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1st and Stix: NFL Week 2 Analytics and Main Slate Breakdown

Stix is back with another week of Fantasy Football Gems and uncovered trends. The NFL Week 2 breakdown is LIVE!
Broadcast on:
14 Sep 2024
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The 1st and Stix Pod cashed many tickets last week and Week 2 is shaping up to be a potential jackpot. Find out who to target with @StixPicks AETY Model for your lineups and get ready to WIN!

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Plus Shopify's award-winning help is there to support your success every step of the way because businesses that grow grow with Shopify. Sign up for a $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com/Westwood1. All lowercase go to Shopify.com/Westwood1 now to grow your business. No matter what stage you're in, Shopify.com/Westwood1. Week two, we are back. Thank you to everybody who joined us last week. I hope you enjoyed the show. If you've got any feedback, please reach out to me at Twitter @SticksPicksSTIX, P-I-C-K-S. Did hear from some fans from last year's show. They miss the crinkling paper, so we do have that. I got one page full of notes. The rest is on the interwebs, so I'm sorry to disappoint those that miss the paper crumbling, but I greatly appreciate everybody tuning in. If you haven't already, check out windailysports.com use promo code SticksSTIX. Hope everybody had a great week one for me personally in the DFS world. It was a little up and down right around the break-even threshold with the cash games coming in right at the end. My cash game in the draft games $250, single entry 50/50. I believe the field with 247 players is the one that I joined. It was or 222, I'm sorry. It was the pay line and it was very close to that $100 one and then one of the other $100 ones as well. Kind of bankrolling myself that way to stay afloat, but my cash game lineup was good about it. It was Alvin Kamara. It was fine. Nothing crazy. 22 points is great. Kenneth Walker was a smash player for both DJ and I over at win daily. A lot of field design. I mean, we don't really need to talk about that or pat our back on that. When Tyree Kale, Kaleer Shkaer was fine. 8th of chalk with Yoshavas. Ingram sucked. I mean, Chargers D was the one, I believe, at the end that interception, I guard her men's shoe, get me to the pay line. So better lucky than good, I guess. And the GPP side of things, I talked a lot about having faith in Sam Darnold and Daniel Jones. I went to Darnold route and then Daniel Jones and the other just honestly, it was so fucking close to the pay line in the game changer, which is that large single entry GPP at draft Kings. I would have cashed men cash, but would have cashed relatively easy if that Mike Jasecki touchdown didn't get called back. I had 2% Jasecki. He was my way of getting different from Andres Yoshavas, which was a full fade from me and GPP's worked out well. Not always going to work out that way, but man, Mike Jasecki did not drop that fucking ball. Like watching that replay, it was like under review for a couple minutes and I was texting my buddies like, all right, he's definitely in. You showed the replay. He's definitely in. He never that ball. I don't know. It's like, I'm not here to bitch, but Christian Kirk was in my GPP line of he fucking sucked. He was a core play for me last week. So sorry about that. If you trailed there, I mean, Jacksonville offense just sucked as a whole too, but yeah, didn't need to be that good. Honestly, my lineup was right at the pay line with 123.62 points. Kenneth Walker being a huge part of that. And I also got different with Jalil McLaughlin at 2% ownership. No one's going to play guys like that in their higher stakes single entry GPP. So if you're into playing, you know, I'll call it kind of ballsy, right? Getting super different in a couple spots. If you can stomach that you can make some money in that tournament, but he had five receptions for one yard. Like, dude, go for 10 or 13 and the one that he fumbled to like he was trying to make a move before he even caught the ball. He caught the ball. He's kind of like behind his back a little bit and just fumbled it, but he had that guy shook and I stand by the jilio mclough and play last week. The volume was there in the past game as a perfect game script for using him with Kenneth Walker. My theory there was sales kind of going to beat the shit out of him and Jalil McLaughlin's going to get a lot in the passing down work. And he did. He just didn't do shit with it. Tyree Kale was a lot player for everybody. So don't need to talk about that. But Chargers D was my favorite play of the week on the defensive side of things, especially when they're cheap and at home against Gardner Minchu will do that. And then on the betting space, let me pull that up. I only had three plays. I kind of did my feet week when I usually do that. I probably should do that a little bit more this week, but I do have a relatively