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The site is buzzing over their Nick with draft's higher lower options. Their rivals feature that places players against one another for you to choose who you like better that week. All those options are available so you can play the game however you want. Once again, that code is BGP when signing up. Nick, how are you doing this week, man? I'm doing all right. Interesting event. I don't love it. Don't hate it. I've been pretty bad on the DFS side of things in MME on no cut events. Last week was great. Had a ton of Matt Wallace. I wish we would have done a show last week, but we were just kind of crazy busy all over the place. But I would love to have talked about why I was kind of on him. Did not have any Taylor Pendreth. So that was a bit of a bummer still made profit in MME and single entry had a great one with a missed cut of Thomas D. Tree on the number that pissed me off. It should have been probably like a top five single entry line up in the contest. I was in other than that, I don't know. Like I was very confident in Wallace last week being like a zero percenter. You're really not going to find anybody zero percent in these small field events, but I'm having a very hard time finding that low own guy that I forced myself to have. And I think honestly, man, I do better when I do like force myself to play someone super super low owned. I won't play MME again. My results in no cut events and MME have sucked. So I'm just going to save my bullets for the PGA and the open championship. But other than that, dude, well, I'll give you my betting card real quick. All right, we got Hideki Masuyama 35 to one. Patrick Cantlay 22 to one Tommy Fleetwood 33 to one. Probably just lighting money on fire. Like every time we bet Tommy Fleetwood. Sahith the Gala 35 to one, I believe that is only at one more book. And you may need to look offshore and Cam Davis at 120 to one. That was on FanDuel. I believe that's now a hundred to one on FanDuel. And you can get 110 potentially on bet three, six, five. Kurt Kidiyama taught 20 on bet MGM, test paid in full plus two, 25. And I did sprinkle a half unit on the Gala over more. Kyle at plus 105 on Caesars, usually a matchup play. I like to win one full unit, but to kind of like hedge out the outright market there was nothing that I liked too much. And I could not get the act sheet over. Shane, I already take it that you'll talk about in a minute. But what else on the card for you? Three out rights for me. Some of these numbers have moved ever so slightly in both directions, I guess, which is is at least the positive thing there that it's not just all in reverse. But I took Wyndham Clark at 18 to one. I originally had Ludwig Oberg pulls out of the tournament. Figure this was a spot where there's, you know, it's funny, Nick, because I don't seem to have my model beyond Wyndham Clark all that frequently. But when it is on him, the results have been very bullish in those positions with it. So hoping that we can hit a third time with him here over the past season. I took saw hit the Gala. I got 33 to one. You mentioned the 35 to one. That's over on bookmaker. You can, you can find it there unless you've found it somewhere else than that. I had my, my like local offshore, whatever you want to call it. You know, those like, you know, it's called crazy, crazy wager. If you're the FBI and you're listening to this, don't shut them down. Great service, good people can still bet on credit, Venmo, PayPal, all that good stuff. I would give them a 10 out of 10 on the Better Business Bureau. But they do seem to text you super early on Monday morning when you owe them. But like I got to go SM like late Monday night. Hey, we had a good week. What's up, you know, so maybe a nine out of 10 on the, on the BBB. Other than that, that number's still there. So I like that. We can get it there then too, along with maker out there. Yeah. And then the last play for me, Matthew Pavan, 110 the one, I believe Roberto said on links and locks when we just recorded that that there's a 120 or 125, maybe even out in the space somewhere. So I don't know if that's a new tool. Okay. So perfect. That would be that. And then for head to head play, Akshay, Batilla, minus 120 over Shane Lowry. That's on Beauvada. We're kind of all over the map with books that we're looking at this week. I shot folks. Yes. I also took Pavan at plus two 80 to come top 20. I'm a lot more aggressively backing him than you seem to be. I know you had, I don't even want to put words into your mouth. I guess more trepidation than I did would be. I'm not confident in the play, but I do like to take note on. Guys that you are very confident on. So vote is someone that I'm relatively interested in. I was thinking my exposure would be in the DFS market, but it sounds like he's going to be relatively popular there as well. He's actually decently long off the tee, which surprised me. I know obviously to, to win the farmers and succeed on that course, you got to be relatively long and obviously be a great long iron player as well. But I started to warm up to it. I worry about his around the green plane scrambling, but he doesn't miss a lot of greens. So there you have it. Yeah, the around the green play is concerning of the 69 players. One of the things that I mentioned this on the action network podcast that we just recorded to. So definitely be sure to check that out. But I also wrote it in my Rotoball article, but one of the things I've been doing recently is just taking all the weighted categories that I'm running, figuring out the players that are landing inside of the top half of the field for that just kind of trying to figure out the overall safety. I'm always looking for the upside numbers with it, but just kind of figuring out the guys that I may have missed one way or another with it nine players landed in the top half of the field for all seven categories that I ran. Those are all your 30 to one or less favorites in this field. Pavon was the one outlier there at the very bottom. So that meant something to me. I also think that there's a reasonable enough upside within his game to where, you