoosoo McCulloughs. And he's also a former player who's literally been there and done that. Robert Pitcher, who is a very brilliant guy. He spent time in the Major League Baseball front office working under Rob Manfred, hopefully not directly, not picking up too much from Rob Manfred. But just learning the ins and outs of Major League Baseball, he only spent two years under John Daniels learning from him before him the most successful front office member in franchise history. It's not debatable. He built the best teams in franchise history. He was not able to get it across the line. That's Chris Young. He did that. Now, John Daniels set a lot of the framework up, but getting it from 90% of the way there, 95% of the way there of contending team to making the moves that puts you over the edge. That is the most, most difficult thing to do as a front office member, as a person building a team. And Chris Young did that in year freaking one. He crushed it. It's a great sign of confidence that they have this guy at the helm. I absolutely love what Chris Young has done with this organization. He has been completely instrumental in one of the most impressive turnarounds we've seen. Hopefully, it's not just a one and done type of thing, but going from how hopeless this team looked in the long haul right around when Chris Young was brought on board in December of 2020, of how barren the farm system was, how much they had not spent in free agency, how little hope for the future there was. Going from that to World Series champions in the span of less than three years from the day he signed is incredibly difficult, incredibly impressive, and not just setting them up to be one and done champs. I mean, they've got Simeon and Seager here for the long haul. They've got a lot of encouraging signs on the pitching side with Kumar Rucker and Jack Leiter and Cody Bradford and also Jacob Groms going to be here for a minute. He's also pretty darn good. And you've got young guys in the lineup that are looking to be your next wave of stars in Wyatt Langford and Evan Carter in Josh Young. And also, we'll get to later on in the show, Sebastian freaking Walcott, who Chris Young was here to sign. But this is an incredibly great week for the Rangers, a great sign for Texas keeping their homegrown kid developing homegrown pitchers for the long haul. I am incredibly excited for Chris Young to be here for the long, long term. And I'm also incredibly excited about the guy that he went to go see. He was not here to make a press conference about this contract extension because he was too busy doing his job and looking for possibly the next great Rangers starting pitcher. All the way on the other side of the world. Talk about who that is and Sebastian Walcott leading a not so great hitting development here for the Rangers. Talk about all that right after the short from our sponsors. This show is brought to you by PrizePix. PrizePix is America's number one daily fantasy sports app with over five million active members. 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Shout out to the every day of speaking lockdown ranges your first listen every single day. The Rangers take on the Blue Jays tonight 7.05 p.m. Central time first pitch Nathan Eovaldi versus the vaunted TBD of the Blue Jays and catch every pitch of the Hometown broadcast on Sirius XM. Just download the SXM app and search Rangers. Now speaking of starting pitchers a guy who is not going to be starting this week for any major league baseball team maybe not even next year, maybe the year after we'll see. Chris Jung was not present in the United States to go and talk about his contract extension because he was out busy doing his job looking for the next great Rangers player. That is possibly Roki Sasaki a right handed pitcher from Japan who has been the next big thing coming out of Japan for quite some time. He is 22 years old turning 23 in November of this year listed at 6 to 187 pounds. You may remember him from the world baseball classic when he came out of the pen for team Japan the samurai throwing over a hundred miles an hour. This guy has got an electric fastball an electric splitter an exceptional slider and he has been basically he was described in Fangrass' article by Eric Longhegan as the Japanese LeBron James just the guy who has had incredible pressure on him since basically high school as the next big thing. Now he's not going to be shohyo tani he does not hit he just pitches he might not be as good a pitcher as Yoshinobu Yamamoto who has been sensational and signed the largest free agent pitcher contract in MLB history this offseason. He did that because he was a little bit older once you are 25 or have had six years of service time over in Japan then you are eligible to be just a regular straight up free agent you don't have to go through the posting system. But if Roki Sasaki is posted this offseason which seems to be likely according to people who know things like that which is not me but people smarter than me more plugged into the Japanese baseball scene than me it seems like Roki Sasaki is going to be coming over next season. Now what has he done to make him the next star well outside of throwing over a hundred miles an hour he is the hardest throwing pitcher in the nip and professional baseball league history he has also been putting up sensational numbers every year in his minor league or his his Japanese league career he has pitched in four seasons so far at the highest