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[MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] [MUSIC] PGA Nation. We are back. Big night ahead of us. Super excited. You got the full crew tonight. Seeing the job is back and joining us on the draft. See ya. It's been a while. How are you doing tonight? Yeah, it's probably been five to six weeks. I'm doing well. I just tweeted out the show. It's my fifth show of the day. So when people don't see me on this show, I think they're like, yeah, he's just not feeling it today. No, it's like literally because I've got so much stuff going on. So I was like, listen, I've already done a lot today. I want to join these guys. It's not fair to not come on to this show when I'm doing so many other shows. So I love being here. I love this show. For those of you that watch that aren't like used to this show, this show concept literally, it's not mirrored by anybody. It's sort of our concept, Joel Spencer. You all really came up with the idea. Windeley team. I always love this show. So happy to be on it. Well, we appreciate you and looking forward to picking your brain tonight and getting some knowledge on this upcoming tournament, which it should be a good one in the Houston Open down in Texas. Spence. How you doing tonight? See the UCLA hat? The Penny Hardaway shirt. Talk to me. Yeah, I mean, just any time that I get to come on a podcast and rep Penny Hardaway. I did it during one of the Florida events. This just so happened to match the UCLA hat that I'm wearing tonight. So I think I told you this, Joel, I have a closet of so many Penny Hardaway items that it is quite frankly outlandish. Well, I have heard that some people do actually call you little Penny, so I get it. David, David, how you doing tonight? I'm good, mate. I'm good. Welcome back to you. Great to have you as part of the crew again. It's nice to see the screen for wide. The audience really needs your help. They've been struggling. They've been stealing my plays. I've been leaving them down pathways with a bit of diversion and it's been working a treat. So they need all the help that they can get. So it's great to have you back on the show. By the way, two absolute no surprises last week. Obviously Peter, not my naughty one, the tournament. I've also guessed that. Yeah. And I won the draft cast. Obviously. No one is surprised where that direction went for the draft order. I will be picking first. No idea I'm going to take it. Could be a surprise, but I might have an idea. I'm pretty excited for that to come to fruition. However, I think what the real story is for this week is the field, right? And, you know, this new, we're just becoming relatively regular. Is this new pricing structure, which is now kind of seeming necessary or it's like, how do you price Scottie Sheffler in the field that doesn't have all those live guys in it? He's like guaranteed for a top result. I think you do his price under, which is crazy to say, 13 K. You'd be like, he's already going to be chalky at 13 K. So it's going to be interesting to see how we decide to build lineups. Again, there's that five K range. So, you know, it does give you some flexibility to play in and dip down to get some cheaper guys. This is a new way to play. It's unique. And you should see some different strategies through the draft tonight on how people will build based off of that. Before we dive into things and we do the draft, Spence gives the best course breakdown in the history. So Spence, hit me with it. What are you looking for down in Houston? Well, Joel, I can only assume that I will have the last pick for the seventh consecutive week. That's been something that seems to be happening every week with this. So I've already penciled myself in there. I've done a deep dive into this course. And I think when you look at this and we've gotten this over the past couple of weeks, like the players' championship is a really good example of a course that shifted on the time slot of when you usually get that goes from May to March. This tournament's gone from November to March. I do think it makes some subtle differences when looking at this property. You're going to get this over seeded dormant Bermuda. That's going to help make the landing zones a little softer. I do think that there's some nature that the wind is going to be a little bit more. I don't think it's going to necessarily be extensive winds. But when we're looking at a difference, you know, of in November where there was frankly not very much and now all of a sudden here, going to get 12 plus miles per hour. Most of these days. I don't know. I think that any time that you get these unique traits and you kind of have to take a deeper dive into it. So Memorial Parks, one of the courses that's the top municipal golf courses in the world Tom Dope took this in in 2019. 60,000 patrons visit the grounds each year. He was accompanied on the project by former world number one Brooks Kepka. That rebuilding to create a challenging tournament venue that could provide dramatically changes down the stretch. I think he did that when you look at what has transpired over the past few years. You have six holes yielding somewhere between either a 21% or higher bogey or worst rate. You have a 26% birdie or better percentage. That's also going to come into play on the back nine. That's going to cause the massive deviations down the stretch. But really any time that you look at one of the dope properties, it comes down to this distinctive green complex that comes into play. So that's going to remain front and center. There's a 5% increase in expected dispersion of scores that come from strokes gained around the green. I just don't know if it's going to be quite that difficult. This go around with the dormant Bermuda and the overseeding that we're getting. We've seen winners in the past kind of being that 10 under par range. I do think that this winning score is going to creep maybe a little bit closer to when female wanted at 16 under. I don't know what we'll see. I just think like, obviously, that's a really. I don't want to say convoluted answer here, but there are a lot of unknown qualities about what happens when you shift the course from one month to the next. And I guess for me, when I built the model, I think you have to be very cautious with that approach because all of a sudden when you over grade something that, yes, for a three year run, look like that was going to be the end all be all of what you needed. I think that there's a change that takes place at some point. So it's a cautious approach. I do think around the green is going to be heightened. I just don't know if it's as much as tournaments past. So just to clarify, are you taking the stance of just deprioritizing course history or past performance here? I wait at less than my model than I normally would for that reason. And I also tried to build more of a collection of stats that I thought would be suited for how the tournament was going to play, which is a dangerous game to play because all of a sudden you're kind of playing the guessing game of what those changes are and exactly how much that overseeding affects this. And does this become a narrative to where, you know, golfers, I'll just throw out a random name, Cameron Champ, all of a sudden, like he doesn't have the around the green acumen that you want, but his distance here can really become a weapon if around the green isn't necessarily what we saw a couple years ago when he lost six and a half strokes around the green at this course. So I think it's a dangerous game to look at past course history and kind of bank it off of that. There you have it. That's great knowledge. Definitely something you want to empower yourself with this week before making your picks. That is how you find your edge. But we do have a draft to dive into tonight. As we pull the draft board up, I want to give a quick refresher in case you're new, how the draft works. Now, if anyone is watching on Twitter or any other avenue, go to YouTube because you can be a part of the draft yourself, you can dive into the chat and to the comments, and you can help the audience make picks. It works like you're typical fantasy football director. It's a snake style one through four. The last pick will go back and get two in a row. The one caveat here is you do need to stay within a draft king's hours. You can just take all the best players. You do need to make sure that each picks allows you to afford an actual roster. I'll be drafting first tonight because I won last week. The order for today, I'm just going to pick it. We're going to go myself, Spencer, David, and then see the audience will go forth. I always just put you guys last because it takes a little bit more input to get your pick in. It'll be easier if you guys do two in a row. The way the pick is official for anyone new is the audience nominates a player. A second person agrees with that player. That is your pick. With C in navigating you guys tonight, we will change the world slightly where C can basically take whichever pick he feels is the best out of the nominations given through the chat. Without further ado, I'm on the clock. My pick here is easy. I'm going to go with Scottie Schaffler. Now, I don't need to spend long to explain why I'm taking Scottie Schaffler first. And the only thing to really think about when playing Scottie Schaffler is how you build your roster. He's going to play well. He's going to win the tournament. If he felt out of the top 10, it would be a huge disaster. He's playing an unbelievable golf in what his watered down field. But I think the question that you can think about, he's not a lot to play for the reason that if you play Scottie Schaffler, it's really hard to pair him with two other top tier guys. You've got to really build a more balanced roster around him, which I think some people can do. I mean, if he wins the tournament, he doesn't win. There's rosters out there that could probably be a Scottie Schaffler roster. So it's just about how you want to build. But for me, I'm going to start a four man draft off with the best golf for the world. Go ahead and see it. I was going to say it's really interesting. Like one of the benefits of the draft cast is when you have a guy that is as chalky as, and rightfully so, right, as Scottie Schaffler is going to be. And I don't know what your y'all's numbers are looking like. I'm looking at like 40 to 45%. Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe it's closer to 35 to 40% either way. It's just going to be an obscene amount. And by the way, just from a building standpoint, because that 5000 range has opened up and because the 6000 range has a lot of guys that I think people want to play, it's super easy to play Scottie. So that's going to lend itself to people playing him even more. So I guess my question before we move on, first of all, it was a comment because, okay, we're doing the draft cast. Only one person can claim Scottie Schaffler. So we're going to almost like just by virtue of how this show works. We're going to have three lineups that are like unique just because they don't have Scottie Schaffler. But David, I just wanted to ask you from a game theory standpoint. Like Scottie's kind of like too good right now and he's got good course history and his good course fit and all that. Like, is there a game theory play that you might make if you're making five lineups where maybe you fade Scottie altogether or you fade him in three out of five line of something like that. Yeah, absolutely. I mean, I commented on the show that you were on earlier today, Sarah, like the fact that Scottie Schaffler's priced it around, you know, $3.75 in betting markets. That still means that the win equity is like 73% for the field. So we do need to bear that in mind. And in saying that, for me, I expect Scottie Schaffler to be about 13,800 this week. You know, like I do think that he's undervalued when you look at how much further a year to years from when the Clark, the Gala, Salatoras who are within that range, like to get people to not take him in their line up. And I think it would have actually been like a 14,000 kind of salary and I would not have been surprised, especially given the lack of depth in the field. Once you get past kind of the big four in this tournament, he could be could be very easily over 40% owned and probably rightfully so. So, right, it comes down to how does that then build for the rest of your line up and I mentioned the wind daily discord that the weather does look like it's potentially changing to a Thursday PM Friday AM, Scottie Schaffler is in the opposite way for that. So maybe you're doing some weather stacks, right? You're doing full Thursday PM Friday AM builds really targeting that weather wave. If that ends up getting accentuated even further, say, Scottie Schaffler finishes like Firthler six, then suddenly he's not paying off his price. And you've got everybody else who's in that wave who should have a one to two shot advantage. Yeah, that's an interesting point. Still a lot of game theory this week. It's just a matter of whether you're willing to buy into it. All right, Spencer, it's your pick now Scottie Schaffler is off the board. What's it going to be? I'm just going to go with the player that's second in my model. That seems to be Schaffler's biggest rival these past couple weeks, even though Schaffler is the one that's getting all the victories. I'm going to take Windham Clark. I've kind of noticed that some of the ownership has moved away a little bit from Clark from where we had it on Monday. I agree with Cia. I think Schaffler is going to go off somewhere between just as a safe guess here, 37 to 45%. I think that's probably the range that we should be expecting. I had Windham Clark at 27% at one point yesterday. He's fallen now to 19%, which is going to be lower than the gala. So I'll take what I think is the second best player in this field at an ownership percentage that isn't the second highest owned. I kind of just hope that if somebody's going to beat Schaffler, it could potentially be Windham Clark here. I do think from a game theory perspective, lineups are very easy to put together with Scottie Schaffler. Unfortunately, I think David talked about that very well a second ago. If you could have made Scottie 13,000, but you could have just kept the salaries at 6,000 and up, that would have been a fair price. And then when you've moved it down in the 5,000s now, I think you had to make Scottie 14 to 15,000 to really make this a doable thing. So I'm always the person that's trying to find a reason not to play chalk. I don't know how you don't play Scottie Schaffler this week. And I honestly believe that there's Schaffler plus one of these other big names is probably the route to go just with how easy it is to build at the bottom. Joel, your thoughts on Windham Clark and just about just the roster construction. I mean, are you obviously you're playing Scottie Schaffler, but would your typical build be to be like Scottie Schaffler and then one of the top four guys or you just go down into the nine K range. Well, I'm actually totally aligned with Spencer and David on this point. There seems to be a top four, maybe five, right, those are the guys you really want to play up like one of one of my Scottie and one of the other two, but then after that, you know, maybe we start at the sixth guy or seven somewhere down there. It is way closer, even as you go down so, you know, there's not a huge gap between the high eights and the six K range. I mean, I just think obviously those guys are better, but it's, it's a way tighter gap than normal. So I'm totally okay with dipping down this week and there's plenty of value guys on there that you can go get. And to me that stars and scrubs approach is a way more valuable build this week than it normally is. Fair enough. All right. Well, let's move on. David, I want to see how these rosters end up right David it's your pick who you got. It's going to be really interesting. And I mean, look, that's the unique aspect of the show, right? Like we mentioned at the top of the show, only one of us can take Scottie cheaply here. Right. So it means that we've all got to get a little bit different and provide some information on guys that we do like further down the board and I'm a little bit worried that if I don't take this player was my first pick that see audience will steal them away from me. So I actually go right down the board to 6600 and take Joseph Bramlett. Just because I do love his fit for this golf course, right? Like this, this really, they've taken the rough down to one and a half inches here. The fairways are really wide and it's just got to become a home for power distance kind of players and that's just Joseph Bramlett to a tee. And last week of the Faust by a championship while losing putting plenty of distance off the tee and he lost on accuracy last week as well. But that's not going to be an issue here. Really like the fact that he's had a ninth here previously 10th of the Mexico open as well, which I think is a really good comp course in terms of long driving distance and the long line approach that you're really going to need. Tony females obviously got a good record in Mexico as well, just quietly so really like that he's in the right weather wave and 6600. I'm not getting too much ownership as well. I'm getting like seven and a half percent at the moment. I would have thought that he'd be a bit higher because he profiles perfect. Yeah, I agree with you on the ownership percentage. I even saw something a little bit lower than that earlier today. I mean, we'll, we'll kind of see. Obviously, it makes sense for him to get steamed up. Another record window parks ownership percentage. I had it a little higher than what Spencer has so you know we'll have to wait and see on the ownership article that comes out for when daily tomorrow from Stephen polarity but yeah I mean I like I like the Joe bros and I like Joe bro here for this particular tournament. So love that and by the way I think the audience Spencer can I ask you how Joseph Bramlett actually rates out in your model because he does seem to be like a very good course fit. I know you look at longer term history. And so obviously if you're looking at that Joseph Bramlett might not look great. I do think he was shaking off an injury last year. So I think that plays a little bit of a part in terms of the, like the history if we go back 50, 60 rounds. But how does he fit into your model. He grades wonderfully for me is a top 25 player in all three iterations of how I ran it so that's going to look for safety that's going to look for upside that's going to take the overall