know, he's probably not going to win this event and I certainly understand that, but we could have made the same argument earlier in the year that he wasn't going to win a tournament. So I do think this is a nice spot for him. That top 20 bet will be more of the area. I'm going to talk about how he's going to be very popular this week. I think it's just a biably so, but we can get into the DFS board. We can do that. That's my card this week because I don't want to say name number eight. Give me the top seven in your total. I get your model just in general for DFS of just an overall rank. Overall rank, Zander, Rory, Wyndham, Matthew Fitzpatrick. That was the outlier for me this week. I really like Fitzpatrick. I have you ever got him right though? No offense. I feel like every time you talk me into him, it things go south. I mean, I feel like I kind of got him correct at the masters until I didn't get him correct and I didn't actually win any money on him and I lost. That was my biggest losing bet that I had was the two units that ended up being lost between a match up and the placement wager. I don't know if he's ever been egregiously bad though in those starts that I've backed him. It's been a lot of, I guess, sub par finishes with it, but it came down to him or Thigala for me. I had more upside within my model for Thigala, which is why I went in that direction when actually looking for win equity here. Thigala would be the fifth name. Can't lay with sixth. Max Homa was seventh and then depending on exactly how I would run it, it's a very close difference between Fleetwood, Hadeki and Seawoo. You want to hear my is fucking gross. We got Xander number one, Hadeki to Justin Thomas, three, which again, my numbers have always loved Justin Thomas all year long. When am Clark for Rory five Corey Conner's six and then. Oh shit. He is number seven. I was going to say so I didn't have to name him. We should have went top six. I'm sorry, but the female female was seven. Conner's is 12th for me, Finno is 17th. What hurt me now with his profile more than anything is just the putter. I decided to put in a pretty adequate amount of putting statistics and he graded dead last in this field and expected putting for this course. Yeah, I haven't already four out of 69. We got good number. I mean, if he could if he could finish 44th, it might be a full cent in the lineup. Yeah. I do like the $8,000 price tag that we're getting for him. I think that's a value. Don't necessarily. Let's see where the ownership ends up landing with that. I feel like he's going to be popular. Yeah, I see 15%. Let's go to the board. Let's go to nine K and above. Actually, yeah, nine K and above. So. Well, we'll go upper tier. Wyndham, Sander, Rory, we're using Drafting's pricing. Of course, 10, 5, 11, 5, 11, 8. I think my favorite play would be Wyndham. I like all three. I don't know if you need all three. Drivecaster. We riot spends. You heard the people who would you what would you do there? I think I don't know. Let me tell you where my line of sex. That's the purpose of my show today is not to talk about exposure to MME because I won't doing it. Oh, great. I have two guys, DiGala and Cam Davis and so far. So I could probably afford ownership on Zander and Rory's both over 20% though. And Wyndham, they're all right there. Rory at 30 approaching 30. Do you have that? I reduced it a little bit. So one of the books I pull from, which is usually the one that I attach the most weight to had it at 32, I ended up taking a little bit more of one of the other books to kind of just get a middle. So I have 28% right now. So we're in the same exact territory there with that. You know, it's a 69 man field. That's ownership is going to be very pronounced in this section. Specifically when Oberg ends up pulling out of the tournament. Yeah, that was an unfortunate thing for many reasons. He was the favorite person that I had in my model. I was probably going to go all in with Oberg and Wyndham. Like I still my roster room. I like it very much. I think we go back here next year. This is going to be just the prime look ahead spot for him to win this tournament. So unfortunate that he's not here, but I don't know. I think if I was the power rank, the $10,000 options and I think you've given me some of this answer, but you can tell me exactly where you'd be out. I guess I would go part of me wants to still say Zander. We do one because he's the least owned of the group. And I have been so aggressive in trying to back Zander and all these spots. And doesn't it feel like the one time? Because even these other weeks when I've got outright exposure to him, he's been like 14, 16, 18 to one, most of these tournaments. The one time he gets pushed down the 10 feels like where they're going to box me out of the exposure that I want to get in this particular situation. I think Zander is the favorite to win this golf tournament. That's an unfortunate thing for the price tag. So I like it 11.5. I would probably say Wyndham would be my second choice. I do think the market has somewhat. I don't want to say overreacted to Rory, but I also don't think he should be seven to one in a golf tournament. He's the most expensive player on the board because of his victory. We're really splitting hairs here between these three options because these are the three runaway candidates that I had in win equity. And that's even over a Patrick Cantley who I really like in the $9,000 section and the gala, which we've talked about already. But I think Rory is probably my least favorite just because you're arguably going to get the most ownership with him of anybody. You're going to have the most expensive price tag. We know that one for sure. I think he's very neutral to these other two options that are going to be cheaper and less owned. Even if it's just minimally different. I think my guy would be Zander, just overall. And like Jess said here, scrambling, like everything about Zander's game. He gets up and down and scrambling was something I weighed very, very high. I guess probably like the way that I do scrambling is kind of like an expected everything I do is kind of like expected sort of