level a 205 career ERA 398 and two thirds innings 504 strikeouts two walks per nine eleven and a half strikeouts prime or eleven point four and zero point four home runs per nine. This is something that really intrigued me about him is how few home runs he's allowed the last couple of years in the last two years he's pitched 91 and 95 innings he has allowed three home runs in that span three that's it. Just three home runs in over 180 innings 186 innings he is allowed three home runs now there are some concerns about him this year the walk rate is up the strikeout rate is down still a very very good 10.3 strikeouts per nine in Japan and that is very very good it is because in Japan the strikeouts are more of a big deal than they are in the states so the swing and the miss your stuff has to be very very nasty hitters over there are really trying to avoid the strikeout much more than hitters state side so those strikeout numbers can go way up even if even though he is going to a harder league those strikeout numbers routinely go up as we saw go look at some of you Darvish's strikeout numbers from what he was in Japan versus what he did in the states but there have been some concerns with injuries because of course he has a pitcher and they have those things and they are no pitcher is injury free especially when you are that touted as a youngster I feel like a lot of these pitching injuries for these high profile pitchers can start become more of an epidemic because so much pressure and so many pitches are thrown as young players I mean he had a 190 plus pitch complete game in high school which is absolutely terrifying to me that he would have that kind of a workload at that age I mean he has been throwing routinely over you know 80 innings in his pro career that the most he's thrown as a pro was in 2022 his age 20 season 129 and a third innings the Japanese baseball season is just about as long as major league baseball season not quite as many games so you're not going to see too many pitchers over there throwing you know 180 or 200 innings we missed some time last year with an oblique injury he has missed some time this year with an undisclosed arm injury which is always spooky that they are undisclosed and an arm injury which makes me fear the worst that it's an elbow injury the velocity has been down significantly on all of his pitches this year down two miles an hour basically on the fastball which by the way down two miles an hour is still averaging 96.7 miles an hour to kind of give you an idea of how ridiculous his stuff is the swing and miss rate has been cut in half on that fastball from a 24% whiff rate on a fastball which is really darn good to just a 12% whiff rate which is not as good on the fastball the strikeout rate has gone down the swing and miss rate the chase rate on all of those pitches has also gone down now he's come off of the IL and looked much better as of late but still there are some concerns there especially with you know him having such incredibly high workload in high school of how many pitches he was throwing not just in that one complete game but when he is on his game he is as good as anybody we saw that in the world baseball classic I mean you come out of the pen like who they're like okay we kind of some people have heard of Yoshi now we yell him out so he had been pretty established at that point you kind of knew about that guy Shohei Otani people and generally had an idea of who that guy was you also kind of knew you Darvish at that point pretty well established stars and then Rokie Sasaki comes out of the pen chucking 102 and you're like huh who the heck is this guy when can we get him in a major league game well it's seeming like this is going to be the off season that happens the Rangers have a decent chunk of change in their international bonus pool money but that is for next year they have around six million dollars the posting system works if he is signed before I believe January they're going to have to teams will have to use their bonus pool from this year and he is not going to just get a you know twelve year three hundred million dollar contract offer like Yoshinobu Yamamoto did he would have to wait another year actually two more years in order to reach that threshold of six professional years and being twenty five years old so I don't think that he is going to wait that long especially with the injuries popping up his team in Japan would very much like to get a hefty posting fee while he is still at the peak of his value every year he gets older every year that there are more injuries that come out there will be more concerns and less of a chance they get a big old check in posting fee now obviously the Dodgers are the favorites but we've seen what Chris Young can do in terms of sweet talking free agents to sign with Rangers we saw it with of course Corey Seager and Marcus Simeon and that was coming off of a one hundred last season we also saw them sweet talk Bruce Bocey out of retirement and convinced Jacob de Grom and Nathan Eovaldi to sign here we've seen him sign some or make some great trades at the deadline he just seems like a very very convincing guy and I think that is probably his greatest asset as a GM is his ability to convince you know free agents and potential people trying to join he's trying to convince to sign with his team of why his vision is so good and now he has a world series ring to kind of back that up and throw on the table of like hey you want to