rank that he put together inside of the top 10 of my model and strokes gain total at hard courses. And then he has the distance that David talked about that I think does make him one of the best values on the board here in the $6,000 range so I kind of think that Bramlett is one of those core players and could probably name another four or five of those why building a card or a lineup this week is as simple as it is because you do have names down in the $6,000 range that to me have a legitimate top 10 top 20 sort of equity. And I think there might be even a little bit more safety on some of these plays than even are beginning. We're giving credit for on it so I think Bramlett's a great option this week. The team audience has locked in one of those players at 6900. They were quick. Thigala very popular by the way friend of the show say hit the gala. He is the first pick by a landslide this must have been the most popular pick in draft cast history because like seven or eight different people within 10 seconds of each other said say hit the gala and of course Andrew no back is the guy I'm talking about. He has been so good he had won one tournament where he slipped up over the last five but this guy has been completely locked in. I had him as a T 30 I think I put that in the wind daily discord, it paid off plus 220 last week. This guy at 6900 like I mean I understand why he's 6900 but he is absolutely dialed in I'm curious David Andrew or Joel I want to go to you first on Andrew no back and say hit the gala are those two guys that are actually in your career. Yeah for sure I love Andrew Novak for all the reasons we've all been talking about and I think you know what's most surprising for me is as a now I only see about a 13% ownership number now normally a guy at 6.9 at 13% we would consider talking but in this scenario where you know we know sheffler is going to be talked and everyone's trying to play him and you know you want to cram those studs in and there's a higher priority in getting some value. I think the 13% I'm totally comfortable with so the way he's been playing he's one of my favorite value plays this week and think I was well I mean, one thing I want to highlight about the gala is when we were scared of him last year he couldn't hit the driver straight and he was all over the place. He seems to have fixed that so that driver is going straight if he is control of that thing I think the gala really does elevate himself to one of the tougher tier golfers on the tour. And on top of that if he doesn't have control of the driver probably you know the the the roughs not going to be super penal here like it's probably like this should be a course where he shows up and he's like I can actually win at this course. I mean I know Scotty Sheffler is in the field but I'm sure he's brimming with confidence with this course set up so the gala makes a lot of sense David it's your pick I don't know if you have any commentary on Novak or the gala I will say this I mean, warning like Scotty Sheffler Andrew Novak Scotty Sheffler Joseph Bramlett. When everyone is on the same page getting things done at work is easy no matter what you do or what industry you're in how you communicate is key. Everything you type is equally important to collaboration and Grammarly can help think of it as your AI writing partner empowering you to communicate effectively and efficiently so you can make a bigger impact in the workplace. 96% of Grammarly users say it helps them craft more impactful writing and as the gold standard of responsible AI Grammarly is your secure AI writing partner that allows your team to make their point and move faster. By understanding your writing and context Grammarly provides relevant personalized suggestions and with tone suggestions you can navigate even the most difficult work conversations. You can also save time from spending hours editing drafts to just seconds with one click, sign up and download Grammarly for free at Grammarly.com/podcast. That's g-r-a-m-m-a-r-l-y.com/podcast. Easier said, done. Those are going to be like based on how things are being steamed and ownership and all that like a lot of lineups might actually start there believe it or not and then you know you see how much salary you have left and there's so much you can do this. Probably going to be some lines with Novak, Scotty and Bramlett and then that leaves you plenty of money to do whatever you want. So just keep that in mind if you're playing in a smaller tournament maybe that's okay. But if you're playing in a big tournament and you're trying to find a silver bullet you might want to lean off some of these chalk guys and go to somebody right next to them that's two or three percent. But David it's your pick. I don't know if before you give your pick do you have any comments on Sahith or Andrew Novak? Yeah, I think Andrew Novak's a fine play. I do have some concern about the ownership as Joel mentioned. I don't have a quite as high as Joel. I'm getting like nine percent at the moment around the year for him. But look at when he's hitting the ball great right like the approach play just really ticks all the boxes at the moment, especially over 200 yards. And he's got plenty of driving distance, but I really like that and nothing really to add on the gala. I think he's completely fine. He really looks like he's found a lot more consistency. I think that's the big thing for the gala. Last year like we all knew that the ceiling was there, but then it was also kind of a fout with him. He was like boom or bust. It was like this cuddle topped in and we're just starting to see that consistency really come into this game which I do really like. I'm going to go and grab some more value because again I just know with where Spencer and Joel are placed at the moment they're going to be kind of looking down this range. And particularly Spencer I know loves Davis Thompson and so I can't leave him on the board any further than that. Gets the right weather wave and turns up the afternoon AMT times. One of the best in the world over 200 yards for approach. As we mentioned the top show five of the par fours here are 490 yards or longer. These kind of unusual set up with five par threes and they're all like really short as well. So those par four and par fives are just incredibly long here. His total driving is off the charts. He's both long and accurate and he really popped on approach last week. He was gaining over two strikes per round and it was just the part of that letting down which we expect to see some aggression. So I really like him here. I think he's great value. He's a very talented young young player in a sophomore season and could be a burst out spot from here. Yeah, I think Davis Thompson is really interesting here. A good bounce back spot for sure. I mean he waited out really well for me. Waited tea to green. A weighted approach. Not a ton of distance on the driver but like good enough to sort of like qualify to be in that sort of medium range. The around the green game didn't scare me off by any means that that looks okay. Was that a steel Spencer is Davis Thompson that somebody was on your radar potentially one of your next couple of picks. Sure. I mean I think that like one of the things that I do every single week when I do my internment articles is I try to find the baseline numbers with the short game and added into what the actual ball striking returns are because I think you can kind of try to find either sleepers for the next day and head to head match ups. I mean that's not reinventing the wheel here with what I'm saying but I do come up with a total of where a player should land on the leaderboard and Davis Thompson was one of those examples last week where he finished in a hundred eighth place misses the cut. My model thought that after two rounds he should have been in seven. So I think that there is positive regression that is coming into the game here for Davis Thompson. Great ball striker an elite ball striker that if the putter can just be better than what we had it last week I think this is a nice spot for him so. I mean David has kind of taken the exact opposite route here which is going to make it more complicated a hundred percent with the way that I'm building this lineup because I've gone up towards the top and he's taken two names now down at the bottom that I would have liked but. I'm going to keep with this approach right now I will try to figure out how to round this out at the end of this but I will take Tony female 9,900. We've seen female turn this putter around recently the last couple weeks I know that the miss cut at the valve spar is going to worry some people because he was just terrible across the board and the tea to green metrics but this was a golfer that before the putter turned around. He was ball striking it better than anybody in the world. He has positive trajectory in my model when we look at similar courses when you get this overseeded Bermuda for what my model expects somebody to do with the putter that's been something that the past handful of weeks has been a very big indicator for somebody that might be ready to pop for a higher result so. I think this is a nice spot here for who is the defending champion and Tony thin out and I think there's a reason why he won this tournament and he's going to come here to try to defend the title this year. So