Locked On Terps - Daily Podcast on Maryland Terrapins Football & Basketball
The Maryland Terrapins will UPSET The Indiana Hoosiers| Maryland Terps Podcast
Tre Moore gets into the Terps versus Indiana game. Tre tells you why he thinks the Terps will upset the Indiana Hoosiers. Then Tre Moore gives some key insights into the game and why the game could be a low scoring affair. Lastly, Tre gets into the spread for the game and why the Terps will cover and why the game has a good chance at being a scoring affair.
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- Broadcast on:
- 27 Sep 2024
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(upbeat music) ♪ It's the lockdown podcast network ♪ ♪ Your team every day ♪ (upbeat music) - Well, we got a minute and I'm gonna buy that truck I've been wanting. - Wait, don't you need like weeks to shop for a car? - I don't. Carvana makes it super convenient to find exactly what I want. - Hold up. You're buying a car on your phone? Isn't that more of a laptop thing? - You can shop wherever you want. - I like to do my research. Read reviews, compare models. Plus, Carvana has thousands of options. How'd you decide on that truck? - Because I like it. - Oh, that is a great reason. Go to Carvana.com to sell your car the convenient way. - If you're looking to refinance or get a loan right now, let me tell you about InnerCap Lending. InnerCap Lending is one of the largest independent lenders in the country. They are hyper responsive. They embrace change and their borrower experience is absolutely fabulous. At Lockdown, we have our own personal loan officer, InnerCap Lending. His name is Steve Carter. And if you call him and tell him you're locked on, you get the corporate discount. But more than that, what's so great about Steve Carter is the reviews at Lockdown that we continually get about Steve. Mike Curtis emailed me to say, "I just wanted to thank you for your network. "We just refied with Steve Carter. "It was so incredibly easy. "I can attest to it. "I got my loan done with Steve Carter. "Who else?" Richard Gordon emailed me and said, "Thank you so much for promoting InnerCap Lending. "We used them earlier this year. "Steve was amazing. "And Steve is amazing. "Call him at 385-885-28. "38-585-885-28. "Tell him to lock down, send you InnerCap Lending, "NMLS, number 19-0-465. "For more information, visit InnerCapLending.com." - The Terps are going to upset Indiana. (dramatic music) You are locked on Terps, your daily podcast on the Maryland Terps, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network. Your team, every day. - What's up, everyone? I'm Trey Moore, host of Lockdown, Terps for the Lockdown Podcast Network. Your team, every day. So thank you for making us part of your day, and also publish right inside Black and Gold. And that makes sure you guys go to inside Black and Gold for all your Terps news. And today's episode is brought to you by FanDuel. Place your first $5 bet, and you'll get started with $200 in bonus bets guaranteed. So visit FanDuel.com to get Star Ted. Maryland Football will go to Indiana this week and upset the Indiana Hoosiers. I think it's time. I think it's the biggest game of the year. I think it's one of the most important, the most important game probably of the year, this weekend against Indiana. Tomorrow afternoon at 12 o'clock, and I'm here to give my prediction. And I think the Terps beat Indiana tomorrow afternoon. I think that we upset the Hoosiers, and this will be an upset. Indiana is a seven point favor right now, which I'm not saying that's a ridiculous number or anything, but I do think it would be considered an upset if we beat these guys. But let me tell you something. Indiana hasn't seen a team like us yet. They haven't. And I'm not here to act like Maryland's Alabama or Georgia, two teams that have actually a huge game against each other this weekend. Another game I bet a lot of you guys will probably watch the Georgia Alabama game a little bit. I'm in the evening so you can still watch the Maryland game as well. But all I'm saying is Indiana hasn't seen anybody like us. And I think that's totally fair to say. They've played Charlotte. Okay, they've crushed Charlotte. They've played UCLA's their best opponent so far. UCLA's not good this year. They don't have a good team. FIU they beat, Western Illinois they beat. They haven't seen a big 10 team like us. They haven't seen a real big 10 opponent. Sure, UCLA's technically in the big 10 now, but they're still just not that good of a football program. They're still working on rebuilding and getting that thing back to where they want it to be. I just don't think UCLA's that good. But I think that that is going to play into our hands. The fact that Maryland's already been tested a little bit. We've already played two better teams than they have played all year. Virginia