come win here because we won before and also I think it would be a nice pitch to Roki Sasaki and instead of saying hey you'll be the third most famous Japanese player Japanese pitcher on your team if you sign with the Dodgers here you're the guy I don't know it is definitely something the Rangers are considering that it will be less expensive than going and chucking I don't know a hundred and eighty million dollars at Corbin Burns definitely some risk there but someone to keep an eye on for the future and something that will be watching very very closely this offseason something I won't be watching this offseason but have been watching this year is another potential future star for the Texas Rangers that's right it's Bam Bam Sebastian Walcott who got called up to double A we're talking about what he's done this year why it's so impressive and some other hitters who have made me think okay maybe they're gonna be mashing in the big leagues with the Rangers next season right after this word from our sponsors this show is brought to you by Fandell if I just talk a lot about Fandell America's number one sports book well we have something a little different from you now through September 22nd all Fandell customers can bet five dollars and get a three week free trial of NFL Sunday ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV then with the YouTube TV base plan you'll be able to watch every regular season Sunday afternoon out of market game all you need is a Google account in a current form of payment you can cancel anytime right now Fandell's got a lot of great odds right now I'm looking at the American League rookie of the year odd still not saying Wyatt Langford up there right now the favorite Luis heel pitcher for the Yankees at plus 120 next favorite is Austin Wells catcher of the Yankees plus 175 and Colton Calzer after a great start season falling to third favorite at plus 210 so head over to fandell.com download America's number one sports book now hitting has been a problem for the 2024 Texas Rangers you can stop me if you heard me that heard me say that before you definitely will be stopping me if you listen to even probably one episode of this podcast you know the hitting has been a problem for the Texas Rangers and it's not just been at the major league level it has been at the minor league level as well adding into this year it seemed pretty clear that the Rangers you know for the most part for many many years in the past hitting prospects have been something that Texas has developed much much better than pitching prospects and this year that has pretty much flipped right on its head with the breakouts of kamma rocker Alejandro Rosario Jack Leiter's progress Toyota all those guys who I just mentioned before and for the most part there were some hitters who I was really excited about seeing this year and seeing what they could do but in general it has not been a very inspiring year for bats on the farm Justin Foskew has gotten not quite as much run as maybe he would have liked at the major league level but the results have been truly terrible there have also been guys lower on in the levels that I was expecting to make a little bit more strides Paulino Santana has had a decent season but you know only played 53 games and didn't come over state side he was the Rangers top signee this year there have been other young guys like you'll you'll Frank Castillo who has had a decent season Braylon Morel has had a pretty darn good season still very very far away at shedri Vargas his first year in a full season ball has been putting up solid not spectacular numbers in low a as a 19 year old in low a playing shortstop and second base and looks like a legit middle infielder with some pop but not anything that's really blowing you away and you look up and down this farm in the hitters there's not really been a whole bunch that really blows you away unless you look right at the top in Sebastian Walcott aka Bam Bam the six four shortstop signed out of the Bahamas out of a NASA given a three million dollar signing bonus back in the class of 2023 this is his second pro season second proceeds he turned 18 a few days before I turned 30 literally three days before I turned there is March 18 he turned 18 so he is not even actually tomorrow is his half birthday so he will be 18 and a half tomorrow and already he has spent the final week of the season in doubly Frisco started the year with high a hickory a very very aggressive assignment for the youngster and all he did was put up a 786 OPS on the season after a truly pretty bad first couple of months I mean it was a very very aggressive assignment he had spent nine whole games in the Dominican Summer League before the Rangers realized he can't learn anything here because everyone's so terrified to pitch to him that he's not going to get the opportunities to get better and then he went to the Arizona complex league and he absolutely crushed it there in 35 games and then he spent four whole games in hickory at the end of last season completely jumping by low a as a 17 year old and looked okay in hickory and I thought the Rangers might start a hickory this season I thought that would be a pretty aggressive assignment but he is a guy who has got that makeup he's wired differently he is wired for a challenge and in 116 games hickory finished with a 786 OPS 10 homers 9 triples 31 doubles still a lot of strikeouts but a walk rate over 10% that was incredibly encouraging and then his