Archive.fm

Dynasty Fantasy Football - Under The Helmet

The Bears' Schedule Streak, Anthony Richardson, Drake Maye, Deshaun Watson-Amari Cooper Connection: The Critical Fantasy Question for Every NFL Team, Week 6

Chad Parsons outlines the key fantasy question for every NFL team in advance of their Week 6 game.

Broadcast on:
12 Oct 2024
Audio Format:
other

Get 500+ premium podcasts by signing up at www.UTHDynasty.com as a General Manager PLUS subscriber. Also, get bonus shows, player deep dive episodes, and access to the VIP Chat by signing up as an All-Pro at www.Patreon.com/UTH.

Thanks for listening and keep building those dynasties!

If you're a facilities manager at a warehouse and your HVAC system goes down, it can turn up the heat. Literally. But don't sweat it. Granger has you covered. Granger offers over a million industrial grade products for all your operations, including warehouse HVAC maintenance. And even better, they offer access to experts and fast delivery, so you and your warehouse can both keep your cool. Call 1-800-granger, click granger.com, or just stop by. Granger, for the ones who get it done. This episode is brought to you by Progressive Insurance, fiscally responsible, financial geniuses, monetary magicians. These are things people say about drivers who switch their car insurance to progressive and save hundreds. Because Progressive offers discounts for pain and full, owning a home, and more. Plus, you can count on their great customer service to help you when you need it, so your dollar goes a long way. Visit progressive.com to see if you could save on car insurance. Progressive casualty insurance company and affiliates. Potential savings will vary. Not available in all states or situations. In week six questions for the fantasy sleet on Sunday reminder, this first one, which is Jacksonville and Chicago. It is across the pond, we've got another early kickoff, so you might want to make sure you're double checking those lineups, especially for those players early on Sunday morning, or later on Saturday, so we're getting some good tea leaves here in the last 24, 48 hours before kickoffs. Key questions coming up here. And then we have the sandwich show, "How did things transpire?" Coming out on Monday morning here on the Under the Helmet channel. Let's start off with Jacksonville and Chicago for Jacksonville. Can Brian Thomas be Nico Collins? What I mean by that is there's only been one wide receiver to eclipse 12 fantasy points against the Chicago defense this season. That was Nico Collins. Brian Thomas gets the opportunity this week. They've allowed only 130 yards per game to wide receivers, one total touchdown. And conversely, we have Brian Thomas on an absolute pair with 17 targets over the past two weeks, 11 for 208 and two touchdowns on those targets. So Brian Thomas has been a rookie marvel, a revelation here for the Jacksonville offense, but a tough matchup this week against the Bears. Something's got to give. For the Bears, will the lucky schedule streak continue for that Bears offense? Colts, Rams, Panthers the previous three weeks, and it continues with Jacksonville in week six before their buy. This is an ideal spot for Caleb Williams to continue his two game, turnover less streak and the Andre Swift. The build on his 50 fantasy points over the same span with nearly 300 total yards. Flipping over to Houston and New England, New England, it's pretty obvious, but for Houston, are we back to week one status at running back? Houston is set to return. Amy and Pierce healthy is 10 makers. We're going to get removed here, or even right now, as you're listening to this, is he a drop player and Brian Gubwale? Is he just going to be a tap tap on the head? Nice week five story where he was being picked up a lot, and I think rightfully so. So many question marks with fantasy and dynasty roster spots at play on this step chart to say, hey, why not Don Gubwale in week six? Well, looks like Damien Pierce is going to be returning in there for those other two players that we are highly interested in from streaming possibilities, or just we want to have a share of this strong offense, but yet it seems like we're trending in the opposite direction. For the Patriots on the opposite side, is there anything but to watch Drake May in this matchup? Yes, we have Antonio Gibson with a clarified start, but Houston is tough against running back and tonight and so far this season. This will all be about Drake May unlocking that passing game vertically and with his mobility. For Jalen Polk, Kendrick Warren is back. He played a smattering of snaps last week, but hopefully he rises up in that number, and we have tomorrow Douglas. Houston is gettable as a quarterback matchup, neutral on the overall adjusted points per game board, and they've allowed multiple passing touchdowns to Anthony Richardson, Sam Darnold, Trevor Lawrence, no interceptions for them since week two, and three quarterbacks with 40-plus rushing yards, while a lot of people are miring that we should have had Drake May under center last week while I don't disagree. I also think this is a spot that is not as ominous as it looks. This is a quarterback that can actually stretch the field vertically and horizontally with his legs and his arm, and that's something we just have not seen in this offense this year, so it is a relative unknown for what this Patriots offense can and will look like regardless of matchup, because it's been so difficult to see through the cloudiness that has been their quarterback play through the opening five weeks. Colts and Titans. Starting off with the Colts, is this the Anthony Richardson