Archive.fm

Win Daily Sports

PGA Procore Championship Betting and DFS Strategies | PGA Picks, Props, & First Round Leaders | PGA DraftCast

The crew is back this week as they deliver their favorite DFS picks, classic banter, and their famous Win Daily Procore Championship First-Round Leader picks!
Broadcast on:
11 Sep 2024
Audio Format:
other

Debate?! The REAL debate tonight is who to take first in the Procore Championship PGA Draftcast!

Join Spence (@TeeOffSports), Joel (@draftmastersflex), and David (@deepdivegolf) as they deep-dive into their preview of the Procore Championship!

Enter PROMO code "DEEPDIVEGOLF" to receive an exclusive 50% off on ALL premium membership categories. This deal is for a LIMITED TIME ONLY so lock in TODAY!

JOIN: https://windailysports.com/sign-up/ref/47/

FEEL LIKE A KING! Grab an annual Win Daily Sports Membership and receive a MASSIVE 50% off!
Weekly and Monthly memberships included!!!

Profit Tracker for 2022, 2023, and 2024 here:
https://windailysports.com/golf/deepdivegolf-2024-pl-tracker/ref/47/

Learn more about DeepDiveGolf here:
https://windailysports.com/deep-dive-golf/ref/47/

Remember that Win Daily Premium membership grants you access to golf but also ALL our sports coverage! From the NFL, NHL, MLB, NBA, Soccer, and more, we have experts in nearly every field you can imagine.

Get full access to our proven winning golf betting tips and golf DFS plays. You can speak directly with the guys, receive expert 1-on-1 coaching for DFS plus betting advice, access our projections, lineup optimizer, premium articles, tools, & expert chat.

The PGA Draft Cast is the only show on YouTube where YOU the audience draft a six-golfer PGA DFS line-up alongside the experts! The format is a standard snake-style draft. Audience members nominate their favorite plays in the chat. The first golfer to be named a second time is the audience's pick!

Follow David (@deepdivegolf), Joel (@DraftMasterFlex), Spencer (@TeeOffSports), and Sia (@SiaNejad) on Twitter.

#FedExCup #FedExFall #ProcoreChampionship #ProcoreChamp #ProcoreChampionshipGolf #ProcoreChampionshipTips #ProcoreChampTips #ProcoreChampionshipPicks #ProcoreChampPicks #ProcoreChampionshipBets #ProcoreChampBets #ProcoreChampionshipGolfBets #ProcoreChampionshipDFS #ProcoreChampDFS #ProcoreChampionshipFRL #ProcoreChampFRL #Silverado #SilveradoResort

#PGADFS #FantasyGolf #GolfBetting #GolfBets #DFSGolf #GolfDFS #FRLBets #FRLPicks #FantasyGolfPicks #DraftKingsGolfPicks #DraftKings #FanDuel #PGAFantasyPicks #PGAPicksThisWeek #PGAPicks #GolfPicks #PGADraftKings #PGADraft #PGALiveDraft #PGATips #PGAPicks #PGABets #PGABetting #ThePlayers #TheMasters #ScottieScheffler #Scheffler #McIlroy #RoryMcIlroy #TigerWoods #DPWT #DPWorldTour #LIVGolf #LIVPGA #PIFPGA #PIF