full betting card. Pulling that up, I think the plays last week, we talked about it. The Panthers game over that. I mean, the Saints, I think, fucking covered that themselves. I did think the Panthers would keep it close a little bit. That was a disaster. Josh Wiley, any time touchdown did not happen, didn't even get a target. He did set a nice block on Tony Pollard's touchdown run there, but they just didn't want him throwing the ball and whatever. We'll have this. Yeah, you guys don't need to hear about Willis. And then JK Dobbins over 1.5 receptions. If you go on Windaley Sports, go to the prop builder, it'll show you all of my projections, like actual catches, actual yards, pest attempts, completions, all that good stuff. And then do the edge formula for you on the website to find what book the over or the under has an edge compared to the 80 model. So that was the highest one, I believe, at the reception window. So that was the one I took. I thought JK Dobbins would be pretty involved. I did not think he would break the damn slate at 4,900, but I did not have many lines with him in the milli maker I did, but none of them had the right pieces to obviously tell a fun story about that. This week, week two, my bets so far are Derek Carr over 216.5 passing yards about MGM minus 115. Dak Prescott over 23 and a half completions on bet MGM minus 105. Gardner Mencher over 200 passing yards minus 114 fan dual Derek Henry over 69 and a half rush yards bet MGM laid the juice there minus 125 yikes get their Derek force Devin Singletary over two and a half receptions even money fan dual Hayden Hurst anytime touchdown plus 550 Caesars JK Dobbins under 56 and a half rush yard Caesars minus 108 and Brock Purdy over 19.5 completions Caesars minus 125. I'm not like picking these out as a fan it's just running the 80 mile the way it does obviously after injuries and all that stuff and that could change this weekend but I'd try to buy anything that I have like a 7% edge or higher on and I believe the highest edge was Derek Henry over 69.5 rush yards I do not know if that is still at the window I bought most of these Wednesday night and Thursday morning for the most part but let's get into the injuries side of things where we at there I'm not going to go through all of them but CMC is out obviously that's huge for everybody Ken Walker out it's big Tyson Campbell out for the Jax and Phil Jaguars he's like the only corner they have that's going to be big if that weather holds up Devon Bailey kind of the guy that shocked everybody with the target chair for Denver he is out Davis Allen one of the backup titans for the Rams is out if you care to know but Colby Parkinson value definitely going to be a thing this week Penny Sewell questionable for the lines definitely interested in that for how that game could shake out with the game script of being a seven-point home favorite Jake Ferguson doubtful I'm assuming he's out in Jordan Love highly questionable I would assume that he is out but I don't know that for fact so you guys keep an eye on it but I'm sure I'm missing a hundred other injuries I do have it all written on paper but I'm not going to shake up the paper right now going to the first game we got Baltimore hosting the lost Vegas Raiders opened up at a 41-point total Baltimore nine-point favorite we have eight and a half nine depending on where you look let's see what is circa at circus at eight flat and 41 so that's pretty cool um yeah Raiders getting a little bit of money I do think they can keep up with this a little bit I know Baltimore look pretty good against Casey I don't know I don't really have a lean on this game definitely not betting it not playing any of the quarterbacks Lamar I prefer to have him in a game script where the pace is going to be pushed a little bit but he'll certainly get to value if you're looking at him in a cash game atmosphere I'm seeing five percent ownership there in Garden Minshew on owned my exposure to Minshew this week is just on the passing props I do think that this is a game Derek Henry can run down their throat and Garden is going to have to chuck it and I don't respect Baltimore secondary as much as I probably should moving on to the running back position here we got Derek Henry at seven percent ownership if that is true under 10 percent Derek Henry at only sixty seven hundred whoo almost a double-digit home favorite I don't need to say anything else we're not fucking touching the Las Vegas Raiders running back position here again this is just a breakdown for the draft Kings and main slate Devontae Adams at the wide receiver position seventy three hundred pretty affordable only three percent ownership if you want kind of mini stack you know Derek Henry and run it back with Devontae Adams on the other side or Zaflowers like I don't know you could stack up this game if you want to there's a lot of fantasy explosion but probably not getting there I will have a little bit of Devontae Adams and Derek Henry running back and forth in