get well game? Literally his get well game. Can he stay healthy? Please. This is a plus 2.8 point per game matchup with the Titans versus quarterbacks and adjusted strength of schedule. Richardson yet to score a touchdown since week two. He's barely above 50% completion rate. Four touchdowns, six turnovers, and Tennessee zero interceptions on the season. They've allowed Malik Willis and Tyler Huntley of all players to combine for 113 rushing yards who touchdowns over the past couple of games against the Titans. And Richardson, it sounds like Michael Pittman's going to give it a go. He could be absolutely at full strength beyond Jonathan Taylor running back where we're going to get Trey Sermon yet again in a clarified opportunity. On the flip side for the Tennessee Titans, can Tennessee actually take advantage of this green light matchup? The Colts have quality matchups across the board for opposing skill positions. They're coming off of a lie that should be a positive sign. Will Levis with nine turnovers in three games and a partial game. No bueno. Calvin Ridley is definitely the squeaky wheel if there is potential Greece to be had here who catches 14 yards zero touchdowns on six targets over his past two games. Good online is the world's most busted betting platform in your number one source for everything sports betting. Every stat, matchup, breakdown, and even live odds and spreads to bet on during games. They're just catalog of odds on everything from football, major league baseball playoffs, NHL, NBA, and political problems. When the game's over, head on over to the online casino, get in on a game of blackjack, poker, or unwind with over 150 slot games. Back to the website today to get in on the action and America's most trusted site for online wagering. Bet online. The game starts here. Brown's and Eagles, Browns, is it now or never time for Deshawn Watson and the Amari Cooper connection. Eagles are one of the best wide receiver matchups on the board plus 12.5 points per game over the expectation and a leaky overall account on defense. Deshawn Watson only won game this season without a turnover and it was Jacksonville, their easiest matchup of the season. He gets a throw for 200 yards in a game or run from 40 plus. Cooper has been mired with missed opportunities. Big plays called back, overthrows, and an occasional drop or two. And he's been propped up by his 25 point outing in week three. But on the positive side, he's averaging about 10 targets per game. This is the game. This is the signal Jerry Deshawn Watson, Amari Cooper. This is your chance to bounce back and right the wrongs. For the Eagles, there's Dallas Goddard go back into a fantasy cave. A.J. Brown active this week. Devonta Smith active this week. It's an avoid matchup with Cleveland minus 3.1 points per game adjusted strength of schedule for the tight end position. So Dallas Goddard has been a revelation here in the in the weeks without clarity at the wide receiver position. But all parties are back and Dallas Goddard. He's been an inconsistent say tight end 10 to 20 option in fantasy terms and under that alignment in recent weeks and seasons. So unfortunately Dallas Goddard left set up here for week six. Cardinals and Packers for Arizona. Is this a get well game for Trebek bride? He missed week four. He was held down by San Francisco last week. He's got 20 receptions, zero touchdowns on the season, averaging less than nine yards per catch. Green Bay is a target matchup for opposing tight ends, plus 3.0 points per game. On the opposite side for the Packers can Tucker craft continue his toward run. Arizona that's shut down Dalton Kinkade and Sam Laporta this year. George Kittle broke through with the first tight end touchdown against Arizona in week five. But they limited him to eight yards per catch. Tucker craft has 40 points over the past two games and Luke Musgrave goes to IR even though he wasn't trending towards playing this week anyway. Tampa Bay and New Orleans. What will give between White Hot Baker Mayfield and the Saints defense? Minus 4.5 points per game for opposing quarterbacks there for the Saints and they've allowed only one passing touchdown all season and zero over the past three games. And that's with notable quarterbacks of Jalen Hertz, Kirk Cousins and Patrick Mahomes on the schedule combined over that span. He's on a three field has 13 total touchdowns 11 through the air as one of the fantasy highlights over the first five weeks of the season. Also, I saw this nugget in 14 names of Mike Evans versus March on Latimore. Mike Evans has averaged three catches of 52 yards. One game more than 15 fantasy points. So we go into this every year and we always say start our studs. We start Mike Evans and generally we are disappointed. I'm still going to be in the boat where Mike Evans on my bench is not a situation I'm comfortable with. But we have to know that the odds have been historically low that Mike Evans gets the better of him in a significant way in these matchups. For the Saints is Spencer Radler set up for success in his first start. Tampa Bay is plus 4.4 points per game for the quarterback position and plus 6.3 points per game for wide receiver. He will play if you're earlier in the week. One concern is the big reason for quarterback success against Tampa Bay is the mobile quarterback for rushing touchdowns against them. And Jayden Daniels and Bonix both with good rushing days overall. Talking about Jayden Daniels we got Washington and Baltimore up next and Washington function without a run game against the Ravens. Ravens yet allow to allow a running back to hit 50 yards in a game. In fact they're