At your job, do you ever have to deal with a nose roller? How about a snub pulley? Well, if you're installing a new conveyor belt system, dealing with the different components can sound like you're speaking a foreign language. Luckily, you've got a team ready to help. Granger's technical product specialists are fluent in maintenance, repair, and operations. So whenever you want to talk shop, just reach out. Call clickgranger.com or just stop by. Granger, for the ones who get it done. [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] PGA Nation. We are back with a whole new season. Just like that. One week, football starts when you get a whole new golf season. Start from scratch. I am excited. I'm not going to get everyone this week, but enough good golfers for us to have some fun on the draft gas fence. How do you do it today? I'm doing well. We talked about this Joel for the Tour Championship. And I actually don't know who won the Tour Championship. I will say this, I assume it was you. You deserve credit for the season that you put together. It was a very dominating performance from start to finish. It felt like, and if I've learned anything from this and maybe this is something I should have learned very early on, we got to stop allowing you to have Scotty Scheffler. I don't know how we get into this every single week and every week you get a victory on us with it. It's funny because we've talked in the past about our love for WWE. We won't spend too much time talking about wrestling. But I've told you before, I've gone to WrestleMania many times. I think it was like 15 years in a row and me and my friends would do it. Listen, my name, it wasn't just made up. I literally love drafting. So we would do a WrestleMania draft every year. And the rule was, if you won the year before you got the first pick, so every year I took the Undertaker. And they couldn't beat me because I automatically had a win every year. So it's like the same thing with Scotty Scheffler. It's like, you know, let me keep getting, I'm going to keep winning, it's going to be an advantage. Listen, I don't think, unless he becomes the next Tiger Woods, right, I think this was, I might be caught an outlier because I still think Scotty Scheffler is the best player in the world that he's going to be next year. Have to think there'll be some regression this season from how great of a season he had last year. Whether that means he wins a few last tournaments, he's still going to be, in my opinion, the best player. But David, we'd love to hear from you. How are you doing, Jack? I'm your mute, mate. Sorry, I mean, one week of the off season, we lose all of our professionalism. And so we forget to unmute us outside of politics profusely to everybody. The only person I don't apologize to is the audience because the Joltatorship did win in the to a championship. So, you know, Zach is already crying and the chat, I can see that already. Welcome back, Zach, to the new season. But yeah, the Joltatorship actually ended up working out all right. So congrats to Joel, congrats to Team Audience. We'll see what that, I guess that means, I mean, Joel was really the captain of that team. So I think Joel probably picks the draft order here, but I hope that the Team Audience can get some positive vibes from that. And yeah, look, it's quite something off a little bit on the PGA Tour, but the DP Tour was actually picking up. So we hit the European Masters last week, Andrew Johnson, Beef Johnson, the greatest beard in all of golf, go look him up. He finished third, one stroke out of the playoff for us last week at 101, him with Norlanda at 90 to one, finished up in eight. It was second for most of the final round. Like, the DP Tour to the PGA Tour, we've got it all covered for you over at Windaley Sports, and the hot streak just keeps on heating up and keeps on rolling. Well, listen, I love it, the hot streak keeps going, the show is on a good run. We're going to keep them, I'm going into this season. Listen, Zach, I get it. You got audience, you got to struggle on your own, but you call me in as the captain and I get you guys with victories. And you know what, you guys don't need to avoid it. I will avoid the win for Zach specifically, but everyone else gets a W last week, all their audience members, Ivan, Albert, Edward, everybody wins. You guys join me, I'm captain you guys to the championship every week, just get on board, we'll call it the Joel Train, and we keep winning. So audience, you guys are great teammates, appreciate you. We're going to have another draft tonight, we're going to have some fun with the Pro-Core Championship. Listen, we've done well in these kind of like watered down fields of the season, finding value, and really, I think the big edge of these types of tournaments is the price edge, right? So finding, you know, it's not just finding the best golfers, but because of these watered down tournaments and guys that have less experience, there's often a few missed prices. Now, we know there's a few that are chalk and like those are the ones that are, yeah, it makes some tough decisions on, but there's missed prices that aren't chalk, right? Those are the diamonds in the rock that we have to go out and find. They certainly will get uncovered in the draft, guys, and we do have a draft tonight, but before we dive into that, as always, Spencer's going to hit us with the best course breakdown. You will find Spencer, what are you looking for this weekend in California? So one of the things I noticed is that Silver Rotto walks this fine line between what I would call your classic resort style birdie shootout and then something, maybe a little bit more diabolical than that. When you look at Johnny Miller, he's petitioned for this course to be up for major championship consideration in the past. I can't say that he's necessarily going to be given those honors for this venue, but when we look at this course, you get these narrow fairways that have always been noticeable from a statistical perspective. We saw that in 2023 when the golfers only hit 46% of fairways, but I think for me and I don't know if everybody's going to weigh their model this way. I decided to go with this outlook of how I weighed mine. One of the things I noticed here is that when we start diving into the metrics, a lot of this pushed us into. I don't necessarily want to say a bum and gouge mentality, but some of the numbers, if I'm being honest inside of my model, which is where I do think I'll be a little bit different, did line up in that fashion so you get this tree line set up. The problem with that, though, is it doesn't necessarily present the difficulty that you might expect. And the reason for that is that you get this sporadic spacing of the trees. I believe that allows for extra aggression. You look at saw hit the gala specifically, that is a golfer who has been known to be erratic off the tee. I know we gained a million strokes putting last year during his victory, but I thought this was one of those venues to wear unless you are so errant with your first shot and you become trapped with no line of sight to the green. As long as you missed to the correct quadrant or the correct side of the rough, you will have an easier time traversing the course so when you add all of that with 52.4% of shots that are projected to occur from zero to 150 yards. That's a total that's over 13% higher than your average stop on tour. A lot of that pushed me in this direction, whether I end up being right or wrong with this take of I looked for a little bit more of weighted total driving towards distance. I also took those short iron proximity ranges from 150 yards and then you're going to have to score on the par fives. The par three's are very challenging. You're going to get something in the middle of those two answers on your 10 par four holes, but, you know, it's kind of like I said at the beginning, it walks this very fine line between the will have opportunities to score, but there's going to be some challenge at the end of the day with it too so I used a little bit more distance. That's how I decided to build my model. I don't think everybody's going to go that route, but that is at least where I deem there to be an edge this week. Joel and as a well dial up has, has decided to kick in once again on a great freeze frame as well as just acknowledged the fantastic freeze and awesome course breakdown. Again, as always, Benson really glad you touched on the approach metrics. There was something that really popped for me is this huge dispersion in the approach numbers from 150 or less like over 50% of strokes like this really does tend to become this kind of wedge fest in some way. And although the scoring doesn't get out of control, those narrow fairways are 20 yards. I went and looked at the green keepers notes for this tournament and the rough is only two and a half inches Kentucky