some of my enemy stuff but not really interested in Zaflowers in this game script Kobe Myers probably a good spot to get fed a lot didn't break down a ton of this coverage because I just didn't have a lot of interest in it and it's been a long week so moving on to the tight end position Mark Andrews I think it's very cash viable at 5k Brock Bowers at 4400 though in a game script that I and Vegas obviously project them to be coming from behind a lot 4400 for Brock Bowers is probably just too cheap right now in cash games I am between him and Mark Andrews I think Mark Andrews is just obviously at five percent ownership and after what Isaiah likely did on opening night it's probably much better to just use Mark Andrews in GPPs because at 5k you don't need a game script that's like back and forth shootout where you're used to paying 6700 for Mark Andrews and you need a huge game out of them like you only need 15-20 points and on this slate with these tight ends and most of the field paying down a tight end Mark Andrews certainly is a great way to get different and then Brock Bowers again someone I'm very interested in on the cash game side of things having decided if I'm going to play him or go down to like Parkinson or some bullshit but um defense you could obviously use any defense you want we don't need to talk about defense so moving on to the Chargers in Carolina oh I mean there's any no ownership in any of this game maybe JK Dobbins at 5400 I'd rather have Gus Edwards I think for 200 less but I probably just don't want anybody in this game but Gus is probably someone you should look at at the touchdown market if you're gonna fade in DFS JK Dobbins I'm obviously on the under on the rushing at 56 and a half but this game opened up at what 39 and a half it's sitting there the Chargers are a five point road dog I don't know I have a hard time handicapping both these offenses I think you know Hayden Hurst is in a good spot going back to Carolina 3k um I did think I may have brought something down no I did not even break down oh yeah Carolina D with the ever oh so I'm going to play it to play a ton of zone and they should blitz a lot but you know I guess it's hard to predict LEC I don't hate the spot for Hayden Hurst is what I wrote here lack of back and forth makes me scared to play anybody that's not a RB again I would lean Gus Edwards in this touchdown script and lack of back and forth to that I think Caroline fucking sucks so we'll move on from that game going to New Orleans and Dallas leading up to like today yesterday I was all about stacking deck Prescott and this game as a whole like using cameras or run back using a lavas or bring back run back whatever you want to call it I don't you know you guys don't care so uh yeah and then double second deck with uh CD and Britney cooks because I do think that this coverage is something that both of these offenses I honestly like the Saints are going to surprise you they're going to hang in games I do like them to cover the spread right now is it opened at six total 46 it's about up to 46 and a half still pretty much sitting at six I wish I could buy a point to get the Saints plus seven but again when I don't like betting sides that much I think these lines are so damn sharp I don't think we're going to beat handicappers often on the side but with Dallas D we're going to see a lot of blitz and a lot of zone I don't think Zimmer's really ever going to go to main coverage and just like in week one we saw last week they refused to run main coverage so for the Saints looking at historically with Kubiak and just aircar in general against the Blitz it's going to be a lot of scheming for the X that's going to be Chris Alave you know the hot routes against the Blitz against the zone probably a little bit up bump up to the tight end but we are going to see routes ran from Foster Moreau and Johan Johnson so I don't know I'm not really into that tight end thing and definitely not playing Taysom Hill I don't know I I don't think that this is a spot for Rashidah Heat but again that guy can just break the door open on one play like we saw last week and many times last year I think there's a great spot for Chris Alave looking at quarterback ownership in this game their car unowned probably not interested there I do respect Alistair a little bit but I don't think they are going to be as good as a public thinks I think Kubiak will have a great game plan and they're going to fight in this game here and I think Dak Prescott 6700 3k probably one of my favorite GPP quarterbacks Alvin Camara right around 5% at 7k I do think that if this is a game you get exposure to in GPP you probably just game stack because no one's going to be on it and if this game goes like for Dak to hit value and for CD to hit value and for obviously paying 7k for Alvin Camara to hit value you're going to need a big game so I would just game stack it if you're interested in that but I do like Alva Camara right around 5% ownership his price tag is just a little