seeing scrambling. So I kind of try to handicap, you know, green regulation and all that. And up and down percentage from there, but Zander is a fantastic scrambler of the golf ball. I mean, he's fifth on the PGA tour this year, which is probably we talked about it on the action show to probably too little of a sample size. But I know going back to years pet, like that's he's, he's just awesome. He's such a well-rounded golfer. His ball striking has been fantastic. Obviously he's just like a walking top five. And at that price, we probably need the win here pretty soon. He's a walking top 10. I think he's the guy, man. He like when I was getting on Wyndham last year, what I saw going into it and let me pull up Wyndham's player card from last year. 2023, he was absolutely just lights out on stroke scene approach, letting it up off the tee, especially with the distance, which we all value at Coyle Hollow significantly. And then the around the green play was starting to peak for him. And early on in that season, like the February March range and remaining pretty consistent throughout April, May, and then he goes to Wells Fargo and puts his ass off and wins the tournament by what? Four or five shots. So it's Andrew checks all of those boxes besides, obviously, like the 60 to one price or whatever we had on Wyndham last year when we did hit that one. But like I maybe like the new trees that they added to Coyle Hollow potentially play against Wyndham Clark and he misses a lot of fairways. Rory McElroy. I just don't think his game is still an elite form to pay 11, 8 and 30% ownership. I'd be happy to be wrong. I love seeing Rory succeed, but Xander at 11, 5 seems like a fair price and everything about his game makes sense and his ownership is going to be in the low 20s compared to mid 20s, Wyndham Clark and reaching 30% Rory McElroy. So yeah, give me Xander all day. Can I put him in the lineup? It's like, then what does it do? All I answered Jeff's question is you're looking right now. So I also run it from an anticipated outlook. So it's going to be a core specific nature with that. It takes 10% of my model. That is just the overall weighted scrambling grade. There's also a much, much more minor input into the sheet when I look at weighted scoring, when I look at some of the strokes gain total specifications of how I ran it. So in theory, it's, it's probably closer into that 13, 14, 15% range just when you infuse in from all the other categories there, but the overall rank from just scrambling on its own was 10% to answer that. Appreciate that. All right. Let's go to the nine case. You already talked about my favorite player. I think in that range is going to be Patrick Cantley. Of course, he's the most expensive number two would be. So hit the gala. He has my one to done play. I like I mentioned on the action show. I think getting exposure to a well, I don't know. Can we even call him volatile these days once last time he missed a cut? You know what's funny about the the gala thing and this is even happening last year, it was always such a everybody in the space would say the goal is the most volatile golfer and then you looked and he had like 20 consecutive made cuts at one point last year and I'm not so sure we're in these days of him being volatile anymore. The iron play is improving. That's helping with a lot of his safety and the upside can really pop for him at some of these venues when you put him at the right track. I like him a lot this week. I'm walking in. He puts it like Danny McCarthy now. Do you want to very quickly because we talked about this a little bit off there. We talked about a little bit on the action show. You want to go through the top five of your expected putting on this surface because you have some interesting names in there that we can get too deeper when we keep moving down this board. Yeah, one second. We pull that up. Number one sunday in number two is say the gala. Three is Max Homa, which was interesting to me for Alex Norrin and then five was Matt's Fitzpatrick. Very I like the fifth side for that when you when you brought him up. Like thieves, like you said, the iron place starting to speak. We he's historically been a fantastic scrambler. I think the numbers like his strokes getting around the greener starting to go down a little bit because he's not missing many greens. So, you know, the sample size is shrinking. I think he's absolutely going to be locked in. He's like a core play for me. I don't care what his ownership is because he's priced at 90 100. Yeah, I really honestly thought at one point that just with the buzzy was getting in the space early on Monday that this might get up into the 30% range. So if he's I see 18% right now, you can tell me where you have him. Nick, but yeah, 20. So I still think that that's fine for a 69 man field here. My weighted putting was number one, the gala number two, Wyndham, Clark, number three, Matthew Fitzpatrick, number four. Alex, Lauren, I also had home in my top five at fifth. We'll talk about long shots down the board with no ownership. You asked me what I liked about Eric Call to show off air with it. He is six for me in that category. Xander Schofle is seventh. So I think all those answers for Xander really propel him to make me believe that he's going to win this tournament. And I'm not going to have exposure in the outright market. Unfortunately, just with the way that he was priced. But there's a lot of intriguing names from that list that I am going to try to figure out a way to fit into some of these builds. Wonderful. All right. So now we have, I think it's against drafting rules. I give my whole lineup, but whatever we've said, we don't care. The gala cam Davis. I'm not married to cam Davis. I just think that he's way too cheap and I do like this course comp and kind of waiting for him to put it all together soon. I think his putting his kind of sketchy for me. Yeah, 47 he who I need to go to put on. I don't know. But let's get cam Davis out of there. We're going with the eggs and Xander for now because that's who we've covered so far in pricing. And he thought some more Cala Victor Haveland. I'm just, I know you're somewhat bullish on him. The game theory side of that makes sense. I'm out. I just think he's kind of broken right now until further notice Cala more Cala don't like the course for him. I'm not a more Cala guy anyway at the Masters. It probably made a ton of sense. Like look at him in Max home. I like the same price. They were at Augusta, but they were sub 10% at Augusta. We're on home at Augusta. Did not have more Cala. That would have helped a ton. But Tommy Fleetwood, like, yeah, it's cool. I got him to win outright 9500. I don't think I'm going to go back to that. It'd be nice, but I don't think I can afford it. Pretty much can't lay in and dicks for me here in terms of DFS. I assume my ownership totals are off here. I always trust your numbers specifically when we do this show on Tuesday. What do you have for Hovland? 