averaging less than 50 yards per game as a unit against them on an annual on a weekly basis. They're an elite unit here against the run and that could turn Washington one dimensional. Sarah McLaurin is in an ideal spot to continue his three game rise up the rankings. He has 100 yards or a touchdown in all three of those games and he's wide receiver 14 over a span. For the Baltimore Ravens are we ready for Mark Andrews to go back into the cave. He had a quote unquote season high 9.5 points last week on five targets. Washington is minus 3.2 points per game towards the tight end position. Mark Andrews is averaging just two receptions per game. I actually shed a small tier reading that for for this matchup in week six. The Chargers and the Broncos for the Chargers will the ancillary players be the showcase for the Chargers. We got Justin Herbert being removed from the injury report but still not full strength. When you look at the recovery timetable for his injury and then Denver is a shut down unit against wide receivers but they're exploitable against tight end. We're going a little off the off the reservation here but Hayden Hurst humming off the mat as a potential streamer this week. And again going towards the matchup. Don't figure that the wide receivers are going to be able to do much against the Denver secondary. Ancillary note here. We've got no Gus Edwards. Kamani Vidal is a player to watch behind JK Dobbins. So again the ancillary players watch them with the Chargers this week with Hayden Hurst and Kamani Vidal specifically for the Broncos. Is it time for Javite Williams's best game of the season? The Chargers are tough against wide receiver. That's not a problem for Denver because they don't really go that direction anyway. They've been improving but still not good in terms of that quarterback and wide receiver connection. But they're 4.5 points per game on the positive end of adjusted strength of schedule matchup for opposing running backs. We want to Williams has been gaining stability as the clear running back one on this team. 70 touches, zero touchdowns this season so he's a touchdown regression candidate in the coming weeks to stabilize that number and he's got a clear role with a clear matchup this week. Bombas makes the most comfortable socks, underwear and T-shirts. Warning, Bombas are so absurdly comfortable you may throw out all your other clothes. Sorry, do we legally have to say that? No, this is just how I talk and I really love my Bombas. They do feel that good and they do good too. One item purchased equals one item donated. To feel good and do good go to bombas.com/listen and use code listen for 20% off your first purchase. That's BOMBAS.com/listen and use code listen at checkout. If you're a facilities manager at a warehouse and your HVAC system goes down it can turn up the heat, literally. But don't sweat it, Granger has you covered. Granger offers over a million industrial grade products for all your operations including warehouse HVAC maintenance. And even better, they offer access to experts and fast delivery so you and your warehouse can both keep your cool. Call 1-800-Granger, click Granger.com or just stop by. Granger, for the ones who get it done. At your job, do you ever have to deal with a nose roller? How about a snub bully? Well, if you're installing a new conveyor belt system, dealing with the different components can sound like you're speaking a foreign language. Luckily, you've got a team ready to help. Granger's technical product specialists are fluent in maintenance, repair and operations. So whenever you want to talk shop, just reach out. Call, click Granger.com or just stop by. Granger, for the ones who get it done. Steelers and Raiders, for the Steelers. Are we really trusting Naje Harris again? You had a choice match up last week, came up small, and really didn't have the market share we expected, considering they were down for Darryl Patterson, they were down Jalen Warren. Well, this week, the Raiders are a target match up again, plus 4.0 points per game. Jalen Warren, trending towards a return this week, and the biggest factoid here, Raiders have allowed 15 plus points to a running back in every week this season. With Vise, with injuries, Naje Harris is one that feels like we need to trust him again in week six. Raiders, is Brock Bowers the only survivable piece here? Harder Menchoo has been benched, and Steelers are tough against everything but tight end. Plus 2.6 points per game here for those opposing tight ends. Vivante Adams with his situation, is he going to play? Is he happy? Is he going to be traded? All of those things in play, Brock Bowers is averaging 60 plus yards per game as a rookie tight end, and only one touchdown on 28 receptions. They're actually a soft touchdown regression candidate here. Yes, they're struggling at offense. Yes, they're not going to throw a lot of passing touchdowns, but Brock Bowers is a candidate that's higher than a 4% touchdown rate. For the next game, we've got Lions and Cowboys potential shootout here for the Lions. Is this a combined 40 point game for David Montgomery and Jamir Gibbs? They've regularly been in the low thirties in their combo scores. Dallas is plus 3.0 versus the running back position in points per game. Both of these running backs have hit 15 plus points in every game this season. One of the most dynamic duos we have seen at the running back position in flight sometime when you look at both of them being auto start players and Dallas down with the injuries here on the defensive side of the ball. This is a choice matchup for the Lions to do whatever they want. And when you give them