what's what's interesting and what I'm kind of afraid of Joel is that, and by the way I'm going to leave I'm going to leave the show just for a few minutes and I'll be back but what's interesting to me is that last week I was between Cameron young and Tony fee now as one of my allies so my card I'm trying to remember what it was it was JT. Unfortunately it was Cameron young I left Tony female off the card and it was a two two or three other guys. But so yeah the Cameron young thing that did not work out for me on Sunday afternoon but I was really close to pulling the trigger on Tony fee now and I didn't end up doing it. And now I really don't want to do it because of what I saw last week and now I'm like okay because of that Tony fee now is probably going to win this tournament so I don't hate Spencer's argument I'm not playing Tony fee now personally he's going to be a fade for me including in the betting market where I think I have a play already out on see who Kim over Tony fee now which I believe is like trading at minus 110 over on draft Kings but Joel your thoughts on Tony fee now before we get to your back-to-back picks and while you're doing that by the way I'm going to bounce but I'll be right back. Thanks Dan. You know Tony's interesting because I think he provides a lot of leverage at the top there's going to be a lot of the chalk is going to be on Sheffler and I think Clark and the galler going to be more popular so he offers similar win equity not to Sheffler but to Clark and the gala so in terms of leverage in a GPP and obviously he's done well here before I think he now is an interesting thing he played for tournaments as a way to get different and who does offer the same upside now I don't think he's as safe as some of those other guys there does bring a little bit more volatility to that pick but for a GPP I think it's a good way to get sneaky. Now for my pick here this wasn't a scenario I could have imagined where this draft would have broken this way and it makes me happy like this is exactly what I wanted to happen I want Rose Alatoris with my second pick I didn't think it would be any chance he'd come back to me. I'm super excited I actually have him as my second favorite play this week. I think there's something to being a Texas guy in Texas tournament. You know obviously he didn't play better he wasn't great at the players obviously that's a much different course a very challenging course you know he still struck the ball well as he always does he had some troubles off the tee what have you. He gets he writes the ship this week back in Texas and has a really really good show so I'm going to have to get creative with the rest of this thing to make this always work but if there's two guys I want to put in my lap is the two that I got. So super pleased with that start. And then I'll try and start my value plays on the turn because I'm also going to go with this next big dub game I'm sick of my Texas theme another Texas guy who has been playing great golf this year. Last week you know wasn't as best shown maybe we'll turn some people off the game but I need to 100 the way he's been playing in this field bring him back to a Texas course where he will probably be more comfortable. I loved up game this week. With that being said I love to get your take David are you on is that a tourist or game at all this week. I'm annoyed at myself in my draft strategy because I figured that if either of you was going to take the world's allaturists it would be Spencer. But Joel just sneaking in there with a shift local salad tourist star which I did not see coming on that because I was hoping to get get will easy to kind of round out to the the top end of my my draft there and thought he was someone that I could kind of get on the way back there so little bit disappointed in this term and Justin regards a dug game like like it's surprising how much the market reacts and people react to just one tournament right like. I'm getting like six and a half percent of dug in like the week before like dug in was on everybody's lips he's a Texas guy went to college here. It's where he feels most comfortable when he's just been playing awesome golf and then suddenly because he has like one off week everyone's like oh well done with dug in now. I'm like seems the perfect place to deploy me seems cheap at age 200 as well like you know you can beat him like bully hoe who's right next to him like. Doug comes being miles better than Billy water lately so I'm really like the pick the don't like the bullsellers pick but that's because I like him as well. I love it. I love expense. You're on the clock before you go and love your take are you playing will easy or a dug game at all this week. It's a great bounce back spot for Doug game at no ownership there's a couple other players that are going to fit that narrative. I for me there's five golfers. Sheffler is allotaurus Clark the gala female. I think you kind of mentioned that Joel those are the five players that to me had. A very enhanced win equity compared to everybody else now sheffler is going to be leaps and bounds ahead of the other four but I think those other four like whether or not I like what their prices are actually. I love the start that you've put together here with sheffler's allotaurus and again. This to me and we can rotate names it doesn't necessarily have to be those three in particular but to me that's kind of the optimal build this week. I do think there's enough value down beneath and unfortunately you and I are going to be fighting for a lot of those same names so we'll see what ends up happening there but. See I mentioned it before he left it about he has a bet on see who Kim over Tony female. I don't know if I necessarily would go as far as to say that I like one side over the other but I will say I like both of those two players this week so I am going to take see who Kim here at nine thousand seven hundred part of this is my goal and I don't even know if it's a player that's in David David's pool but I mean if we can remove everybody from the top then all of a sudden David's going to leave thousands of dollars left on the table and that feels like a nice strategy to potentially take somebody out of this but see who you could make an argument that he's maybe marginally overpriced at ninety seven hundred but inside of the top eight of my model this week the recent form looks great with multiple top twelve finishes in the last few starts also anytime you look at this weighted tea to green performance he's going to climb up in your model. Fourth for me in this tournament it just comes down to can the putter be better than what we get from him sometimes if the answers yes. That's how ball strikers win golf tournaments if the answers know that's how miscuts come into play so I'm going to take see who I think this is a very nice spot for him to have a big result. Can I ask something about Doug Jim Joel I got to ask you this and I will get to see you and then we'll get David's pick in a second. First of all I like see who came and it's funny that you have both of them on your squad I know you just addressed that because I mentioned they had to match it but are you worried at all. And I wonder Spencer maybe this follow up from you because I am I almost feel like a novice in a sense like just really overweight driving distance but I do kind of feel like that's the way to go and I think that's the one thing for Doug Jim that I think he lacks relative to some of the other guys I'm choosing so Joel my question for you is are you kind of doing the same thing I'm doing with just kind of like overweight driving distance and if so does Doug him concern you and then Spencer I kind of want to kick that question because I'm curious in your model how much you weighed distance. That's a good question that was a thought that I had my priority for for driving distance this week is more I'm not limiting people who don't drive it far I think those guys can still compete is I'm just giving a bonus to the guys that hit it long so if you're playing hitter your bonus you're up on my chart a little bit I'll try and get you in but I'm not knocking anyone who doesn't have for I think they can still compete this week, especially if it plays harder because I think we're more looking for a bogey avoidance and some of those bombers who tend to be less nimble around the greens to get into trouble so I'm totally fine with game this week. Spencer, some of the changes to the rough whether it's the shortening or the the slight changes that we've made to the grass type there would have me believe that you might be on to something there see where distance is a little bit more relevant but even when I added it into my model. I kind of took this thing where it became more of a total driving meets ball striker sort of performance on it and anytime that you add any of those like GIR percentages and things of that nature and then similar courses of how I ran it for, you know, these longer courses that I think you got a specific skill set, Jim graded really well for me in that output like he was top 15 for me and expected total driving and I think if gim produces one of those top 15 performances. The ceiling is very high this week and that's like I understand that gim doesn't necessarily always give you that highest of the high end results but I thought in