14 see. I believe that though, I have 15 and I don't think that that can be correct with the form that we're saying when I was saying early in the week that I liked Hovland, I was anticipating this being a sub 10% number, potentially pushing much lower than that. I understand we have a limited field here, but you look at everybody around him. There's a lot of ownership coming into play. I don't believe that he's going to be 14, 15%. If he is, I will let him beat me at that total. That's something I'm going to monitor though, because from just a pure upside standpoint and removing some of this recent form from the mix, which clearly matters. It matters less, I think, from a leverage standpoint. If there's no ownership around it, because I'll take that shot at that opportunity there. It's going to be like eight. I mean, at 14 or 15, I would rather play more a kala who seems to be the Lee Stone name of the group. And I don't even particularly love more a kala this week, but I would rather go that route if it's going to be 10% versus 15%. Sure. Good question here. I look at putting, I obviously weight it into my outputs and I weigh it, I think heavier than most weeks. To me, when I look at putting, I think it's more of a outright decision to give you that exact example today. I was between the gala this morning and Ben on for one of the edges I had in that mid 30 range. And that was perfect because I had about, you know, a quarter unit left that I can spend in the outright market and that 35 of one range kind of fits that to win, you know, seven plus units, which we're looking for on this show. I went with the gala over Ben on because the consistency with the putter. So I feel like to me, that was an easy decision when I'm in between both guys. I love both their ball striking. Love both the distance. Love both their scrambling. It's like, okay, what pushes the other guy over the edge and think I'll buy a mile with the putter in terms of DFS. I think it helps me make more of a decision at the top of the board, but most of these guys are always pretty strong putters anyway. That's why they're high price golfers because they're great golfers, but down low, maybe it helps me make a decision when I'm talking about like a, I don't know, get pricing example. I was interested in Cam Davis, Eric Cole, like that's another guy that Spencer likes a lot that I'm interested in as well. And now that he talks about him, maybe Emilio and Jake Nablick, I'm probably going to need someone in the six K range. I think that's kind of where it would go for me as long as all their ball striking, hypothetically speaking, is close to each other. But do you have a different answer here? I mean, the one thing I will say in general, which is very similar to what you said in anybody who's followed my model over the last five plus years, you'll know that I used to run this purely from a strokes gain T to green perspective. And then I would run putting separately for a smaller weight. I think one of the things that I've changed over, I would say the past six to 12 months and I think it's probably an influence that I've gotten from you, Nick, because you do way putting definitely more than I do. I don't want to say more than other people. I do think you probably way heavier than other people also. I don't want to make such a blanket statement there when I don't know exactly how everybody's with it. But at least compared to me, I know 100% you do. I've added a lot more putting into the mix with it. Like I'll take the dispersion or the expected dispersion outputs that you have from all four of those critical metrics. I try to make it more core specific with how I run the data from it. So I'm going to look at three putt avoidance. I'm going to throw that into the putting mix. I'm going to look at similar fast lightning quick potentially kind of all of that round. Like I know on Fantasy National, if you go there, it's going to just show fast and not show the lightning part of it. But these greens can get very quick. So I want to look at the overall grade there. I'm going to then put in some of my overall outlook from a putter to give me the entire answer from it just so I'm not getting 100% from one surface. When I did that this week, you know, it was about as much as normal with a little bit more of an emphasis on three putt avoidance, which I guess which I love like that's what I'm starting to cut you off, but I like when you said that was like, all right, that is a great stat to kind of pull, especially on these harder golf courses when it's like a course like TPC Craig ranch. I think when everybody knows the winners going to be close to 25 under maybe there like strokes in putting matters a little bit more than three putt avoidance because you know, like I need guys that are going to make a ton of putts. Otherwise, what are you going to you're going to finish T40 or something like that and then DFS. That's not really going to help your embedding. Obviously, that's not going to help you much. So to me, I think it's core specific. I know you're very like grass type Pacific. It's going to be Bermuda here at Quill Hollow. So you could find, you know, fancy national. You could use anything. I think there's like golf stats and I don't know what data golf provides if they actually do the surfaces for that, but so many different outlets