first five games in Frisco the youngest player in double A this season 6.2 years younger at the average position player in the Texas league those five games he's hitting at 348 on base of 375 slugging 609 a 984 OPS in that first week of double A it's pretty darn good he's gonna be 19 next year he is almost assuredly going to be the starting shortstop for the double A Frisco Rough Riders as a 19 year old the only other guys who have done that Elvis Andrews jerks and pro far former all-stars pretty darn good players now I think his ceiling is it's higher than either of those guys ever was and pro far was a number one overall prospect in baseball now that was more about his floor which fell out because of injuries and unforeseen circumstances but wall-cots floors is still still pretty low there's still a chance that double A overwhelms him but I'm less I'm less thinking that's gonna happen I think there's less of a chance of that happening and he's 64 he's a shortstop he's a bit bigger as a shortstop than your average shortstop a profile is more of a third base slash right fielder but I think he can definitely stick at shortstop now will he I'm not entirely sure well eventually move to the outfield and right field I think that's most likely of where he plays in the long term and as for when he makes his big league debut I mean he'll tell you that he wants to be a teenager in the big leagues he wants it to happen next year and I wouldn't put it past the kid because of his intangels because he has been so darn impressive I think that is less likely I think aiming for you know an early 2026 debut spending all of next year in Frisco maybe spending a little bit of time in Triple A round rock would be a great great season for him next year and he's probably gonna struggle early on next year because double A pitchers are very darn good he still expands the strikes a bit much but he's got a good eye he's got all the raw tools in the world that definitely the best arm in the system in terms of you know raw throwing ability not you know pitching wise but in terms of arm strength it is truly a sensational arm the raw power is off the charts I mean he's putting up eggs and velocities of 115 116 miles an hour which is about what a Dolos Garcia's max exit villa is this year and despite the overall numbers from a Dolos Garcia this year the exit velos have been exceptional and that is absolutely unheard of of an 18 year old putting up that kind of exit velocities so he has been an incredibly encouraging sign some other guys who I've been pretty encouraged by is the second half of guys like Blaine creve these two guys specifically Blaine creme and abby millic Ortiz I think that Blaine creme there's an outside shot he gets a dh spot with the Rangers next year I really do I mean when you're a first base prospect you have one path to the big leagues and that is hit like crazy everywhere against everyone all the time and it is a difficult thing to do the first half for Blaine creme was not great but in the second half 63 games a slash line of 345 425 580 and OPS north of a thousand with 12 home runs and abby millic Ortiz was a guy who I saw a couple of times in the first half and I didn't really know what to make of him I mean he is a first base prospect he has played in the outfield but he is a first base slash dh type had a sensational season last year with 40 bombs as minor leaguer difficult to do but this year I was watching the at bats in the first half and the results weren't there but the process was pretty darn good he didn't look over match but the numbers just were not very good a 556 OPS in 57 games in the first half for abby millic Ortiz the second half 58 games a 949 OPS including 13 of his 18 home runs he is hitting over 300 with an on base over 400 and slugging over 500 the vaunted 345 triple slash line that I really love to see in a hitter truly a sign of an elite hitter a guy who can put the ball in play get those singles get that batting average up driving runs also getting on base at a 400 clip very difficult to do and slugging over 500 showing he still got those extra base him hits in him as well I've been encouraged by those guys and Alejandro Ozuna as well as for Ozuna's long term home well he has been crushing it in 57 games as you know a 21 year old in double a 902 OPS in those 265 played appearances with 18 homers overall on the season in over a hundred games and 5 triples a 89869 OPS for the season for Ozuna I'm not entirely sold on him as an everyday starter in an outfield role but you know you hit like that with that kind of power with that kind of on base with that kind of speed and pretty decent defense out there in centerfield you might just work your way into an everyday role he has really put himself on people's radar this year I would not be surprised to see him make his majorly debut at some point next year he has been an encouraging sign and overall not super encouraging year for the bats but of those bats Sebastian Bam Bam well cut making this kind of strides showing he really is that dude almost makes up for all of the rest of the frustrations with the bats at least on the minor league side this year that's going to do it for today's show thank you all so much for listening and subscribing and until next time don't forget to enjoy World Series Champion Texas Rangers Baseball a prime members you can listen to this locked on podcast add free on Amazon music download the Amazon music app today [MUSIC PLAYING]