the outright market when he opened at 81 it was one of the best values on the board because you got an over correction to the market. And I think that when you look at specifically here, there's going to be that narrative that comes into play and you see it with ownership that distance is going to be very prevalent here. I'm not saying it's not going to be but I also don't think it removes somebody like Doug give him from the equation. Right and truth is see who Kim who I who I just said I liked and I haven't been a matchup. It's not the longest hitter in the world and certainly far shorter than Tony Fino and that's a matchup where I I favor see who can so certainly you can kind of kind of go both ways there. All right, David, you got Joseph Brandon with Davis Thompson, you're starting out on the low end does that mean you're going high now. Well, while you're away on whatever bathroom break you're wrong. I guess that that's what's happened five shows in a row and not going to hold that against you whatsoever. We spoke about the fact that Joel stalled will sell it worse for me who with the way that Joel and Spencer built out the lineups I expected to come back here. So, as the audience have crudely pointed out that does mean that the jinx is now on Joel for having stolen my pick and will as I was guaranteed to miss the cup because that's just what happens. Like as well that's been shouting out that he's got to try and take everyone at the top so that I have to leave thousands of the table I'm glad on such a threat to all of you guys that's what you feel that you have to do. I wouldn't have had see who Kim but I do actually like this as a spot for Keith Mitchell. Here's the thing right. I just mentioned with Duncan we all over react to just what happens in one tournament for Keith Mitchell was like what happened on one round of golf. Like it's a really volatile difficult golf course he threw it away on Sunday whatever he's still finished seven teeth but Keith Mitchell has been an absolutely fire form of late, especially with the approach numbers it just kind of off the charts. He's got really good comp history in terms of off the tee he's only lost off the tee twice since May 2022 heaps are driving distance and he's pretty accurate with it as well. The long line approach metrics really rate out very well for me. He said a ninth year previously 19th at the Mexico Open which I think is a good comp and I do think this is going to play a bit like Quail Hollow like one of those traditional really long golf courses. Lots of long par fours he's finished there the eighth year as well so I really actually like the spot here for the Keith Mitchell and if you're going to get some depressed ownership because the entire general public is going to be like oh Keith Mitchell had a really bad finish at the foul spot. He's still finished in teeth you know he's great author than other than Sunday so that means that his ownership ends are getting really low as a result then come in and happy to take him here. As we look at nominations from the audience looks like one guy has been nominated we need a second but my question for you David is the short game, specifically around the green I mean are you de emphasizing it because you're picking Keith Mitchell or you just thinking well there's a lot of variance with short game in general and around the green play which I actually agree with that I'm not saying you're saying that but that that could be a thought you have but I do think Keith Mitchell could find a little bit of disaster with a short degree. I think where our point is the fact that the greens here at 7,000 square feet on average like they're huge they're really big green complexes and he's striking the ball so well that if he is missing a bunch of greens like these bigger issues for me so I'd rather hone on the fact that his off the teas just really really good and I think that's going to be kind of the key determinant of success at this course and then the long line approach players around look if he's missing greens and having to rely on the short game then his chances are kind of stuff but I feel like I feel like exercising my veto power do I still have that okay okay let's take up I'm going to take a poll of me and you three okay first of all Jason Day is in. Sorry Spencer I know Jason Day is not your guy anymore you've fallen in love with Wyndham Clark but you got to be a little jealous we'll get to that in a second. I'm not trying to convince you for but I'm just curious before I decide to potentially exercise a veto and get another nomination to slip in only veto I'm going to exercise if I even exercise it. I need to take a poll right now on how you you three feel and I don't want you to be I don't want any subversion here I want people to actually know how you feel about Mackenzie Hughes don't worry we'll probably pick somebody else terrible if we veto him. Hi Lesky be Lesky excuse me. What do we think about Macuse. Can I clarify do not like Mackenzie Hughes as a person or as a golfer because that wasn't very clear. Fair question as a golfer it might also be as a person but I don't have the I don't have the facts I don't have the data to support that but I do have the data to support that I don't like him as a golfer David go. I think that the selection here from the audience just comes based on the course history more than anything else the the factors is that he's neither long nor straight off the tee. So that's a huge worry of course that I think it's going to be really big on off the tee and what you do with the driver and the course has changed a bit over the previous years other than moving from fall to beginning of the year the fact that the roughs come down. It's just getting longer as well. So yeah it's a it's a knife in me especially at 13% ownership. I mean the guy gained 10 strokes putting last week for his T3. I mean he doesn't always short game by the way that could work here okay like fair enough that could work here Joel what's your what's your answer on Macuse. Generally see I'm with you he's like one of those guys that even when it makes sense to plan my Disneyland like he just seems like he's like a 6100 golfer but it's like never makes my roster ever so. Well I can understand why the audience likes it but he won't be a Spencer. I think ownership aside if we remove ownership from the equation for a second I'm probably in different one way or another. I think when all of a sudden you start throwing this into a 12 to 15% ownership percentage and really the reason from that is stemming because of the course history that we have I will be out because of that reason but I'm not necessarily as low as everybody else's on him I just think he's too owned for what we're getting. I mean the course history is impressive I'm not going to lie to everybody. I feel like I'm with Andrew here I. It's the only time I'm going to do it I'm not on this show off and I don't mean to upset people I'm I am vetoing Macuse even though I got admit I'm very impressed with his history. I don't think Taylor Moore would have been the backup I mean do we re not the Taylor Moore motion said Taylor Moore Andrew back to said Taylor Moore Japan says Taylor Moore. I don't even like Taylor Moore but I like him better than Macuse that I'm good. You guys are going to pin that and it's going to be when Taylor Moore versus the cut and Macuse finishes T6 this is going to be bad. I don't like Taylor Moore but I like him better than Mackenzie Hughes that's our pick let's go. Sorry everybody. There we have it 7500 Taylor Moore. I don't even know what his ownership is by the way. Does anybody about a little bit less than 11% in my model still a little popular. All right. Should I not have done that you guys are the veterans of this show at this point should I have not exercised that veto power day would go. I love it. It's great televisions here. It's great content. I'm all for that and yeah look the audience is just going to come for you if Mackenzie Hughes ends up winning and Taylor Moore misses the cut. That's the only thing I risk is if that happens on Sunday we might have to look at some late security detail to see it moving forward just to keep them safe. Spencer you had something. I was just going to say I think the problem is like I don't hate the veto that was used. I'm just afraid that the audience may have either moved laterally with this decision or even made it potentially worse from where we were before. Like I probably rather have Mackenzie Hughes if I was trying to decide between the two and those were the only two options that I had. So I don't know if we necessarily made it better. So okay. We got to move this show along. There's a guy I really like that we could have taken. I can't just insert it's too late right we're stuck with Taylor Moore right. I'm just saying. You could go full villain. You could go full villain and just make your own pick here. Kurt kitty yama that's our pick 8100 go it's not Taylor Moore it's Kurt kitty yama. We have a huge gate. We have a Taylor Moore gate it rivals the decky gate. I don't think Taylor Moore's a good pick either give me Kurt kitty yama 8100 listen the audience is going to pick the other five guys they pick the first three. They're going to pick the next two. I'm picking Kurt kitty yama. I hate Taylor Moore. I hate Mack Hughes not as people as