out there. But I think for what you said that matters most to me this week is more that three putt avoidance because we need guys to say far. Yeah, and that's kind of the one thing that's very important for me looking is is I've talked about it quite frequently with Scotty at the API Yager at in Houston. I'm looking for these golfers that are going to see a positive trajectory output when it comes to that that's that's your guys's territory. That's I don't know. I mean, I I can we want to talk about players that I cannot get right. I've never been correct on Ricky one way or the other on it. You're on mute, Nick. It's probably better away. I was talking about his ball striking in an inappropriate way, but yeah, go ahead. No, I I I've lost my train of thought we can we can move forward on the show with it, but I Ricky is not necessarily. My model has concerns. I guess would be the best way to say it. That's fair. I mean, he has been a complete mix bag all year. One finish inside the top 20 in the new year. That is rough, but great, great course for him. He's peeking a little bit. Is he game distance over the years? No, he's losing distance, isn't he? Yeah, barely check the ball speeds. All right. Moving on to the next batch, AK hard pass on Harmon. We always talked about female. I like Ben on. I think everybody's going to like Ben on. I think he's a great golfer. I don't know if I'm going to get a ton of exposure to him this week. Alex Norin. I mean, is there a guy in better form and like the mid upper tier range or the BJ tour that now it's norin? We got a third place, solar third last week. Corrals, Punta, kind of don't care about that. Valera, Texas T 14, Texas Children's Houston open a tough event there. T 11 players championship T 19 cognizant T nine. Dude is gaining strokes on approach every single time out, lighting it up off the T more than the accuracy sides in the distance side. So maybe for you, it's a little downgrade in total driving because I know you weighed that more towards distance and scrambling and putting just through the roof, which sucks because we're a year late on. We were a year early on Alex Norin because we took a ton of shit in the early springtime of last year pumping up Alex Norin. We're just a year early and we just need him to get a little bit. Little more wise and number one in my model and expected scrambling for this course. Yeah, I don't know if I like him here though. I don't know if I do either. Even if I know he's a different player this go around than in years past, but some of the course history returns are highly questionable. They're terrible terrible. I mean, there's just miscut after miscut. Yeah, in a T67 in 2017, when he was, I believe a significantly further driver of the golf ball. So yeah, I kind of probably out on Norin, but if you're just a form guy, then yeah, I can never talk you off of him. Jordan speed is probably broken. Russell Henley 5% Russ. I have been sketchy on Russ all year long. I feel like his ball striking is still obviously amazing because he's Russell Henley, but it's not on par with who Russell Henley is. But also scrambling is great. Potter, when did he become a good potter past two years? It's fantastic. Love to see that. I just don't know. I like a decky Cameron Young. I think also fits a course fantastically. Matt Fitzpatrick is going to go under the radar. See, okay, maybe 600 some 10% JT 20% couldn't be more out this time. I'm not playing JT when he's popular. I'm good there, but a great course for him. Yeah, if you could have convinced me if we had less ownership on JT, my model hates them and it hates them every week. This is a much better setup for him. And I do think that the the statistical profile is coming back in a lot of these spots and even at the Masters. He still can't hit a fucking fairway though. I think he can get away with it out here. Okay, we'll see. I mean, if the I don't want to take what Roberto said of adding extra trees and all of a sudden just like massively reconstruct this model, that's every course. There's most of these things are tree line parklands on a lot of these more difficult venues. Like that's something that you know what you're getting into from the very start. But I do think that being able to have distance to your game, even if you're not the longest player, like players like him in the gala, they have enough distance and they are wayward off the tee, but they have the potential to pop when they put it together. So model absolutely hates Justin Thomas. I think if I was to give an answer for that, though, I am not as out as my model would be. I think this is a very nice spot for him at a course that he has found success at in the past. So I kind of tend to think, Nick, when we look at the board here, like throw ownership aside for a second that the quality plays are the most quality plays are probably the names at the very top of this list for me. It would be the Hadekis, the Cameron Youngs, the Fitzpatrix, the Siwu Kims, past there. Are we doing Siwu? I see was inside the top 10 of my model from an overall rank. He got much worse when I ran this for upside. But I like Siwu this week. I think for a sub 10% play, he certainly is an option to consider the names lower than that become the dart throws for me. Yeah. You really are either completely ignoring the form that somebody is putting together in some iteration of or fashion of their game, or you are I don't want to say you're finding something statistically that necessarily would work. But it's almost it's almost the Jordan speech answer that I would give for Victor Haveland with it to where you're hoping that like from a statistical standpoint, my model likes Jordan speech this week from what we've gotten recently, he's probably broken does the injury scary at all. He looks so good on Thursday. That's the wild thing. I feel like every time I was watching, you know, I'm at work on Thursdays too. So that's it's not like a great sample size of me seeing every shot he had. But I feel like every shot he did see him hit was going to like eight feet. The two best leverage plays that I have in this $8,000 section would be see who number one Jordan