would have been the best team they've played all year and so would a Michigan State. And we've already played two of those teams. Yeah, we've had some cupcakes on our schedule, like Villanova, like you con early, but I think the Michigan State game and the Virginia game are going to prepare us more for this game against Indiana. It's going to have us ready to go because I think that Indiana hasn't played anybody and you can't replicate that until you actually get on the field against a real solid big 10 opponent, which is where I would categorize Maryland right now. I think we're a good solid big 10 team. We're not a league, we're not like a bottom of the pack. Either we're a good solid big 10 team. That if you want to beat us, you're going to have to play good football to beat us. And I'm not saying Indiana is not a good football team, but I just don't think they've played anyone. So I think when I've really done the research on Indiana, all the numbers and stuff are kind of just misconstrued. Like everything looks better than it actually is. Like, including their quarterback, Curtis Orkra, I don't want to say he's overrated, but I'm just saying this, he's top of the big 10 in almost every single stat. Like when you look at it, he's got some of the best stats in the big 10, but I can't even get carried away about it because I'm like, I don't think it's just because, oh yeah, like he's been out playing all the quarterbacks in the big 10 and he's been playing really well against good opponent. It's just they haven't played anyone. And so when I look at it in Indiana team, I'm still kind of suspect. I'm still a little bit unsure about what exactly they are. I don't know if I'm soloing these guys at Indiana 'cause they haven't played anyone. I know Curtis shorts to transfer quarterback and I'm telling you, he's near the top in almost every category. Feels like he's top three touchdowns. He's top of the conference. He has zero interceptions to lead the conference. His completion percentages near the top of the conference is yards and third in the conference. Like he's doing a lot of good things. But I do believe that the Maryland defense will be better tomorrow and will play their best game of the year. And I'll talk about some of the scoring stuff. And if I think the game will be high scoring a little bit later 'cause there's some interesting factors that go onto that. But I do think that Indiana's gonna be able to score some, but I think Maryland's defense will come up with enough stops to win the game. And I think that the fact that eight in trials Michigan State burnt us early on in the season is going to help us in this game in Indiana. It's better to find out early than find out now against Indiana, your weaknesses. I think that yeah, it sucks to say Michigan State eight in trials who hasn't even looked that good this year, throw all over us and throw all over the place on us and have 363 yards. And hear about this Nick Marsh kid having a really big game, he got to that's the four star kid that was a freshman this year, having almost 200 yards on us coming out party. But it was almost good because now the second year I'm not saying it's fixed. I'm not saying it's great. I'm not saying it's amazing yet. But at least we know that we can't play another game like we did against Michigan State. And I don't mean like, oh yeah, like we, they know that, oh, we can't give up those big gains to Michigan State's. I mean, schematically, they know they can't do some of those things. Technique wise, they probably have improved. The coaching staff has a better sense of who should be playing. And we made a lot of early mistakes to a team like Michigan State, but I think that'll help us in the end against a team like Indiana. And I'm going to look at the quarterback battle, Curtis work for Billy Edwards. Billy Edwards holds his own. And it's crazy how people are switching up now and they're putting Billy Edwards as a top seven or eight quarterback in the Big Ten. After, before the season started, a lot of people had him last in the Big Ten. And now people want to put him in top of their lists and all these different things, which I'm not going to hate on. I'm not going to be like, they're wrong. But the fact that before the season started, people were really down on him shows a lot. But I think that Billy Edwards wins us this game. I think our defense gets enough stops, but I do think Indiana scores a good bit. But I think Billy Edwards has a really big game, and this is how I see it going. I see them being so focused on Ty Felton and so focused on trying to slow him down that some of these other guys get open. Some of these guys like Caden Pratham or Dylan Wade, those two guys stick out in my head really hard. I can see Octavian Smith potentially having a big day just because they're so focused on double