golfers for this particular tournament. Let's move along. See if you don't feel bad about it don't question it seal on your furries if you're the captain of the team. If your picks stand on it you better produce. But that's your plan. So much pressure that's my pick my one exercise of veto power. We do this maybe once every six seven weeks. I exercise it I put somebody in there nominated ratified myself. I get to do that apparently David it's your pick. Oh my god. Zach. Zach man. Go back to football show. It's an expert. It's told it's there. Wow. What a moment in PDA draft cast history. We've just witnessed all the record. I really. It's team to the audience. I got to have some in the audience. Yeah. But I really like to tell more there actually and I actually think that he's to a decent week has approached me tricks lately look really, really good. So certainly I do like kitty armour as well. I probably preferred tail more and certainly preferred both of them to the Kenzie Hughes. So that was outrageous and I'm kind of I love it. I'm kind of here for it. I'm going to go a little outside the box here. Take a guy who for me fits out really well for this course. But there's only at 5% ownership the lowest ownership in the AK range and that's Patrick Rogers. Plenty of driving distance really got on the long line approach. Look, he's coming off to Miss Cuts, which is why you're getting the depressed ownership. But in terms of like calm courses, he kind of writes out perfectly. Obviously he's had a 16th year previously at the mix got open for Dante. He's finished 16th and 10th. He's got good finishes as well. Like quite a hollow where you finished second on debut. So I really like him in in the spot here. I think it's a good call for it. I'm just loving the depressed ownership that you're getting in the AK range as well. And with a lot of those chiefly builds. I do think that the AK kind of get missed a lot because the people are going to go up. Pay 13,000 for Sheffler. Maybe do something outrageous like Joel and get Will's Alatoris as well. And then they just cannot get to the AK range whatsoever. They've got to go down to the seven sixes. Maybe even the five. So I think that Rogers here, really good course fit. We're going to see a bit of a turn and form. But it does suggest that he's a pretty good course fit based on his comps. And for the record, the two Miss Cuts, he's missed on the number as well. I love Rogers, especially when we're talking the ownership argument to Joel. Are you in or out on Patrick Rogers? I understand the play. And, you know, for the reason you said I could get behind it, but the way I'm building lines, I just, you can't. Like if I'm playing Sheffler and, and Zalatoris or preparing him with one of those other studs, it's just really hard to get that point. So he's not going to make my player pool, but I can understand how you can get that for sure. Yeah, and again, this is why the show was so unique because we can now not only make lineups, but at least talk about an address lineups that are not going to have like the Scotty Sheffler, Will Zalatoris, the Scotty Sheffler like the Gala, because a lot of people are going to want to do that. Really smart observation from David, like knowing that a lot of people are going to do that, knowing you're going to take a chalky Scotty Sheffler. How can you make your roster construction different? It's by going into not just a low own Patrick Rogers, but making your construction in a range where people just aren't going to be able to go because of what they're doing with two players at the top. All right, Spencer. Enough talking from me. It's your pick. I'm going to go with a highly volatile pick here. This is somebody that had the largest range of outcomes of any single golfer in the sheet. He had three categories out of the six that I ran where he graded inside the top 12. The other three, he was inside the bottom one third of what I was looking for. But I'm going to go with Nate Lashley for the boom potential that he has. I understand that there's some bus that comes into the play there, but I think 6,000 for him is a really intriguing price for a golfer that does have a ceiling that can top 10 in this tournament. Nate Lashley, very interesting. David, I go to you before we get a Joel's back-to-back picks. Nate Lashley did sort of cross my eyes when I was doing my initial research and I found a reason and might not have been a good one to get away from him. Was he a guy that was on your radar at all for this tournament? They can seem for me and I'm not going to say that you shouldn't play anyone who doesn't have driving distance because how often do we see that case where it's like, oh, this is a bonus course, but then some random golfer who drives it short ends up popping up in the top 10 because they just have an outrageous parting week or an amazing approach or some other aspect of their game. So I get that. I'm not sure I'd be going to see who can paired with Nate Lashley. I'm kind of like a one, maybe, maximum two in that kind of range if I am looking to get a little bit different away from the suitable profile. So that would be my concern. So the driving actually is not there. I see a crush on an approach at the players' championship, gaining over eight strokes on approach when finishing 13th year. So that's a real positive. It'll also add that he's won the Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit. So obviously there's some correlation there with Tony female linking those two quite nicely. Very nice. All right, Joel. Scottie Scheffler. Will Zalatoras. Doug Gimme. This is an all-star cast right now. How are you going to ruin it? I will say I'm very pleased with how my draft has started. Obviously now I got to get some value. So there's two guys here that I have been targeting for value, which they're going to fall asleep, which I'm pleased on. And it's going to be one. The first one, which is a great story, is Budcali. If for those of you who might not be familiar with Budcali, he wasn't a star coming up. He was all amateur. Was supposed to be one of the next big guys. He got into a car accident a few years. He's come back recently over the last couple of weeks, and he's been playing really well. And he's only played in three tournaments on the PGA Tour, but he played a few KF Corn Fairy Tour tournaments as well. On the Corn Fairy Tour, he has two top 40s, which, you know, he's competing. He was 65th at the waist management. He was T21 at the cognizant. And then at the val's bar, he didn't make the cup, but he didn't play poorly. He had a 70-year-round one, a 73-round two. The ball striking has been really good. That's obviously what's really attractive about him is he's guys got it. It's guys a great pedigree in history, but he's striking the ball really well. I think it's a matter of time before he puts together a really good round, and the results are coming. So it's obviously it's a shot. I'm taking a six to a hundred, but I do think he has an outside. And the weird thing is I'm actually seeing him carry a bit of ownership. So maybe some people are seeing that too, and, you know, for the six K range, I see him around 9 or 10%, which is a bit high there. For my second pick, I'm going to go ahead and take Dylan Wu, another 6100 who is in good form. He was T26 at the val's bar. He gave us a T19 at the players. His ball striking numbers have been really good. He's been one of the main reasons I like. He's been really good around the green. He's been gaining strokes around the green since January, every tournament he's pointed. He's going to have to find his driver. His driver's been wild. That's the concern. But if he finds a way to straighten that driver out this week, I think you can get easily in a really good result as a 6100 from Dylan Wu. Yeah, interesting. Dylan Wu, another one of those kind of, well, a little bit of a shorter hitter. So we'll see how like I'm really like, listen, the truth is we don't have much of a sample size for Memorial Park, and we obviously don't have the sample size of this thing being in March. So let's see what happens with that. Let me Spencer. Let me ask you on Bud Collie or Dylan Wu. I mean, these guys are far down the board. I don't expect them to be top 30 or 40 in your model. But Bud Collie is certainly coming on. Do any of these guys make you think, all right, this is somebody you're going to play in your pool? I'll give you an interesting answer here, Sia. And there's limited data that I have for Bud Collie. So I want to preface it with that. But Collie and Dylan Wu both graded inside the top 40 of my model this week. Wow. I think that they're intriguing values for sure. Wow. That is interesting. Okay. Fair enough. I was like, yeah, you're probably not going to have it in the top 40. It turns out it's in the top 40. All right. Spencer. We go. Windham Clark. We go. Tony Finaas. See who Kim Nate Lashley. You've got two more picks, but you got to make one of them right now. I am a man of the people, Sia. I don't know how much money this is going to leave me. I just know that I stand with the audience here. Sia stole your guys's pick. You're never going to end up getting the pick after Sia has stolen it. Not necessarily playing Mackenzie Hughes, but I will play Mackenzie Hughes. I think that leaves me enough money still that I can build the lineup. But