expensive and we did see a lot of fucking Taysom Hill last week which is frustrating I guess they just won't give up on him but 8800 CD lamb may not be a better match up on paper he will see some Alante Taylor and Marcia and Lettimore I believe was questionable but St. St. St's is going to run a lot of man coverage with Ryan Nielsen so we should see a big boost in what is already a strong target share for CD lamb and dude CD lamb looks jacked I was telling my buddy the other day that yeah like he put on weight and he's yeah he's just a beast like I wish that was a guy I had in my main league fantasy roster especially in how wet Tua going down in Tyreeks value just boom dead but love CD lamb I obviously wish the best for for Tua as well so get better buddy hope to see on the field and then Chris Alave is going to be like 5% owned at 6400 I think it's a great price but as I mentioned I think that this was a game that I really like just going like deck CD running back with the lobby and then now as I look at it and the ownership kind of going nowhere in the total not really moving it's like all right the only way to really blow up and beat the field if you're playing this game is probably a three a three two game stack so again if I had to do that it would be deck CD briny cooks at 5600 and 2% ownership he looks good too like he looks young I don't know how he keeps doing it but briny cooks have a great little career for you buddy and then running it back with Alvin Kumar and Chris Alave probably not going to play Shaheed tight ends I don't know Luke Scoonmaker if you want to talk yourself into that at 2900 with Fergie out probably not doing that and like I said with Tays and Hill Johan Johnson the foster marrow routes ran things just kind of turn me off a little bit moving forward to another great game we got Detroit Tampa Bay opened up at 51 and a half that is holding true and Detroit is a seven and a half seven point favorite depending on where you look I mean should be awesome it should be a really fun game to watch I have a ton of interest in this game Detroit Steve with Aaron Glenn should see a good mix of coverages they will run a little bit of man they'll run a bunch of different zone looks too high three and cover four so we'll what we will see is a lot of blitz from them and Tampa Bay I really didn't boost anybody in the target share kind of just the expected what the 80 model has so you're a good mix of you know Chris Godwin Mike Evans Jalen McMillan bumped up a little bit and dropped the tight end Kate Oden I think Jalen McMillan's a stud on the other side with Tampa Bay here's my paper one for you we are going to get no man like a bottom third expected man rate so we'll get maybe a little bit but a ton of blitz with Casey Rogers here in Tampa Bay and here you go I'm on Ross Saint Brown against elite bullets rate teams last year so we got week one against Casey he went nine targets six receptions 71 yards touchdown 19.1 fantasy points week four five for seven 56 yards touchdown that was against Green Bay 16.6 fantasy points obviously the touchdown saved him there but still like to see seven targets what do we got in next week six against this Tampa Bay team the Bucks blitzing a shit ton 12 receptions on 15 targets 124 yards and a touchdown 30.4 points or 38.4 don't can't even read my fucking handwriting big game to summarize and then week 10 against the Chargers who blitz a ton eight receptions nine targets 156 yards touchdown 30.5 yes so that bucks game had to be 38.4 week 12 against Green Bay again nine receptions 11 targets 95 yards the only game against a high bullets rate team that he did not get in the box 18.5 fantasy points week 15 against Denver high bullets rate seven receptions nine targets 112 yards one touchdown 24.2 fantasy points in PPR format and then week 16 against the Minnesota Vikings he just splits the ever living hell out of everybody 12 receptions 14 yards or 14 targets 106 yards one touchdown 28.6 fantasy points that equates to 24.01 I think fantasy points per game 103 yards per game and damn near 11 targets per game so yeah I'm on Ross St. Brown against the Blitz rack it up so moving into the players here I'm sorry quarterbacks Jerry Gough 6400 3% ownership you could do that if you want to penny school I think would be a a big difference maker for me and how that I think this game plays out like I'd always advise people try to tell yourself a game script and build a lineup that fits that narrative and you know build around it and then for Baker Mayfield I wish like that was one of the bad for me David Jones at when daily sports was all over him I just had a hard time figuring out that game and if Washington Steve was gonna be that bad spoiler alert their secondary still absolutely sucks they look really good against the run and all the Rashad white chalk coming down the end that was making my cash game sweat a ton and I forgot what play it was I don't know should have should have got a turnover earlier and or Tampa Bay should