Grant and Danny
Commanders Over/Under Props Against The Bucs
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I think cash to tickets is the spot for you. We're real, we're transparent, we're having a hell of a good time with it, and we sit there and we're there for the sweat with you guys. We're just trying to figure it out just like you. Follow and listen to Cash the Ticket on the free Odyssey app or wherever you get your podcasts. Let's look at the projected totals, individual player props via Fandal, because I'm a Fandal guy, for the commanders in the bucks this weekend, play a little over under. So Daris, let's run through some of the prop totals and see how we're viewing this game script. Our friends at Fandal have Jayden Daniels passing yard total set at two 18 and a half over under. So this could be an over for one of two reasons. If this becomes a shootout like everybody's predicting, then he goes over to 18. Where if the game script suggests that Washington's chasing and they're throwing a lot because they're behind, they get pretty easily get over to 18. I actually think they're going to be in this game. They're going to be able to run the ball and stay balanced. I think it's going to be pretty close. So for that reason, I'll say slight under. I'm going to say like 210 maybe through the air. I also, we'll see if I'm loud wrong about this. I've been talking about this for weeks. I think he's going to run a lot. Maybe it's not Lamar Jackson week one last night going 16 for a Bill 20 or something. But I do think it could be like seven, eight carries for 70 to 90 yards tomorrow. So add that to the 210. It's kind of a 300 yard all purpose day. But I'll say under that number. Under, I think Tampa Bay's defense is good. I think their secondary is good. I think the game plan is to limit throwing and they're going to try to muck this up and do a little more grounded pound. You said you think Jayden's going to run a lot. Got Jayden Daniels at 39 and a half rushing yards over or under. I like the over on that in the first half. They I think it's too much. But I know grants all in favor of it. I think they're going to run Jayden Daniels a ton. And I think he goes way over that. I don't know if it's quite Lamar Jackson buck 22 on 16 carries. But I think we're going to see it early and often. Have you changed your prediction of how much he'll run based on the preseason? Or have you always said that you just don't want him to run? Not that you don't think he's going to run? More the second one. So I'm looking at the lack of weaponry, especially on the outside. They don't really seem interested in changing that. Looked at the preseason and kind of the way their personnel is lining up when I'm going, they're going to run that dude a lot. I think that's my paradigm going into the season. Over, loud over. It's going to be over a lot in this category until the betting market catches up with kind of what they want to do. In fact, if it's under that, I'll be shocked. Like if he just stands in the pocket with time and makes throws and doesn't leave, I think he's going to look to leave the pocket at times. If there's early pressure, he's going to try to avoid sacks that way. That's what he did a lot of time. Allegedly, which isn't to say he can't throw the ball well or that he isn't going to be a throw first quarterback eventually. But I just think early in his career, this is the answer key for him. You know, this is his the cape for Superman. He'll go over that. Jaden has some options in the backfield. Let's start with the first one. Brian Robinson, they haven't at 42 and a half rushing yards over that. As I said, they'll be balanced. They'll be in the game. They're going to be able to run it a lot. I think they're going to run more this year in general than people think. Everyone talks about Kingsbury with the air raid. I call it the horizontal raid, but they ran the ball more with Patrick Connor. James Connor. James Connor. Who's Patrick Connor? Was that the fullback from the from the Jets? That's where they call him the tournament. No, it's John Connor. That's John. I don't know who Patrick Connor is. Patrick Bateman from American Psycho. I don't know. James Connor for the Cardinals ran it a lot more than people think when you look back at like when he was healthy and rolling, P-Rob's going to be a thumper all season long. I think he could go for 75 or more in this game if he runs it the 16 to 18 times that I think he's going to. So give me the over on B-Rob. Over on and I'm a little bit annoyed about it. I want more Echler. I want I want B-Rob to be the change of pace, but I'm not going to get it that way. They're going to go to wait too often. They're going to try to run the dang football. Chris Russell will be pleased. The rest of us that like points and wins and offense will not be. Danny, you want more Echler? You're going to get more Echler 27 and a half rushing yards for Austin Echo. Over under. Under. Unfortunately. And I think that's going to change the season goes. They're going to realize, no, this actually is still a weapon. But I think early, he's going to be a it's third down. Now he should trot onto the field and be in there for passing downs. I don't think they're going to use him right early. I think that'll grow as the season progresses. He ran a good bit in the preseason. Remember when they would come out with those early drives and they ran at like nine out of 12 plays on the one long drive and he had it three of them, I think. I'll say over that, not by a lot. I think he gets six carries for, you know, 28 yards or something like that. I'll say over minimally. Well, let's get to the receiving props wide receiver one in everybody's heart around here, Terry McClellan, 60 and a half receiving yards. That is an over for Terry. He's the only guy they got. Now Tampa Bay is going to do as much as they can to keep him from getting going and getting off and having a ham sandwich. But I think it's going to be like seven for 70. This is the new Terry McClellan in a sense. Last year where it was a lot of catches, not