that option, generally, that's going to be feed the running backs. For the Cowboys, is it that TV lamb dominance week? Detroit is plus 14.9 points per game for the wide receiver position against them. The possibility for clear comeback mode here for Dallas and lagging on defense themselves. Lamb has yet to hit 100 yards in a game, one game with more than five catches and Detroit has allowed a wide receiver to go 17 plus points in every game this season. The stars are aligning for CD lamb to have a monster performance even if it doesn't come in a win. Falcons and the Panthers for the Falcons. This has to be the beijon game, right? Carolina is plus 8.7 points per game with gone Robinson. Three straight games with less than 14 points. One touchdown on the season on 85 touches. Net to have 100 yards rushing yards in a game or 50 receiving yards in a game this season. So this is looking like a beijon Robinson. Please don't fade him. Please put him in lineups across the process, across your studs. And Robinson has the match up as juicy as it was for setting up for Carolina this week. That Atlanta can do whatever they want. And hopefully it's a get right game for Robinson for Carolina. Rubble for Chuba Hubbard, 18 plus points in each of the last three games. Hard to imagine that that's going to be the storyboard. But Hubbard, so Hubbard is running back to overall during that span. Atlanta, however, tough against running backs, minus 3.9 points per game. Notably on their schedule, they held second one Barkley to 15 points. And this is one where Cuba Hubbard, again, has been an auto start player, a strong addition to our starting lineups of late. And it's really been during that Andy Dalton era. But this is a bad match up and you may have better options here. Final game, and it's Bengals and Giants on Sunday night football for the Bengals. Will the back field be messy and will it matter? The Giants are a tough match up on paper, minus 3.1 adjusted strength of schedule points per game. And they shut down the Seattle running back so we could go. Zach Moss, was at risk to miss the game? We thought we were going to get a clarified start for Chase Brown. That's not the case he could play. So this could be a full blown committee as well as a tough match up. So we go from ideal circumstances to consolidating this being excited about Chase Brown to now back to some sort of committee. And this match up is not ideal in week 6 for that Bengals back field as well. For the Giants, we've got Malik neighbors out. And we've got Wandao Robinson, various late in both of them. The key question here is, will they be streaming delights again? Of course, match up against the Bengals and the Giants likely one dimensional. You get the Bengals on the opposite side, minus 2.6 points per game versus the running back position. We have Robinson a week ago, 15 points on nine targets, various late in 25 points on 11 targets. 20 targets between the two of them, they don't have a massive presence there. Jalen Hyatt has done a bunch of nothing. They've really been searching. But these two were a beacon of light last week with no Malik neighbors, no neighbors yet again, and a quality match up. So both of them, Slaton was not so much on the streaming radar a week ago. Wandao Robinson absolutely was. They both came through and their quality plays for those strapped a wide receiver yet again in week 6. That'll do it. Looking at the key questions for every team playing on Sunday reminder about the early kickoff and reminder. So always be snucking on Saturday night and especially early on Sunday for any surprise and actives. I'm Chad Parsons. Until next time, never settle, refuse to be average and keep building those dynasties. If you're a facilities manager at a warehouse and your HVAC system goes down, it can turn up the heat, literally. But don't sweat it, Granger has you covered. Granger offers over a million industrial grade products for all your operations, including warehouse HVAC maintenance. And even better, they offer access to experts and fast delivery, so you and your warehouse can both keep your cool. Call 1-800-GRANGER, click Granger.com, or just stop by. Granger, for the ones who get it done. Bingo. All right, Phil, we're recording now, so it's live. Go ahead, pick on me the way that you want to. Did I say that? I would say that to my son, man. I mean, come on, man. Just go. This isn't CBS. All right, be quiet for a few seconds. Why would people want to listen to the Sims complete podcast? Well, a couple of things. One, if you like to see sons pick on their father, this might be the place. If you want to see a place where the father just kicks the **** out of his son, this will be the place. What do you like about it, Matt? Ditto. Father, son, dynamic duo talking about the game of football that we love and share and appreciate together. And, you know, hey, it's an extension of what we did, right, growing up. I was able to watch my father play football, then obviously watch him as a broadcaster. And then he taught me the game of football and share the wisdom that he learned throughout his playing career. And, you know, hey, sometimes we're full of it and sometimes we actually know a thing or two. Well, we do do a lot of research. At least I do. You're a little spotty, but, you know, you hang in there. It's fun. I love doing this. And it's been awesome. Sims complete. Check us out. Wherever your podcasts are available on the Believe Network. Appreciate it. See you. If you liked the show, please take a moment to rate, review, and subscribe. It really does help the show to grow. Thank you for listening. [MUSIC] [BLANK_AUDIO]