have punted and then ended up scoring on that last drive I think but quick water break but yeah probably not going back to Baker but you certainly could if you think this game will shoot out Vegas certainly things that will on the running back side of things we got Jameer Gibbs at a great price 6600 15% ownership I'm I'm cool with it I'd prefer pennies who will be in for me to play any of these running backs Rashad white I'm definitely out at 6300 I think Bucky everything's good I do think Rashad white's good too he's just not very efficient on the ground and we all knew that I think Bucky will see a little bit more weekend week out but Rashad white's still the pest pest catching back there so if you got Rashad white and season long or anything like that don't panic but maybe get Bucky as a handcuff David Montgomery 6k probably not for me wide receivers I'm on our same ground I'm seeing 10% ownership yeah I'm gonna be very interested in that on the other side Mike Evans 65 or 7500 5% ownership everybody's gonna go to Godwin at 6k for 1500 less than Mike Evans that makes sense I would rather have Mike Evans if I'm stuck in this game james of Williams what a coming out party dude that was awesome to see he is he's such a good good dude like listen him to him talk he's so happy he loves football it's it's awesome I'm happy that uh he's finally kind of showing out to his name and his talent that everybody thought he would be and maybe they keep scheming in place but against the blitz I think golf just goes back to his boy I'm on Ross and Brown so love him here Jill McMillan if you need a punt 3600 you could certainly three two stack this game if you wanted to as well or four two stack it with all the passing that is anticipated Sam Laporta 6300 hard pass at that price when Mark Andrews is 5k and same ownership at like four or five percent kdotten out moving to Indian Green Bay I'm gonna move past Indian Green Bay um unless Jordan love plays then maybe there's a little bit of sex appeal in this game but I don't know Josh Jacobs should get 25 touches there's my comment on that game Cleveland and Jacksonville keep an eye on the weather it's classic Florida but it does look like it's going to be pretty bad there Sunday so we'll see what happens hopefully it's not a complete washout and just 35 carries for Jerome Ford but maybe if it is keep an eye on Jerome Ford um looking at the quarterback position here actually let's go to the line what do we got opened up at 42 jags minus two and a half it is 41 41 and a half jags minus three kind of like the over in this game but again with the weather not gonna not gonna push my chips in or anything like that Trevor Lawrence 5700 no ownership to Sean Watson 5600 no ownership I mean both of these guys are probably intriguing from a GP piece perspective if you think this game could shoot out and there's no ownership there these guys target shares are very predictable you know on the Lawrence side maybe a little less predictable than we'd like but I think with all the blitz that Cleveland's gonna bring should be a good spot for Christian Kirk and Brian Thomas is probably just too cheap for how good this guy probably is at 4700 I'm not gonna pay 7200 for Travis ETN against the Browns Jerome Ford 5900 good price 15% ownership I don't know I think Jacksonville is just a past funnel so probably out on Jerome Ford a Mario Cooper 6200 with no Tyson Campbell is fantastic at 3% ownership I think everybody right here in this price range is going to Malik neighbors and we'll see projections when we get to that game for ownership but Mark Cooper if this weather is low-key and quiet I think that's a fantastic play in any format honestly 6200 for a Mark Cooper it just does just show him Watson sucker nut I don't know that is for you two probably say yes to and probably be right when we find out after the game on Sunday again I don't know I think it's a good spot for Christian Kirk I probably will game stack this maybe in the milli maker too but Brian Thomas Jr. 6% ownership 4800 sorry I think I said 4700 earlier but yeah he looks like he's a real deal so very excited to watch him Evan Ingram's no one's gonna go back to my 5400 probably a great time to do it but again I don't know I have a hard time handicap in Jacksonville's passing offense even though I said the contrary to start and then no David Nijoku he is out I miss that one in the beginning I think he's on IR but Jordan Atkins 10% ownership there's no way that's true and there's no way I'm playing Jordan Atkins or Akins whatever San Fran in Minnesota oh I'm gonna do it I'm going back to Justin Jefferson but this game opened up 44 and a half San Fran five point favorite it is now bet up to 46 46 and a half at circa I think this game goes I think this game has a lot of stack appeal and San Fran's a past funnel so Brock Purdy 6% ownership 6100 I'm okay with that I'm okay with stacking him with Kittle, Deebo, IU, if you want to go to Jordan Mason you know he's gonna be a free square we don't