teaming, Ty Felton, make sure he doesn't get over the top, make sure he doesn't get open on third down. They forget Caden Pratham is amongst the best in the Big Ten as well. Dylan Wade's an elite receiving tight end as well, Preston. Howard too, and they forget Roman Hembe out the backfield as long and Nolan Ray can do some special things. And I think everybody else kind of has a coming out game and we're able to beat them that way just because their game playing doesn't work and making everyone else beat us and Ty Felton's not going to win us the game. And I think Bill Edwards' legs also make it really hard to stop the Maryland offense. So I do think it's a back and forth type of game. We definitely don't beat them by more than I would say, seven points, but I think Maryland gets it done. I think the Turks are going to beat Indiana tonight or tomorrow, excuse me, and I think that they figure it out. I think Coach Loxley's game plan is going to be good going into that game and I don't think Indiana's ready. I don't think they've seen anybody like us yet and they can game plan all they want, but this is the first real test for Indiana. We've been tested against Michigan State. We've been tested against Virginia whereas the Ty game at the hat. They haven't been tested. And until you know what it's like to be actually out there really struggling to get away and you can't replicate it, doesn't matter if you have guys that have been in the past, doesn't matter if there's a bunch of freshmen, doesn't matter to new team every single year and it's not easy at all to be a team and to be the tough team like Maryland, especially if you're Indiana. I don't think they have more talent than us. I think a lot of stuff is clicking for them, but they have yet to get punched in the mouth. So I would say if you're Maryland, try to deliver the first punch. Punch them in the mouth, see how they respond because they haven't yet. And so I think Maryland will upset the Indiana users 'cause I don't think Indiana has played anyone like us. I think that our weaknesses came out against Michigan State and I think the coaching staff's gonna figure it out. And I'm expecting Billy Edwards to continue the trend of playing high level quarterback play. I haven't seen anything to say this guy's going to regress. So I feel pretty good about Maryland getting a win on Friday. And I think that they get the season back on track and make up for the loss against Michigan State. What are the biggest storylines of this game? I'll talk about that. Everything you need to know going into the game after this ad from Robinhood and prize picks. - Well, we got a minute and I'm gonna buy that truck I've been wanting. - Wait, don't you need like weeks to shop for a car? - I don't. Carvana makes it super convenient to find exactly what I want. - Hold up. You're buying a car on your phone? Isn't that more of a laptop thing? - You can shop wherever you want. - I like to do my research. Read reviews, compare models. Plus, Carvana has thousands of options. How'd you decide on that truck? - Because I like it. - Oh, that is a great reason. 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So there are some interesting storylines going into this game and I wanted to make this its own segment because there's some things I feel like we got to talk about. I was reading about the game and I didn't realize a couple of things. I want to start off with, there could potentially be some rain and 11 mile per hour wins according to the weather channel. That's what it says on the Maryland SB Nation page. So that's something that's definitely. Interesting is, at first I'm thinking, okay, it's a high scoring game. Maryland's secondary suspect, Maryland's defense has been, all year at best has been okay, hasn't been great. Maybe he's been good against Yukon, Villanova, hasn't been good against Michigan State, was up and down against Virginia. And so I was thinking Kurdish work in Indiana, they've got it going, they're going to throw the ball over us and they have a good Russian game, they're going to score points. And I still kind of think that, but you got to realize when the weather is bad, when the wind is high, offenses just usually aren't as effective because it's hard to play with a slippery ball. It's hard when the wind is going. It's hard for the quarterbacks to throw. Billy Edwards has a pretty strong arm, so he should be able to throw through the wind and stuff, but still, it's something that we got to talk about. And I don't think it hurts, Maryland, if the game's a little bit sloppy. Like, when I think of some of these sloppy games, there's usually a team that helps. I feel like, and usually a team that hurts. And I think this might be a situation where, if it's one of those types of games, I don't hate Maryland, those types of games because it's a road game, I'm