bluegrass. Now, if you've got like two and a half inches, depending on the grass type, that can be pretty penal. But on this particular grass, it's really not like it's, it's really not that bad. So I do think that, that distance is a bit of advantage. I said in really dialing in with those wedge numbers and you're going to have to make cuts. I think that's the biggest thing is, is I do have enough to compartmenting this week, which usually I don't wait too highly in my model just because it is such a volatile statistic. But I have put some extra storage game cut again this week, just given the scoring that's going to be needed. You are going to need to make some parts to compete and continue in this tournament. And we'll welcome up. Welcome back Joel from AOL. Yeah, you know the AOL dial up it's slow. So it took a little bit to get back up. But we are back and we have a draft tonight. I was just saying it's spent. That is the breakdown that we need. You need to get an edge of your building lineups in any tournament. Get an understanding of the profile golfer that will help you get there. Now the challenge this week is after the first 20 to 25 guys, there's a lot of unknown in this field, right? There's a lot of, you know, this is not a full strength field that you would see in a major. So, you know, a lot of these guys, especially this season or end of last season, we were playing or guys that, you know, we're getting hot for shorts for your time that we had never heard of in the beginning of the year. And I think we're going to see some more of that this year as well, where there's up and coming players who don't have as long of a history that are playing well that we will incorporate into one of them. And we'll find out right now, because to no surprise, I will be drafting first tonight as the winner from the end of last year. And we will go Spencer second David third audience. I will give you the last pick and you will get the wheel so you'll get to in case anyone is new to the show. You can drag in on YouTube, you can draft along with the audience so everyone can participate, just get into the chat the way it works is your typical snake style draft, one through four and then four through one. The caveat is you do need to stay within your draft King salary so you can just take all the best golfers you need to make sure you can afford each golfer in your lineup for team audience. So everybody can nominate the golfer that they want to draft as soon as a golfer is second day meeting a second person says their name, that is the audience's pick. And then we go through to we get six golfers so without further ado I am on the clock first and with the first pick in this track, I am going to take Windham Clark, Windham Clark is someone who really came on strong here at the end of the season, playing great golf. So there's a portion of this year where he was one of the top three or four golfers in the world, week and week out, he went to a little bit of a low where he wasn't playing his golf, best golf. But he is fully back in my opinion we saw him recently put up some really great performance and some really strong finishes eighth at the torture championship. He's at the BMW, you know, seventh in the FedEx in June, he was tempted at the Scottish Open so I really like the form we're getting at a Windham Clark and a very watered down field I really think he's the best golfer by a wide margin. And it's your up second year but would love your take on Clark first. I'm a little bit surprised that you took Windham Clark, he was going to be my 101 pick also and that's, I've talked about this a little bit already this week whether it's through or other podcasts that I've done and when you look at Windham Clark's course history here, it leaves a lot to be desired but I think there are a lot of similarities with Clark that we could dive into with Max Homa. Homa did not have good course history at this venue either and then all of a sudden Max Homa became Max Homa and he played this venue and he wanted him back to back years. Windham Clark and, you know, all of us on this show from top to bottom have been Windham Clark supporters, we backed them in a lot of spots with triple digit victories. And if you look specifically at Windham, he had this 2023 breakthrough, he wins a major championship, he wins massive events. This is not the same golfer in my mind that we're going to be looking at from 2022 and beyond so he was number one in my model in pretty much every one of the critical metrics I was looking for I talked about distance and short iron proximity. Check those boxes, the poet putting that I look for, I also have an uptick just like David does, checked all those boxes. This to me is if I'm ever going to get extremely aggressive and get into that like lock button zone. I think this is probably as close as I'm going to be the whole year and do think it's a one a one B sort of an outlook at the very top here but I'm not going to take who I believe the one B player is I'm going to make a different build here. Before you make your bag I want to think you made a really good point that I want to I want us to just touch on quickly before we move off. And when you're comparing him to home, I think what makes it really interesting we'll see how my get drafted here soon. But I think it's a really interesting comparison from the standpoint that you mentioned of home on paper if you look at more reasonable obviously is an unbelievable course history right he won this tournament twice very recently. Well he seems like he'd be a no brainer play but his current form is atrocious right he's been awful from the last month or two and it's like, they are the polar opposite to profile of conference right. You have Windham Clark who's coming in and great form has kind of no real course history to be excited about here. You have Max Alma who won this tournament twice, very recently, but is it awful form, and it goes up to the that theory of like well what are you prioritizing it's form what's more important is course history, golf or profile. I'm with you I think Windham Clark's the player even though he doesn't have that history that home it has, but it's an interesting thought process for people as you're building one. Yeah I agree and it's it's an unfortunate thing because it now does change the trajectory for my lineup where I like Windham Clark was always going when you gave me the second pick I thought you were going to go to Gala. I was going to put Clark in my build and I figured this would be we could maneuver our way through to get this line up to how I want and now that that's not on the table. I'm going to take this different approach with it it's a golfer that's going to be popular. I think there are a handful of names that we can look at recently Aaron rye Davis Thompson options that have won and on the odds board specifically have been much lower than you would anticipate them being without that upside victory that we've seen, or we would want to see for those prices. I would make the same argument here that if you take Maverick McMealy and you look at some of the production that he's put together I know the proximity play leaves a lot to be desired and I certainly understand that factor but. California, poet grass, it's that blueprint that I'm generally looking for for some of these players that see these optics and, you know, Clark saw that uptick to make him the number one projected when equity candidate in my model. Maverick McMealy also saw that upside he's not technically the number two player for me that would be somebody else but I do think this possesses the best route for me to make more of the build that I want to make now that Clark is not available so I will take Maverick McMealy I know the course history still also with him leave something to be desired but I really like this course fit for him. Maverick McMealy off the board, I think he's a really interesting pick here, I love his upside in this tournament David you're up with the third overall pick but I love your take on McMealy. I'm going to go and have to look up the tape and maybe I'm this but I'm sure that you see that I was going to have the second pick and so I'm super tilted because I would have taken Maverick McMealy with that spot there so I will run the tape back next week. This may be draft day, it may be, we'll check later but Spencer obviously jumped in the air, put it in the spreadsheet, called Maverick McMealy, it is what it is. I do really like Maverick McMealy this week. He is very good between 50 to 100 yards particularly on approach and Maverick Negaly is kind of the polar opposite of Max Homer who Max Homer was good into about Masters and then has been truthful since and Maverick McMealy the second half this year has been excellent. He has been played superb golf and not many people are going to want to pay up 9400 to get Maverick McMealy like that's just the