really need to talk about that 5200 you're definitely taking it in cash and probably highly considering the free square in GPP Sam Darnell 5200 don't hate it I do think you could pass all over San Fran and I do think this game stays pretty close I do trust Minnesota Jordan Mason's gonna be 100% owned no interest in Aaron Jones but yeah 5200 for Jordan Mason with CMC out that's pretty easy just don't overthink it Justin Jefferson 8300 I'm seeing 9% ownership I think that's a fantastic GPP option gonna be very interested there Deebo Samuel 22% ownership I don't know if I believe that but 6800 is a good price for a guy that touches the ball 8, 9, 10 times a game especially with CMC out we're gonna see Deebo run a lot um Brandon Iyuk 6500 I do like that because this should be a good spot Brian floor is gonna run a ton of zone but like I said when breaking down I'm on rod the Minnesota Vikings Blitz a ton Iyuk is the priority and the hot rock guy for Brock Purdy against the Blitz so I think this a really good spot for Iyuk even wrote here bump up for Iyuk Deebo will get his regardless but I think I'm going to keep an eye out on Brandon Iyuk receptions prop I do have him let me find the actual projection where are the 49ers I got him for 4.5 on the button and I think that is what every prop is at is 4.5 so if we can get like it we're not gonna get a four so probably not moving on that prop but yeah unless so you got a book out there that doesn't offer the hook if it was for flat I would definitely jump on that love this spot for Iyuk tight end position you could always play George Kittle I'm not gonna tell you not to no idea what to do with the Minnesota tight end so hard pass there 5500 for George Kittle at 5k or 5% ownership is pretty sexy though if you want to stack this game up because bringing Justin Jefferson back against a past funnel defense seems so easy so definitely going to have a lot of interest in Justin Jefferson on the GPP side of things we got see Adalad New England what do we got there opening total 39 and half it is sitting at 38 and a half at most books 39 at circa Seattle is giving three no Kenneth Walker I'm not even talking about the quarterbacks in this game with the pace that we'll likely see Zach Sharburna I'm assuming is going to be very high-owned I think that's finding cash I think both defenses in this game are in play Romandre Stevenson I got 25 plus touches last week that's awesome I don't know I don't think you could really run on Seattle I think we saw it last week but obviously that's the Denver Broncos in an offense that we just don't know a whole lot about yet but I respect Seattle's D I'm not playing Romandre Stevenson DK Mecha 5900 it's like almost time to just do it but not in this game for me but he is way too cheap you could potentially play him in cash I guess if you wanted to but yeah we'll move on to the next game this will probably be another quick one honestly with the team total of 22 and a half I did have a lot of interest in GPP for Aaron Rodgers and then news came out about Russell Wilson so it's like I probably should just play Justin Fields for cheaper if you're gonna do that but I do think Tennessee's a pass funnel too like I think with San Francisco so I don't mind Rodgers he didn't look terrible he didn't look great but I don't know San Fran's a pass funnel and he didn't get it done at all but but I think I'm going to play Aaron Rodgers in the early only slate I think this is a really good spot for Garrett Wilson this guy just gets peppered with targets but Tennessee's D with Denard Wilson is going to play a good bit of man and they're going to blitz a lot Rodgers against the blitz runs a ton of high routes with the X so that will obviously be Garrett Wilson should be a master volume day form because I don't think you're going to be able to run on Tennessee I know the Jets will try but I don't know I don't hate Aaron Rodgers they're Breece Hall 7400 I'm seeing 25 ownership no way that's true I'm not paying up for Breece Hall in this matchup probably not going to Pollard on the other side but San Fran ran all over the Jets on Sunday night so I don't know maybe you could or Monday night whatever it was but Tony Pollard 5900 not bad for the expected workload but let's see the ownership of Garrett Wilson 16% no way I feel like he'd be under 10% so I don't know if these projections are good or not mature yet oh that's that's a bit of a beatdown I thought he'd be like 5% but yeah I'm okay with Garrett Wilson at 7100 no interest on anything Tennessee so this is a game that I'm not stacking I'm just using Aaron Rodgers if in the early slate as a value and I'll honestly probably pair him with Allen Lazart because Aaron Rodgers and Allen Lazart against the Blitz in Green Bay like that was his guy I know that's not he's not the X anymore but he's probably going to run a lot of routes in the slot assuming Mike Williams gets the training wheels let off a little bit but 3300 I hate that like even consider Allen Lazart