slapping it down, could help slowing down their offense, could help us, plus Billy Edwards doesn't only throw the football, we know we can run the ball, so if it's a sloppy day, we can get that going as well, which should make it easier for us to run the football overall. So that's definitely something to think about. What I'm thinking about this game on Saturday is how the weather is actually going to come in, because right now, high wins, there's going to be rain in the night before and rain potentially during the game, so it could be a kind of ugly type of game, but it's definitely something that I think you have to think about going into this game for the Terps. And then I think, yesterday I said a storyline, this is a really defining point of our season. Like, if we win this game, you could say we've had a successful start to the season, we slipped up against Michigan State, but we beat Indiana, we beat Virginia, we beat the other teams that you're supposed to beat, and we're looking good, and our goal is still in front of us. But if we fold 0-1-2 in the Big Ten, just remember that Virginia game, yeah, it's a Power 4 win, it's an ACC win, that's not a Big Ten win. So right now we're 0-1 bottom of the Big Ten. If we fold 0-1-2 in the Big Ten, it's not much you can do to dive yourself out of it. Especially with this later schedule, it was still having Oregon, USC, some of these other really good teams in Iowa, Penn State on the schedule. This isn't one of those games we probably want to drop. So I think that's a real storyline, Maryland potentially falling to 0-2, not something that we want to do against Indiana. So that's why I think it's a really big win, and maybe I could have even said this was a must win game for the Terps. And then the secondary, it's been really bad. We've given up the most yards in the Big Ten in the secondary. And so I think that's another storyline I'm thinking about. Can we slow down the receiving court? Can we slow down Curtis Rourke? I think that might be the signing factor of the game. If Maryland secondary plays good to great to pretty good, I think we win the game. But if they throw the ball over us, if they can convert whenever they won on third down, I don't know if I like us to win this game. I just don't know. And we've got young guys, we've got guys, we just don't have a lot of experience in that room. And so we haven't seen it be good. So you're wondering, can it be better than it has been? And then I think you also would say, Billy Edward's second road test is another storyline that I'm thinking about. He's looked good in his first real road test against Virginia, but this is a second one, but this one's bigger. This is like a huge road test. Virginia was like, definitely a road test, but this is the really big one. And then it has some excitement in that program. And so they're not going to just let us come in there and win that game easily. That's not what this game is going to be. This game is going to be a grind, and Billy Edward is going to have to figure it out. And so I think that's a storyline, him going into a second big time road game of the year, and really up his young, or I don't want to say, I guess he would say young career, even though he's kind of up there in eligibility. So those are a couple of storylines that we definitely want to think about. And then, Ken, I think the last thing I want to point out, can we make Indiana's offense not super balanced? It's been balanced all year. They have a kid averaging over seven yards per carry, and they're quarterback is thrown all over the place. It's been average all year. I mean, it's been balanced all year, not average. It's been much better than average. Can we force them into doing one thing poorly? I think that's a big part of it. Or one thing just at a not great level. Maybe not poorly, but they just, they can't really run the ball. Maybe they have a couple decent runs where they can't really get it going. Or they're able to run the ball, but the past game isn't really there. Can we get one of those things? Are we going to allow them to be balanced? And that's a big storyline to this game. I think the biggest one knows the rain that I talked about. I think that's something that's going to be a deciding factor on how this game goes. What's going to happen with the spread? Who wins the game? Who covers? I'll give you my score prediction over under all those different things. I'll talk about that after this add from Fandall. Did I hear you're shopping for a car? Because I've been at it for ages. Such a time suck, right? Not really. I bought it on Carvana. Super convenient. Oh, then comes all the financing, research, am I right? 