Mackenzie Hughes, I am standing in solidarity here with the audience. Wow. Wow. You're trying to. This is like a complete takedown move. And it's very smart. I respect it. I don't respect the pick. I think it's a terrible pick, but it's a very good chance that I'm wrong because when you get like that confident and arrogant about a pick and you veto the audience's pick, usually that doesn't turn out well. So all right. Mackenzie Hughes, we already talked about him. So we don't need to go over why you picked Mackenzie Hughes. So as the chat. Oh, Zach Jeffers is just not happy at all on neither is Japan. I mean, what a show. What a show. This is so much drama. It's fantastic. The audience are just going off. Obviously Spencer with the big suck up move to the audience. They are wanting to get them on site for future drafts. Huge technical move, which I really appreciate. I appreciate the strategic nature that Spencer has just taken there, not just thinking about this draft, but like all future PGA draft cards for neither of the audience are coming back as well. So really like that there. Look, I'm going to go. I've talked about a couple of the guys that I've taken and then dug down as well of we're going off guys just because of one tournament that they've played. And another in that kind of rank is Tom Hoggi. Like Tom Hoggi's been one of the best ball strikers in the world over the last few months. He is hitting the ball at such a clip that outside of Scotty Shefley he's the second best in this field on approach over the last six months and like by quite some margin. So over the last six months in this field, Scotty Shefley is gaining on average 1.5 strokes per round on approach. Tom Hoggi is gaining 1.4. The next closest is Tony female 0.9. So the margin of that gap in approach is massive in terms of the drop off. Yes, he didn't play well at the Valsvar, but he still gained a ton on approach. That all came with the driver because he was a little bit inaccurate with it. That's not going to be an issue here. He's just on off the charts in terms of the approach matrix. And if the dream republic is going to be off him because of one bad tournament, I'm happy to jump on him here and get a bit crunchy around with this build. So I was lost in your analysis by like I'm now picturing myself looking at the leaderboard on Thursday like on like an app on my phone and like I'm just going to be zeroing in on specifically Mackenzie Hughes, Taylor Moore and Kurt Kiriamas as if I have them in a three ball. All right, Tom Hoggi Joel, any thoughts on Tom Hoggi? I mean, listen, we know he this guy is electric on approach. We know the ball striking generally there. What are your thoughts on Tom Hoggi here? I think David said it right. His approach metrics as of recent have been off the charts and in what is reality, a bit of a watered down field because that's the reality of the tour right now. Tom Hoggi in 2022 in the full field is not the same golfer as Tom Hoggi in 2024, where you take away 10 or less golfers. I think the pricing is right. I think there is a lot of upside with ways that you want. All right. All right, Tom Hoggi. Let me ask you Spencer as we wait for nominations. Tom Hoggi, where do you wait out in your model? 16th overall, he is the number one projected approach player from the weights that we get this week, which is not necessarily a shock. Hoggi is a pristine iron player, but 16th overall for me. All right. We got actually Batia in there. So let's see how much money we have left when we put in Batia. That's been locked as Zach Jeffers puts in the chat. So what do we have left? We have 7700 so for team Spencer audience, their last player, it is going to be a 7700 player or below. So that's where we got to look and we'll take nominations there. Oh boy. There's, there's a guy that's right in that range that I just threw off our team. So there's that. I cannot exercise veto power anymore. So if you guys want to throw him on, but there's plenty of guys to choose from. We certainly don't have to, we can leave money on the table, obviously. So I need a couple more nominations or I'll just throw some guy in there. It's, and if, if you let me do it, it's not going to be Taylor more. I can promise. I'm trying so hard to get into the chat right now to take Taylor more in. Maddy Schmidt from Zach. Zach Jeffers. Maddy Schmidt is not on my radar at all. That's interesting. Taylor Moore from David Belesky. Oh, okay. Very interesting. Joel Domin, I certainly like that pick chalky, but I don't mind it. Given the makeup of our team, we've got a couple of chalky guys, but you know, a couple non chalky guys don't have many. We don't have either of the top two players. I think Domin is Damon. Domin is the play Japan. Silent Assassin. Edward Gail agree. Let's go there. We leave a few bucks on the table. I like this lineup. I was actually wasn't on my, my card here. David, let me go to you. Let's, let's just hear before we get to your pick. Whether you like Akshay and whether you're playing Damon this week. I really like the Akshay play. It's kind of like the way that the gala was. Like we've just know that he's got masses of upside and, and a huge amount of this cut equity at the same time. And so when you're in those large GP pieces, the kind of dart where he could very easily win or finish top five. He could very easily miss the cup, but when you're in those big contests, he's the kind of person who down in their kind of range. You can put in there and if he has a great finish, then suddenly you've got a huge amount of leverage on the rest of the public. I think it's a really good fit from where he did achieve as well and was another golf course where driving, driving distance and off the tee really made it quite a bit. And his putt is very, very good as well. I like the diamond as well. It's, it's like this really strange situation with Joel Diamond because he's got an awesome course history there. But on paper, it doesn't necessarily suit his game in terms of particularly the driving distance. But his history here speaks for itself and he's been hitting the ball in an amazing clip in recent history as well. So my concern comes to 12% ownership. Everyone spotted the course history and got a job jumping on down in there. That would be my concern because, generally, someone in the low seven cage who's around that 11% to 12% ownership is someone that I'm going to be trying to pivot from. Yeah, fair enough. All right. David, do you have one more pick? Who's it going to be? Well, I was very tempted here to do as Spencer kind of enticed me to and leave thousands on the table and take Mattie Schmid. Very tempted to do that. He gets the right way the way. I think it's a really good course for him. He's got tons of driving distance. He's playing really well. He was a stud on the DP World Tour. Very tempted to just leave $3,000. I'm not going to do it. I'm going to take Alex and Aaron. Because, and Joel's ecstatic because he's obviously going to take Mattie Schmid. Can I change more? I'm about to hear the whole beach about Mattie Schmid and how Zach Jeffers mentioned him and how Siapu put him and how Stens can afford him and it was going to fall in my lap. I think there's no way David's considering. I love that one of them. They're literally, there's no way. The way that this draft cast has gone, there's only one thing. Cancel my pick. I'm taking Mattie Schmid. I'm leaving $3,000. Mattie Schmid, last three tournaments. 10th and Porto Rico. 26th of the play is 17th of the Valspar. Tons of driving distance. Really like the metrics on approach. I think it's fantastic value and he's extremely low on. I think he's a really, really sneaky play that you can get out there. The guys got top 10 equity in this type of field. Is that like, I mean, that was kind of like you already made your pick. I mean, are you really taking Mattie Schmid? Is that a play? Yes, absolutely. Worked like a charm. I never wanted to win. Joel's face said it all. Joel's face said it all and I knew immediately that I'd ate and my job should have been taking Alex Narn and Mattie Schmid had to be the play. So that's very real. I can't believe that just happened. All right. I think it is the play. I think we talked about him a decent amount. I think Spencer, we can go to your pick. Joel, you'll have to, you'll have to pivot here. Pretty crazy. Spencer, you got one last pick. Penny Hardaway for your thoughts. I don't really have any money left now after this McKenzie Hughes pick, which has made this more complicated. Like, I wanted Max Grazerman. That's kind of where I wanted to land with this selection. And unfortunately now I cannot afford him. But for me, I came down to one of two options. And I think it's very close. Jacob Bridgman, Brandon Wu. I worry a little bit about what we got from Bridgman last week. Like, I bet I'm at 300 to one in full disclosure. And I'm not going to necessarily take one round the golf on Thursday and overly weigh that in my model. But I think in the same sentiment of that answer, I also have limited data on him to begin with. So, I will go with what my model had a little bit more upside with when I ran it. And I'll go with Brandon Wu at 5600. He's played well historically on these long par 70s inside of my sheet. Inside of the top 35 for weighted scoring. Not necessarily a perfect profile, but I think when