speech number two like that that's the most playability that I have on options if I kind of just want to stomach something that I know is going to be very hit and miss with it. But it's the same thing that's happened maybe even worse now to this extent with it. But it's the Cantley answer that we've talked about for so long where people got so tired of playing Patrick Cantley that every single time he tees it up now, he's lower own than he was two years ago. Speeth unfortunately has absolutely no form to talk about and the floor is going to be very low for him. It's a dog to see who. For the record, sizable. I can live with that one. Mass the favorite though to big favor to Will's Alatoris. I kind of favor to Jay day. I think Zellatoris might be one of the worst plays on the board. So I don't know if the Zellatoris thing means anything to me there day. Dog had been on and dog sizable dog to Tony Fino. Yes, I mean, he's a dog to the three players that I actually have some some intrigue in and then he's a he's a favored against the two players that I am fading anyway. I'm going to play him. I'm afraid of it. There's no cut. Is he hurt? Is there any news on his wrist being I don't know. It seemed to look fine. Obviously this. Yeah, mindset could be. That's a course history. Pretty good, isn't it? I think I cut last year. That's when he did the stupid shit out of the sand right when he told Griller. This one's on me. I was here. Wasn't it? I don't remember. It might have been. I think it was out of it. It's good. All right. I could consider Jordan speed for a he's going to be like five percent owned. Yeah, that's what I have on that. Just send it eight K low eight K Jordan speed. Okay, interested seven K range. I mean, I'm nervous, but I'm interested out on Wells Al Taurus. My numbers seem to still think Sanjay's got game. I know he won the worry in Korea. So shout out Sanjay coming off a W withdrawing last week and ruining 15% of most people's lineups. Jay Day, no thanks Corey counters. Not bad. I'm I'm always I like Corey counters. M Scott seems to be in pretty good form. Corey counters are Jordan speed. Corey counters. I see it's 10 percent. I guess that's the way higher. I guess that's the problem with speed. I would prefer Corey Connors when directly comparing. So let me take that for what it's worth. Okay. Anybody else you'd love in this range? Like we got actually I respect him. My numbers seem to like him a lot. Sam Burns seemed interesting when I saw like three to 4% ownership. I always like Harrison English on top courses. I just I worry about his ball striking being up to par with others in this price range. Like it's always such a mixed bag, but a guy is going to scramble and get it up and down around the green is going to be Harrison English. There are so many players here in that. You know, 10% sort of ownership. Maybe a little bit higher than that that I think are just some of the worst values on the board when you compare their price and the ownership that we're getting that's going to be the options like Will's Alatoris. I'm going to be out on Jason Day. I can't get there with Sanjay. I certainly understand if he could turn back the clock a little bit. I guess, you know, you do get like the one part of his game where he has found success would be the long iron play still. A lot of shots are going to come from 200 plus. So that's something to say with Jordy. Jordy grades really well for me there. Fuck it. We're putting Jordy in. Sorry for cursing everybody, but that's what we do. I'm going to put Jordy in. I'm out on Taylor Pendreth. That's that's been a big movement. You know, you look at the betting price in comparison to everybody else in this range. Harris English is 60 auctions 50. Obviously can shop around find different. Pendreth open at 110 like he shouldn't be in this range. This is a victory that propelled them up here. I understand there's no ownership. I would rather play the name that was put into the chat from where is it? Jack. I like bazade and I worry about the lack of distance that he brings. I don't know what his actual upside is, but that's what I worry about the upside or lack thereof always at sub 5% though. So if we're looking at this entire tournament of who are the best leverage spots in this field, it's not even close. Bazade and how it was the best option on the board in his own territory. That would be followed by names like Todd, Cole, Hogi, see who. Pavon, even though there's a lot of ownership around him still speed is lower, but right in that range too, but bazade and how it was a top 25 player for me inside my model. Like I think I think what's happening right now in this position is you're getting a golfer at least according to my math here and you're getting a lot of results that are also mimicking this. But, you know, a fringe top 25 player that's priced as a borderline top 25 guy who's being known as the 52nd player out in my model out of 69 options here. Okay, see baz, we're going with Jack. Appreciate that and Spencer. The only reason because last time you said this whole leverage thing was Tom Kim and I believe you also said come work, how I had Augusta and both of them. I mean, Tom Kim had the Sunday of a lifetime. And I did not have either of those guys and that would have been very fantastic to have. All right, see baz, 7,600. It's like he's overpriced. Yeah, yeah, it's a perfect GPP play. Every model is going to hate them, I think projection wise looking at three different sites, projections are ship progression is eight now. Yeah, I don't know from an overall rank how he got the 21st for me. Like that's that's an impressive return. Yeah, and you're not pumping them hasn't played here. Does that worry you? No, it's a sticky, it's a sticky course history place, but I also don't think it's a venue that without playing it, you can't still find success. See baz. All right, speeds out, see baz is in. We got more room to work with now. All right, can you still hear me? Yes. I'm sorry, my headphones again driving accuracy. Not a concern. I don't know to me. I'd rather like Spencer said, I'd rather go more towards distance. What do we got here next price range? Anybody