reality of it. So because of that you are going to see depressed owners should compare to some of these bigger names and what's their motivation to win? You know like they, every golf wants to go out on wind golf tournaments, I get that but many of these guys at the top of the board are here because they want to get some rounds in before the presents cup that's their primary focus right now is getting tuned in for that. So, Maverick McMealy did not need to pay this tournament, he's also safe in terms of his PGA2 Ocasio, he is particularly going out of his way to play this golf tournament and that is very, very interesting for me in that regard of why is he here? Well, I'd say so because it's a great course for him and he thinks that he has a good chance to go and win this tournament. Oh, I love it. All right. Well, now you got to pivot. You got to find a new option. Who do you take with your perspective? Yeah, I mean, that's the gold question. I'm going to take a golfer who I suspect is going to be the lesser owned actually then what he should be. And that's Brendan Todd, who again, like Maverick Nealey, nobody's going to want to pay the price tag on Brendan Todd here. He's just come off 22nd in the first FedEx Cup playoff event at the St. Jude. He's got a very, very good course history here. It's finished six and ninth. The last two additions to this tournament. Good form of the American Express as well, which I think is a good comp in terms of the wedge birdie feast that this can potentially turn into if the conditions allow it. He's got a sixth year in his record as well. So he's playing good golf recently twelfth of the wind and 22nd of the FedEx St. Jude. I think there's a golf course that really research them in terms of both is around the green is parting and particularly is ability with the wedges. All right. Well, Brendan Todd, first pick. Interesting audience. You got two here. I see a few nominations in already. We'll need them seconded before those picks become official. How we wait for those picks to get locked in spends would love to get your take on Brendan Todd. I like the selection a lot. It's funny because I had such a discussion early on about distance and Brendan Todd still cracked the top 10 of my model even with that answer being given. So I think there's something to why he has found success at this property. And I tend to agree there's going to be these concentrated buckets of ownership and I do believe it's going to probably push away from Brendan Todd, even maybe more so as we start getting closer to Thursday. So I think it's a nice contrarian selection that has a nice floor to it also. So it's a good pick from David. All right, in alignment there. All right, it's got one in the first pick plan which I like I was I had plenty flag that someone I was looking to draft this week I think he's underpriced. We are going to need that second pick a few nominations in going to need that finalized but with playing off the board I would look to get your take spent were you planning or looking any interest in blue plan this week. My model like some every single week I mean I do think there's a lot of pressure on him like a victory for him. Changes and he's going to get on the PGA tour before long he's he I wish he was already on it he'll. The PGA tour will be better the second that he gets on there like he's better than a collegiate golfer at this point and any of the data that I'm running places him as a top five projected player in my model. It is a short term sample size which would be my only concern with it but you know I do think the price tag is fair with it the only concern would be I do think there's a lot of pressure on him and it's something that we have seen boom or bust with him a little bit over the past handful of tournaments if you look at the 3m in the window but yeah I mean he's fourth for me overall there's not really much negative to say based off of that. All right lock it in the second pick from the audience Chubba Hubbard I mean Mark Hubbard sorry it's NFL season those things can happen. 7500 an interesting pick you know Mark Hubbard not someone I was on my radar but I did see my as though the price is right David would love your take on claim and Hubbard. That's the second steal of the pro core championship so maybe we should have scheduled this during the presidential debate and then I might have been able to take the golfers that I wanted to. Yeah I would have taken my cup but I do actually really like him I'm saying to see some nice treats at his approach numbers which we always know is where we need to see my cupboard so we need to see his approach firing for him to really compete that recently so I do really like that selection Luke Linton I thought he'd be higher on than he is he's only projected be sort of 13% owned at the moment in my model so I thought he would be higher because he isn't in like the starts that he's had he's been pretty spectacular obviously you have got guys like Minwili who are chipped price cheaper than Luke Linton so it's really interesting pricing within that 9k range so maybe that's sort of driving some of his ownership number but I did I did suspect he'd be sort of more around the 1520% because this field gets super weak super quickly you can you go further down the board but that certainly makes sense David alright you got your second week here you started with Todd who you looking for next? Yeah well I'm gonna have to go grab some value I think here just given where you guys are priced in terms of salary remaining and there's been far too many steals already so I'm gonna go and take a CT pan here who is trending in the right direction approach numbers second in the John D at classic recently performed well the Olympics finished 18th and there's a 6 here previously as well just really with these narrow fairways I think there's two routes that you can kind of go you can either bomb and gouge it or you can find a ton of fairways and so this kind of marries up with my Brendan Todd selection terms of two driving accuracy finding fairway selections but also very very good with their wedges in the 150 to 50 yard kind of range which you are going to see it disproportionate number of shots over 50% of shots occurring from under 150 yards so some risk involved he did WD with a back injury back at the win of championship that was a month ago I'm taking the punt that he's healthy now and that he's gonna continue his good play because he really does need a decent finish ranked at the moment 90 through it on the feed his cup so needs to stay within that 125 to make sure he keeps his PGA to a card going into 2025 Oh CT Pan from Sia a big fan of the pan love it you know and that is definitely confirmed because Sia's come on recommending CT Pan I know it started at least at the Olympics and a few weeks after that he's one of those value plays in these watered down fuels that has a lot of upside that we've seen him get top five finishes so I like the pick there as well from David Spence would love your take on the last two picks and then you're up with your second pick The one thing I'll say about Hubbard before we move forward and I've noticed this as something that comes into play quite often when a player is a late addition to the field one you get that suppression of ownership that ends up coming into play and two you usually get a reduced price tag There was a situation with Jager a handful of maybe last year around this time but this has happened numerous times that I could recall so I think that Hubbard play is very savvy there from the audience I'm trying to figure out Joel what I want to do with this selection because if I don't take the gala I assume you will take the gala I almost want to see what your build ends up looking like if you have Clark in the gala and maybe this is not how we dethron you right now by giving you the two cream of the crop players and saying make a build but I guess I will let you have that Joel if that's the route you decide to go I'm going to take a golfer here and I would argue that if there's a negative to be found and there's going to be a lot of ownership around him and I certainly understand that is that this golfer in particular I've had his break come that's now been a month long break at the wrong time for him that's sometimes what happens when when you put yourself and you don't make the FedEx cup playoffs and I'm talking about JJ spawn here he had made six consecutive cuts in a row back to back top nine finishes really what I found in the profile though that I loved is he is leading this field with 20 consecutive rounds of shooting in part or better and I thought there was a lot of reverse of the answer that I would give for the gala where the gala has gotten this boost and rightfully so it's not a spot where I like sahith this week I would rather play wind them if push came to shove and I can only have one of them