you get down into this $5,000 section, you're trying to find something that you can hold on to for why you believe there's a reason they can work up the board. And Brandon Wu has more of those answers than a lot of these players would. Very interesting. All right. Brandon Wu is the pick for Spencer. That rounds out his team in the low five or the mid five K zone Joel. I mean, you don't have much money left. You were going to take Maddie Schmidt. Apparently you can't do that anymore. What you got? I was going to take management. I thought Spencer was going to take Parker who eat. I liked that pick, by the way. I was between Maddie Schmidt and Parker Cooney. I was assuming Spencer was going to take Cooney and I was going to be stuck with Schmidt. It didn't work out that way. You know, then when Spencer started talking, I was like, who's this guys are men guy? That was seems interesting. So maybe, but now I'm going to stick with my original pick. And I think part of my theme here is I had a lot of Texas guys and it's right around the corner. This is a home course with these guys. You know, between GIM and now Cooney, it was out towards from Texas. Sheffler. Maybe that will pay off for me, but especially when they do deep dining for 5700 golfer with some upside. I think having a guy from here in my health. Yeah, I Parker Cooney rated out pretty well for me. I don't have a problem with that. Spencer, let me ask you Parker Cooney. Did he register on the radar? Yeah, I think he's fine. I think that like at some point you have to wonder what he actually needs to do to get this price tag increased. 5700 does feel a little bit on the low end of where this should be. I don't know. He should necessarily be a golfer that's approaching the seven thousands, but I could see him being 6700 a thousand dollars more expensive. And I wouldn't have batted an eye at that. Fair enough. All right. Joel liked it. That rounds it out, right? It's a wrap. What a draft we had tonight. If one goes in the books, see it. It was a pleasure having you back, but we're not done yet tonight. Do us a favor. Hit the like button. Give us a follow. It goes a long way as we pull the draft board down. We're going to leave you with some first round leaders. Don't forget. We will be posting some updates in discord. If you're not already signed up for when daily, you'll get updates from the weather edge. Whereas the weather updates come out. You'll get this ownership article from Stephen polarity, which is one of the best origin articles in the business. Make sure you know what the ownership looks like. I think it's going to be especially important this week as we know a lot of people are going to be gravitating towards the top. So you want to be able to find ways to get different everywhere else. However, let's have some fun in the first round leader market coming up on Thursday. David, we'll start with you. Who are you looking at in the first film leader market? I mean, firstly, what a draft cast has been one for the ages. It's been hilarious on all fronts. Part of it obviously to do with the return of Cenajard and just throwing his weight around immediately and just vetoing picks to their front and center for the audience. Just really kicked everything off. So fantastic show as always. Just while they're out there, there's a fantastic lander page that the team over in the Philippines and in Europe, wherever we outsource our website building capabilities to at Windows was down there. It just tells you everything that you're going to get with our exclusive program. We've got the Masters getting 50% off at the moment and tells you exactly where we've been winning everything that's included. So go check it out. It's pretty cool. The guys have been doing a ton of work and it looks pretty sick at the moment. So for me, first round leaders, Keith Mitchell, 50 to one. I think that he has the ability to go out and pop for one round. We saw that last week as well. He's got to throw off the dust from that Sunday finish and come out fighting. 50 to one's a really nice number. Compete was one odds as well. He's about 35 to one at 30 to one in wind markets. So getting 50 to one on first round leader. 70 to one dug in. I think again, he can go out in the morning, pop into place. He's really comfortable in Texas. I really liked Akshay Batia at 70 to one. And honorable mention, just given, I stole it from Joe right at the end there. 90 to one management. Couldn't be the first round leader just to rub the salt into the room. That would make you some great draft cast drama. I love it. Spence up. Are you looking at the first round leader market? I'm going to follow David on Doug Gimmett, 70 to one. Steven Yeager, 55 to one. And to be honest with you, I don't know if he's in the morning wave. I don't know if he's in the afternoon wave. I don't know where he is right now. I assume he's at the tournament, but Mackenzie Hughes, 65 to one. I will go full on this pick here. Going full heel. I love it. I love it. I got three picks for you this week. I like, as always, it couldn't go a show without mentioning Sam Ryder at 90 to one. It's a first round leader. A fun one. Guy drafted 110 to one. Welcome back, Bud Cauley. I hope he has a great side. I think it would be a great story. A fun narrative to follow. But my favorite first round leader play. I think the number is just a little bit too big for Will's Alatoris at 35 to one. All right. See ya. Welcome back. Who are you looking at for a first round leader? Yeah, I haven't really had my first round leader Mojo this year. I mean, I've had some really close ones, but I haven't had it. And I think it's because I haven't been on the draft cast as much. So this is the time that we reset the table, if you will. I like your picture. Will's Alatoris. By the way, side note, a little jealous of the Doug Game and Akshay Batilla pick. I endorse those. They're not on my card. I'm just kind of throwing that out there, especially Batilla. It does seem like a showdown first round leader play as opposed to maybe a full tournament play. But Will's Alatoris at 35 to one. Steven Yeager. So we've got that in common too at 55 to one. Luke List at 70 to one. Andrew Novak at 80 to one. And ladies and gentlemen, if you're interested in the easy button play. It just couldn't be easier, right? Because why not take a guy? First round leaders, we know out rights and first round leaders are this easy. All you have to do is see like who's super hot with the ball striking? Who's long odds? And boom, you've got your first round leader. So the absolute super locked first round leader. I mean, it's so obvious. I shouldn't even have to say it's almost like insulting to your intelligence. And I'm even saying this number, but it's 70 to one. And the guy who's going to be your first round leader on Thursday, early evening. At Memorial Park, 2024. It's Joel Donman. Joel Donman. That's your guy. Let's go around. Well, I'll tell you what, if you're picking for first name base, I see a lot of Joel's winning. Whether it's a draft pass or a runner leader. For sure, alive on that stage. But man, what's tonight fun pleasure was this. Sia, it was a pleasure having you back. Really fun drafting with you. You know, you're not on every week. We know you're super busy. We love having you back on. But give everyone who has been with some of our new fans and folks. Maybe I can see you well. What are you up to new recently? Where can we catch you on some of your other shows? Yeah. Well, first of all, especially from a golf standpoint, I will be in the wind daily discord. I'm not as active admittedly as like guys like David Bileski. But I mean, if you're part of wind daily, I mean, I don't know how to say this. David is so sharp. He's so active. He's giving you every single edge possible. So really big time credit to him. So I dive in there. No pun intended here and there. I'm usually in there Wednesdays. I'm giving out my picks, some of my picks, some round leaders or round match ups and stuff like that. Otherwise, you know, I'm on the early edge. I've got a show at 10 in the morning. I do that every morning. And then of course, I've got the TV show in the DC area that I do. It's kind of a regional show. So unless you're in the Maryland DC, Virginia area, you're not going to be able to watch it. But it's called by the book on Mindy Mel Sports Network. And then serious exam, Joel, just like you, every other Friday, I'm on with Jason Mizrahi. We cover whatever sports going on. It's a really fun show. Two hours. Joel, you're on that show too. So yeah, a lot going on. Well, see, you're a busy man. You're super entertaining. If you watch this show, you know that already that is not news for you. If you don't watch the show and you're new, go check out. He is great at what he does and you will definitely find some winners. Speaking of winners, we're going to have one this week. We'll be posting labs on Twitter. Give us a follow. Let us know who you think is going to win so we can crown a champion next week and do it again. See ya. Can I forget anything tonight? You forgot to crown who's going to be the ultimate champion. It's going to be a playoff between Mackenzie Hughes and Taylor Moore. And I'm going to be crying all the way away from the pay window. But the one other thing, of course, that everybody forgot was. I see this. Sports. [ Silence ]