but like chasing the points from Monday night but his price is just too low if you guys six foot six or six five whatever he's going to have nickel corners on him that are small and he's really good at finding open spots in the zone so I'm okay with Allen Lazart there at 3300 tight ends no interest no Josh Wiley wish he would get him targets because I do think he's stood and will lead the Titans in touchdowns this year for the tight end position going to the next game the Giants and the commanders opened at 43 commanders a one and a half point favorite Jaden Daniels probably the chalk on the slate at 6200 that dude can run I don't know who to compare him to he takes long strides and still fast as hell but I don't know did not like what I saw from them throwing the football sucks for Terry McLaurin shares right now maybe they figured that out but can you go back to Daniel Jones and just play the Baker Mayfield tour him up obviously Baker had a really good year last year and is a much better player than Daniel Jones but for 5300 Daniel Jones is interesting but I'm seeing 7% ownership if that's true I will let the field have it I'm not playing Jane Daniels I kind of like the Giants D here I think that they're so talented on paper kind of like my lean with the chargers last week but I don't know Devin Singletary Brian Robinson junior Brian Robinson junior for 5800 is probably where I'd go so far for exposure in this game but definitely on the GPP side of things with him only being 5% owned no interest in Eichler Singletary wide receiver position Malik neighbors 5900 sounds like he is good to go the knee injury is not going to hold him back we just talked about this Washington secondary play neighbors in cash 5900 everybody's going to so I'll just follow suit there Wanda Robinson got a ton of first reads and a lot of routes ran probably a good guy to go to in the slot but I would rather have Malik neighbors on the outside in this matchup 10 times out of 10 I just worry about what the ceiling is with Wanda Robinson but if you got stuck in cash and have like 4300 and you're not playing Malik neighbors I'm okay with Wanda on cash no interest on the tight end side of things so this is fun we're skipping a lot of games that usually when I do this this is either a great week or horrible week for me because I'm kind of setting my way I'm like I only want a couple games but here we go Los Angeles Rams at the Arizona Cardinals this one's going to have a ton of ownership opened up as a pick them in a 49 point total it is now 47 and half at Rivers and 48 at circa Arizona is a favorite by one I do think Arizona can get it done not much ownership on either quarterback Kyler at 6600 6% ownership cool with that Matt Stafford 6k 6% ownership very cool with that on the defensive side of things sorry I keep forgetting that I don't know I already lost that page so we'll just keep continuing to move on because it is going to be tough to really handicap what the Rams will do obviously Cooper Cup is going to project for everybody like a fucking superstar lock him in and cash I think it's 7500 hit 21 targets last week but I don't know I don't think they're chasing points like they did against Detroit I think this game's kind of back and forth and hopefully Arizona could smidge them out because I am going to probably lay the point there Kyron Williams 6800 20% ownership I'm out James Conner 6400 I was kind of dead on with this guy last week I'm kind of pissed I didn't play more of them but he's going to get a ton of run a guy that's going to check the 20 touchbox scenario so I'm okay with that love James Conner wide receiver we had talked about Cooper Cup it's kind of like where does the value open up I'm not going to play Greg Dorsey 4600 but like Marcus Robinson he's going to be 12 to 15 percent owned at 4k I think it's okay for cash if you don't play Cooper Cup but you're probably just going to play Cooper Cup at 7600 my bad and then Colby Parkinson let's see what his ownership is only 5% there's no way I think he's like 10 to 15 3100 a lot of targets there just with Puka out and obviously Davis Allen I don't think he changes a whole lot but Trey McBride at 6k on the GPP side of things that's where I would stack with Kyler because I'm just not going to play Russian Roulette with Marvin Harrison Jr yet wish his workload gets picked up a lot and I think it will but yeah it's a bummer I guess I I bought the price high in my season long draft at the end of round two and never thought he'd fall that far and I was like fuck I guess I got to take Marvin Harrison Jr and I'm eating that one because if I have I had Jameson Williams on the bench if I start him which I probably you're not going to start Jameson Williams but man anybody else and I win that matchup so that's a difference about one and one and one and oh moving on to the next game Cincinnati at KC should be a fun one to watch but I am very worried about Joe Burrow open at 46 bet up to 48 48 and a half at some books Kansas City's lane 