but I thought I thought sahith got every single bit of respect from being the defending champion being a golfer that tore up the tour championship and while spawn is getting respect in the market I didn't necessarily think these price tags for him I understand 9000 is still expensive but I thought it was on the low end of what we've gotten recently so I'm going to bet on some of that form and even the long term data that I have for him in my sheet I always talk about how I run numbers from a longer duration of time he was a top five overall player for me so I think the short term and the long term data is fitting and usually when that's the case that's a golfer that if yes the market is reacting with I am willing to react with the market there boom interesting changing it up JJ spawn getting locked and I feel like from wrong expense I feel like JJ spawns one of your guys I know you've directed them a few times this year, definitely someone that you like you like to get to play in this field he certainly has the upsides of that pick you know make sense to me I'm going to I'm going to take you and and spent I have good news for you I'm not going to take to go so if you want to take him he'll come back to you I'm going to go a different direction with these next two I think I can get a little bit more balance and build and build a nice body so for my next two I'm going to go ahead and lock in Eric Cole and I'm going to take Patrick Fishburn and so Patrick Fishburn is a guy who I was referencing the beginning of the show where it's like hey these are guys that were kind of off our radar a year ago or a couple years ago and now they're kind of rising up at 7500 I just like you know Patrick Fishburn has given us a lot of very good results recently and to give them again one of these water bound fields, I think can give us another one I'm seeing sub 10% ownership at only 7500 he gave us a T six at the three and open, you know the he played and was essentially probably the ice coach at John Dirk I mean a corn ferry tournament where he still got 15 so at the rock and mortgage he was 25th just getting you a lot of good results I think there's plenty of upside he has the ability to find a hot putter of the ball straight he is there, he's taking a lot of boxes for this mid 7K range and if you're going to start with Wyndham Clark and do that I think you can build a very balanced lineup by staying in this range so I'll start there Spencer go back to you with Europe for your third but I want to get your take on both Cole and Fishburne I gotta be honest I feel like this has been a masterclass in how to put together a draft to kind of put me in these precarious binds with it so I was going to take Eric Cole and on the way back I was probably going to take Patrick Fishburne so you have now stolen three consecutive picks and the most challenging part about this for me and I'll kick it over to David because I would like a second to consider which route I'm going to go. If I do take the gala now I really left myself in a spot where I did not want to be and that's what's like I wish I could almost take back the spawn pick put the gala in my build and reconfigure this in a different way so I'll let David talk about these picks. I'm in a bit of a bind right now so whether that's a good or a bad thing I guess remains to be seen but I think they're good selections. Yeah well interesting that there's so much stealing in a show that you know this field now is a full field we get a cut. You know it's a bit different to these kind of no cut 70 50 30 men events that we've been drafting for the last few weeks and so kind of interesting to me that we're landing in some of the similar spots whether that that speaks to the way that we're building our models or if it speaks to that there might be a lot of truth this week that's up to people to make their own determinations but could be a good week to find some pivots I think just in regards to that. I do like that you're a coal selection particularly I think that he's playing a lot better we seem to see that return to form that we saw kind of the parts of 2023 in particular I do think that he's a strong selection. I think JJ spawns an interesting selection as well but though his ownership numbers are kind of going through the roof which I found somewhat surprising that might be because being quality tipped in as well this week so often you find a lot of momentum kind of follows and collie for good reason because he's very very sharp as well so spends like him likes him like some collie likes him I think that there's a good chance that JJ is born and plays well to speak. It looks like Joel is having dial up issues again and spent some will come back to you for your third selection although if you want I can swap out an effort mainly for you any day you can just have them if you want. I mean never make nearly is the selection that I like a little bit more probably my favorite selection so far of the two options so I will keep him. So I will do this not the route I was going to go wish this could be Eric Cole here. I'm going to take a goal for that I am very intrigued to see what he can provide for this upcoming season I think there's a handful of golfers that we should be keeping an eye out for of whether they can either get a victory or how they can start propelling themselves up and that is Mac Meisner for me at 8000 this line up if I'm being honest David is about the chalk of all chalk in these spots right now I have found pretty much the most popular player in all of these ranges but another player that's inside of the top 10 for me for overall rank the safety numbers which if I'm going to take chalk I usually would like to see that be a number that increases so he is a top six projected safety player which might seem like an outlandish return but a lot my model liked from him inside the top 10 and recent strokes gain total when I weighed it for this course inside of the top 15 just an overall strokes gain total over his last 24 rounds. Could make the argument obviously that he hasn't been seen in action for a little bit so where is that added how much is that worth but when you put together inside of my model that distance and proximity number that's a top five grade. So I will take Mac Meisner I do think the price tag is too cheap and for me this is a spot where the ownership is correct. Mac Meisner a name that is becoming popular on this show. And he will be in my player pool. David you got your third big here would love your take on Meisner and then you go into third. Yeah I agree Matt Meisner is like very obvious family right he is underpriced at AK he should be sort of around that 8500 mark given the way he's been playing lately so no qualms with the selection whatsoever I think that he's he's definitely one for all of your black books in terms of a rising value at some point will randomly sneak a victory so I do think he possesses a ton of upside. Well I won't make the mistake that you guys have made I'm going to take so if they are here he's still on the board so third third of the two of championship absolute ball striking master class last week. Well the week before last at the two of championship playing X and golfing is a defending champion I mean what will do you guys want. I mean it's very fair on paper I'm actually going to say I think Windham Clark's the best player in this field but the gala is very close second in terms of talent and getting him in the third round is a pretty much a no brain or pick that makes sense. Audience you got to I see one nomination we're going to need more in to get those two picks finalized while we wait spent. I guess we'll ask you this way why didn't you take the gala when you have your chance roster construction for me it just when I was in a spot I would have been left with $7,000. And I kind of like you know David talked about it there are players to play in that lower tiered section but I was kind of trying to avoid that the best I could if I had the ability to reconstruct this build. And then knowing that I couldn't get Eric Cole and going a different route with it probably would have been but to me this is the one a one b. It was you know for maybe as sub optimal as it was for David if he views it that way on the first couple picks. It's a pretty optimal path to where I felt priced out you didn't go in that direction and the gala very easily could have been the one on one off the board and he lasts until the 303 so I mean pure value wise. I don't know how much better you can get of a start than that there's so many things to like about the gala this week. Boom, there you have it I love it. Audiences first pick is locked in with Chan Kim who I love I love the chin Kim pick. I was going to take him with one of my final three if he didn't get off the board there so good pick by the audience. We have more from you guys to lock in David would love