else in the 7K range? We'll talk about. I'll wrap it fire off some names. I like, I guess, like, I think, Hoggi, I think horseshoe. I think shank. That's probably. Horseshoe, come on, I think horseshoe, where do you have horseshoe in your model? Fucking low. Let me see. Well, not terrible 37. I'm a little bit higher than you. I am 30th. I have them better for safety, though. He's inside the top 30 for me and safety. The upside numbers push him in the other direction, but I do think it's a very similar spot, at least in some sense of that to what we're getting here with Pazade and Hout. A price tag that nobody seems to want to pay for a golfer that does have the wrong outlook in my model when you're comparing upside versus safety, but it's not so much so that it's removing them from my board with it. And if they're going to be sub 5% options, not expecting them to win the golf tournament, but I think they can top 12, 15, 18, this tournament. I think top 20, just fine. Yeah. All right. Let's see what I got remaining. 7200 with the Gala, Shofli, Bez. All right. So I probably need to pick somebody out of the 8K or 7K range. Let's see. Anybody is 6K that you love. I like kittyama in the betting market. I think if he's pushing 10% in DFS, I'm not going to trust the lack of putter there, I want to always play Austin that crowd. I just think he's awesome at golf. Also, same thing with Jake Knapp, but I do worry about super fast conditions for him. Do you have any thoughts on Jake Knapp? I like them. One of those boomer bus commodities just inside my sheet. I think for me. Do we hate Cam Davis? No, not at all. Not at all. He's, I think he's one of the better values down beneath. He's inside the top 35 for me in both an overall and an upside outlook. I feel like I should put him back in. Like Cam Davis is legitimately, or I guess, Eric Cole, because they're the same price. They're legitimately the last two options in my model that are inside of the top 50 for me. But when any lower than that is just, I found most of these options to be unplayable. So the lowest I am going is into that 6400 range, but I like Davis. I like Cole. I like Pavon. I like Knapp talked about that. I like Todd a little bit. I there's, there's a lot of intrigue in this section. And I guess for me, the other name, I'll just throw out there. And I'm sure your response to this and you're probably not even incorrect. Would be that there's too much ownership. I kind of like Taylor more at 6700. I think he's just really good. Yeah, I think sometimes it like he should be more expensive than Billy Horshel. In my opinion, no, I, I agree. And that's what makes it difficult when you actually start comparing players in some of these spots where you can actually get a discount on a name like Taylor more. I think I'm going to ride Pavon and Cam Davis. I think you're talking to me in a song price wise on DraftKings. When I'm looking at the most missed price players. The three most missed price players for me were Pavon, Cameron Davis, Taylor more. I mean, it's all the names we just mentioned right there. Those were all options that should have been in the seven thousands. This leaves me. Hadekki Cam younger fits Patrick role fits Patrick. My model would say Fitzpatrick. Um, I love the deck, but I already have enough exposure on him. And I do think ownership is going to be a little, a little heavy. I don't think people ever are excited to play math. It's Patrick. So kind of want to make me go there and he's going to, it's a long course. Three putt avoidance. I trust him more than most in that aspect. Let's go. Low scoring tournaments are, I guess, when scores are like in single digits, we'll say it that way. So there's not confusion with it. That's where Matthew Fitzpatrick always pops. So I think it's very close between him, Hadekki and, and young. They are all within like, if I'm running this from a head to head standpoint, they're all between minus one 22 one way or another with Fitzpatrick being the favorite. That's the caveat to this whole thing. Yes. All right. Dumpster diving. You mentioned Cole. I don't think you really like anybody less than 6,400. If you had to choose one, of course, history would probably say Shamus power. I'm a hard pass. I'm at cooture. I don't know why he's in the field. Lee Hodges. I don't mind Gary Wilson. I wish could get his game back because I feel like this would be a great course for me, but he's a terrible scrambling and terrible putter. So it is what it is. Lee Hodges. Anybody like that hard passing grace and Murray, Ben Cole is a great golfer, but I don't think I could take 260 off the tee at this course. Nick Dunlop. Anything there? If you forced me to give you a name that's less than that just for the sake of the show here, and, and this is not necessarily somebody that I would say I like. P rod. It's kind of in that similar. Mentality to it in some ways with it. I kind of like Kevin Tway. Oh, I didn't see that coming. Let's check out Kevin Tway. Some of the long iron numbers for him look very good inside of my model recently, the, the total driving because of the distance that I've taken into account. Good short game. Good short game and for me, so one of the ways I ran my total driving, he's 8th for me in this field in driving distance. He's dead last in driving accuracy. That's going to be the concern. He's 16th though on off the tee in general compared to this field when you have hard to hit airways. So to me that kind of just goes right into that mentality that I keep talking about of I want golfers that are long off the tee that are willing to be aggressive. There's a 17 yard increase in, in projected driving distance compared to your standard stop on tour. I think twice distance. I, I actually picked them up in our God, my, my fantasy. I saw that. I did. It's so bad at this. Well, I, I think Kevin Tway might be the best player I have in that lineup. And that's not even an exaggeration. Well, Lisa's game's a good form. All right. Here's my lineup. If anybody wants to send a head to head, keep it reasonable. Let's not be crazy here. Um, Prasant, I know we did that earlier. I always appreciate that. The times