Gorilla Sports
Gorilla Sports podcast Ep-216
(upbeat music) - Hey guys, welcome in Gorilla Sports Podcast. I'm your host, Alex Bullpin, and it's Saturday, November the 30th. And that is how we do American Thanksgiving. We went 5-0 on Thursday, and we went 2-0 yesterday. We took Travis Kelsey over his receiving prop. We took Brock Bowers over his receiving prop. We lost our same game parlay. We tried to add the Kansas City Chiefs team total over 23 and a half. Oh, come on, guys. That's painful. Four field goals. That's all right. That's funny. I was actually trying to put the kicker for Kansas City in as one of the legs, but FanDuel won't let you add a kicker to a same game parlay, and DraftKings wouldn't post a number for the kicker. So that's why I went with that Kansas City team total just as a throw-in for the same game parlay, and it didn't come through. What are you gonna do? We went 2-0 on our official plays though, so we'll take that, guys, 7-0. We're having a nasty NFL November. We are 30 and 10. We're hitting 75% of our plays, guys. All one unit plays. This is some good stuff. All right, let's get into our plays for Sunday, guys. Let's go. So my first play is I'm taking Cooper Cup over 64 and a half receiving yards. Now, he's covered this in three out of his last four games coming back from his injury, averaging 87 and a half over that stretch. That is over 20 yards of value. Thank you. The one miss that he's had since coming back was last week versus a tough Eagles defense, but he still got eight for 60. Eight catches for 60 yards, so he was right there, and now they're going versus a newer Leens defense that is nowhere near the Eagles. They are the fifth lowest, excuse me, they give the fifth most receiving yards to the wider receiver position, and that was a season-long stat. That's not without Marshawn Latimore. When they traded Marshawn Latimore four weeks ago, this defense is falling apart. Wide receivers that play the same position as Cooper Cup have destroyed out of the slot. Jerry Judy, 142 yards. Drake London, 97 yards. Lat McConkey, 111 yards. This is a great spot. Give me Cooper Cup over 64 and a half receiving yards. My next play is in that same game. I like Derek Carr, over 214 and a half passing yards. He's covered this in all three games since coming back from injury. We've been on two of them, so we're going to ride it for a third straight week. He's averaging 251 yards over his last three games. Perfect, that's about 35 yards of value. LA gives up the eighth most passing yards to the quarterback position, and this is a high total. It's 49 and a half. I think both teams are going to score. We know New Orleans defense isn't great, and we know the Rams defense isn't that great either, so I think both teams are going to score. I think now that he's got MVS, and he can throw that long ball to Marquez Valdez Scantling. He bombs it up the last two games. Scantling's put up almost 200 yards, and a lot of that is coming from these Derek Carr bombs, so I love that. Give me Derek Carr over 214 and a half passing yards. My next play is I'm taking Tony Pollard running back Tennessee Titans over 65 and a half rushing yards. Now, he's covered this in five of his last eight games. He's averaging 80 yards a game over his last eight games. He just came off 119 yard game and a touchdown versus a tough top 10 Houston defense. And now he's going versus a Washington defense. That gives up the second most rushing yards to the running back position. The last six running backs have all covered this line versus Washington. Rico Daddell, 86. Saquon, 146. Even Jalen Warren got 66. Tracy 66. Swift the 129. That is a monster look. I know Spears is coming off his concussion, so he'll be limited even if he does play, but this will be Tony Pollard's back field. I mean, Tony Pollard over 65 and a half rushing yards. My next play is I'm taking Remindre Stevens in over 13 and a half rushing attempts. Now, I found that a draft Kings at minus 130. That's the best price I could find. I see it's at 14 and a half at Fandall. I liked that. I wouldn't go any higher than that though. Now, he's got over this in two of his last three games and three of his last five games. His last game he didn't cover. It was versus Miami, but Miami took a 31-nothing lead to them. So obviously he got game scripted out. You can't run yourself back into the game if you're down 31 to nothing. But he's been an absolute monster. Over his last five games, he's averaging 15.6 rushing attempts, so that's perfect. The Colts give up the fifth most rushing yards to the running back position and the second most rushing attempts. Now, the Colts are two and a half point favorites, but any game that the Colts have won this year, they don't blow teams out. So I don't think we have to worry about Remindre Stevens and getting game scripted out of this thing because the Colts have a bad defense and they're not gonna run up the score on anyone because the opposing team can always score on them as well. In the five games that they've won this year, the opposing running back has covered this prop on every single one of them. And if New England has the lead in this game near the end of the game, they're gonna lean on Remindre Stevens and to close it out. So this is a great spot. Give me Stevens in over 13 and a half rushing attempts. My next play is I'm going to Trey McBride, tight end Arizona Cardinals. We're gonna take him over 58 and a half receiving yards. I found that one on FanDuel. It's a better price. I think it's 60 or 61 and a half on draft games. So I would look to FanDuel if you can. Now, he's covered this in three of his last four games. He's coming off a season high 12 catches for 133 yards. Now, he's going versus a Vikings team that's actually middle of the pack versus the tight end. But let's be honest, Trey McBride isn't your everyday tight end. He lines up all over the field. He's more like the wide receiver. He leads the team in receptions, receiving yards, targets. He's their absolute focal point of this offense. Now, the Vikings allow the fifth most passing yards to the quarterback position and the most receiving yards to the wide receiver position, which kind of half of his plays, he ends up playing in the wide receiver position anyway. The Vikings just like Cole Komet goes seven for 64 versus them. You're telling me Trey McBride can't get 58 and a half? I like Trey McBride over 58 and a half receiving yards. My next play is I'm taking Courtland Sutton. Now, this is a Monday night play. This is another one of those spots where I think the number is going to skyrocket by the time Monday hits. Now, I found that draft Kings at 63 and a half. He's covered this in five straight games, averaging 95 yards a game. His season average is 62. And that's kind of what the sports books do. They just look at whatever their season average is. And whether it's a better matchup or a worse matchup, they'll just kind of tick on one or two yards. But this has been a different Courtland Sutton, the last five games. He's been an absolute monster. Cleveland gives up the fifth most receiving yards, the wide receiver position. And Cleveland's also coming off like an emotional win. They just beat Pittsburgh in Cleveland in the snowgate. It was a messy emotional divisional game. And now they got to travel on the road Monday night in elevation in Denver. So yeah, give me Courtland Sutton over 63 and a half receiving yards. All right, I got one more play for you. It's not my favorite play. But I like Joe mix in over 19 and a half receiving yards. Now he's covered this in three straight games. He's covered this in four out of his last five games. Jacksonville gives up the third most receiving yards of the running back position. Last game, both Jameer Gibbs and David Montgomery both covered this receiving yard prop versus Jacksonville. Everybody covers the receiving yard prop versus Jacksonville. The only worry I have in this game is that Houston takes a big lead versus them. And they don't need to dump anything off to Joe mix it. But it only takes one. He seems to break one a game. So I like this spot. Give me Joe mix in over 19 and a half receiving yards. All right, guys, we're on a nasty tear. Let's keep this thing going. If you're rocking with me, let's roll.
after going 5-0 Thursday and 2-0 yesterday were back a full Week 13 slate of player props