your take are you interested at all in chin Kim this week. He's okay I don't I don't know if I love the price tag with some of the names around him I think make Meisner is the route you kind of go there. Even though he is slightly higher owned than what Jenkins going to produce. I think Meisner's better play in that range even go down to like a Johnny Vegas Sam Stevens maybe even have some interest for me. I think that for me personally there's some better options that a lot that just comes down to the putting. Look he he's putted well at the American Express he's never played on this course remains be seen how he performs on these screens. But on a golf course where I am waiting putting a little bit higher I would want to see a little bit of improvement in the putting stats. He has been a bit better the last few starts and that's why he's got like the 12th of the wind recently because his putting has improved a bit. It's just not quite where I want to see in terms of the price tag that you haven't paid for. Oh right well it is official this is officially the PGA steel show as Shipley off the board. I really like the Shipley pick I think he was just really underpriced here and he's played enough tournaments over the last six months to ten months. Because I think it's not really a mystery no more than we were starting to get an idea of who he is he's a good player he's a very good player. I would have thought he would have been in the more mid to upper eight K range again in the mid seven K range I think is a great value. And the ownership doesn't look crazy either it's not like he's coming in at like 20 25% own so I really like that pick by the audience David we're going back to you for your fourth would love your take on Chippley as well. It's kind of interesting with the pricing here on Shipley compared to Clanton in particular. Like if you're looking at two like amateur or recently amateur golfers who are both kind of burst onto the scene. Shipley has a big that much worse than Clanton but he's 2000 cheaper which you know immediately kind of strings to me that there might be an issue in pricing and value there. So I think it's an interesting interesting play and I probably prefer it to the champ can play for the audience there so nice. Nice to get back there from the audience. It's a great job. All right David you got your fourth here you locked into the gallery so plenty of money to spend who you looking for with your fourth pair. And just looking at where you guys are priced in terms of salary I'm going to go and take Andrew Putnam at 7500. Look we put a line through his recent start the window before that he was 19th at three in open 21st at Barracuda but most importantly he was gaining a ton of strokes on approach. This approach game looked like it was really getting back to its absolute best. He's played here seven times he's gained on approach and six of those mainly in a big way. He's got good finishes over at Laquinter as well as that 10th, 14th, 17th at the American Express and another booty fest which this has the potential to turn into if they don't manage to get the rough up to speed. Again it's kind of a similar answer to why I liked Matt McNeely so much. This isn't a must start for him he doesn't need to retain his PGA to a card. I just think it's plainly because there's a really good spot he's very strong with his wedges he's a very good putter. Those are the key factors I'm looking for this week I think he's very good value at 7500 and ties in nicely with the Brendan top pick like generally if I like Brendan top for a golf course I've got to like Andrew Putnam for a golf course as well. Yeah I think that that sound logic 7500 in this field for Andrew Putnam certainly makes sense. Spence would love your cake on the last few picks and then you're up with your fourth. I like all three selections I probably like Chan Kim more than David does I will agree though to where there are probably pivot spots and you know Meisner's off the board for the audience there so where they didn't even have the potential to go to him. So you know there are options that get taken away for you based off of that but I thought Chan Kim was an interesting player for this week. I'm going to go with a golfer that I ran seven categories and Rico Hoey. I've been very wrong on him at times where my models liked him and I will preface that before we get into this but he did rank in the top 10 of five of those categories. As you can tell there's this very specific skill set that I'm trying to find for most of these players in my bill not every single one of them fits it ideally but it's this distance and short iron proximity and how we can morph this all into one answer in my sheet. And Hoey was a golfer that closed the year strong possesses all of those qualities and it's one of those names like a Meisner to where I'm very intrigued to see what they can do early in the year because they have a big opportunity to cement themselves at a higher level than we've seen so far. Another steel, you guys really put me to tough place because I don't know I'm kind of lost is who I'm going to take a lot of the guys I was planning to take our God. I think what I was telling me though is that I think a lot of people are kind of looking at some similar value in this range. Another thing a little off track that I'm going to do is bring up I don't know if you guys watch the television show it's like on streaming it's Love Island. I'm laughing about that because on Love Island whenever they're about to do a pairing, they always start it with, I'm going to choose this person because and it's kind of like how we do our government. I'm choosing this golfer because so we didn't steal it from Love Island I would say Love Island probably stole it from us. I'm going to go to them for the copyright, writes to it later but the Rico Holy Pick I like. Another guy in this range I think has plenty of upside and doesn't seem to be garnering the ownership that you know some of the other guys in his close up the range are getting. I was going to take you with my next pick while I'm scrambling to figure out how I'm going to fix this mess that I'm in. David we love your take when you're interested in Rico Holyo as well. My take is for must watch television we should get Love Island put Joel and Zach on an island together and then just film it and see what happens. I think that's the content that everybody really wants to love and would love to see. Love Rico Holyo I think is a good selection again this week is really strong elections from Spencer I would say that as he admitted himself a bit of a talk monster at this point. That's going to be interesting with these last couple of selections whether he goes grab some value and grab someone really far down the board that nobody's thinking about just to get a little bit different we'll wait and see but yeah definitely a very strong lineup from Spencer I think Rico Holyo is playing some great golf very very talented one to watch going into 2025 in particular he'll he'll spike a victory. So should have won should have won the discord championship for us and the playoff where we will say peace and kudi and that that massive five men playoff we had Rico Holyo and peace and kudi. Rico Holyo was the one who probably should have won that tournament and yeah it was a silly boy decide put in the water instead of finding the green end to running to win the the gold championship so strong selection I think all around for a very solid play from the Saints. All right nicely done spent. I got to hear my first is locked in I'm definitely going to take Matt Kuchar with my first of two. Matt Kuchar you know listen he's an old guy he this is probably the first time I've ever drafted him on this show I am not a Matt Kuchar guy but the numbers are good I mean he's playing well recently. He's gained stroke on approach since the Memorial and June 9 and every tournament except for the wind them which was the last time he's played in but he gained seven strokes putting at the window. You know he's a good putter this is of course you're going to want a good putter he's good around the green and his last two times he's teeted up at the window and three and open he gave two strokes off off the tea as well and each tournament. He's going to be positive all the tea with the rest of his all around game I think this is a really good spot for each are under a K with plenty of upside. The second pick here is the one that I'm still I'm having a bigger challenge with I'm leaning toward right now. I have the pay I just want to make sure I can afford the last guy one if I take in. All right I'm going to take Adam Spencer in here anyway with the second pick you know he's not the most. I don't think he of the land I'm building with a guy with a lot of upside I would say he doesn't fit that same profile I think Adam something safer more than anything. If you