5 or 6 I think Kansas City should walk backwards into covering this game that's probably where I would lean but again I don't like to bet sides to the ownership is I'm a home 17% at 7k I think that's probably true known to play Joe Burrow at 6300 if you want to get crazy you could I just I got to see it first he did not look good against New England Isaiah Pacheco probably close to 20% ownership at 6900 cash game viable for sure GPP viable for sure I mean I think that this again they can kind of run away with and we do see a little bit of Samajapiran and Carson Steele but that is my game script that certainly may not be the game script Zach Moss not really interested there but if Cincinnati wants to stay in this game they got to ride him and stay out of a shootout with Patrick Mahomes on the wide receiver side of things I'm seeing Rishi Rice for 30% ownership so basically the optimizers are saying people are stacking Kansas City or expecting them to I think this game goes way under an ownership but obviously you could stack Rishi Rice savior worthy I'm not paying 6100 for savior worthy but that guy can blow the doors off as we saw opening night and Jamar Chase 7800 it's like it's a good price but I don't know again I got to see it for Burrow first so I'm probably not going to be very invested in this game definitely not paying 6200 for Kelsey but I think it's safe if you need to do it in cash games but you probably just play my homes if you're playing any KCEI in cash games or go to pacheco in the running game moving on to the last game of the slate we're gonna fly through this I love it Pittsburgh at Denver opened up at a 38 point total Pittsburgh lane two and a half it is 36 and a half point total now Pittsburgh still laying two and a half I don't think we need to talk about much coverage here Justin Fields probably gonna be right around like 5 to 10 percent owned at 5400 I think you just eat it in cash or power pay up to like Patrick Mahomes so that's kind of my options right now I'm probably leading Justin Fields and if his ownership's out low I may just play him a GPP because again I love Justin Jefferson again I don't think the field goes back to him I love CD lamb you know I'm on raw it's like I like Garrett Wilson like I probably need to find a way to pay up for these wide receivers so that's probably where we'll go. On the running back side Naji Harris at 5500 if you're not playing Fields like that's a fantastic spot the same reason we love Kenneth Walker but Kenneth Walker's kind of like a established 2.75 down back I don't know how much we'll see Jalen Warren but we will see a little bit of Cordaro Patterson that always pisses me off Julie McLaughlin probably not the game script because this game is probably not gonna get out of hand in either way and you know he's gonna get his touches either way but my game script with him last week was Seattle beats the breaks off of him and Jalil has to play a lot and he didn't beat the breaks off of him but that game was definitely not as close that it should have been Seattle should have covered that six. No interest in a wide receiver here I'm sure you guys are down with that as well uh Pat Fryer moved 4100 1% ownership so if you want to stack Justin Fields you could but you're probably playing Justin Fields naked because his rushing abilities but yeah uh quick slate I love that I feel like we forgot a game but sometimes you just gotta throw away games and shrink your player pool and that's kind of a way to either be successful or have a shit week but with that said definitely come check us out for the final thoughts on Sunday morning at 11 a.m. eastern@winddailysports.com or at youtube uh wind daily sports over there it's all free so it's honestly for you guys if you've got questions feel free to reach out to us anytime on that show I'd prefer we just answer questions instead of go through the games like I did today but I'm excited I think it's a slate that I'm I'm locked in on so it'll either be great or it'll either be shit but once again this is the first in six podcast thank you for tuning in use promo code STICKS if you're interested in signing up at winddailysports.com I should have my cash and GPP playbook out later tonight this is Friday so hope you enjoyed the show good luck this week and thank you all for the support and hopefully see a bunch of screenshots from some winners this week and let's keep rolling this is a mini meditation guided by bombous repeat after me I'm comfy comfy I'm cozy cozy I've zero blisters on my toes blisters and that's because I wear bombous the softest sucks underwear and t-shirts that give back one purchased equals one donated now go to bombous.com/listen and use code listen for 20% off your first purchase that's b o m b a s dot com slash listen and use code listen at checkout if you liked the show please take a moment to rate review and subscribe it really does help the show to grow thank you for listening You You
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