my lineup is going to be. Shauffle, Thigs, Fitz, Bez, Phavon and Cam Davis. So I, it's absolutely gross. It's probably a GPP line, but I'll, I'll play it head to head with the, with the fans or the listeners out there. Um, I had one more thing. Don't remember what it was. I do have to start Gary Woodland this week. I think. No, I don't. Okay. I got can't like that. So some way I'm going to start. That's a Oberg. That is exactly what's happened in my fantasy season. And I don't know if you have it up in front of you. What my lineup is, it's Kevin Twy. That's not good. Web Sims and Lee Hodges. I don't know. Brendan Todd and. So whoever I'm missing there, I got one starting spot out of kitty. I'm a, I think Shanks going to stay kitty. I'm a or Acro. I think I'm going to stay with kitty. I'm a, but I already have him top 20. So it's like if that goes bad, I can. I just love Austin. I grew. I like I grow to. I think it's close. I would probably say kitty, Alma. All right. But it's close. I wouldn't. I'm not trying to sway you one way or another. I know we've we've learned that when we give each other picks that it's usually for the benefit though of the other person. I'm with you persona. I think Kevin Twy scares the shit out of me. Nick Taylor's form though. When you look at these, I don't know. He was T-12 at Arnold Palmer, but so who who else was. Brendan Todd was lights out at Arnold Palmer was me. Yeah, T six parents. If you look at the $6,300 golfers and less. There's 15. So Nick Taylor would be the second best option according to my model. It would be first would be Twy second would be Taylor. Third would be would be Greo. Okay, I'll agree. No, no love for Spencer. Mr. Longer himself. I feel like he's a guy that people are just going to overlook. But is he broken? I kind of tend to think so my my numbers massively disliked and the only player that was worse in this field in projection was Lee Hodges. Jeez. Yeah, he's putting a shit. All right, two must haves more cow and norin. I think more cows are going to be very different. I respect that play norin. I also don't think the public will still buy in because he's Alex norin. So I don't mind that play. And again, if you're talking about just consistent form and to be eighty two hundred and to be in that form. Yeah, that makes all the sense in the world. Maybe I mean, Adam Scott's in decent form at seventy seven hundred. I would say maybe that's a better value. But other than that, even Stephen Yeager, I always love him. That'd be like my inform price discrepancy. Stephen Yeager, I feel like he should be upper sevens. And Scott. And yeah, definitely Alex norin. I think if draft Kings made him the same price as Jordan Smith and Justin Thomas right now, I think the way he's playing golf. We've warned that there's a head to head match up with norin against speed that I saw earlier. I think it was minus one ten both ways. But right now has norin minus one twenty. Nope, that's over Sam Burns. Let me see that MGM minus one eleven. Thanks for adding that extra penny on there, guys. Minus one eleven both sides way to go. That feels about right. And I guess his safety would be. The thing I like about Jeff's two plays there more call was going to be the lowest sound of any of the nine thousand dollar and up options unless it's off and then I wouldn't rule that out at this one. Maybe he's catching enough steam that Hovland does end up getting into that 10 to 12 percent range. But I don't foresee this being a fifteen percent total. Look at norin. I there's up 10 percent marks for him right now. He's kind of right in the middle of a lot of those names. You're you're definitely going to get unique and different by going aggressive with those two. I do like more Kyle. I think that's a play that. I mean, I'm only building one line of though this week. So I don't look like it for them. Love it though. Appreciate everybody's input. This is fun chat. Other than that, check out the action network show. If you're interested in more like the betting angle of things, but Spencer, any other work this week you want to put out into the ether? You can always check out everything that I do over at Rotoball or with my model there. There will be for everybody asking a draft cast tonight. So that's going to start in the next 30 minutes. So you can hop over there to watch that show. Guess before we leave Nick, give me who's going to win this golf tournament. Sanders, shall you know what? Yeah, if you're going to go with Andrew, I'm I think that he finally gets it done. He's the better value. Obviously. I mean, we both say his name. So he was it's a heath. It is these names saw. So I saw. Oh, yeah. So neither none of the above. I only I only got that because I used to do a show at golf. WRX with somebody that was good friends with him. And she told me a story live on air that when they went out to either breakfast, lunch or dinner, one of the three there, they were all saying. Whatever the name was wrong with it. And they've been doing this for five plus years with him. And at some point, I guess, you know, all of a sudden he had PGA tour of money. That was coming in and he said, Hey, that's not how you pronounce my name. And so it got it got corrected that way with all the. All right. Well, he's not waiting. He shouldn't wait five years to sit and not correct. Like your friends butchering your name. So I will go back to Zander. I will go with Zander to it. This feels like the unfortunate position where Zander gets across the finish line and nobody's on him. We have no tickets. Yeah. All right. Appreciate everybody. Thank you for tuning in. Good luck this week. Hit us up on Twitter. If you need anything or if you want to do a head to head, just DM me at six weeks or whatever. And we'll we'll get after it. My life is disgusting and I hope you guys kick my ass code BGP for underdog. There you go. Actually, I'll get a draft maybe going tomorrow night since we did our show a day early. So that'll be fun. Peace out guys. Thank you for tuning in. [ Silence ]
Stix and Spencer are back to bring you the best PGA analysis on the planet. This includes 6-digit winners and 100/1 outrights. Let's go!