get a top 30 top 25 finish from sense in I'm not sure he gets you a top 10 which is kind of what you're looking for but I'm running out of options and I think Spencer is a good play here. Again it's the putter right he found a good putter the last time out if you can still put well this week. I think you can have a really great week it's just a matter of what you'll get from that. Thanks we'd love your take on Kuchar and Spencer and then you're up with your faith. I don't even necessarily have a massive take one way or another on Kuchar but I will say with the way that I planned on making my build. I was probably going to take Kuchar not with this next pick directly I was probably going to take him on the way coming back not a guarantee but it definitely puts me in this different position now because unfortunately when I look specifically at my build. A lot of the names that I wish I could either get up to or down to would be like an Eric Cole or a Patrick Fishburn and you've kind of drove specifically locked me. If you're a facilities manager at a warehouse and your HVAC system goes down it can turn up the heat literally but don't sweat it Granger has you covered. Granger offers over a million industrial grade products for all your operations including warehouse HVAC maintenance and even better. They offer access to experts and fast delivery so you and your warehouse can both keep your cool. Call 1-800-GRANGER, click granger.com or just stop by. Granger for the ones who get it done. Out of both of those two options there so I do need to have a route to take to where I can make this be not so chocolatey. I realize I don't need to take this player right now. I could get him with the last pick. I see him at less than 4% owned. I'm going to lock him in though because I don't necessarily have that 6 player that I'm super bullish on. So like ownership is not going to matter. We'll figure out how this board ends up playing out. I'm going to take KH Lee here. He was fourth in my model for that category. I keep talking about a distance and proximity from 0 to 150 yards. I thought there were some comp corollary trends. When you look at the AT&T buyer Nelson in this venue in KH Lee 2021 and 2022 went back to back during that tournament. So if I can find the trends there for the reasons why I like him. I do believe this is a nice course fit for him and if nothing else, depending on how this ends up rounding out, that's going to make the lineup different just in and of itself. So I'll figure out how I'm going to go. Whatever the last pick is, we'll probably have to be more volatile now that you've taken culture. But I do think KH Lee ends up being that contrary and target that does have top 10 upside at this tournament. All right. As you notice, as we're laying this draft, it's getting harder. We're slim pickings, a lot of less talent to choose from. KH Lee, I like that thing from where you were at. I think there's plenty of upside there. David, we'd love your take on the last few picks and then you're up with your fifth. I mean, nobody talked about it yet, but Adam Spencer was clearly a direct steal by you from Joanne in the chat from Team Audience. So I just put that out there. Team Audience is just another reason to get onto Joel's back that he just was scrambling there and just saw a name. Oh, I'm going to defend my phone on that one. If you team audience, as long as you guys have been drafting on the show, are putting picks in the chat, you know, it's someone else's pick, that is your own fault. There is no steal. That is just poor strategy at this point. Oh, for sure. Absolutely. Absolutely. I mean, it leads face that you saw a name in the chat and we're like, yep, I like Adam. I've been doing this a long time. Actually, I don't love you saw last week. Audience finally won by getting my dictatorship. The Joel's leadership was in full school. That is very true. That is very true. Occasionally, I do like that link to TPC Craig Ranch that Spencer just drew on. I do see a lot of correlations there, interesting name of low ownership. I was going to take some of the low ownership, but seeing how much the audience has left, I think that I need to take Patrick Rogers here because he will probably not get back to me. Another player with huge boom or bus potential, playing a lot better recently than he has been for the beginning of the season. Tons of distance can do that bomb and wedge approach. Seeing them play well at places like Upper Sea Heritage Harbor Town, right with these kind of like narrowed feeways which reduce that Silverado. So he does manage to use his distance to his advantage we need needs to. Obviously, he got three power fives on the back nine here as well where he can really go for it. But he can also lay back and use his wedge play, I think, to his advantage. So I do like the Rogers pay coming around the corner. Cool. Patrick Rogers, someone I was looking at there, again, this is the type of field where I think he rises to the top. He can have a really good showing as it's a little bit watered down. I think the price is right on Rogers. Audience, you got two. I see there are a bunch of nominations in. We will wait for someone to get second in before we need to. We got one in and that is Connor's. I also want to shout out Zach, who has been spot on about our college football bank. So don't forget we do a college football show Saturday mornings as well. We've been, we're having a hot start to the year, but we're always college football. So get on board. The college football show is fun as well. With Connor's locked in, we still need one more. There's a few nominations. We'll need one finalized. While we wait spends a lot of your take on Corey Connor's this week. I honestly don't have a take one way or another with it. Theoretically, I would say he's marginally overpriced. I normally give that answer with Corey Connors though, unless we're at like the Valero. I think he's a top 10 safety plant in the day. I don't think this is a spot where you get burnt one way or another. I just, I always worry about what Connor's actual upside is during a lot of these contests. Like it seems like we max out at ninth or 10th place and the unfortunate part is when you're paying a top five sort of price tag. You're already building that into the, you know, the weight of that. I think he's safe at the end of the day. I don't have a problem one way or another with it. It's just, I question the upside at the end of the day. I think it's a really good point. I'm like prefer Corey Connors as a 7200 golfer in a big field, bigger event. Where you're only asking him to get you like 20th place or 18th versus their top priced guy in this event where you kind of name a golfer with. All right. It looks like the second pick is in, which is Bridgeman Lock it in. That is the audience's squad. I did not have Bridgeman on my radar this week. Boy, love your take, David. Did you have any interest in Jacob Bridgeman? I'm probably higher on Corey Connors than you guys are. I think that he's improving a lot with his around the green and his, his padding this year. I've been kind of on him all year. I think he's kind of trending towards something a little bit bigger. The question for me does come like, is he focused on this or is he focused on like Montreal on two weeks or the presents cup, right? Like is this, is this just him kind of like testing things out, trying a couple of things just to make sure these completely dialed in when it comes into the presents cup. I do really like the Bridgeman play. He's playing very well recently, 19th to three in open. He was 12th of the winning championship in his last two starts before a bit of a break with the Fedis Cup playoffs, which he didn't qualify for. He does need to play well, he's 121st on the Fedis Cup rankings at the moment, so he does need to make sure that he gets a good couple of starts here in order to make sure he's playing privileges going into 2035. He's played it once before, made the cup, but he gained a ton on the approach as well. The approach looks like it's trading in the right direction. Do like that he can give you that combination of driving distance and accuracy as well, Jacob Bridgeman. So, tons of young golfers don't mind that pick whatsoever. Boom. There you have it. Off the board, David. You got your final pick here, 6500 you just spent hanging around and out your squad. Yeah, so I'm going to go and take a play who's exactly 6500. Leave all my money out there. I'm going to take when you're doing very talented young amateur who is absolutely tearing it up at the moment. I think he just possesses so much more upside than he is priced at in terms of fantasy particularly. We've seen this price actually narrow a little bit in terms of betting markets. He's playing really, really well on the amateur events that he's playing. He gets a start here. He's also played well on the DP World Tour