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I already told you guys, I think Maryland's going to upset, so you guys kind of already know that I think the Terps are going to cover, but when I really look at it, I do think seven points. I don't want to say it's a little steep because obviously Vegas knows more than me. But I haven't predicted the game wrong this year. Look at my record. I've gotten every single game run. I said Michigan State was going to cover against us. I said that we would cover against the UConn. I said we would cover against Virginia. Every single game I've gotten right this year, which is pretty cool. But I feel like when you watch a team every single game, you have a much better understanding of kind of where they lie, how things are. And so, I do feel confident in a lot of these. But I think seven points is a little bit much, and I think Maryland covers. I said we're going to win the game, but I don't feel as good about us winning the game as much as I do about us covering, which obviously would make a logical sense that you would probably, if you think a team's going to win, you feel even better about them covering if they're the underdog. So, I do like Maryland with the seven because I think that our team is getting a little bit undervalued. So, just because of, I think Billy Edwards, a lot of people think maybe he's not supposed to be as good as he's supposed to be. People also don't think our defense maybe is good. The guys in Vegas, the way they value us, just because the way they've played hasn't been good. But I think there's a lot of places where we can continue to get better, where guys can continue to play well, places where we can just start to continue to improve on specifically defense side of the ball. And so, I do think the sevens a little bit steep, especially if it's a rainy game where nobody can score. I do like the Terps to win in that type of game, and I like the Terps to cover. It's hard to cover in those types of games where there's a lot of rain, there's a lot of wind, nobody can really score, it's a low scoring battle. It's hard to cover seven points in those when there's not a lot of touchdowns being scored on the board. So, I think if it's that type of game, I think Terps absolutely are going to cover that spread. I'll be interested to see if the number changes. I don't think it will. I think it will stay at about seven. But I do think Maryland will cover that spread. The over under is really interesting because I'm looking at it and I'm like, okay, this wind and this rain, what does that mean? Is there value in the under? Is there value in the under now? I think they're kind of it. But the over under is at 53. I would take the under just because of what I'm hearing about the weather. If there's no weather, I feel like I'd feel, I don't know if I really would have a feel for that number, but I do think I'd take the under because of that. But the number one thing I'm concerned about with the Terps covering is that our run game has been bad against Big Ten teams. The feels like it's been bad for a while now. It feels like we haven't been able to run the ball at all in the Big Ten. So I don't feel good about that in Roman Hambi get going and Nolan Ray getting going. I don't feel awesome about that. But I do think that Billy Edwards, hopefully his legs can open up some of the plays down the field for the Terps. I'm hoping that can be something that Maryland's able to do in some of the run lanes and some of the things, read options, those types of things for the backs. But I don't feel awesome about us covering if we can't run the ball at all. I think we'll be able to run the ball somewhat. And I hope Roman Hambi gets going. I really do. But if we can't get him going, I don't think the Terps are going to be able to win. But I do think it's going to go a little bit. Also, Indiana's offensive line has been good, but they haven't seen us. They haven't seen a defensive line unit like us as well. So I think getting some pressure will allow us to cover the spread a little bit more. I do think we will because I don't think they're going to be used to like us. But my final score predictions. I'm going to go with a little bit of a lower scoring game. I'm going to go Maryland 23, Indiana 20, in a windy type of game, but some points still get scored. I'm going to go Caden Prather has a big day. Caden Prather has two touchdowns. I'm going to predict because they're going to shift the cover to double type belt. And then Caden Prather goes off. And a couple of Roman Hambi big carries. I think we're in for as well. That's my prediction for this game. And watch out for a sack from Jordan Phillips. That's all we have for today. Thank you for listening to Lockdown Terps. Make sure you like and subscribe. We're here every day talking Maryland football basketball. So thank you for listening to Lockdown Terps. A prime member. You can listen to this Lockdown podcast ad-free on Amazon Music. Download the Amazon Music app today. (upbeat music)