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Turley Talks

Ep. 171 Trump Sets GALLUP POLL RECORD as Most ACCURATE Forecast Model Predicts Trump LANDSLIDE!!!

Broadcast on:
10 Oct 2020

Highlights:

  • “Fifty-six percent of Americans say that they are better off under President Trump than they were four years ago under Obama and Biden. That number is the highest number ever recorded by Gallup.”
  • “This number 56% is absolutely stunning. CNN’s blatant attempt at gaslighting notwithstanding.”
  • ‘‘He didn’t just win. He was the first Republican to get over 300 electoral votes in 30 years.”  

Timestamps:  

  • [03:28] The latest Gallup poll with the highest number ever recorded and the gaslighting from CNN 
  • [04:35] Looking at the same numbers from the past presidents 
  • [05:26] On the Rasmussen and the Democracy Institute polls
  • [08:16] The Primary Model of election forecast by Helmut Norpoth
  • [09:39] On the prediction accuracy of the Primary Model
  • [10:50] Norpoth’s model’s ability to predict the winner months before the election 
  • [12:14] The Primary Model doesn’t pay attention to the polls

 Resources:  

  • The Primary Model
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