when his head starts as well. So, he has played a couple tournaments over on the DP World Tour. He's made cards. He's actually been in contention in the couple tournaments as well before fading in the last round. Completely understandable for a young amateur to do that, but he's a very, very talented golfer. And I think that at 6500 he possesses a lot more upside than people can recruit it for. Boom. Ding it is. Not going to lie. He wasn't on my radar coming to tonight. So, you found a new name to look into, especially if you're looking to get into that 65 or a 6K range. Spence. Would love your take on Bridgeman and Ding in the Europe with your last pick. Bridgeman, for me, is somebody who has consistently been underpriced. I think we're getting that weekend and week out. It's not to the same level that we were getting with Eric Cole. We're not necessarily getting that same upside with Eric Cole last year either. But this is a golfer that has strung together a lot of quality performances. He continues to be too low on the odds board there. I don't have a take one way or another on Ding. Interesting to see how he performs this week. That's one of those picks where if David hits it, I don't know what his ownership looks like. That's a play that's potentially altering lineup. Did you say what his ownership was David? I don't know, but it's like it's two and a half percent. It's like nothing. Yeah. So you're going to be able to get contrary in there with that pick, which is always interesting. I guess for me, I put myself in this spot here with Kuchar being off the board. I really wish I had enough money to get up to Bowe Hossler. I always like Hossler in these Poah California spots and think this might be the opportunity to buy back in low on him again. A lot of me wants to take Daniel Berger here. I can't get myself to do it with what we've seen with the putter. So I'm not going to go down that route. I don't love this selection. There are some ways and I was playing around with my model of what happens when I change a couple factors to it. And one of the big potential movers for me ends up being Sam Stevens. If he gets a little bit better of iron play, which is obviously asking a lot with what the iron play we've gotten, but he has that prerequisite for distance. He has the putting acumen you would want to find in. There is a way for me to get him to be one of the better leverage contrarian plays and values in my sheet. If you change those two factors and just make it a little bit better and then throw in, we'll call it a lack of course history and get rid of the missed cut, put a more on that average playing field there. I can get him to be a top 20 player in my sheet. I think that skill set that I keep talking about of find me distance. Maybe doesn't necessarily come in with some of the proximity numbers, but he has been, if you look at the proximity numbers somewhat recently, at least a little bit better than these cold stretches that we had at the beginning or middle parts of the year. We're losing a stroke now approach rather than the 3.6 and the 4.7 and the 3.7 that we had gotten before that. I do think the ceiling for him is a little higher if we're trying to find an upside target. So who is the pick? Sam Stevens. Oh, Sam Stevens. And he was mentioned earlier in the show as someone with, like you said, with some upside as a potential alternative. I was surprised that even lasted this long. I've already ran suit up sooner or so. Solid pick to round out your squad there. With my last pick, I'm going to take Matthew Niesmith. I just think he's playing a little bit better than his norm. He's been making putts, especially his last three outings. I mean, he gained eight strokes, putting in one of the last moments he's played in. He's consistently gained strokes, putting pretty much since mid-July. He's a good ball striker. You expect the ball, which I think would be good. So I think in this watered down field, you can get some upside with Niesmith, especially the way he's been playing over the last few months. That's a wrap for this draft. Let us know whose team you think will do the best we are crowning a champion next week and then we will do it all over again. Do us a favor. Hit the like button. Give us a follow. It goes along the way. We greatly appreciate it. But before we get you out here tonight, we will have our first round leader plays. Sometimes, depending on the time of the week, we'll just give a matchup opposed to a first round leader. But we'll start with you, David. Who are you targeting in the first round leader market? Yeah, I mean, and the other thing as well, make sure you jump into the description and grab the promo like they've got 50% off at the moment of all our premium memberships when you use the special primary code for all of our PJ draft cast viewers. So don't just cover golf. We've covered this thing. I don't know if you guys are here to work. It's called NFL. It's quite a big deal in America. You might might have said it on TV occasionally. So for $7.50 per week, not only are you getting all of our golf selections, getting all of our college football picks that I know Joel, you're absolutely on fire with or the NFL players. Basically, every single sport or the English Premier League, anything that you want, there's experts in there ready to assist and a guide you in the right direction. Get one-on-one coaching and it's just by far the best value in all of DFS and all of sports meetings. So make sure that you use the link in this description before that expires. I have got five this week. I thought about adding a six, which would have been to hit the gala at 23. Given that he's like 11s and 12s in the wind market, we know that he can absolutely spike the one round. That seems a crazy increase for his first round leader prize. I did leave a mouth in preference for Maverick McNealy, who does get a morning teach time. He's 35 to 1. Then all the rest are longer shots, 51 or more. So it's Patrick Bridgetman at 81. Wingy Dang at 110 to 1, and then she's Reavy at 175 to 1. He is priced at a similar kind of range as Wingy Dang, but he is nearly twice in terms of the first round leader market. His approach numbers look like they're really probing. So 175 to 1 for an absolute fly to be first round leader. This is the kind of talent in this role that I saw in those sort of beats. I love a big juicy number like that. Spence, how about you? Who are you trying to read in the personal leader market? So I'm running numbers right now. I actually agree with what David just talked about, whether it's the Gala or Clark, where it's an interesting thing. I see Clark at 33 to 1. It's a very enhanced number for him also. So Wyndham Clark 33 to 1, Maverick McNealy 35 to 1. And I do think David's on to something with Jacob Bridgetman there at 90 to 1. Oh, I love it. I love it. I'm going to give one home run hitter for you. The guy I drafted last Matthew Nie Smith at 110 to 1. That's a big number for him. I think he can get you a hot first round and be able to be the first round leader and top the more realistic first round leader plays. I like Eric Cole at 61. That's too big a number of value for him in this field. Neil Shipley at 75 to 1, I think is very interesting. But of course, as we always do, I'm really interested in Maverick McNealy, who's one of the favorites, but at 40 to 1, I think he's playing really great. He's begging the first round. I think it's a pretty solid number for a first round leader play. That is a wrap for tonight. Just a quick reminder. That was easy. I found that it was lost for a while. I couldn't go the whole show without playing it. But don't forget, as we mentioned before, sign up for win daily, get into Discord. We put our weather updates in. You'll get Steven's ownership article. You'll definitely want to see that. Understand the ownership before you put DFS line up saying you also get outright plays from us. So if there's anyone you're looking to bet on for the winner of the tournament, you can find those plays. As we track weather, if there's a weather I should be had, we post those updates in Discord. It's a no-brainer in terms of value. Sign up, get on board, and win daily. Did I forget anything about it? David, you're on mute. And just take a break. We take one week off and it just all turns to be trusted. Enjoy the debate. I've got my red and blue tie on. I'm completely apolitical in this situation based here in New Zealand. So good luck to whichever side that you're rooting for. Good luck into EJ DFS this week as well. But of course, the real answer is always sports. If you liked the show, please take a moment to rate, review, and subscribe. It does help the show to grow. Thank you for listening. [MUSIC] [BLANK_AUDIO]
The crew is back this week as they deliver their favorite DFS picks, classic banter, and their famous Win Daily Procore Championship First-Round Leader picks!