Gorilla Sports
Gorilla Sports podcast Ep-194
[music] Hey guys welcome in, Gorilla Sports Podcast, I'm your host Alex Bulpin and it's Saturday, August the 12th. Alright, quick recap from Thursday, we smashed on Thursday, we gave out Kenneth Walker over 18 and a half receiving yards, he smashed over that one, and we gave it a same game parlay, love it, we ended up taking San Francisco Niners on the money line, we took Deebo Samuel over his receiving yard prop, and then we took Kenneth Walker over his receiving prop as well. That came into a nice six to one shot on our same game parlay, plus the original Kenneth Walker bet, we had a good little Thursday, now let's get after it for this weekend. Alright, let's start overseas in London, England, and we're going to take Caleb Williams over 234 and a half passing yards. I like this look, now he's gone over 300 yards in two out of his last three games, he's scorched Carolina for 304 yards, and he smashed Indy for 363 yards, which is beautiful because both of those defenses have something common with Jacksonville, they're terrible. Jacksonville's pass defense is terrible, they've given up the second most passing yards to the quarterback position, Flacko just scorched them for 369 yards, Stroud went for 345, two over 338, and we're looking for Caleb Williams to get over 234 and a half passing yards. Love this look, in that same game, we're going to take DeAndre Swift, now I can't stress this enough, I put out a podcast on Wednesday night live on Twitter spaces with one of my partners, and then I put the same podcast out on Thursday, you can find that in my podcast feed, I really suggest listening to it, because this is the earliest that any of the sports books put out the numbers, so I'm already doing the research for you, so just get those plays in as soon as you can on Wednesday, because these lines have only gone up, so I took DeAndre Swift at 16 and a half receiving yards, love this play, now I see it's up to about 20 and a half, 21 and a half at places, I don't mind at the 20 and a half, 21 and a half, you're starting to get into that little gray area, but I like this play, he's covered this in four straight games, he's averaging 41 and a quarter receiving yards over that stretch, Jacksonville goes up the second most receiving yards to the running back position, and over his last two games, which have kind of been his coming out party, again it gets bad defenses, but so is Jacksonville, he's given up nine, he's got nine catches for 119 yards, that is a great look, so give me DeAndre Swift over 16 and a half receiving yards, my next play is we're gonna go to the Baltimore and Washington game, and I'm gonna take Jayden Daniels over 226 and a half passing yards, now he's covered this in three straight, he's four and one to the over in his five games so far this year, Baltimore is an absolute pass funnel, they are dead last, they give up the most passing yards to the quarterback position, and they are first giving up the least amount of rushing yards to the running back position, you can't get more of a disparity 32 to one from passing yards to rushing yards, clearly they're gonna need to pass if they want to keep in this game, it's a high scoring total, so they should be a bit of a shootout, they just let Joe Burrow scorch him for 392 yards, they let Dackel for 379 yards, and we're looking for 226 and a half passing yards for Jayden Daniels, love that look, my next play is we're gonna go to the Tennessee Titans, and we're gonna take Tony Pollard, and we're gonna take him over his rushing and receiving combo prop, now I got that at 83 and a half, I see that it's up to about 84 and a half, I'll still take it there, I like that look as well, now the Colts give up the third most rushing yards to the running back position, and the fifth most receiving yards to the running back position, perfect, because we're looking for rushing and receiving, now he's covered this 83 and a half number in three of his last four games, and he's averaging over 100 yards in those games, so that's perfect, we got a lot of wiggle room on there on that 83 and a half, 84, 85, wherever you get it at, so I do really like that, give me Tony Pollard over 83 and a half rushing and receiving yards, my next play is if you've got any same game parlay as you should, you should either have a free bet on whether it's draft kings or a profit boost on fan duel, or bet 365 or any of them, this Detroit and Dallas game is screaming same game parlay, now I made all of these pet bets individually, but I put them into a parlay as well, my first one is I'm taking Dak Prescott over 276 and a half passing yards, now he's covered this in three of his last four games, he just put up 352 versus a stingy Pittsburgh defense, and now he's going versus Detroit, Detroit gives it the fifth most passing yards to the quarterback position, and they are number one dead last versus receiving yards to the wide receiver position, perfect, Gino Smith just scorched him for 295, excuse me 395 yards last game, and we're looking for 276 at a Dak Prescott, yes please, we're also going to take CD lamb again, I gave this play out on Wednesday at 80 and a half, now it has only gone up, I see it going up to 85 and a half and it's still climbing, you can still get in, now I usually don't like ticket receivers in and around that 90 range, unless it's an absolute perfect matchup, which this is so I don't mind getting there now, last season Dak, excuse me CD lamb caught 13 balls for 227 yards versus the same Detroit team, so I do like CD lamb over 80 and a half receiving yards, now give me Jalen Tolbert as well, I also like him, now his line set at about 45 and a half, I see that climbing as well, with no Brandon Cooks, he emerged as Dak's number two target out there, he went 10 targets, seven catches for 87 yards last game, another set this at 45 and a half, so even if CD lamb somehow gets some double coverage, this should leave him wide open, so I do like Jalen Tolbert over his receiving prop, and then on the other side of the game, I like David Montgomery, now I'm gonna keep hitting this and kill it until they move it, now I'm taking him over eight and a half receiving yards, now I gave up the same play last week and this came out as a winner for us, again we keep getting the discounted price versus Jameer Gibbs on the same team, now essentially Monte is supposed to be the running downs back, but they don't really utilize it like that, they go series on and series off for this team, if you watch David Montgomery will be the first guy out there and he will have four, five, six, seven, eight plays in a row before they pull in Montgomery, unless he breaks a long one and he's tired, he throws his hand up saying you know take me off the field, but they go series for series, which if they're calling a play that is a passing play and he's the the screen play, they'll give it to Montgomery, it's not like he doesn't have catching in his ability, now he's covered this line in three straight games, he's got eight catches for 92 yards, he's averaging 30 yards a game, love it, Dallas gives up the six most receiving yards of the running back position, now as much as like Jameer Gibbs is their past catching back, he hasn't caught a pass in two games, it's been all Montgomery, so please give me David Montgomery over eight and a half receiving yards, love that look, so that will conclude our nice same game parlay, all of our singles on that as well, a couple of leans I like as well, I like Josh Jacobs over his excuse me rushing yard props, that's another one that I've put a bet on, but not as an official play for the podcast, those are the ones I got guys, I hope you have a great Thanksgiving up here in Canada, and if you're rocking with me, let's roll.