a lot of yards, seven for 63 kind of that kind of thing. I think it's going to be like a 10 11 target, six or seven catch 65 to 80 yard kind of day for him. So I'll say over he's in the 70s low 80s, but it's not going to be a big explosive 100 yard game in my opinion. You said it and that's why I'm going in a different direction. He's the only guy they got. That's why it's under Tampa knows that too. Tampa's very aware of where 17 is and is going to be. It's going to be a six for 55 kind of a day. We're going to be frustrated. There's not going to be enough air in the air raid here early on for my taste. Zacherts, they have him at 24 and a half on fandal receiving yards. This is one of my favorite props of the weekend of in real life. I have actually bet on this prop. Zacherts is going over that a healthy Zacherts is going to be heavily featured and heavily involved as the year goes on. He will not be healthy and he will probably do less. But in this game, I think there's a chance he leads them and catches leads them in receiving yards. If you told me right now, he goes like seven for 76. Okay. There's there's an 18 yard catch down the seam at some point. I believe that. So that is a very, very firm over for me. I have a hammer in my hand and there's a nail and it is the nail of the overage. I am slamming the over on this. I think he's you know, like six for 38. I think he is their most second, maybe first or second most targeted guy. I grew with everything granted said early in the season, Zacherts will be available. And as the season progresses, less so this one seems a little low, Austin Echler at 18 and a half receiving yards. Again, hammering the over. This is where the offense is going through. It's going to be less McCorn, less Noah Brown, less Diami Brown, maybe some of the key is around the line of scrimmage. Think about will Lamar Jackson was doing last night flicking the ball as a flowers or things like that. But I think the passing game will run through Hertz and Echler. So I think Echler goes over that total. I'll say over as well. Same reason I felt that way about Zacherts. I just think that we're going to get to a point where there's some pass rush. Jaden Daniels is ball out. First that that's kind of the mindset. They're going to get in his ear and say, Hey, let's not take hits. Let's not take sacks. You saw the quick game in the preseason. It's time to throw was quicker in the preseason than any quarterbacks in the NFL last year. So not a whole lot to add other than the security valve, the checkdown option, the blanket. Sorry. I mean, it's going to be a lot of Austin Echler, and I'm happy about it. This one seems low too, but I guess it's a little tricky. Brian Robinson, eight and a half receiving yards over on that one as well. He can catch the ball. And I think that's all going to take one screen or, you know, a couple of receptions. I do think he's involved. Maybe not to the degree of not, let me rephrase that, not to the degree that Echler is going to be involved in the past game, but there'll be just enough Brian Robinson, where I think he goes over that total. That's one catch that, you know, with a good block in front of you. Yeah. So I'll go over that for sure. One catch, 15 yards, two catches, 12 yards, something like that. Yeah, give me a B-Rob over again. I think it's a lot of short, safe, quick passes. Let's get a quick feel for how you guys feel about the commander's defense going in this game. Baker Mayfield's passing prop is set at two 45 and a half over. I think he'll do that middle of the second quarter. That's a bad bit. I'm doing it. It's over though. I'll say two 45 and a half. I kind of want to go under, honestly. Yeah, I'll go under. I'll say throws for like two 35, two 40 and that they have enough success running the football as well, that they're able to be balanced. You know, maybe it's a, your leading rusher has 75 or something and you're able to keep it on the ground too. But I don't think he needs to come out and throw for three bills for them to win. Speaking of running the ball, they have Rashad White. They're starting running back at 57 and a half rushing yards over for Rashad White. He will be right around, like I said, mid 70s, low 80s perhaps. They'll also get him some touches second half. If they're ahead, trying to salt the game away that there's a game script that works for his favor. But remember last year, and I know it's a different defense and different coaching and all that, but they were good for kind of one back breaking long run. It felt like that they would give up as game games. I mean, it's the same group, essentially, in the interior of Johnny Newton's not playing. So I'll say over that under, I think they sling it and they're not a very good running team. So I think white goes under total yards will be pretty significant for white because he catches passes, but I don't think they run it effectively and they'll have too much success to the air. I'm going to assume you guys are both going to take the over on Mike Evans. So I'm going to skip him. Let's go to Chris Godwin. They have him set set at 57 and a half. Over. I think he goes off. I think it's in the 70s. Yeah, you can't name a bucks receiver, who I wouldn't go over with because I think they're going to throw it to three or four guys. All of them are going to be, you know, able to put up those two 50 or so for Baker Mayfield on the outside against Washington's corners. Hey, Mike Valenti here host a cash to take it alongside my partner, Jim Costa. It's really simple. Are you tired of podcast claiming there are a bunch of pro betters when they live in their mommy's basement? Are you tired of podcast that claim they hit 80 percent of the games when really they just lose like most of us? Think cash to tickets the spot for you. We're real. We're transparent. We're having a hell of a good time with it and we sit there and we're there for the sweat with you guys. We're just trying to figure it out just like you. Follow and listen to Cash the Ticket on the free Odyssey app or wherever you get your podcasts.